NegativeBustMon, August 3, 2026
Tagovailoa biggest faller at -3.48 ATS; now worth just 1.02 over Penix.
Tua TagovailoaQB
Tua Tagovailoa was released by Miami in March and will cost the Dolphins a league-record $99.2 million in dead money over the next two seasons. He is now with the Falcons and is the biggest faller in oddsmakers' QB spread value at -3.48 points ATS. In 2025, Tagovailoa was injured again, tossed a career-high 15 INTs (only 20 TDs), had career-low 43 rushing yards, and was 26th in QBR (37.5). He's battling Michael Penix Jr. (also coming off injury) for the starting job. Oddsmakers don't have high hopes for a turnaround. Tagovailoa averaged 0.0 EPA/play (28th), compared to Penix Jr.'s 0.02 EPA/play (24th). It's a precipitous drop for the former No. 5 overall pick, who was worth 4.48 points ATS in 2024 and 4.50 points ATS in 2025, now just 1.02 points more than Penix Jr. One oddsmaker observed "I think Tua is going to end up the starter there personally, but it's hard to differentiate between those two QBs."
Captured by STACKED 4 hr after posting
View Tua Tagovailoa 2026 fantasy football value pagePlayer profile with fantasy value, ADP, projections, news, and source-backed STACKED insightsSource transcript excerpt
Released by Miami back in March, Tagovailoa will cost the Dolphins a league-record $99.2 million in dead money against the salary cap over the next two seasons. Tua was injured again last season, but when was on the field she also tossed a career-high 15 INTs (and only 20 TDs) and had a career-low 43 rushing yards. He also was 26th in QBR (37.5). It's a precipitous drop for the former No. 5 overall pick, who was worth 4.48 points ATS in 2024 and 4.50 points ATS in 2025. Now, he's last in the league in the eyes of oddsmakers, worth just 1.02 points more than Penix Jr.
Common questions
Tua Tagovailoa fantasy football FAQ
- What did Yahoo Sports NFL say about Tua Tagovailoa?
- Tua Tagovailoa was released by Miami in March and will cost the Dolphins a league-record $99.2 million in dead money over the next two seasons. He is now with the Falcons and is the biggest faller in oddsmakers' QB spread value at -3.48 points ATS. In 2025, Tagovailoa was injured again, tossed a career-high 15 INTs (only 20 TDs), had career-low 43 rushing yards, and was 26th in QBR (37.5). He's battling Michael Penix Jr. (also coming off injury) for the starting job. Oddsmakers don't have high hopes for a turnaround. Tagovailoa averaged 0.0 EPA/play (28th), compared to Penix Jr.'s 0.02 EPA/play (24th). It's a precipitous drop for the former No. 5 overall pick, who was worth 4.48 points ATS in 2024 and 4.50 points ATS in 2025, now just 1.02 points more than Penix Jr. One oddsmaker observed "I think Tua is going to end up the starter there personally, but it's hard to differentiate between those two QBs."
- Is this good or bad for Tua Tagovailoa's fantasy football value?
- STACKED tags this as a negative fantasy football signal for Tua Tagovailoa (QB). Tagovailoa biggest faller at -3.48 ATS; now worth just 1.02 over Penix.
- Where can I see Tua Tagovailoa's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
- Tua Tagovailoa's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
Related signal