FantasyPros Articles on Brian Thomas Jr.
From the article
Brian Thomas Jr. – 2024's WR4, a former first-round pick who is just 24 years old, is available at a WR31 cost... Thomas is priced around WRs we are hoping to see a breakout from (Ex., Odunze, Watson, Tate, Harrison Jr.), despite having already broken out himself.
STACKED’s take
BTJ WR31 despite WR4 finish; injury concerns overblown, priced as breakout candidate.
Charlie Sisian highlights Brian Thomas Jr. as available at a WR31 cost despite being 2024's WR4 and a former first-round pick at just 24 years old. Sisian notes that BTJ and Parker Washington are being drafted behind Luther Burden and Rome Odunze despite the Jaguars being projected for more passing yards by Vegas and the Bears' WRs having the threat of Colston Loveland—a market inefficiency. Over the 2025 season, BTJ accumulated wrist, shoulder, and ankle injuries but recently claimed "it doesn't hurt to run" anymore. The wrist injury may explain his second-ranked drop rate among WRs with 60+ targets (10.99% in 2025 vs. 5.26% in 2024), though drop rate doesn't correlate year to year. Thomas is priced around WRs expected to break out (Odunze, Watson, Tate, Harrison Jr.) despite having already broken out himself. Sisian comfortably takes him over 33-year-old Davante Adams, who will likely experience TD regression after the Rams threw nearly as many scores in 2025 (46) as 2024 and 2023 combined (48).
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