0:00We just got a pretty big injury update
0:01and I think it's going to give you a
0:02sell high opportunity, but I want to
0:04talk about eight total players in this
0:06video and one of them is actually on my
0:09own team that I'm going to be trying to
0:10sell high. Now, we're going to start
0:12with the most expensive and then we're
0:14going to go to the cheapest. So, I am
0:16starting here with Chris Lave as a sell
0:19high candidate. Now, maybe you're going
0:20to roll your eyes and say, "Mason,
0:22you're an idiot, man. You sold this guy
0:24for peanuts this off season." Which,
0:26yeah, may or may not be true. But
0:29anyway, with the Ave, I want to go
0:30through and talk about what happened
0:32week one and what the future outlook
0:34should be. So, Chris Ave was dominant.
0:36He is currently leading the NFL in
0:39receiving yards and the expectations
0:41week one were sky-high. We had him as a
0:43borderline top five wide receiver in our
0:46week one rankings because we looked at
0:48the markets and the markets said that
0:51the Detroit Lions New Orleans Saints
0:53game projected to be the highest scoring
0:55game of the week. So, with that in mind,
0:57we assume that we were going to get a
0:58lot of Tyler Shuck drop backs. We were
1:00going to see New Orleans Saints put
1:02points up on the board. And given the
1:04fact the Lions were pretty heavily
1:05favored, um, the Saints were probably
1:07going to have to be throwing the ball in
1:08the second half. All of that came true.
1:11It really did. And that led to Chris Ave
1:14seeing 182 receiving yards, 13 targets,
1:18and 10 receptions. That's phenomenal.
1:22Obviously, incredible.
1:24But if we actually go through and look
1:26at the market share numbers here, it
1:28maybe isn't as compelling as it may
1:30seem. Tyler Shuck in this game, he had a
1:33total of 56 pass attempts. So with those
1:3856 pass attempts that Tyler Shuck had,
1:40if we look at the 13 targets for Crystal
1:42Lave, from a market share perspective,
1:45it wasn't anything crazy high, right?
1:48These numbers ended up getting inflated
1:50because this game went to overtime and
1:52it was a perfect game environment for
1:54this New Orleans Saints offense. Now,
1:56you could have a rebuttal here that's
1:58very fair that Chris Ave was in and out
2:00of the injury tent in two separate
2:02occasions for this game. So, maybe he
2:05would have seen more targets if he
2:06managed to stay fully healthy throughout
2:08the entire game. But, that's kind of the
2:10concern that we have here with Chris
2:12Ave. It's one of the reasons why I did
2:14decide to go through and actually trade
2:16him before the season because obviously
2:18everybody likes to mention the
2:20concussion history that you have with
2:21Tua and talk about how bad it is that
2:24Tua gets one wrong hit to the head and
2:26he's done for the year. That same risk
2:29does somewhat apply here with Chris Ave.
2:32If we go back to 2024, he only played
2:34eight games for that. So, one, I think
2:37Ave does maybe represent a slightly
2:39higher injury risk than some other wide
2:42receivers in this range. Two, I think
2:44that the New Orleans Saints offense is
2:46going to scale back quite dramatically
2:50and we shouldn't expect Tyler Shuck to
2:52have over 400 passing yards a game going
2:54into the future. And three, while he is
2:57out of everybody's minds right now, and
3:00obviously he's not going to make an
3:01impact whatsoever over the next month, I
3:04would say Jordan Tyson in the second
3:06half of the season is still going to be
3:08a wide receiver that can come in and
3:10squeeze a lav for targets. So for me, I
3:13think that the volume's coming down in
3:15this offense late in the year. a rookie
3:17wide receiver is going to push for some
3:19targets from a lav and a lav maybe is a
3:23slightly higher injury risk than what we
3:25have with some of the other players in
3:26this range. So if I were to go through
3:29and try to map out what I would be
3:30selling Chris Ave for, I would love to
3:33try to pivot from Chris Ave to Malik
3:36Neighbors where I think Neighbors is
3:37going to get better as time goes on and
3:39I am worried about a lav in the long
3:41term in comparison to right now and I
3:44would also try to sell Chris Ave plus a
3:47small piece to pivot over to CD Lamb as
3:50well. But let's move over to our next
3:52name and this is going to be someone
3:54else that went in a very similar range
3:57of drafts and that will be Rashid Rice.
4:00Now with Rasheed Rice, his fantasy day
4:03was okay this past week, right? He went
4:06out there and he scored about 10 fantasy
4:07points, but what we saw was it all come
4:11with one receiving touchdown. The
4:14underlying volume was non-existent. He
4:17had two targets for 19 receiving yards.
4:19And when we were live watching this game
4:21on the Flock League YouTube channel,
4:23what Davis was explaining is he was
4:25essentially saying as the resident
4:26Chiefs fan that Rasheed Rice's extremely
4:29low average depth of target over the
4:31past few years and kind of manufacture
4:33targets going in his direction were an
4:35extension of the run game, right? Cuz we
4:37looked at this Kansas City Chiefs team,
4:39they had no running backs of note for
4:41the past two, three seasons now. So, a
4:44lot of the short area field stuff that
4:46they needed to do had to be funneled
4:48through Rasheed Rice. And based on what
4:50we saw week one against the Denver
4:52Broncos, I am very concerned that that's
4:55now just going to get funneled through
4:57Kenneth Walker. Kenneth Walker is a
4:58better, more explosive player if we are
5:01talking about getting touches near the
5:02line of scrimmage. Now, if I'm looking
5:04from a pivot for Rasheed Rice, I am not
5:07going to panic. I would not sell Rasheed
5:09Rice for guys like Devont Smith, T.
5:11Agens, Christian Watson. Hell, I
5:13actually have Christian Watson on my own
5:15fantasy team, and I offered to trade
5:18Christian Watson for Rashi Rice just to
5:20see if Zufa in the Flock League was
5:22panicking. But if you could pivot from
5:25Rashid Rice to maybe another wide
5:27receiver that went in a similar range in
5:28your fantasy draft that also had a very
5:31bad week one like George Pickins, I
5:34think I'd be interested in that because
5:35I am more confident with the George
5:36Pickkins role going into the future,
5:38even if Pickkins scored fewer points
5:40than Rice this past week. Now, moving
5:43over to our next name, we are going to
5:45be looking at DeAndre Swift. And I
5:48completely understand you're going to be
5:49rolling your eyes when I tell you to
5:51sell a running back that just came out
5:53and legitimately won you your week. If
5:57you started DeAndre Swift and he dropped
5:5932 points, he had three rushing
6:02touchdowns, I understand you're over the
6:04moon with excitement. But I do want to
6:07be reasonable with our projections for
6:09this Chicago Bears offense going into
6:11the future. And one thing that's
6:13incredibly important to note is that
6:15Kyle Manungai had a decent role in this
6:17offense. Kyle Manungai was a running
6:19back that hyperextended his knee and
6:21missed pretty much all of training camp
6:23and the preeason. So I was expecting
6:25that Manungai's role was incredibly
6:28small. I really thought that that was
6:29going to be a player that frankly you
6:31just didn't really need to worry about.
