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0:20Visit your nearest Crocs store today. It's the Mina Kimes Show featuring Lenny, the only NFL podcast.
0:25One of the hosts thinks Pittman and Bernard sounds like a show about crime-fighting dogs.
0:29That's Lenny, I mean it times. We've got a few dog name receivers.
0:33We've got Boston also in this division. We also have John Ledyard here to help me preview the AFC North.
0:39John, the last division of my division previews. How you feeling?
0:43How you feeling with the season barreling towards us?
0:45I feel great. I feel great. I think all things considered.
0:49Preseason tape round one, pretty much in the books for me.
0:52Ready for preseason tape round two. Excited about that.
0:55Whenever we have new tape to watch. This division?
0:57Am I excited about this? I think I will.
1:00Let me answer that after we unpack it throughout the course of the show because I really don't know how to feel right now.
1:07I'm excited for the uncertainty that it brings, I think.
1:10We do rank the teams at the end. This one I feel better about ranking.
1:15I just did the NFC North. I don't know if you caught it by any chance, but I literally had a panic
1:21attack trying to rank the teams in the NFC North and I still, I don't feel good about it at all.
1:28This one, I think I've got a better feel for.
1:31So we're gonna talk about all these teams in length.
1:34I figured we would start with the Steelers, a team, you know, very well, a team that I haven't talked about that much.
1:41Um, you know, cause I've talked about the Ravens ton, the bangles top 10 offenses pod talked about the bangles earlier this
1:47week, but I feel like I haven't given the Steelers much their due.
1:51And as I was working through this, uh, I had a couple of feelings.
1:55I regretted not putting the Steelers defense in my top 10 after doing this.
2:00So I'm excited to discuss that with you. And I also found myself feeling some optimism around the moves that they've made on offense.
2:07Um, of course, Aaron Rogers remains the limiting factor.
2:10I feel comfortable saying that to this offense to some degree, but they have added around him in addition to DK Metcalf.
2:16Now you've got Michael Pittman Jr. Wide receiver three is a battle between Jeremy Bernard, uh, and Roman Wilson.
2:22And they've got Ben Skoranek tight end remains the same.
2:25Uh, we got Friermuth and supersized Washington. Uh, running back is different.
2:28Gainwell's out doubtles in, and then the offensive line has been reshuffled.
2:32Uh, so we've got now Troy Fautano's kicking over to the left side, McCormick, Frazier, right guard battle.
2:37And then Dylan Cook, Anna Tor hasn't played. All right.
2:40So let's just start off. I want to start off with the receiver group because that's the biggest change.
2:46Yeah. The biggest thing that I think is up in the air right now is that wide receiver three spot.
2:52Obviously, as you mentioned, Jeremy Bernard comes out as a great first preseason game has really good, like really pro ready in practices.
2:59And I think impress everyone. It takes a lot to get Aaron Rogers to not hate a rookie wide receiver.
3:05And he is so far not hated Jeremy Bernard.
3:08That's improvement. He hates Roman Wilson less than he's hated him in the past.
3:12So that's an improvement. So it seems like it's like what you want.
3:16If you were going to like drop this competition and say, what do you want it to look like in ideal sense?
3:23This is probably about as ideal. Both guys playing pretty well.
3:26They seem like they might be four deep. Pittman's been hurt and missed a lot of practice time.
3:31So it seems like it's moving in the right direction.
3:34And certainly both of those spots actually are going to matter a lot.
3:38Um, in Mike McCarthy's offense. Whereas in the past, we barely cared about who the Steelers wide receiver two was in the
3:45last couple of years, but this is a real offense.
3:48This is a grown person offense. And so. So I am excited to see what that looks like in Pittsburgh.
3:54Cause it's been so long. You know, we saw completion over the middle two, three, even in the first preseason game.
4:00It was crazy. I do want to get to the preseason and all the young quarterbacks because they kind of have like
4:07a log check right now, uh, behind Aaron Rogers, which is going to be interesting.
4:11But first I want to get back to, you know, we know Aaron Rogers is the quarterback.
4:16And we also know what Aaron Rogers is going to give you at this point in his career.
4:22It's going to be balls going to come out super quick, shallow depth of target.
4:26Uh, that's not changing opportunistically. He'll take some shots.
4:29You're not going to get a lot of movement.
4:32I would argue though, that the Steelers did a fantastic job in terms of this wide receiver group of building around this version of Aaron Rogers.
4:39That's kind of the overwhelming takeaway. Take away I had thinking about the Steelers offense.
4:44You go out and get Pittman jr. Who again, going back to what I said by Rogers short, maybe intermediate, not going
4:51to go over 15 yards very much. Michael Pittman Jr.
4:54Is great at that, right? Like that is his forte.
4:57He catches everything. He's excellent on hitches and digs and short, you know, he, I, I looked at the last three years
5:03on throws of 10 yards or less. He has a 79% catch rate, which is seventh in the NFL.
5:09Uh, he's top 10 in just about everything in that metric.
5:12So that already in itself, I think is a massive upgrade again, particularly for this version of Aaron Rogers.
5:18And then you alluded to this with Bernard. I mean, I kind of think he might be a good one.
5:24He might be the perfect draft pick again for this quarterback, what they need in this offense.
5:29I thought he looked excellent in the preseason game.
5:32I didn't get to it at all earlier, but I was looking at my notes.
5:36Um, I thought like he looked snappy. I thought he looked a little bit more sudden than maybe I'd give him credit for the yards after catch.
5:44You got, it was just like a little flare.
5:47He had, he had a big, uh, catch and run.
