Yahoo Sports NFL on Jared Goff
ArticleVikings vs. Lions: Best odds, bets, and parlays
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Goff is averaging 298 yards per game, so getting 250 yards should be simple for him. If this game is low-scoring, it could come down to field goals. Goff can still hit the number if Detroit moves down the field but doesn't find the end zone. The only threat to this bet is if Detroit gets up too much, and with Minnesota's offense struggling, it might lean on the running game, which limits what Goff can do.
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Negative signalProjection
Goff averaging 298 yards; 250+ projection backed by elite blitz efficiency.
Jared Goff is averaging 298 passing yards per game and is playing at an MVP level; the source projects him to exceed 250 passing yards at -146 odds. Goff is the best quarterback in the NFL against the blitz by EPA per dropback, so Minnesota's high-blitzing defense shouldn't deter him. Even in a low-scoring game, Goff can hit 250 yards if Detroit moves down the field without scoring touchdowns. The only risk is if Detroit gets a large lead and leans on the running game.
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