Yahoo Sports NFL on Justin Herbert
ArticleJustin Herbert has become prime example of under-pressure play not being predic...
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In that legendary 2020 campaign, Herbert had the league's highest passer rating under pressure at 99.4 (among qualifiers). Since then, he's done a 180 against pressure... So for as much as his drastic dip from his rookie season in this key area originally felt like a prime example of how under-pressure play isn't sticky year-to-year, we've now seen him struggle in this area five-consecutive seasons.
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Herbert's under-pressure rating has declined for five straight seasons from 99.4 in 2020.
Herbert's under-pressure passer rating has collapsed from his 2020 rookie season high of 99.4 to a five-year downward trend: 77.9 (2021, 21st), 70.3 (2022, 28th), 62.6 (2023, 40th), 72.1 (2024, 29th), 74.2 (2025, 27th), and 61.8 through two games this season (19th). The source notes this sustained struggle contradicts the initial narrative that under-pressure play isn't predictive; Herbert has now demonstrated consistent difficulty performing when pressured across five consecutive seasons, suggesting a structural weakness rather than annual variance.
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