0:00No one goes to Hank's for his spreadsheets. They go for a darn good pizza.
0:05Lately, though, the shop's been quiet, so Hank decides to bring back the $1 slice.
0:09He asks Copilot in Microsoft Excel to look at his sales and costs to help him see if he can afford it.
0:16Copilot shows Hank where the money's going and which little extras make the dollar slice work.
0:21Now Hank's has a line out the door. Hank makes the pizza.
0:25Copilot handles the spreadsheets. Learn more at m365copilot.com slash work.
0:28What I am most excited about is what you just allude to, this marriage of skill sets.
0:34Hey, I'm Liz Loza. This is Fantasy Focus Football, and today's fact is that sometimes you just need a little change of scenery.
0:41We have got Dopp in a box. Look at him pop right up.
0:45That is adorable, Daniel. How are you? I'm good.
0:48My knees are sore. I'm not as sprightly as I used to be.
0:52It's a small box back here, but it is comfortable still.
0:55Well, I'm glad that you're finding it comfortable because you're going to be in there for the rest of the season.
1:02Wait, are you telling me that I'm going to be a part of Facts vs.
1:06Feelings for the rest of the 2026 football season?
1:09Every single week, my friend. I just feel like you did the Jonah Hill gift right there.
1:15I'm happy that you're happy. Yeah, I'm so pumped.
1:17This is going to be a blast. Are you kidding me?
1:21Why not put another shrimp on the barbie, mate?
1:24Wait. Wow, why are we doing an Australian accent?
1:26Don't you know that the USMNT beat the Socceroos?
1:29You're right. That was an Australian accent we're trying to do right now.
1:33You're right. Also, this show is not for football.
1:36That's right. It is for football. American football. We were never meant to talk about the other ones.
1:42So let's dive into a couple players here. Some old faces potentially smashing in new places.
1:47Liz Loza, I'm going to start in New England where Arthur Juan Brown got traded from Philly to the New England Patriots.
1:54He's going to be the wide receiver one for Drake May.
1:57We've been waiting for him to be able to have someone other than Philadelphia as his team.
2:02How are you feeling about him now on the Patriots?
2:06Well, first of all, we love a little reunion.
2:08Obviously, Brown and Mike Rabel reuniting. Rabel was his coach back in Tennessee at the top of his career.
2:14But I think the point I am most excited about is what you just allude to, this marriage of skill sets between May and Brown.
2:22Drake May, obviously one of the best deep ball throwers in the league.
2:26Last year, he was the QB four in deep ball attempts and the QB two in air yards per attempt.
2:32That works out very well for Brown, who is an elite vertical threat per our colleague Field Yates.
2:38Here's a fun stat. Over the past four seasons, Brown has registered 18 receiving touchdowns on balls, thrown 20 plus air yards down the field.
2:46No other player in the NFL has had as many.
2:49So we know that the Giants flash plays, those big plays should be there between these two.
2:54We also know that the volume is going to be there with Stefan Diggs no longer in New England.
3:00He drew over 100 targets last season. And that was as the team was managing his snaps and he was coming back from an ACL issue.
3:09So I do think that Brown is going to see a massive target share here really produce.
3:14I have him ranked as my wide receiver 11, but I do think he has wide receiver five upside.
3:20I am totally with you. Love all of that analysis, Liz.
3:23I have him as my wide receiver 12. He has been a top 13 wide receiver in five of his last six seasons.
3:30And hopefully you can do it again here when he is in New England.
3:35All right, let's move ahead and talk about Wondell Robinson, who has been smashing in the target share department, but now moves
3:42on to the Tennessee Titans with Cam Ward signed a four year, $70 million contract.
3:46Going to have to share some time, though, with some young pups in this offense.
3:51How are you feeling about Wondell in Tennessee? Well, a couple of things.
3:55I don't think that in Tennessee, actually another reunion, right?
3:58Robinson reuniting with Brian Dable, who's the Titans new offensive coordinator and obviously was the coach while Robinson was in New York.
4:05So another reunion where we feel comfortable with, especially because Dable obviously likes the talent and veteran presence that Robinson brings and knows how to properly utilize him.
4:14Robinson is interesting because he especially thrives as a high floor player, a security blanket in the short to intermediate range of the field.
4:21Great slot guy. I don't think he's going to see 140 targets like he has drawn over the past two seasons.
4:28He's going to really help Cam Ward stay honest.
4:31And I think he's going to work as a safety valve.
4:34He's going to see still a solid number of looks.
4:37And we know that he is really reliable in that regard.
4:41And I like his ADP. Right now, he is staying on draft boards until the 11th or 12th rounds.
4:47I expect him to have really secure flex appeal as a PPR monster this season.
4:52So the value is fantastic. One more I want to bring to the table.
4:56Someone that's near and dear to both of our hearts.
4:59David Montgomery used to be on your Bears. Now used to be on my Detroit Lions.
5:04Houston's officially a Houston Texan. Going to be the RB1 in that offense.
5:08How are you feeling about Manny now being separate from Jameer Gibbs and getting his own workload in Houston?
5:14First of all, my favorite David Montgomery fun fact.
5:17He was an Eagle Scout growing up. So we know he is resourceful.
5:21And he has proven such in every single stop.
5:24I also think that he has the skill set, while not incredibly electric or dynamic, but to be a serviceable every down back.
5:31We saw him play the role of Knuckles to, as you mentioned, Jameer Gibbs Sonic in Detroit last year, though.
5:37Wheels fell off the wagon a little bit. Volume really receded.
5:41He was the RB31 in fantasy points per game.
5:44But I think the volume forces a rebound in Houston.
5:47The Texans did nothing in the draft to add competition, leaving him and just Woody Marks, who did flash as a rookie,
5:54but also demonstrated that he wasn't really up to the task to being a primary ball carrier.
5:59I think that means that Monty is going to see probably 15 to 17 touches per game.
6:04And that kind of volume makes him a low-end RB2, maybe in a deeper league, a high-end RB3.
6:10But when you look at the scarcity at the running back position, I am all over his value with a very nice overall ADP of 69.9.
6:18Yeah, that is quite nice. Liz, all the things that you line up, I'm a little bit worried about the touchdown equity
6:25in the Houston offense, but that's why he's going as RB20 to 25, not RB15 like he was the last two years.
6:32So hopefully still some good things on the horizon for David Montgomery.
6:35All right, just like for us, good things on the horizon.
6:39Like Liz said, we're going to be here the entirety of the season.
6:43Make sure you head on over to the NFL on ESPN YouTube page.
6:47Subscribe to us there, and you can hang out with us every single Thursday.
6:51We need to do facts versus feelings. Also, if you listen to this as a podcast, please leave us a five-star review wherever you listen to podcasts.
7:00It helps out tremendously. And last but not least, our voicemail line is back, which means if you've got questions, fantasy questions,
7:07draft questions, relationship advice questions, anything that you got, Liz is good at most of it.
7:12I'm good at the other stuff. So between the two of us, we have got you covered.
7:17The voicemail line number is Liz Loza. 3-2-3-3-9-1-4-8-5-5. Nailed it.
7:20Nailed it. MLB.tv on ESPN is your home for every out-of-market game, live or on demand.
7:25Catch your favorite teams and players, plus MLB Network and ESPN app features like Multiview, syncing your stats, key plays, bets, and fantasy all in one place.
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7:37Separate subscriptions required. Blackouts and other terms apply. Visit stream.espn.com slash MLB.tv for more information.
7:41This is a safe place. It's a place where we can feel free sharing our feelings.
7:46Now let's get comfortable on the couch for some fantasy therapy, a safe space for all your fantasy football questions.
7:53Dopp, who do we have first? First question, Liz Loza.
7:56This is a voicemail from Yosef Coulter from Milwaukee.
7:58Yosef Coulter from Milwaukee. Where does Omarion Hampton rank among running backs coming into the 2026 NFL season?
8:04Well, Yosef, thank you for calling in. And I will admit that I am very bullish on Omarion Hampton.
8:10He's currently my RB8. But if I was on one and someone really wanted to talk me into something, I think I
8:17could rank him as high as my RB5. I think I could move him up.
8:22And I might just, as the summer continues to unfold, there is so much to like here in Los Angeles for Hampton
8:29coming into his second season, obviously starting with the offensive line, which appears to be back to health.
