Buffalo Rumblings on Josh Allen

ArticleJosh Allen is not a reckless, YOLO, turnover-prone quarterback
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Allen's 5.1% turnover-worthy play rate (a self-explanatory advanced metric) was the third-highest out of 39 qualifiers... The next season, when he did show clear signs of improvement, Allen's 4.3% TWP rate was the ninth-highest out of 39 qualifying quarterbacks... Allen was the YOLO, sugar-high quarterback in his first two seasons. Since then, hardly. And he's gradually improved how well he protects the football in each of the last four seasons.
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Allen's turnover rate has improved steadily; 2025 TWP ranks 7th among 43 QBs.

Allen's turnover-worthy play rate has improved significantly over his career; his 2.4% TWP rate in 2025 ranks 7th out of 43 qualifying quarterbacks, continuing a four-season trend of gradual improvement from his 4.0% rate in 2022. Despite the narrative that he is reckless, the data shows he has consistently ranked in the middle or better among all quarterbacks in turnover-worthy plays since 2021, contradicting the perception that he is a YOLO quarterback who puts the ball in danger every game.

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