0:00What's going on guys? It's Nick here back with another video. It's Monday.
0:02See what time it is. Time for another mock draft Monday. Back to a 12 team league this time. Uh we'll go with the
0:07midpick. We've done early, we've done late recently. So we'll go with something in the middle. Pick seven and back to half PPR. I'm also going to put
0:14on a second flex spot. This is my favorite format. Two running back, two receiver, two flex. Opens things up a little bit more for whatever strategy
0:22you see in the draft. Typically, if you are a better player, you uh know a little bit more about fantasy football,
0:29uh you want more starters in your starting lineup, and also this adds one uh extra person to your team. It is
0:34beneficial. It also reduces the kind of variance at times the smaller the roster uh you know, a little bit more variance
0:43uh added in there for touchdowns and players over underperforming. So, let's do this draft. Uh starts off pretty normal. Gibbs, Bejon, uh, we know it's
0:52going to go one, two, McCaffrey, Jamar Chase, Jonathan Taylor, Puka. Uh, that's pretty much going to be your top six.
0:58Sometimes you'll say you'll see JSN kind of mix in there, maybe ahead of McAffrey or Jonathan Taylor. Uh, but it's all
1:05going to be personal preference there.
1:07Um, personally, I would just go JSN. So, you know, I want early running back, right?
1:14I want two running backs in the first three rounds. Um, I would very much prefer if I could get a round one
1:20running back and if I was sitting here in the middle of the first round, I would love if McCaffrey or Jonathan
1:25Taylor were to fall to me at this point, but I'm definitely not taking James Cook this early. I'm not taking Ashen Genty
1:31this early. You know, these running backs are good. Uh, they are not running backs I want to be taking in the
1:36mid-first round. There are reasons that you'd be a little bit scared of all of them this early, but there's really no
1:42reason to be concerned with JSN and Ammon S. Brown. before uh we take this next tier of running backs. I do think
1:48those two should definitely be coming off the board. Um I guess the one thing you could be scared about with JSN is
1:54that um his coordinator is now gone. Uh head coach now of the Raiders and so that could be a concern, but you can go
2:01on the flip side and say, okay, well, Charbanet has a torn ACL that he's recovering from very fast. A lot of
2:07positive reports there, but it's not going to be healthy to start the season.
2:10Um, you have Ken Walker gone in Kansas City now and you've got Jarian Price as probably gonna be the lead back, but has
2:16zero role in the receiving game. And so their rushing success is probably going to go down. They're going to throw the
2:22running backs less often. Um, and they don't really have other wide receivers going to throw to. So, he's still going to have an insane target share. Um,
2:30really no reason to be avoiding him.
2:31Strong strength of schedule this season.
2:33Uh, probably don't have to convince you to be drafting uh, JSM. All right, put up the draft board here. So, uh, early
2:41for Bowowers and McBride. Not crazy early. We're going to see Bowowers go top 15, I think, in a lot of leagues.
2:47And we're going to see McBride go probably top 20. I'm off McBride this season. Uh, I just think there are too
2:53many mouths to feed on what is projected to be the worst team in the NFL. Uh, you've got Marv, you've got Michael
2:59Wilson, you've got Jeremiah Love, you've got Trey McBride. These are all very good players who all are going to command decent target shares. and you've
3:08gonna start the season with Brassette, but you're going to transition into Carson Beck. And once you transition into Carson Beck, they're going to drop
3:13back at a lower rate. They're probably going to play slower. They're probably going to score fewer points. All very bad things obviously in fantasy. Um they
3:21crushed last season in fantasy. A lot of these guys, number one, because Marv was injured for a portion of the season and
3:27that was when McBride was also going off. But number two, uh they dropped back a million times. I mean, it was
3:33crazy watching some of those games how they would just fall completely behind the second half. It was just pass attempt, pass attempt, pass attempt. And
3:39it's like maybe that happens again this year. But I don't think Brassette's going to like lead the league in pass attempts. And then I also don't think
3:46he'll be the quarterback all season. So I'm off McBride. I think he's a little bit too expensive. I want Bowers and I
3:51want uh Coulson Lovel at tight end. But anyways, those two go after us. Um so my receivers go off the board. Jefferson,
3:58Aman, Ra, CD Lamb, and Drake London. And then James Cook, Genty, and Achan are off the board. And also is Josh Allen.
4:06So, we drafted a wide receiver in the first round in this format. That tells us running back should be next. Uh, you
4:13still have a positive playoff rate of over expectation if you go wide receiver, wide receiver. You will have to draft running backs after that. And
4:20that is the big risk in a start like that. Sure, if rounds three, four, five, we hit on the running backs we want. We
4:26could build a great team. Um, at wide receiver right now, AJ Brown is a phenomenal pick. Uh, Nico Collins is a
4:32phenomenal pick. I don't know that like Pickkins, Olive, Devontto Smith should be taken in the middle of the second round. Uh, but AJ Brown and Nico Collins
4:39are both totally fine to be taking this early. Um the thing is if you take them and then there's a big run at running
4:45back, you could fall really behind and that could really just sink your draft early on because there's a huge cliff uh
4:53basically after um I would say after like Monty, but you could argue the cliff happens a relatively decent cliff happens after
5:02Javant Williams uh who would be the running back like 16 to 18 range. And once that occurs, like if it occurs
5:10before our next pick, then we're going to be looking at like Manungai as a running back, too. And that's a problem.
5:15Uh especially in a league where you could theoretically start uh up to four running backs. You want to have some running backs on your roster. So, we'll
5:22look at things here. Um my value has it basically tied and I still think we need to do a breakdown video between Saquon
5:29Barkley, Anamar, and Hampton. Um, so my projections have that basically even, um, strength of schedule-wise, it's definitely leaning Saquon Barkley, the
5:38easiest schedule for the Eagles, but the playoff schedule is brutal, and I don't want to overlook that, right? They have the easiest, by far the easiest schedule
5:45in the first 14 weeks of the season, and by far the hardest schedule in the fantasy playoffs. Well, I want to make
5:50it to the fantasy playoffs, and then I want to win when I get there. I don't know how much I want Saquon Barkley in
5:56that. So, that's something you have to keep in mind with that strength of the schedule. Um, I think if this were my
6:00league, I probably would go Amari and Hampton here. Um, the one concern with Hampton is that I genuinely believe they're going to use Katon Mitchell for
6:07like a 10 or 11 touch a game running back. And if that occurs, uh, there's just some risk that, uh, Hampton doesn't
6:14get the touches he needs. One thing with that is we don't know if it's going to happen. We don't know if Katon Mitchell
6:19can stay healthy. And we also really like the Chargers offense. I think they're going to score a ton of points.
6:25And I know that Hampton's going to be the goal line back. It can almost be like a a similarish situation to like
6:31Kairen Williams where, you know, Corm gets a lot of touches, but Kairen was still good in fantasy a lot of years
6:36because he scores a million touchdowns.
6:39If you're scoring touchdowns, you don't necessarily need all the other stuff.
6:42And we know Hampton's going to be more involved in the receiving game than Kiran. So, we love the offense. The receptions will be there. They won't be
6:48crazy, but they'll be there enough. And we also have what'll likely be a lot of touchdowns and a much more explosive
6:54player. So, Kiran is not explosive. He needs that volume to keep going. And Ryan Hampton can score an 80 yard touchdown anytime he touches the ball
7:00from the 20 yard line obviously, but he can score a touchdown from anywhere on the field in a way that Kiren can't. So
7:06there's still a lot of benefits obviously for Hampton or but yeah, I I just feel a lot better about him. Also,
7:10when it's close like this, you just want to lean towards a younger running back.
7:13Um perhaps it's possible that um you know, Saquon has a year like he had two years ago. It's unlikely that the Eagles
7:22are going to be the best team in the NFL by a mile. uh they're probably going to struggle this season without AJ Brown.
7:28Um so yeah, I I just think, you know, typically you want to lean towards youth when it says 50/50. Also, I've added in
7:34this trend. Uh we just don't have seven days of data yet. So soon you're going to be able to see um my um like how
7:41things are kind of moving uh like up or down for uh players here, but not yet uh because it hasn't been seven days yet
7:49for the run to do. All right, draft board. We go. We take Hampton. Uh, Saquon goes right after us. Chase Brown,
7:56Ken Walker. I think Chase Brown is also u, maybe I should have talked about him more. I think he's also in the mix to be
8:01taken at that spot. Um, we know that the offense is the same. And that's basically the value in Bengals players is nothing has changed. It's Burrow, T.
8:10Higgins, Jamar Chase, and Chase Brown with a rotation at three and rotation at tight end. That's just going to happen.
8:16So, we know where the volume is going to go. And Chase Brown doesn't really have any touch competition. He's going to
8:21have receptions. He's also explosive. Um maybe a lower touchdown ceiling than Marin Hampton. Like Hampton could could have 15 touchdowns a season if that
8:29offense hits and he stays healthy. Um Chase Brown just a little bit less likely because the Bengals are going to throw the ball to Jamar Chase and T.
8:37Higgins when they get in close in a way that you know like Lad and um Quinton Johnson are not Jamar Chase and T.
8:46Higgins. Like obviously Chase Higgins are better players. Uh, but I think he's definitely in that conversation. And maybe that video should be Chase Brown
8:52verse Saquon verse Amaran Hampton. I don't think anyone else is really in that conversation though. But he goes, uh, Ken Walker, Dererick Henry, and
9:00Jeremiah Love also off the board at wide receiver. Uh, it's Nico Pickkins, AJ Brown, Olive, and Rasheed Rice. And then, uh, Loveland also gone in round
9:09three along with Lamar Jackson. So, a tight end, we're basically done. I still don't know what I want to do with Tyler
9:17Warren. I see the path. I I see the opportunity of okay, uh, Alec Pierce might not be healthy for week one. So,
9:24they had he had foot surgery. It was like a four to six month timeline. We don't know yet. And it's trending
9:29towards like um that's kind of when he should be returning, but it is very concerning having a foot surgery that like is going to take him a lot of time
9:37to recover from. And he's like the only guy uh besides DS like Downs and we don't even know if D's going to play on
9:44the outside, but now he basically has to play on the outside. uh they have nothing. So, do they go into camp being
9:49like, "Okay, well, like training camp opens in July. Uh Alec Pierce is not expected to be cleared by then." Uh what
9:56if they're just like, "All right, Tyler Warren, you're basically our wide receiver one." Like, I think because that outcome is theoretically possible
10:02that he's not a bad pick. So, he I still think should be viewed in this lens of I want Bowers, I want Leland, I think I
10:10still want Warren, but after him, you just basically don't touch this range unless unless these guys go really late.
10:14Maybe KD. I like Kill a decent amount.
10:16Um, but after these guys, it's like just wait and either double dip or single dip at tight end. Don't be taking them in
10:22the middle rounds. But I I still think I I don't think he'll be a mustdraft player. But if this Alec Pierce timeline
10:27gets pushed and we're looking at Josh DS and no one else, a wide receiver, of course, they're going to go into camp
10:34understanding that and realizing that they need to give Warren 7, eight, nine targets a game. And if he's getting that, I mean, that's a lot of value in
10:42fantasy. He's also a great talent, but obviously not round three, so we're not going to take him right now. Uh, I did
10:47the video on Dev Mont Smith, so you guys know I like Damont Smith. Obviously, I like T. Higgins, uh, T McMillan. Uh,
10:54Neighbors, I've kind of said we're probably waiting until round five right now, just given the uncertainty, he could come back, he could look great in
11:03camp, and then we bump him up. But right now, because we don't know and an outcome still exists where maybe he's
11:10not healthy until like week four or week five, uh that's a problem in round three. We can't be taking him there. Um
11:17Garrett Wilson, Lad, we're going to have that problem with the offensive stack. I don't necessarily want to take Hampton and Lad unless Lad's a great value. Egg
11:24Bua we're going to love, but not necessarily in our three. So, I think it's still Smith Ty Higgins and Terry McLuren or um T McMillan. I like Terry
11:31McLuren, but not yet. Uh at running back, that's probably what I would lean towards. I wouldn't take a quarterback this early. Uh Data also has it pretty
11:39split in this format. Um again, it's going to adjust for that second flex spot. So, in a two running back, two
11:45wide receiver, two flex league where it's half PPR and 12 teams in the league. Uh and we go, you know, running
11:51back and receiver to start. Running back is a plus 10%, wide receiver is a plus 9% and quarterback and tight end are
11:58negative. So, it's a slight lean towards running back, but it's basically a 50/50 at this point in terms of playoff rate
12:04over expectation. I would go running back, though. Um, I think that there's enough picks, one, two, three, four, five, there's 10 picks that'll go by our
12:13pick and the next one, and I don't want to leave this range at running back, my second running back. I know there will
12:17be great wide receivers for us at the next pick. So, I would go one of Bree Hall or Travis Etien. um had someone in
12:25the comments argue against ETN saying like that uh Kamara is there. I'm currently operating under the assumption that Kamar will not be there. I just
12:33don't think they know what to do right now cuz Kamar means so much to this team. They can't cut him. He's already
12:39said he'll retire if they trade him. So, they're kind of stuck in no man's land being like I don't like I don't think
12:44the team wants Kamara to be like a feature weapon on the offense and I don't think they also want to throw him
12:49out there for like three opportunities a game and kind of like almost disrespect him in that way. I think they want
12:55Travis Etien to be that guy, but they don't know what to do with Camaro because they don't want to make him
13:00upset because again he means so much to this team. He's like a legend obviously in New Orleans. So, I think it's a tough
13:05spot, but I I don't think Kamara is going to be there and be a problem this season. If we get into July and he is,
13:10obviously, we'll go Bree Hall here. My projections do have Bree Hall right now, so it's probably what we'll end up just
13:16doing. Um, but yeah, I I think uh case to be made if Kamar is not there. And you got ETM with a very easy schedule, a
13:26bunch of dome games, playing fast, like just so much potential for opportunity here. I think the offense is going to be
13:33good as well. Uh so that's that. Also, LiveH helper definitely leaning towards uh running back. These tight end teams are teams that got one of the good tight
13:42ends in the next round. Um and this is based off data for top 25% of rosters.
13:48Uh and yeah, recommendation is Bree Hall as we would expect.
13:54So we'll take him Hampton Hall JSN.
13:58It's also nice having JSN because like he is basically like Almanra and where great wide receiver going to have an awesome season not going to be as like
14:08spike and dip, right? Justin Jefferson probably more spike and dip. Drake London spike and dip. CD Lamb might be because uh Pickkins is there. These are
14:18players who have 170 yard two touch on upside every time they step on the field. But they also have those weeks
14:25where they bottom out. JSN and Amanrad don't. And so when you go with these builds that have that one wide receiver
14:32to start and then kind of take running backs, it's really nice when that one wide receiver isn't going to dud. Anyone
14:37could get hurt. And maybe JSN duds more than we think this season, but it's unlikely that he has a season where he's
14:44posting a bunch of dud games and that's really beneficial when you take them in round one. Same thing with like Puka and
14:49Jamar Chase, assuming that Burrow stays healthy. I mean, you kind of have to say assuming their quarterback stays healthy for all of the early run quarterbacks or
14:56running wide receivers. Okay. Uh, after Bree Hall, Kiran, Etienne, Javvante, Jacobs, Trayvon, Bucky, Swift all off the board. And that was our fear if we
15:07didn't have two running backs by this point that people are going to take running back and we're going to have this cliff happen and we don't want to
15:12be there. So, we're good with taking Bree Hall at that spot. T. Higgins, Devontto Smith, and uh, Malik Neighbors also off the board. quarterbacks and no
15:20tight ends. So again, tight ends Warren, but we're not going to take him in round four. Quarterback top options are Drake
15:27May, Jaden Daniels. Uh we're not going to take them in round four as well.
15:31We'll start considering it in five.
15:32Loving it in round six. At running back, um I like Scataboo. I don't know about the health yet. It's just too early to
15:39know. I also want to kind of talk about um uh Bucky. At this point, we don't know health statuses at this point. We
15:48are in OTAAS. We are in like mini camps.
15:51We're in times where, you know, guys are out there running routes and they're out there taking handoffs, right? There are no pads. There is no hitting. There is
16:00no real defense being played. It's all like soft coverage. So, there's nothing you can take away with Bucky. He returned to practice and and that's
16:07obviously a very positive thing for his recovery. But we don't know if there's something out there that's like, yeah, I mean, even when camp start in July, we
16:15could see him walk out there with a a red jersey being like, "Don't hit him, right?" Like, we don't know the status
16:20of these players in terms of can they actually take a hit? Can they actually be out there for a full practice?
16:26Because these practices are so light.
16:27There's nothing really going on in them.
16:29Like, obviously, they're not light in the sense that like if you were I went out there, like, we'd be gassed. We'd be
16:34cooked. We wouldn't be able to to keep up. But these are not like joint practices. These are not uh you know 11
16:39on 111 where there's full tackling, full defense, full everything. Like when you add tackling in it adds a completely different component especially for these
16:48guys returning from injury. So with Bucky, with Scataboo, even with Judkins, we will know a lot more in July, basically where they're at. With that
16:56being said, um positive that Bucky was out there, positive that Scataboo is out there. Um positive that Judkins report the other day that he looks really
17:04explosive. I would say among those three, Judkins is the one I'm a little bit least concerned with. Um, he is the
17:11best talent among the three. Um, he is the most athletic among the three. Um, he is the one I would expect to recover
17:17the best from this injury and he is the one that I think has the most upside to be maybe not featured because I think
17:24um, Don Samson's going to be there and have a role, but the guy that can have like, you know, 20 touches per game. I
17:30don't think the Buckeyy's getting 20 touches per game. I think they know that he broke down um each of the last like
17:35two seasons. Um more more so last season he broke down a lot more. Um but I think in his rookie season it was more a
17:42function of like he was playing well.
17:44They were in this insane playoff push where they had to win every single game and they didn't have anyone else that
17:50they really wanted to use.
17:52Last season obviously he's not healthy at any point and so they're like okay like that's a concern that can he stay
17:57healthy has this major injury multiple really honestly major injuries. Um, and then this season they bring in Gainwell and Gainwell is a player they love, they
18:06want to get touches to, they want to use in the receiving game. He's not going anywhere. So Gainwell is going to be a
18:11problem. Sean Tucker's going to be a problem at the goal line. So that's the concern there. The concern with Scataboo is more so uh coach leaves and the coach
18:19loved him, was giving him touches. What do they do now? Um, the concern is also Ty Tracer Jr. is like a good running
18:24back. Uh and the injury there was a lot more gruesome uh than you know people realize. Like it was a pretty brutal
18:32injury. Takes a long time to recover from. We don't know. Will the the already athleticism was very low uh be a
18:38little bit lower now? We don't know. Uh so personally I still feel like Judkins is a little bit more so the play. My
18:45projections have it barely as Scataboo and I think just because he projects as a better fantasy player. he projects as someone who could have four, five, six
18:56reception games in the way that Judkins kind of can't. Uh, but in terms of my confidence in the player hitting a
19:03ceiling, I would say it's still Judkins, but it's got to be Judkins here. Those are the two players uh that I would kind
19:09of put uh over there. Oh, did I finally Yeah, I did finally fix this. Um, it finally deletes when you put a player
19:16up. Uh, at least I think it does. Put a player up for the queue and they get drafted. Okay. Um, Tet is still on the
19:25board. Garrett Wilson still on the board. Lad's still on the board. Very unfortunately for Garrett Wilson and for Lad though, uh, we got these exclamation
19:32points because we have Bree and we have Hampton. Um, I keep getting the comments, so that's why I keep mentioning this in these videos. The
19:38reason I don't want to involve multiple is just the risk. Yes, in weeks where the Jets do really well, sure, maybe you
19:47want to have Bree Hall and Garrett Wilson, but it's marginal. Like there's going to be weeks where those two picks would have done well anyways. It's the
19:53bad weeks, the weeks where they score 10, 13 points, that they don't move the ball offensively, that they both have to
19:59play in bad weather, that they both have to play really bad defense. You have a lot more weeks where two of your top
20:05round picks bottom out. And that's going to lead to a lot more losses for you over the long run that you wouldn't have
20:11had if you didn't just correlate two of your picks together. What if there's a quarterback injury as well? Like what if
20:17things happen, the offensive line falls apart, maybe you invested in the Chargers last season, you're like, "Let's go. I got Hampton and Lad and the
20:22offensive line fell apart." Well, now they both don't really work out and now your whole team takes a huge hit on
20:28correlated plays and it doesn't really benefit you that much to stack unless you're in something like underdog. So, don't do it. Don't be drafting multiple
20:35of these guys early on. So, if you love Lad, you love Garrett Wilson, that can be a reason to lean away from Hampton or
20:40Breeze Hall early on. Um, with that being said, I would still just take T over them because I have T projected
20:47higher. Um, ADP is higher. Live ADP is higher. Everything is just higher for T McMillan. Projection is higher. Um, we're also leaning wide receiver over
20:56running back, but it's barely. It's still positive taking both of them. Um, I'll really want Iuka in the next one. I
21:03think IA is going to be a mustdraft player this season. I'm starting to warm up to him a lot. Um, I think I might
21:08boost his projection a little bit more.
21:10I want us to be getting a lot of him.
21:12Um, we're getting like we're getting like Pete Cooper Cup vibes. Like the way that they're talking on this offense is like get the football to a mecha Ibuka
21:21every single play that you can. Um, I don't know like Evans being gone, Godwin being there, but like I think we all
21:30realize that Godwin is not what he used to be. I'm just saying there's a lot of upside for Luca this season, but I'd
21:37still take Tet over him. So it would be TT if we went for there. I don't know what the move is here. Um top teams take
21:46wide receiver in this spot given how we've started. So nice knowing that. And when I say top teams that is given all
21:53this data that we have, you guys are doing like tons and tons and tons of mock draft on the site. How do not only
21:59your teams but computer teams as well, how do they turn out gradewise when they start off certain ways and then what do
22:05they take next? And so I look at the top 25% of these graded teams. a lot of them given the start are taking wide
22:10receiver. Uh that can give us some sort of insight into what can happen in future rounds depending on what you do.
22:16So I think that's probably the play. Um I'd be totally fine um almost doing like a a shield. It's it's a weird strategy
22:24you kind of play in your mind sometime, but it's like well if I leave Ted on the board, it's just another wide receiver.
22:28If I really want Igbuka, if I take T now's only two ahead of him. Um I guess by ADP there's four ahead of him here.
22:37Um, but you know, you leave him on the board. It's like someone else takes Tet, then Garrett, then Lad, maybe Z, and I
22:43can get Igbuka in the next round because I would love to get like a Judkins and Igbuka. But I'd also be totally fine
22:47taking Tet and Ibuka as well. And so I think that's what we should be doing with this one. All right, what happens?
22:55We're not getting Ibuka, unfortunately.
22:57Uh, so we take T. Uh, Judkins, Scataboo go back to back. Dave Montgomery goes and then no other running backs off the
23:02board. Garrett Wilson, Ibuka, Lad, Zay, Terry McLuren, and Devont Adams gone.
23:07Uh, we've got Tyler Warren gone, Harold Fannon gone, Jane Daniels gone. Uh, so a lot of picks that we like, definitely
23:13off the board. Um, tight end is now a positive if we wanted to start taking it, but it would be Warren. We're
23:21definitely not taking Tucker Craft, Sam Leaporta, uh, anything like that. At wide receiver, Burton is a good pick. um
23:30J Mo, but I like JMO a lot more in um basketball formats. Mike Evans is a good pick. Jaylen Wadd is a good pick, but
23:40I don't know that we need to go there. I would say for this round, Luther Burton is the player with, you know, a lot of
23:49upside, very high floor because of the offense that he's on. I would say we would just take him among our options.
23:56Um, Bashaw Tutin I think is clearly the best running back and probably the player we're gonna end up going with here. Um, we have this foot injury for
24:05Chris Rodriguez that looks relatively major. Thing is, they're expecting him back in camp and so it could be one of those things that kind of pushes Tuton
24:13up. He goes way down. We look at first day of training camp, Chris Rodriguez is out there. They're hyping him up like
24:20they have been all off seasonason and we're like, "Oh, okay. He's actually fine." And then everything goes back to normal. Uh having said that, Tuin was
24:27someone that we really really liked as a rookie um because of the explosiveness, the ability to force miss tackles, the ability in the receiving game.
24:37The fear with Chris Rodriguez is you have that early down grinder. Chris Rodriguez was not going to catch any passes this season. He might have like
24:42five receptions, but he's a good early down grinder. He's good at the goal line, and the coach loves him. Um so that's a concern, but we also don't
24:51necessarily know how good Chris Rodriguez is. uh we don't know this foot injury like how major it's going to be.
24:58And then another concern is um you know Lquin Allen Jr. is a really good like receiving prospect but it's prospected like he didn't prove last season he
25:06could earn his way onto the field. They talk about wanting him but we don't know. Tuin is still a very high-end
25:12prospect himself. He had a decent not great but decent rookie season and they have talked about kind of using not as a
25:18feature back but like him being a huge part of the offense. This is also an offense I want to attach myself to. So,
25:23when we have running backs, a fallback can be who do they play for? Like the touchdowns can't be there if you're on a
25:29terrible team. Uh there's a little bit more risk being on a terrible team.
25:31Honestly, someone like Bruce Hall just has more risk inherently with him because you don't know how good the offense is going to be. Jacksonville is
25:37going to be good. They have a great coach, a really strong quarterback, great wide receivers. They're going to be a very good offense. And so even if
25:45you have this outcome where Tuin isn't necessarily as amazing, well, he's on a great team and he can just still be very
25:53involved, have a lot of positive positive game scripts. Um there's a lot of yards to go around, there's touchdowns to go around, he can just
25:59have a good season even if Chris Rodriguez and Quinn Allen are used more than we want. And I also look at things
26:04and I say, "Okay, I'm off price this season." Uh Stevenson, okay, but kind of a floor play for Stevenson. Chuba, I'm off this season
26:12and I already have Tet, so I wouldn't go there. And then you're down to like Paul or Jaylen Warren, Manung Guy, Harvey.
26:18It's like I just don't want these guys in my starting lineup. Uh I'm pretty good with Tutin in my starting lineup.
26:23So I think you go with Tutin, you hope that Drake May is there in the next round and you take him. Uh or you
26:29basically go with one of these really strong wide receivers. Wide receiver is going to start to fall off. Uh but at
26:34the end of the day, projections uh lean towards Stutton. Draft strategy leans towards Stut. I would just go there. So we'll take him. pulled up the draft
26:43board and what do you know? Uh Drake May is not on the board. Neither is Burrow.
26:48Neither is Jaylen Herz. So that's unfortunate. Uh only price goes at running back, but because we took the end of a tier, which is great. You
26:55always want to be taking the end of a tier at running back. Um wide receivers, uh the unfortunate ones are all gone as well. Uh Jaylen Wadd,
27:03Luther Burton, J Mo, Mike Evans, and DJ Moore. Uh we would have wanted most of them. So, not a great spot for us. We're
27:13not going tight end yet again. It is still negative and we're in this tier we don't want. Wide receiver Dun's of
27:17value. I don't know what's going to happen here. Um, the way he's talking about this like foot callous thing where basically the the bone is healing funny
27:26and he's going to learn how to run with it. Um, I think people going to make more of this than they need to, but
27:33we'll see. Like basically, if if we get reports out of training camp, and again, training camp is late July. what we're
27:39what we're going to see right now in the coming weeks. It's not training camp.
27:42This is just like getting your feet wet for these teams. Uh real training camp starts. I don't know when. It's different for every team. Uh I should
27:50probably look up the exact dates, but it's basically like the late teens typically late teens, early 20s in July on through the end of August. That's
27:58when we really start to trust reports.
28:00If there's reports that he's out there like limping around, he's not as good at route running, like he doesn't look that
28:05great. Yeah, we're going to back off.
28:06Uh, I think right now I would utilize these reports to capitalize on a very talented player on a great offense who's
28:13going to be out there every single play.
28:14So, I would probably just take a Dunay.
28:16Um, yeah, I I don't I don't want these running backs here. And Caleb is is viable, but we could also go with
28:26Herbert or Trevor Lawrence. I'm fine with that as my stack. So, I'm fine if in round seven we go Herbert or Lawrence
28:32and we have a quarterback and a um a running back. That sort of correlation is okay because I'm basically just saying I think the Chargers and the
28:39Jaguars are going to be good and those down weeks don't hurt you as much because it's unlikely there's that many weeks where the Chargers and the Jaguars
28:48lay an egg on a both passing and running. That's not going to happen that often. It's more so when it's two
28:55skilled players together that it's a problem for the quarterback and the running back to both do nothing. Like you really had a bad game and that's not
29:02going to happen super often. It'll happen at a similar rate as if we decorrelated it. Like Jackson Dart and Bree Hall, we'll say, are probably going
29:10to have duds at the same rate as Bree Hall and the quarterback together if the quarterback were the same value as
29:15Jackson. Probably not a good value.
29:16Should just done that. Trevor Lawrence right above him. But Trevor Lawrence and 2in are going to correlate for bad games at a pretty similar rate as 2in and
29:25Jackson Dart, but uh Hampton and Lad might correlate a little bit more negatively in those bad games if that makes sense. Um just
29:35because like they're going to be games where the offense doesn't do that great, but Herbert still runs for a little bit,
29:40throws one touchdown to Quinton, but you still have Lad and Hampton not doing very well.
29:46So, uh, we're going to take Roman Dunce starting lineup right now because we've now filled our running back, receiver, and flex. Even at running back and
29:55receiver, which we always like to do with D-risisks oursel, Hampton, Bree Hall, JSN, Tet McMillan, Bashell Tuin, and Rome Adun. Um, pull up the draft
30:05board.
30:08We did have three quarterbacks, but Dart was thrown in there. So Dart, Herbert, and Dak are all off the board, which
30:13means we will have a quarterback we can take if we want to in this round. Uh, Chuba, and Jaylen Waron, and then a
30:20decent amount of wide receivers. Uh, Christian Watson, Carell Tate, Jordan Tyson, Marv, Alec Pierce, who again I would not be drafting right now. Uh, and
30:29then DK Metaf. I just I wouldn't draft Pierce until it's more common knowledge about his foot surgery and his ADP starts to go down because people are not
30:36really factoring it in right now. Yeah, Caleb is still on the board. I think you just take him with this pick and you
30:41make a bet on uh the Bears offense being good. Um if you wanted to take running back, it would be Stevenson. It would be
30:47Pard. Um I don't want to say tier above, but a decent amount above um Manungi and I think a tier above these other guys.
30:53Um wide receiver wouldn't hate taking a shot on Brian Thomas getting glowing reports.
31:01Again, no pads. Brian Thomas is kind of a player who gets those glowing reports when there's no physicality involved. Uh the the question last season was not is
31:10he physically gifted, it was will he run a route over the middle of the field and actually extend to catch the ball if he
31:16knows he's going to get hit. And the answer last season was no, he's not doing that.
31:22Sure, anyone will run over the middle of the field when there's no tackling.
31:26Where's the risk there? You know, you're not going to be impacted and you're just running there in street clothes. Well, not street clothes, but you know, shorts
31:31and a t-shirt. Like, we'll see once camp opens up. Does he have that same mentality over the middle of the field?
31:39Hopefully he does. The hope is that Brian Thomas Jr. is, you know, what we thought he was going into last season
31:45and we can start taking him earlier, but we don't know if that's the case yet.
31:48But he's still a good pick here. Um, good upside play and honestly, he's definitely like a I would probably put the same tier as
31:57like Mai and Parker, but definitely ahead of like Sutton, Addison, Jane Reed, like all these guys. Definitely definitely ahead of them.
32:05still not going to go with tight end. So again, I would probably just go quarterback. It's still technically negative right now, but I think we're at
32:13a range now, mid-seth round, where I would just take Caleb Williams. He's capable of having a really high-end season. And if we do hit on the Bears
32:20being a good offense, I kind of hit on these two, and I don't think the negativity uh impacts us too much there.
32:26All right, after we take Caleb Stevenson, Rico, and Manunga are gone at running back. Uh Bon Knicks also off the board at quarterback. And then we see
32:34Tucker Krafco and then Mai Parker, Brian Thomas, Addison, and Sutton are gone.
32:40So, we're in this next tier of wide receiver. I don't know how much I love this range and they're all the same.
32:46Literally, like Reed, Michael Wilson, Meyers, Godwin, DS, Quinton, like all these guys. I would say Golden could
32:55throw in there. Um, Pearl Pitman probably down to there.
33:05It feels like the same pick. It feels like, you know, a wide receiver, too, on a team that a lot of these are like
33:12decent offenses. Uh, some of these are like quality athletic players that have upside, but none of them are likely to finish as like a top 15 wide receiver.
33:23Um, basically it kind of ended with um it ended with like Parker Mai and uh Brian Thomas. I don't even know if we
33:32can really throw Mai into the, you know, ability to be top 15 receiver this season. So, we're not in a great range
33:38for wide receiver. Um, also, it's even with running back. I probably would just lean running back at this spot. And we've got Paul being a value. We're at
33:45pick 90. He goes, um, 80p is 77. uh live ADP 85 my rank 59 here. So I mean
33:56obviously in a good spot. Uh we got a report recently that they're basically saying like pollin spears are the you know bellcow running backs on this team.
34:05Um that's obviously a little bit of hype. I mean it's the coach saying it but it's a little bit of hype because
34:10you can't have two bell cows. Obviously like a bellcow is typically like the one running back. Um, I don't know what to
34:16do with Singleton, but it's such a bad rookie class and he's still coming off this this injury, this foot injury. My
34:24gut says he's really not going to mix in at all. Like, he's really going to be like a punt returner or kickoff
34:29returner. I don't know if he's going to do punts, a kickoff returner. He's going to mix in a little bit in the offense,
34:34but it's basically going to be Pard and Spears. And if Per plays like he did for portions of last season and this offense
34:41plays better, having more, you know, um obviously Cardinal Tate's going to really help having year two um for Ward.
34:50There's upside here in a way that there isn't for many of the players going a little bit later. I mean, there's upside
34:55for some of these running backs, but like I think you would lock in what is still theoretically a starting running back as your running back four.
35:02Okay, round nine. Well, in round eight and round nine kind of turned here. It was Corm Harvey Dobbins and Gainwell go uh
35:12Ferguson and Daltton Concade off the board. Mahomes off the board and then Godwin, Michael Wilson, Jaden Reed, Jacobe Myers, and Ricky Pearl. So,
35:21running back, we like Brooks, we like White. I still don't know what to do with White. So, JCM has an injury
35:30right now and is not going to catch passes. Problem with White is Jane Daniels isn't going to throw to running backs that much. So, his best attribute
35:36isn't going to be that used. And people are like, "Oh, like what if, you know, Chris Erdiggas is gone and what if JCM
35:41is hurt? Like, White's a featured running back." I don't know. They could still add someone. Like, I feel like they could still go out and sign another
35:46running back. Uh, and Rashad White's not like that good of a running back. So, I don't know. And there's really I mean,
35:53this is a pretty big drop off. Like, I'd be cool handcuffing um Amarian Hampton.
35:58Um, you see down here also we have like the handcuff icons. So, I'd be totally fine handcuff like Rodriguez, Keen Mitchell. I'm good with handcuffs if you
36:06want to handcuff your starter. I wouldn't draft like probably more than one, but I'm cool handcuffing them. But Brooks is definitely the highest upside
36:13running back play available. Um, he's coming off two torn ACLs. We've seen him get like what, less than 30 touches. It
36:21might be less than 20 touches as an NFL running back. Might be less than 10. I say he barely has any touches right now.
36:28Uh, but he was an amazing talent coming in. Reports right now, again, they're too early to actually know are that he
36:34does look very good, that he is healthy.
36:37There is a world where you're kind of drafting this time of year. You're like, okay, what could happen in training camp? What could happen in real training
36:43camp is that he goes out there, looks healthy, is using the receiving game, and we're like, wait a minute, who's the
36:48starter between him and Chuba? I still think it's going to be Chuba, but that outcome exists for Jonathan Brooks the way it kind of doesn't for any of these
36:55other running backs. So, Brooks definitely an option. We're not going to go, "Wow, Trevor Lawrence still on the board." Uh, which kind of bakes into
37:02that idea like, okay, this is what I'm playing with. Who Who is in this top tier of quarterback right now? It's Josh Allen,
37:10Lamar Jackson, Jaden Daniels, and Drake May. I think it's those four. I think if you want to throw Burrow and Herz in
37:19there, you can. But I feel like if you don't draft one of those four, maybe I shouldn't draft Caleb because if I'm
37:25getting Trevor Lawrence two rounds later, I mean, Trevor Lawrence is set up exceptionally well this season. I guess maybe I'm only saying that because he's
37:34there. I think Pertie set up really well. I wouldn't necessarily want to drop down in a one quarterback league to this like Goff, Kyler, Baker, Stafford,
37:41Chuck range. So maybe this is just that I I got a little bit lucky with the ADPs having like Lawrence and Perie kind of
37:48still available. But I don't know. I feel like it's one of those four or you wait. But I guess I got a good value on
37:54on Caleb. So I think it's probably fine.
37:56Any who wouldn't draft them. Uh KD's definitely an option at this spot. So it's KD, it's Jonathan Brooks. Um I don't think I would go wide receiver at
38:06this spot. I think I would still kind of wait. I'm go with JST and Adun as my receivers right now. And then I'll
38:11probably fill more of the bench with some of the later options at receiver.
38:15Uh so who would we take between KD and Brooks if we wait? Cuz KD it looks like the Achilles tear was like one of the more
38:27minor Achilles tear that you can have basically. Um and that he has recovered really nicely.
38:33We know he's going to take care of himself very well. We know that he's a great tight end that if he wasn't coming
38:38off this Achilles, he'd be going a lot earlier. and he has so much more upside than all these other tight ends. So, I
38:44feel like I want to just say, you know what, Brooks is still relatively unlikely to hit. Let's go with KD. I think that's the play. I think you
38:52should go with KD.
38:54Be We almost actually got Brooks in the next pick. Um go with KD, I think, is is the right move there. All right. Yeah,
38:59we do that and then I'm just going to take Josh Downs because he's definitely the best wide receiver still on the
39:04board. Um and then we'll pull up the draft board after that. So, we took KD.
39:09Uh, we took KD and then we took Josh Downs in rounds nine and rounds 10. Uh, can Kade and Dallas Goddard come off the
39:16board? Uh, Perie Lawrence and Stafford come off the board. Decent amount of running backs and wide receivers also gone. I mashed Josh DS here because he's
39:25another player where I'm like, okay, heading into this offseason, we didn't necessarily know about this foot injury, foot surgery for um, Alec Pierce. It was
39:33like, well, if DS plays on the outside and he's in two wide receiver sets, he's going to crush. with this injury. I
39:37don't see how they don't plan for Josh Towns to be on the outside. And he was a wide receiver. If you guys remember when
39:43he came out, I loved him. Like the prospect model liked him. Uh honestly, the year two model loved him after his
39:48rookie season. Like everything indicates he's a great talent. Maybe not someone who can finish, you know, as a wide receiver one, but someone who absolutely
39:56can be like so consistent that you're always loving him in your flex spot. And to get a wide receiver like that as our
40:01four, I think is just too strong to pass up. if you wanted to go I think Quinton was still on the board. Um yeah, Quinton
40:09was still on the board. If you wanted to go Quinton there, that would also be fine. All right. Um we're not going to
40:15go I don't think we can go with the backup tight end. I think if you were drafting, you know, a week before the
40:19season and you knew KD wasn't playing, obviously you do. Drafting this early, I would just wait, be like, "Oh no, KD's
40:24not going to play week one." And just drop your worst bench player and pick up a tight end who can stream for the first
40:29week against a bad defense. I wouldn't sit with two tight ends just because of of KD here. I think KD, you know, would
40:36be your starter when playing. So, I would have two if it was like Mark Andrews Likely Gadston Strange Hunter Henry, Sadique, and you don't
40:43really know who's going to be good.