6:33But no, it was like if we compare these
6:36two guys in week one. Kyle Manungai
6:38actually came through and he had 10
6:41carries himself, he had two targets out
6:43of the backfield in comparison to
6:44DeAndre Swift with 18 carries and one
6:47target. So, while this offense looked
6:50incredible, especially this run game, I
6:52do think it's going to be a little bit
6:53more of a running back by committee than
6:55I initially thought, which is why if you
6:57were using our draft sheets and you were
6:58using our rankings, I was actually
7:01higher than the market on DeAndre Swift
7:03coming into the season. But after seeing
7:05the usage in week one, I think if we can
7:07take advantage and sell him to one of
7:09your leaguemates that expects this to be
7:11the case all year long, I would be very
7:13interested in that. Like I would
7:14potentially be interested in you maybe
7:16going through and seeing if you could
7:18pivot off a player like DeAndre Swift
7:20and move over to Jeremiah Love, move
7:22over to Bree Hall, those younger running
7:25backs that I think are going to be able
7:26to um really just take the lion share of
7:30their backfield, especially in the
7:31second half of the season. Now, if you
7:33think Mason, you're an idiot here, man.
7:35The Chicago Bears offense is elite. And
7:37I'll be honest, it looks to be that way.
7:40If we go over and we look at Poly Market
7:41US right now, they actually currently
7:44have a market where Chicago is a 4 and a
7:47half point favorite over the Minnesota
7:49Vikings this week. And the Chicago Bears
7:52currently have a 53% chance of scoring
7:5526 or more total points. Um, that would
7:58be a fair argument to have that this is
8:00all of a sudden just the Detroit Lions
8:01with Ben Johnson carrying it over to
8:03Chicago. But of course, if you wanted to
8:05check out any of those markets, you can
8:06find the link to Poly Market US in the
8:08description as well as the comment
8:10section of this video. And if you sign
8:12up with code flock, you are going to get
8:14$50 added to your account after you
8:15deposit your first 10. And Poly Market
8:17US is available in 49 out of 50 states,
8:21only not in Nevada. Now, let's move over
8:24to Travis ETN. with ETN. I have him on
8:27my own fantasy team and I am very much
8:30concerned. I thought that he was going
8:31to be set up to absolutely smash. Very
8:35similar to Chris Ave. This is somebody
8:37that I had so damn high in my week one
8:40rankings cuz I was looking at no Alvin
8:43Kamara and Condre Miller being the
8:44running back too and saying, "Well, you
8:46know what? Etn is going to see every
8:49single touch in this backfield. He's
8:51going to have every single carry. He's
8:53going to have every single target." And
8:55while yes, um he did have a really nice
8:58role as a receiver, like he came through
9:00and this past week he had nine targets
9:03out of the backfield. And keep in mind,
9:05this team kind of had to abandon the run
9:07just because ultimately they fell too
9:09far behind in this game. Miller actually
9:11did steal a rushing touchdown. He had
9:14nine carries in comparison to Travis ETN
9:17with nine carries. So even in the best
9:19case scenario now when Alvin Kamara does
9:22miss time um Travis ETN looks like he is
9:26still the lead back don't get me wrong
9:28but he is not a 80% snapshare level
9:31player. It's not like we can confidently
9:33project him to be seeing 20 plus
9:35opportunities per game. And while the
9:37New Orleans Saints they were able to put
9:39up a considerable amount of points this
9:41past week and this is still a very bad
9:43Saints team. Like if we go ahead and
9:45look at the spread that we have against
9:47the Baltimore Ravens right now, the
9:48current spread is Baltimore to win by 7
9:52and a half points and the New Orleans
9:54Saints project to only score 19.5 points
9:57in this matchup. So I'm very concerned
10:00about the Saints offense and at the same
10:02time I think there are red flags with
10:03ETN. Now I know my league, they really
10:06didn't like Travis ETN. There's a reason
10:08he fell down to the four five turn. But
10:10if somehow in your league you can take
10:12Travis Ten plus a small piece and try to
10:14move over to a running back that the
10:16role looks more promising like Bucky
10:18Irving or a running back that's going to
10:19expand his role as time goes on like
10:21Jeremiah Love. I do think that would be
10:23very interesting. Now going over to
10:27another running back here. We are going
10:29to talk about Remandre Stevenson. Now,
10:31if you can't tell, a big thing that I'm
10:34doing with this video is I am trying to
10:36find guys that were great week one
10:39players that we would expect that their
10:42volume potentially goes down in the
10:43future due to competition. And that is
10:46exactly what Raandre Stevenson was.
