Yahoo Fantasy Football on David Montgomery

ArticleFantasy Football: The worst pick you can make in Rounds 5-8 of drafts in 2026
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Red-zone Plays per Game: 11.2 (Detroit – 2025), 9.8 (Houston – 2025); Red-zone Conversion Rate: 68.8%, 49.3%; Offensive Points per Game: 27.8, 22.4
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STACKED’s take

Negative signalBust

Montgomery's Houston role less valuable than Detroit split despite lead-back status.

Montgomery's move to Houston as a lead-back is less attractive than his prior role in Detroit despite the perceived upgrade. Detroit operated 11.2 red-zone plays per game with a 68.8% conversion rate and 27.8 offensive points per game, compared to Houston's 9.8 red-zone plays, 49.3% conversion rate, and 22.4 offensive points per game. Jared Goff (0.17 EPA per dropback, 48.0% passing success rate, +1.78% CPOE) significantly outperformed C.J. Stroud (0.07 EPA per dropback, 44.7% passing success rate, +0.36% CPOE) despite similar pressure rates (36-37%). The loss of Jayden Higgins further strains Houston's passing game, and the Texans' backfield may feature a tighter split than anticipated, making Montgomery's situation less favorable than his previous environment.

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