40:44Double dip there. Uh, you're going to play KD over all those guys when he's out there. So, you don't need to double
40:48dip if you have KD. All right. Um, wide receiver is fine. I mean, they're all basically the same. Jayen Higgins, Coker, Shakir,
41:00uh, McMillan, Travis Hunter, Diggs if he signs somewhere, Denzel Boston if you like him as a prospect. Um, a lot of
41:08similar bets that basically none of them are going to be great. Uh, but some of them could get by for you. Um, I think
41:15the better play is probably just I mean, I guess ADPwise we're at 127. If I was in a really competitive league, I would probably
41:25just take Katon Mitchell here and be like, you know, someone's gonna end up taking him. Odds are he won't be drafted, but I do have some of the
41:34computers simulating what I would do, which means that some of these computers might end up taking Katon Mitchell. Um, like I said before, he can get, you
41:41know, 10, 11 touches per game. That's not something you could save a lot of these guys. And he is highly efficient.
41:46So, his 10 or 11 is almost worth 15 to some of these other backs. So, he's a great pick in the spot and it's a great
41:51handcuff. if Hampton went down, you know, I can kind of fill in that running back value. So, he's a great pick in
41:56this range. Uh, probably the only running back I would take here. So, I would say take him or take Jaden Higgins. Um,
42:05I don't know.
42:08I would probably just risk it. I would just say, "All right, let's take Jaden Higgins. Let's hope that Katon is there." Okay, Katon is there. Now, we
42:15take Katon Mitchell. We've got two bench players before we go defense and kicker.
42:20Um, I I'm not a fan of the double dip at quarterback unless I waited a really long time. So, I would probably just
42:27keep splitting running back and receiver. Grab like someone else's handcuff and we'll do Travis Hunter.
42:32We'll do Travis Hunter first and then we'll do probably Shawn Tucker. I also wouldn't hate going like Naji here um and saying, you know, Naji had a lot of
42:44time to recover. So, he tore the Achilles really early in the season. So, he's had plenty of time to kind of get
42:50back. Um, if there's an injury in training camp, a big injury, Naji will be a guy that an NFL team will look at
42:57because coaches like that he gets the tough yards. They know that he's been productive. Like, he is someone that like will legitimately um get touches.
43:07He's also someone that no one's going to draft. And so, you could very easily just say, "Okay, well, I'll just start
43:11defense and kicker a little bit early."
43:13Um, look at let's say, yeah, it was the Eagles. I still need to add in who these matchups are. The Eagles have a great opening schedule and
43:22are a very, very good defense. So, I would just say go Eagles, go with whatever kicker you want, uh, and then
43:30go and take uh, Naji Harris after that.
43:32I won't take him. So, we can just pull up the draft board. Um, because I just like this view a little bit more than
43:37the end one, but we're going to take Naji with this last pick. Um, and that's the squad. I think it turned out really
43:44nicely. So at wide receiver, JSN, Tet Rome, Josh DS, Jaden Higgins, and Travis Hunter. Running back, we've got Marin
43:54Hampton, Murice Hall, Bashel Tu in, Tony Pard, and Katon Mitchell with handcuff to Marin Hampton. And then we've got Kale Williams. We've got George KD. And
44:02we're going to have Naji after that draft him. And we will see uh we'll see
44:09if it liked anything differently. Um, yeah, no major misses. How about that?
44:16So, this section would populate, as you've seen in other videos, with what the computer thinks, hey, had you gone with this pick in this round, you would
44:25have had a better score because of what plays out uh kind of after that, we didn't have any major misses. So,
44:32excellent. Uh, again, there is the team with some of the values that we had. And I'll pull up um the draft board here so
44:41you guys can see that um I'm covering, you know, Drake London, uh James Cook, Brock Bowers, and Timmy Pride in the
44:48upper corner. Again, free. So you guys can do these mockdrafts for free, uh all off season. Um test out different strategies, test out, um there's options
45:00for I'll go back to the mockdraft here.
45:03There's options for dynasty if you want to test out a startup or a rookie draft.
45:08There's an option to do auction now, um, which I'm still fine-tuning a little bit. Uh, there's options to change quarterback tendencies, change roster.
45:17If you want to set presets, so you're like, "Ah man, I don't want to go in and set my three league every time, just set
45:22it as a preset." And also keeper mode.
45:24So if you want to practice your keeper leagues, just add a keeper. Say, "Okay, I have the seventh pick. I have uh Jir
45:31Gibbs in the seventh round. All right, let's practice this. We'll start a new one. And it's going to say, all right, I
45:39locked in Jir Gibbs in this round. And also, if the computers have that locked in, so I gave it to myself, but if you
45:46want to put it in for the computers, they will draft with that knowledge. So, the computer that saves Gibbs in round
45:51seven understands that they have Gibbs and they're more likely, not guaranteed, but they're more likely to draft a wide receiver. They're still going to like
45:59take Bean Robinson if they have the number one pick. But, uh, they're going to look at it and be like, "Okay, I
46:03already have Gibbs. How can I optimize my team around that?" Uh, so if you're in a keeper league, you definitely want
46:09to be playing with that turned on. And I believe the preset will allow you to save that. Yeah, you can save that here
46:15as well. So, mock draft your hearts away. Uh it's thefanty footballadvice.com, but if you want to go directly there, it's tools.thefanty
46:22footballadvice.com.
46:24Um I will eventually get the site converted over to the regular site. Uh but I'm not ready to do that just yet.
46:30So uh let me know what you think about the team in the comments section below.
46:33Uh that'll do it for this one. Thank you all for watching. Subscribe on YouTube or Spotify if you are new here.
