FantasyPros Articles on A.J. Brown
From the article
A.J. Brown is a strong buy-low candidate with WR1 usage but disappointing production. Despite commanding 46% of New England's air yards and 16 targets over the last two weeks, he's scored just 10.5 fantasy points against 28.8 expected.
STACKED’s take
Brown's 46% air yards and 28.8 expected points signal positive regression; buy before window closes.
Brown is a buy-low candidate despite missing the majority of games due to injury and leaving his hands on the IR upon return. The source acknowledges his extreme talent and the Patriots' investment in him, expecting his breakout will occur and today's price will not reflect his future value. The community consensus would move almost any WR2 to acquire Brown, as he will easily be a WR1 once he starts producing. Avery Thrasher notes Brown commands 46% of New England's air yards and 16 targets over the last two weeks but has scored just 10.5 fantasy points against 28.8 expected points. Now healthy, Brown benefits from injuries freeing up roughly 30% of receiver targets and Drake Maye's elite play (12 TDs, 2 INTs since Week 4). His proven WR1 history and positive regression trends suggest the buying window may close after Week 8 with New England favored by 7 against Miami's bad pass defense.
A.J. BrownWR · NEPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight