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FantasyPros Articles fantasy football takes on Malik Willis
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from FantasyPros Articles about Malik Willis.
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All FantasyPros Articles insights about Malik Willis
NegativeProjectionSep 15, 2026
Willis's debut as the Dolphins' starter did not inspire confidence; he scored one rushing touchdown (none passing) with 5 sacks and an interception against the Raiders. The source notes the 49ers' pass rush led by Fred Warner and Nick Bosa is even better than the Raiders', and expects them to perform even better against the Dolphins despite not needing much pressure against the Rams last week.PositiveProjectionSep 14, 2026
Malik Willis ran six times for 39 yards and a touchdown in the Dolphins' 27-13 Week 1 loss to the Raiders. Willis was less effective as a passer, completing 15-of-27 throws for 220 yards with zero touchdowns and one interception. Running quarterbacks are a fantasy cheat code, and Lamar Jackson might be the only quarterback more dangerous as a runner than Willis. Trust the legs and fret not that Willis has a young and inexperienced group of pass-catchers.NegativeRoleSep 14, 2026
Malik Willis is the quarterback for the Miami Dolphins and connected with rookie wide receiver Caleb Douglas in Week 1. The source notes Douglas's training camp connection with Willis carried over into the regular season, suggesting Willis may be the starting quarterback for Miami.PositiveValueSep 13, 2026
Willis at $6,500 on FanDuel represents value from floor and ceiling perspective due to his above-average mobility. The Dolphins face a Raiders defense that allowed 214.4 passing yards and 15.6 rushing yards per game to quarterbacks last season. Willis has averaged just over 44 rushing yards per contest as a starter. With a 40.5 over/under and the Raiders favored, Willis's rushing ability makes him a sneaky start for GPP contests on this slate.PositiveMatchupSep 12, 2026
Malik Willis is in a good matchup against an underwhelming Raiders defense. With a limited receiving corps, Willis is likely going to be forced to make plays with his legs. If the Dolphins can keep this one close, Willis has a nice floor at a salary-saving price point.PositiveProjectionSep 12, 2026
Malik Willis is positioned for an intriguing Week 1 start for Miami despite limited starting experience. Over the last two seasons, Willis has posted a 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks, per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game—metrics that would have ranked eighth-best in big-time throw rate among all quarterbacks with at least 110 dropbacks last year (behind Caleb Williams) and led the NFL in yards per attempt. His rushing yardage mark would have ranked first, fourth, and third among quarterbacks over the last three years. Willis faces a remade Raiders' defense that added Quay Walker, Kwity Paye, Nakobe Dean, and Taron Johnson. Last year, the Raiders allowed the tenth-highest passer rating, ninth-highest passing success rate, and tenth-highest EPA per dropback. Willis' rushing ability gives him an incredibly high ceiling and floor for Week 1.PositiveProjectionSep 11, 2026
Willis makes his Dolphins debut with very little starting experience but is arguably one of the best rushing quarterbacks in the NFL. With Green Bay, he averaged 204 passing yards, one touchdown, seven rushing attempts for 58 yards, one score, and 23.3 fantasy points per game, totaling 25 or more twice in three starts. The source expects Willis to have one of his better fantasy performances this year against Las Vegas, which surrendered 17 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks last season but gave up six rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks (third-most in the NFL). Miami's defense is arguably the worst in the league, which will provide Willis plenty of opportunities to put up fantasy points with the Dolphins trailing.PositiveProjectionSep 11, 2026
Willis is a dual-threat quarterback coming off an encouraging, albeit small, sample of work with the Packers over the previous two years, providing some fantasy upside for the Dolphins despite the team's overall lack of offensive weapons.PositiveValueSep 11, 2026
Listed as a core play in DFS lineups for Week 1 LV vs. MIA matchup; core plays are described as 'stellar across all game types' and 'most-rostered players,' indicating strong DFS value and usage recommendation.PositiveValueSep 11, 2026
