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0:24Selection barriers by location. In the 06010. What's good, friends?
0:27Welcome to Fantasy Focus Football alongside Mike Clay and Field Yates.
0:30My name is Daniel Dopp. We're breaking out the government names today.
0:33Not going to lie. For a second, I was adjusting my earpiece.
0:36I thought you said your name was Daniel Baby Dopp.
0:39How good would that be? That would be quite a good name.
0:42Yeah, let's change it. It is now. Yeah. Why not?
0:45Why not? Call me Daniel Baby. Hey, like half the players in the NFL just go with whatever name they want.
0:51There's a lot of names. That's not how that works.
0:53Yeah, they do. Matthew Stafford. That's not his name.
0:56What's his real name? What's his name? His first name is, I forget.
0:59Wint? No. What is it? Seriously? Matthew Stafford is a different name?
1:03Like Dak Prescott is Rain. Dak Prescott. Dak Prescott.
1:05Matthew Stafford. Matthew Stafford. That's it. No, that's an easy name to forget.
1:09There's a lot of them. There's way more of them than you realize.
1:12Hey, we got a big show coming up for you guys today.
1:16Really excited about where we're going to do a mock draft analysis of what we did yesterday.
1:20Our 10-team mock draft. Going to be a quick recap of what we think of our teams.
1:25And we're going to dive into a bunch of rookie talk.
1:28Our guy, Field Yates, is doing first draft every single week now.
1:31A new podcast just came out on Monday. Go check that out once you're done listening to this show.
1:36But we're going to dive into a bunch of rookie conversation.
1:39Obviously, we had a big injury that happened to one of the rookies we're going to talk about.
1:44I'm going to save it. Rather than go off the top, we'll put it into that part of the show.
1:50But I do want to really quickly dive into a little bit of news that we have.
1:55Because Keenan Allen signed this morning? Last night? I think it was like 11.30 last night.
1:5911.30 p.m. last night. I was asleep. I've got to admit it.
2:02And by the way, Keenan Allen. Oh, okay. That's fair.
2:05Michael Keenan Allen. He goes by Keenan for short form.
2:08Yes. But signs with the Colts. Yeah. With this squad.
2:10Obviously back with the team. And now we're in a situation.
2:13We were in on the Colts for a couple things.
2:16But they got three pass catchers that were there.
2:19Alec Pierce. We already had kind of a little ways down.
2:22We have Tyler Warren, who we were really in on with all the targets that had been vacated.
2:27With Michael Pittman leaving. And maybe Josh Downs. How does Michael...
2:30Excuse me. How does Michael Keenan Allen... I almost had it.
2:33How does Keenan Allen impact the way that you're going to look at this Colts offense?
2:37First of all, shout out the insider himself, Mr.
2:40Mike Clay. That's right. A couple days ago. Maybe it was yesterday.
2:43Keenan Allen to the Colts watch is officially on.
2:45Yeah. That was... I hate to say it, but...
2:48Kind of a layup as far as those dot connections go.
2:51I mean... Well, Mike... They had a very clear void at the number three spot.
2:55Let alone the fact that Alec Pierce is not fully healthy.
2:58So... Yeah. I'm not... Trust me. I'm not taking credit for that one.
3:01That was one that a lot of people have been speculating and makes perfect sense.
3:06Well, Mike, we tried to give you credits. And instead, you denied said credit.
3:09So... I was trying to give Mike credit and say, nice call on Keenan Allen.
3:14It... I will continue to give Mike credit for Keenan Allen.
3:17So... There are a few ways to read this.
3:19Man, like all those injuries have piled up. Steven Holder, our Colts reporter, has noted like, man, I'm surprised it took this long.
3:25This has been months in the making. Shane Steichen and Keenan Allen go all the way back to Steichen's days with the
3:31Chargers, which is during one of Allen's earlier tenures with Los Angeles.
3:35And I think to myself, yeah, I mean... You could read into this that it's just because of the injuries the Colts
3:41have had throughout the training camp and offseason. Sure.
3:43It also is the fact that Keenan Allen's like, what, 34?
3:46Mm-hmm. Right? Like, does he really want to be in training camp?
3:49Nope. On July 28th, going through the same old stuff that you go through every year during training camp?
3:55Do you think Keenan Allen needs five weeks of practice to get up to speed on how to run an option route?
4:01Of course not. It's Keenan Allen. He's a future Hall of Famer, at least in my opinion.
4:05So I think part of this is because of the injuries, Mike.
4:09I think part of this is also a long time coming for Keenan Allen to the Colts.
4:13He has jumped into the 40s of my ranks.
4:16I forget what number specifically between 40 and 50, but to give you some perspective of about where he's at, he is
4:22going to have a handful of weeks that are awesome.
4:24He is going to have a handful of weeks in which Keenan Allen piles up 12 targets and goes eight for 62, maybe a touchdown.
4:31That's what I wanted Tyler Warren to be in this offense.
4:34Does that mean Tyler Warren's not eating as much?
4:37First of all, I didn't touch Tyler Warren's projection at all.
4:40He was at a 21% target share last year.
4:42Michael Pittman's out. 34-year-old Keenan Allen is in. I have a 22%.
4:46I didn't touch it. I don't think this affects Tyler Warren at all, who, by the way, also involved as a rusher.
4:52Three goal line carries last year. Still feel great about Tyler Warren.
4:55I did move down. Alec Pierce and Josh Downs a little bit.
4:58More closer to where they've been in their career.
5:01A little still a little higher for Pierce. They've had him a lot of money when he's healthy.
5:06I think his role will be expanded. Again, remember, you're going from Pittman to Keenan Allen.
5:10I don't think he's going to be quite as good or as targeted.
5:14And I look back to last year for this because Keenan Allen last year had a 22% target share, which is a pretty big number.
5:20Yeah. But he was really bad in fantasy last year.
5:23He was in his final 15 games, including the playoffs.
5:26He was under 11 fantasy points in 14 of the 15.
5:29He had one big game. Otherwise, he was averaging like six, seven fantasy points a game.
5:33Six, seven. Jesus, Mike. It's right there. Come on, Mike.
5:36I'm not trying to give you credit. Unsubscribe. I'm not.
5:39What do they say now? I'm leaving the chat.
5:41That's right. Yes. So, yeah, I wonder if, you know, a guy was playing half the snaps last year and really was
5:47not productive is going to be a guy that really moves the needle.
5:51So I kind of disagree with you. I'm lower on him.
5:54I think that it does affect the other receivers a little bit.
5:57But once Pearson downs are healthy, I think he's going to be good.
6:01Now, Pierce misses a couple of weeks to open the year.
6:04Different conversation. I think we rank Allen as a starter in fantasy, but I don't think it lasts a big chunk of the year.
6:10I viewed it when I heard this news the same way where Tyler Warren is still going to be the guy.
6:16I, you know, say that I'm nervous about it because I don't want Keenan Allen to come in and steal all the
6:22targets that I thought was going to go to him.
6:25But to me, it would be Josh Downs and Alec Pierce that are more impacted in this offense.
6:30I don't have Keenan Allen inside my top 50.
6:32So I think there's a chance we're kind of saying the same thing.
6:36Just maybe phrasing it differently. Okay. Go to the wide receivers 40 to 50 right now, if you don't mind.
6:41I would love to feel. And look at some of the names that are currently being ranked between 40 and 50.
6:47Maybe Mike has it more handy. 40 to 50.
6:49Just some of the names. Chris Godwin Jr., Jordan Addison, Josh Downs, Makai Lemon, Quentin Johnston, Khalil Shakir, Xavier Worthy, Jaden Reed.
6:56So I think maybe Khalil Shakir will be a little bit different than the rest of those guys.
7:00But don't we kind of view those guys as players who are going to have a handful of usable games and then
7:06some total duds mixed in as well? That's a fair way to put it.
7:10More. I feel like when you get to this territory, the draft, you're looking for more.
7:15Your starting lineups filled out. You're looking for more of league winners.
7:18I don't think Keenan Allen's a league winner, but like Denzel Boston or Stribling or Concepcion or even Makai Lemon.
7:23Like those kind of guys just seem more appealing at this point.
7:27Like I'm not. Yeah. This comes back to knowing your needs though, right?
7:30Is it? It just matters. We said the number one draft strategy yesterday is what you've done in the draft up to that point.
7:37That dictates what you're going to do for the rest of the draft.
7:40No doubt that if I'm looking for the guy that has the chance to be my wide receiver two in a legitimately
7:46championship winning team, I'm taking Makai Lemon over Keenan Allen.
7:49I also acknowledge that Makai Lemon could be a lemon for fantasy, right?
7:53Like he might be the clear cut wide receiver three and the clear cut pass catcher four in Philly's offense, which ain't
7:59exactly high volume as it is and have very little fantasy relevance this year, which where I think that Keenan Allen does
8:05not come back to Indianapolis for real money to not have a real role.
8:09The one thing I'll say about this is that once again, even if Alec Pierce, was a hundred percent, I think there's
8:15a decent chance they still do this. Yeah. Right.
8:17I don't think this has been in the makings for months.
8:20Yeah, exactly. I just don't think they're planning on going into the season with like Nick Westbrook or someone along those lines as their number three receiver.
8:28So I will say if you're looking at Alec Pierce or you already drafted him, I wouldn't panic yet.
8:33Yes, he maybe misses a game, but he still seems to be on track for week one.
8:37And by the way, shout out to Chris Ballard, who kind of changed his game plan, adjusted a little bit.
8:43It was kind of frustrating for a long time how it was all in-house.
8:47They just want to go outside the organization. They've kind of shifted the last few years and the franchises made a leap
8:53forward and they were very good last year until Daniel Jones got hurt.
8:56So I think Colts fans might disagree with what you just said there, but making a leap forward.
9:01Like, yeah, they were eight and two last year, but I think it's eight, nine.
9:05It's progress from where they were. I mean, this is a big year for him.
9:10It's a huge, it definitely is. But this is the kind of thing you have to do.
9:14You can't be stubborn and not sign guys like this and just try to keep it.
9:19You can't like, well, Ashton Nolan's been here for five, six years.
9:22So he's our camp. He just can't operate that way.
9:25Put it on the pole. I have an idea because I think my big takeaway is I'm not really excited to draft any Colts wide receiver.
9:32Are you? And that's my question to the poll right now.
9:35Are you excited to draft any Colts wide receiver?
9:37I'm not saying a specific one. Okay. I know Mike lands on the Alec Pierce side.
9:42Yeah. Just that cost. I mean, his cost is so cheap now.
9:45It's so cheap. I'm not excited personally. Me either.
9:47All right. So that's two to one. So might as well just end the poll there.
9:52Yeah. Stop the count. I'm not scared. All right.
9:54Guys, let's do a little bit of mock draft analysis because yesterday we did a 10 team mock draft.
9:59The three of us had, I believe Clay, you were six and eight.
10:03Yeah. Four. I was at six. You were at eight fields.
10:06Yep. Why don't we start with Mike's team? We'll start on the other side of the desk, Mike.
10:11And just yesterday you had an instant reaction, but whenever we draft, like you sleep on it, you can wake up and
10:17look at your team the next day and you have potentially a different feeling because you've let the dust settle a little bit.
10:23How do you feel about the squad you drafted?
10:26Not me. I gave myself an A yesterday and I gave myself an A today.
10:30Okay. I did just get a spam text about bagels, so I might have to leave to go get bagels.
10:35But anyway, that's important. I mean, top priority. Yeah.
10:38Look, pretty happy with the team. The one thing, you know, yesterday going into that draft, we had a list of players
10:44mentally that we wanted to talk about mostly due to injury concerns.
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11:58But the guy we didn't talk about was perhaps the guy drafted earliest on that list, which was Christian McCaffrey, who I
12:04took with one of my first picks in this draft.
12:07So the report there is there's some tightness that he's dealing with.
12:10There was some speculation that maybe he was just holding in a little because of the contract signed by Jameer Gibbs and Bajon Robinson.
12:17Reportedly from Ian Rappaport yesterday, our new teammate, Ian Rappaport, is that that has no connection whatsoever, and he's dealing with legit tightness.
12:23But however, there's no concern about week one availability.
12:26So I should have said that yesterday when I drafted him, why I wasn't concerned.
12:30But as far as I'm concerned right now, I'm not changing anything.
12:33I still expect him to be ready to roll week one.
12:36Remember last year? Sorry. Remember two years ago when there wasn't any concern about him playing week one at the same time?
12:42Yeah. Yes. And then last year, by the way, there was an injury.
12:46He crushed it. But last year there was. Like at some point during camp last year, something did flare a little bit.
12:52And we're like, here we go. Deja vu all over again.
12:55And then he went on to be a totally healthy player.
12:58The best player in fantasy football by far. By far.
13:01So there's you can make the case that you should be worried.
13:04You can also make the case that you shouldn't be worried.
13:07This comes down to. So when we're doing these mock drafts and we have our rankings, which are being updated in the
13:13case of Mike, like every 20 minutes. But in the case of those of us who handle these rankings on ESPN, at
13:19least every couple of days I'm going in there and making tweaks.
13:22Even if it's just one player going up three spots, like we are constantly tweaking them.
13:27They're reflected on the website. One of our bosses, Scott Clark, we have this conversation often is that he really feels as
13:33though like the ranking should always be reflecting. If you were doing a mock draft right now, a draft right now, not
13:39a mock draft, a real draft right now, how would you rank?
13:42And would Christian McCaffrey stay at, I have him third overall in PPR scoring.
13:46This is a half PPR, but I'd feel just as good about CMC as third overall and half PPR as I do in full PPR.
13:53Or do we think that like, are you really going to be the person that pulls the trigger on CMC at pick number three?
13:59And if not, then he shouldn't be that high in your rankings, right?
14:03Or are you having rankings that reflect where you think it's going to be by the time we get to peak draft season, right?
14:09Which we are not in peak draft season yet.
14:12Each of us has had a few drafts, but I know most of my drafts are at least a week away.
14:18And it's a, it's a fine line that you're kind of balancing.
14:21I do based off of the information that Mike just mentioned and just sort of the general tenor of the reporting surrounding Christian McCaffrey.
14:27I have not, and will not be updated my rank for him.
14:31I have him as third overall half PPR included.
14:33I'm not concerned at the moment about Christian McCaffrey.
14:36The strongest case about being concerned right now, at least for me, is if Christian McCaffrey gets hurt during the season, even
14:42if he comes back tomorrow and practices every day in full until the season begins.
14:46And then in week three of the season, Christian McCaffrey gets hurt and misses a month.
14:50I'm going to say, damn it. I did it to myself again, right?
14:54Because he's had an injury history. If I take B.
14:57John Robinson first or second overall, and he gets hurt in week three, I'm not going to say, damn it.
15:02I did it to myself again. I'm going to say that sucks.
15:05I got unlucky. Although the truth is you just got unlucky if Christian McCaffrey gets hurt.
15:10It's no different. It's just, there's a mental side of the game that machine Mike can distance himself from compartmentalize Daniel and I can't.
15:16Yeah. But think about this. If I told you right now, I'm guaranteeing you Christian McCaffrey will miss exactly four games, not more, not less exactly four games.
15:24Sure. How do you, how do you feel about him?
15:27I still think he, well, do I have like the ability to draft a backup running back to fill in?
15:32Of course you, you put a flex guy in there.
15:35I think he goes to the end of the first round.
15:38Yeah, exactly. I mean, it barely moves the needle.
15:40I mean, if you're guaranteeing you're getting that many games out of a player of that caliber, that's a great thing to have.
15:47I hear you. You don't get zeros when he's out.
15:49Three versus 10 is a big gap in the draft order.
15:52Also, you don't get to choose when those weeks come.
15:55And if they happen at the wrong time, you know, we're talking week 13, week 14, then like all of a sudden you're sunk in a different situation.
16:03Again, week six through. I know. Well, we're putting a lot of caveats on it.
16:07I'm not disagreeing with you. If I knew that Christian McCaffrey would be healthy for the entire season and all the things,
16:13it would change the way that I'm ranking him.
16:15Yeah. So you don't know that. But just to put a pin in like where we presently stand, the three of us,
16:21Mike made clear with his actions yesterday. Yep. He is not changing his Christian McCaffrey rank or approach.
16:26I am saying I am not changing my Christian McCaffrey rank or approach.
16:30I had a draft on Sunday night. I had the sixth pick and I took Christian McCaffrey.
16:35I am also saying even with this, I am not changing my draft.
16:38You're just much lower than him. I'm just lower than you guys.
16:41Yes. But I'm not moving him down any farther because of this as a part of the conversation.
16:46I think it's important to know because there are a few players where my ranking, I mentioned yesterday, like I have officially grown concerned with Emeka Abuka.
