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FantasyPros Articles fantasy football takes on Garrett Wilson

Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from FantasyPros Articles about Garrett Wilson.

80
Insights
43
Positive
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Negative
Insight ledger

All FantasyPros Articles insights about Garrett Wilson

PositiveProjectionOct 31, 2026
Wilson is the WR22 in fantasy points per game with a 25.1% target share, 2.09 YPRR, three red zone targets, five deep targets, and a 30.6% first-read share. Despite having fewer than nine PPR points in three of his last four games, the source projects Wilson could get the squeaky wheel treatment in Week 8 against the Raiders. Wilson's quiet Week 6 performance is explained by facing Christian Gonzalez on 93.9% of his routes; the Raiders don't have a corner in that talent area code. The Raiders have allowed the fifth-most yards per target and fantasy points per opportunity to perimeter wide receivers over their last five games.
NegativeUsageOct 29, 2026
Wilson had 21 catches for 243 yards and two touchdowns over his first three games but has declined to 45 or fewer receiving yards in three of his last four games, with six catches for 70 yards and no touchdowns over the last two weeks. He has expressed frustration about the Jets' losses (1-5 in last six games) but clarified he does not want to be traded. The source anticipates a potential 'squeaky-wheel' game against the Raiders, though Wilson faces target competition from rookie Omar Cooper Jr., WR Adonai Mitchell (back from finger injury), and tight ends Kenyon Sadiq and Mason Taylor. Jets QB Geno Smith may not be able to support multiple high-level fantasy pass catchers.
PositiveMatchupOct 29, 2026
Garrett Wilson is WR22 in fantasy points per game but has had fewer than nine PPR points in three of his last four games; however, he could get the squeaky wheel treatment this week. Wilson maintains a 25.1% target share with 2.09 YPRR, three red zone targets, five deep targets, and a 30.6% first-read share. His quiet Week 6 performance was due to facing Christian Gonzalez on 93.9% of his routes, but the Raiders lack a corner of that caliber. The Raiders have allowed the fifth-most yards per target and fantasy points per opportunity to perimeter wide receivers over their last five games.
PositiveValueOct 29, 2026
Garrett Wilson is a buy-low candidate despite recent underperformance; Omar Cooper has been a revelation in recent weeks at Wilson's expense, and Mason Taylor also went off last week with 2 additional touchdowns. Wilson was shadowed by Patriots All-Pro corner Christian Gonzalez in Week 6 and ran decoy routes in Week 7, but the source expects Wilson to get back into the fold in 2 of the next 3 matchups against Vegas (W8) and Buffalo (W10). Wilson is too good of a route runner and fantasy producer to be kept down for long, and as long as the Jets continue to need to score points, Wilson should remain their number one option. The source would gladly send upside backs like Jonah Coleman and Jordan Mason to acquire his services.
PositiveValueOct 28, 2026
Jeremy Shulman is buying low on Garrett Wilson despite recent underperformance caused by Omar Cooper's emergence and Mason Taylor's touchdowns; Wilson was shadowed by Christian Gonzalez in Week 6 and ran decoy routes in Week 7. Shulman expects Wilson to return to form in 2 of the next 3 matchups (Vegas W8, Buffalo W10), citing his elite route-running ability and the Jets' need to score points. He would send upside backs like Jonah Coleman and Jordan Mason to acquire Wilson.
PositiveUsageOct 28, 2026
Garrett Wilson finished Sunday with just two receptions for 26 yards on three targets while teammate Omar Cooper Jr. recorded 115 yards and a touchdown. Cooper has posted consecutive 100-yard performances while Wilson has failed to reach 45 yards in those same games. Over his last four games, Wilson has drawn fewer than seven targets and scored fewer than 8.5 points three times. With Geno Smith throwing more than 30 passes in just two games this season, Cooper's production threatens Wilson's target share and weekly ceiling, pushing Wilson into mid/low-end WR2 territory.
PositiveValueOct 27, 2026
Wilson is a buy candidate ahead of the NFL trade deadline despite mixed production; he owns a 25.9% target share and is averaging 14.2 fantasy points per game (WR21 in PPR), but his season stats of 37 catches for 444 yards and three touchdowns place him at WR14 overall. The source suggests his stock could rise dramatically soon due to potential trade market activity, making him worth acquiring despite recent volatility including a 4.6-point game against Miami.
PositiveUsageOct 26, 2026
Garrett Wilson finished Sunday with just two receptions for 26 yards on three targets, while Omar Cooper Jr. recorded 115 yards and a touchdown. Cooper has posted consecutive 100-yard performances while Wilson has failed to reach 45 yards in those same games. In his last four games, Wilson has drawn fewer than seven targets and scored fewer than 8.5 points three times. With Geno Smith throwing more than 30 passes in just two games this season, Cooper's production threatens Wilson's target share and weekly ceiling, pushing Wilson into mid/low-end WR2 territory.
PositiveMatchupOct 22, 2026
Wilson remains the focal point of the Jets' passing attack, running routes on 91.2% of dropbacks and drawing 25.8% of targets, producing 0.50 fantasy points per route run. However, this week he faces JuJu Brents (CB, MIA), who has allowed just 0.16 fantasy points per route run this season and is targeted on only 12.1% of routes run against him, highlighting how difficult opposing quarterbacks have found it to attack his coverage. While Wilson's target volume makes him hard to bench, this matchup could limit his ceiling this week.