8:34Additionally, the addition of Charlie Kohler tight end from the Baltimore Ravens.
8:38The Chargers made him the highest paid blocking tight end in the NFL.
8:42So I think that says something a lot, rather, about bolstering this offensive line and providing lanes for Hampton.
8:48And I'm probably bearing the lead here. But obviously, Mike McDaniel coming along the run game savant should help lift this entire run game.
8:55Obviously, benefiting Hampton, who also has, as we know, an every down skill set.
9:00All right. Next question is a DM. This one comes from MQ127 says, Dontavian Wicks, will he emerge in Philly?
9:06Wow. Well, I appreciate that this listener has been doing some research because I do think there's a good chance that Wicks
9:13could at least start the season as the Byrds' number two wide receiver.
9:17He signed a one-year extension worth $12 million with the bulk of that money guaranteed.
9:22So I think that's a vote of confidence that Wicks could work as a stopgap.
9:26Obviously, that's the asterisk here. While Makai Lemon, who the team added via the draft in the first round, finds his pro legs.
9:34Also, we've been talking about reunions, it seems, all episode long.
9:37And Sean Mannion, who was the QB's coach in Green Bay last year, is now the Eagles offensive coordinator.
9:43So some familiarity there. I don't really think you need to draft Wicks.
9:47I want to see how the summer unfolds. But I do think maybe you're keeping an eye on him or potentially stashing him in a deeper league.
9:56All right. This next question comes from at G.
9:58G. Buttersnaps wants to know, how high do we draft George Pickens?
10:02By the way, return question. Thank you for sending in another question this week, G.
10:07Buttersnaps. We love a G. Buttersnap. And we love George Pickens, who is currently going in the third round.
10:13I might, you know, depending on my league size, reach for him at the back of the second round.
10:19I think he bet on himself last year and it really worked out in his favor.
10:24Obviously, it is wonderful to attach yourself to a high octane offense that is led by a capable signal caller because there
10:31tends to be enough production to support two fantasy relevant wide receivers, as we saw with Lamb and Pickens last year.
10:37Now, Pickens obviously got a bit of a boost when Lamb missed three weeks, but his target share did not change that much.
10:44In fact, weeks four to six without Lamb, Pickens averaged 8.6 targets per game.
10:49Week seven through 18 once Lamb returned, 8.1 targets per game.
10:52His fantasy numbers per game were, again, inflated because he just scored so many dang touchdowns while Lamb was sidelined.
10:59But I think we really like this pairing. I believe that Pickens is going to be a low-end wide receiver one.
11:05That's where I have him ranked. So again, I think his ADP right now is fair.
11:10If you can get him in the third round, great.
11:13You want to reach because you believe into the back half of the second.
11:18I don't hate it. I'm with you on this one.
11:21Liz, where he's going right now is wide receiver 12.
11:24You're going to have, this is the best team right now, the two best wide receivers, I believe, in fantasy football from one team.
11:31And it's the Dallas Cowboys. They're going to throw the ball a ton.
11:35Well, I do want to add, though, I don't think his target share is going to be the same this year as
11:42it was last year because I do think the defense will improve in Dallas.
11:47Now, you know, who knows? But I don't think we can bet on it being as bad.
11:52So I do think the target share might go down a little bit, but not significant enough for me to slide him down my rankings at all.
12:01Yes, he did very well, even with CeeDee Lamb there and did great when CeeDee Lamb wasn't there.
12:06If anything happens again, you'd have a wide receiver one in your hands immediately.
12:11All right. Last question we have from at Collins J.
12:14A 1967, Liz, Geno Smith and the Jets' number two wide receiver situation.
12:18I mean, it's very much up for grabs. And when we're talking about first Geno Smith, though, I think Geno Smith is
12:25probably better for the receivers in his ability to add stability than as a fantasy option at the quarterback position.
12:31Right. We're not really drafting Geno Smith unless we're talking about a super flex league.
12:36And even then, I think there might be some better, higher upside options.
12:40And to that point, I think that upside options is what I want.
12:44So I'm not really interested in betting on Aidy Mitchell here, who is the theoretical number two behind Garrett Wilson.
12:50I'm frankly not really interested in investing in a lot of the Jets beyond Garrett Wilson and Brees Hall.
