NFL - The Athletic on A.J. Brown
From the article
I wouldn't bet on Brown's next four years being better than his past four years, but the next two years of top-of-the-league production is a reasonable expectation.
STACKED’s take
Elite two-year outlook in New England; 1,000-yard streak ended but efficiency metrics remain strong.
Brown, 29, was traded to the Patriots and the source expects reasonable top-of-the-league production over the next two years, though does not expect his next four years to exceed his past four years. During his four seasons with the Eagles, he topped 1,000 yards every year—the most 1,000-yard seasons in Eagles history—and only four wide receivers in the NFL totaled more yards than Brown during this stretch. His 2025 season included 78 catches for 1,003 yards while finishing No. 16 in the NFL in yards per route run. Brown maintained a critical presence on third downs with the sixth-most receptions and third-most yards on third downs over his four Eagles seasons. Against man coverage, he averaged 9.2 yards per target and an EPA/target of 0.44, demonstrating elite efficiency in favorable matchups; against zone, 8 yards per target and 0.17 EPA/target. His separation metrics declined at midseason in 2025 but recovered later in the year, finishing with 2.2 yards of separation per target—greater than 2024 (2.1 yards) but down from prior levels. The decline in EPA/dropback when he played (0.03 in 2025 vs. 0.06 in 2024, 0.18 in 2023, 0.08 in 2022) reflected team unhappiness and offensive scheme issues rather than a talent drop-off.
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