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Fantasy Football Today fantasy football takes on Caleb Williams
Every source-backed podcast insight STACKED has extracted from Fantasy Football Today about Caleb Williams.
28
Insights
17
Positive
8
Negative
Insight ledger
All Fantasy Football Today insights about Caleb Williams
PositiveValueSep 3, 2026
The source considers Caleb Williams part of a tier (alongside Justin Herbert, Dak Prescott, and Trevor Lawrence) that represents a significant value if drafted in round nine.PositiveProjectionSep 3, 2026
Caleb Williams is expected to improve in his second year, with the source noting his playmaking ability can overcome lower completion percentages. His efficiency is expected to rise, benefiting his pass-catchers.NegativeValueSep 2, 2026
The source identifies Caleb Williams as part of a large group of quarterbacks available in the middle rounds, ranging from Joe Burrow through Williams, where drafters often face a decision on whether to reach or wait.PositiveValueAug 29, 2026
Williams is positioned as a mid-tier quarterback available at significant discount in auctions; the source advises letting the board fall and targeting quarterbacks like Dak, Lawrence, and Caleb much cheaper than expected, especially if top-tier options (Josh Allen) are nominated early and drive up prices.NegativeValueAug 27, 2026
Going as QB8 at 75.1 overall ADP, Caleb Williams is overpriced relative to alternatives. The source prefers Brock Purdy, Justin Herbert, Trevor Lawrence, and Jared Goff, all of whom project to score similar fantasy points but go significantly later in drafts (90-100 range). While Williams has exciting upside, there are too many quarterbacks with comparable projections available at better value. The source's strategy is to wait on quarterback and target steals like Josh Allen in round three, Lamar Jackson in round five, Drake May or Joe Burrow in round six rather than reach for Williams at his current ADP.PositiveBreakoutAug 18, 2026
Caleb Williams is rising in ADP (QB7/QB8). Analysts note his potential to be the Bears' first 4,000-yard passer, though they debate whether he should be taken significantly earlier than peers like Brock Purdy or Jared Goff.PositiveBreakoutAug 12, 2026
The source supports a breakout call for Caleb Williams, noting that he possesses the necessary toolset and skills to succeed.PositiveBreakoutAug 12, 2026
Dave identifies Williams as a breakout candidate, highlighting his improved explosiveness after trimming weight and his ability to create big plays when the pocket breaks down. The offense is bolstered by a strong offensive line and creative play-calling from Ben Johnson, with a concentrated target share among playmakers like Colston Loveland and Luther Burden. Williams demonstrated a safe floor last year with 11 games of 20+ fantasy points.NegativeProjectionJul 27, 2026
The source will not project Caleb Williams as a top-five quarterback in six-point per passing touchdown leagues because there are many other quarterbacks who can do similar things but are more accurate than Williams.PositiveProjectionJul 13, 2026
Caleb Williams was probably in the neighborhood with Cam Ward on completion rate as a rookie, and was worse in off-target rate.NegativeRoleJul 13, 2026
Caleb Williams' best and maybe only legitimate weapon is 30 years old now, which is a concern for his fantasy outlook compared to Jayden Daniels.NegativeProjectionJul 13, 2026
Caleb Williams is ranked below Jayden Daniels as both a rusher and passer based on what has been shown so far, though expectations are that he will take the next step this season.PositiveProjectionJul 13, 2026
Caleb Williams is currently QB6 in ADP going 72nd overall, but the hosts note that Brock Purdy has already demonstrated top-six performance in recent seasons at a later ADP.PositiveRoleJul 9, 2026
Caleb Williams targeted Luther Burden on money downs and third/fourth down plays late in the season, though the results were mixed.NegativeBustJul 2, 2026
Caleb Williams has accuracy concerns, ranking as one of the lowest in completion percentage (only JJ McCarthy lower), and has only three goal-line carries in his career, limiting his rushing touchdown upside despite his mobility.NegativeValueJul 2, 2026
Caleb Williams is being drafted as QB6 at 72nd overall, 23 picks ahead of Brock Purdy (who finished top-6 QB in two of last three seasons), 24 picks ahead of Matthew Stafford (2025 MVP runner-up), and 24 picks ahead of Patrick Mahomes and Jackson Dart, making his ADP unjustifiably high relative to proven alternatives.PositiveValueJun 9, 2026
Caleb Williams is being drafted considerably earlier than players like Brock Purdy, Dak Prescott, and Trevor Lawrence, despite not being significantly better than them.PositiveBreakoutJun 9, 2026
Caleb Williams has significant upside, with the potential to rush for over 300 yards and more touchdowns, making him an intriguing fantasy option.PositiveProjectionNo date
Caleb Williams got Ben Johnson as offensive coordinator; quarterbacks drafted after QB 12 who finished top 8 often had new offensive coordinators, and this is a common theme for surprise QB seasons. Williams was one of the guys on the list of surprise quarterbacks.NegativeValueNo date
Caleb Williams is ranked in round eight alongside Justin Herbert, but both Herbert and Trevor Lawrence are preferred over him by the speaker, suggesting he may be better valued in round nine alongside Brock Purdy and Matthew Stafford.PositiveBreakoutNo date
Caleb Williams is a tremendous breakout candidate; he needs to improve his completion rate and efficiency, and the raw totals will follow. The explosive elements his offense was missing in the first half of 2025 will return with Colson Loveland, Luther Burden, and a healthy Odunze. Recommended in the round eight range.PositiveValueNo date
A great value target at cost or slightly later in drafts; fine with him going in the early nineties overall. However, expects his ADP to rise 10-15 picks higher once drafts begin in late August, as he's a buzzworthy guy that will see increased demand from casual players entering the draft.NegativeProjectionNo date
Capable of producing around 24 fantasy points per game in the final six games; if he can do that consistently, he'll be a top-eight quarterback. However, accuracy is a concern: among 33 qualifying quarterbacks, he was dead last in off-target rate, dead last in catchable throw rate, and second to dead last in completion percentage, despite being top five in attempts, top seven in yards, and top six in passing touchdowns. Improvement in accuracy through short and intermediate throws to receivers like Luther Burden, Colson Loveland, and Rome Odums could significantly boost his efficiency and completion rate.NegativeProjectionNo date
Caleb Williams is QB9 at 91st overall ADP on Fantasy Pros, down from a higher ranking. He finished as the number 10 quarterback per game last year with 3,942 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, and 3 rushing touchdowns—modest stats that suggest room for improvement. With a full year of Romeo Dunst, Colston Loveland, and Luther Burden (all young weapons with injury issues last year), there is a path for significant improvement. However, there is also a path where things go completely haywire; the Bears' schedule got tougher, they play outdoors in Chicago late in the year, and the franchise has never had a 4,000-yard passer. If things go well, he is capable of around 24 fantasy points per game and could be a top-8 quarterback, but expectations should be tempered.PositiveValueNo date
Going after pick 90 on CBS and after pick 78 on Fantasy Pros; the source groups him with other undervalued quarterbacks and notes that his upside is known, suggesting he offers value at his current ADP relative to his ceiling.PositiveProjectionNo date
Williams is mentioned as part of bold 2026 fantasy football predictions in the episode.NegativeValueNo date
Williams at QB 6 is overvalued; while the analyst loves him, he hasn't performed like a top-6 QB yet and is being treated as if he already has, similar to Drake May last year who was QB 12-13 in ADP.PositiveProjectionNo date
Caleb Williams has shown significant improvement in his sack avoidance, which could lead to increased passing volume and efficiency for the Bears' offense.