10:48Raandre Stevenson in week one was an
10:52absolute muststart jam even in a tough
10:55matchup against the Seattle Seahawks
10:57because we could look at Stephvenson and
10:59go all right well um without them having
11:03Trevon Henderson there is just no way
11:06that we could go through and project any
11:08other running back to have volume. So
11:10Raandre's a lock to see 20 plus touches.
11:13That's effectively what happened. Now
11:15did Roandre Stevenson look very good?
11:17Did this Patriots offense look very
11:19good? No to both of those questions. I
11:22do have a lot of faith with the Patriots
11:23offense bouncing back, but what I'm very
11:26concerned about is based on how Arandre
11:28looked and how the efficiency wasn't
11:30exactly there. If Trevian Henderson does
11:32make himself a complimentary running
11:35back in this backfield this week, if
11:37Trevian Henderson is back from his
11:39ankle, I would move Raandre from being a
11:41must-start running back week one to an
11:44uninspiring running back in a committee
11:46week two. Now, yes, he's probably going
11:48to be the lead running back for the New
11:49England Patriots. He's probably their
11:51starter, and Trevian Henderson's
11:52probably playing second fiddle, but I
11:54don't know if Raandre is a good enough
11:56player to be able to overcome a
11:59committee and be a top 20 running back
12:01in fantasy. So, if I was looking at a
12:03pivot to try to sell off of Raandre,
12:05again, very similar. I don't want to
12:07look at running backs that we think
12:08they're going to get added competition
12:10to their backfield sooner rather than
12:12later. So, I would actually be
12:14interested in pivoting off of Raandre
12:16Stevenson and going to a running back
12:18that's in uh good offense that probably
12:21will expand his role in the future like
12:22Jadarian Price. Even if Jaderian Price
12:25may be lower in my week two rankings,
12:27rest of season, I'd way rather have the
12:29rookie. Or we can go over and look at a
12:31running back that face planted week one
12:32because his offense is a train wreck in
12:35Quinn Sean Judkins and say, "Hey, you
12:37know what? Dylan Samson to the IR.
12:39Judkins probably gets used a little bit
12:41more as a receiver than he did
12:42previously. So I think Raadre to Price
12:45or Judkins pivots would make a lot of
12:48sense. Now let's go over to Rome Adun. I
12:51am surprised to not see the creators on
12:56flockfantasy.com
12:58move Rome Adun down their rankings after
13:00week one. I currently have Rome ranked
13:03at 65 overall. I currently have him
13:07ranked at wide receiver 30. So, I would
13:09be viewing him as a mid wide receiver
13:12three in fantasy football that I would
13:14prefer to have on my bench, but will
13:16have a high ceiling. So, if you needed a
13:17flex, you can go ahead and get him in.
13:19But the usage that we had here for all
13:22the Bears pass catchers where we had a
13:24bunch of these random guys actually
13:26drawing targets is concerning because
13:28what we've historically seen with a lot
13:30of these offenses that put up top wide
13:32receiver production is they are
13:34extremely concentrated. Right? There are
13:36two, three guys that get every single
13:38target and they are going to be elite in
13:39fantasy even if they have to compete
13:41against each other. And that could have
13:43been the outcome with Rome. That could
13:44have been the outcome with Burden. That
13:46could have been the outcome with Coulson
13:47Lovelin this year. But now all of a
13:49sudden that we have these random guys
13:51like Khif Raymond drawing targets here
13:53for the Chicago Bears. While I don't
13:55think Khalif Raymond's any good at all,
13:57and while of course I would way rather
13:59have Burden, way rather have Rome than
14:00him rest of season, just the fact that
14:03this ball's not going to be super
14:04concentrated into their top three names,
14:06I am now worried that the pass catchers
14:08here maybe are a little bit too crowded
14:11for a rush first offense specifically.
