PodcastFrom Fantasy Football Today
FFT Express - 3 OVERRATED Players to AVOID in Your Draft! (07/25 Fantasy Football Podcast)
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
15 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 25, 2026
Published
Sat, July 25, 2026
9
Player insights
5
Players mentioned
Topics
TreVeyon HendersonRhamondre StevensonBryce YoungChuba HubbardTony Pollard
Player analysis
Player insights
Bryce Young
NegativeRole10:30
Young's ability to operate a rhythmic passing game and consistently deliver the ball to receivers like Ted Arola McMillan is a major concern based on film review, limiting the upside of his pass catchers.
Insight pageChuba Hubbard
NegativeValue9:55
The source was taking Hubbard ahead of Trevion Henderson as a veteran safe play, but reconsidered this approach in favor of prioritizing upside over floor.
Insight pageRhamondre Stevenson
PositiveValue5:49
The source ranks Ramondre Stevenson ahead of Trevion Henderson in fantasy football rankings despite lower fantasy point totals, citing superior efficiency metrics: third most explosive runs last year, strong yards after contact per carry, elite force miss tackle rate, and significantly fewer career pass protection pressures than Henderson's entire rookie season. The source emphasizes Stevenson's playoff performance and overall player quality, noting he's likely to remain on the field on third down and is underrated relative to draft expectations.
Insight pageNegativeRole8:15
Stevenson cannot replicate Henderson's production in the three games Henderson missed last year, establishing Henderson as the clear upside play if Stevenson is unavailable.
Insight pageTony Pollard
NegativeValue9:55
The source was taking Pollard and Chuba Hubbard ahead of Trevion Henderson as veteran safe plays, but reconsidered this approach in favor of prioritizing upside over floor.
Insight pageTreVeyon Henderson
NegativeValue5:21
Trevion Henderson is overvalued at RB21 and 50th overall ADP despite disappointing rookie production. The source cites Ramondre Stevenson's elite rushing efficiency last year—third most explosive runs, strong yards after contact per carry, and low forced miss tackle rate—as evidence that Henderson's backfield mate remains the preferred option and will continue to limit Henderson's opportunity in year two.
Insight pageNegativeBust5:49
The source identifies Trevion Henderson as an overrated player to avoid, arguing that despite superior explosiveness and talent, he is being overvalued in draft rankings. While Henderson would produce more fantasy points with equal touches due to his explosive ability, the source notes he doesn't do everything coaches want, limiting his field time. The source emphasizes that the narrative of 'it's Trevion Henderson's backfield now' is overblown, with Ramondre Stevenson likely to remain the primary back.
Insight pagePositiveProjection8:15
If Ramondre Stevenson misses time, Henderson projects as a top-10 or top-5 player; however, outside of five exceptional games last year, he averaged under 7 PPR points per game, indicating significant floor concerns despite elite ceiling upside.
Insight pagePositiveRole9:00
Henderson has improved in pass protection and route running in his second year; he's learning to accept shorter runs rather than always seeking explosive plays and is developing as an NFL player, which are key factors in securing a second contract versus bouncing around the league.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
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2:01Taking a look at some overrated players here on Fantasy Football Today Express.
2:05Welcome to the show. I'm Jamie Eisenberg. That's Dan Schneier.
2:08We're talking about some overrated players going into the early part of the draft process for 2026.
2:13Dan's got three players you can tell us about and maybe some guys you should avoid on draft day.
2:18All right, Dan, let's start with the first guy, Jackson Dart, your Giants quarterback.
2:22He's overrated for you. No one saw this coming.
2:25And when I did my rankings and my tears two nights ago, I really put a lot of time into four and a half hours.
2:32I love the process every minute of it. I couldn't find myself ranking Jackson Dart any higher than QB 17, which is
2:38crazy for most to hear as a borderline QB one.
2:41But I think the issues are related to pretty much where the Giants are moving as an offense.
2:46Now, the news of Malik neighbors not landing on Pup definitely helps Darts value.
