Yahoo Sports NFL on Brian Thomas Jr.

ArticleNFL predictions: Will Liam Coen school Jesse Minter yet again?
Read the full article

From the article

Thomas has run a deep route on 3.3 plays per game, compared to 5.1 deep routes per game in 2024 and 5.9 in 2025. He only has 3 deep targets this season and has not caught any. Baltimore's defense ranks bottom three in completion percentage (65.1%) and EPA per attempt (0.67) allowed on downfield passes.
Captured by STACKED 45 min after posting

STACKED’s take

Positive signalMatchup

Thomas due for deep TD; Ravens' weak downfield defense creates opportunity.

Brian Thomas Jr. has run deep routes on only 3.3 plays per game this season, down from 5.1 in 2024 and 5.9 in 2025, with just 3 deep targets and zero catches on deep balls. However, Week 9 presents a favorable matchup: Baltimore's defense ranks bottom three in completion percentage (65.1%) and EPA per attempt (0.67) allowed on downfield passes, and has allowed in-breaking passes to be wide open by 5+ yards of separation at a league-worst 24.8% rate. The source predicts Thomas scores his first long touchdown of 2026, with his receiving over/under set at 12.5 yards and +550 odds to score a touchdown on FanDuel.

Brian Thomas Jr. headshotBrian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight

More on Brian Thomas Jr. and from Yahoo Sports NFL