Acme Packing Company on Josh Jacobs

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running back is a young man's game, Jacobs is expensive for a running back, and Jacobs turned 28 in February. He also uses a punishing running style and he has exceeded 200 carries in every season of his career (and 300 twice). He is not a great bet to age gracefully.
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STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Jacobs' declining efficiency, age, punishing style, and injury history suggest he's not aging gracefully.

Jacobs led the league in rushing yards in 2022 with 1653 yards and ranked 11th in yards over expected per attempt (0.47) on a robust 340 carries. He rebounded in 2024 with 0.73 yards over expected per attempt (tied 10th) after missing four games in 2023 due to injury. However, in 2025 he fell to -0.03 yards over expected, suggesting declining efficiency. The source argues Jacobs is not a great bet to age gracefully: he is 28 years old, uses a punishing running style, has exceeded 200 carries every season and 300 carries twice, and the Packers' offensive line has declined as a run-blocking unit. Combined with recent injuries and off-field issues, the source suggests Jacobs' production trajectory is concerning.

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