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FantasyPros Articles fantasy football takes on Trevor Lawrence
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from FantasyPros Articles about Trevor Lawrence.
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All FantasyPros Articles insights about Trevor Lawrence
PositiveProjectionSep 15, 2026
Lawrence and the Jaguars embarrassed the Browns in Week 1; the source does not expect this performance to repeat in Week 2 against the Broncos, but notes the Broncos' loss last week was genuinely concerning and they still expect them to be one of the better defenses in the league.PositiveValueSep 15, 2026
Trevor Lawrence's trade value surged +9.0 points to 19.0 in Week 2, the largest gain among quarterbacks, indicating the source's analysts view him as significantly undervalued relative to market expectations; in 2QB leagues his value jumped +10.0 to 62.1.PositiveProjectionSep 14, 2026
Trevor Lawrence threw four touchdowns and 245 yards on 18 completions in Jacksonville's 24-0 halftime lead over Cleveland, targeting five players at least twice. He could have finished atop the quarterback leaderboard had he played the entire game, but the Jaguars eased off the throttle and sat him in the final quarter. Lawrence will look to keep momentum going in a more difficult matchup on the road against Denver.PositiveProjectionSep 12, 2026
The Jaguars' depth at receiver gives Lawrence ample avenues to pick apart any defense. The Jags are a heavy favorite, and Lawrence also offers rushing upside, with 82 attempts last season and nine rushing touchdowns.PositiveProjectionSep 12, 2026
Lawrence had a breakout 2025 season as QB6 in fantasy points per game, his first season eclipsing 18 fantasy points per game. He recorded nine rushing touchdowns (likely unsustainable) and ranked fifth in red zone carries per game among quarterbacks, suggesting some carryover rushing touchdown production is possible in 2026. Lawrence caught fire late in the season (Weeks 12-18) as QB1 in fantasy points per game during that seven-game stretch. During that stretch, among 30 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranked third in yards per attempt, fifth in passing yards per game, third in hero throw rate, 11th in catchable target rate, and second in passing touchdowns. Cleveland's pass defense was stout to close last season (seventh-fewest yards per attempt, 11th-lowest passing success rate, third-lowest EPA per dropback in Weeks 12-18), though they lost Myles Garrett and added Jared Verse. The source notes Lawrence could rise above a tough on-paper Week 1 matchup.NegativeMatchupSep 9, 2026
Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars passing attack are expected to put on a massive fantasy performance in Week 1 against the Cleveland Browns, a matchup that could get out of hand early, benefiting receivers like Parker Washington.NegativeValueSep 8, 2026
Trevor Lawrence carries a trade value of 10.0, placing him eighth among quarterbacks; his 2QB value of 52.1 reflects lower-tier quarterback ranking consensus.PositiveMatchupSep 8, 2026
Lawrence faces a tough on-paper Week 1 matchup against Cleveland's stout pass defense, which allowed the seventh-fewest yards per attempt, 11th-lowest passing success rate, and third-lowest EPA per dropback in Weeks 12-18 last year. However, the source suggests Lawrence could rise above this difficult matchup, implying upside potential despite the defensive strength.PositiveProjectionSep 8, 2026
Trevor Lawrence had a breakout 2025 season as QB6 in fantasy points per game, his first season eclipsing 18 fantasy points per game. However, nine rushing touchdowns likely won't repeat in 2026, though he was fifth in red zone carries per game among quarterbacks, suggesting some carryover. Lawrence caught fire to close last season (Weeks 12-18) as QB1 in fantasy points per game, ranking third in yards per attempt, fifth in passing yards per game, third in hero throw rate, 11th in catchable target rate, and second in passing touchdowns among 30 qualifying quarterbacks. The Browns lost Myles Garrett but added Jared Verse—a downgrade but not by a ton. Cleveland's pass defense was stout to close last season (Weeks 12-18), allowing the seventh-fewest yards per attempt, 11th-lowest passing success rate, and third-lowest EPA per dropback. Lawrence could rise above a tough on-paper matchup for Week 1, but it's ok if you have some worries.PositiveProjectionSep 8, 2026