2:50But what the Giants want to do under Matt Nagy is become a physical team that's going to be run first and slower paced.
2:57And none of these things are good for Jackson Dart.
3:00But worse, I think at least, is that he scored four of his nine touchdowns inside the three yard line last year
3:06as a four of his nine rushing touchdowns. Those are going away.
3:10They're not going to run him anymore. That was a Brian Dable thing.
3:13And if you look at Matt Nagy's history, he doesn't run his quarterbacks in the red zone around the goal line.
3:19So that's a big issue for me in addition to the pace and also question marks surrounding what Maggie Matt Nagy is
3:25as a coordinator and what he means for Darts fantasy value.
3:29I think it's an interesting debate about Dart because what we saw last year was really nothing with Malik neighbors.
3:34Neighbors got hurt in the first game. Dart started in week four.
3:38Obviously, no Isaiah Likely, no Darnell Mooney. But like you said, the coaching change is significantly different.
3:43And for the majority of the season, he didn't have Cam Scadaboo either.
3:46So there are a lot of different personnel situations going on here for the Giants.
3:50And I think the thing that hopefully will separate Dart, your touchdown potential here is scary.
3:55But can he still be one of the better running quarterbacks?
3:58I think if he does, he'll be OK. If he doesn't, then we are going to be in a little bit of a problem with Dart.
4:06And I hope we're not looking at one of these guys.
4:09We've seen this many a time. Just the recent example.
4:12CJ Stroud, great rookie season, terrible sophomore campaign. He's never really recovered.
4:15Jay and Daniels, I think the profile makes sense.
4:18Great rookie season, struggle with injuries year two. If we do see Dart running a lot, then we could have an injury concern for him.
4:25And as we know, the concussions were a problem for him even during his fantastic rookie campaign.
4:29So he's going to be one of the more fascinating quarterbacks we look at, especially when we talk about his average draft
4:36position and comparing him to some of those guys with that, I guess, mid-round picks, depending on how your league drafts quarterback.
4:42So I'm going to guess you're going to take Trevor Lawrence ahead of him, Justin Herbert ahead of him, Caleb Williams is going to go ahead of him.
4:50Brock Purdy, you're taking ahead of him? Yeah, these are the ones who are locked into that tier.
4:55But I'm even going a tier lower than that, Jamie.
4:58I'm taking guys like Kyler Murray ahead of him.
5:00Dak Prescott ahead of him. Bo Nix ahead of him.
5:03Patrick Mahomes ahead of him. So he's way down there for me.
5:07Yeah, you're probably going to be one of the lowest in the industry on Jackson Dart.
5:11And again, you have a lot of reasons to want Dart to be a good fantasy quarterback.
5:16So we'll see how that all plays itself out.
5:19Let's go to the next guy that you have.
5:21And that's Trevion Henderson, who is just kind of crazy how I think we're all hoping that he's going to take a step forward in his sophomore season.
5:29But as we saw last year, that was not the case in his rookie campaign when he shared with Ramondre Stevenson.
5:35He's going about 50th overall right now, RB21, based on his average draft position on fantasy pros.
5:40That's just too soon for you. Way too soon for me.
5:43Yeah, I think what really sold it for me, Jamie, was digging into all the numbers and seeing just how successful Ramondre
5:49Stevenson was as a runner last year. I don't think people recognize he was the third most in explosive runs last year,
5:56which I think you hear the names. It's like Jamar Gibbs, Devon HN, Ramondre Stevenson.
6:00You look at the yards after contact per carry.
6:03You look at the force miss tackle rate. They're all really good.
6:06From an efficiency standpoint, he was a much better runner than Trevion Henderson was.
6:10Now, add that to the fact that Ramondre Stevenson gave up fewer pressures in his career as a pass protector than Henderson
6:16gave up all of his rookie season. That's an insane stat Jacob Gibbs pulled out.
6:20It's like, okay, so this guy's not going to probably come off the field on third down.
6:25If any, if the playoffs were any indication of it, they trust him more overall to a major extent.
