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Top 24 Tight End Rankings & Tiers - 2026 Fantasy Football

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

23 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
May 6, 2026
Published
Wed, May 6, 2026
27
Player insights
24
Players mentioned
Topics
AJ BarnerColston LovelandT.J. HockensonAaron DykesBrock BowersCeeDee LambChigoziem OkonkwoDallas GoedertDalton KincaidDalton SchultzDavid NjokuGeorge KittleHarold FanninHunter Henry
Player analysis

Player insights

27

Aaron Dykes

NegativeDepth Chart12:39

If David Njoku signs with the Los Angeles Chargers, Dykes would be 'absolutely nuked' in terms of target share and opportunity. His current role as the Chargers' primary tight end is contingent on Njoku remaining elsewhere, making him a high-risk fade if the Njoku signing materializes.

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AJ Barner

NegativeBust0:22

Barner is grouped with other tight ends in this range that the analyst would not draft in regular redraft leagues, recommending they be left on the waiver wire.

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NegativeValue22:42

A.J. Barner and other tight ends in this tier should not be drafted in regular redraft leagues; they are waiver wire options better suited for Underdog Best Ball formats where roster depth forces late-round tight end selections.

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Brock Bowers

PositiveProjection0:00

Despite a disappointing 2025 season marked by early-season injury (weeks 2–4 under 10 PPG, missed weeks 5–7) and poor offensive context with Geno Smith and an incompetent Raiders coaching staff, Bowers still averaged 14.5 PPG and finished as TE2. For 2026, Geno Smith ranks him TE1 due to significant improvements: upgraded from Geno Smith to Fernando Mendoza at QB, only 23 years old, minimal target competition (Jalen Nailor is the only offensive addition), and projected 27–28% team target share at tight end. The efficiency gains from better QB play and offensive context should substantially improve on his respectable 2025 PPG.

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CeeDee Lamb

NegativeMatchup14:19

In games where CeeDee Lamb played, Ferguson averaged 9.6 fantasy points per game and finished as tight end 18; when Lamb was absent, Ferguson averaged 17.7 points per game and was tight end two. This demonstrates Ferguson's fantasy value is heavily dependent on Lamb's health status.

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Chigoziem Okonkwo

PositiveBreakout22:18

Chigoziem Okonkwo showed upside at the end of last year and benefits from being on a Commanders team with limited weaponry and good quarterback play, creating opportunity for target volume.

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Colston Loveland

PositiveBreakout4:30

Loveland was a top-10 pick who produced nothing through most of his rookie season, taking zeros in lineups through week 5. However, he erupted in the final four games of 2025 with 10, 13, 15, and 10 targets (averaging 12–13 targets per game), posting 21 PPG in week 17, 25 PPG in week 18, then 15 targets and 137 yards vs. Green Bay and 10 targets vs. Los Angeles in playoffs. With DJ Moore's departure, target share should expand further. At only 21 years old, Geno Smith compares him to 21-year-old Rob Gronkowski, 21-year-old Aaron Hernandez, and 21-year-old Cole Kmet, suggesting elite ceiling. Geno Smith says Loveland is 'set up to absolutely smash.'

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PositiveBreakout4:31

Loveland emerged dramatically in final four games of rookie season with 10, 13, 15, and 10 targets, averaging 12–13 targets per game; posted 21 and 25 fantasy points in weeks 17–18, then 15 targets and 137 yards vs. Green Bay and 10 targets vs. Los Angeles in playoffs. With DJ Moore's departure, target share should expand further. Age-21 comps to Rob Gronkowski, Aaron Hernandez, and Cole Kmet suggest elite ceiling. Geno Smith says Loveland is 'set up to absolutely smash.'

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Dallas Goedert

NegativeProjection18:26

Goedert had a career year as tight end six in PPG last season, but the production was driven entirely by touchdown regression. From 2019–2024, his receptions averaged 4.9–5.1 per game and targets averaged 3.7–4.6 per game; over the past three seasons, receiving yards per game actually declined. His career-high touchdowns before 2025 was five (in 2019), but he scored 11 last season. With targets and receptions flat and yards declining, regression is inevitable. Philadelphia also drafted an athletic tight end in round two of the 2025 NFL Draft, which will further limit Goedert's opportunities.

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Dalton Kincaid

PositiveRole17:38

Kincaid is extremely difficult to rank due to snap count limitations and injury concerns. He played only 38% of snaps per game with Buffalo last year and ran just 16 routes per game. Early offseason reports indicate his injury will continue limiting him in 2027, and he apparently didn't undergo corrective surgery. Despite strong efficiency metrics—over 3 yards per route and over 11 yards per target—his limited field time makes it hard to trust him for consistent production.

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Dalton Schultz

NegativeProjection22:00

Schultz was tight end 15 in PPG last season but is entering his age 30 season with a declining production trend. He hasn't averaged more than 11 fantasy points per game since 2021 when he was a Dallas Cowboy, signaling sustained decline.

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David Njoku

PositiveDepth Chart12:39

There is a very real chance Njoku signs with the Los Angeles Chargers, which would significantly impact the tight end landscape. If this happens, Arron Dykes would be 'absolutely nuked' in terms of target share, while additional targets would open up for the Chargers offense. This pending move creates uncertainty for Njoku's own role and for downstream tight end values.

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George Kittle

NegativeInjury14:35

Kittle tore his Achilles on January 11th; the average recovery timeline for torn Achilles is longer than 9 months, creating a very real chance he won't return to fantasy football until after Thanksgiving. In standard leagues without IR, he is effectively undraftable and should be targeted off waivers. In leagues with IR (ESPN, Yahoo), he can be drafted and stashed for playoff upside. Before injury, he was tight end three in fantasy points per game at 14.68 PPG. Draft value is highly dependent on league settings; in Underdog drafts where all money is up for grabs in weeks 15–17, he may be worth targeting due to playoff upside.

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Harold Fannin

PositiveProjection8:50

Fannin improved from 10.7 PPG (first half) to 12.6 PPG (second half), reaching TE6 in second half. In four games without David Njoku, he posted 26% team target share and ranked TE4 in target share despite being only 21 years old. Age-21 comps to Rob Gronkowski, Aaron Hernandez, and David Njoku suggest elite historical precedent. However, his 2026 situation deteriorated significantly: coaching staff changed (uncertain impact), Deshaun Watson is the worst quarterback in the NFL and has torn his Achilles twice since last season, and the Browns drafted two wide receivers (Casey Conceição in round one, Denzel Boston in round two) adding target competition. Despite strong underlying metrics, the quarterback and receiver additions create substantial headwinds.

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Hunter Henry

NegativeRole21:45

Henry has been a top 16 tight end in PPG for three straight seasons, but expectations are that the Eagles have A.J. Brown and drafted a tight end in round three, creating competition for targets and threatening his role.

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Isaiah Likely

NegativeProjection19:51

Likely signed with the New York Giants at age 26 but has never finished higher than tight end 20 in PPG despite waiver wire hype following the opening night Chiefs-Ravens game. He now steps into a decent situation with Malik Nabers and limited competition, but his market value exceeds his actual fantasy production potential given his ceiling-limited history.

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Jake Ferguson

NegativeUsage13:48

Ferguson's production is heavily dependent on CeeDee Lamb's availability. In games without Lamb, Ferguson averaged 17.7 fantasy points per game and was TE2 in fantasy. In games with Lamb, he averaged 9.6 PPG and was TE18. This means you are essentially drafting Ferguson as a contingency play for potential injuries to Lamb or Dak Prescott, not for his standalone value.

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Juwan Johnson

PositiveRole21:25

Johnson had his first season in his NFL career with over 10 fantasy points per game, but now faces additional competition with Jordan Akins coming in, threatening his role and target share.

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Kyle Pitts

PositiveProjection10:39

Pitts was TE5 in PPG last year at 12.4 PPG with a 22.7% team target share—his highest since 2022. He is clearly the third name in the Falcons offense behind Drake London and Bijan Robinson. Despite uncertain quarterback play (Michael Penix's NFL efficiency is concerning; Tua would be preferable), Pitts is only 25 years old and will be playing for his contract, creating upside. His week 15 explosion (45 points) demonstrates ceiling potential. Geno Smith is excited about the overall upside for a player still only 25 years old.

