Jerry Jeudy fantasy football insight from Hayden Winks - PPR Rankings

Jeudy can be frustrating because he can be too undisciplined in the route, but we must acknowledge just how bad the situation was last year. His catchable target rate (55%) was the worst in the NFL last year among WRs who averaged more than 5 targets per game. He only managed a WR80 per-game finish in half PPR on WR47 per-game usage. Yikes. The Browns will not be good this year, but Shedeur Sanders was dead last in catchable ball rate (54%) and Dillon Gabriel was 42nd (61%) out of 46 QB qualifiers last year. Even if we have no faith in Deshaun Watson coming off a second torn achilles, his baseline is better than the worst catchable ball rate in the NFL. Long story short, Jeudy is a near lock to do more with his targets this year. I don't say that lightly. Of course, there are volume concerns for Jeudy that will limit his fantasy value. The Browns will be run heavy under HC Todd Monken, and they won't be able to maintain long drives because they aren't very talented right now. On top of that, 1st-round WR KC Concepcion has a Zay Flowers to Stefon Diggs skillset, and early 2nd-round WR Denzel Boston has the size to steal looks in the red zone. Both have had positive feedback in early camps. Still, Jeudy is a heavy favorite to play near full-time snaps. He may not hit that 20% target share (WR22) again, but his baseline projection is so much higher than his Underdog ADP of WR74, which is well after Concepcion (WR51) and Boston (WR64). He is a good value in best ball. I doubt he will be a fantasy starter in redraft.