5:50You saw the toughness, the contact balance. So again, if we're thinking about this offense through the lens of like this version
5:57Aaron Rogers, ball's coming to count quit. Can you get yards after the catch?
6:01Can you be reliable? I feel like they kind of hit it out of the park in terms of building the right group of players.
6:08Yeah. And Roman Wilson's added some verticality in the practices at least.
6:12And we'll see if that manifests itself in any games that obviously they'll need.
6:16Metcalf is, is probably, he's barely, I don't know if he's practiced at all.
6:20Actually he's been, you know, been injured or undisclosed.
6:23I don't, you know, he said he'd be ready to go off the season word today.
6:28So we're just going to take him at his word for that.
6:32But how he fits into this thing is going to be interesting.
6:35Like he hasn't really been the most versatile player in the past.
6:39He's kind of, uh, this is how I win.
6:41And this is the only way that I win.
6:44And, and so I don't know that, I don't know that we're going to see this huge bump in production for him, but it's okay.
6:52If he is just has to fill a role and the other guys are more capable of stepping into specific roles themselves.
6:58I think the big question in this offense is the funniest one to ask is, is Aaron Rogers a good fit for it?
7:05Which seems crazy considering it's Mike McCarthy and considering the history of the two of them have together.
7:11Aaron Rogers hasn't wanted to be a quarterback who's dropped back with true pass sets and throwing the ball down the field
7:17and ripped it in the middle of the field.
7:20And that's not who he's wanted to be for a couple of years.
7:24Now he's really wanted to be a guy that as much as we make fun of last year's offense.
7:30And Arthur Smith certainly has his limitations as an offensive coordinator that were shown last year to Rogers wanted to play that way.
7:36He wanted to get the ball out quick. He wanted to throw to backs a bunch.
7:41He didn't want to get hit. He has not shown a great desire to drop back and rip the thing around the yard, the way that McCarthy was.
7:50Now people, give McCarthy a lot of credit for developing quarterbacks, but he's generally had elite quarterbacks.
7:55He's had Aaron Rogers. He's had Brett Favre. He's had Dak Prescott, especially mentally.
7:59He's had great quarterbacks. And I think that's where he's going to still have that part of it with Rogers.
8:05But in terms of how much Rogers wants to stand back there and go one, two, three through progressions, the way that
8:12Dak did when they were posting really good offensive seasons together in Dallas.
8:15I think that's a real question mark, whether he even wants to play that way.
8:20So that to me is the biggest question going into the season is whether Rogers actually wants to fit into McCarthy's offense anymore.
8:27Yeah. And if, if, if the presumption there is he wants to go one and then, um, can Mike McCarthy do a
8:34good job of scheming up first reads that generate yards after the catch?
8:37Um, I think he has the tools here. I think that's kind of what I'm saying.
8:42Like the receivers, I feel like can do this.
8:45Yeah. I think, yeah. Like, like, so, you know, I was going to talk about the offensive line, but the reality is
8:52even if this offensive line was a little bit better or a little bit worse, I don't think that's going to change Aaron Rogers style play.
8:59You know what I mean? Like, I'm not like, Oh, he'll hold onto the ball longer and take shots or work through to the backside.
9:07If the light, no, he's not like, I, I just, that's been the biggest change with Rogers is it's actually not like an arm strength thing.
9:15It's a willingness to stay in there. And, um, you know, I think the run game is maybe when I think about
9:21the offensive line and what I want to see, like this was a quietly pretty efficient running game last year.
9:27They're actually seventh and brushing DVO way in 22nd and passing DVO way.
9:31Um, and I think if they can maintain that level of rushing efficiency, then this still can be a death by a
9:38thousand cuts style offense with some tackle breakers and some quickness at the line of scrimmage.
9:43So that, that brings me back to the line.
9:45And I want to ask you about that. You know, I talked about how it was reshuffled.
9:50Um, Broderick Jones has been out. I found out a little bit of a, a little bit of rough on, uh, I
9:57thought, uh, week one, but I, I, I think he'll be fine.
10:01I thought he was very good last year. The interior, at least the left guard center are like really good.
10:07One of them may be more slept on interiors in football, but question marks on the right side.
10:12So do you feel this line can kind of hold serve compared to what we saw last year?
10:17And do you think that they continue running the football the way they did?
10:22Big, big questions for sure. Let's talk about the offensive line in terms of pass protection.
10:27It basically goes from about as easy of a system as you can play in the league, even though I think there's real talent here too.
10:34That isn't to say they can't do it. It's just a matter of, they went from one of the lowest number of
10:41true pass sets in the league to now an offense that presumably, if you look at Dallas and the years McCarthy was
10:48there, what will be one of the highest of true pass sets in the league?
10:52Now, maybe there's some change there to account for who's running the offense.
10:56And see Aaron Rodgers and all that stuff. So I'm not saying it won't be anything, but we saw right away in the first preseason game.
11:04Oh, the set points are different. The angles are different.
11:07The amount of help you're getting is different. Like we're not sliding every time.
11:11Like you better take a vertical set. Otherwise guys are going to scream around your edge in this office.
11:17So it's a different world for these guys. They are going to have to adjust to it.
11:22It's going to take time. And I think it's really going to take time at the tackle spots.
11:27That to me is where the adjustment is typically the biggest.
11:31So the good news is if, if he on a tour does come back and win that right tackle spot, which I
11:37think seems likely it has not been what broader.
11:40I mean, it's been about what you expect at this point for broader Jones and Dylan cook is much more of a backup player.
11:47When before he haunted her got hurt, he was playing well in practices.
11:51I have no idea if that's going to translate to the games right away.
11:55There will be bumps in the road. Surely for our time, who's switching sides and schemes.
