Taylor's rushing yard line is well-priced but workload concerns make the over harder to trust.

Jonathan Taylor over 1,225.5 rushing yards at -110 is well-priced but carries workload and durability concerns. The Colts have signaled intent to lighten his workload early in the season and against weaker opponents to keep him fresh for bigger games. Taylor played all 17 games last season (only the second time in his career), and the line appears to account for some missed time or reduced usage. If he misses even one or two games or if the Colts reduce his touches, the path to clearing 1,225.5 becomes much tighter. Michael Pittman JR leans slightly under because the number assumes a lot has to go right from a workload and health standpoint, with insufficient value either way.