Yahoo Fantasy Football on David Montgomery
From the article
I'm sure gamers who are bullish on a Montgomery bounce-back will look to his new lead-back status as proof. However, even having to split time with Jahmyr Gibbs as part of a high-powered offense had its perks... The Lions operated more in their opponent's red zone and were better at executing plays in that area of the field.
STACKED’s take
Montgomery's Houston lead-back role is inferior to his Detroit split role due to QB and offense.
The source identifies Montgomery as the Round 6 worst pick to avoid in 2026. While bullish drafters point to his new lead-back status in Houston, the source argues his situation deteriorated significantly from Detroit. In Detroit (2025), Montgomery had 11.2 red-zone plays per game and 68.8% red-zone conversion rate on a 27.8 PPG offense. In Houston (2025), he had 9.8 red-zone plays per game and 49.3% red-zone conversion rate on a 22.4 PPG offense. QB comparison: Jared Goff (0.17 EPA per dropback, 48.0% success rate, +1.78% CPOE) significantly outperformed C.J. Stroud (0.07 EPA per dropback, 44.7% success rate, +0.36% CPOE), despite both facing similar pressure rates (36-37%). The Lions' superior offensive environment made Montgomery's role more valuable than his Houston lead-back status.
David MontgomeryRB · HOUPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight