0:00What's going on, man? Welcome back to
0:02the basement. I'm Ron and it's Tuesday,
0:04so we're going to talk through my must
0:06add waiverwire targets for week 15 of
0:09the fantasy football season. Whether
0:10you're here because you made the fantasy
0:13playoffs or you're here because you're
0:15trying to avoid a last place punishment
0:17or you just want to screw your friends
0:19out of the good waiverwire pickups.
0:21We're going to cover it all. We're going
0:22to go through running backs, receivers,
0:24tight ends, quarterbacks, a few defenses
0:26at the end. All under 40% owned in ESPN
0:30leagues. As always, if you enjoy, leave
0:31a like, subscribe if you're new, and we
0:34are going to start with the running
0:36backs. Now, in the past, we've done
0:37priority ads, but we're at a point in
0:39the year where I can't stress enough the
0:42fab bids don't really matter. It really
0:44just comes down to your team, your
0:46league, your desperation. There's also
0:49game theory to be thinking about of
0:51maybe you don't even need a running
0:52back, but maybe there's a running back
0:54that your opponent needs because he
0:56doesn't have a good RB heading into week
0:5915. Maybe he needs to kind of pick one
1:01up. You can now sort of think through
1:03blocking your opponents, getting players
1:05for later rounds, and just overall the
1:08game theory that is fantasy football.
1:11So, keep all of that in mind. Every
1:13player that's on this list, how much you
1:14should bid on them comes down to how
1:16much you need them or how much your
1:17opponent might need them in the fantasy
1:20playoffs. Now, with the running back
1:21position, we are going to start up top
1:23with Chris Rodriguez. Now, I will do my
1:26best to give a
1:29estimated what I would bid on these
1:31players on the Patreon,
1:33patreon.com/ronstewart.
1:35over there you can get my weekly
1:37waiverwire article we'll have all the
1:39way through week 17 where I break down
1:41all of these players in depth along with
1:43the exact amount of fab I am bidding on
1:46every single player on top of that
1:48you'll get my last rest of season
1:49rankings that come out tonight which are
1:51pretty much just going to be like my
1:52playoff rankings for the next three
1:53weeks how would I rank things from here
1:54on out and then my weekly rankings the
1:57rest of the way patreon.com/rronstewart
2:00you can get that in the description and
2:01the comment section down below Now,
2:05Chris Rodriguez, a little bit off the
2:06beaten path. Like, I I assume that he is
2:08not the guy who's getting talked about
2:09in all these videos. We did talk about
2:11him last week. Maybe he's picked up in
2:12your league, but he now has 10 or more
2:15touches in four of his last five games,
2:17and he is the consensus RB28 verse the
2:20Giants this week, who allow the second
2:22most fantasy points to opposing running
2:24backs. You can 100% do a lot worse than
2:27Chris Rodriguez in your RB2 spot. Then,
2:30my second running back ad
2:32is Devin Singleary. Tyrone Tracy, it
2:35seems like he's going to be fine, but
2:37the Giants are on the other side of this
2:39game playing against the Commanders who
2:40allow the fifth most fantasy points to
2:42opposing running backs. Devin Singleary
2:43is the consensus RB30 this week. And the
2:46Giants now, this is a stat from Ian
2:48Hard. It's over on Twitter. The Giants
2:50have four top 15 PPR finishes in their
2:53last three games. That's like between
2:55Tracy and Singleary. They've been
2:58scoring points at the running back
3:00position. Then we have Blake Corm. This
3:02one's probably the hot name this week.
3:04He is the RB3 in PPR scoring over the
3:08last two weeks. And this is a good
3:10summation here from Ryan Heath on his
3:12usage this past week, saying over the
3:14past two weeks, the rims have had a back
3:16and forth loss and then a dominant win.
3:18Blake Corm has outgained Karen Williams
3:20on the ground in both of them. Corm
3:22finished with only one fewer carry and
3:23was involved throughout. He out carried
3:25Williams in the first quarter and saw
3:26the same number as him in the third.
3:28This isn't that different from the Bears
3:305545 backfield split, but instead of it
3:33being the Bears, it's the Rams where
3:35they're going to have a top three
3:37implied total in terms of scoring by
3:39Vegas from here on out. So, Cororum is a
3:43very valuable handcuff that you can also
3:45now probably flex or put in the RB2 spot
3:47if you're in a pinch moving forward.
3:50Then, we'll talk about Tyler Alier.
