0:00Let's go ahead and identify some bo
0:02candidates for your fantasy football
0:03team heading into week three. Now, I'll
0:05say we're going to talk about some
0:07suspended players, injured players, and
0:09a couple rookies that are gross at the
0:10end of this. But first, let's talk about
0:12some exciting names like Chase Brown.
0:14Now, of course, the discount you may get
0:16on Chase Brown's nod 50% 60% of wherever
0:20he was drafted, but I do think you
0:22actually may have a small window in
0:23which you can acquire a mid RB1 rest of
0:26season at maybe 90% of sticker price,
0:30right? Because ultimately, if you are
0:32the Chase Brown owner, you have to be
0:33pretty disappointed about what you have
0:35gotten so far this season. He opened up
0:37week one with a completely fine game. He
0:39had 18.8 fantasy points. He finished as
0:42a high-end running back, too. And this
0:44past week, he finished with 11.2 fantasy
0:47points as a mid running back, too, or
0:50honestly kind of on the lower end. But
0:52what I am most interested in is trying
0:54to project out going into the future,
0:56what we expect the ceiling to be based
0:58on his usage. And if we look at the
1:00underlying volume that Chase Brown's had
1:02in this offense back-to-back weeks,
1:04while Samaj perin is seeing the field,
1:06frankly, it doesn't matter. Chase Brown
1:09has had back-to-back games with at least
1:1070% of the snaps for the Cincinnati
1:13Bengals. Chase Brown's had back-to-back
1:15games with 16 or more carries. And Chase
1:18Brown has actually seen 11 targets
1:20through the first two games. So
1:22ultimately, I'm coming away with this
1:24from a workload perspective with the
1:26understanding of Chase Brown is right
1:28back to where he was last season with a
1:32healthy Joe Burrow and the volume being
1:35exactly what led to him being a running
1:37back. one because go back and look at
1:39what we had last season from Chase
1:41Brown. The first five or so games, they
1:44were disgusting, right? But then once we
1:46got to week eight and we had competent
1:48quarterback play here for this
1:49Cincinnati Bengals offense, we had Chase
1:52Brown with 25 19 15 18 16 33 29 19
2:00fantasy points. you have such a high
2:02floor from Chase Brown's perspective
2:05just given the amount of volume that he
2:07sees and once we start seeing touchdowns
2:09scored at a higher clip the ceiling for
2:12him to be a running back one is very
2:14much still there. Now, if I'm looking to
2:16go through and try to trade for Brown,
2:19of course, like I said, I don't think
2:21you're going to be getting some massive
2:22discount by any stretch of the
2:24imagination, but if you could pivot from
2:26like Saquon Barkley and add a depth wide
2:29receiver, maybe somebody along the lines
2:31of Debo Samuel to get to Chase Brown, I
2:34think that'd make a lot of sense. If you
2:35could go through and pivot from like
2:37Bree Hall and you throw in a wide
2:39receiver in the range of maybe like
2:41Jaylen Coker and get to Chase Brown,
2:44that would be interesting for me as
2:45well. Now, moving over to another player
2:48that was drafted pretty early. The roles
2:50remain the exact same, but the fantasy
2:52points haven't come. That is going to be
2:54George Pickkins. Now, I think it is
2:57incredibly important that you go and you
2:59make your play for Pickkins before week
3:02three because obviously Pickkins through
3:04the first two weeks, he's been very bad.
3:07I mean, he has had 5.8 fantasy points in
3:10week one. And keep in mind that week one
3:12performance was in a prime time game.
3:15And typically when fantasy players
3:17disappoint on Monday night, Sunday
3:19night, Thursday night football, the
3:21owners, they're glued to the screen
3:24watching their asset like George
3:26Pickkins fail them. And I actually think
3:28it's a little bit easier to buy them
3:30after those disappointments on the
3:32island games. But George Pickins this
3:35past week against Washington also only
3:38scored 10 fantasy points. Right now,
3:40Pickkins is averaging about 7.9 fantasy
3:43points per game. He has yet to score a
3:45touchdown and he had a couple key drops
3:47against the New York Giants. But here's
3:49the deal. If we look at the underlying
3:52usage for George Pickkins, he is still
3:54seeing the same amount of volume that he
3:56had last year. And of course, he's not
3:58going to repeat as a mid wide receiver
4:00one that he did last season given the
4:02fact that last year CD Lamb had the high
4:05ankle sprain. And this year CD Lamb's
4:07back fully healthy and he is the
4:09certified alpha in this offense. But we
4:11should still be able to expect Pickkins
4:13to give you those random 25 point
4:16spikes, 26 point spikes. And I think he
4:19has a chance to do so in this game here.
