0:00What's going on guys? It's Nick here back with another video. It's Wednesday.
0:02It's time to talk about the players who have been crushing your starting lineup, but who make for great trade targets if
0:07you're able to trade for them. We'll again talk about the Green Bay Pass characters. We talked about Tucker Craft and Matthew Golden last week. I think
0:15both of them stand out again this week, especially Tucker Craft. I mean, he jumped from a 66% snap share in week one
0:22to 98% last week. It did not mean he was like fully ramped up. They've been pretty consistent that like by midseason
0:32he's going to be fully integrated in to the game plan and that's when we'd expect him to be closer to 100%. So only
0:38has a two for 15 after three catches in week one. But the fact that he was already up to a 98% snap share shows
0:45that maybe it will be a little bit before mid-season that he is 100% good to go. The fact that he's out there that
0:51much just means random targets are going to flow his way even if they're not scheming him up to 100%. But then also
0:57you have this Reed injury. I mean already they lose Dantavian Wixs, they lose Romeo Dobs in the offseason, they don't really replace them with anyone
1:05and so we have a very consolidated target share. Well, now Jaden Reed probably done for the season or done for the vast majority of the season. And so
1:14now you only have Matthew Golden and Christian Watson as the very clear top wide receivers and no one else really after them is going to have any
1:23consistent target share. Tucker Craft is immediately number three on this team.
1:29Plenty of weeks where he's going to be number two or the number one pass catcher. This is still a very good
1:35passing offense. I don't know. I mean, I think he's just a screaming value.
1:39Easily the number one tight end trade target. I think overall Tucker Craft is probably my single favorite trade target because like if you have a tight end
1:47that hasn't been producing, maybe you went late tight end, you didn't necessarily hit. Tucker Craft is someone who has just not done that much to start
1:54the season, but I think is going to end up being a very consistent, very high weekly ceiling tight end. And I just
2:00don't think people are kind of viewing it that way right now. Similarish take for Golden. Obviously, Golden is not going to be like a high-end wide
2:07receiver one or anything, but he's right now 30th in my rest of season rankings, and it's the same take, right? You lose
2:14these pass catchers in the offseason, you don't replace them. So, he knew he was going to play a ton. The snaps won't
2:19change, right? Golden was already going to be out there every single snap he can handle. But now the game plan needs to
2:25always be centered around Golden, around Christian Watson. And so when they have games where they're really rolling on offense, he's going to have over 100
2:34yards. He's going to be used a lot in the red zone because they have to use him that way. 18 targets through two
2:40weeks already. 11th in expected fantasy points on the season, 23rd in actual fantasy points. That will even out a little bit. I think he's firmly a wide
2:49receiver. Three. Would not be shocked at all if he finished this season as a top 20 wide receiver. Maybe that feels
2:55aggressive, but he's a very talented player. He looks really good. He looks like he also took a step forward from last season. If you watch the routes
3:02he's running right now, he looks great.
3:04I don't know. I'm pretty excited about both of these two rest season. And it's not going to cost you all that much
3:08because they haven't exactly gone off to start the season. Next up, uh another duo on a team that's underperforming. I don't want to say the team's
3:15underperforming overall, but it's the Cowboys, right? Obviously, they lay an egg in week one, and they're terrible, and they played great last week, but
3:22it's still limited play volume, so they're still tied for 30th uh with only 53 plays per game thus far. This is
3:30Dallas. Like, I don't even care what the season is. They're going to be high in plays per game. Five or three straight
3:37years being top five in plays per game.
3:40seven straight years being top eight, so being 30th right now. Obviously, they are not going to average 53 plays per game. So, as a baseline, a lot of these
3:50players are going to increase in value.