3:54Nothing crazy, just very simply Bejian's
3:56handcuff. Uh, we'll talk about Jaylen
3:57Wright and Olly Gordon. Devon Achan goes
4:00down with the ribb injury. It seems like
4:01it was precautionary. I think that Devon
4:03Achan's going to be fine, but we're at
4:05the point of the year where it's
4:05definitely worth rostering these guys.
4:08Jaylen Wright did get the nod in this
4:10game as the true backup. When we look at
4:11the utilization report over on
4:14fantasylife.com,
4:16it's clear down the board Jaylen Wright
4:18had a better usage than Olly Gordon
4:20across the board. Rush attempt,
4:21snapshare, route share, everything. But
4:24Olly Gordon is a rookie. It seems like
4:26things have swip swapped over the entire
4:28season. Things could change down the
4:30stretch. So, if you're in a deeper
4:31league, I think Ollie Gordon is still
4:32very much worth an ad, but Jaylen Wright
4:34is the priority here. Uh, then we can
4:37talk about Michael Carter. It's not that
4:39Michael Carter is like a great player or
4:41a great ad, but
4:44I don't know what's going on with Trey
4:45Benson. It seems like Trey Benson's
4:47probably not going to be back. I mean,
4:48I'm not going to say probably not. like
4:49there's a very good chance he could get
4:50activated off of IR this week. But if
4:52he's not, then I think that that's
4:55pretty much it for Trey Benson. And then
4:56Michael Carter, you could say Bam
4:58Knight, but he's over 40% owned. I
5:01assume that he's already owned in your
5:02league. And Michael Carter has been a
5:04guy who's put up decent stats here and
5:07there. He had 11.4 PPR points uh against
5:10Tampa Bay the week before against the
5:12Rams. They get killed. but he's a guy to
5:14own where if Bam Knight goes down and
5:16somehow this Cardinals backfield is down
5:18to their fourth stringer, uh Michael
5:20Carter would be a must start. Uh and
5:22then we have Dylan Samson. He had a 39%
5:24snap share in this game. That was his
5:26highest since before the week nine buy
5:29for the Browns. I don't think Judkins is
5:31going anywhere, but Samson might be
5:32leapfrogging Jerome Ford here down the
5:34stretch. And if Judkins was to go go
5:37down or get hurt, Dylan Samson would be
5:39a potential league winner to be honest.
5:42Now, the wide receivers are pretty weak.
5:44Uh I remember saying kind of at the mid
5:46to late like middle late portion of the
5:51year. We touched on how strong the wide
5:54receivers have been off of the waiver
5:55wire, right? You got Christian Watson,
5:58you got uh Alec Pierce off of the waiver
6:01wire. There's been a lot of players, I
6:02mean like Trey Tucker really early on.
6:04Kahan Booty had some weaks as well.
6:06Michael Wilson of course is another big
6:08one. Right now the waiver wire for wide
6:10receivers is pretty dry. So, you're
6:12going to see a lot of rookie wide
6:13receivers here. Over the span of me
6:15doing this, there have been so many
6:17rookie wide receivers come out of
6:18nowhere and be league winners. We've
6:20seen Aman Ra Stain Brown do it as a
6:22rookie, Rashi Rice, Christian Watson,
6:24Jaden Reed, uh even guys off the beaten
6:26path like Tank Dell and Elijah Moore,
6:29and just across the board, even like
6:31Chase Clayool, his rookie year, uh was a
6:34really fun player. You see guys come out
6:36of the woodworks all the time. And now,
6:38of course, you're going to have your
6:38studs who are just studs throughout. You
6:40know, Jefferson, Chase Puka, uh Jaylen
6:42McMillan last year, if you remember, uh
6:44Jaylen McMillan was an absolute stud in
6:46the fantasy playoffs. One people
6:48genuinely millions of dollars last year
6:51uh down the stretch. So, this was this
6:53is honestly just for fun talking about
6:55Jaylen McMillan, but he's kind of the
6:56poster boy for this where Tedella
6:59McMillan's going to be great. Maybe I
7:00bounces back, but we're looking for guys
7:02off the beaten path. That's what Jaylen
7:03McMillan was last year. Week 14, he had
7:0621.9 PPR points. 15, he had 18.5. Then
7:1016.7, then 23. Over the last four weeks,
7:14right? So week 14, 15, 16, 17, Jaylen
7:17McMillan was averaging like 20 points
7:19per game last year. People really forget
7:21that. Of course, he's now buried on that
7:22depth chart coming back from a neck
7:24injury, but it just goes to show that
7:26we're probably going to have one random
7:28rookie wide receiver be a guy down the
7:31stretch.
