Updated daily · 2026 best ball

Underdog ADP 2026: live best ball draft prices, risers, and forecast

Live Underdog Fantasy ADP for 2026 best ball, synced daily and kept as a full season history — click any player to chart their ADP across the entire draft season. Below: the biggest 7-day risers and fallers, and today's forecast of who moves next, with every past call graded publicly.

Today's ADP forecast · July 31

92% hit rate on 84 graded callsFull board & track record

Where STACKED projects these Underdog prices to sit 3 days from now, published before the fact and graded once the window closes.

Projected to rise

De'Zhaun StriblingWR157.7 → 146.2–152.8
Kayshon BoutteWR205.3 → 200.6–203.3
Malik NabersWR NYG31.4 → 27.6–29.8

Projected to fall

Braelon AllenRB NYJ211.3 → 212.5–214.1
Ricky PearsallWR SF101.6 → 103.7–106.6
Jaylin NoelWR HOU213.6 → 214.9–216.7

ADP grid Today's ADP forecast Forecast track record Cross-platform ADP movement

Underdog ADP forecast: who moves next

A daily model crosses ADP momentum — how fast and how consistently a player's price has moved over the last 3 and 7 days — with industry buzz from the podcasts, shows, articles, and social posts STACKED monitors. When fresh momentum and fresh chatter point the same way, the player makes the board below.

Updated Jul 31Calls project movement over the next 3 days of Underdog drafts.92% hit rate on 84 graded calls →

Projected risers

De'Zhaun Stribling

Forecast · 92%

ADP 157.7→146.2–152.8next 3 days

With Ricky Pearsall's knee issue threatening his season and Jauan Jennings/Kirk banged up, analysts from Yahoo to Coach Yac see a clear path to the 49ers WR2 role for Stribling, and Sigmund Bloom already flagged him as one of the best rookie-draft values. That opportunity story is why he jumped roughly 14 spots in a week.

5 sources — hover to see them

What the sources are saying

Matt HarmonJul 30
Reception Perception The Show 🏈 -Will Josh Downs play outside more? -De'Zhaun Stribling opportunity to shine -Cyrus Allen starter reps -Drake Maye and AJ Brown connection -Drake London RP profile breakdown Listen here ⤵️ < Retweeted
Yahoo Fantasy SportsJul 30
If Ricky Pearsall is out for the season... Where should De'Zhaun Stribling go in fantasy drafts?
Coach Yac 🗣Jul 30
With Ricky Pearsall possibly out for the season, De'Zhaun Stribling could very well become WR2 for the 49ers 🎥: @jenniferleechan
Reddit /r/fantasyfootballJul 30
Clear path to WR2 early in camp with Pearsall and Kirk missing time; community sees him as interesting 2nd-round option in rookie drafts.
Reddit /r/fantasyfootballJul 29
Receiving praise from Purdy and reporters; noted as beneficiary of Kirk injury at San Francisco. Potential opportunity play.
Sigmund BloomJul 29
Talked with @SigmundBloom on @S2SFootball podcast yesterday about how Eli Raridon, Demond Claiborne, & De’Zhaun Stribling were three of the best value picks in all of rookie drafts. All 3 making some noise already #FantasyFootball < Retwe

Kayshon Boutte

Forecast · 90%

ADP 205.3→200.6–203.3next 3 days

32BeatWriters admits Boutte has been New England's best offensive player in camp after leaving him off their 53-man projection, and with Kyle Williams reportedly off the initial roster his path to snaps is clearing. That near-unanimous camp praise (36 of 38 mentions positive) supports the steady rise from a near-free 205 ADP.