16:54Yep. That was like hours before Todd Bowles was like, yeah, he's day to day, week to week.
16:59We'll see whether he plays week one. So my concern grows by the minute with Emeka Abuka.
17:03I have adjusted him. He's down, I think, to wide receiver 13 from 11.
17:07Not a huge bump down, but still, that's a bump.
17:10Christian McCaffrey has stayed where he is. He's amongst the guys that even while dealing with an injury during training camp, his rank has not moved.
17:17Phil, I want to talk to you about your team because you waited on the quarterback spot in part because you had
17:23a guy you had ranked higher than some of the other rankers.
17:26So you felt really good just waiting at QB.
17:29I did. I took Justin Herbert in round 10.
17:31He's my quarterback six. Mike famously has a quarterback 14.
17:34Mike doesn't like him. More Madison Beard's music. Different conversation for a different podcast.
17:38Go check out ESPN Audio. Anyways, I think in a different draft, with a different group of people drafting, this pick would feel different than it did yesterday.
17:46Because as an example, I had in my 7th and 10 round picks, Christian Watson and Justin Herbert.
17:51Mike in his 7th and 10th round selections yesterday.
17:53Got Lamar Jackson and Ja'Cory Krosky-Merritt. But I don't think that Lamar Jackson's going in the 7th round.
17:58No. Ever. No. Except for the people that we are drafting with.
18:01Agreed. So waiting on quarterback when everybody is waiting on quarterback doesn't create the same advantage as when you're playing in a
18:07league where somebody has taken Josh Allen 17th overall and Lamar goes 23rd and Jaden Daniels goes 27th and Drake May goes 32nd and Jalen Hurts goes 40th.
18:15But when Lamar Jackson goes, whatever, 66th, Justin Herbert going 93rd doesn't feel nearly as valuable.
18:19But that's classic ESPN fantasy staff rankings, waiting on quarterback.
18:22We all, most all of us do it. I am still a dramatic advocate for waiting at quarterback this year.
18:28And I also went early on tight end with Brock Bowers and I still loved the build there.
18:32I had Brock Bowers in my second round. And I felt like it did not impact the ability to grab good running backs and receivers.
18:39Yeah. I said this yesterday. Just remember that just because your neighborhood league might not see quarterbacks fall quite that far doesn't mean you shouldn't wait.
18:46Like, yes, those guys are going to go early.
18:49That's even better for you. If like you said, Lamar and Jaden, that's great for you.
18:53That means all those skill guys in those first few rounds, those superstar players in other positions are falling to you.
18:59It's going to be a huge advantage for you to still wait.
19:02Don't panic because in your neighborhood league, it's not going the same way.
19:06And these quarterbacks are getting clicked off. You're still going to have outstanding value options.
19:10Bo Nix, Dak Prescott, Brock Purdy, Stafford, Herbert is still going to fall.
19:14I mean, you have so many quality options. Yeah.
19:16I also like if, if Josh Allen, and this was a mock draft.
19:20So we're, we're sort of toying with things. I have Josh 28th in my overall rankings.
19:24So if I'm sitting there at the end of the third round and Josh Allen's still available, he's in the queue at the very least.
19:31At least thinking about it. Yeah. At least thinking about it.
19:34Yeah. I haven't projected way ahead of all the other quarterbacks.
19:37The only reason I don't draft him as often is because again, the opportunity cost is just not worth it where he goes quite often.
19:44There's just so many good players at the other side.
19:46Are you going to knock his projection at all in the games that they wear those uniforms?
19:51Oh, there's by a lot. Yes. Good. Good. Big time.
19:54Big time. I don't know when they're, is that a, is that a Thursday night thing or I don't even know what?
20:00I've seen the uniforms. I don't recall if they've announced the dates yet, but it will be very notable when they play in those, what's it called?
20:07Like nickel city uniforms. Nickel city. It is that they're going to do it twice this year.
20:12Right now we're getting the dates for you right now behind the scenes.
20:16By the way, we'll see if we rank him first in week one too.
20:19We'll not be ranked first. Yeah. Houston. So something really quickly with my team guys.
20:23And then we were going to take a couple of questions from our chat about the draft.
20:28I love my squad. I went in with an idea.
20:31I wanted to be able to go out and get guys that I wanted to target.
20:35I understand where people are, where the industry has them, but I do my own rankings.
20:40I do my own tiers. And so I went out and targeted the guys that I wanted.
20:44And with the way I was able to do that, grabbing my running back in Omari and Hampton with my RB two
20:50and Jadarian price, let me load up on a bunch of really good wide receivers.
20:54JSN, Chris Olave, Devonta Smith, having those three guys, they're going to be starters every single week.
20:59None of them are going to come out of my starting lineup.
21:02I have Drake May at quarterback. He's not going to come out of my starting lineup.
21:07I have Sam Laporta, Drake, Drake Maymay. Thank you.
21:09Sorry about that. I have Sam Laporta and George Kittle.
21:12Like I'm in a great spot at the tight end position.
21:15So the big question mark is maybe you're out on Omari and Hampton.
21:19That's fine. It's not your draft. It's mine. If I'm in on Omari and Hampton, I'm the one that has to be able to live with it.
21:26It's my team, right? So when I look at this, I feel like based on my rankings and how I value players,
21:32I walked away with dudes I'm really pumped to be able to have in fantasy.
21:36And I say that not because we don't love the draft grades.
21:39Mike, I love getting a draft grade at the end, but I don't care what Mike's draft grade is at the end of a real draft.
21:47Mock drafts, we have fun with it, but I want to walk away with guys that I targeted.
21:51And I felt like when I look at this draft, I achieved a bunch of the things that I had been hoping to get.
21:58This is why we do mocks. And I felt like I learned a bunch from other mocks.
22:03So I'm really pumped with the way that this one worked out.
22:06So you didn't sleep well last night. You were up last night practicing this.
22:10I was so defensive and you were stressed. I wasn't defensive.
22:13I wanted to find a way to play this league out.
22:16And you had to talk yourself into this team.
22:18I can see right through this. Just a reminder, by the way, if you get a B in college, it's a 3.0 GPA, right?
22:25And for those of us that couldn't, yes. So I actually think a B grade is amazing in your mock draft.
22:31Two thoughts. We talked yesterday about when we are doing this, because we do have, and not that people who play fantasy
22:37football can't make their own rankings, but not many people that I know are being compensated as a living to go and rank every player by position.
22:44But for us, when we do, there is that fine line of like, yeah, I love Amar and Hampton, but I think
22:50I could probably get him around later. Yep. To me, it's much less scientific.
22:54It's sometimes just art. It's trying to play the board effectively.
22:57So I hear you on like targeting your guys and feeling good about it.
23:01But you also, if you said, Hey, I try to be patient that I missed out on one of my guys, I think that's justifiable as well.
23:08Something you did that I love. And I don't know that I would always love this in different years.
23:13I'm down on the tight end double dip. If I don't have one of obviously Brock Bowers, Trey McBride.
23:19Yep. Colson, Loveland, Tyler Warren. Yep. And I would throw Kyle Pitts into one of those five guys that I feel really secure about.
23:25He's going to be the number two option in the passing game.
23:29Maybe co-two with B. John Robinson. Sure. I think he's just, he's become the player, not quite to the level that we
23:35hope for, but a good, solid player in fantasy.
23:37Like if you grab a Sam Laporte and a George Kittle like you do, I'm totally fine with that.
23:42I feel really good. Tucker Craft plus somebody else.
23:45Yes. There are a lot of guys that create just enough doubt that it's nice to have some insurance, but there are
23:51also a lot of guys that create just enough excitement that if you hit on both of them, you've created a real surplus for your roster.
23:58You grab two of them. Yep. I'm with you on that.
24:01We actually have a question from our YouTube chat.
24:03Okay. Kind of around this a little bit. This one comes from Stressi.
24:0710 person league, full PPR. Is it worth stashing one backup tight end or one backup quarterback on the bench?
24:12You were just saying this. I fully agree with you.
24:15Yeah. I mean, I love the quarterback thing too at the end of drafts, right?
24:19Yes. Like the Trevor Lawrence plus Brock Purdy or Trevor Lawrence plus Matthew Stafford, Matthew Stafford plus Patrick Mahomes like for free.
24:25Yes. Why not? Yeah. The answer here, I think is it depends who's there.
24:29If someone's falling and you're like, man, George Kittle has fallen too far.
24:33People are too scared. Like you did yesterday. Yep.