6:31And I just think Ramondre is a better player right now than Trevion Henderson.
6:35I'm not even sure he won't be a better player throughout their whole entire season.
6:39He's a very underrated back. So for me, my most egregious rank, I always call it because I was talking about it with Jacob.
6:46I have Ramondre ahead of Trevion Henderson in my fantasy football rankings.
6:49And that one I'm toying with because Ramondre really hasn't been able to score that many fantasy points, but he's been hyper
6:55efficient and he really found something down the stretch run of the season.
6:59And I think we're all just kind of forgetting that and just being like, all right, well, it's Trevion Henderson's backfield now.
7:05And I don't really see why. Let's take a quick break and we'll talk more about Trevion Henderson and Dan's third overrated
7:12player, which is Ted Aroa and McMillan. So Dan's just hating on all the sophomores.
7:16We'll come back next year on Fantasy Football Tech Express.
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8:07It's where America shops for furniture. All right, so Dan, I agree with you about Trevion Henderson, except for one thing that you said.
8:14Yeah. But you're not wrong, is that he's the better player.
8:17I think if they both had the same amount of touches, we would have a better fantasy player.
8:22Let's put it that way. Both had the same amount of touches.
8:26Trevion Henderson would do a lot more with those touches because he's a much more explosive player.
8:31But we always fall into this trap when we see, oh my God, here is this unbelievable talent.
8:36But he doesn't do everything that the coaches want.
8:38And that keeps him from being on the field.
8:41He was clearly amazing in the three games that Ramondre Stevenson missed last year.
8:45And Stevenson can't do that. And then he had the two other games where he was exceptional.
8:50One was against Buffalo. I forget what the other one was.
8:53But he had basically five good games last year.
8:55You take away those five games, which I always had to do because you're taking away players' top-end production.
9:01But you take away those five games, Dan, he averaged under seven PPR points per game to Trevion Henderson.
9:06So the hope would be is that if Stevenson misses any time, you're talking about a top 10, maybe top five player in Trevion Henderson.
9:13Because I struggle with the same thing. And then you're looking at, okay, does he take a step forward in his sophomore season?
9:20Because he's done a better job in pass protection.
9:23He's done a better job in learning that you can take the three-yard run and not always have to look for the 30-yard run.
9:29Is he doing a better job in his route running?
9:32He's doing a better job just being a veteran or being an NFL player and getting closer to being a veteran as opposed to just an inexperienced rookie.
9:40And those are the things that take a player from getting that second contract to struggling and then bouncing around the league, especially at that position.
9:48So it's going to be fascinating to see how he sort of performs.
9:51Up until this week, I was – I'm going to take the two veteran guys.
9:56I'm not with you. I would still take Henderson over Stevenson.
9:59Most of them. But I was taking the two veteran guys that nobody wants and Tony Pollard and Chuba Hubbard ahead of Trevion Henderson.
10:05And then I'm thinking to myself, that's not the way I would want to draft because I'd rather take the upside play versus the safe play.
10:13But again, floor versus ceiling, I don't think anybody's ceiling outside of the first couple of round running backs match what Henderson can do.
10:20But the floor is almost nonexistent. So it makes a lot of sense to be concerned about him.
10:25And I do agree. He is overrated. Let's talk about Ted Arola and McMillan and why he's overrated for you.
10:31It's a tough one for me because from a pure talent standpoint, his actual NFL player, I think he's underrated based on where he's going in fantasy drafts.
10:39But that's not how this thing works. And that's not how I've ever drafted.
10:42And that's not how I've ever planned out my fantasy football teams or my analysis and advice to others listening.
10:48And the issue for me is I haven't seen from the film we've done and on Beyond the Box where we've watched
10:54a lot of Panther film, too much Panther film, I would say.
10:58And from the analytics and the stats that says that Bryce Young can operate a rhythmic passing game.
11:03And worse than that, I don't know if he can operate in the ways that he needs to to get Ted Arola
11:09and McMillan the ball on a consistent basis. So it's a Bryce Young issue for me.
