Fantasy Life Articles on Matthew Stafford

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Last season, Stafford had a league-high 7.7% TD rate. Over the past 15 seasons, every QB who had a TD rate of at least 7% saw that number drop the following season—with an average drop of 2.2%.
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Stafford's league-high 7.7% TD rate faces historical regression pressure.

Matthew Berry projects touchdown regression for Matthew Stafford after his league-leading 7.7% TD rate in 2025. Berry cites historical data showing that every QB with a TD rate of at least 7% over the past 15 seasons saw that rate drop the following season, with an average decline of 2.2%. This regression analysis suggests Stafford's fantasy scoring will decline in 2026 despite his strong prior-year performance.

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