5 sources — hover to see them

What the sources are saying

Zain DhananiJul 31
Kayshon Boutte is still available for trade per @MikeGiardi
Underdog NFLJul 30
Kayshon Boutte on competition, via @MikeReiss: "There's competition every year, just trying to not get lost in the sauce."
Zain DhananiJul 30
If you’re holding out hope for Kyle Williams, it seems joever for him as he’s off the initial 53 man roster projection via @ChadGraff Boutte continues to impress
AdamJul 30
Kayshon Boutee
Jacob GibbsJul 30
League-leaders at WR in 2025: 142 - Jalen Coker 139 - Kayshon Boutte 135 - Luther Burden 132 - Ryan Flournoy 131 - Puka Nacua 129 - Zay Flowers 128 - Christian Watson 126 - Tee Higgins 124 - George Pickens 121 - Chris Godwin 121 - Romeo Dob
32BeatWritersJul 29
Admittedly, I had Kayshon Boutte off my 53-man projection this spring. Thought he might force a trade or not show up to camp ready to go. I was dead wrong. Boutte's been the team's best offensive player in camp. Just had another deep ball f

Malik Nabers

WRNYG

Forecast · 80%

ADP 31.4→27.6–29.8next 3 days

Beat reporters and Underdog both note Nabers is moving well off the ACL and is likely good for Week 1, with one source calling him the most mispriced player in the draft and urging drafters to get aggressive. As healthy signals mount, his round-three price is being bid up toward his true ceiling.

6 sources — hover to see them

What the sources are saying

Underdog Fantasy Football - Josh & HaydenJul 30
Expected to play week one despite ACL recovery; ranked 25th overall in fourth round but the source calls him the most mispriced player in the draft. If fully healthy, the source believes he'd be a round-one pick next to Justin Jefferson and
Adam LevitanJul 30
Some of the news from camp that was enough to move rankings for us: * Malik Nabers (ACL) looking strong during individual work * Ricky Pearsall (PCL) aggravation * Tank Dell (knee) active, Jaylin Noel (finger) out * Chris Brazzell (knee) in
KyleJul 30
Here are the biggest Underdog Best Ball Risers and Fallers by ADP in the month of July! With training camp underway, we should see even greater fluctuation in player ADP These are some of my quick thoughts on these players: [Fallers] - Why
Zain DhananiJul 30
The full scoop on Malik Nabers practice participation from @DDuggan21 Take: Given the videos and what we’ve heard, it feels likely he’s good for Week 1. Time to get more aggressive in taking him.
Yahoo Fantasy SportsJul 30
That cut from Nabers 😮‍💨 (via @SNYGiants)
Underdog NFLJul 30
Malik Nabers moving well coming off the knee injury via @SNYGiants

Jonathon Brooks

RBCAR

Forecast · 80%

ADP 96.0→93.4–95.0next 3 days

Reports have Brooks at 100% and looking fast in camp, with Canales praising his ability to make defenders miss, and Establish The Run calls him worth the risk at his RB37 cost. Ian Hartitz expects him to be drafted before Chuba Hubbard by late August, consistent with the upward move.

5 sources — hover to see them

What the sources are saying

Establish The RunJul 31
“At RB37 cost, I think it’s worth the risk” @evansilva and @adamlevitan talk Jonathon Brooks:
KyleJul 30
Just because it's so much fun to think about these scenarios Here is the "Perfect ADP Selection" from the 1 spot in a 12-Team PPR League (ESPN ADP) QB: Brock Purdy RB1: Jahmyr Gibbs RB2: Chase Brown WR1: Ladd McConkey WR2: Jaylen Waddle TE:
Ian HartitzJul 29
Didn't even need a practice highlight to get big-time Jonathon Brooks hype. Just some good ole fan fiction from practice. The man is going to be going before Chuba Hubbard in home leagues by the end of August. Quoted
Reddit /r/fantasyfootballJul 29
Says he's 100%; reports indicate he looks solid and fast early in camp. Expected to be 1–2 punch with Hubbard in Carolina. Positive injury recovery signal.
KyleJul 29
In just a day or two, we already have some answers to 8 out of 17 of these pressing training camp questions I had! 1. Jordyn Tyson passes his conditioning test and is good to go for camp 2. Makai Lemon is present today at training camp afte
SleeperNFLJul 29
Dave Canales says Jonathon Brooks is able to make people miss on screens and check-downs: “He's got finishing speed, so that's a big part of his game. While we know we can utilize that part, first and foremost, he's a RB. Just making sure t

Michael Wilson

WRARI

Forecast · 76%

ADP 99.0→97.0–98.6next 3 days

LaFleur compared Wilson to Puka Nacua and Robert Woods, and a steady stream of camp highlight grabs has made him a popular riser, though the 13-personnel note that Harrison remains the primary target caps the enthusiasm. The praise-heavy camp buzz explains the modest climb.