24:35Pounce on George Kittle. It's the same thing. I used the comparison yesterday, last year.
24:39I don't always like taking a second tight end, especially if I'm secure with my first tight end or my first quarterback,
24:45but like Drake may was an easy click last year as an upside play.
24:49And you could do the same thing this year, considering how deep it is at quarterback and same thing with tight end.
24:55Like one of my last picks and most drafts is Terrence Ferguson for the Rams.
24:59I mean, guys like that, whether it's running back, quarterback, receiver, tight end, whatever it is, there's a pool of these upside
25:05guys with your last few picks could be a high ceiling insurance running backs first or second year, high pedigree receivers.
25:11And of course the tight ends and quarterbacks we just talked about, like those are all in the pool and you should
25:17be just picking from that group late. It doesn't matter what position.
25:20So I am an advocate of what this person posed the question to do.
25:24I am a generally an advocate for it. What I will say is, and not to straddle the fence here, but some
25:30of it just depends on also like what else you're doing.
25:33Like if you grab, I'm just, if you draft Jeremiah Love and you're like, I'm going to pay full freight on Tyler
25:39Algier and you draft a banged up wide receiver.
25:42You're like, I want to roll the dice on Jordan Tyson, who we'll talk about later.
25:46Each time you do something in which you add a player who at least at the beginning of the season provides zero
25:52value to you, it shuts the window on having that second quarterback or that second tight end because there's only, well, technically
25:58not a tight end, but there's only room for one quarterback in your lineup.
26:02Correct. So every time you do one of those things, it decreases the opportunity a little bit to take a second quarterback.
26:08Just keep that in mind. But in roster construction where that isn't an issue, like again, I've, I've happily double dipped a
26:14QB because you're getting these guys in 13th and 14th round.
26:17If you're waiting, usually I don't do both two quarterbacks and two tight ends.
26:21I think I said that a little last week on the podcast.
26:24Um, but yes, I'm fully in on board with that.
26:27Also George Kittle right now, still being drafted in the 10th round.
26:30How many guys being drafted in the 10th round could legitimately be the number one pass catcher for their squad right now on fantasy football.
26:37And I recognize the flags that are there because of other than Jake Bobo, obviously.
26:41Okay guys. Well, guess we'll move on to the next question here.
26:44Can I make one point on Daniel's on Daniel squad that I think is important because I think we get a, is it a good point?
26:52Yeah, it is. It's a good point about your squad.
26:54And we're out of time for this. There are people that sometimes ask a version of this question is like, if I
27:00take Jamar Chase, should I avoid Chase Brown? Right.
27:03Or if I take Jackson Smith and Jigba, should I avoid Jadari and Price?
27:07Yep. There were actually a lot of examples of a top 12 running back and receiver on the same team in 2025.
27:13Last year, there was a top 12 running back on the Rams with two top 12 wide receivers.
27:18The Ravens, the Lions, the Falcons, and the Bengals all had top 12 running backs and wide outs.
27:23The Cowboys had a top 12 running back and two top 12 wide receivers.
27:26So the moral of the story, if it's a good offense, it's okay to double dip.
27:31Yes. I probably wouldn't be double dipping on the Browns early, but I'm okay with double dipping.
27:35I wouldn't want to do like Burrow, T. Higgins, and Jamar Chase or something.
27:39Just too many eggs in the same basket. But yeah, Brown Chase, something like that.
27:43Totally fine. Love it. All right. That's it for questions.
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28:56We're going to move ahead, my friends. We are talking about some rookies that you need to know.
29:01Here's the deal. It does feel like in fantasy football this year.
29:04And field, I already talked about this. You obviously do the first draft podcast.
29:08You know so much more about these guys. Can't wait to learn about them.
29:12But it feels like this year in fantasy, the top end is just not nearly as full of guys that will be
29:18impactful for us in our game as it has been in years past.
29:21Does that feel about right? I think so. I think it was reflected in some dynasty leagues last year where first round
29:27picks were going for less than they normally would.
29:30And there just wasn't nearly as much excitement in our, we play in the dynasty league together and we do an offline draft.
29:36And it was like, oh, we're already taking that guy.
29:39That guy, huh? That third round receiver. Tail end of the first round, huh?
29:43Not great, but we do have a crown jewel.
29:45So I thought what we figure we do is like the rookies will kind of categorize them.
29:50The must draft need to know. I'll give you a little bit of the scouting.
29:54Some of these names we've talked about a ton, so we'll be quicker on them.
29:58Scouting wise though, Jeremiah Love, you guys know this is a B.
30:01John Robinson level prospect, 40 touchdowns over the past two seasons, back-to-back years with a 90 plus yard rushing touchdown in college.
30:07He's fast. He's elusive. He's got enough power. He's incredible as a pass catcher.
30:11I'd be stunned beyond words if Jeremiah Love was not the first rookie taken in every redraft this year.
30:16And he was probably the first rookie taken in almost every Dynasty League as well.
30:20Maybe, maybe save super flex formats. But we've talked about him pretty much every show.
30:25He's going somewhere around the back end of the second round.
30:28I think that's going to be exactly where he ends up, where he should end up.
30:32He is at RB 11 for me. I know Mike is a little bit higher.
30:36His current ADP is 18.5. Jeremiah Love, not much more to say other than this kid rules as a player.
30:42The mitigating factors are what they are, right? Not a great offense.
30:45Tyler Algier is going to play some level of a role.
30:48And right now, Jeremiah Love has an ankle sprain.
30:50Yep. I wonder if we'll see that, you know, any of his draft ADP dip just a little bit because of that ankle sprain.
30:57I think it will. As the preseason. So right now, Mike, you still have Jeremiah Love at running back seven.
31:02Is that right? Yes, I do. I'm still very high on Jeremiah Love.
31:06I moved him down behind like Ashton Gentey, but I guess I know I've cooked six Gentey seven.
31:11So I have a mid eight right now. You love Love.
31:14But again, those guys were so close. I just want to give you a little added perspective really quick here.
31:19Yeah. I talked about the last nine running backs selected in the top 12, finished top 12 and fantasy points as a rookie.
31:26I mentioned that stat many times. This is the average stats for that group of nine players.
31:3015 games, 289 touches, 1456 yards, 11 touchdowns, 17.3 fantasy points per game.
31:34That's the average for those nine running backs. Jeremiah Love, I have in the vicinity of that for this year.
31:39So as far as I'm concerned, it's all systems go.
31:42Tape looks good. Yeah. For those reasons, I am not out.
31:45Not out on Jeremiah Love. One last tasty kicker and we got a long ways to go.
31:50Okay. And there are a lot of things that could influence this.
31:53But as of right now, weeks 15, 16, and 17, the three teams that Jeremiah Love and the Cardinals play, the Jets, the Saints, and the Raiders.
32:00Yep. I talked about that last week. Remember my future headline was he was a league winner this year.
32:06Yep. So I think the Saints would be pretty solid on defense, but, and the Jets will be okay.
32:11I just, they're better. Yeah. But it's, yes, I just, I think, and I've said this before, I think tanking is going
32:17to be a real thing in the NFL this season.
32:20The draft looks that good and teams are realizing being in the middle is that unsavory.
32:24Yes. There's no point in being the Dolphins. Doesn't, yeah, it doesn't help you get better.
32:28The Dolphins of the last five years. Correct. Yes.
32:31No point. The Dolphins are doing it correctly now.
32:33Right. But there was no point, like, even though years in which they made the playoffs and then they got summarily dismissed
32:39by the Chiefs when they forgot to show up for that very cold game.
32:43All right. You go from Jeremiah Love, there's like clearly a gap now.
32:47Yes, big gap. Right. How many players are in this next tier that you feel like are still going to be on a weekly basis?
32:54Yeah. I thought there were three until yesterday. So now there's two.
32:57In whatever order you want to choose, I'll say Jadarian Price first only because he's a running back and we're always looking for running backs.
33:04Sure. He goes 32nd overall. I thought he was, I think I had him like 35th overall in my final big board.
33:10Way off. Very, very powerful runner. No, I'm not.
33:12Very powerful runner. Very fast. Excellent kick return man as well.
33:15He's great at breaking tackles. He's good between the tackles.
33:18He's going to make guys miss a little bit for a guy of his size, but he's not as shaky, if you
33:24want to call that a word, as Jeremiah Love is.
33:27Probably caught a lot of passes in college, right?
33:29He caught six last year. So that's one of the big question marks.
33:33It's more than you, Todd. That's true. True, true, true.