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Mark Andrews

PositiveProjection19:39

Andrews finished tight end 24 in PPG last season with 7.7 fantasy points per game, 1.3 yards per route, and 6 yards per target—all career lows by a significant margin. His efficiency metrics have collapsed, signaling a sustained decline in production.

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Sam LaPorta

PositiveValue11:44

LaPorta, 25 years old, has been a top-10 tight end in fantasy for three straight seasons (TE3 in rookie year, TE9 last season, TE7 in 2025). His target share has been capped at only 18.6% last year and 17% the year before (21% in rookie season), suggesting contingent upside if a wide receiver like Amon-Ra St. Brown gets injured. He remains a consistent, safe option in a good offense despite not being flooded with targets.

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T.J. Hockenson

PositiveBust0:22

Hockenson looks "straight-up washed" after averaging just 1.14 yards per route and 15% team target share last season, indicating he wasn't even able to draw targets despite potential quarterback play excuses.

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PositiveBust22:33

T.J. Hockenson looks straight-up washed; he averaged 1.14 yards per route and 15% team target share last season, indicating he wasn't even able to draw targets despite poor quarterback play, forcing early-season drops in redraft leagues.

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Travis Kelce

PositiveProjection16:16

Kelce is extremely difficult to rank and may be too low in current rankings. With Patrick Mahomes healthy, Kelce was tight end seven in PPG last season at 1.85 yards per route run—higher than his 2024 rate. While age discount is warranted (he'll be 37), historical data shows only Antonio Gates and Mercedes Lewis produced anything at age 36 in the past 20 years, and neither finished with 5+ PPG at age 37. However, the case can be made that age doesn't matter given his GOAT-tier status, and he should be prioritized over Ferguson, Gaston, and Kittle if Mahomes stays healthy.

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Trey McBride

NegativeProjection2:07

McBride is ranked TE2 with back-to-back seasons averaging over 9 targets per game. He posted a massive leap from 2024 to 2025, jumping from 15.5 PPG to 18.5 PPG, primarily driven by finally scoring touchdowns once Jacoby Brissett took over as Cardinals QB. However, Geno Smith notes his 2026 situation has gotten 'sneaky worse' with Marvin Harrison and Michael Wilson representing serious target competition, and passing volume is expected to decline as the Cardinals rebuild their running back room (they abandoned the run in 2025 due to RB injuries, forcing 50+ pass attempts weekly). The speaker sees downside risk from reduced volume and potential QB efficiency regression from Brissett.

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Tucker Kraft

NegativeInjury7:46

Kraft was TE4 in PPG (14.5 PPG) before tearing his ACL in week 9, posting 33 fantasy points the week prior. With Romeo Dobbs and Donteavian Wicks departed, target competition decreased. However, ACL recovery timeline of nine months brings him right to season start, creating uncertainty for week 1 availability. Geno Smith likes Kraft's ceiling for tournament play (weeks 15–17) but cautions against relying on him for week 1 in regular leagues due to recovery timeline risk.

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Tyler Warren

PositiveBreakout6:13

Warren fell from TE6 in PPG (first 13 weeks with Daniel Jones) to TE24 in PPG (final four weeks without Jones), showing massive Jones-dependency but also upside when healthy. With Michael Pittman Jr. departed and minimal target competition (only Josh Downs and Alec Pierce remain), Warren has ceiling upside and a potential TE10 floor as a rookie. Geno Smith argues the floor is higher than ceiling comparisons suggest, and the offense should improve with Pittman's departure opening targets.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

193
0:00Every year I convince myself that the elite tight ends are guys we want to be drafting. The elite tight ends are
0:06incredible values and every single year I get disappointed. Starting with this past season, we can remember Brock Bowers was going at the beginning of the
0:14second round, middle of the second round, at the very latest the late second round in your fantasy football drafts. You probably took him thinking,
0:22"Okay, I very easily have the tight end one in fantasy this next year." And then it was worst-case scenario. Brock Bowers
0:30gets injured at the beginning of the season. He tries to play through it and in weeks two through four, he scores
0:36fewer than 10 fantasy points every single week. And then he misses weeks five through seven. So, through the first seven weeks, if you had have
0:44selected Bowers, most of y'all had losing records. You were sitting at two and five. You were sitting at three and four. And it didn't really matter what
0:52Bowers is going to do when he came back because you were already done. Now, I want to give Bowers the benefit here.
1:00You have to remember the Las Vegas Raiders were dealing with Geno Smith, an incompetent coaching staff, and they were so bad that they got the number one
1:11overall pick in the NFL draft. So, if we look at this Bowers season, add on the context that he got injured at the
1:18beginning, add on the context that the Raiders were the worst team in the NFL.
1:25And then we look at what it actually led to? Hell, he averaged 14 and 1/2 fantasy points per game and he was the tight end
1:32two in fantasy.
1:34So, with all of that, Brock Bowers still managed to give you a respectable points per game mark, even if it didn't really
1:42lead to you winning a fantasy championship. Now, if you look at his situation going into this next season, he's only 23 years old. And on top of
1:51this, you have a significantly improved quarterback going from Geno Smith to Fernando Mendoza and this Raiders team that really has no weapons outside of
2:01Gintey and Bowers, what did they decide to add this off season? Jalen Nailor.
2:06That That's who they added. You have no competition whatsoever here for targets.
2:11Brock Bowers is probably going to be sitting with a 27 28% team target shares at tight end, which is just absolutely
2:18ridiculous. And the efficiency is going to be a lot better given the offensive context. So, I'm okay having Bowers as our tight end one. Now, moving over to
2:27Trey McBride, McBride's also incredible.
2:30McBride, back-to-back seasons, has actually averaged over nine targets per game. Obviously, he had the massive leap forward from 2024 to 2025, where he
2:40jumped from 15 and 1/2 fantasy points per game up to 18 and 1/2. And this was primarily fueled off of him finally
2:47scoring touchdowns once you had Jacoby Brissett take over as the quarterback for the Cardinals. My only hold up with McBride is I do think if we look at his
2:56situation from last year to this year, it's actually gotten sneaky worse, where Marvin Harrison, as well as Michael Wilson, will represent serious target
3:05competition. And at the same time, this is a team that had lost every single running back on their roster last year.
3:12So, they were forced to completely abandon the run and you just saw 50-plus pass attempts for Jacoby Brissett every week. So, I do think the passing
3:20volume's going to be coming down here in Arizona. And I don't know if Jacoby Brissett's going to be as efficient as
3:26what we're going to get with Fernando Mendoza. I'm not going to fault you if you wanted to take McBride over Bowers.
3:32Now, where I'm ranking these two guys currently in Underdog Fantasy drafts will be at the end of the second round, the beginning of the third round. I'd be
3:39very happy taking them with Bijan Robinson, taking them with Jahmyr Gibbs as my first pick. However, for those regular redraft leagues that are going
3:47to be in a couple months where you only start two wide receivers and one flex, I would move both these tight ends up a
3:52little bit higher. Underdog's going to be a little bit different because you do have that third wide receiver slot. And I will say the majority of these
4:00rankings I'm making right now are for those Underdog drafts because that's where we are live streaming and drafting every single night on this channel. I've
4:08actually profited over 120,000 on Underdog over the past 4 years doing drafts. I would love for you to draft with us. The link's in the description.
4:17It's in the comment section. If you sign up with code flock, you're going to be getting set up with the free
4:22flockfantasy.com and Underdog fantasy tools for you to dominate those drafts, and you'll get $50 added to your account after you play