4 sources — hover to see them

What the sources are saying

Zain DhananiJul 30
The difference of how Mike LaFleur spoke about Michael Wilson (comp to Puka and Robert Woods) vs Marvin Harrison Jr is astonishing
SleeperNFLJul 30
📌 SleeperNFL's Daily Roundup (7/29) Contract extensions signed today: ▪️ S Grant Delpit ➜ 3-years, $48M Players that are "good to go": ▪️ Bucky Irving 👑 ▪️ Cam Skattebo 💥 Players holding out: ▪️ Bijan Robinson ▪️ Jahmyr Gibbs ▪️ Chris Ol
Underdog NFLJul 29
Michael Wilson TOUGH over-the-shoulder sideline grab
SleeperNFLJul 29
every training camp clip that comes out… it’s Michael Wilson szn. (@DonnieDruin)
32BeatWritersJul 29
Michael Wilson with a TOUGH grab 🔥
32BeatWritersJul 29
Big day of 13 personnel reps for the Cardinals offense. Marv has been the main receiver on the field in those looks, not Michael Wilson.

Projected fallers

Braelon Allen

RBNYJ

Forecast · 73%

ADP 211.3→212.5–214.1next 3 days

Allen's value hinges entirely on a Breece Hall injury, and reporting now suggests he could lose the backup job to Isaiah Davis, leaving him a pure goal-line dart throw. That murky standalone role, with thin and split mentions, drives the slide toward the end of drafts.

3 sources — hover to see them

What the sources are saying

32BeatWritersJul 30
I don’t know man, Braelon Allen looks good.
Reddit /r/fantasyfootballJul 29
Biggest concern for Hall's workload. Reportedly put on significant muscle and now weighs 250 lbs. In just 4 healthy games last season, owned red-zone work with 8 rushes/targets vs. Hall's 5. Unclear if he or Isaiah Davis will be featured mo
Fantasy Life ArticlesJul 26
Allen's value is contingent on Breece Hall going down; he could lose the RB2 job to Isaiah Davis. He has prototypical goal-line RB size (6-foot, 235 pounds, though Allen says he's up to 250 pounds) and could stumble into a multi-TD game or

Ricky Pearsall

WRSF

Forecast · 70%

ADP 101.6→103.7–106.6next 3 days

Maiocco reports Pearsall's knee is swelling just two days into camp and that it's reasonable for the 49ers to expect no contribution, and analysts are now advising drafters to avoid him or brace for load management if he plays. Those darkening injury updates justify the drop from an ADP near 100.

4 sources — hover to see them

What the sources are saying

SleeperNFLJul 31
📌 SleeperNFL's Daily Roundup (7/30) Contract extensions signed today: ▪️ WR Chris Olave ➜ 4-years, $132M Players on the rise: ▪️ Parker Washington ▪️ Kenneth Walker III ▪️ Luther Burden III ▪️ DeVonta Smith Injury updates: ▪️ WR Ricky Pear
Adam LevitanJul 30
Some of the news from camp that was enough to move rankings for us: * Malik Nabers (ACL) looking strong during individual work * Ricky Pearsall (PCL) aggravation * Tank Dell (knee) active, Jaylin Noel (finger) out * Chris Brazzell (knee) in
Zain DhananiJul 30
Also, do not draft Ricky Pearsall It’s better to avoid the 0 (surgery) than get a player who is likely going to be load managed if he does play (lower route shares weekly + missing games)
SleeperNFLJul 30
The 49ers had hoped Ricky Pearsall’s knee would heal on its own in the offseason, per @MaioccoNBCS The knee is swelling just two days into training camp. "At this point I think it's reasonable, rational, logical, for the 49ers to not expec
SleeperNFLJul 30
George Kittle tore his Achilles and is gonna come back quicker than Ricky Pearsall 😭
Sigmund BloomJul 30
"This doesn't look good... I think it's reasonable, rational, logical, for the 49ers to NOT expect Ricky Pearsall to make any contribution in 2026." @MaioccoNBCS says the Niners could be preparing for Ricky Pearsall to miss the entirety of

