Live analysis2025 NFL · half-PPR · redraft

How 2025 fantasy records and rosters finished

See championship and playoff rates at each cumulative record. Then compare how often a player's team won the championship, made or missed the playoffs, or finished in the bottom cohort when that player appeared on the final roster or in the draft.

Included leagues

Completed 2025 NFL redraft leagues with exact half-PPR scoring, head-to-head records, valid playoffs, and no superflex, IDP, or median-game result.

Dataset status

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Server-side aggregates from the 2025 Sleeper crawl. This page checks for updates every 60 seconds.

Last refreshed

Aug 3, 12:55 AM UTC

Invocation failed · 1,856 requests

Unique leagues

274,233

2025 league rows found

Prelim eligible

13,290

Before full analysis

Analyzed

13,206

Eligible after full analysis

Team outcomes

149,916

Final team rows

Snapshots

2,247,204

Weekly W-L-T snapshots

Users

204,090

138,403 pending

Profiles

187,620

154,873 missing

League queue

29,115

245,117 pending

Preliminary data. The crawler and analysis queue are still processing leagues. Percentages from small samples can change sharply. Check every denominator and the Wilson interval shown for championship rates.

716,634 lifetime Sleeper requests · 281 logged crawl errors

0 terminal user failures · 0 terminal league failures

Latest stop: fatal_error

Outcomes by record

Each team-season contributes one snapshot for every exact cumulative W-L-T record it reached. The denominator counts all team snapshots at that record. The numerator counts the same snapshots whose team later reached the selected outcome. At 0-0, every analyzed team contributes once. At 5-4, only teams that reached 5-4 contribute. Wins run left to right; losses run bottom to top.

Ties in record

Championship probability

The rate divides snapshots from eventual champions by all team snapshots at the exact record. The 95% Wilson interval shows small-sample uncertainty.

Below 0–0Above 0–0

0–0 championship baseline: 8.8%. Red is below it; green is above it.

L / W

10W

11W

12W

13W

14W

15W

15L

14L

13L

12L

11L

10L

Select a cell to see its numerator and denominator. Championship cells also show a Wilson interval. Hover to see the same details.

Playoff probability

The rate divides snapshots from teams that made the winners bracket by all team snapshots at the exact record.

LowerHigher

0–0 playoff baseline: 53.5%.

L / W

10W

11W

12W

13W

14W

15W

15L

14L

13L

12L

11L

10L

Select a cell to see its numerator and denominator. Championship cells also show a Wilson interval. Hover to see the same details.

Player outcome rates

These rates show how often a player's team reached each outcome in eligible analyzed leagues where the player was acquired. Each player-league counts once as a yes/no observation. The results are descriptive roster and draft associations; they do not show that a player caused the outcome.

Acquisition basis

Outcome cohort

Minimum leagues

Highest championship rate

End-of-season Sleeper roster · Eligible analyzed leagues in which the player’s team won the championship.

Ranked by outcome rate · minimum N=10

01
Ronnie Rivers
RB· LAR
66.7%
12 / 18 eligible analyzed leagues
02
Charlie Woerner
TE· ATL
43.5%
10 / 23 eligible analyzed leagues
03
DeSean Jackson
WR· FA
40%
4 / 10 eligible analyzed leagues
04
Xavier Smith
WR· LAR
39.3%
24 / 61 eligible analyzed leagues
05
Jimmy Garoppolo
QB
39.2%
20 / 51 eligible analyzed leagues
06
Konata Mumpfield
WR· LAR
36.2%
218 / 602 eligible analyzed leagues
07
Jahdae Walker
WR· CHI
35.1%
13 / 37 eligible analyzed leagues
08
Nick Foles
QB· FA
34.8%
8 / 23 eligible analyzed leagues
09
Jake Tonges
TE· SF
34.1%
975 / 2,863 eligible analyzed leagues
10
Davis Allen
TE· LAR
33.3%
17 / 51 eligible analyzed leagues
11
Stetson Bennett
QB· LAR
33.3%
4 / 12 eligible analyzed leagues
12
LeSean McCoy
RB· FA
31.6%
6 / 19 eligible analyzed leagues
13
Jason Witten
TE· FA
30%
3 / 10 eligible analyzed leagues
14
Taysom Hill
TE
29.1%
1,887 / 6,492 eligible analyzed leagues
15
David Sills
WR· TB
28.5%
39 / 137 eligible analyzed leagues
16
Raheim Sanders
RB· CLE
27.8%
467 / 1,677 eligible analyzed leagues
17
Kyle Williams
WR
25.5%
820 / 3,210 eligible analyzed leagues
18
Ezekiel Elliott
RB· FA
25%
4 / 16 eligible analyzed leagues
19
Tom Brady
QB· FA
24.3%
123 / 507 eligible analyzed leagues
20
Marshawn Lynch
RB· FA
24.1%
19 / 79 eligible analyzed leagues

Showing 1–20 of 565 players · Page 1 of 29

Methodology and definitions

All figures are observational summaries of completed 2025 Sleeper leagues in the strict half-PPR cohort.

Champion & playoffs

Champion means the roster that finished first in a completed winners bracket. Made playoffs includes every roster explicitly listed in the winners bracket, including teams with byes.

Final roster & drafted

Final roster is Sleeper's end-of-season roster. Drafted uses picks from the primary completed 2025 league draft. A player counts once per league. Ambiguous multi-roster mappings are excluded.

Bottom cohort

The bottom cohort is the lowest ceil(25%) of teams in the deterministic regular-season ranking: win percentage, then points for, then roster ID.