11:14It's also a Carolina Panthers tackle issue for me.
11:16They're going to be without their two starting offensive tackles most likely for the first whoever knows how many weeks of the season, at least four.
11:24Now they got some guys Monroe Freeling in the draft first round pick and they signed Rashid Walker from Green Bay.
11:30They have some contingency plans, but it's not the first plan.
11:33So if they have issues with the offensive line, especially a tackle to start the season with all quarterback, I already have
11:39major concerns about a really difficult schedule. When you look into it, their past defenses, they have one of the most.
11:45If you look at just any of those strength of schedule metrics, I'll shout out Justin Boone, who does a great job at Yahoo Sports.
11:52They're 28th there. Sharp football, their 30th. Just horrible schedule for quarterbacks and for passing game.
11:57It all just adds up to me like we're looking at a great talent who's not in a situation that can really accentuate that talent.
12:04And I'm okay drafting that, but for me, it's closer to the wide receiver back end wide receiver two borderline wide receiver
12:10three range than the mid, you know, back end wide receiver one early wide receiver two range he's going in.
12:16Yeah, we're on the same page with this one.
12:18I think the positive recently is the report that he may play more in the slot.
12:23So that'll hopefully give him some easy targets because we know Bryce Young, that's where he struggles is, you know, throwing on
12:29the boundary and all those things that a smaller quarterback, especially the way that he's performed has done.
12:34But we did on, I think it was Wednesday's episode on fantasy football today, stats that matter.
12:39And this one stood out to me. The last five games of the season, including the one playoff game that the Panthers
12:45played against the Rams, Jalen Coker and Terrell McMillan almost identical in terms of targets per game, which is alarming in itself.
12:52So 6.2 targets per game for Terrell McMillan, 6.0 targets per game for Coker.
12:56Those five games, Coker averaged 14.1 PPR points per game during those five games.
13:00Terrell McMillan, eight, 9.8. So he was outplayed by another player on his team over a good enough stretch that I think it does matter.
13:07And then you take into account Jalen Coker missed the first half of the season, didn't come back to the middle of the year.
13:14So you get that ramp up period. And we know that a lot of people love Jalen Coker.
13:19The value for Jalen Coker is fantastic. I'm not saying you should be taking Jalen Coker ahead of Terrell McMillan.
13:24That's not the conversation. But I do think when you start to put McMillan up against those other receivers in the group
13:31that you're talking about of Luther Burden and Jalen Waddell and DJ Moore and Mike Evans and all these other guys, like
13:37you can make stronger arguments for why those guys could be better.
13:40Now, you do like the fact that McMillan had a thousand yard rookie campaign.
13:44That's usually a good baseline of what these guys can do moving forward.
13:48But it just feels like his offensive environment. I said this a lot.
13:52I feel like what we got from the last year, you're hoping just to replicate as opposed to expecting a lot more.
13:58And I think a lot of people are expecting a lot more.
14:01So I just don't think that Bryce Young and Dave Canales and the place that he plays on top of the fact
14:08that the offensive line, which I thought was going to be a huge strength, now could be a little bit of a
14:14weakness, at least in the early part of the season.
14:17So if you really want Terrell McMillan, see if he gets off to a slow start because of the offensive line woes.
14:23And then maybe you trade for him in the second half when we get that hopefully stretch run where he's playing a
14:29little bit better into the latter part of the second half of his sophomore campaign.
14:34All right. Great job, Dan. These are three overrated players by Dan Schneier.
14:37Just in case you need the review, it's Jackson Dart.
14:40It's Trevion Henderson. It's Terrell McMillan. Hopefully you like some other sophomore players.
14:44You can find out more from Dan on Beyond the Box.
14:47Check that out wherever podcasts are available. And obviously, make sure you stay tuned to Fantasy Football Today and Fantasy Football Today Express.
14:53For Dan Schneier, I'm Jamie Eisenberg. Thanks for watching.
14:56Thanks for listening. Beyond Podcasts. Beyond Podcasts.
