NegativeProjectionSun, July 26, 2026
Stafford's nine interceptions benefited from ~7 fewer than expected; regression likely in 2026.
Matthew StaffordQB
Stafford's 2025 MVP season benefited significantly from turnover luck that is primed for regression in 2026. According to PFF's interception modeling, he threw nearly seven fewer interceptions than expected; two came from turnover-worthy plays and 4.5 from pure good fortune on non-turnover-worthy throws. Additionally, opposing defenders dropped nine would-be interceptions. Stafford finished with nine interceptions but should have been closer to 16 when accounting for all luck factors. This regression risk could derail another MVP campaign and spoil LA's Super Bowl expectations.
View Matthew Stafford 2026 fantasy football value pagePlayer profile with fantasy value, ADP, projections, news, and source-backed STACKED insightsSource transcript excerpt
According to PFF's interception modeling, Stafford threw nearly seven fewer interceptions than expected. While Stafford finished with single-digit interceptions with nine, he really should have been closer to 16 when all said and done.
Common questions
Matthew Stafford fantasy football FAQ
- What did Turf Show Times say about Matthew Stafford?
- Stafford's 2025 MVP season benefited significantly from turnover luck that is primed for regression in 2026. According to PFF's interception modeling, he threw nearly seven fewer interceptions than expected; two came from turnover-worthy plays and 4.5 from pure good fortune on non-turnover-worthy throws. Additionally, opposing defenders dropped nine would-be interceptions. Stafford finished with nine interceptions but should have been closer to 16 when accounting for all luck factors. This regression risk could derail another MVP campaign and spoil LA's Super Bowl expectations.
- Is this good or bad for Matthew Stafford's fantasy football value?
- STACKED tags this as a negative fantasy football signal for Matthew Stafford (QB). Stafford's nine interceptions benefited from ~7 fewer than expected; regression likely in 2026.
- Where can I see Matthew Stafford's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
- Matthew Stafford's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
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