Steepest late-career decline among 14 QBs since 2000; physical decay exposed pre-existing limitations.

Wilson suffered by far the largest statistical decline from seasons 1-10 to seasons 11-14 among 14 quarterbacks since 2000 with at least 100 starts in their first 10 seasons and at least 30 starts over seasons 11-14, per TruMedia; he fell from averaging 0.12 EPA per pass play over his first 10 seasons (about the same as Matthew Stafford and Dak Prescott over the past decade) to averaging -0.05 across his final four seasons (about the same as Justin Fields for his career). This decline was driven by physical deterioration—loss of leg mobility as he aged and put on weight—which exposed limitations in reading defenses and seeing the whole field that the Seahawks had mitigated through system design. After leaving Seattle, Wilson saw himself as capable of running the offense like Rodgers, Brady, or Peyton Manning, but the Seahawks' evaluation proved correct; the $245 million extension he signed with the Broncos emboldened him despite on-field evidence showing the extension was misguided.