Willis's legs and salary make him a nifty punt at quarterback despite his weapons leaving much to be desired. Since 2024, Willis has scrambled 17 times on 117 dropbacks (14.5%) for 151 scramble yards at 8.9 yards per scramble. In his three starts in the previous two years with the Packers, Willis averaged 58 rushing yards per game and 204 passing yards per game, passing for three touchdowns and rushing for three touchdowns, scoring 23.63 DraftKings points per game and 23.63 FanDuel points per game. Willis is projected as the QB12 at both sites, with the QB6 value score at DraftKings and a tie for the QB2 value at FanDuel.NegativeRoleSep 10, 2026
Willis is the starting quarterback for the Dolphins in 2026, with Chris Bell and other receivers tasked with catching passes from him.NegativeProjectionSep 9, 2026
Willis has made six career starts with mixed results: three poor starts with Tennessee (50.8% completion, 4.5 yards per attempt, 0 TDs, 3 INTs as a rookie) followed by three starts with Green Bay where he completed 78.7% of throws, averaged 10.9 yards per attempt, with 6 TDs and 0 INTs. Willis is an elite runner, averaging 44.8 rushing yards per game and 8.5 fantasy points per game with his legs alone across six starts; if he makes 17 starts for Miami, he could run for 1,000 yards. However, his fantasy relevance will depend heavily on his legs rather than his arm given Miami's young and inexperienced pass-catcher group (Chris Bell, Caleb Douglas, Kevin Coleman Jr., and veteran trio with Tolbert's 610-yard season high).PositiveProjectionSep 9, 2026
Willis' rushing ability gives him an incredibly high ceiling and floor for Week 1; the Raiders' pass defense ranked 11th-highest in passing success rate and 10th-highest in EPA per dropback, suggesting a favorable matchup despite uncertainty about their 2026 performance.PositiveBreakoutSep 9, 2026
Willis is making his first start for the Dolphins with limited starting resume but outstanding production in limited doses over two years: 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks, per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and 44.8 rushing yards per game average. That big-time throw rate would have ranked eighth-best last year among QBs with 110+ dropbacks (behind Caleb Williams), and his yards per attempt would have led the NFL. His rushing yardage mark would have ranked first, fourth, and third among QBs over the last three years. Miami faces a remade Raiders defense that added Quay Walker, Kwity Paye, Nakobe Dean, and Taron Johnson. Last year, the Raiders allowed the tenth-highest passer rating, ninth-highest passing success rate, and tenth-highest EPA per dropback. Willis' rushing ability gives him an incredibly high ceiling and floor for Week 1.NegativeRoleSep 8, 2026
Willis is the Dolphins quarterback who has reportedly targeted Greg Dulcich frequently throughout camp; Miami desperately needs someone to emerge as a reliable target for him.PositiveValueSep 8, 2026
Malik Willis is priced as a low-end QB2 despite having an aggressive rushing profile. Among quarterbacks with 100-plus rushing attempts since 2014, 31 of 34 produced top-12 fantasy points per game (91% hit rate). Willis should easily beat 100 rushing attempts and is projected for 600+ rushing yards despite Miami's struggles; his rushing floor offers a realistic path to top-10 weekly fantasy finishes without requiring top-10 passing volume. Given Willis' ADP, he enables fantasy owners to be overweight at the other skill positions while bringing QB spike week potential, including a 31.5 fantasy-point game in 2025 with 60 rushing yards and 2 rushing touchdowns.PositiveProjectionSep 8, 2026
Willis has made six career starts and might have the worst set of pass-catchers in the league, but the appeal is his rushing upside: if he plays 17 games, he might run for 1,000 yards. In six career starts, Willis has averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game and has run for four touchdowns, averaging about 8.5 fantasy points per game just with his legs. Willis also made enormous strides as a passer in his two years as Jordan Love's backup in Green Bay, completing 78.7% of his throws and averaging 10.9 yards per pass attempt with six touchdown passes and zero interceptions over 11 appearances and three starts. The source says Willis is capable of being a needle-mover as a runner, and if he can just be a competent passer, there's top-10 quarterback potential here.PositiveSleeperSep 8, 2026
With an ADP outside of the top 20 quarterbacks, Willis might not have been drafted in every fantasy league, but the source recommends stashing him on your bench for at least a week or two. Thanks to his rushing ability, Willis' upside scenarios are genuinely elite, and we should know pretty quickly whether those scenarios are on the table.PositiveRoleSep 8, 2026
Willis will have plenty of opportunities to accumulate fantasy points with Miami trailing because the Dolphins' defense might be the worst in the league, creating a negative game script that favors Willis' passing volume.PositiveMatchupSep 8, 2026
Willis faces the Raiders, who surrendered 17 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks last season (near middle of league) but gave up six rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks (third-most in the NFL). Willis' rushing ability makes him well-suited to exploit this weakness.PositiveProjectionSep 8, 2026
Willis is one of the best rushing quarterbacks in the NFL and averaged 204 passing yards, one touchdown, seven rushing attempts for 58 yards, one rushing score, and 23.3 fantasy points per game in three starts for Green Bay, totaling 25 or more twice.NegativeValueSep 8, 2026
Malik Willis ranked QB21 with ADP of 112; consensus rank 236, expert consensus 137, with 23 spots of variance and 16-spot disagreement among experts.NegativeRoleSep 7, 2026
Willis is identified as the incoming Dolphins quarterback replacing Tua Tagovailoa; his rushing-QB style will significantly reduce De'Von Achane's target share.PositiveProjectionSep 7, 2026
Willis signed a three-year, $67 million contract with Miami as a starter after being cast aside by Tennessee and rejuvenated as a backup with Green Bay. His fantasy viability rests on elite rushing production: in six career starts, he averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game with four rushing touchdowns. Over 11 appearances and three starts in Green Bay (2024-2025), Willis completed 78.7% of his throws, averaged 10.9 yards per pass attempt, with six TD passes and zero interceptions. Pat Fitzmaurice notes Willis will struggle with Miami's weak pass-catching corps but his running ability should make him fantasy-viable even if passing numbers are mediocre.NegativeProjectionSep 7, 2026
Ranked QB21 in 2026 draft rankings with 591 projected passing yards and +19 differential; ADP rank 136.PositiveBreakoutSep 7, 2026
Willis is positioned as a dark horse top-five QB candidate after finally securing a full-time starting role with Miami. His fantasy appeal centers on rushing upside: in six career starts, he averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game, which projects to 762 rushing yards over a 17-game season. Historical analysis shows that since 1999, 56 QBs have rushed for 500+ yards in a season; of that group, 45 (80%) finished as top-12 fantasy QBs and 50% finished as top-five producers. Willis ranked first in fantasy points per dropback (1.35) in 2025 and second (0.84) in 2024. Mobile quarterbacks are described as a cheat code in fantasy, and Willis could lead the position in rushing this season, making him a 50/50 bet to finish as an elite fantasy signal-caller if he clears 500 rushing yards.PositiveSleeperSep 7, 2026
Willis is in a tough spot in Miami but could outperform expectations. Over the last two seasons, Willis posted 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks, per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game; that big-time throw rate would have ranked eighth-best among all QBs with 110+ dropbacks (behind Caleb Williams), and his yards per attempt would have led the NFL. His rushing yardage mark per game over the last three years would have ranked first, fourth, and third among quarterbacks. Derek Brown argues Willis's running prowess should have him flirting with QB1 production in 2026, and if the offense surpasses lowly expectations through the air, Willis would be a strong QB1 with upside.PositiveBreakoutSep 6, 2026
Malik Willis is positioned for potential breakout production in Miami despite a limited starting resume. Over the last two seasons, Willis posted a 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks, per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game—metrics that would have ranked 8th in big-time throw rate (behind Caleb Williams), led the NFL in yards per attempt, and ranked 1st, 4th, and 3rd in rushing yards per game over the last three years among quarterbacks. Greg Dulcich was outstanding on a per-route basis last year, and talented rookies like Chris Bell and Kevin Coleman Jr. could elevate the receiver room. The source projects Willis's rushing prowess should have him flirting with QB1 production this year alone, with strong QB1 upside if the offense surpasses lowly expectations through the air in 2026.NegativeRoleSep 6, 2026
Malik Willis thrives throwing balls in the short area of the field, which could benefit Chris Bell's fantasy outlook if Willis proves serviceable as an NFL quarterback. For Miami's offense to be successful, they should lean on Bell to carry the load in the short area, where Bell ran 63% of his routes within nine yards of the line of scrimmage in college.PositiveValueSep 5, 2026
Malik Willis is going outside the top 90 picks in ADP on most platforms and has either a track record of top-12 quarterback play, real rushing upside, or both; the strategy is to draft two of these later options with the expectation that if even one hits, you've captured elite production at a fraction of the draft capital.PositiveProjectionSep 5, 2026
Willis is positioned for QB1 production in 2026 despite limited starting resume. Over the last two seasons, he posted a 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks, per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game. His big-time throw rate would have ranked eighth-best among all QBs last year (behind Caleb Williams), and his yards-per-attempt mark would have led the NFL. His rushing yardage per game over the last three years would have ranked first, fourth, and third among quarterbacks. Willis's running prowess should have him flirting with QB1 production this year alone; if he and the Miami offense surpass lowly expectations through the air, Willis would be a strong QB1 with upside in 2026.PositiveValueSep 5, 2026
Malik Willis is cited by TJ Horgan as offering rushing upside as a late-round quarterback alternative to Josh Allen, representing better value at the position.PositiveBreakoutSep 5, 2026
Derek Brown highlights Willis as a potential breakout despite limited starting experience in Miami. Over the last two seasons, Willis posted a 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks, per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game—metrics that would rank eighth in big-time throw rate (behind Caleb Williams), lead the NFL in yards per attempt, and rank first, fourth, and third in rushing yards per game over the last three years among qualifying quarterbacks. Brown argues Willis's running prowess alone should have him flirting with QB1 production in 2026, with additional upside if the offense performs through the air with emerging talents like Chris Bell and Kevin Coleman Jr. alongside Greg Dulcich.NegativeValueSep 5, 2026
Malik Willis ranked QB20 in FantasyPros' consensus expert rankings for 2026; positioned as a mid-tier quarterback option.PositiveProjectionSep 4, 2026
Willis gets his first full-time starting opportunity with Miami in 2026 after years on the bench in Tennessee and Green Bay. His rushing upside is the key: in six career starts, he averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game, projecting to 762 yards over 17 games. Since 1999, 56 QBs have rushed for 500+ yards; 45 (80%) finished as top-12 fantasy QBs, and 50% finished as top-five producers per Dynatyze. Willis ranked first in fantasy points per dropback (1.35) in 2025 and second (0.84) in 2024. Wolf Trelles-Heard calls him a dark horse top-five candidate and a 50/50 bet to finish elite if he clears 500 rushing yards.NegativeRoleSep 4, 2026
Malik Willis is the quarterback for the Miami Dolphins and can run himself, which cuts into De'Von Achane's rushing production. This dual-threat capability reduces Achane's touch volume and efficiency potential in the Dolphins offense.NegativeProjectionSep 4, 2026
Malik Willis ranked QB21 in Superflex fantasy football draft rankings for 2026.PositiveValueSep 4, 2026
Malik Willis is priced as a low-end QB2 despite having one of the more aggressive rushing profiles in the league and while already flashing spike-week capability with a 31.5 fantasy point game in 2025 that included 60 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns. Among quarterbacks with 100-plus rushing attempts since 2014, 31 of 34 produced top-12 fantasy points per game (91% hit rate). Willis is projected for 600+ rushing yards, and while Miami's offense is projected to struggle, his rushing floor offers a realistic path to top-10 weekly outcomes without requiring top-10 passing volume. He is a prototypical Konami code QB available towards the end of most drafts.PositiveValueSep 4, 2026
Malik Willis has a Real-Time ADP of QB21 and is going well outside the first 10 rounds of fantasy drafts, yet he's capable of a 1,000-yard rushing season. If he hits his rushing ceiling and does anything at all as a passer, Willis is going to be a high-end QB1. He could be the Drake Maye of 2026—a huge QB value going at a bargain price.PositiveProjectionSep 4, 2026
Over the last two seasons, Malik Willis has posted a 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks, per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game. Among all quarterbacks with at least 110 dropbacks last year, that big-time throw rate would have ranked eighth-best behind Caleb Williams, and his yards per attempt mark would have led the NFL. That rushing yardage mark per game over the last three years would have ranked first, fourth, and third among quarterbacks. Willis's running prowess should have him flirting with QB1 production this year alone. If he and this offense surpass lowly expectations through the air, Willis would be a strong QB1 with massive upside in 2026.NegativeValueSep 3, 2026