7:32So, we want to be stashing those
7:34players. Luther Burden to me is the
7:36number one guy only rostered in 15.9% of
7:38leagues. We can look at the rookie
7:40receiver report here. He runs a season
7:43high 69%
7:45of the routes in week 14. Uh up from 57%
7:49the week before. Of course, Roman Dunce
7:51is hurt. DJ Moore has been a law a
7:53non-factor in this loss. Luther Burton
7:56led the Bears wide receivers in target
7:58share, first read share, receiving first
8:00downs, yards per out run, yards. He had
8:03six targets, four catches, 67 yards. All
8:05four of his catches were first downs,
8:072.48 yards per out run, 8.3 yardd A dot.
8:10His 9% first downs per route run mark is
8:14only behind Tedo McMillan on the year.
8:17He's the only rookie receiver with a 20%
8:19targets per run or better and a two plus
8:21yards per run or better. the sample size
8:24is big enough now that we can be pretty
8:25certain that Luther Burden is a good
8:26player. We just need more routes and I
8:29think that we are sprinting towards him
8:31running 80% plus of the routes as soon
8:34as this week. Uh then things fall off a
8:37cliff. I'll be honest with you guys. The
8:38next guy I have here is Ryan Florenoi.
8:41He's okay. It just kind of comes down to
8:42what's going on with CD Lamb. We still
8:44don't really have any reports here. He
8:46suffered a concussion in the Thursday
8:48night game. gives him a little bit extra
8:50time to recover, but if he can't go,
8:52Ryan Florenoy has been pretty good as a
8:54flex option. He is among 88 wide
8:57receivers that qualify. He is 13th in
9:00first downs per out run, 32nd in yards
9:02per out run, 38th in targets per out run
9:05for a random player competing for routes
9:08with CD Lamb, George Pickkins, and Jake
9:10Ferguson. These are all really solid
9:13numbers. He has two games of 100 plus
9:15receiving yards this season. And in this
9:17game against Detroit on Thursday, he had
9:21I want to say like nine catches for 114
9:24yards or something like that, he had
9:26yeah he had 13 targets, nine catches,
9:28115 yards and a touchdown this past
9:30week. He gets Minnesota. Just keep an
9:33eye on CD Lamb here heading into the
9:35week. Then we can talk about Devon Vele.
9:38Again, we're dumpster diving here. He's
9:40coming off backtoback weeks of a 26%
9:42target share. kind of getting some
9:44rapport here with Tyler Shuck, but we're
9:46talking about Devon Vele on the Saints.
9:49Uh, then we just have some rookie
9:50stashes, guys that I wouldn't start, but
9:52could maybe be Jaylen McMillan where
9:54they come out of nowhere and then all of
9:56a sudden you're starting them in week 16
9:57and they go crazy. Uh, Pat Bryant, his
10:00route share fell by 10% this week, but
10:02he's now had two weeks in a row off of
10:04the by-week of running more routes than
10:06Troy Franklin. That's super impressive,
10:08but Shawn Peyton's really tough to
10:10trust. And then Jack Besh, uh, he had a
10:1279% route share this past week. Yes, the
10:15Raiders wide receiver was banged up, but
10:16he had six targets, six catches, 50
10:18yards, two first downs, 1.61 yards per
10:21out run in a game that had Kenny Picket
10:23at quarterback, and it was just
10:24absolutely brutal. Jack B could maybe be
10:26a guy here down the stretch, but again,
10:28we're really dumpster diving
10:31outside of Burton and Florenoi.