12:56Yeah. And if I had to pick someone in this offensive list, we see it very similarly.
13:01Kenyon Sadiq, I guess, is the guy that maybe I have the most excitement on because outside of Garrett Wilson, right?
13:08We're talking about the rookies and new guys that are coming in.
13:12I feel like Sadiq is the one that I would probably have more excitement on than actually one of those number two
13:18wide receivers, hoping that he can develop. We've seen rookie tight ends do really well recently in the NFL.
13:24So maybe he can be one of those guys.
13:27Can be another safety valve for Geno Smith. Yeah.
13:30He obviously has the athletic profile to do something like that.
13:34And why not take a flyer on a position that is much more shallow than wide receiver?
13:39All right, Daniel, you went from a little box to a big box, which signals to me and the audience that you
13:46are coming on for a guest segment right now.
13:49Love that. It's not about the size of the box.
13:52It's how you use it, Liz. What kind of a segment is this?
13:56Well, we are going to play a little game like we do with all of our guests called fact or feeling.
14:02I'm going to read a statement. You will tell me whether it is a fact or feeling.
14:08And then, you know, we'll wrap things up with maybe a spicy take.
14:12Sound good? Okay, I can handle this. Let's do it.
14:15All right, let's start with number one. Fact or feeling Brock Bowers is worth drafting in the second round?
14:21That is a feeling. I just think that's too early.
14:24I don't think that Brock Bowers is necessarily going to be a bust.
14:28But based on where I think some other tight ends are going to finish this year, that ADP is just a little too rich for me.
14:36I'd rather wait and grab a tight end a little later on in drafts and find someone else in the second round
14:43that I think has a better positional value at that point of the draft than go with Brock Bowers.
14:49Again, not saying he's going to be a bust, but just for me, not worth it in the second round.
14:55Agree completely. Factor feeling. The Lions will finish this season.
14:58Oh my gosh. With a better record than the Bears.
15:02I don't like that. Liz, why don't you give me that fourth place schedule?
15:06Of course they're going to finish with a better record than the Bears, but I do want to say this.
15:12I do think that the Lions and Bears are going to be the top two NFC North teams for a number of years in a row.
15:20Everything that both of these coaching staffs, these organizations, the way that they have acquired their players, it just feels like we are both of us.
15:28We're going to be the top two there. But this year with that fourth place schedule, we have a much easier schedule across the board.
15:36Yeah. And so I think because of that, it just tips the scales in our direction a little bit.
15:42Also, not to be overly superstitious, though, we all know how much I like to sage spaces.
15:48Little bit nervous about Caleb Williams. The Madden cover.
15:50Yeah. Yes. The curse. I didn't like it. I didn't like it.
15:54It gave me the ick. But you know what?
15:57We're just going to lean in and appreciate what happened and what can happen in the future.
16:02All right. Moving on. Factor feeling. Tyler Warren is going to have a sophomore slump.
16:07That is a feeling. I think Tyler Warren is a great tight end this year.
16:12A couple of reasons. Michael Pittman Jr. No longer there.
16:15That means that a lot of those over the middle targets that he was soaking up has to go to somebody.
16:21Do I think it will go to Alec Pierce?
16:24So they just paid $150 billion to run go routes to.
16:28No, I don't. I don't think that's where they want to use him.
16:32So the other guy that's there in my mind is going to be Josh Downs.
16:36And I think that if they're going to choose someone over the middle of the field, it's going to be that big
16:43tight end they drafted last year in the first round.
16:46It's again one of the reasons why I'm out on Brock Bauer so early.
16:51I think Tyler Warren is a great prospect this year, especially based on what his ADP is right now.
16:57And with Daniel Jones coming off of an Achilles tear, you know, it's going to take him a minute.
17:03He's going to need a safety valve. And Warren certainly proved that he could handle that role as a rookie.
17:09So I agree there as well. Factor feeling. Going on tour for two weeks with a rock band is far better than going on a tropical vacation.
17:17That is a fact. And it's not even close.
17:20No offense to the tropical vacation. Yes. Put me in a van with nine other dudes for two weeks any day of the week.