33:36That's true. He had six catches last year. Of course, so much of the passing game work was going to go to Jeremiah Love because he's that special.
33:43Fumbles were a problem for Jadarian Price as well.
33:46Got to keep that part of the equation rock steady because that's an easy way to get yourself sent to the bench.
33:52But he goes to Seattle, who has the third highest run rate in the NFL last season.
33:56They had a league I-85 red zone runs. And going into the draft, it felt like the shallowest running back room in the league, right?
34:03I mean, even the Cardinals had a pretty decent running back room prior to Jeremiah Love.
34:08So Jadarian Price, Daniel I know has him as RB19.
34:10Mike and I, I think, are a little more bearish.
34:13RB24, 25, that range. But still, I think he's deserving of being drafted in...
34:17I want to take a quick... Sorry. 6-7th round?
34:196-7. Okay. I like it. I want to look at the ADP of guys going around him.
34:24I'm just curious how you feel about right now with where Jadarian Price is coming off the board.
34:29You're talking about Harold Fannin, Mike's favorite guy. Luther Byrd in the third.
34:33Basial Tootin. Matthew Stafford. Jadarian Price. I mean, this is...
34:35You're talking, like you said, seventh... This is eighth round.
34:38Eighth into ninth round. Mike, ADP is not ninth round for Jadarian Price in the rest of the industry.
34:43We're... No, he's going in the sixth round right now.
34:46Sixth round other places. Yeah, he's going in sixth round of 12-team leagues.
34:50Again, I'm a little lower than you. I would be higher on him if Zach Charbonnet was just out for the season.
34:56But by all accounts, it could be first month of the season.
34:59Something along those lines. That makes me nervous. I just feel like you might get to a point weeks...
35:04Six or seven. Where Zach Charbonnet ramped up for a couple weeks.
35:07And he's a big part of that offense. And they love...
35:10Like, to your point, you talk about the little things running backs do.
35:14Charbonnet did those for the Seahawks. That's the reason Ken Walker III had such a limited role last season.
35:19And I don't expect that to go away once Charbonnet...
35:22Who, by the way, isn't like 33 years old.
35:24You know, he's still in his prime. He's a young running back.
35:28He's going to come back. He's going to be healthy.
35:30And they like him. He's going to have a role in this backfield.
35:34The only thing that I want to say based off of that full screen that Daniel just showed...
35:39And I know that Mike has the industry consensus ADP.
35:42We've been saying Matthew Stafford, like one of our favorite late-round quarterbacks.
35:45Based off of live draft data, he is not.
35:47Because he's going 79th. Which is not late-round. Not late-round.
35:50Middle-round. That's eighth round. So, just keep... I will, at least going forward, until that...
35:54Unless or until that sort of levels out, I will not refer to Matthew Stafford as a late-round guy.
35:59We think of him as a late-round guy. He's going in the ninth round of 12-team leagues.
36:04You have to keep in mind, too, ADP there could sometimes reflect like six-team leagues.
36:08And there's a lot of casual leagues out there.
36:11And so, if you're in a six-team league, Matthew Stafford might go quite a bit earlier.
36:15If it's a Rams fans or someone who knows he's the league MVP and wants to grab him.
36:20Only one of draft players named John. And those leagues exist.
36:23So, yeah. I mean, John Stafford's still pretty good, too.
36:26That's a good guy. Not bad. Not bad. That's right.
36:29John's a few from Philly. Different kind of John.
36:31Different John. You're right. You're right. Let's talk about Carnell Tate.
36:34We were pumped on Carnell Tate, Field G8s. Yeah.
36:36And I'm not going to let the performance... I know Mike has adjusted the ranks a little bit.
36:41Just a hair. Just a hair. Yeah, a tiny bit.
36:44I'm not going to let week one of the preseason totally dissuade me.
36:48I thought that Carnell Tate was the most pro-ready prospect in the entire draft.
36:52Maybe along with Jeremiah Love because he plays a very transferable position at running back.
36:56What he lacked in premier deep speed he made up for in great hands.
37:00Very good route running. Effort as a blocker. All the things that will keep him on the field in all situations.
37:05Right? This is not going to be a guy who's yanked when they're playing one wide receiver sets.
37:10I think this offense makes a leap. Wondell Robinson is probably being underrated once again because he's a really good player.
37:16But I think Carnell Tate deserves to be drafted around Jadarian Price.
37:19Somewhere in that wide receiver 22 to 25 range.
37:22Yeah. I'm just a hair lower on you guys.
37:24If you look back, I did this article. Actually, it's in the NFL section.
37:28Like rookie projections about a month or so after the draft ends.
37:31And I always look pretty close or, you know, very closely at like the history of players with similar draft capital.
37:37So I look back at the 16 wide receivers who played more than a few snaps who were drafted in the top 10 over the past decade.
37:44And the numbers are wild. Actually, 12 of the 16 receivers picked in the top 10 had at least 865 yards.
37:50The exceptions, Tavon Austin, Corey Davis and Mike Williams, who all missed at least three games that year.
37:55And Roma Dunze was the other exception. And of course, he was behind DJ Moore and Keenan Allen.
38:00The 13 receivers who played at least 14 games handled a, get ready for this, 25% target share.
38:05As a rookie, the lowest was a Dunze's 19%.
38:07So that tells us that Carnell Tate and when healthy, we'll get to him in a second.
38:12Jordan Tyson, based on history, they should handle big workloads.
38:15So that was my initial optimism on Carnell Tate.
38:17I do want to see a little bit more from Cam Ward.
38:21But again, I moved him in a couple spots, but I still have him as an every week starter as a wide receiver three.
38:27Yep. So he's going at the beginning of the eighth round.
38:30So a little bit ahead of what we were just talking about with Jadari and Price.
38:35Yeah. Roma Dunze or Carnell Tate right there. I mean, he's surrounded by a bunch of running backs that we're looking at.
38:41So this is going to be an interesting spot for him to figure out what he can be in this Titans offense field.
38:47Let's talk about Jordan Tyson, unfortunately, because we were all in on this kid.
38:51First round rookie loved. I have been in on the Saints.
38:54I love what the Saints could potentially be this year.
38:57And the dude is electric, unfortunately. Found out he's going to miss eight weeks with the hamstring that he is dealing with.
39:03Where does that put us right now? Eight weeks from today.
39:06That would be like week six or seven. Heyo.
39:08And they have a bye week. Are we bringing it back?
39:11Are we bringing six, seven back? Hopefully not. Thank you.
39:14Please. They have a bye week. They have a bye week eight.
39:17So keep in mind what that probably means. Right?
39:20Like you're probably talking about week nine best case scenario.
39:22And so I think this one really, people might get sick of us talking about it.
39:27This one really comes down to what you have done in your draft up to this point.
39:31Right? Like the ranking on Jordan Tyson matters. It sort of doesn't as well.
39:35Right? Because if you're just ranking the players based off of how many projected fantasy points they will score for the upcoming
39:41season, he should not be in your top 60.
39:44Yeah. But if you're ranking the most valuable assets, you could easily put him inside your top 60 of wide receivers.
39:49Because maybe you feel, you could feel as though Jordan Tyson, upon his return, whether it's for five, eight, 10 games, has
39:55the chance to crack the top 25 of wide receivers more frequently than other wide outs who may never get there.
40:01Right? Like you may feel as though Omar Cooper Jr.
40:04We'll talk about it in a minute. Like there's just no chance he has upside.
40:08So why bother ranking him ahead of Jordan Tyson, even though Omar Cooper Jr.
40:12Is healthy? So it just comes down to philosophical, philosophical thing on rankings.
40:15Yeah. No doubt. And by the way, you know, I think a lot of people listening might be thinking, well, eight weeks
40:22from today is like week five, but it's a hamstring and he's a rookie.
40:25And like, I, and he's, I think there's a chance he comes back before the bi-week, but the reason we say week
40:31eight, bi, back in week nine, I mean, it would not be surprising based on his history and what type injury this
40:37is that he's held out until that point. Right?
40:40So yeah, he could come back earlier. I don't think that makes a difference for me when I'm ranking him.
40:45You know, I, I'm going to expect him to miss a big chunk of the season.
40:50And frankly, there are just so many, including rookies, like upside guys.
40:53Once we get to rounds 10, 11, 12, I just don't know if it's worth it.
40:57Like I'll take to John Stribling without even hesitating right now.
41:00And you can apply that to Concepcion and Denzel Boston and guys like that as well.