3:51Obviously, CD Lamb is coming off an incredible day. You're not being able to trade for him. But George Pickins, Javvante Williams, they're still going
3:59to be very, very involved in this offense and they just haven't done a whole lot to start the year. Obviously, uh, Javvante had the really good week
4:07one, but I think people are looking at his, you know, rush attempts. I think he's exactly 12 in back-to-back weeks and did nothing last week, and they're
4:14like, the role is not there. No, the role is there. They're just not playing that much. And then you have the kind of
4:20two weirdish game scripts. Again, they fall apart in week one, and that's just never going to be a game where you're
4:26giving your running back a ton of rush attempts, right? When you're just falling from behind, you're not getting anything on offense, you're not going to
4:30see the rush attempts. And then last week, uh, a team that is much better against the run than the pass that they
4:36also blew out. Well, yeah. So, he didn't have the rush attempts again for a second consecutive week, but Javvante right now is my running back. 14 rest of
4:44the season. Um, and that whole range of like 10 through 14 is like very interchangeable. So, he's basically a low-end running back one rest season. I
4:52think Pickkins is also a low-end wide receiver one. Um, just been two strange games. Um, also for Pickkins, he's had some downfield targets that have turned
5:01into PI. That's a thing for him. So, we know Pickkins is a much more volatile player. We know there's going to be
5:06weeks where he gets, you know, 10 actual targets that don't actually all show up in the box score because three of them
5:13draw like downfield pass interferences and we're like, this is great for the offense, but it's kind of annoying in fantasy a little bit that we've got
5:20these looks downfield that these are potential long, you know, 50 or 60 yard touchdowns, but that he keeps drawing PI. Well, eventually he's not going to
5:27draw the PI. Eventually he's going to come down with those score some long touchdowns. Uh there's also been some plays where it wasn't PI that he's just
5:34kind of missed deep downfield. Again, that's kind of the George Pickins experience, but uh he only has 68 total yards through week two. Um he's going to
5:44have a big game soon and he's another player that, you know, keeps that contingent upside. Think about Dvonte Adams. If you had Adams on your team,
5:52you're cool with the baseline production, but you didn't necessarily draft Devonte Adams for what his role is when Puka is healthy. Like, it's good.
6:00It's fantastic, but that's not the ceiling case. The ceiling case is the four or five games that Puka could miss in a season. All of a sudden, he's a top
6:10three wide receiver in all of those. And that can win you a week. If you had uh Adams last week, this is one of the
6:18games that Puka missed. all of a sudden you probably won last week simply because you had Adams. The same thing is
6:24true for Pickkins. If CD Lamb misses even three or four games this season, we know in those games, maybe not all of
6:32them, he'll end up top three, but he's going to have a very, very clear shot of being a top three, top five wide
6:38receiver in all of those games. And he's probably going to win you a matchup or two in that stretch. and that's
6:44extraordinarily valuable when at a baseline he's also going to be very good in fantasy gonna improve from what we've seen so far. So just really um valuable
6:53players on a team that is underperforming in plays so far. 53 per game that's going to go way up. They're probably going to average at least 10
7:02more plays per game. Add in 10 more plays and these guys are starting to look a lot better. Next up we've got
7:07Drake London. Uh, another guy that's in that general like low-end wide receiver one range rest of season, 52nd in points per game through week two. Obviously,
7:18that's the Cooper Rush effect.
7:19Obviously, when they get Michael Pennocks back this week, things are going to look a lot better. Um, they play Thursday night, so you kind of have
7:27to make a decision before that. My gut says, uh, don't trade for him this week.
7:33I know he's in this trade video, but basically start trade offers now. Start the discussions for Drake London because, you know, the person who
7:40drafted Drake London probably in round two is struggling, right? Those are backtoback horrible days. I know the projection was very low, but most people
7:48looked at Drake London were like, I know the projection's terrible. I know it probably says bench him, but can you really bench Drake London ever when he's
7:55playing? So, most people played him.
7:56Most people underperformed in those two days. Plays on Thursday night. I think again going to get Pennix back. But uh if he underperforms again or is just
8:06like okay maybe has like five for 60 and doesn't score like four for 70 no touchdown and it's another day where
8:14you're like man I really need more from him now. Uh maybe you can start trade offers now. Make it very much in your
8:22favor. Okay if nothing gets done. If he underperforms on Thursday night, you've got a long time after that for the person to really think about their three
8:30duds from uh Drake London. And maybe it'll be better to get him after that because if we look at the upcoming
8:36schedule for Drake London, there are some difficult matchups mixed in. But if we look at the environments here, four consecutive games after this week in a
8:45dome. Then at Tampa Bay, more than likely going to be solid weather. They have uh the weather delay this last week, but more than likely at Tampa Bay,
8:53it's like decent weather. Uh and then four more dome games in a row with a buy mixed in. So, the first time that it's
9:00likely weather will matter for Drake London is going to be week 14. That's a long time. And right now it doesn't
9:08matter as much because even games in New England, um you know, in the middle of the country, like the weather's mostly
9:16okay. We had some terrible spots last week, but those are going to be a lot more prevalent the later and later we
9:21get into the season. Well, not for Drake London. He's got a ton of dome games, Florida game, like it's just he's going
9:28to be fine weatherwise. And again, you don't care about that too much right now. You're going to start to care about
9:33that a lot more as it goes on. And so, the fact he's also 52nd among wide receivers, which is obviously not going
9:38to hold long term. And the fact that you can get him for way cheaper than draft day cost. I mean, we weren't like
9:44excited about Drake London. I don't think many or like any of you watching this video really have him. He was just
9:50not a target for us this season. But if you're going to give us a super superstar wide receiver at a very very
9:56low price tag with sentiment way down, it still benefits us. Like at this point, I feel like you get him for like
10:02round four draft capital. And of course, we would have drafted Drake London if he was going in round four. So I think he's
10:09still low in one rest of the season. Uh I don't think it's going to take you that to get him. Uh, so just at least
10:15see and then hopefully, you know, even if you don't get something done, he duds on Thursday or has just an okay day on
10:20Thursday and can trade for him next week. Next up, uh, Saquon Barkley.