Malik Willis shows flat ADP movement at 0, indicating stable draft positioning for the Miami backup quarterback.NegativeRoleSep 3, 2026
Willis is Miami's quarterback and thrives throwing balls in the short area of the field. For Miami's offense to be successful, they should lean on Chris Bell to carry the load in the short area, where Bell ran 63% of his routes in college. Willis's short-area throwing tendencies align with Bell's skill set.PositiveProjectionSep 3, 2026
Willis signed a three-year, $67 million contract with Miami and will start after stints with Tennessee and Green Bay. He is an electric runner who averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game in six career starts with four rushing TDs. In 11 appearances and three starts with Green Bay in 2024-2025, Willis completed 78.7% of his throws, averaged 10.9 yards per pass attempt, with six TD passes and zero interceptions. Pat Fitzmaurice notes Willis' running ability should make him fantasy-viable even if passing numbers are mediocre, given Miami's weak receiving corps.PositiveBreakoutSep 2, 2026
Willis enters 2026 as Miami's starter with limited starting resume but impressive efficiency metrics over the last two seasons: 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks, per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and 44.8 rushing yards per game. His big-time throw rate would have ranked eighth-best among all QBs with at least 110 dropbacks last year (behind Caleb Williams), and his yards per attempt would have led the NFL. His rushing yardage mark would have ranked first, fourth, and third among QBs over the last three years. Willis's running prowess should have him flirting with QB1 production this year alone; if he and the offense surpass lowly expectations through the air, Willis would be a strong QB1 with upside in 2026.PositiveProjectionSep 2, 2026
Avery Thrasher identifies Willis as a prototypical high-upside quarterback despite Miami's projected offensive struggles. Priced as a low-end QB2 at QB21 ADP, Willis has one of the league's more aggressive rushing profiles and already flashed spike-week capability with a 31.5-point game in 2025 (60 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs). Among QBs with 100+ rushing attempts since 2014, 31 of 34 produced top-12 fantasy PPG (91% hit rate). Projected for 600+ rushing yards, Willis's rushing floor offers a realistic path to top-10 weekly outcomes without requiring top-10 passing volume.PositiveValueSep 2, 2026
Pat Fitzmaurice notes Malik Willis has a Real-Time ADP of QB21 despite being capable of a 1,000-yard rushing season. If he hits his rushing ceiling and does anything at all as a passer, Willis will be a high-end QB1, potentially replicating Drake Maye's 2025 value as a huge QB bargain.PositiveProjectionSep 2, 2026
Derek Brown highlights Malik Willis's elite rushing profile and passing efficiency in limited action. Over the last two seasons, Willis posted a 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks, per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game. His big-time throw rate would have ranked eighth among all QBs with 110+ dropbacks in 2025, while his yards per attempt would have led the NFL. His rushing yardage per game would have ranked first, fourth, and third among QBs over the last three years. Willis's running prowess should have him flirting with QB1 production in 2026, with massive upside if the offense surpasses expectations through the air.PositiveProjectionSep 1, 2026
Derek Brown sees Willis as a late-round QB target with strong upside despite limited starting resume. Over the last two seasons, Willis posted a 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game. His big-time throw rate would rank eighth-best among all QBs with 110+ dropbacks last year (behind Caleb Williams), his yards per attempt would have led the NFL, and his rushing yardage per game would rank first among QBs over the last three years. Brown argues Willis's running prowess alone should have him flirting with QB1 production in 2026, with additional upside if the Dolphins offense surpasses lowly expectations through the air.NegativeProjectionSep 1, 2026
Malik Willis is ranked QB21 in superflex fantasy football draft rankings with an ADP of 29 and a projected range of 175 picks.PositiveValueAug 31, 2026