41:05I want to ask you guys this question really quickly right now with where we're at in draft.
41:10If we know, we know he's going to miss time, two months.
41:13So when you draft a kid like this, you're talking about purposefully drafting a person, you know, you're going to put into your IR spot.
41:20Right? So you're not going to probably draft a George Kittle and a Zach Charbonnet and a Jordan Tyson, unless you just have a crazy deep IR league.
41:28Yeah. When you do this with Jordan Tyson, do you think with where you have to draft him, you're drafting him and
41:34now you really can't use your IR on someone else?
41:36Or if somebody else gets hurt, are you like, you know what?
41:40I'll burn my 13th round pick. It's just Jordan Tyson.
41:42Got to drop him off the IR. I didn't even get any value out of what I had.
41:47You know what I mean? That's a part of the conversation.
41:50Yeah. I mean, I, I mentioned the ranking doesn't really matter.
41:53He's no longer my top 60. Okay. Then my, I'm like, that's, that's.
41:57So if you draft him and then have to drop him with where you will be drafting him at, you're not like,
42:03all right, I just, I can't believe I invested that.
42:06You're like, no, that's how it works. It sucks.
42:08I don't think I'm taking him. It would have to be an extreme situation where I went heavy on all the other positions.
42:14And I'm like, my receiver situation is really bad.
42:17I'm going to need, I'm going to need a hero mid season.
42:20Maybe I'll leave him stashed. But by the way, keep this in mind too.
42:24He seems like a safe prospect. We don't know.
42:26Like, we don't know if any of these guys are going to be good for Fernando Mendoza looks like he's going to be a really good player.
42:34We don't know that at all. We don't know if Jeremiah loves going to be good.
42:38We don't know anything about these guys at the pro level.
42:41They haven't been there. So he could come back finally and be okay in fantasy.
42:45And you're like, I waited half the season for a guy that's, I don't even want to put in my flex spot.
42:51That's the thing. It's just not worth the expense.
42:54That's where I'm at as well. I think he's a very, very talented kid, by the way.
42:59Like incredibly explosive. Good things happen when the ball is in his hand.
43:02Yes. The hype next year in 2027 drafts is going to be enormous, but we're not there.
43:07We got a question from our chat right now.
43:09By the way, shout out to our buddy at Eric Moody.
43:12Follow him on social media at Eric and Moody.
43:15But right now, chat from our queue. This one comes from Jeff C.
43:18He might be our most popular. Yeah, absolutely. We love Jeff.
43:21Who is the wide receiver to now? No surprise that Devon Vele and Tyler Shook have a good chemistry.
43:27They are Vele, who they traded. Fourth round pick?
43:29Yeah. Four from Denver. Great piece of business by Denver last year.
43:32But Vele had some bright moments down the stretch last year.
43:35Yep. And Vele, by the way, had 66 catches in two seasons.
43:39Like not a non-factor through two years for a guy that was taken in the seventh round.
43:43So I thought Vele was a good player coming out of Utah.
43:47I also understood he was an old, unathletic prospect relative to guys being taken.
43:50Field. Ageism is a crime. I learned it from Mike.
43:53Yeah. He was very much an old prospect. But yeah, he was hurt a lot of last season.
43:58He had 12 fantasy points in one game. But he did play a pretty sizable role for a month before he got re-injured.
44:04So I expect him to be the number two.
44:07If he can get into the flex conversation, it's a matter of how good Tyler Shuck is.
44:11If he ups his game this year and can support, obviously, Chris Alave, Travis Achan out of the backfield.
44:17Maybe Jawan Johnson now with Tyson out can hang in the tight end one conversation for a little while.
44:22I don't think there's enough there for Vele to get to the flex conversation.
44:26But I have him ranked right around 70, which makes him like a last pick in your draft.
44:31Good with that one right there. You said that you had only three guys in this list part of like 1A, 1B.
44:37Yep. And that's Carnell Tate, Jadarian Price, and Jordan Tyson.
44:39Mike had a bone to pick with you because he wanted to add one name to this list.
44:44No, opposite. Oh. Mekhi Lemon was on the list.
44:47I said he should be probably down. Oh, he shouldn't be on the list.
44:51I do not have Mekhi Lemon on my list.
44:53All right. We're in concert. So we're on the same page there.
44:56Yeah, I don't think he should be. So then here's the thing.
45:00Let's talk about Mekhi Lemon and a bunch of other guys field.
45:03There were other high drafted wide receivers. Like first rounders, second rounders here, but we just don't have the same kind of upside it feels like.
45:10Let's talk about the upside city guys. Well, can I just, I don't want to totally dismiss Mekhi Lemon.
45:15Like he was the 20, what, first, 22nd overall pick?
45:18Yep. Like he's obviously, and he was on the Blitnikoff last year, which is the best college wide receiver.
45:23Should have been Jeremiah Smith, but who cares? Anyways, he's a great player.
45:27He's a slot guy and this Eagles offense, you know, like they had a hard enough time supporting both AJ Brown and Devontae Smith.
45:33Yep. Are they going to be able to support Devontae Smith and maybe Duntabian Wicks and maybe Mekhi Lemon?
45:39Dallas Goddard. Dallas Goddard. Hollywood Brown once in a while.
45:41It is going to be an adjusted offense. I just have less confidence for those reasons on top of the fact that
45:47Mekhi Lemon has been out for a lot of training camp.
45:50Understood. Upside city, all these players, maybe with the exception of the first one that I mentioned, as of right now, we're
45:56going way outside of the top 100 in ESPN draft data.
45:59Yep. So keep in mind that if you see them go earlier than this, that's fine.
46:04I'm just telling you right now on ESPN on average, they're going much, much later than this.
46:08Maybe the most intriguing name, maybe the guy that generated the most heat this preseason amongst rookies, John Stribling.
46:14Yep. 33rd overall pick. Big height, weight, speed guy coming out of Ole Miss via Oklahoma State and Washington State.
46:19Was great for Ole Miss in the playoffs last year with Cooked against Miami.
46:23Can really run. Precise route runner. Good after the catch.
46:26And he had seven catches in the Niners preseason opener.
46:29There's a world in which week one, the Niners tried out Mike Evans, Christian Kirk, Debo Samuel, George Kittle as their four top pass catchers.
46:35And it wouldn't be totally surprising, right? Like those guys all got real money, especially Mike Evans.
46:40He got real, real money. Christian Kirk got, I think like 7 million worth up to 10 or something.
46:45And Debo got a contract worth up to $7 million.
46:48It's possible San Francisco says we have a window.
46:50We'll be the third best team in our division, but we also might be a top six team in the NFL.
46:56Like we don't have time to wait on rookies.
46:59Yeah. There's also a chance in which San Francisco was like, Jesus, this is the only guy that has some consistent explosiveness.
47:05Dijon Shribling giddy up, but he has been ascending.
47:07He has become one of my favorites round tenant on targets.
47:10I could not have said it better myself. Also, his uncle's a WWE Hall of Famer.
47:15So, I mean. Really? That's important. Does that move the needle for you a little bit?
47:19Don Morocco. Yes, that's right. Wow. Yeah. So, fun fact there.
47:22I'm the wrestling guy around here. I'm the wrestling fan.
47:25But no doubt. He may lead the team in targets this year.
47:28It goes both ways, right? Wide range of outcomes.
47:30Yeah. And that's what you want to do with your, he's going in the 12th, 13th round right now and 12 teamers across the industry.
47:37It's an easy click right now. You want those potential league winners in that area of the draft.
47:42All right. So, the two Browns receivers, we'll do them together.
47:45Casey Concepcion. A little bit of Jalen Waddell to his game in college.
47:49Very explosive. Two touchdowns as the punt returner last year.
47:52Superdler, dynamic both at NC State and Texas A&M.
47:54Undersized, slight, and real quarterback concerns for me in Cleveland.
47:57So, I am generally fading this passing game with the exception of Harold Fannin.
48:01If I'm taking a shot on he or Denzel Boston, I'm still taking the shot on Casey Concepcion for this reason.
48:06I think Denzel Boston would need to win with like lots of volume and lots of touchdowns.
48:11Not sure you're going to get a lot of volume or touchdowns here.
48:15But Boston, really solid player. Great hands. Great route runner.
48:17Can play in the slot. Just the reason why he went 39th and not 24th is he's not a very good athlete for a wide receiver.
48:24Yeah, just keep in mind the pass catchers, the big three here.
48:28Wide receivers for Cleveland going in the 11th, 13th, and 15th round.