4:30your first five.
4:31Now, moving over to Kholston Loveland.
4:35Loveland really didn't do much in his rookie year until the very end of it. If y'all watched the Flock League this past
4:42season, you'll remember me making fun of Danny who eventually ended up losing the league for rostering Kholston Loveland through his week five bye even though he
4:52was taking zeros in the lineup. I was like, "What are we doing here? This guy's making no difference whatsoever."
4:57But once you get to week 17, he drops 21 fantasy points. Once you get to week 18, he drops 25 fantasy points. And it
5:07didn't stop there either. If you go over and if you actually look at what Loveland managed to do in the NFL
5:12playoffs, Loveland against the Green Bay Packers, 15 targets, eight receptions, 137 receiving yards. And then against the Los Angeles Rams, that game in which the
5:23Chicago Bears lost, you have 10 targets for Kholston Loveland as well. So, the final four games that we had from Kholston Loveland who was a top 10 pick
5:32in last year's NFL draft at only 21 years old, he had 10, 13, 15, and 10 targets. What he would
5:42average about 12 to 13 targets per contest, and how is the situation from last year changed to this one? Oh, now
5:50you no longer have DJ Moore, and all of a sudden there should be more targets to go around. So, I think Loveland is set
5:57up to absolutely smash. If you are just looking at the range of outcomes tool on flockfantasy.com, you'll see a couple other age 21-year-old tight ends that
6:06comp historically to Cole Kmet Loveland were guys like Rob Gronkowski as well as Aaron Hernandez.
6:13Now, moving over to Trey McBride, McBride was significantly worse in the games in which you didn't have Daniel Jones last season. Obviously, you can do
6:21this on flockfantasy.com as well. Just throw Tyler Warren into the player comparison, then hit splits and go with and without Daniel Jones. And what
6:30you're going to see is obviously the offense got significantly worse once Daniel Jones went down, but Tyler Warren fell from being the tight end six in
6:39points per game in those first 13 weeks with Daniel Jones to being the tight end 24 in points per game in those final four
6:47weeks when you no longer had Jones.
6:50Crazy drop-off. Daniel Jones should be back this next season. Now, of course, with that in mind, you are going to see
6:57just the Indianapolis Colts regress back to the mean regardless where this was one of the top NFL offenses through the first half of last season. I don't think
7:07that should be the projection with Daniel Jones coming off the torn Achilles, but Tyler Warren does have some upside to actually improve with his
7:15targets per game and the target share in this offense because you no longer have Michael Pittman Jr. and they don't really bring in additional target
7:23competition. So, it's just Tyler Warren, Josh Downs, as well as Alec Pierce. Um I think that maybe the ceiling isn't as
7:30high as what you have with the Cole Kmet Loveland, but you can make an argument that the floor is higher where he just
7:35finishes the tight end 10 in points per game as a rookie.
7:39Now, moving down to our next tier, it's going to be very interesting how you rank these guys in comparison to each
7:46other like Tucker Kraft as an example.
7:49Had 33 fantasy points the week before he goes down with the torn ACL. He was the Titan four in points per game at 14 and
7:57a half points per contest and we got to ask ourselves, how is this situation changed from last year? Well, you have
8:04Romeo Dobbs going over to the New England Patriots and on top of that, you are looking at Donteavian Wicks getting traded over to Philadelphia.
8:13So, Tucker Kraft if anything has less target competition than he did last season and this offense isn't going to be any
8:20less pass happy. So, I actually like the Tucker Kraft projection if fully healthy. The issue is he did tear that ACL in week nine last season. So, if
8:30you're looking at a nine-month recovery timetable, that brings them like right to the start of the season at coming back. So, if I was like in an underdog
8:38draft, say the puppy where it's a $5 buy-in, $100,000 to first place and you really got to be chasing the highest
8:45ceiling possible in weeks 15 through 17 for that tournament, I like Kraft there.
8:50However, if you're looking to start a tight end week one in your regular fantasy league, you probably go ahead and take Harold Fannin cuz Harold
8:58Fannin, he's going to be good to go come the beginning of this next year. And if you compare Harold Fannin's first half