At his current ADP, Malik Willis is practically free and carries the most upside at cost among quarterbacks mentioned. Over the past two years, he has averaged 6.2 yards per carry, a 32% rush rate and a 15% scramble rate—comparable to Justin Fields' 2022 season (7.14 yards per carry, 33.5% rush rate, 15% scramble rate) when Fields finished QB4 in PPG. Despite playing in one of the worst offensive environments in the NFL, Willis has weekly QB1 upside simply because of his rushing ability; if he finds success through the air, he could be a league-winning top-five quarterback landed in the last round.PositiveSleeperAug 31, 2026
Willis is a sleeper quarterback in Miami despite a limited starting resume. Over the last two seasons, he has posted a 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks, per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game. His big-time throw rate would have ranked eighth-best among all quarterbacks with at least 110 dropbacks last year, behind only Caleb Williams; his yards per attempt would have led the NFL. His rushing yardage average would have ranked first, fourth, and third among quarterbacks over the last three years. Willis's running prowess should have him flirting with QB1 production in 2026, and if he and the Dolphins offense surpass lowly expectations through the air, he would be a strong QB1 with upside.NegativeProjectionAug 31, 2026
Malik Willis ranked QB21 in 2026 draft rankings with ADP of 92 and projected 655 yards, 60 touchdowns.PositiveSleeperAug 29, 2026
Listed as a sleeper/target quarterback option for 2026 fantasy drafts.PositiveBreakoutAug 29, 2026
The source identifies Willis as a breakout candidate in Miami despite a tough spot, noting that talented rookies like Chris Bell and Kevin Coleman Jr., along with Willis, could open eyes in 2026. Greg Dulcich was outstanding on a per-route basis last year, and while the receiver room is unproven and full of castoffs, the offense could outperform expectations in several ways.PositiveProjectionAug 29, 2026
Willis's limited starting resume shows elite efficiency metrics: 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks, per PFF) over two seasons, 10.9 yards per attempt, and 44.8 rushing yards per game. His big-time throw rate would have ranked eighth among all QBs with 110+ dropbacks last year (behind Caleb Williams), his yards-per-attempt would have led the NFL, and his rushing yardage per game would have ranked first, fourth, and third among QBs over the last three years. The source projects Willis's running prowess should have him flirting with QB1 production in 2026, with strong QB1 upside if the Miami offense surpasses lowly expectations through the air.PositiveSleeperAug 29, 2026
Willis is described as the easiest value click in almost every draft at his current ADP, carrying the most upside at cost among the quarterbacks discussed. Over the past two years, he has averaged 6.2 yards per carry, a 32% rush rate, and a 15% scramble rate—comparable to Justin Fields' 2022 QB4 season (7.14 yards per carry, 33.5% rush rate, 15% scramble rate per PFF). Despite playing in one of the NFL's worst offensive environments, Willis has weekly QB1 upside purely from rushing ability. If he finds success through the air, he could be a league-winning top-five quarterback landed in the last round. While a small-sample outcome, it remains within the realm of possibility.PositiveValueAug 29, 2026
ESPN drafters push several quarterbacks down, and Willis is the most interesting. Cast off by Tennessee and rebuilt as a backup in Green Bay, he now gets a starting shot in Miami on a three-year deal. He is an electric runner, averaging nearly 45 rushing yards per game in his six career starts, and rushing is the most stable source of quarterback fantasy points. At an ADP near pick 179, he is a genuine late-round upside swing.PositiveSleeperAug 28, 2026
Willis joins Miami in 2026 with limited starting experience but impressive efficiency metrics over the last two seasons: 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and 44.8 rushing yards per game. His big-time throw rate would have ranked eighth-best among all QBs last year (behind Caleb Williams), his yards per attempt would have led the NFL, and his rushing yardage per game would have ranked first, fourth, and third among QBs over the last three years. Derek Brown projects Willis's rushing prowess alone could produce QB1 output, with additional upside if the Dolphins offense (featuring Greg Dulcich, rookies Chris Bell and Kevin Coleman Jr.) exceeds lowly expectations through the air.PositiveProjectionAug 28, 2026