48:31Jerry Judy, of course, added to that list. So, very inexpensive.
48:34I agree with you. Concepcion is the most appealing of the trio for sure.
48:38But I think all of them are fine dart throws late in your draft.
48:42Don't forget, Jerry Judy is a very good football player.
48:44And he's been a top 25 fantasy wide receiver two of the last four years.
48:49So, he has it in there. It's possible. It's just going to be a question of what kind of quarterback play.
48:54We got a couple of like just really bad offenses that recognized through the draft, we need to just add some firepower.
49:00Browns are one of them. They added a bunch of offensive guys.
49:04Jets did the same thing. We'll get there in one second.
49:07I think we have them. Oh, sorry. Well, you can do the Dolphins next.
49:10Just quick. I don't know if maybe I have it back.
49:14No, no, no. You're right. Dolphins, Caleb Douglas and Chris Bell, both guys taking the third round.
49:18Douglas spent a pair of years at Texas Tech, 15.1 yards per catch.
49:22So, pretty good. Pretty explosive player. He had, I would say, the catch of the preseason so far in their opener against the Commanders.
49:28Uh, it's a grand opportunity for somebody in Miami.
49:31Just not optimistic about this passing game. Chris Bell looks legitimately like A.J.
49:34Brown. He's coming off of a November ACL tear.
49:37He was recently brought up from the NFI list.
49:39We'll see whether he is even on the field at the beginning of the year.
49:43I don't think Miami, who is doing it right and stripping this thing down to the studs is going to be in
49:49a rush to bring him back to the field.
49:52But, so I am, these are two capable bodies.
49:54Another set of rookies that I'm not heavily invested in.
49:57Yeah, I think Caleb Douglas, a fine late round flyer, just because he might be their guy that leads the team and targets this season.
50:04As for Chris Bell, I feel like if Malik Willis is fine, like as long as he's not a disaster, I think
50:10Chris Bell is going to be one of them like guys we're talking about on a waiver wire show on a Tuesday.
50:16At some point this season, we're like, whoa, did you see?
50:19He played a little more this week. Had some nice catches, caught a touchdown.
50:23Time to scoop him up for your bench and see, because this guy, it'll be legit.
50:27But do you think he goes in round two if he's healthy?
50:31Chris Bell? Yeah. I think he would have gone like one to two.
50:34There you go. See, there you go. Very, very explosive player.
50:37Omar Cooper Jr. in the Jets. Omar Cooper Jr.
50:40and Kenyon Sadiq from the Jets. Couple updates here.
50:42Kenyon Sadiq, hernia situation. He has missed a lot of training camp.
50:45Yeah. And Omar Cooper Jr., if you put any stock into preseason snap share, looks like he's buried right now, right?
50:51The team is talking up Isaiah Williams, an undrafted free agent of Daniels Lyons a couple of years ago, who Aaron Glenn
50:57is saying all the right things about. This could be a redshirt season.
51:01And I am approaching my drafts as such for both Jets pass catchers not investing right now.
51:05The only thing I would say there is, I remember, I'm going back to Justin Jefferson's, this time, Justin Jefferson's first training camp.
51:12And they're like, ah, Busy Johnson's taking that job.
51:14Like he's Justin Jefferson. And that's how the season started.
51:17The first two weeks, Busy Johnson was playing against head of Justin Jefferson.
51:20And then week three happened and the rest was history.
51:23That being said, it was a little different. You have Garrett Wilson, of course, there.
51:27They're talking about A.D. Mitchell. I'm a little hesitant on his upside, but he, you know, they have a couple of tight ends.
51:34They like Brees Hall out of the backfield, assuming he's going to be healthy and good to go.
51:38So I agree. I would like to see more positivity on Omar Cooper, but this might not be his year.
51:44Next up is Jeremy Bernard, third round wide receiver, second round wide receiver for the Steelers out of Alabama via Michigan State and Washington.
51:51He was playing behind that trio of receivers, Roma Dunze, Jalen Polk and Jalen McMillan during his Washington time.
51:56Goes to Alabama, becomes their leading receiver. Very reliable hands.
51:58Did not have a 50 plus yard catch during his college career.
52:02So it's going to have to be a guy that dominates in the target department, not in the big play department.
52:08And I don't know, like, am I really expecting an offense with DK Metcalf and Michael Pittman and an assortment of tight
52:14ends to get the rookie receiver that involved early?
52:16My answer is no. No, probably not. He'll need an injury.
52:19And also Roman Wilson, apparently, is a three job locked down right now.
52:23I think that'll change at some point. It better.
52:25I mean, if Bernard can't pass him out after the struggles he's had, if he scratched the times last year, that would be a problem.
52:32But I agree. I think he's well off the fantasy radar right now.
52:36This one could intrigue me. It's Malachi Fields for the Giants third round pick who came to Notre Dame for his final
52:42college season and no drops last year. Great, great hands.
52:44He ran for six, two or something at the combine.
52:47Not fast. He's a contested catch specialist. We know who wide receiver one is in New York.
52:52It's Malik Neighbors. But when your wide receiver one is coming into the season banged up and we don't know who wide
52:58receiver two is, has me sort of intrigued. There's at least there's at least a little bit of buzz here.
53:03He had a beautiful toe tap touchdown in the corner of the end zone.
53:07Yeah, you have like Darius Slain and Darnell Mooney, like guys like that.
53:11Even Odell Beckham's there. Juju Smith-Schuster's there. There's a lot of these veteran receivers and they might just like soak up snaps early in the year.
53:18But at some point you have to imagine they take a longer look.
53:21When Odell Beckham Jr. is playing in the first preseason game, do we expect him to like still be on the roster?
53:27I do not. You don't think he makes the 53?
53:30I don't know. I feel like if you're a veteran playing preseason week one like that.
53:34Calvin Ridley did the same thing. Like I dropped Calvin Ridley completely out of my ranks after I saw him get time in week one.
53:41I could be way off here. I'll just say this is and we got to rip through some names.
53:46I have an update here is if it wasn't John Harbaugh as the coach, I could if it was like a coach
53:53who was already on the hot seat, you might be like keeping for the business moves.
53:57But John Harbaugh doesn't have to worry about the business side of football.
54:00He's going to make this team notable. And remember when they signed Juju and OBJ was when it was like, oh, we
54:06might not have neighbors for a while. Now it looks like we're going to have neighbors.
54:11All right. So this is more important than the rest of these names that we'll get to.
54:16Aaron Glenn, the Jets head coach, has said that Brees Hall is going to be out two to three weeks.
54:21OK, but he expects him to be ready for the season opener.
54:24Keep in mind, season opener is three weeks and five days from right now.
54:28So if it's that three weeks, it's still going to be a little dicey there.
54:32It's going to be hard to and this is a whatever, a groin injury.
54:36So just keep an eye on that one there.
54:39We'll talk about that more during the show tomorrow.
54:41Yeah, I would just say quickly instant reaction if you're drafting today is maybe it breaks a tie.
54:46Like maybe you go the other direction. That's about it.
54:49I'm not moving. And John Judkins, Cam Scadaboo, those type of players graded or ranked similarly to or go right wide receiver there.
54:55Yeah, just really quick on some names here. Chicope Lane for the Ravens generate a lot of hype guys.
55:00I can't invest in a second wide receiver in the Baltimore offense.
55:04History has told us we can't do it there, too, even with a great camp.
55:08Cyrus Allen from the Chiefs having a great camp.
55:10I think it might be a little bit more of a story of the fact that the Chiefs are relying on a
55:16fifth round receiver to be a highlight player. Totally serviceable double digit round investment.
55:20But we'll see. Do you feel like you've heard more just like preseason hype around Cyrus Allen than you have heard about
55:26former first rounder Xavier Worthy in this Chiefs? Perhaps.
55:28But I would say this and like he could buck the trend.
55:32Every year that someone's getting pumped by the Chiefs.
55:34It's like every year. Justin Ross is it's it's I do.
55:37Yeah, that's you're right. Jalen Royals and Justin Ross.
55:40You're in a Patrick Mahomes lead offense. Any one of these.
55:43Carson Steele. Carson Steele. I was just like every year.
55:45I mean, they're one of the most well, you know, the preeminent franchise in the NFL for the last decade.
55:51Like they're going to be covered extensively. So there's been a lot of guys that have generated a lot of hype in
55:57Kansas City and have not paid off. Fernando Mendoza.
55:59We can talk about that later. Zachariah Branch for the Falcons.