12:00Like you said, most of the issues you saw in the other game wasn't like a physical athletic issue.
12:06It was like a, Oh, my pass set can't actually end here.
12:09Can't actually my first step. I can't actually be here in this offense and adjusting to that against game speed.
12:15I think there's going to be a lot of growing pains in past protection in the run game.
12:21I think they have a chance to be really successful.
12:24They have a lot of pieces that make sense.
12:26They're very athletic group. How much does McCarthy want to run the ball?
12:30That seems like it's kind of always the question with him, but that will continue to be the question moving forward.
12:37I think is how much does he, is he willing to be patient, rely on the run game?
12:42How successful are they? What does it look like when they throw the ball in early downs to put them in situations where they can run more?
12:50So those are the questions I think that are more likely to be answered when they run it.
12:56I think they'll be pretty good. I want to go back to the backup quarterbacks because right now there's forum or there's four quarterbacks behind Rogers.
13:03You have Mason Rudolph, Will Howard and Drew Aller.
13:06All of them are pretty good. The preseason seems unlikely to me that they'll be able to make.
13:11I mean, especially just looking around some of the quarterback situations around the league.
13:16I kind of feel like all three of them have a chance of getting picked up if they were to let any of them go.
13:23So, so we, I don't think I actually really even got to the dual or start or start, but the, his preseason performance.
13:30But I got to say as someone who was extremely out on him as a college prospect, I'm not.
13:36Put in the gold jacket on or even saying he's QB two, but he did look, I thought significantly better in the
13:42preseason than he, I thought he looked in college.
13:45Um, and maybe you can get it. I know you, you're, you dig in pretty to the prospects pretty hard.
13:51Maybe you have thoughts on that as well. But, um, someone here's the odd man out.
13:56So if you were the Steelers, like how would you prioritize these quarterbacks?
14:00And do you think Aller has a chance of jumping both Howard and Rudolph to be Aaron Rogers QB two?
14:06Or is that just too, too speculative? I think that's definitely possible if they were to trade Rudolph or, or do something
14:12with Rudolph, like where they, because to the Steelers, what's the benefit of, if you're just asking me this season, if Rogers
14:19goes down, Rudolph gives them the best chance to win.
14:22That's probably true. He actually played very well in this most recent preseason game.
14:26However, what they, they all did. You're right. And the Packers, the Packers defensive death may need to be another podcast topic
14:33for you, but I, I just don't know what the benefit is to Mason Rudolph playing if Rogers does go down.
14:39Like you might as well, but like, is Rudolph going to be so good?
14:43You know, maybe he's even comparable to Rogers, but do they think that going in?
14:48I don't know if they're going to believe that.
14:51So you might be in a position where you just want to see the young player.
14:55And if you're in that spot, then maybe Aller does beat out Howard.
14:59I think that's, you know, fairly, you know, that could definitely happen.
15:03Howard played well too. The biggest thing with Aller, I thought was he just played mentally fast, which was encouraging to me.
15:10I think that was the biggest thing that I was impressed by was his ability throw with anticipation.
15:15He looked comfortable and obviously real game situations, but at Penn state, the biggest knock was probably how uncomfortable he looked and
15:22anything resembling a stressful situation pretty much at any point.
15:25So I want to see way more, but certainly an encouraging step for all those guys.
15:29There's very possible that it finishes. Rogers, Rogers, Rogers, Aller Howard.
15:33I think in the preseason. Definitely a reason to keep watching the Steelers offense in the preseason because also Aaron Rogers is 42 years old.
15:40There's a pretty damn good chance. He doesn't play 17 plus games.
15:44So we could kind of joke about it now, but this could end up mattering a great deal.
15:49All right. Defensively. So I tease this. After doing this prep, taking a step back, looking at the players, thinking about the new coaching, the coaching change.
15:57I felt like I should have put this defense in the top 10.
16:01So let's just start there with that broad premise.
16:04So first, first, the players, largely the same up front.
16:07Right. But on the back end, now you have Jamel Dean as your second corner.
16:11Sante Samuel Jr. Who made some nice place in the preseason as well as depth.
16:16You added Jaquan Brisker, Sean Elliott's coming back from injury.
16:19And then you have a new defensive coordinator, Patrick Graham coming from Las Vegas.
16:23I mentioned this when I talked about the Raiders, but it was kind of stunning to look at the Raiders depth chart
16:30last year and how frankly untalented they were at certain positions and see how competent the defense that in and of itself
16:36is like quite a testament, I think, to Graham, who we can get into the nitty gritty of what he's bringing to this defense.
16:44But what do you think of my general premise here, which is like after taking a step back and thinking about this
16:50and thinking about some of the changes, this to me looks like it has the potential to be a top 10 unit.
16:57It tells me that you're a big Patrick Graham fan and that you are a believer in Patrick Graham, despite the fact
17:03that it hasn't been the results wise in situations that have had very little defensive talent.
17:08And I am as intrigued as you are by that.
17:11Yeah, that's it's a huge problem. He's not had a lot of talent in the places that he's been and he's gotten some things to league average.
17:19My biggest question is that he has not by the numbers been a great pressure creator as a defensive coordinator.
17:25He's also not had great players to do that with.
17:28So I'm curious about that part. Yes, he does now.
17:31He has a totally different type of group. He's been pretty good in terms of limiting explosives, big plays, things like that over the years.
17:39That excites me, especially with a better pressure group.
17:42So Patrick Graham has this. He's kind of like a Vero in Carolina, although Vero after this season, we'll see in that
17:48they have these sterling reputations and people around the league really like them.
17:52But when you look at the numbers and how their defensive finish, that hasn't really been there very often.
