From the episode
Devon Achan finds himself in this bucket this year... only 3 of them outperformed ADP expectation. The average back underperformed by 2 PPR points per game... I can't pay an RB5 type price tag for Devon A-Chan this year.
STACKED’s take
Zachariason won't pay RB5 price for Achane; low team environment historically crushes early-round RB value.
JJ Zachariason is lower than market on Achane despite acknowledging upside case. Research by Brandon Gadula shows early-round RBs with team win totals of 7 or fewer have historically underperformed: only 7% exceeded ADP expectation by 4+ PPR points per game versus 20% for other cohorts, and just 29% beat ADP expectation in PPR points per game versus 46%+ for other groups. Achane has a team environment score below 75, placing him in a cohort of 14 top-10 RBs since 2014 where only 3 of 12 who played 8+ games outperformed ADP, averaging 2 PPR points per game underperformance. Zachariason concludes he cannot pay an RB5 type price tag for Achane this year given the volatility and poor team environment, despite acknowledging he could get peppered with targets in negative game scripts.
De'Von AchaneRB · MIAPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight