NegativeProjectionThu, July 30, 2026
Smith's 2025 TD regression from 0.62 to 0.24 per game aligns with his yardage ranking.
DeVonta SmithWR
Smith exemplifies negative TD regression; he ranked No. 24 in receiving YPG in 2024 (64.1) but No. 8 in TDs per game (0.62), before falling to 37th in 2025 (0.24). The source identifies him as a negative TD regression candidate for 2026, with 59.3 YPG (17th) but only 0.24 TDs per game (38th), suggesting his 2025 TD output was unsustainably high relative to his yardage production.
View DeVonta Smith 2026 fantasy football value pagePlayer profile with fantasy value, ADP, projections, news, and source-backed STACKED insightsSource transcript excerpt
Smith was the opposite: he ranked No. 24 in receiving YPG in 2024 (64.1) but No. 8 in TDs per game (0.62), before falling to 37th in 2025 (0.24).
Common questions
DeVonta Smith fantasy football FAQ
- What did Fantasy Life Articles say about DeVonta Smith?
- Smith exemplifies negative TD regression; he ranked No. 24 in receiving YPG in 2024 (64.1) but No. 8 in TDs per game (0.62), before falling to 37th in 2025 (0.24). The source identifies him as a negative TD regression candidate for 2026, with 59.3 YPG (17th) but only 0.24 TDs per game (38th), suggesting his 2025 TD output was unsustainably high relative to his yardage production.
- Is this good or bad for DeVonta Smith's fantasy football value?
- STACKED tags this as a negative fantasy football signal for DeVonta Smith (WR). Smith's 2025 TD regression from 0.62 to 0.24 per game aligns with his yardage ranking.
- Where can I see DeVonta Smith's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
- DeVonta Smith's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
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