10:24Everyone is out on Saquon Barkley right now. And I get it, right? The offensive line is bad. Um, the passing game role
10:31looks diminished. Uh, but the market really, really does not like him. Fact of the matter is, he's still going to be
10:38a running back getting 15 to 17 opportunities every week. opportunities for more than that if they have, you know, a really strong matchup. He's
10:46doing well on the ground, they're winning later in the game, and he's going to be relied on a lot more with
10:50Dallas Goddard missing time. This is not an offense that really spreads the ball around all that much. You take GD off
10:56the field, they're not going to throw the tight end position at all, and it's not like they're going to throw 100% of
11:01the targets to wide receivers. So, I think if anything, if the passing game role was diminished, maybe it isn't anymore. And I'm not actually sure the
11:09passing role is diminished. He has the two targets in week one against Washington and you're like that's not great and two targets last week and
11:17you're like oh no the role isn't there.
11:19Well the Washington match up I mean that could just be a schematic thing. In his last four games against the Commanders
11:25he only has four receptions. So even dating back to like the last two seasons he has not been getting targets against
11:32the Commanders. So that wasn't anything new that we saw in week one. And then last week he only played 12 snaps. He
11:38had four rush attempts and two targets.
11:39And so on a normal day, he could have racked up like six plus targets. Now maybe you can't look at 12 total snaps
11:46and really extrapolate, but I think the point is he pretty much did what he always was against Washington in the first week and then he got hurt after
11:54getting two targets on 12 snaps. So I don't know that the passing role is that diminished. I do think it's probably
12:01going to be lower than prior seasons, but I also think people are maybe overreacting just a little bit to a very, very low sample size. He's not
12:10going to be a top five running back this season, but he's my running back 12 rest of the season. And when I posted that,
12:16people seemed very against it. So, I do think the person in your league that has him, you know, for a lot of you, there's
12:21a shot they only view him as like the 16th, 17th, 18th best wide receiver or running back rest of season, you know,
12:28more of that like mid-range running back, too. And I just think it's pretty difficult for him to like actually disappoint as a mid-range running back,
12:37too. There's a pretty large drop off after all the running back twos are gone this season. anyone getting 15 to 17
12:45opportunities every single week with a roll in the red zone with one of the top pass catchers on their team now missing
12:52at least a month of the season. I just think there's opportunity there. I think at a mid running back two price tag, I
12:59would absolutely go after him. Next up, Acha Ibuka. Only 76 total yards, I think 79 receiving, negative three rushing through two weeks. Um, even with the
13:09touchdown, he's only 34th in points per game right now. You have to think better days are ahead for Educa. Uh, Tampa Bay,
13:18you know, not as extreme as Dallas.
13:20Like, that is crazy. Dallas being 30th in points per game or plays per game when we know they're probably going to
13:24finish top five. Uh, but Tampa Bay is still 23rd in plays per game right now.
13:28They're a team that's going to consistently finish uh in the upper half. They're probably going to be top 15 this season. So, they are
13:34underperforming in plays per game so far. That will increase. But let's also remember that he missed most of training camp with the toe injury. Um, also been
13:42relatively unlucky with his targets.
13:44Fantasy Points has him right now last in the NFL among past catchers with at least 10 targets in catchable air yardage rate. That's just the percentage
13:53of air yards that are catchable. Right.
13:55So, he's got 165 airs. That's fairly strong. It's not like top of the league or anything, but it's pretty solid.
14:01Through two weeks, only 65 of them have been deemed catchable. So, does that give us some level of concern given how
14:09the second half went last season? Yes.