Jaylin Noel

WRHOU

Forecast · 70%

ADP 213.6→214.9–216.7next 3 days

Noel injured his finger and is expected to miss a few weeks of camp reps, ceding early practice ground while Tank Dell's stock rises in Houston's target hierarchy. The missed time and target competition explain the slide even though the injury itself is considered minor.

5 sources — hover to see them

What the sources are saying

Adam LevitanJul 30
Some of the news from camp that was enough to move rankings for us: * Malik Nabers (ACL) looking strong during individual work * Ricky Pearsall (PCL) aggravation * Tank Dell (knee) active, Jaylin Noel (finger) out * Chris Brazzell (knee) in
Zain DhananiJul 30
Texans GM Nick Caserio on Tank Dell’s timeline to practice: “He’s probably got, you know, another week or so here of work until we actually see him on a practice field.” Sounds like his timeline and potentially Jaylin Noel’s timeline will b
Zain DhananiJul 30
Okay so full story on Jaylin Noel he was catching passes and hurt his finger - he’s fine y’all
Reddit /r/fantasyfootballJul 30
Injured finger; expected to return in a few weeks.
AdamJul 29
Tank Dell > Jaylin Noel which would have been crazy to say a year ago
32BeatWritersJul 29
#Texans receiver Tank Dell will work on the side, general manager Nick Caserio said. He won't be practicing by design as he ramps up. Jaylin Noel injured his finger will be back in a few weeks.

Emmett Johnson

RBKC

Forecast · 66%

ADP 193.7→193.9–195.5next 3 days

Johnson generated zero mentions over the past week, leaving a buried Chiefs backfield rookie with no camp buzz or role clarity to hold his price. That absence of any supporting news is consistent with a drift to later picks.

Isaac TeSlaa

Forecast · 66%

ADP 169.3→169.6–171.2next 3 days

TeSlaa drew just a single passing mention as a deep-bench dart in one best-ball roster, with nothing pointing to a defined role. With no camp momentum behind him, the ADP is quietly settling later.

1 source — hover to see them

What the sources are saying

Sigmund BloomJul 27
Final #ProsVsJoes team from 8 hole (TE Prem BB) QB: Stafford-Willis-BYoung (10-11-14) RB: Cook-Javonte-Monty-JBrooks-Corum (1-3-4-8-9) WR: Evans-PWash-Shaheed-Coker-Mitchell-TeSlaa-Thornton-Hurst (5-6-12-13-15-16-18-20 TE: Loveland-Kittle-P

Biggest Underdog ADP movers this week

The largest real moves in Underdog draft price over the last 7 days of drafts. Click any player for their full ADP history and the news driving the move.

Biggest 7-day risers

De'Zhaun StriblingWR 172.1 → 157.7
Kayshon BoutteWR 211.7 → 205.3
Malik NabersWR NYG37.6 → 31.4
Kaelon BlackRB 214.5 → 210.0
Jonathon BrooksRB CAR100.5 → 96.0

Biggest 7-day fallers

Braelon AllenRB NYJ205.8 → 211.3
Ricky PearsallWR SF96.4 → 101.6
Fernando MendozaQB LV175.1 → 179.6
Jaylin NoelWR HOU209.2 → 213.6
Mike Washington Jr.RB LV197.9 → 200.7

Forecast track record

Every daily forecast is saved before the fact and graded automatically once its window closes, so you can judge the model on results rather than highlights.