Andrew Erickson projects Trevor Lawrence for a sky-high ceiling in his second season with Liam Coen, who helped Baker Mayfield throw 40+ touchdown passes in 2024. Lawrence nearly finished as fantasy's top QB in 2025 (23 fantasy points per game from Week 5 onward), outscored every player at every position in that stretch, finished top-five in points per game, and ranked first in expected fantasy points per game. When all receivers were healthy, he averaged nearly 28 points per game. At 27 years old entering his prime, Lawrence attempted the fourth-most red-zone passes and recorded the third-most red-zone carries in 2025, while his nine rushing touchdowns trailed only Josh Allen. His 38 total touchdowns ranked behind only Allen and Matthew Stafford, with abundant receiving talent supporting another massive season.PositiveProjectionSep 8, 2026
Ranked QB9 in 2026 superflex consensus rankings; average rank of 15 places him in tier 2 with expert range from 4 to 41 reflecting significant disagreement.PositiveValueSep 7, 2026
Ammirante targets Lawrence as a later-round quarterback option instead of paying up for Josh Allen in round 3, positioning Lawrence as a better value quarterback target.NegativeProjectionSep 7, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is ranked QB9 in 2026 draft rankings with an ADP of 117 and consensus rank of 72.NegativeProjectionSep 7, 2026
Trevor Lawrence ranked QB9 in 2026 draft rankings with ADP of 117 and consensus rank of 77.PositiveValueSep 6, 2026
Trevor Lawrence finished sixth in fantasy points per game last year, ahead of Jalen Hurts, Justin Herbert, Caleb Williams, Jared Goff and Jaxson Dart; most of these signal-callers are being drafted two or three rounds ahead of Lawrence, making him undervalued. The source drafted him at 11.08.PositiveProjectionSep 6, 2026
Trevor Lawrence showed dramatic improvement over the final seven games of 2025 under new Jaguars head coach Liam Coen, averaging 265 passing yards, 2.6 TD passes, and 26.6 fantasy points per game (compared to 215 yards, 1.1 TD, and 16.6 FPPG over his first 10 games). His passer rating jumped from 79.4 to 108.6, and yards per attempt improved from 6.4 to 8.4 over that span. Lawrence also posted his most productive rushing season with 359 yards and nine TD runs. With Brian Thomas Jr., Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington, and occasional Travis Hunter contributions, Lawrence has a solid receiver corps. The source projects Lawrence to continue this elevated production in 2026.PositiveProjectionSep 6, 2026
The source predicts Lawrence wins NFL MVP and finishes as the overall fantasy quarterback one this season. From a specific point in the season onward last year, he outscored every player at any position in fantasy points per game, finishing the year as a top-five quarterback overall. With his full complement of weapons healthy simultaneously last year, he averaged an elite pace near 28 fantasy points per game. His rushing production, especially in the red zone, isn't viewed as a one-year outlier but a deliberate, continuing scheme feature given his offensive coordinator's public comments and his real touchdown total last year, trailing only two other elite quarterbacks leaguewide. The other the source fully agrees, citing supporting design-carry-share and red-zone-carry data independently, and notes that given how deep the receiving corps is, even an injury to one weapon wouldn't meaningfully hurt his weekly floor.PositiveProjectionSep 5, 2026
Lawrence struggled early under new Jaguars head coach Liam Coen but emerged as a top-10 quarterback once he digested the scheme. Over his first 10 games of 2025, he averaged 215.1 passing yards, 1.1 touchdown passes, and 16.7 fantasy points per game with 6.4 yards per pass attempt and a 79.4 passer rating. Over his last seven regular-season games, he averaged 265.1 passing yards, 2.6 touchdown passes, and 26.3 fantasy points per game with 8.4 yards per pass attempt and a 108.6 passer rating, ranking as the fantasy QB1 over that span. Lawrence also established career highs as a runner with 82 attempts, 359 yards, and nine touchdowns. There is high-end QB1 potential here, yet Lawrence is being drafted as a low-end QB1 according to ADP, suggesting undervaluation.NegativeValueSep 5, 2026
Trevor Lawrence ranked QB9 by FantasyPros' consensus of most accurate experts; ADP consensus 66, with expert rankings ranging 66–104 and consensus projection 81 points.NegativeProjectionSep 4, 2026
