
FFT Express - Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings: Best Draft Values by ADP: Love, Tate, Lemon & More! (07/28 Fantasy Football Podcast)
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
Player insights
AJ Dillon
AJ Dillon, a first-round running back investment, produced only RB15 per game as a rookie, exemplifying poor rookie production from top-10 invested backs; Aj Brown notes Dillon was overvalued in draft expectations.
Insight pageAntonio Williams
Antonio Williams is a rookie in Washington that Aj Brown is curious about and wants to see what he does in the upcoming season.
Insight pageAj Brown expresses curiosity about Antonio Williams' role and opportunity in Washington; flagged as a player to monitor for potential fantasy relevance.
Insight pageBlake Corum
Corum received positive reviews based on his workouts and Sean McVay's comments, suggesting he could limit Kyron Williams' workload in a two-headed backfield rather than a three-man committee.
Insight pageChris Bell
Aj Brown notes Chris Bell is returning from a torn ACL but flags opportunities available in the Dolphins offense among three rookie wide receivers.
Insight pageChris Olave
Blood clot situation creates opportunity for Jordan Tyson in Saints offense.
Insight pageChristian McCaffrey
Christian McCaffrey, a first-round running back investment, produced only RB14 per game as a rookie despite 80 catches in 16 games; Aj Brown notes McCaffrey was expected to be more of a specialist than a full-time workhorse and was sharing carries with Jonathan Stewart, making him one of the worst rookie RB examples from top-10 investments.
Insight pageMcCaffrey was drafted around RB 14 or lower in rookie rankings because expectations were set for a specialist role rather than a full-time workhorse; he was sharing carries with Jon Stewart, which limited his early-season workload and production ceiling relative to draft cost.
Insight pageDe'Zhaun Stribling
Aj Brown describes Deshaun Stribbling as fascinating given Christian Kirk's injury status, Mike Evans' age (32), and Ricky Pierce's health concerns; Stribbling received positive buzz and is flagged as a player to monitor for increased opportunity in Tampa Bay.
Insight pageDenzel Boston
Denzel Boston has received more publicity than Casey Concepcion, a first-round pick in Cleveland, but both rookies warrant attention as they will impact Harold Fannin's role negatively.
Insight pageElijah Sarratt
Aj Brown identifies Elijah Surratt as the more notable of Baltimore's two rookie receivers to monitor, with attention to how the Ravens' wide receiver room develops.
Insight pageEzekiel Elliott
Ezekiel Elliott, a first-round running back investment, produced top-three per-game finishes in both PPR and non-PPR as a rookie, exemplifying elite rookie production from top-10 invested backs.
Insight pageHarold Fannin
Harold Fannin's role will be negatively impacted by the arrival of rookie receivers Denzel Boston and Casey Concepcion in Cleveland.
Insight pageJadarian Price
Price has an easy path to finish as a great (not just good) running back if he receives over 400 total touches; Ken Walker finished RB 28 per game in full PPR last year at a similar ADP, so Price hitting that floor would justify his current draft cost, with significant upside if he dominates the workload.
Insight pagePrice's early-season workload is a concern because George Halani and Emmanuel Wilson will help fill the gap left by Zach Charbonnet's absence, creating a three-way split; when Charbonnet returns from his significant divisional-round playoff injury, he will take touches away from Price regardless of his recovery status, and Mike McDonald loves Charbonnet, so the backfield could become a two-headed committee under new running backs coordinator (formerly of San Francisco).
Insight pageJalen Hurts
Getting knocked too much in narrative; will be better throwing over the middle than previous narrative suggests; this is where Makai Lemon's opportunity lies in Philadelphia offense.
Insight pageJaylen Waddle
Waddle is grouped among elite 2021+ draft class receivers (JSN, Dwayne Eskridge, Jamar Chase, DeVante Smith); three of the five are studs, and Waddle might be as well, placing him in excellent company for rookie receiver production.
Insight pageJeremiyah Love
Most exciting rookie overall and will go first among rookies in ADP, but speaker notes that high ADP does not necessarily correlate with being most excited to draft at current cost.
Insight pageAj Brown expresses concern about Nathaniel Hackett's comments and Cardinals backfield depth: Tyler Algier has received first-team reps, James Connor's role was talked up, and Love could face a three-back committee on a bad team; however, Connor's injury history (north of 30 games missed) and Algier's specific short-yardage/goal-line role suggest Love has a path to special talent status.
Insight pageAj Brown ranks Kyron Williams ahead of Love but acknowledges the ranking is a close call; if Love hits, he could hit at a higher level than Williams, making Love the better upside play despite Williams' current ranking advantage.
Insight pageLove's ADP varies significantly across platforms: CBS 30th, NFC half-PPR 28th, but Fantasy Pros 18th overall—a wild discrepancy suggesting he is overvalued at 18th overall per Aj Brown's assessment.
Insight pageJordyn Tyson
Biggest wildcard of rookie receivers; benefits from Chris Olave blood clot situation creating opportunity; Tyler Shuck in year two in Kellen Moore offense should elevate passing game; no second receiver of significance after Rashid Shaheed trade; going at six-seven turn in ADP.
Insight pageKevin Coleman
Aj Brown identifies Kevin Coleman as a fifth-round pick among three rookie wide receivers in Miami's offense with potential opportunities available.
Insight pageKyren Williams
Aj Brown currently ranks Kyron Williams ahead of Jeremiah Love, but acknowledges Blake Corum's positive workout reviews and Sean McVay's comments could create a two-headed backfield that dings Williams' workload; the ranking is a close call that Brown keeps reconsidering.
Insight pageLeonard Fournette
Leonard Fournette, a first-round running back investment, produced RB8 per game in PPR and RB5 per game in non-PPR as a rookie, exemplifying strong rookie production from top-10 invested backs.
Insight pageMakai Lemon
Could step into 120 targets with AJ Brown no longer in Philadelphia; going at seven-eight turn in ADP; speaker's favorite pick in rookie class; compared to Amon-Ra St. Brown; averaged more than three yards per route run versus both man and zone coverage, joining elite company of JSN, Jalen Waddle, Dwayne Eskridge, Jamar Chase, and Devante Smith since 2021; has easy path to success at reduced cost relative to top receivers.
Insight pageLemon, 5'11", 192 pounds, had 16 catches of 20+ air yards last year, third most in the nation; three times as many deep ball catches as Jordan Tyson, indicating significant downfield usage despite slot receiver perception.
Insight pageOmar Cooper Jr.
Aj Brown identifies Omar Cooper as a second-round wide receiver pick for the Jets with a potentially interesting role in the offense.
Insight pageRashid Shaheed
Traded away from Saints, eliminating second receiver of significance and creating opportunity for Jordan Tyson.
Insight pageSaquon Barkley
Saquon Barkley, a first-round running back investment, produced RB2 per game as a rookie, exemplifying elite rookie production from top-10 invested backs.
Insight pageTodd Gurley
Todd Gurley, a first-round running back investment, produced RB9 per game in PPR or RB8 per game in non-PPR as a rookie, exemplifying strong rookie production from top-10 invested backs.
Insight pageZach Charbonnet
Charbonnet is coming off a significant injury suffered in the divisional round of the playoffs; his return will reduce Jadarian Price's workload, and the impact is not about Charbonnet's own production but about the touches he will steal from Price.
Insight pageZachariah Branch
Zachariah Branch in Atlanta has received some positive buzz as a rookie and is a player to keep an eye on.
Insight pageAj Brown notes positive buzz surrounding Zachariah Branch in Atlanta; identified as a player to keep an eye on for potential breakout opportunity.
Insight page