4:21If we go over and look at what markets
4:23currently have, you currently can see
4:26that the overunder of this game between
4:28the Baltimore Ravens and the Dallas
4:30Cowboys on Poly Market US is 52 a.5
4:34points. Well, you can see the markets
4:35there have the Dallas Cowboys over under
4:38about 24 and a half points themselves
4:40with the Dallas Cowboys having about a
4:4239% chance of winning this game. So,
4:45this is going to be a shootout. This is
4:47going to be incredibly high scoring and
4:49I think Piggins could drop 25 here and
4:51it is your last chance to buy them. But,
4:53of course, if you want to go to Poly
4:55Market US and look at any of those
4:57markets, the link's in the description.
5:00It's in the comment section. If you sign
5:02up with promo code flock, you are going
5:04to be getting $50 added to your account
5:05after you deposit your first 10. And
5:08Poly Market US is available in 49 out of
5:1150 states, every state other than
5:13Nevada. With George Pickkins, what I'd
5:15be looking at sending is I would
5:17actually love to pivot from Parker
5:19Washington to George Pickkins. Um, I
5:22actually have Christian Watson on my own
5:24fantasy team and I would still at this
5:27point sell Christian Watson for
5:29Pickkins. I would like to go through and
5:32sell Igbuka plus another piece to get to
5:34George Pickkins as well. I have Igbuka
5:36on my roster. So, I think there are a
5:38couple different ways that you can look
5:40at a Pickkins trade, but I would
5:41honestly just kind of want to send one
5:43of the wide receivers that have been
5:44performing through the first few weeks,
5:46such as Parker Washington, even such as
5:49like Garrett Wilson for almost a one for
5:51one swap, even if you have to throw in
5:53another piece. Now, let's move over to
5:55Mr. Brock Bowers. Now, Bowers you
5:58actually may be able to get at a decent
6:01little discount given the injury that he
6:03suffered coming into the season. The
6:04Brock Bowers owner took him at the end
6:06of the second round, the beginning of
6:07the third round, and they haven't seen
6:09him play. There's a damn good chance
6:10that they're sitting at 0 and2,
6:13especially if they paired Brock Bowers
6:14with like Nico Collins on the 23 turn.
6:18But realistically,
6:20if anything, I am more excited about the
6:23Brock Bowers outlook for the second half
6:25of this season. Now, of course, I
6:27wouldn't expect him to hit the ground
6:29running and be the tight end one overall
6:31in fantasy starting in week three,
6:33starting in week four. It's going to
6:34take him a little bit of time to ramp
6:36up. But this Raiders offense, this
6:39Raiders team in general has actually
6:41shown that they're different. They've
6:43completely turned the table from where
6:45they were at last football season. They
6:48have already won two games here, and
6:51this is going to be a competitive
6:52football team. Going over and looking at
6:55the current odds for the Raiders against
6:57the New Orleans Saints. The Raiders have
6:58a 40% chance of beating the Saints and
7:01the Raiders are projecting higher lower
7:0320 and a half total points. So I think
7:06we got confirmation through the first
7:07two weeks that the Raiders are no longer
7:10the worst team in the NFL. And also the
7:13Raiders do not have another competition
7:16for targets for Brock Bowers based on
7:19really the only guy showing anything in
7:21the first two weeks being Trey Tucker.
7:23So I would be very much interested and
7:25going through and trying to make a play.
7:27Now going to what a Brock Bower's trade
7:29would look like. I will give you a
7:31little bit of an insight on a deal that
7:33I sent out there that got rejected. I
7:36offered Zufa in the Flock League.
7:38Christian Watson and Daltton Concade.
7:41Two players that have been on an
7:43absolute tear so far this season.