Lawrence finished as QB6 last year and averaged 20.6 PPG, demonstrating the depth available at the QB position and supporting the case that Josh Allen's 22 PPG average does not justify his 21 overall ADP.PositiveProjectionSep 4, 2026
Lawrence is entering his prime at 27 years old and should continue producing touchdowns through the air and on the ground. He attempted the fourth-most red-zone passes and recorded the third-most red-zone carries in 2025, while his nine rushing touchdowns trailed only Josh Allen. His 38 total touchdowns ranked behind only Allen and Matthew Stafford. With an abundance of receiving talent around him, Lawrence is positioned for another massive season in 2026.PositiveProjectionSep 4, 2026
Andrew Erickson flags Lawrence as must-have after nearly finishing as fantasy's top QB in first year with Liam Coen. From Week 5 onward, Lawrence outscored every player at every position with 23 fantasy points per game; finished top-5 in PPG and ranked first in expected fantasy points per game. When all receivers healthy, averaged nearly 28 PPG. Entering second season with Coen (who helped Baker Mayfield throw 40+ TDs in 2024), Lawrence has sky-high ceiling. Dual-threat at 27 years old entering prime; attempted 4th-most red-zone passes and recorded 3rd-most red-zone carries in 2025, with 9 rushing TDs (behind only Josh Allen) and 38 total TDs (behind only Allen and Matthew Stafford). Positioned for another massive season with abundance of receiving talent.PositiveProjectionSep 4, 2026
Ranked QB9 in 2026 superflex consensus rankings with best-case rank of 4 and worst-case of 41, showing expert consensus on his top-tier quarterback value though with notable variance in individual rankings.PositiveProjectionSep 4, 2026
In 2025, Trevor Lawrence finished at QB4, driven in part by 9 rushing touchdowns. With Liam Coen still at the helm, a plethora of pass-catchers including an ascending Parker Washington and a bounce-back Brian Thomas Jr., Lawrence is ranked QB9 in 2026 but is projected for another 4,000-yard season with continued ground success, positioning him as a championship-caliber value.PositiveProjectionSep 4, 2026
In the last 7 weeks when Jacobi Meyers was on the team and Parker Washington started his breakout, Lawrence was on pace for 4,750 yards, 43 touchdowns, 400 rushing yards, and 8 rushing touchdowns. Despite this unsustainable efficiency in the final stretch, he finished 6th in points per game for the season. With a full offseason working with his new weapons, Strange and Hunter healthy, and below-average running backs, he is ranked QB10 but has top-3 upside.PositiveUsageSep 4, 2026
In his first year with Liam Coen, Lawrence threw for 4,007 yards and 29 touchdowns, but the significant fantasy advantage came from his rushing production: 359 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns, totaling 38 touchdowns. This rushing contribution was not isolated to one or two games but represented a sustained second-half surge in the offense.PositiveValueSep 4, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is available around QB10 despite legitimate overall QB1 upside; in his first season with Liam Coen, he threw for 4,007 yards, accounted for 38 total touchdowns, and finished as a top-five fantasy quarterback while ranking fourth at the position in air yards, deep attempts, and red-zone passing attempts. He was QB1 over the final 10 weeks as he became increasingly comfortable in Coen's offense, and with another offseason in the same system, he offers ceiling upside without requiring an early-round pick.PositiveValueSep 3, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is ranked QB9 with an ADP of 75, trending up 2 spots in recent movement, suggesting improving draft market perception.PositiveValueSep 3, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is trending up with a +2 ADP movement, indicating rising draft market confidence; ranked QB9 at ADP 75.NegativeRoleSep 3, 2026
Jaguars QB who became Parker Washington's go-to target in the second half of last season, with this connection maintained in camp.PositiveRoleSep 2, 2026
Trevor Lawrence's connection with Parker Washington positions Washington as one of Lawrence's top options in Jacksonville.PositiveValueSep 2, 2026