17:28I would rather have that. No offense to my wonderful wife, Rosie, who is I'm sure fantastic to spend two weeks with at a beach in the Bahamas.
17:37But just give me the guys in a van.
17:39I've done that with your wife, by the way.
17:42You have. Actually, that is true. That is true.
17:45But I think put me in a van and let's go around.
17:49Give me thousands of miles. We're going to see a bunch of different cities.
17:53You're going to play shows every night. Come on.
17:56That's that's the life I would much rather. Yeah, I got to admit, Daniel, from my perspective, getting in a van with
18:03putting me in a van with seven dudes sounds like the beginning of a true crime story.
18:08Not any sort of vacation. So no, thank you.
18:11Anyway, to each their own. Moving on. Fact or feeling.
18:14Jalen McMillan is a late round steal in fantasy drafts.
18:17That is a fact. I really like Jalen McMillan right now coming off the board at 163, which means he's not even being drafted.
18:25160 is the end of the draft. So only going in a handful of drafts by people that really want to take a stab at him late.
18:33And I love the idea of as the wide receiver three in this Tampa offense.
18:38No Mike Evans. Chris Godwin coming back, but he's still a little bit older and he's not fully there yet.
18:44If there's any time in which Chris Godwin misses any games this year, Jalen McMillan is going to be the wide receiver too.
18:51And he crushed it his rookie year down the stretch.
18:54Final four games of the season. Last year, week 17 had an unbelievable game when the Bucs have had to count on him.
19:02He has absolutely come through. So for the fact that he is costing you nothing to throw a dart for one of Baker Mayfield's potentially trusted targets.
19:10Again, this only happens if Chris Godwin either gets hurt or something happens.
19:14A role kind of has to vacate here. But I love him as one of those options to consider because I think
19:21there's more meat on the Jalen McMillan bone than people are given credit for.
19:25Definitely another drumbeat player to keep your ear to the ground on and a potential breakout candidate.
19:31There could be something brewing here. So I like that as well.
19:35Finally, I mentioned I would ask you for a spicy take.
19:38Here's your opportunity to give us your way too early hot take for 2026.
19:42My way too early hot take for 2026 is that Christian McCaffrey will finish outside the top seven of running backs.
19:49I actually have him ranked as RB9 right now.
19:52That is courageous because the rest of us have not had the gumption to move our rankings despite the fact that I
19:59think the bulk of the ESPN rankers feel very similarly.
20:02And I will admit that I've been avoiding him in drafts.
20:05So I should probably, if I'm being transparent, follow your suit.
20:09Well, it's hard because you're really putting yourself out there when you do it.
20:13But I got to this point where as I'm doing drafts, I just recognize one, I'm not drafting Christian McCaffrey because he
20:20doesn't fall far enough to get to me. But there's no one in that range where he's going where I would rather have him over those guys.
20:28To be honest, with all the touches that he had last year, and I said the same thing about Saquon last season,
20:35Christian McCaffrey had 450 touches last season. And this is a guy I was all in last year coming off the injury.
20:42But yes, now at 30, after having so many touches last year with the injury history and the age, unfortunately, that he
20:49is at, I feel like I would rather have some of the what I think is a surer bet and some of
20:56the younger guys than going with a guy that has an injury history and has seen an historical workload that potentially impacts
21:03what his season could be here in 2026. So for me, even though it might seem crazy, I'm trying to put my
21:10money where my mouth is or my ranking where my mouth is.
21:14I've got Christian McCaffrey as RB9 right now in my rankings.
21:17Do you have Omari and Hampton ranked ahead of him?
21:20I, in fact, do. He is my RB8. Bold, bold.
21:23I love it. I love the gumption. I love the honesty.
21:27I love the analysis. And I love having you on the show every single week.
21:31Thanks for being here. And I'll see you again next Thursday.
21:35Sounds like a plan. Last call. Today we learned that AJ Brown and Drake May are a potential match made in fantasy
21:42heaven, that Daniel Dobb really does struggle with accents, and that a change of scenery can provide the exact lift you need.
21:49After all, you can't grow in a place that keeps you stuck.
21:52Remember, you can leave us a voicemail. Go ahead and hit us up at 323-391-4855.
21:57Until next time, may your facts be solid, your feelings be right, and your busts be someone else's problem.