Yahoo Fantasy Football on Malik Nabers
ArticleFantasy Football: Malik Nabers will look to bounce back after ACL tear — here's...
From the article
Of those 14 WRs, the players' fantasy PPG on average dipped in the following season by 20%. Nabers, however, is not your average receiver... he is a supreme athlete and only 23 years old... He also benefits from it being an early season ACL tear... setting him up closer to a WR1 fantasy year.
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STACKED’s take
NeutralProjection
Historical WR ACL returns show 20% PPG decline; Nabers' youth and early tear timing support WR1 upside.
Historical data on 14 notable WRs returning from serious knee injuries over the last decade shows 12 of 14 decreased in fantasy PPG, with an average dip of 20%. If Nabers declines by 20%, he would fall from his rookie WR8 in half-PPR to a mid-level WR2. However, the source notes Nabers is not your average receiver—he is a supreme athlete at only 23 years old, and the early-season timing of his tear (Week 4) provides more recovery time than typical mid-season injuries, positioning him closer to a WR1 fantasy year if fully healthy.
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