92%

Hit rate (graded calls)

77–7–115

Record

95%

Riser calls hit rate

88%

Faller calls hit rate

Forecast	Player	Call	ADP at call	Projected	Actual (+3d)	Result
Jul 28	Jonathon BrooksRB	RISE	98.2	96.5–98.1	96.0(+2.2)	HIT
Jul 28	De'Zhaun StriblingWR	RISE	171.3	169.8–171.2	157.7(+13.6)	HIT
Jul 28	Malik NabersWR	RISE	34.6	32.7–34.3	31.4(+3.2)	HIT
Jul 28	Bhayshul TutenRB	RISE	53.8	52.4–53.7	53.2(+0.6)	PUSH
Jul 28	Alvin KamaraRB	RISE	166.5	165.2–166.4	166.2(+0.3)	PUSH
Jul 28	Braelon AllenRB	FALL	208.1	208.2–209.8	211.3(-3.2)	HIT
Jul 28	Cooper KuppWR	FALL	207.6	207.7–208.8	206.4(+1.2)	MISS
Jul 28	Jaylin NoelWR	FALL	210.0	210.1–211.4	213.6(-3.6)	HIT
Jul 28	Zachariah BranchWR	FALL	182.5	182.6–183.8	182.2(+0.3)	PUSH
Jul 28	Brian RobinsonRB	FALL	172.6	172.7–173.7	173.0(-0.4)	PUSH
Jul 27	Jonathon BrooksRB	RISE	98.3	95.9–97.5	98.3(0.0)	PUSH
Jul 27	Malik NabersWR	RISE	34.8	32.1–33.7	35.3(-0.5)	PUSH

Every forecast is written to the database the day it is made and graded automatically 3 days later against real Underdog ADP: a call counts as a hit when ADP moved at least one pick in the predicted direction, a miss when it moved at least one pick the other way, and a push when it stayed within a pick. Nothing is edited after the fact.

How to turn Underdog ADP into a draft edge

Draft the move, not the price

ADP is a lagging average: when news breaks, the market takes days to fully reprice. Rising players are usually still cheaper than they will be next week, and falling players keep sliding. That drift is exactly what the daily ADP forecast tries to get ahead of.

Confirm moves with real reporting

Price moves without news are noise; price moves with news are signal. Every player cell in the grid links to source-backed insights from the shows and beat coverage STACKED monitors, so you can see why a price is moving before you chase it.

Build best ball rosters around value

In best ball there are no waivers, so draft-day price is everything. Pair ADP value with stacking and roster construction — see the best ball strategy hub and the 2026 draft guide for the full framework.

What is Underdog ADP?

Underdog ADP (average draft position) is the average pick where a player is being selected in Underdog Fantasy best ball drafts. It is the clearest picture of the current market price for every player, and it moves daily as drafters react to news, injuries, and role changes.

Can I see a player's Underdog ADP graphed over the whole draft season?

Yes. Click any player cell in the ADP grid to open a chart of their Underdog ADP for every day of the current draft season, so you can see the full shape of the move rather than a single snapshot — a steady season-long climb, a sharp spike on news, or a price that has quietly round-tripped back to where it started. The chart marks each daily reading and flags whether the most recent move was rising, falling, or flat.

How often does this Underdog ADP page update?

STACKED syncs Underdog best ball ADP every day and stores the full daily history. The ADP grid, the 7-day risers and fallers, and the ADP forecast all refresh automatically after each daily sync.

How does STACKED forecast which players will rise or fall in ADP?

Each day an automated model combines two signals: ADP momentum (how fast and how consistently a player's draft price has moved over the last 3 and 7 days) and industry buzz (how often the player is being discussed across the podcasts, shows, articles, and social posts STACKED monitors, and whether that coverage is positive or negative). Players where fresh momentum and fresh buzz point the same direction become the day's projected risers and fallers.

How accurate are the ADP forecasts?

Every forecast is stored the day it is made and graded automatically three days later against real Underdog ADP, and the full track record is published on this page. A call is a hit when ADP moved at least one pick in the predicted direction, a miss when it moved against the call, and a push when it stayed within a pick.

How should I use ADP in Underdog best ball drafts?

Use ADP as the market price, not as a ranking. The edge comes from knowing where your rankings disagree with ADP, drafting rising players before the market finishes repricing them, and letting falling players slide to you a round later. Combine ADP with stacking, roster construction, and week-winning upside for best ball.