Jacobs' declining efficiency and legal issues argue against his RB14 ADP despite TD volume.

Jacobs' 13 rushing touchdowns last season (third in the league) will drive his draft cost, but per-carry efficiency underneath is the bigger concern: 4.0 yards per carry, down from 4.4 in 2024 and well off his 4.9 peak in 2022, with just 1.3 yards before contact per carry near the bottom of qualified backs. Scoring that frequently is difficult to sustain even with a legitimate goal-line role, and regression is the more likely outcome even if his workload holds. Green Bay's offensive line regressed in 2024 and the team lost multiple starters in free agency, so the elite blocking that fueled his 2024 efficiency is no longer a given. Jacobs also had offseason legal issues with the matter remaining open under the league's conduct policy. At age 28 with more than 1,600 career carries on his body, the profile fits accumulated wear-and-tear. The source has him at RB20 against an RB14 ADP, a fade reflecting touchdown dependency and off-field uncertainty.