9:05of the season, we'll go ahead and throw him in the player comparison here. We are going to look at weeks one through
9:11eight and then weeks 10 through 18. This is before the bye week and after the bye week. You had Harold Fannin jumping up
9:19from 10.7 fantasy points per game up to 12.6 fantasy points per game. He actually managed to jump up to the Titan six in
9:29the second half of the year. Another way that we can look at this is we can look at Harold Fannin with and without a
9:35fellow teammate David Njoku who obviously he's not going to be playing with Njoku this next season. And in the four games without David Njoku, he had a
9:4426% team target share, was the number fourth tight end in the league with his target share, and he was only 21 years old. He,
9:54as well as Colson Loveland, historically comps to 21-year-old Rob Gronkowski, 21-year-old Aaron Hernandez, and 21-year-old David Njoku. Now,
10:04with this in mind, how has his situation changed from last season to this season?
10:10Coaching staff's changed. Don't know if that's going to be a good or a bad thing for the Cleveland Browns here.
10:15And on top of this as well, we can say that we are looking at the worst quarterback play potentially in the
10:22entire NFL, where last time we saw Deshaun Watson, he was the worst quarterback in the NFL, and he has torn his Achilles twice since then.
10:31Then, you sprinkle on the fact that this team goes wide receiver in round one with Casey Conceição. They followed up with another wide receiver in round two
10:39with Denzel Boston. So, there will be some additional target competition. So, the situation with Harold Fannin, not great. Moving over to Kyle Pitts, Kyle
10:49Pitts, unbelievable week 15.
10:5345 points in week 15. If you remember, there are people watching this video that had to go up against Kyle Pitts in
11:00the first round of the fantasy playoffs, and their season was ended, which I can't imagine that being the situation for you. Um he was the tight end five in
11:10points per game last year at 12.4 points per contest. He had a 22.7% team target share, which is the most that he has seen since 2022.
11:20And outside of Drake London, Bijan Robinson, he's very clearly the third name in this offense. Now, quarterback play, probably not going to
11:28be great. Ultimately, if you are looking at Pitts, um yeah, I think you would maybe honestly kind of hope it's Tua
11:34based on the efficiency or lack of efficiency that we have seen from Michael Penix and his NFL career. But, um, yeah, I think that Pitts going to be
11:44playing for this contract, and I'm pretty excited about the overall upside for a player that's still only 25 years old. Now, Sam LaPorta also's another
11:5425-year-old tight end, and I honestly may need to move LaPorta up because as we look at this, he has had three
12:01straight seasons as a top 10 tight end in fantasy. He's gone from the tight end three his rookie year to the tight end
12:08nine this past season to the tight end seven in 2025. You do have some contingent upside as well where if you
12:15were to see an injury to a wide receiver like Amon-Ra St. Brown, you could see Sam LaPorta's target share go up
12:21dramatically cuz his target share has been capped at only 18.6% this past year, 17% the year before that, and 21% in his rookie season. So,
12:32he's still young, it's still a good offense. He hasn't been flooded with a ton of targets, but he's been a consistent option for you for three
12:39straight seasons. So, he's a pretty safe name to be looking at. Going over to our next tier, there's a very real chance
12:45that I'm going to have to update the rankings on flockfantasy.com if David Njoku does indeed sign with the Los Angeles Chargers. Obviously, if that
12:52happens, Arron Dykes gets absolutely nuked. But, for how it stands now, I think that there will be additional targets open for the Los Angeles
13:00Chargers if we don't have to worry about Keenan Allen. And Gaston, a tight end that people were expecting absolutely nothing from last season, ends up coming
13:08through giving you some really strong performances. Like we can go over and see that he had back-to-back top three tight end finishes in weeks seven and
13:16eight. And ultimately, he was decently efficient as well. He had 1.78 yards per route run in comparison to their {quote} wide receiver one in this
13:27offense, Jalen Tolbert at 1.47 yards per route. So, Ferguson, young tight end, came from really nowhere this past season, and I do think has a lot of
13:38upside if you were to get no David Njoku. Now, moving over to Jake Ferguson, this is going to be really, really funny with Ferg, but if we go
