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Davis Mattek fantasy football takes on Deebo Samuel
Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Davis Mattek about Deebo Samuel.
13
Insights
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Positive
3
Negative
Insight ledger
All Davis Mattek insights about Deebo Samuel
PositiveValueJul 31, 2026
Davis Mattek moved Deebo Samuel up to 130 in his rankings on flockfantasy.com and has him ranked 13th overall with an ADP of 125, while current market ADP is 150, indicating Deebo is undervalued. Mattek signed a one-year, $7 million deal with the 49ers; Mattek thinks Deebo is still a pretty good pick even at elevated price and prefers him to Keenan Allen in the 10th round. At 23% of his old price, Deebo feels very good. Mattek's quantitative model projects Deebo for 80 targets, 55 receptions, 735 yards, and four touchdowns, but he would take the under on those numbers. Mattek selected Deebo in his draft at pick 132, indicating he views Deebo as appropriately valued at that ADP. With 218 teams (12.9% exposure) at $1,656 salary, he represents good value; the Niners signing him, especially with Pierce Hall's injury, created an ideal landing spot for his fantasy value.NegativeValueJul 30, 2026
Mattek describes Deebo as 'a really good pick here,' indicating he views Deebo as solid value at that draft position, though he ultimately passes on him to take another player. Potential risk: if he signs with San Francisco, he would cannibalize targets and touches with Deon Stribbling.NegativeRoleJul 30, 2026
Ricky Pawol expresses uncertainty about drafting Deebo Samuel despite acknowledging he should have a decent target opportunity with the 49ers. The hesitation stems from draft fatigue after many drafts. Pawol notes Deebo at 10% ADP (164 overall in teams format) and has only 10% exposure across 164 teams drafted, suggesting he is underexposed to the player. Pawol hopes the pick works out but feels conflicted about the selection.NegativeRoleJul 27, 2026
Davis Mattek is backing off Deebo Samuel slightly because he's less convinced that Debo walks back into a role where he is a featured wide receiver. Mattek speculates Debo will land with either the Raiders or re-sign with the Commanders, but compares his potential career arc to DeAndre Hopkins' decline on the Ravens. However, Mattek also notes Debo scored 11.7 points per game last season, which for his current ADP is an 'absolute mega steal,' and believes he's a better pick than Cooper Cup. Mattek prefers Debo back to the Commanders rather than the Chiefs or Rams, as signing with the Chiefs would hurt Worthy and Rashee Rice.NegativeRoleJul 25, 2026
Deebo Samuel (referenced as 'Persaw') would benefit significantly if George Kittle suffers an injury, indicating he is a secondary receiving option dependent on Kittle's health status.PositiveValueJul 14, 2026
Samuel scored 152 points last year at 11.7 PPG but is disrespected by the market due to unsigned status. Historical comparisons (Pierre Garçon, Greg Jennings, Dwayne Bowe, Jarvis Landry) suggest he will likely be slightly worse this year, but in best ball format only needs two good games to provide value. Potential signing with Kansas City would create a stack opportunity. Davis Mattek selected him as part of his best ball portfolio.PositiveProjectionJul 14, 2026
Deebo Samuel was selected as a wide receiver in the best ball draft where the analyst drafted only his preferred players.PositiveValueJul 14, 2026
Samuel scored 152 points last year and is now disrespected in the market because he's unsigned. He could have two good games if he signs with a team like the Chiefs, making him a valuable pick in best ball format.PositiveValueJul 11, 2026
Identified as a closing-line ADP value opportunity, representing potential post-draft ADP movement that could provide value.PositiveValueJul 10, 2026
Mattek selects Deebo Samuel, stating 'I'm going to do Debo. I was always on Debo's side in the Debo versus I wars,' indicating a long-standing preference for Samuel over an unnamed alternative (likely Amon-Ra St. Brown). Mattek includes Samuel as part of his wide receiver room alongside CeeDee Lamb, Malik Neighbors, Echa Igbuka, Brian Thomas Jr., and Xavier Worthy, expressing satisfaction with the receiver depth.PositiveValueJun 20, 2026
JJ Zachariason highlights Deebo Samuel as a high-upside option in round 12 that should be prioritized over early quarterback selections. Zachariason added him to his roster as wide receiver five, expressing fantastic confidence in his wide receiver group. He specifically values Deebo for adding floor to a receiving room counting on Matthew Golden and Jordan Tyson, who have more uncertain floors. Zachariason views Deebo as a player who will contribute weekly scores and should be drafted ahead of early quarterback investments.NegativeProjectionMay 31, 2026
Davis Mattek characterizes Deebo Samuel as a 'life vest' producing 10.5 PPG before injury, but raises significant conditioning concerns about his off-season fitness. He's described as 'looking like late-stage Jason Varitek' and compared unfavorably to DJ Moore ('if DJ Moore is a hot dog, Deebo Samuel is a corn dog'). Mattek notes Deebo gained significant weight in the off-season and would need to lose it and play himself into shape over a 3-month period—a notable conditioning concern for a wide receiver. However, Mattek also projects that if Deebo lands with the Raiders, he would receive approximately 130 targets, positioning him as a strong fantasy asset with significant volume upside in that landing spot.PositiveRoleMay 30, 2026
Davis Mattek selected Deebo Samuel as a good fit for this best ball build because after drafting three rookie wide receivers (Lemon, Cooper, Boston), he needs to trend toward veteran players to provide stability and floor.