Mahomes at 95 is profitable even with 10-20% regression from 20.4 PPG.
Patrick MahomesQBKC
Mrs. Flock So is much higher than consensus on Mahomes and drafted him at pick 95. Mahomes scored 20.4 PPG last season (QB4), and even with regression scenarios (10-20% decline), he remains a profitable pick at this ADP. Flock views the current pricing as overestimating regression risk given his historical consistency. She notes that if Mahomes is the same as last year or only 10% worse instead of 20% worse, he's still a profitable pick at 95.
View Patrick Mahomes 2026 fantasy football value pagePlayer profile with fantasy value, ADP, projections, news, and source-backed STACKED insightsSource transcript excerpt
Obviously y'all can tell I am much higher than consensus on Mahomes... Patrick Mahomes last season was at 20.4 fantasy points per game. Is the QB4 in points per game? Even if this regresses, even if he doesn't run the ball as much... we are pricing in so much regression for Mahomes... What if he's the same? Or what if instead of him being 20% worse, he's 10% worse for fantasy? And then at that point, it's still a profitable pick here at 95.
Common questions
Patrick Mahomes fantasy football FAQ
- What did Flock Fantasy say about Patrick Mahomes?
- Mrs. Flock So is much higher than consensus on Mahomes and drafted him at pick 95. Mahomes scored 20.4 PPG last season (QB4), and even with regression scenarios (10-20% decline), he remains a profitable pick at this ADP. Flock views the current pricing as overestimating regression risk given his historical consistency. She notes that if Mahomes is the same as last year or only 10% worse instead of 20% worse, he's still a profitable pick at 95.
- Is this good or bad for Patrick Mahomes's fantasy football value?
- STACKED tags this as a negative fantasy football signal for Patrick Mahomes (QB KC). Mahomes at 95 is profitable even with 10-20% regression from 20.4 PPG.
- Where can I see Patrick Mahomes's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
- Patrick Mahomes's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
Related signal