17:58And so you're wondering who's right. Is the reputation right or is they are the numbers right?
18:03And we're going to find out a lot this season for sure, because there's definitely enough talent to at least be like a good group.
18:10I don't know if they're going to be like a top five group.
18:14There's still the safety room is quite weak, I think.
18:17But I think there's enough talent here to be a pretty good defense.
18:21And even up front, they've got enough of the horses to be able to make a real impact in terms of the past game.
18:28The Steelers not being a great pressure team, believe it or not, they were like 25th in the league in pressure rate
18:35or something like that on third down last year.
18:38Seems almost impossible with the personnel that they have.
18:40But they've also been one of the fastest time to throw against teams in the league.
18:45Everybody knows what their defense is going to be.
18:48Their scheme has been as vanilla as possible in a league where everybody's moving away from that.
18:53Everybody knows where to go to get the ball with the ball.
18:57So it is not allowed for a lot of pressure production, sack production for guys that individually you would think would have it.
19:04So even Patrick Graham being a disguise-oriented coach who is going to live in that world for better or worse should help
19:10the front, I think, get to another level. So I think it's possible they're top 10.
19:15I think there's still some weaknesses to this team, but I think it's possible they're top 10.
19:20If they are, it's going to say a lot about Patrick Graham.
19:24Yeah, the Raiders last year were fifth in disguise coverage rate.
19:27Steelers, bottom 10, unsurprisingly. The Raiders were eighth in line of scrimmage drop rate, which you can get on next-gen stats, suggesting they leaned on simulated pressures.
19:35The Steelers didn't do that at a high rate either.
19:38And honestly, don't have to. I mean, they're kind of – you said it's been vanilla.
19:43Some of that has to do with the fact that they haven't had – they've had the talent at multiple positions to get away with that.
19:51And they still do up front. This is still – even with TJ Watt declining, the Steelers did draft very well there and have players ascending.
19:59Obviously, Herbig just got paid. Alex Highsmith. But then the defensive tackles as well.
20:03Derek Harmon is kind of one of – is like an obvious breakout candidate this season.
20:08Somebody who flashed and I think will have potential in Graham's scheme to make an impact up front.
20:13For me, whether or not this is a top 10 unit, perhaps even more so than Graham creating some complexity and, like
20:20you said, actually forcing defenses to hold on – or quarterbacks to hold on to the ball a little bit, is contingent on two things.
20:27One, health on the back end. I mentioned Jamel Dean and Jaquan Brisker.
20:31Those are good players when they're healthy. When they're healthy, right?
20:34So they got to be – if they're not healthy, then you see a pretty significant drop-off, I think, in a couple areas there.
20:42And then the linebacker position continues to be a source of frustration.
20:45Patrick Queen, Peyton Wilson, who's been better in coverage than he is against the run.
20:50Gosh, who was the third backer again? It's the reverse.
20:53I remember. Well, now it might be Landon Roberts again.
20:56Well, I think – I read that they're planning on playing Jalen Ramsey as, like, the star type, which is what actually
21:02hilariously he did early in his career in L.A.
21:05So maybe you won't see a lot of three-linebacker looks.
21:08But that linebacker position with Queen – I feel like Queen is kind of like the straw that starts to drink.
21:14Like, when he has a really awful game, this defense just cannot get off the field versus the run.
21:20And then when he plays well, they've been good overall.
21:23And I feel like that's just kind of the weather vane for this whole thing.
21:28He is the hypothetical skill set that every team wants and the disposition every team wants, but not the decision-making nor the finishing ability.
21:35And so it is – you are sort of on one end or the extreme or the other with Patrick Queen.
21:41And you're right. He is a barometer for a lot of how this thing goes.
21:46He has so many oh-so-close plays and coverage every single year, but just hasn't been able to figure out a way to be a great finisher.
21:53Tackling can be an adventure for him in open space.
21:56He also plays downhill, plays really physical, brings the energy, big communicator.
22:00He is super athletic and takes away a lot in coverage just because of how you can use him.
22:06You can mug him and drop him, and he can carry the seam and blanket guys.
22:11And a lot of times the ball doesn't go there and nobody notices, but he just gives you a lot of defensive
22:17flexibility because of how he can play. And in today's league, that matters a ton.
22:22With a defensive coordinator who can disguise and won't necessarily leave him in one spot all the time, that could be even more fun.
22:29So I think he's a real swing player for the season.
22:32There was real talk in the offseason. Will they trade him?
22:35Like, what will they do with him? He's probably not going to be back after this season, but if he has a great year, who knows?
22:43Like, there's, you know, kind of a lot of everybody.
22:46Nobody knows how to feel about Patrick Queen. That's just kind of the Patrick Queen story in general.
22:52Like, where do you rank him? How do you evaluate him?
22:55And I think so. He's a big question mark.
22:58Peyton Wilson, certainly a big question mark. I think it did not.
23:01I didn't think played great in the first preseason game.
23:04I think he only played like 12 snaps. He's a touchdowns type of player.
23:09So there's questions here for sure at the linebacker spot.
23:12It's not necessarily a question of who's going to play.
23:15It's more of a question of what's the ceiling?
23:17Does anybody actually, like, thrive in this defense? We've seen defensive systems transform linebackers.
23:21Has anybody thrive in this system, or is it more of the same with these guys in terms of the inconsistencies?
23:28Going back to just wrapping up here quickly a little bit, talking about the scheme before.
23:33You know, this is a Steelers defense that plays single high.
23:36I'm sure it's like seventh highest rate in the league.
23:39They play the fifth most cover one. Got a very good man corner in Joey Porter Jr.