Trevor Lawrence put up impressive fantasy numbers for all or part of the 2025 season and can be had in the late seventh round or beyond, representing strong value relative to his production.PositiveValueSep 2, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is listed as an expert reach at QB10 consensus ranking versus ADP of 85, indicating experts are willing to draft him 5 spots earlier than average market value, suggesting upside relative to draft position.PositiveProjectionSep 2, 2026
Adam Dove projects Lawrence for another 4,000-yard season with continued rushing success in 2026. Lawrence finished QB4 in 2025 with 9 rushing touchdowns under Liam Coen, who game-plans around his strengths. With Parker Washington ascending and Brian Thomas Jr. expected to bounce back, Lawrence offers championship-caliber production for managers who wait on the position.PositiveProjectionSep 2, 2026
Lawrence finished QB6 in points per game in 2025 despite half a year of normal production, on pace for 4,750 yards, 43 touchdowns, 400 rushing yards, and 8 rushing touchdowns. Despite this efficiency and an off-season working with new weapons (Strange and Hunter healthy, below-average running backs), he is ranked QB10 heading into 2026, presenting significant upside at a discount.PositiveValueSep 2, 2026
The source notes that in 2025, Trevor Lawrence finally showed fantasy managers the player he was touted to be coming out of Clemson, finishing at QB4 due in part to 9 rushing touchdowns. Nothing has changed in 2026, and Lawrence is ranked QB9. He still has Liam Coen at the helm, who will game plan around his strengths. He still has a plethora of pass-catchers, including an ascending Parker Washington and (hopefully) a bounce-back Brian Thomas Jr. Owners who wait on Lawrence in their draft will be coasting to league-winning production.PositiveProjectionSep 2, 2026
Justin Weigal argues that while there are major debates on Parker Washington, Brian Thomas Jr., or Jacobi Meyers, it is easier to just take the player that benefits from them all: Trevor Lawrence. In the last 7 weeks when Meyers was on the team and Washington started his breakout, Lawrence was on pace for 4,750 yards, 43 touchdowns, 400 rushing yards, and 8 rushing touchdowns. This is likely unsustainable efficiency, but despite half a year of normal production, he finished 6th in points per game. For some reason, he is being ranked as QB10 despite a whole off-season working with his new weapons, having Strange and Hunter healthy, and having below-average running backs. Weigal wants all the shares of the QB with a high floor and top-3 upside.PositiveRoleSep 2, 2026
Judy Adabie highlights Trevor Lawrence as her league-winner pick because you don't have to pay for the upside you're getting. In his first year with Liam Coen, Lawrence threw for 4,007 yards and 29 touchdowns, but the big difference for fantasy was his legs—359 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns, finishing with 38 total touchdowns. This wasn't just one or two big games; he really took off in the second half of the season. Now he gets a second year in Coen's offense.PositiveProjectionSep 2, 2026
Ryan Linkletter names Trevor Lawrence as his league-winning quarterback because the market is still not paying anything close to the price his ceiling warrants. In his first season with Liam Coen, Lawrence threw for 4,007 yards, accounted for 38 total touchdowns, and finished as a top-five fantasy quarterback while ranking fourth at the position in air yards, deep attempts, and red-zone passing attempts. Even more importantly, he was QB1 over the final 10 weeks as he became increasingly comfortable in Coen's offense. With another offseason in the same system and Lawrence still available around QB10, he has legitimate overall QB1 upside without requiring managers to spend an early-round pick.PositiveProjectionSep 1, 2026
Ranked QB10 in 2026 superflex consensus rankings; best rank 6, worst rank 41, average rank 16, standard deviation 7 shows significant disagreement among experts on his tier placement.PositiveProjectionAug 31, 2026
Trevor Lawrence showed dramatic improvement once he digested Liam Coen's scheme as the Jaguars' first-year head coach. Over his first 10 games of 2025, Lawrence averaged 215.1 passing yards, 1.1 touchdown passes and 16.7 fantasy points per game with a 6.4 yards per pass attempt and 79.4 passer rating. Over his last seven regular-season games, he averaged 265.1 passing yards, 2.6 touchdown passes and 26.3 fantasy points per game with an 8.4 yards per pass attempt and 108.6 passer rating—finishing as the fantasy QB1 over that span. Lawrence also had his best season as a runner with career highs in attempts (82), yards (359) and touchdowns (nine).PositiveValueAug 31, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is ranked QB10 with an ADP of 77 and a +9 variance, indicating the market is pricing him significantly lower than his projected ranking; this positive variance suggests he is undervalued.PositiveValueAug 30, 2026