The source projects Willis to finish as a top-12 fantasy quarterback this season. His per-game rushing pace across a small sample of starts with a previous team already supported nearly 12 fantasy points per game from rushing alone. Even discounting that conservatively to seven points per game, historical research on quarterbacks since 2011 who hit that rushing threshold while throwing enough to qualify as a real starter shows the overwhelming majority finished as a top-20 fantasy quarterback, with average finish equivalent to roughly a top-five season. A separate, independently run analysis using rushing-yardage threshold over the last decade produced almost the exact same result. Both analysts view this as one of the easiest, lowest-cost bets on the board, since even worst-case outcome still resembles usable streaming-caliber fantasy quarterback. Both express real confusion that his current ADP doesn't reflect any of this upside.NegativeProjectionAug 28, 2026
Malik Willis ranked QB21 in superflex draft rankings with ADP of 175 overall.NegativeRoleAug 27, 2026
Malik Willis is in a bad spot to succeed in his first year as the Dolphins' starting quarterback, playing for the worst squad in the NFL with an unproven wide receiver room. His rushing style means De'Von Achane's receiving volume will decrease significantly.PositiveProjectionAug 25, 2026
Despite limited NFL experience (six starts in four years), Willis could become a fantasy star because of his legs. He struggled in Tennessee but was outstanding in three starts with the Green Bay Packers, averaging 204 passing yards, 58 rushing yards and two total scores for 23.3 fantasy points per game, totaling 25+ points twice. While the Dolphins lack proven pass-catchers, Willis is expected to be a starting option for fantasy players because of his rushing abilities.NegativeProjectionAug 24, 2026
Malik Willis ranked QB21 in 2026 draft rankings with 92 ADP, 294 projected passing yards, 139.1 projected points, 31.7 yards per attempt, 16 attempts, and 138 ranking.NegativeProjectionAug 24, 2026
Ranked QB21 in 2026 draft rankings with ADP of 92 and projected points of 294.NegativeRoleAug 23, 2026
Willis is the new Dolphins QB replacing Tua Villanueva. His mobility profile is projected to be in the Justin Fields/Jayden Daniels/Lamar Jackson tier with estimated 450-550 scramble yards per season. This represents a significant shift from Tua's bottom-five scramble pace (56-106 yards over the last four seasons), creating a ~19-target hit for De'Von Achane but still leaving him with mid-60s targets (top-8 RB receiving volume). Willis' legs also serve as a red-zone threat alongside Achane.PositiveMatchupAug 23, 2026
Willis' arrival as Miami's QB1 threatens De'Von Achane's receiving production. Willis targeted RBs on just 12.2% of his attempts in his two 2025 starts (and 12.5% in 2024), well below the Dolphins' 25.4% team target share. Mobile QBs typically see receptions and yardage dip when scrambling and moving the chains. Willis' mobility and tendency to run instead of check down create a mismatch with Achane's pass-catching profile, potentially reducing Achane's targets from 6 per game (with Tua) to closer to 2.5 per game.NegativeValueAug 22, 2026
Malik Willis is drafted in Round 12 as a bench quarterback and bye week fill-in. While he doesn't have great weapons in Miami, his ability to run provides a solid fantasy floor.PositiveProjectionAug 22, 2026
Willis signed a three-year, $67 million contract with Miami as a starter after being cast aside by Tennessee and rejuvenated as a backup with Green Bay. He averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game over six career starts with four rushing touchdowns, and in 11 appearances and three starts with Green Bay in 2024–2025, completed 78.7% of his throws, averaged 10.9 yards per attempt, with six TD passes and zero interceptions. While his passing efficiency may decline with Miami's weak receiving corps, his running ability should keep him fantasy-viable even with mediocre passing numbers.PositiveProjectionAug 22, 2026
Going as QB2 (around 157th overall), Willis offers a legitimately massive statistical floor purely from his legs. His per-start rushing pace across a small career sample already supports roughly eight and a half fantasy points per game just as a runner; a modest passing line combined with this rushing production would be enough for an average fantasy quarterback finish, and even a middling passing season on top of that rushing baseline could push him toward a top-five finish at the position. Real belief exists that he's grown significantly as a passer over the past two seasons under a respected quarterback-developing coaching staff. Even the very worst passing offense in the league historically still produces enough yardage and touchdowns to support a real quarterback one finish when paired with rushing production at this level.PositiveSleeperAug 22, 2026