23:44Who's waiting for a new contract. Graham, it's kind of hard, again, to decipher tendencies because he's really mixed it up at different locations.
23:51And as we've discussed, has dealt with talent deficiencies where I think, like, I'm not going to say, well, he played a
23:58lot of zone with the Raiders, so he's going to play a ton more zone.
24:02I think that's been more about his adaptability to the players at his disposal.
24:07What would you like to see more of from a coverage perspective with the Steelers defense?
24:11Like, what do you think they should be doing?
24:14Multiplicity, I think, is the biggest thing. And that's where you get into the Porter questions, I think, because when you are
24:21this streamlined, cover one heavy scheme, he's so valuable.
24:23The problem is that's not where the league is, and it's not where the league's going either.
24:28We're in an era where zone coverage and match-up zones and all this kind of stuff is at a premium.
24:34And you're just seeing, like, I mean, obviously there are situations and roles in which he can play that will really help a team.
24:42But the biggest thing is if everybody else is going to be kind of, you have to, you have to, if you're
24:48going to play the way Joey Porter Jr. plays best and you're going to commit yourself to being one of the man
24:55heaviest teams in the league, does everybody able to play that way?
24:58Because I know Jalen Ramsey ain't able to play that way.
25:02And I don't think Jamal Dean's able to play that way.
25:05So you look across the board to everybody else, Sante Samuel comes from, like, super zone-heavy schemes.
25:10And he's played great in the preseason. So we'll see.
25:13And I think Patrick Graham is going to be multiple.
25:16So I just don't know how that affects Joey Porter Jr.
25:20Because he's not been a very versatile player. He's an okay tackler who's had some weak moments.
25:25He's not a great run defender. He's not a terrible one.
25:28But he's gotten a little bit better. But he's not a difference maker there.
25:32He's been straight up bad in zone coverage a lot of his career.
25:36Just kind of, like, lethargic. Doesn't really see things happening.
25:39Seems disengaged. When he can press man, he's awesome.
25:42But he still can get a call for penalties all the time.
25:45So you just have this really... Does he fit the league today?
25:49Like, especially at a $30 million a year? You know, and I think that's where they're kind of at with why this contract's taken forever.
25:56Corners love him. Like, just talking to both current and former.
26:00Because, and I've learned this. Corners just really respect guys who get their hands on the football.
26:05Oh, yeah. And I've noticed... Who was I? Man, who was I talking to some corner this offseason?
26:10It wasn't someone I worked with. I can't... Now it's escaping me who it was.
26:15But I was asking him who he thought were some of the best corners in the league.
26:20And Porter Jr. And I was like, Porter Jr.?
26:23And he was like, gets his hands on the football.
26:26I was like, okay. But what about all the other stuff?
26:29And so I do think that also is going to inflate his contract a bit.
26:33Just ball production. And I think he's a good player.
26:36But, yeah. I think you raised some good points.
26:39Like, look. I think if Dean stays healthy... Elliott coming back is a big deal, too.
26:44I still feel pretty good about my top 10 defense take.
26:47If you can tell me that Brisker and Dean are going to be healthy...
26:51I think this is just the sheer talent alone in the front and the back end.
26:56But those are big ifs, right? Brisker played every snap last year.
27:00Before that, he's been in big injury question. So maybe it's trending in the right direction.
27:05Dean will get hurt four times this season with minor injuries.
27:08Your two teams. I know. He was so good last year, too.
27:12Yeah. All right. Let's do the Bengals. The Cincinnati Bengals, who...
27:15It's funny. When I did them in top 10 offenses, I was like, Do we even have to talk about this?
27:21What's there to talk about? It's the same. This is...
27:24It's good. It's great. It's... The dish you keep ordering at the restaurant because you know it's good and you're not going
27:31to be adventurous and it tastes the same every time.
27:34And then this offseason, we start hearing rumblings. No, this is going to be a...
27:38They're changing this offense. Talked about this earlier in the week.
27:42Preseason, they come out and they are very clearly trying to rep Joe Burrow under center.
27:46And I went back and forth with some Bengals fans about this because they were like, Well, that's just the preseason.
27:53And I was like, Yeah, because they're practicing it for the regular season.
27:57And also, if you go back and you look at Joe Burrow's comments from this offseason, it's obviously a part...
28:03It doesn't mean they're going to be the Rams or whatever, but...
28:06Or the Bears. But I ain't going to be 31st in under center right.
28:11I feel pretty confident saying that. The reason they're doing it, of course, is that as efficient as they were last two
28:17years when Burrow's played, they have not been particularly explosive.
28:20So I want to start by asking you what you think about that premise, which is this idea that Joe Burrow needs
28:27to be under center more for this offense to be more explosive.
28:30And also, it's not just a button you could smash and say, Cool, under center, boom, play action.
28:36The whole thing has to work together. Do we think that's something this unit is capable of?
28:41Do we think they have the players to execute it?
28:44What are your general takes on this potential tweak?
28:47Generally speaking, I agree that those are good ways to move.
28:50When you look at the league as a whole, the league is moving in that direction.
28:55The league's moving under center, under center dropbacks, under center play action, all these kinds of things are where the league's moving and certainly where...
29:02Now, that'll change again in a few years. I don't know how many people are out there.
29:07I was just talking with the NFC South on my podcast, and we're talking about whether Bryce Young can actually play the
29:14way Joe Burrow's been playing, even as Joe Burrow moves away from that or tries to move away, again, tries to move
29:21away from that to go under center and be more in this world, where the biggest benefit to me is that the
29:27multiplicity of how you look pre-snap and then what you can do in the run game off of that.