PositiveValueOct 21, 2026
Jay Henry Ocho identifies Garrett Wilson as a buy-low after four catches for 44 yards against New England, noting he still played 98% of snaps and Christian Gonzalez's coverage pushed targets elsewhere. Ocho has Wilson ranked WR11 rest of season versus FantasyPros' WR16 and expects his target share to rebound; he'd offer Tee Higgins straight up, ranking her WR23 on his board. Ryan Linkletter adds that through six games Wilson has commanded a 28.6% target share and approximately 37% of the Jets' air yards, turning 48 targets into 35 receptions, 418 yards, and three touchdowns; after two of his last three games going below 10 points, Linkletter is taking advantage of the disappointing performances to acquire a receiver who remains the clear focal point of the passing offense. Linkletter would move George Pickens or Tee Higgins to get Wilson, especially with upcoming matchups against Miami and Las Vegas.
PositiveUsageOct 20, 2026
Wilson's target share dropped significantly to 18.8% (from 34.4%) with only 4 of 6 catches for 44 yards despite maintaining near-full snap participation (61 of 62, 98%, from 93% in Week 5). The stark gap in opportunities is attributable to coverage by Christian Gonzalez, who matched up against Wilson on 17 routes in Week 6 (12 in man coverage) and allowed just two receptions for 20 yards on two targets—the fewest targets, receptions, and yards Gonzalez has allowed to Wilson in any game where they matched up more than five times. The source notes this coverage-driven opportunity gap likely won't sustain every week.
NegativeMatchupOct 15, 2026
Garrett Wilson has been excellent this season with Geno Smith under center, averaging 14.2 fantasy points per game in half-PPR scoring, but faces a challenging Week 6 matchup in Foxborough against the Patriots. Pro Bowl cornerback Christian Gonzalez is returning after a two-game absence, and New England typically attempts to neutralize the opposing offense's best weapon. Gonzalez may shadow Wilson, potentially resulting in single-digit fantasy production despite his strong season performance.
PositiveMatchupOct 8, 2026
Wilson is a safe start in Week 5 vs. Cleveland despite the Jets-Browns matchup not screaming fantasy value on the surface. The Browns rank 14th in EPA allowed against the pass but have given up the eighth-most fantasy points to both quarterbacks and tight ends and the ninth-most to wideouts. The Browns play man coverage at by far the highest rate in the league at a staggering 51%, with no other team above 37%. Among wide receivers who have run 50+ routes this season, Wilson ranks 10th in targets per route run versus man coverage (0.38), eighth in yards per route run (3.95), and second in fantasy points per route run.
PositiveUsageOct 6, 2026
Wilson fell from 13 targets/34.2% target share in Week 3 to 4 targets/26.7% this week. He caught 3 of 4 targets for 27 yards. New York's offense produced just 157 net yards, 7 first downs, and 12 points on 32 plays (0-for-7 on third down, 3 sacks, 17:15 possession), with the passing game collapsing from 37 attempts and 321 yards in Week 3 to 15 attempts and 119 yards. The target pie shrank with the volume as the Bears completely controlled time of possession; on 15 attempts, each target is 6.7 points of share. Wilson's first half was 2 targets/2 catches/13 yards.
NegativeBustOct 1, 2026
Wilson is a Week 4 landmine despite strong recent form and increased opportunity with Breece Hall injured. He has averaged 9 targets and 19.1 PPR points per game and posted 26.7 points in Week 3 (10 receptions on 13 targets for 107 yards and a TD) against Detroit's weak defense. However, Chicago's defense is far more challenging: they've surrendered only 26.2 fantasy points per game to wide receivers (sixth-fewest in the NFL) and haven't allowed a receiving TD by a WR since Week 1. More critically, the Bears have shut down opposing No. 1 wide receivers, holding Tetairoa McMillan, Justin Jefferson, and DeVonta Smith to 4.7 receptions on 7.3 targets for 65 yards, zero TDs, and 10.5 fantasy points per game. Wilson could post his first single-digit fantasy performance of the year.
NegativeUsageSep 29, 2026
Garrett Wilson had his best game in Week 3 against Detroit with 10 catches for 107 yards and a TD, but Adonai Mitchell missed that game with a finger injury. Mitchell actually had a larger target share than Wilson through the first two weeks, which could cap Wilson's ceiling when Mitchell returns. Additionally, if Breece Hall misses significant time with a quad injury, there are questions about the offense as a whole. Despite these concerns, Wilson is a top-tier talent and warrants a hold.
NegativeProjectionSep 25, 2026
Wilson is ranked WR9 in half-PPR expert consensus rankings and has rock-solid efficiency marks: 21.5% target share, 0.24 targets per route run (TPRR), 33.3% first-read rate, and 37.5% air yard share this season. The source's bold prediction is that Adonai Mitchell will outscore Wilson this week despite Wilson's higher ranking. Both face a mouthwatering matchup against Detroit, which has allowed the fourth-most half-PPR points per game to wideouts (35.5). The source expects both to pop this week but predicts Mitchell's massive air yards share (59.4%) will result in more explosive receptions against Detroit's leaky secondary.
PositiveMatchupSep 23, 2026
Garrett Wilson faces a Detroit Lions defense that ranks 24th in pass defense EPA, has given up the fourth-most wide receiver fantasy points through two games, and has a thin, already-injured secondary that has now lost Avontae Maddox to injured reserve. The Lions have allowed a league-high 5.0 red zone visits per game and the second-most receiving yards per game. Wilson has averaged 7.0 targets per game and 2.34 yards per route run, positioning this as the eruption spot his fantasy managers have dreamed of.