56:02Excellent after the catch, but we're focused on Drake London and Kyle Pitts.
56:06Yeah. And Peter Robinson. Skylar Bell doesn't sound like he's a factor right now for the Bills.
56:11Wide receiver five. It looks like. Yep. And then Ted Hurst for the Buccaneers.
56:14More intrigued because of the Mecca Abuka injury situation, but still has a ways to go.
56:19All right. What about some rookie running back dart throats here field?
56:22We've got eight minutes left. Running back is a little bit thinner.
56:25I think it's important to know these names because they're insurance backs.
56:29Mike Washington Jr. His final college season. Yeah. Looks at that 53 yard run for Vegas in their season opener.
56:34Average over six yards per carry for Arkansas. He is the classic height, weight, speed running back.
56:39A lot of all those things. And Clint Kubiak has said he wants to be a little bit more equitable in the backfield.
56:45Fantasy wise. He's only a factor if Jente's hurt.
56:48No doubt. Emmett Johnson, fifth round pick for the Chiefs out of Nebraska.
56:51One of the positives, according to Andrew Reid, coming out of that first preseason game ran well.
56:56Thought he probably got underdrafted a little bit. It's a Ken Walker show though, right?
57:00But he's a Ken Walker insurance boss. Don't forget who his competition is.
57:04Harsin Steele. Amari Di Mercado. That's right. Amari. That's right.
57:06Keep calm. Battling for that two job. One of the surprises in the NFL draft is Kalen Black.
57:11He went the third round out of Indiana. A non-combite invitee going to the third round.
57:16That's rare. We'll see. The Niners have this history of drafting running backs under Kyle Shanahan.
57:20And they ever work out. Not really working out.
57:22Yes. Like the way he ran. Like the college production last year.
57:26But I am hesitant to invest in him. I'm not even sure that if something happens with CMC, he would be the guy to himself.
57:33I think it would be a committee. Jonah Coleman.
57:35He's been a buzzy guy in preseason. I would say this.
57:38I like the player. I like the skill set.
57:41There's a little bit of Sean Payton. He had a little bit of the same thing with Kansas City we were talking about.
57:47Every year there's a Sean Payton guy that, you know, he's buzzing.
57:50He's doing this and that, right? Marvin Mims and these guys and Pat Bryant.
57:54Not all of those have really amounted to much.
57:56So not fine as a late round dart throw.
57:59But I am not convinced that Jonah Coleman is going to have a big role.
58:03I think he might be better than R.J. Harvey.
58:05Certainly as a runner, though. So he's very intriguing to me.
58:09I feel like if something happens to J.K. Dobbins.
58:11And look, Dobbins swears he won't miss a game this year.
58:14Obviously, he can't really control that. But if something happens to Dobbins, Coleman's going to be the headliner on our waiver show.
58:20I mean, so that puts him in that tier with those late round running backs.
58:24You didn't like him down the stretch, R.J. Harvey?
58:27Not rushing efficiency. He's a capable pass catcher. And he took advantage of a good offense and scored a bunch of touchdowns.
58:33But he's going to regress to the mean in the touchdown department.
58:36And again, I think that Coleman's probably a better rushing.
58:39All of these Broncos running backs coming off the board crazy late, by the way.
58:43No one is in on either J.K. Dobbins. There's a tough backfield.
58:4613th round and R.J. Harvey, 14th round. So all of them are basically free to me.
58:50I like him. I'll probably be in on him in 27 if he's their lead back.
58:55Last name for the running backs, Adam Randall. And sorry to rip through some of these guys, but like not a great rookie class.
59:01Trevor, who finished up as a running back during his time with the Tigers.
59:05He and Derrick Henry weigh combined to nearly 500 pounds.
59:08It is a good looking running back room. I saw Adam Randall up close at the senior bowl last year.
59:13And you're like, oh my God, that guy's in the running back group.
59:17What about the tight end or the defensive end spot?
59:20He is really well built. I don't think he's particularly instinctive as a runner, but he's very unique because of the pass catching.
59:26It's the Derrick Henry show, though. It is Derrick Henry show in Baltimore.
59:30He has been Teflon Derrick Henry. So good to know who the backup would be if Derrick Henry exactly hanged up.
59:35And I think that's probably Adam Randall with a healthier dose of guys like Justice Hill.
59:40Yeah. Justice Hill more of a passing down guy.
59:42Probably not going to ever clear double digit carries in a game again, barring disaster.
59:46But Randall is an underrated insurance running back. I'd say it's a guy who we're not really talking about.
59:52But as soon as something happens to Derrick Henry, like who's the guy?
59:55And he's probably candidate. You know, he's going to get the goal line work and probably lead that team in carries him,
60:01which should be a pretty good offense. So don't forget that name.
60:04All right. Want to head to the mailbag. But first, we had a poll that we put out at the beginning of the show.
60:11Nope. Sorry. Never mind on that. We're going to some questions from the mailbag.
60:15This one comes from Orion. Orion wants to know what round is too high to take Stribbling?
60:20Mike, as our high aficionado, what high is too high?
60:22First round's way too high, I would say. Let's see.
60:25I'm looking at the names because I have him at 54.
60:28I keep moving him up. I've been drafting him, so I'm getting him in this range.
60:32But once you get to like, I'm looking at eight through 10, where it's like Jaden Reed and Worthy and Quentin Johnson and now Josh Downs.
60:40I think that is the vicinity. Maybe a hair ahead of that, like a Jordan Addison level, because it's not crushing your team if you miss.
60:47Right. And the upside is terrific. If you remember, this is an offense.
60:50It's probably an average nine or so yards per pass attempt, which is the extreme.
60:54That's like, but it's normal for Kyle Shanahan's offenses.
60:57So he should be highly efficient when he's on the field.
61:00And if he is an every down player, he's going to pay off at that ADP.
61:04Like it. So that's like ninth, tenth round, you're saying?
61:07Yeah. Okay. Somewhere in that range. So about ninth to tenth.
61:10Before that would be a little too. Before that's probably a little too high.
61:14I mean, I'm not going to crush you for like round eight, but you know.
61:18Sixth round. There's so much opportunity. Exactly right. You're doing something crazy there.
61:21Yeah. Yeah. All right. Next question that we have from our YouTube chat.
61:25This one comes from Riley Nagel wants to know, has Olave's value grown with Tyson being out for two months?
61:31Thinking of getting him as my wide receiver one.
61:33Mike, did you move the projections at all with this Tyson injury?
61:36Yeah. I moved Olave up a little bit as target share.
61:39I had projected down a hair from where he was last year.
61:43And now it's kind of meeting in the middle a little bit.
61:46So I did move him up ahead of Garrett Wilson, AJ Brown.
61:49And I guess I had him ahead of Malik Nabors already.
61:52So moved him up two spots. That's a potential.
61:55Is that wide receiver one range? Wide receiver ten?
61:57Ten. Ten. Yeah. Yeah. I think I have him wide receiver 11.
62:00He finished six wide receiver 12. So there wasn't a lot of room for him to grow.
62:05Right? So I think it's two things at once.
62:08It's a positive. It's also not, doesn't dramatically shift his outlook.
62:11Right. I think there's still a little bit of, while this injury can help Chris Olave, Chris Olave has dealt with his
62:17own thing that gives a little bit of some yellow flags as a part of drafting him as well, which is, you
62:23know, at least some of the thought process that I have.
62:26Yes. Unfortunately. All right. One more question that we have here from chat.
62:29We're going to do our poll from earlier. In fact, guys, are you excited to draft any Colts wide receiver?
62:35Yes. Who are the 22% of sickos that said yes?
62:37And who do they want to draft? Oh, Mike.
62:40Mike just spammed the vote for a hundred of them.
62:43That was all me. Yeah. Look, it's just the fact that Alec Pierce has fallen so far.
62:47I get to a point in my draft where I'm like, I'll take that shot because if he's active in week one,
62:53I'm going to be in a really good spot.
62:56Yeah. We're on one side of the ledger and you're on the other side of the ledger.
63:00I get it though. I get, I get why people, I don't know.
63:04It's hard for me to get fired up after them right now.
63:07I agree. Best ball feels different though. I love Alec Pierce and best ball.
63:11Very different conversation though. All right. We're coming back tomorrow.
63:14Really excited to be with you guys again. Thanks for hanging out with us today.
63:18Don't forget to love each other and be kind to yourself.
63:21You deserve it. We love you guys. We'll see you on Wednesday.
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