29:33To me, run game is all about diversity of scheme.
29:36You don't have that much scheme diversity when you're playing spread all the time.
29:40You just don't have much. When you're in the gun playing spread all the time, there's not as much that you can
29:47do in terms of how different your ways you're going to look.
29:50So you become way more attackable. Now, it's true that maybe teams won't send as much pressure when you're in spread looks
29:57because they have to account for more bodies outside the core of the formation.
30:01However, you're definitely limiting the amount of things you can get to offensively, and that really impacts the run game more than anything else.
30:08You don't have as much menu in the run game just because of those things.
30:13One of the big questions that they've got to be able to answer at this point is, are they able to build
30:19a diverse run game that complements Joe Burrow and even can be in certain games a thing that carries and produces real tangible offense for them?
30:27Or is it just going to be a button they put every so couple plays to basically throw off the scent of their passing attack?
30:35That, to me, isn't probably good enough in the NFL in 2026.
30:38So it's less about the pass game to me, although I think there could be benefits there, and more about does it
30:45open up anything for them to lean on in the run game?
30:49Yeah, I talked about Joe Burrow commenting on them needing to be more explosive.
30:53The one who really sounds excited about this, quotes-wise, is Chase Brown, their running back, who I think is a good back.
30:59And he's been efficient. Obviously, he gets to run into an F-ton of light boxes, but he's not been explosive.
31:05And he has said, I prefer to be, I want to be under center.
31:10Let's mix it up a little bit, guys. The funny thing is they got the Bucs week one, and assuming Vita Veya
31:16plays, it's actually a defense where you're probably better off spreading things around and throwing it around the yard on, right?
31:23So I'll be interested. It's possible that this little Bengals transformation or whatever, it might not actually look, you know what I mean?
31:29Like week one from an opponent standpoint, we might not see it.
31:33The other thing I'm curious about with them is whether they continue to lean into the two tight ends, which they really
31:40did at a high rate when Joe Burrow came back.
31:43I was kind of shocked how, and some of that was Teegan's missing a little bit of action, but 40%, just crazy.
31:49And they were really bad at it. Again, this is with Burrow back.
31:53Negative 0.1 EPA per play, negative 0.16 passing. Some of that had to do with some interceptions.
31:58So there was clearly a priority to do that, but it was not where they were best.
32:03So one thing I think it's worth noting is when they did play two tight ends last year, they faced very little base defenses.
32:11Deems did not respect them on the ground. Actually, the fourth lowest rate in the NFL, even lower than the Chiefs, which looks kind of a shocker.
32:19Eric All coming back from injury is fascinating to me in this regard.
32:23Because in 2024, as a rookie season, when he did play, they were very good with two tight ends on the field.
32:29Because he actually, unlike Gusecki, he's a glorified slot.
32:32He has that all-around skill set that you kind of have to have if you actually want to make teams respect you
32:39with two tight ends and respect the run. And he can do it.
32:42So thinking about Bengals and what would move the needle for them this year, other than we know Chase and Higgins, we
32:49don't have to talk about them, that to me, he is a player to monitor John as someone who could potentially give them a changeup.
32:57No doubt. And this is why I love coming on your podcast because I know we can talk about Eric All and
33:03I can not feel strange about that. It's huge.
33:06And whether, who wins? Eric All or Mike Gusecki?
33:09Because, you know, Oli and I talk about this a lot.
33:12The tight end being sort of the linchpin for how you want to play offensively.
33:16Not necessarily your ceiling offensively, but how many different ways can you play?
33:20And who plays at tight end determines how you want to play and how many different things you can get to in the course of a game.
33:28And I think for the Bengals, I kind of thought, okay, Eric All's back.
33:33They want to go under center more. Is this mean Mike Gusecki is going to get traded?
33:38Is he gone? And maybe this stuff that still happens.
33:41Who knows? But they've just decided to keep everybody at this point.
33:44So we'll see how it shakes out and who gets to play and how healthy.
33:49Obviously, his health has been a massive question mark going back to college.
33:53But if he's able to play a lot, yeah, he and Drew Sample would be a nice start kind of to some
33:59of that 12 personnel stuff that you're talking about in terms of making people respect you in the run game.
34:05You have to prove it if you're Cincinnati. That isn't going to happen for you.
34:10You've not been that type of team. And teams are going to question your commitment to wanting to be that type of team.
34:17And they'll make you be that type of team until your quarterback buys in too.
34:21That's the other thing. You can be that type of team and have mild success and lose a couple games.
34:27And Joe Burrow is going to be like, I'm out.
34:30Let's go back to what we were doing before.
34:33Teams are just going to force you to win that way over and over again until they prove probably half through half
34:40a season that they can win that way. So it's big questions.
34:43I think they still have enough talent to kind of get by and be good offense.
34:48I'll be fascinated to see what it looks like at midseason and where everybody's head's at kind of with the whole thing, assuming everybody can stay healthy, obviously.
34:56So yeah, it's probably one of the more fascinating things to watch once the regular season starts around the league right now.
35:03Totally. Bagels offensive line, also great continuity. I've been riding the or blowing the horn on the Bagels offensive line.
35:09It's actually fine now because I feel like that narrative of them being awful just stuck after Joe Burrow's early success.
35:15And everyone just kind of kept saying that. I believe that.
35:19However, didn't love seeing Orlando Brown Jr. get smoked in the preseason like that.
35:23That one's because... And I don't think he was...
35:26I do think he played fine last year at the end of the year.
35:30But I did love... That's something I'm monitoring because I didn't love seeing that.
35:34Well, it was Brown and Reisner. It was like, we just started to believe, guys.