13:48ahead and throw him in the player comparison and look at him with and without CeeDee Lamb last year. Um, it was a night and day difference. I
13:58remember the comment section, y'all could get on me correctly a lot of times. This was not one of those. We called Ferguson a sell high right before
14:05CeeDee Lamb came back, and we can see that in games in which Jake Ferguson played with no CeeDee Lamb, he averaged
14:1317.7 fantasy points per game. He was the tight end two in fantasy.
14:19Then in games in which CeeDee Lamb played, he averaged 9.6 and was the tight end 18. So, you're almost drafting Ferg based on the what if you were to
14:29get an injury to Pickens, you were to get an injury to Lamb.
14:33Now, moving over to George Kittle.
14:35Kittle's a super interesting case in that it's really going to depend on your exact league settings on if and when you
14:41should draft him. If you are in an Underdog draft where all the money's up for grabs in weeks 15 through 17, um,
14:48then maybe George Kittle is worth a few shots because he does have upside at that point. But, if you look at the date
14:57in which George Kittle tore his Achilles, January 11th, and you look at the average timetable to get these players back from torn Achilles, which
15:07is not ACL, it's not 9 months, it's longer. There's a very real chance that George Kittle's not coming back to fantasy football until after
15:16Thanksgiving. Which, if that's going to be the case, if you don't have an IR in your regular league, he's undraftable.
15:24He should be somebody that's on the waiver wire. But obviously, if you have an IR and you're drafting in like an
15:29ESPN Yahoo league, then maybe you can go ahead, draft him, stick him on the IR, and hope that you get him for the
15:34fantasy playoffs. Cuz he was still incredible, as he always is, this past season before going down, where he was the tight end three in fantasy points
15:43per game at 14.68.
15:46Obviously, though, a 33-year-old tight end coming off a torn Achilles that didn't happen at the beginning of the year, instead it happened in the NFL
15:54playoffs, is very much concerning.
15:58Now, Travis Kelce is a player that is so damn difficult to rank, like honestly, he may be too low in my
16:07rankings. I'm surprised to see these statistics from Kelce. Very clearly, you can make an argument that he is the best tight end of all time. So, very
16:17similar to a player like LeBron James, maybe the age stuff, frankly, doesn't matter. But if you look at Travis Kelce in games in which Patrick Mahomes played
16:28versus games in which Patrick Mahomes did not play last season, he was the tight end seven in points per game in
16:34games with Mahomes.
16:36He was sitting at 1.85 yards per route run in those contests in which Patrick Mahomes started. That was higher than where he was in 2024.
16:47I want to give a massive discount on him based off age, because of course, he's going to be 37 years old this next
16:54season. With all the data that we have on flockfantasy.com, the only tight ends we've seen over the past like 20 years,
17:02um, do anything at all in their age 36 season were Antonio Gates and Mercedes-Lewis, and neither tight end finished with five points per game or
17:10more in their age 37 year.
17:13So, I want to put a massive discount on him, but you can make an argument that Mason, it doesn't matter. You just
17:20simply have to go with Kelsey over these other names like Ferguson, Gadston, Kittle if Mahomes is healthy.
17:28Now, moving over to Dalton Kincaid, um Kincaid is such a tough player to rank because he only played 38% of the snaps from a
17:38per game perspective with the Buffalo Bills last year.
17:42And now you already have reports coming out early in the off season that Kincaid's injury is going to be limiting him in 2027 as well.
17:53So, I don't know exactly what the hell's going on with Kincaid. I don't know why he couldn't have just gotten surgery and
17:58fixed this for once and for all.
18:00But, the efficiency's gone up dramatically where this past year he averaged over three yards per route. He averaged over 11 yards per target, but
18:11if you're only getting on the field for 38% of the snaps and you're only running 16 routes a game, it's very difficult to
18:18get behind you.
18:19Now, moving over to Dallas Goedert, Dallas Goedert had a career year last season. I had Dallas Goedert in the Flock League. I was starting him pretty
18:26much every single week. He was the tight end six in fantasy points per game. But, even though I was starting Dallas
18:32Goedert every single week and I was really liking it, I mean, I'll call a spade a spade. Nothing was different last year but the touchdowns. If you