7:45Obviously, if we go through and look at
7:47Daltton Concade, um Daltton Concade at
7:49the moment is the tight end two in
7:50fantasy only behind Trey McBride. If we
7:53go ahead and look at what we have with
7:54Christian Watson, Christian Watson's
7:56currently the wide receiver, seven in
7:58fantasy from a points per game
8:00perspective. The wide receiver six in
8:02fantasy and total points. I sent those
8:05two players trying to get back Brock
8:06Bowers and Rasheed Rice, viewing the
8:09Christian Watson to Rashe Rice move as a
8:12general downgrade, but the Daltton
8:14Concade to Brock Bowowers pivot as that
8:16upgrade. So, what I would be trying to
8:18do if I were y'all is take one of those
8:20tight ends that have been performing
8:22such as Dalton Concaid, such as Sam
8:24Leaporta, try to add another piece to it
8:28and move up to Brock Bowers. if the
8:30Brock Bowers owner in your league is
8:32panicking. It's more likely they are if
8:34they're 0 and2 in comparison to one and
8:36one or especially 2 and 0 though. Now
8:38going over to our next batch of guys, I
8:41want to look at the names that have
8:43missed time and we actually haven't even
8:45seen play this year. Very similar to
8:47Brock Bowers, but we're not getting back
8:49AG Brown for weeks now. I know we talk
8:52about this every single year on how to
8:56value these injured players in traits,
8:58but what a lot of people do in fantasy
9:00football is they draft AG Brown in the
9:03second round and then they're kind of
9:05anchored to that AG Brown price in their
9:07mind, right? Then AG Brown in the first
9:09week of the season, he goes down with
9:11the high ankle sprain and they
9:12understand, yeah, if I were to go
9:14through and trade away AJ Brown, I have
9:15to do so at a discount. But since they
9:17just took him in the second round, they
9:19are too reluctant to just absolutely
9:22nuke his value even with the
9:25understanding that he is going to miss
9:26the next four to six weeks. Instead,
9:28what typically happens is he just
9:31gradually declines in their mind as we
9:34go through the season. They're watching
9:36football games every Sunday, Monday, and
9:39Thursday, and the fantasy draft where
9:41they took him in round two is now a long
9:44afterthought. So AJ Brown in their mind
9:46may actually be less valuable right now
9:49than he was right after he had that high
9:51ankle sprain where the reality of the
9:53situation is once these players go down,
9:56you need to understand, nuke them in
9:58your rankings, right? Nuke them with
10:00their value because AG Brown goes down
10:03with the four to six week injury and I
10:05put them down at wide receiver 30 in my
10:07ranks going, "Hey, we're not getting
10:08this guy back for another six weeks."
10:10But every week that goes by, even if he
10:13is out of sight, out of mind, I move him
10:16higher and higher and higher in my
10:18rankings and with my trade values as
10:20well. And this is a really good middle
10:22point of he's been out of this New
10:25England Patriots offense for long enough
10:27where that AJ Brown owner is not going
10:29to be charging a premium, but he is also
10:32already two weeks into his recovery. So,
10:34I think AJ Brown, this is the time
10:37either in weeks three or four that you
10:39want to trade for him because he's not
10:40at practice. Nobody's talking about him.
10:43And if you could pick him up by sending
10:46another wide receiver that maybe on your
10:48bench right now that you don't even need
10:49to utilize, right? Say you're in a 10
10:52team two wide receiver one flex format
10:54and you have Mike Evans on your bench.
10:56If you could send Mike Evans for AJ
10:58Brown, just understanding that Brown's
11:00gonna have the higher ceiling in the
11:01second half of the season, I think that
11:03would be very wise to do. Very similar
11:06going over and looking at Josh Jacobs in
11:08this range as well. Josh Jacobs, we
11:10recently had a report saying, you know
11:12what, what the suspension may look like
11:14is four to six games for Jacobs. And
11:17Adam Sheper already said any game that
11:20he misses on the commissioner's exempt
11:22list is going to count towards his
11:25suspension. So the expectation at the
11:27moment is if Josh Jacobs gets suspended
11:30for four weeks, hell, he's only missing
11:32two more games from here. If Josh Jacobs
11:35gets suspended for six weeks, then he's
11:36only missing four more games from here.
11:38So we have already cut into that
11:40suspension time for Josh Jacobs. I think
11:43based on him settling his court case
11:45already and all of that being behind
11:47him, him paying the accuser, the victim,
11:50whatever word that you would like to
11:51use, the settlement to make sure that
11:54the video never sees the light of day
11:56probably means Jacob's playing this year
11:58and probably means Jacobs is back a
12:00little bit sooner than you would expect.
12:02So, what I would be looking to do is if
12:04you had another running back that was
12:06maybe on your bench right now that you
12:08weren't using, but your league mate
12:09could, maybe a name like Aaron Jones, if
12:12you could pivot from Aaron Jones to Josh
12:14Jacobs may make some sense. Now, of
12:16course, you can also look at some of
12:17those wide receiver depth pieces. Maybe
12:19you have like a Debo Samuel. If he's on
12:21your bench and you don't necessarily
12:22need to start him, sending him over for
12:24Josh Jacobs could be wise as well. Now,
12:27this next name is almost worthless,
12:29right? This is going to be Jordan Tyson.
