FantasyPros Articles on A.J. Brown
From the article
This is a wonderful bounce-back spot for Brown. Chicago has the ninth-highest rate of single-high (56.1%). In 2023-2025, against single high, Brown had a 35% target-per-route run rate and 3.53 YPRR against single high. He has historically shredded single high and could do so again this week against a secondary that has allowed the most yards per target and fantasy points per opportunity to perimeter wide receivers.
STACKED’s take
Brown's elite usage and historical single-high dominance favor a bounce-back against Chicago.
Derek Brown identifies a bounce-back spot for AJ Brown in Week 7 against Chicago. Brown returned last week as New England's clear alpha with 28.1% target share, 94.3% route share, three red zone targets, one deep target, and 42.9% first-read share, but had a rough day with four drops and only three receptions for 27 yards. Chicago has the ninth-highest rate of single-high coverage (56.1%). Brown has a 29% target-per-route run rate against single high this season (1.0 YPRR, small sample variance), but historically in 2023-2025 had a 35% target-per-route run rate and 3.53 YPRR against single high. Chicago has allowed the most yards per target and fantasy points per opportunity to perimeter wide receivers, setting up a favorable matchup.
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