18:41look at Dallas Goedert from 2019 through 2024, he has averaged anywhere from 5.1 to 4.9 receptions. He has averaged
18:49anywhere from 3.7 to 4.6 targets.
18:55Really, over the past three seasons, you've actually seen Dallas Goedert's receiving yards per game go down. So, the targets remained flat, the
19:02receptions made remained flat, the yards per game went down. The only difference is he started scoring touchdowns.
19:10His career high touchdowns before this past season was five TDs in a year, and that was back in 2019 before COVID. And
19:20all of a sudden, he comes out this past year and scores 11.
19:23So, he was going to regress regardless, then they go ahead and draft a really athletic tight end in round two of the
19:29NFL draft this year. So, I think Dalton has to move down ranks.
19:34We are about to enter into the grossest range that you could ever imagine.
19:39Mark Andrews is our next one.
19:42Andrews, tight end 24 in points per game last season, 7.7 fantasy points per game, 1.3 yards per route, 6 yards per
19:51target, both by far and away his career lows. But, everybody else here is gross, and you have no Isaiah Likely. Going
19:59over to Isaiah Likely, he gets paid to be a New York Giant, but this is a tight end that's now 26 years old that has
20:05never finished higher than tight end 20 in points per game.
20:09It's almost like Isaiah Likely benefits from being I don't know. You could make an argument the biggest player in one of the most
20:20exciting NFL games we've had over the past two seasons, which was that opening night Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens game.
20:27If you all remember, he was the number one waiver wire player that ended up doing absolutely nothing.
20:32But, it's a decent situation that he steps into with the Giants, where you have Malik Nabers and there's really no other competition.
20:39Kanyon Sadeeq is a freak athlete. He has great NFL draft capital. The production in college wasn't phenomenal. You can't say that he is a
20:48um Tyler Warren-level prospect.
20:50Obviously, there's no way you could say he's a Brock Bowers-level prospect, but still good prospect at tight end, good athletic profile. The situation, though,
20:59is just god-awful. Being a New York Jet, playing alongside Garrett Wilson, as well as a wide receiver they took in round one this year with Amari Cooper.
21:09Now, our last tier of tight ends, um the Jacksonville Jaguars took multiple tight ends to play alongside Britain Strange this next year, but I will give Strange
21:18the benefit of the doubt in that he was very efficient this past season. Moving over to Juwan Johnson, Juwan Johnson had
21:25his first season in his NFL career with over 10 fantasy points per game, but now you have additional competition with Jordan Akins coming in. Hunter Henry's
21:34been a top 16 tight end in points per game for three straight seasons, but the expectations are this team has A.J.
21:40Brown and they drafted tight end in round three. Dalton Schultz was the tight end 15 in points per game, but he's going to be going into his age 30
21:49season and he hasn't averaged more than 11 fantasy points per game since 2021.
21:55That was the only time he ever did it and he was a Dallas Cowboy at the time.
21:58Chigoziem Okonkwo did show some upside at the end of last year. The main benefit that you're going to get is that
22:06he's on a Commanders team that really doesn't have any weaponry at all and he has a really good quarterback. T.J.
22:13Hockenson looks like he is straight-up washed. I took Hockenson in the Flock League last season. I had to drop him a
22:18couple weeks in with how bad he was because he averaged 1.14 yards per route this past year. He averaged a 15% team
22:28target share. So, you could maybe make an argument that, "Oh, he just wasn't productive because the quarterback play was horrendous." But, no, the 15% team
22:36target share means he wasn't even able to draw targets. And then going over to A.J. Barner, really all these tight ends
22:42in this range, I'll just say I wouldn't draft them in a regular redraft league.
22:46They're players that should be sitting out there on the waiver wire, but obviously in those Underdog Best Ball drafts, you are going to be forced to go
22:52out there and you're going to be forced to take your shots at these guys.
22:56But, I really appreciate y'all. I really hope that you enjoyed this video. And reminder, I'm going to be live streaming at 8:00 p.m. Eastern every single day
23:04drafting fantasy football teams until the start of the season, so I really hope I get to see you there. And much
23:10love, ladies and gentlemen. I'll see you in the live stream later tonight.

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