14:12But overall, you know, the fact that he's last by a good chunk in that percentage, I don't know. I don't think
14:18that's going to stick long term. Um, I do think that's more of a low sample size stat than anything. Um, he does
14:25have a brutal matchup against the Vikings. I think he's at least playing at home, but very difficult playing the Vikings. Again, weird things happen when
14:34you play them. He could easily have a good day because they're like, "Let's throw a bunch of screen passes to him
14:39because we have to get the ball out instantly, but more often than not, pass catchers underperform against the Vikings because of how good their
14:47defense is." And so, another player where I'd be like, "Okay, two underperformances here, a very good player, still probably ramping up to
14:56some degree coming off the injury. If he has another dud against the Vikings, I might be able to buy very low next week.
15:02And if I send some trade offers now, I'm top of mind for the person because you just want them thinking about it, right?
15:09Everyone knows, we've like seen trade offers come in and we're like, nah, I'm not going to trade them. And then you
15:13watch the games on Sunday and you're like, man, should have traded them because now the value is a lot lower.
15:19When that happens, you'll at least be top of mind for the person. Again, like I always say, don't send insulting trade
15:25offers, but send something where like if it gets done, you'd be like, "Oh, cool.
15:28I didn't think you'd accept that. It wasn't horrible. I just didn't think you'd accept it and now I'm very pleased that you did. Um, and if anything, if it
15:36doesn't go through again, probably not going to have that good of a day against the Vikings this week. Maybe get something done next week. And then
15:43finally, have to discuss Coloulston Lovelin. I do still think at least test the waters, right? I'm not trading, you know, like even like Sam Leaporta, um,
15:54Tyler Warren, like I would probably just rather have those guys. So, I'm not trying to send like my mid-range tight end one for Coastal Laughlin at a
16:01baseline right now. We have to be at least a little bit careful that he just does not have a role this season. You
16:07have to be cautious of that. But people are absolutely jumping ship. You understand it because he has one catch for three yards through two weeks. But
16:15if you can get him for like a flex player, if you drafted a really deep team, you hit on some mid-range wide
16:20receivers, running backs, and you've got a couple players that you could easily rotate into your flex spot, I am totally comfortable sending one of them away,
16:28maybe plus whatever tight end you have.
16:30If you went like late tight end, that's probably the optimal setup here is you went double late tight end. Uh maybe one
16:35of them is starting off okay, but you're like, I really would like a potential superstar in the spot. being able to
16:42trade away one of those late tight ends plus a flex player for Lovelin. That's hopefully what we can get done this
16:47week. Um, at the end of the day, how I view him is still the lead tight end on a team that scored 59 points in week one
16:56and is probably going to score over 30 points per game this season. If I had to guess, the the Bears are going to score
17:02like 33 points per game this season.
17:05They're probably going to finish number one in points per game. So, we've got a team like that who just drops a nuke in
17:11week one, 59 points against a defense that, you know, it was against the Falcons, but like the Panthers don't have a horrible defense this season.
17:18That was not like the worst defense in the league. That's how good the Bears offense is. But they play in this huge
17:25rainstorm. Not going to call it a monsoon, but like it was a huge rainstorm. The field was a complete sponge, wet everywhere against a top
17:33three defense that blitzed 81% of the time. So, a very different setup. In week two, they scored three total points. You know, again, you'd like to
17:42see him being more involved. Uh, we have seen in the past that um Ben Johnson has talked about going up against the
17:50Vikings and being like, you know, at times this is just not a tight end day.
17:53Uh, just because they blitz so often that they do need the tight ends in to block more. But even being that, he
18:00still ran a route on 70% of drop back.
18:02even asking him to go in and block a little bit more often. He's running plenty of routes. There will be days
18:08where they're playing teams that don't blitz all that often. There'll be games against teams that are really bad against tight ends. There'll be games
18:15where they score 40 45 points and he happens to be the one that scores a touchdown or two. So, I do think much
18:21better days are ahead. But again, I'm not trading a mid-range tight end one for Coulson Lovelin because I don't want to assume that much risk if you've got
18:29someone that's been relative productive so far. But if you went double late tight end or single late tight end and you want to trade that player plus a
18:36flex option for him, I do think in a lot of leagues people will accept that. And so it's at least worth seeing what the
18:42market is and just seeing if you can get a deal done this week because if he goes out there and has a day where he has
18:49seven for 100 and a touchdown, immediately he's off the trademark. And I don't know, I just still think this offense is so good and he's such a
18:58talented player that I don't think he's going to be a complete bust this season.
19:02But who knows? You got to do what you feel is right. So, those are my top trade targets after week two heading
19:08into week three. Make sure you subscribe to the channel because tomorrow we've got the big rankings video. We're going to break down every single game, talk
19:15about all the players that be starting and sitting. If you're new again, please subscribe. If you are still here, please hit the like button. That'll do it for
19:23this one and thank you all for watching.