35:39And you're going to come out here in the first couple of reps and have some ugly plays.
35:44So I think Fairchild is on his way to being a good player.
35:48I liked him in the pre-draft process too. Ted Karras is solid at center.
35:52You know, there's going to be physical battles that get him.
35:55But, you know, generally speaking, you take him over most center play in the league.
36:00Chargers would kill for this guy right now. You know, I think even the rookie depth, I'm really intrigued about Connor Liu.
36:06Yeah. And when... Not that it'll be this season, hopefully.
36:09And then Mims could be one of the better ascending right tackles in the league right now.
36:15So, you know, I think there are questions. It's not an elite group, but it's a group with less weaknesses.
36:21This is a weak link position group, I think, in general.
36:24Like offensive line, we're usually talking about how low the floor is for specific players rather than, oh, you have two guys with an elite ceiling.
36:32Yeah, but if the other three suck, you're probably still bad.
36:35So I think the fact that this group doesn't have anybody like that right now makes me feel better, especially considering the direction they're going offensively.
36:43I think that can be really helpful to them too.
36:46If there are more under center dropbacks or things like that, that could maybe be helpful to them as well.
36:52So it's a group in general offensively I feel pretty good about.
36:55And if they did have to pivot and go back to how they played in the past, they probably could still find moderate success.
37:03But because of where the defense has been at, they've had to be like the most elite offense in the entire league
37:09in order to have any semblance of success. So hopefully that changes this year too.
37:14I do wonder, by the way, if they have to hold on to Gesicki in part because they need T.
37:20Higgins insurance. I mean, this is just a completely different offense when he's off the field and he's struggled to stay on for the full season.
37:28So, all right, well, you mentioned the defense. Let's get to it.
37:31Bigger changes here. Up front, particularly, Boye Mafé is in.
37:34Dexter Lawrence, the biggest, literally the biggest change in the NFL maybe.
37:38Jonathan Allen, they drafted Cassius Howell. Linebacker remains the same.
37:41Get to that. And then on the back end, you had DJ Turner and Dex Hill breakout last season as actually like
37:47one of the better quarterback duos in football. Safety was an issue.
37:51So they went out and they signed a competent veteran safety, Brian Cook from Kansas City.
37:56They also had Kyle Dagger who made a couple of nice little plays in the, caught my eye, the preseason.
38:02All right. So I'm just going to start with my 30,000 foot take and I want you to, I think this team
38:08is going to be much better in pass defense.
38:11We don't have to, well, the numbers are interesting.
38:14The FTN Almanac, I was curious, Aaron mentioned this to me.
38:17So I read about it. Like they were way better in the second half of the season, but FTN, according to the
38:24research, teams that improve in the second half rarely stick.
38:27Like that improvement. However, they also added a lot of players.
38:30So I do think that can mitigate that to some degree.
38:33All right. Yeah. They were 32nd DVO in the first half, 13th, the second half.
38:38Ooh. So we can talk about that, but I genuinely, my premise is this, and I want to run this by you.
38:45I think this is going to be a much better pass defense.
38:48I really do. You can't add that much talent up front.
38:51You know, Mafei is not a star, but he's a good player.
38:55They added a lot of good players. I kind of like Ashton Howell too.
38:59Dexter Lawrence is a stud. The backend corners are awesome.
39:02We'll get to that. Cook is, he's a player.
39:05He's a veteran. He's, he's a solid player. However, I do think the run defense is still going to be a major issue.
39:12This was a team that could not tackle to save their life.
39:15And I do worry. Cook helps, but I do really feel worried that at some point they're going to regret not upgrading at linebacker.
39:23It's a huge question mark because Al Golden has shown us kind of who he wants to be, right?
39:28If there was ever a defensive mind that was going to lean into blitzing and sending people and trying to be confusing
39:35and all this stuff, it would have been last year's Al Golden, right?
39:39When he just didn't have the horses at all.
39:42So at least go down swinging. Nope. One of the lowest blitz rates in the entire league, one of the lowest, obviously
39:48pressure rates as a result of that in the entire league, but they just didn't send them.
39:53And they're not going to probably this year either because they went out and they said they did all the things that
40:00a team that's not going to send them will do in the offseason.
40:04They added tons of talent to their defensive front, said we need guys that are going to win 1v1s.
40:10We have hardly anybody right now. So they went out and they added Boy Mafe.
40:14They added Cassius Howell in the draft. They added Dexter Lawrence in a trade.
40:18They got Jonathan Allen in here. They basically said everybody who's playing snaps for us next year, like we want you to
40:25we want to have at least other options from you, if not just pure upgrades.
40:29So now we see right Shamar Stewart, Biles Murphy.
40:32These guys will still play. They will still be a part of their plans, but they are not putting all their eggs in that basket.
40:40They have basically failed so badly through the draft to draft defensively that they've had no choice but to go out and
40:46be the biggest spenders on defense in the offseason.
40:49Could that work? Probably to a degree. There's some teams of raising the floor from worst defense in the league to better than that.
40:56I agree with you because now they have guys that actually can win as a pass rusher up front when they do decide not to send everybody.
41:04There are two big questions to me. Dexter Lawrence, is he elite Dexter Lawrence or is he just good Dexter Lawrence?
41:11Because if he's elite Dexter Lawrence, now it's to every play and everybody else has 1v1s.
41:15In this defensive system, that will matter a lot because they're all looking for 1v1s.
41:20That's what they're trying to create. So they may sim, but they're simming to get to 1v1s up front.
41:26So if Lawrence can change the math, it helps everybody else be able to eat.
41:30The other question is, because this is not a defensive coordinator who's going to send them and use your linebackers as weapons,
41:37Demetrius Knight and Barrett Carter have to make a lot of plays in space.
