NBC Sports Rotoworld on Kalif Raymond

ArticleGeorge Pickens, Adonai Mitchell headline Week 3's Regression Files
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His 27 percent target per route run rate leads the Bears by a wide margin. And most importantly, he has a 98 percent bullseye rate.
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STACKED’s take

NeutralProjection

Raymond's 98% bullseye rate is unsustainable; expect normalization as Burden's role grows.

Raymond leads the Chicago offense with 124 receiving yards through two weeks while running just 65 percent of routes, posting a 27 percent target per route run rate that leads the Bears and a 98 percent bullseye rate. His 5.1 aDOT reflects short-area pass catching, which naturally inflates air yards conversion rates, but 98 percent is ridiculous. When Raymond's bullseye rate slips and Luther Burden's climbs from 54 percent, the Chicago offense should look more predictable, contingent on Caleb Williams returning from his hamstring issue.

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