12:32Now, if I am pulling up the rankings on
12:35flockfantasy.com,
12:36Jordan Tyson is down at 115 overall in
12:40the expert average. Now, maybe I am
12:42biased because I personally have Jordan
12:44Tyson on my own fantasy team, but I
12:47personally have Jordan Tyson up at 91. I
12:51have him directly ahead of guys like
12:52Quinton Johnston, Xavier Worthy, and
12:55realistically I would love to try to
12:58send somebody in the range of Quinton
13:00Johnston and pivot over to Tyson at this
13:03point because if we are looking at
13:05Tyson, he does have an insane ceiling if
13:09he manages to come back and be healthy
13:11in this offense because a couple
13:12different things here. One, Tyler Shuck
13:15looks good. This New Orleans Saints
13:17offense has been competent through the
13:19air through the first two weeks. Now, of
13:21course, we've learned with Travis ETN,
13:23he ain't that dude, and this New Orleans
13:25Saints offense cannot run the ball to
13:28save their lives. But Tyson may be
13:30stepping into a competent passing
13:32offense. We've already seen the injury
13:34history with Chris Ave. And keep in mind
13:36that timeline that we had for Tyson
13:39where they told us he was going to be
13:40out for about eight weeks. How many
13:42weeks ago was that? That was about five
13:44weeks ago. I wouldn't be surprised if
13:46next week in week four we start getting
13:49rumblings that Jordan Tyson is ramping
13:50up, Jordan Tyson's progressing and
13:52Tyson's going to be back in week six,
13:54seven, eight. Now I am not delusional
13:57enough to think that um you should trade
14:00a startable wide receiver, somebody like
14:03let's call it uh Jaylen Coker to go
14:06ahead and get Jordan Tyson. Hell, I have
14:08Jordan Tyson on my team and I would
14:09trade him away for Jaylen Coker in a
14:11heartbeat. But what I would like to do
14:14here is I would like to maybe pivot from
14:16one wide receiver in a tier to another
14:19and pick up Jordan Tyson for free. So
14:21say you were looking at a wide receiver
14:23in the range of Christian Watson, right?
14:26I have Christian Watson on my own team.
14:28If I could trade Christian Watson and
14:30maybe move over to somebody that I view
14:32very similarly like T. Higgins and pick
14:35up Jordan Tyson for free and throw Tyson
14:38on my injured reserve slot. I think you
14:40can just bank free upside. It's very
14:42unlikely that he hits in his rookie
14:44season coming off this injury, but if
14:47the cost is nothing, I would love to get
14:49him in a throwin about this point. Now,
14:52the other two buckets of players that I
14:54want to discuss, not the injured guys,
14:56will be the rookies. Let's check in on
14:58Cardinal Tate as well as Jeremiah Love.
15:01Cardell Tate has not been that dude
15:03through the first two weeks of his NFL
15:05career. Cardell Tate has averaged about
15:07six fantasy points per game. Jeremiah
15:10Love at the same time has not been
15:13viable in fantasy football yet. Jeremiah
15:16Love is averaging about 10 fantasy
15:18points per game. But if you drafted
15:21these rookies, do not be a casual. Do
15:24not panic. Do not sell them just because
15:27they aren't producing early. We all
15:29understand, it's been this case forever.
15:32Rookies are going to start slow. They
15:34are going to improve as the year goes on
15:36and you're going to hope you get the
15:38breakout in the second half of the
15:39season. Now, yes, the Arizona Cardinals
15:41offense, it looks very bad. Yes, the
15:43Tennessee Titans offense looks very bad.
15:46But all of this is information that we
15:48knew at the fantasy draft. So, if now
15:51you can buy these guys at 75% of their
15:54draft cost, it's a no-brainer in my
15:57opinion. Like I hate to put him on
15:59blast, but here in the flock league,
16:01Avery was able to trade away Tedaro and
16:03McMillan and some fab dollars and get
16:06Jeremiah Love. That is an unbelievable
16:09trade. Jeremiah Love went in the second
16:11round of the Flock League. And the owner
16:13there was just frustrated that he hadn't
16:15produced through the first two weeks,
16:17which again was the expectation for him
16:19coming into the season as a rookie
16:21coming off the high ankle sprain. Of
16:23course, it was going to take time. They
16:25were going to start slowly regardless.
16:27So again, I would throw out some of
16:29those offers. See if you can sell Tedo
16:31McMillan and get Jeremiah Love. Hell,
16:33see if you can go out there and maybe
16:35even sell like Debo Samuel and see if
16:37you can get Cardell Tate. While I'd
16:38rather have the other names in the short
16:40term, you're banking on the rookie
16:42upside for the second half of the year
16:44regardless. But I think that's all I got
16:46for you. Of course, if you wanted to
16:48check out any of those markets, like the
16:51Thursday night game that we have here
16:53between the Atlanta Falcons and the
16:55Green Bay Packers, the Packers have a
16:5772% chance of winning. The Falcons had a
16:5928% chance. The spread is 6 and a half
17:02points. And that is over on Poly Market
17:05US. Available in 49 out of 50 states,
17:08every state but Nevada. You can find the
17:10link in the description. You can find
17:11the link in the comment section. But
17:13much love, ladies and gentlemen. I
17:14really appreciate you and hope I get to
17:16see you out in the live stream later
