From the episode

We still need to price in some fragility with all these moving parts. The crazy part to me is that we already have a sample of this.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalValue

Achane is overvalued due to a poor team environment and quarterback uncertainty.

Rich Rebar and JJ Zachariason are lower on Achane than the market due to a poor team environment score and the loss of Tua Tagovailoa. Historically, top-tier running backs on teams with poor win projections struggle to return value. With Malik Willis at quarterback, the Dolphins' passing volume and efficiency are expected to decline, which hurts Achane's ceiling. Data shows that running backs drafted in the top 10 with low team environment scores rarely outperform ADP expectations.

De'Von Achane headshotDe'Von AchaneRB · MIAPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight