NegativeProjectionThu, July 30, 2026Listen 26:00 – 28:01
Patrick Mahomes headshot

Mahomes' ninth-round cost reflects lost rushing upside; passing numbers insufficient for QB1 value.

Patrick MahomesQBKC

Mahomes' ADP has dropped every year for three years, falling from fifth round in 2025 to third round in 2024 to ninth round now. He suffered a torn ACL and LCL and will not see the rushing production from last year, which was critical to his fantasy value. Last year, much of his fantasy production came from rushing (he was on pace for over 500 rushing yards), not passing. His passing numbers average only 256 yards and 1.6 passing touchdowns per game. Without the rushing upside and with Kenneth Walker providing a running game, the source does not love his upside and doesn't think he'll be in the top 12 at the position.

View Patrick Mahomes 2026 fantasy football value pagePlayer profile with fantasy value, ADP, projections, news, and source-backed STACKED insights
Source transcript excerpt
Patrick Mahomes just in the fact that his ADP has dropped every year for the last three years. He had the torn ACL and LCL, not placed on the pup, not going to see the rushing production from last year. Because last year so much of his fantasy production came from the running game.
Common questions

Patrick Mahomes fantasy football FAQ

What did Fantasy Footballers say about Patrick Mahomes?
Mahomes' ADP has dropped every year for three years, falling from fifth round in 2025 to third round in 2024 to ninth round now. He suffered a torn ACL and LCL and will not see the rushing production from last year, which was critical to his fantasy value. Last year, much of his fantasy production came from rushing (he was on pace for over 500 rushing yards), not passing. His passing numbers average only 256 yards and 1.6 passing touchdowns per game. Without the rushing upside and with Kenneth Walker providing a running game, the source does not love his upside and doesn't think he'll be in the top 12 at the position.
Is this good or bad for Patrick Mahomes's fantasy football value?
STACKED tags this as a negative fantasy football signal for Patrick Mahomes (QB KC). Mahomes' ninth-round cost reflects lost rushing upside; passing numbers insufficient for QB1 value.
Where can I see Patrick Mahomes's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
Patrick Mahomes's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
Related signal

More player and source insights