14:14And of course, yeah, the Chicago Bears
14:16dropped 59 points week one, but again,
14:19this is a sell high video. I'm going
14:21through and trying to figure out
14:22offenses and players that may disappoint
14:25slightly with people's new expectations
14:27based on the first week of the season.
14:29If I were to be looking to pivot off of
14:31Roma, I think I would be trying to add
14:35to Rome to try to get to like Jameson
14:38Williams. I think that would be a very
14:40interesting move. Now, the last player
14:42we are going to have in this sell high
14:44video is going to be Aaron Jones. And
14:47it's very much going to be dependent on
14:48your league. Now, most leagues, I would
14:50say, they're not going to overreact with
14:53this Jordan Mason Aaron Jones news. But
14:57if your league mates now view Aaron
14:59Jones as a set it and forget it, must
15:02start running back every single week
15:03with a lot of upside because he has a
15:06ton of name brand appeal. I think I
15:08would sell off of this Jordan Mason
15:10news. Just in case you didn't see,
15:12Jordan Mason is going to the injured
15:14reserve. And with that, Aaron Jones has
15:17the backfield effectively to himself for
15:19the next month or so. But I do want to
15:22revisit what Aaron Jones has been as of
15:25late in his NFL career because um
15:28realistically we have not seen the
15:30ceiling from him in a very long time. So
15:34going through and pulling this up, the
15:36last time we had a 20point performance
15:40from Aaron Jones was 2024. Yes, that is
15:43correct. He did not have a single 20
15:46point game in 2025. And that 20 point
15:49per performance in 2024 was 20.6
15:53in week seven. Keep in mind for the
15:56Minnesota Vikings this season, Aaron
15:58Jones didn't have to deal with Jordan
15:59Mason as is. And now that he's 2 years
16:02older, I would just say that the
16:04athleticism's probably capped to the
16:07point for Jones where I don't know if he
16:09can have an incredibly high ceiling. I
16:11mean, unless your name is Derk Henry,
16:13once you turn 31 and hell, he's going to
16:15be 32 years old at the end of this
16:17season, it's going to be something that
16:19I am concerned with. So, I did move him
16:22up in my rankings quite dramatically. I
16:24have him up at 73 overall, and I have
16:26him as running back 29 in my rest of
16:29season ranks, and it'll be a little bit
16:31higher than that here in the short term
16:32in weeks 2, three, and four. But if I'm
16:35going through and looking at some names
16:37that I would potentially try to pivot
16:39off of Aaron Jones for, I would really
16:42like to take Aaron Jones and a small
16:44piece on my bench and see if there's a
16:46way we could get to Chuba Hubard. See if
16:48there's a way we could get to Jarian
16:50Price, see if there's a way we can get
16:51to Bashel Tun, Quinn Sean Judkins, cuz
16:54the 32-year-old running back at this
16:56point does look like he may or may not
16:58be washed up. So, even if Jordan Mason
17:01departs from this offense, I don't think
17:03Jordan Mason was a world beater anyway,
17:05realistically Aaron Jones will project
17:07out to be a low-end running back, too,
17:09for me. But, I think that's all I got
17:11for you. Of course, if you wanted to
17:13check out any of those markets on Poly
17:16Market US, you can find the link in the
17:18description. You can find the link in
17:20the comment section. The main thing that
17:22I would want to point out for that
17:23Thursday night game is the fact that
17:25they have that player prop section where
17:26you can go through and look at um yes or
17:28no on fantasy points where Jameson
17:30Williams right now is a 53% chance to
17:33score 12 or more fantasy points. James
17:35Cook 54% chance to score 17 or more and
17:38Jamir Gibbs is a 5050 coin flip to score
17:4224 or more fantasy points. But I think
17:44that's all I got for you. I really
17:46appreciate you and hope I get to see you
17:47out in the live stream later