JJ Zachariason ranks Trevor Lawrence as a low-end QB1 in the FantasyPros Expert Consensus Rankings and states he'd happily take Lawrence as his starting quarterback in 2026, supporting his strategy to spend down at the quarterback position in 1QB leagues.PositiveValueAug 30, 2026
Trevor Lawrence has an ADP of QB10 and is coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn. Over his last seven regular-season games, Lawrence averaged 265 passing yards, 2.6 TD passes, and 26.6 fantasy points per game. He also ran for nine touchdowns last season, providing dual-threat upside in the middle rounds.PositiveProjectionAug 30, 2026
Trevor Lawrence finally delivered the long-awaited breakout season last year, finishing QB6 in fantasy points per game—his first season eclipsing 18 fantasy points per game. While nine rushing touchdowns likely won't repeat, Lawrence ranked fifth in red zone carries per game among quarterbacks, suggesting some carryover in rushing touchdown production. Lawrence caught fire down the stretch (Weeks 12-18), finishing as QB1 in fantasy points per game during that seven-game span. Among 30 qualifying quarterbacks in that stretch, Lawrence ranked third in yards per attempt, fifth in passing yards per game, third in hero throw rate, 11th in catchable target rate, and second in passing touchdowns. His pass-catching depth chart remains intact from that strong finish. The source projects Lawrence as a locked-in QB1 with tantalizing upside for 2026.PositiveSleeperAug 29, 2026
Listed as a sleeper/target quarterback option for 2026 fantasy drafts.PositiveValueAug 29, 2026
Lawrence is positioned as a safer late-round quarterback with significant upside. Liam Coen's coaching (from Sean McVay's tree) unlocked the Jaguars' offense; in 2025 the team ranked top-10 in motion rate and play-action rate. From Week 10 forward, Lawrence finished as QB1 with 23.4 PPG, posting 222 rushing yards (QB4), 43 rushing attempts (QB4), and five rushing touchdowns (QB2). While some rushing regression is expected, he has demonstrated dual-threat capability. Lawrence benefits from an elite offensive head coach, solid offensive line, and one of the NFL's deepest pass-catching rooms (Brian Thomas Jr., Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington, Travis Hunter, Brenton Strange), plus one of the easier quarterback schedules.PositiveProjectionAug 28, 2026
Ranked QB9 in 2026 superflex fantasy football draft rankings with consensus expert ranking of 15th overall; best expert rank of 5, worst of 33, showing variance in expert opinion on his tier placement.NegativeProjectionAug 27, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is ranked QB9 in the source's draft rankings with an ADP of 127 and a tier assignment of 5.PositiveValueAug 25, 2026
Lawrence is drafted at 8.11 as the source's starting QB; he finished as fantasy QB4 last season, with nine rushing touchdowns being a big part of that production; while that rushing TD total may not be repeatable, the source believes Lawrence is a 'steal' this late in the draft if he comes even somewhat close to last year's output.PositiveProjectionAug 25, 2026
Ranked QB9 in 2026 superflex consensus rankings; expert consensus best rank 5, worst rank 30, average rank 15.2 with significant variance (std.dev 5.8).PositiveValueAug 24, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is ranked QB9 with an ADP of 84 and shows a +1 movement indicator; ranked 36th overall with 127 projected touches and 78.2 projected fantasy points.PositiveProjectionAug 22, 2026
The source identifies Trevor Lawrence as a middle-round QB option with a QB10 ADP coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn, noting that over his last seven regular-season games he averaged 265 passing yards, 2.6 TD passes, and 26.6 fantasy points per game, and also ran for nine touchdowns last season.PositiveValueAug 22, 2026
Ranked QB9 in FantasyPros' most accurate expert consensus rankings with an ADP of 59; market is pricing him 10 picks higher than expert consensus, suggesting undervaluation relative to expert rankings.PositiveValueAug 21, 2026