10:34Those are rough options. Those are our
10:35deep league options that we're looking
10:37at here. Uh, and then we just kind of
10:39have our grab bag of tight ends,
10:42quarterbacks, and defenses. We'll start
10:43with tight ends. Again, we're chasing
10:46rookie upside here. We just saw it with
10:47Harold Fannon. I will say too, I didn't
10:50like I want to make sure that I'm
10:51talking about players who are available
10:52in your leagues, guys who probably
10:53aren't, but are worth looking at. Uh,
10:56Jaden Reed working his way back up from
10:59injury with the Packers. He could be a
11:01factor down the stretch. And then also,
11:03we can talk about
11:05Harold Fannon. There's no way he's on
11:07your waiverwire, but if he is, he could
11:09be a league winner down the stretch. But
11:11Coloulston Lovelin just below our 40%
11:13threshold. He's a consensus tight end 12
11:15this week. And even though his route
11:17share hasn't budged and it's been a
11:18little bit frustrating with Kolkat
11:19there, he now has since week nine
11:21against Cincinnati. 29.8 PPR points,
11:249.57, 14.9, 5.8, 12.9. So he's kind of
11:29been boomer bust, but that's just the
11:32nature of the tight end position. Then
11:34we have Isaiah Likely who in backto-back
11:35weeks this week he should have had a
11:37touchdown. The week before he should
11:38have had a touchdown uh where he fumbled
11:41it into the back of the end zone. I
11:42think he still had a pretty decent week
11:44this p both of those weeks. He's now
11:46been at 10 plus PPR points in two of his
11:49last two games. And against Cincinnati
11:51this week who when we look at this Ian
11:53Hardit tweet, this is just a great
11:54representation of how bad the Bengals
11:57have been against tight ends. the gap in
12:00PPR points per game allowed to opposing
12:03tight ends between the Bengals and the
12:04next worst defense, the Jaguars, the
12:06same as the Jaguars in the third best
12:08defense, the Raiders. It's absurd. We
12:10saw last week Dawson Knox and Don
12:12Concincaid both put up strong fantasy
12:14points performances against the Bengals.
12:17Uh then we can talk about Mikei T.
12:20Higgins concussion probably not playing
12:21this week. Aski has had four plus
12:23targets in every game since his return.
12:25He's not going to run a ton of routes.
12:27It's scary to start him, but he's
12:29essentially their wide receiver, too. If
12:30T. Higgins can't go. Then Kobe
12:33Parkinson. He's been the tight end five
12:34since week 10. The Rams score a ton of
12:37points. They've kind of settled in on
12:38Kobe Parkinson being their tight end
12:39one. He is absolutely startable in
12:41fantasy. Uh and then Mason Taylor. This
12:43one's a desperation one. He had eight
12:45targets last week, which is great, but
12:48the Jets quarterback this week is
12:50potentially Brady Cook. Uh like a day
12:52three pick out of Missouri. Not a good
12:53player. Uh then we can talk about
12:55quarterback streamers. Uh, I doubt Jayen
12:57Daniels plays this week or anytime soon.
12:59And over his last three starts, Mariota
13:02has had 19.8 points per game. That's a
13:04really strong number. Uh, JJ McCarthy.
13:10It's tough to trust everybody on this
13:12list not name Mariota. McCarthy gets the
13:14Cowboys who allow the most fantasy
13:16points to posing quarterbacks. He's
13:17coming off maybe his best game as a pro
13:18so far. We shall see. But that is really
13:21rolling the dice in the first round of
13:22the fantasy playoffs. Uh, then you have
13:24Tyler Shuck. He has 20 plus points per
13:26game in his last two starts. He gets
13:27Carolina which is a tough defense in a
13:29divisional game. Then Shadore 30 bomb
13:32last week after not really showing much
13:34life as a fantasy asset. He gets Chicago
13:36this week who allows the eighth most
13:38points two opposing quarterbacks. Not a
13:39terrible matchup here. McCarthy through
13:42Sanders are really more so if you're in
13:43like a 16 teamer and you're streaming a
13:45quarterback or a superflex league,
13:47something like that. If you're in a one
13:49quarterback league, I mean, I don't
13:50know, maybe you lose Jayen Daniels, but
13:52I assume you have Mariota. Uh I it's
13:55rough times for streaming quarterbacks
13:56right now. Uh then we'll talk about
13:58defenses. We have the 49ers my number
14:00one defense of the week. Solid's unit
14:02has been humming. Uh they get the Titans
14:04this week who have allowed the third
14:06most fantasy points to opposing tight
14:07ends or uh defenses, my bad. Uh then you
14:10have the Bears defense playing against
14:11the Browns and Shador. The Browns have
14:13allowed the fourth most fantasy points
14:14to opposing defenses. And then you have
14:16the Cowboys. The Cowboys defense sucks,
14:18but the Vikings have allowed the most
14:20points to opposing defenses.
14:24If JJ McCarthy has a stinker, the
14:27Cowboys could be a magical defense this
14:31week. Now, that's going to do it for us
14:33today. Again, my entire Waverwire
14:34article will be on the Patreon,
14:36patreon.com/ronstewart.
14:37But if you can't support there or you're
14:39already signed up, leave a like,
14:41subscribe if you're new, and I will see
14:42you guys in the next one.
14:55Yeah.
14:56Stones.
15:02I like frozen.