Reportedly having strong training camp; brings real rushing production to table, having averaged 44.5 rushing yards and scored four rushing touchdowns across six career starts, roughly eight and a half fantasy points per game from legs alone. Real belief exists he's grown as passer over past two seasons under respected quarterback-developing head coach; while very young receiving corps around him raises real questions, several of team's younger receivers appear to be having strong camps of their own. Our analysts rank him well above broader public consensus in dynasty formats, believing his current contract situation supports real two-to-three-year window as team's starter.PositiveSleeperAug 21, 2026
Willis enters Miami with limited starting experience but impressive efficiency metrics over the last two seasons: 5.6% big-time throw rate (118 dropbacks, per PFF), 10.9 yards per attempt, and 44.8 rushing yards per game. Derek Brown notes that Willis's big-time throw rate would have ranked eighth-best among all QBs with 110+ dropbacks last year (behind Caleb Williams), his yards per attempt would have led the NFL, and his rushing yardage per game would have ranked first, fourth, and third among QBs over the last three years. With talented rookie receivers Chris Bell and Kevin Coleman Jr. and tight end Greg Dulcich (outstanding on a per-route basis), Willis's running prowess alone could produce QB1 numbers; if the passing game develops, he offers strong QB1 upside. ECR of 20 vs. ADP of 21 suggests slight undervaluation.NegativeValueAug 21, 2026
Willis is ranked QB21 with an ADP of 127, showing an 11-spot fall from his previous ranking, indicating negative market re-evaluation.NegativeProjectionAug 20, 2026
Willis is a tier-5 fourth or fifth-round Superflex pick. Signed by the Dolphins to be their starting quarterback after an eye-catching two-year apprenticeship with the Packers, Willis offers attractive rushing upside. In six career starts, he's averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game and has run for four touchdowns. But the passing numbers probably won't be pretty this year, since the Dolphins might have the worst group of pass catchers in the league.PositiveProjectionAug 20, 2026
The source acknowledges this is a stretch but believes Malik Willis has the skill set to be a top-five quarterback in fantasy football. Willis demonstrated this in his lone start in Week 17 versus the Baltimore Ravens: 18-of-21 for 288 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions, plus nine carries for 60 yards and two touchdowns. Joining the Dolphins under head coach Jeff Hafley, Willis has limited weapons—De'Von Achane at running back and wide receivers including Malik Washington, Jalen Tolbert, Caleb Douglas, and Chris Bell (coming off a torn ACL). The source believes Willis will be an excellent runner, and if he reaches double-digit rushing touchdowns while being efficient as a passer, he could climb the quarterback rankings quickly despite the poor weapons.PositiveProjectionAug 20, 2026
Willis could become a fantasy star because of his legs; in three starts with Green Bay, he averaged 204 passing yards, one touchdown, seven rushing attempts for 58 yards, one rushing score, and 23.3 fantasy points per game, totaling 25 or more twice. Despite limited NFL experience (six starts in four years) and struggles in Tennessee, his rushing ability makes him a starting option for fantasy players, particularly given Miami's lack of proven pass catchers.PositiveProjectionAug 20, 2026
Despite limited NFL experience (six starts in four years), Willis could become a fantasy star because of his legs. He struggled in Tennessee but was outstanding in three starts with Green Bay, averaging 204 passing yards, one touchdown, seven rushing attempts for 58 yards, one rushing score, and 23.3 fantasy points per game, totaling 25+ twice. Fanelli expects Willis to be a starting option for fantasy players because of his rushing abilities despite the Dolphins lacking proven pass catchers.NegativeProjectionAug 18, 2026
Malik Willis ranked QB21 in superflex fantasy football draft rankings with ADP of 24 and projected points of 91.NegativeProjectionAug 18, 2026
Ranked QB21 in superflex format with 24 games projected, 91 passing attempts, 54.6 yards per attempt, and 12.1 touchdowns.PositiveSleeperAug 17, 2026
Malik Willis is listed as a later-round target outside the top-120 picks, suggesting Welsh sees value in the Dolphins QB.NegativeSleeperAug 17, 2026
Post-hype sleeper and 'total wild card' acquired by Miami after shining in limited opportunities with Green Bay. Willis has elite athleticism and rushing potential but faces uncertainty due to unproven receiving options around him. At QB21, he represents ideal low-risk, high-reward backup quarterback value. His propensity to look downfield (10.9 yards per attempt average over the last two seasons) combined with rushing upside could threaten QB1 status quickly, though his scrambling tendency carries downside risk.