Trevor Lawrence (JAC QB9) shows a -1 ADP shift but a +8 value differential, indicating the market is significantly undervaluing the Jaguars quarterback relative to his ranking.NegativeProjectionAug 21, 2026
Ranked QB9 in 2026 superflex consensus rankings with tier 2 placement; consensus average rank of 15.2 with high standard deviation of 6.0, indicating significant expert disagreement on his valuation ranging from best rank of 4 to worst of 30.PositiveProjectionAug 20, 2026
Lawrence is a tier-3 second-round value in Superflex leagues. After taking some time to digest new head coach Liam Coen's offense, Lawrence caught fire over the second half of the season. Over his first 10 games, he averaged 215 passing yards, 1.1 TD passes, and 16.6 fantasy points per game. Over his last seven regular-season games, he averaged 265 passing yards, 2.6 TD passes, and 26.6 fantasy points per game. Lawrence also had his most productive season as a runner, with 359 rushing yards and nine TD runs.PositiveValueAug 20, 2026
Ranked QB9 overall with an ADP of 75 in the 5th round tier; projects 106 points with 13 points per game, up 10 spots from prior ADP, showing strong positive market momentum.NegativeUsageAug 18, 2026
Spread ball around evenly among receivers in 2025 and won't change approach in 2026. Even distribution limits ceiling for any single Jaguars receiver including Jakobi Meyers.NegativeProjectionAug 18, 2026
Ranked QB10 in superflex format with 4 games projected, 30 passing attempts, 15.2 yards per attempt, and 6 touchdowns.NegativeProjectionAug 18, 2026
Ranked QB10 in 2026 superflex consensus rankings with tier 3 placement; consensus average rank of 15.2 with high standard deviation (6), indicating significant expert disagreement on his positioning, with individual rankings ranging from 4 to 30.PositiveValueAug 17, 2026
Trevor Lawrence finished as QB4 last year and was one of six QBs to throw for 4k yards or more. Welsh targets him in Round 8 as the best target just outside the elite tier but above the latest-round tier if he can't get a deal on Drake Maye or Jalen Hurts.PositiveProjectionAug 16, 2026
Jacksonville's offense could be a fantasy goldmine this season. Lawrence was the QB4 last year, averaging 23.3 fantasy points per game. More importantly, Lawrence played better as the season progressed as he got more comfortable in Liam Coen's offense. Fantasy players should prioritize getting Lawrence instead of trying to guess which of their four wide receivers is the best value on draft day.PositiveProjectionAug 16, 2026
Trevor Lawrence finished as QB6 in fantasy points per game last season, his first year eclipsing 18 fantasy points per game. While nine rushing touchdowns likely won't repeat, he ranked fifth in red zone carries per game among quarterbacks, suggesting some carryover in rushing touchdown production. Over the final seven weeks (Weeks 12-18), Lawrence ranked QB1 in fantasy points per game, posting third in yards per attempt, fifth in passing yards per game, third in hero throw rate, and second in passing touchdowns among 30 qualifying quarterbacks. The source identifies him as a locked-in QB1 with tantalizing upside for 2026 with his pass-catching depth chart intact.NegativeValueAug 15, 2026
Lawrence finished as QB4 last year averaging 19.9 fantasy points per game under Liam Coen, a career high. However, he needed a hot four-game stretch to achieve this finish, scoring 36% of his fantasy points and 40% of his total touchdowns over the final month. There is no reason why Jalen Hurts and Dak Prescott should get drafted after him at ADP 89.11, suggesting Lawrence is overpriced relative to peers.PositiveUsageAug 15, 2026
Trevor Lawrence attempted the 4th-most red-zone passes and the third-most red-zone rushes (9 rushing TDs) in 2025, trailing only Josh Allen in rushing TDs. His 38 total TDs trailed only Allen and Matthew Stafford. The source emphasizes Lawrence is entering his uber-prime at 27 years old with an embarrassment of riches to throw to at WR/TE, positioning him to smash in 2026. The source states: YOU MUST RESPECT T-LAW.PositiveProjectionAug 15, 2026
Trevor Lawrence came close to finishing as fantasy's best signal-caller last season in his first year with Liam Coen, finishing top-5 in PPG and No. 1 in expected fantasy points per game. From Week 5 onward, he outscored all other players at every single position (23 PPG). Entering his second season with Coen (who Baker Mayfield threw for 40-plus TDs with back in 2024), the source projects the ceiling for T-Law is sky-high. The dual-threat QB is entering his uber-prime at just 27 years old and projects to pile up TDs both through the air and on the ground.PositiveValueAug 15, 2026
The source ranks Trevor Lawrence as a low-end QB1 in the FantasyPros Expert Consensus Rankings and explicitly states willingness to take him as a starting quarterback, positioning him as a value target in 2026 drafts when spending down at the QB position in 1QB leagues.NegativeProjectionAug 15, 2026
Ranked QB9 in expert consensus draft rankings with an average ADP of 62 and consensus rank of 78; projects 7.9 points per game with a +7 spot variance from consensus.NegativeProjectionAug 14, 2026
Ranked QB11 in superflex fantasy football draft rankings with an ADP of 41 and projected scoring of 16.2 points per game.NegativeProjectionAug 14, 2026
Ranked QB11 in 2026 superflex consensus with average rank of 16.2 and standard deviation of 6.1, showing moderate expert variance in his tier placement.PositiveSleeperAug 13, 2026
Welsh targets Trevor Lawrence as a quarterback sleeper for 2026 draft.PositiveBreakoutAug 13, 2026
Trevor Lawrence had his long-awaited breakout season as QB6 in fantasy points per game, the first time he eclipsed 18 fantasy points per game. He threw nine rushing touchdowns (likely unsustainable) but ranked fifth in red zone carries per game among quarterbacks, suggesting some carryover rushing TD production in 2026. Lawrence caught fire in the final seven weeks (Weeks 12-18) as QB1 in fantasy points per game, ranking third in yards per attempt, fifth in passing yards per game, third in hero throw rate, 11th in catchable target rate, and second in passing touchdowns among 30 qualifying quarterbacks. The source calls him a locked-in QB1 with tantalizing upside for 2026 with his pass-catching depth chart intact.PositiveProjectionAug 13, 2026
Ranked QB10 in 2026 consensus draft rankings with 58 ADP and 107 projected points; shows +6 ranking movement, indicating rising expert consensus on his value.PositiveProjectionAug 12, 2026
Lawrence had a career year in 2025, finishing as QB4, averaging 19.9 fantasy points per game. The former top draft pick had nine rushing touchdowns last season after totaling 14 over the first four years of his career. Furthermore, Lawrence scored 36% of his fantasy points for the year over the final four weeks, with three of those matchups against struggling defenses. The source is comfortable drafting him as a low-end QB1.PositiveProjectionAug 11, 2026
Lawrence finished the 2025 season playing the best football of his five-year career under first-year Jaguars head coach Liam Coen. Over his last seven regular-season games, he averaged 265 passing yards, 2.6 TD passes, and 26.6 fantasy points per game with an 8.4 yards-per-attempt average and 108.6 passer rating (vs. 215 passing yards, 1.1 TD, 16.6 fantasy points, 6.4 yards per attempt, and 79.4 rating over his first 10 games). Lawrence also had his most productive rushing season with 359 rushing yards and nine TD runs. With Brian Thomas Jr., Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington, and occasional Travis Hunter contributions, he has a solid receiver corps.PositiveProjectionAug 11, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is ranked 15th overall in 2026 superflex fantasy football draft rankings with tier 2 placement; best rank of 6, worst rank of 41, average rank 15.9 with standard deviation of 6.5, positioned as QB9 with moderate expert variance.PositiveProjectionAug 10, 2026
Outscored every player at every position in fantasy points per game from week five onward last year. In games when his current top weapons were all healthy and playing together, he averaged more fantasy points per game than any other quarterback in the league over that stretch, offering real QB1-overall upside at a late-round price.PositiveProjectionAug 10, 2026
Ranked QB9 in 2026 draft rankings with 106 projected points and 11.8 points per game, showing positive ADP movement of +8 indicating rising draft stock.PositiveValueAug 9, 2026
Lawrence is ranked as a low-end QB1 in FantasyPros Expert Consensus Rankings and is a player Wrs Romeo Doubs would happily take as a starting quarterback in 1QB leagues, supporting a spend-down strategy at the position.