41:41And let me tell you, last year, they were two of the worst space linebackers I've ever watched.
41:46So second year for both of them. Now, Knight's older as a rookie.
41:50So is this the year it comes together? Are they a little bit better?
41:54Maybe there's moments, you know, but those guys have to basically be able to do that in space.
42:00And because they couldn't last year, it allowed tons of yak against these guys and they just got killed by underneath stuff.
42:06So that has to be better this season. I, um, Blanc said, I really like when teams build their linebacking groups by
42:13putting a rookie next to a veteran or a young player, you know, like I just, I can't have two rookies and
42:20they, and the Bengals were left with no choice because their veterans were washed, completely washed.
42:24Wilson, right? But I, the bet that these two, at least one of them makes it leave.
42:30It's a bet, man. They also made a big bet.
42:33I just pulled this up because I want, I want to get the draft picks right.
42:37Cassius Howell was pick 41. Jacob Rodrigues was pick 43 and Josiah Trotter was pick 46.
42:42So that's something if either of those two players, um, looks awesome this season, I have to think that's one that might be talked about.
42:50And I like Howell. So maybe he is impactful and it doesn't matter, but that's just something to monitor there.
42:56I, I was surprised they didn't add a veteran, um, linebacker, you know, just, and it doesn't have to be one of
43:02the, you know, they need to go get Levin Lloyd, but they're, I was surprised they didn't try to add someone.
43:09Um, I will say though, if this offense is as good as it should be, and it should be top eight minimum, right?
43:16They might from a game script perspective, it might not matter that much.
43:19Um, in part because like you, we talked, you talked about it in the front is completely revamped and the backend should be quite good.
43:27I mean, or at least better. Um, the cornerback duo, I, one of the great splits in terms of teams attacking defenses
43:34was at the bangles where hold on. I pulled this cause it was made me laugh.
43:38They were third and DVOA versus receiver split wide last year and 32nd versus tight ends and 31st versus running backs.
43:45I love it when you can just tell the story of a team through like splits like that, right?
43:50That's great. Every offense on earth knew who to attack and who to avoid because the corners were awesome.
43:56DJ Turner and Dax Hill. Like they, they, they've really Dax, uh, after cam Taylor Britt got hurt, they, they had him play full-time outside.
44:04DJ Turner was excellent. Really, really a talented young duo and cook again, really does help shore up what was a massive,
44:10massive problem last year with this defense. So I do think this defense should be good against the past, but my concern
44:17is like, what happens when you play Buffalo? You know, like, I don't know.
44:21What happens when you play Baltimore? I, you know, you're in your own division.
44:25We'll get to them in a second. So I just, I feel like this defense is better.
44:30The past defense is going to be better, but I just do worry that there's still a glaring weakness.
44:36That's all. Better for sure. Um, the depth is still don't look, just don't close your eyes, uh, type stuff.
44:42But I really like Brian cook for them. Uh, I like somebody who can buzz down and erase the middle of the
44:49field with pure, pure speed at that position. Obviously, as you mentioned, they really need that.
44:54He'll run the alley and hit people. Um, Jordan battle will a hundred percent do that.
44:58Not a great athlete, not exactly a playmaker necessarily, but smart player communicator will run the eye and hit people.
45:04You need to be able to play from depth and tackle in this defense.
45:09Obviously that was a big weakness in the past.
45:11Still feel really tough about the, on the depth, like I said, but maybe to cardio Davis could give you a decent third, fourth option, a corner.
45:19Eventually the rookie third rounder. I thought he was overdrafted.
45:22Josh Newton kind of disappointed last year when he played.
45:25I thought, um, Turner could be a star. Uh, and if you can take the ball away, that would help obviously their defense a lot.
45:33Um, they kind of, them and the bears were the slowest time to pressure teams in the league, meaning that like took
45:39them forever to pressure the quarterback, but the bears like led the league in turnovers.
45:44And then there was the Bengals. So they, if they are going to be even a little bit better there and they
45:51get some takeaways, that would help them quite a bit.
45:54And I think they've raised their ceiling and ability to do that.
45:57So it's, it's an improved group for sure. But, uh, you know, and I think that that will be enough for them
46:04to, yeah, well, I'll save my prediction for how they're going to finish in this division, but they should be, as long
46:10as Burrow's healthy again, I think they will be back in the mix.
46:14Take a quick break and come back. Talk about the team.
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47:35All right, we're back. Talking, of course, about the Browns.
47:38No, I'm just kidding. The Ravens. Let's flip it and start with the defense.
47:42Here. I assume you watched the Ravens. Eagles preseason game or at least some of it.
47:47This is why I want to start here. Jesse Vinter.
47:50Just came out guns blazing in the breeze. This is to be one of the funniest tapes because I just didn't.
47:56There were a few defensive coordinators who just decided to go YOLO and some of them were like completely unsurprising.
48:02Of course, Brian Flores is going to britz the hell out of Jackson.
48:06But I did not foresee Jesse Vinter deciding to turn it the F up in the preseason with his defense.
48:12And that's without the starters. I've been very optimistic about this Ravens defense.
48:16But that to me raised some interesting questions, which is not only do they have some really cool depth that I thought you saw in that game.
48:24There might be some little tweaks to this defense scheme wise from what we saw with L.A.
48:29And I'm not trying to read too much into a preseason game, but I guess let's just start from the top line.
48:36Do you share my enthusiasm for this Ravens defense anticipating that they bounce back in a pretty big way?
48:41I don't know. And that seems like a really cop out answer, but it depends so much on two players, three players.
48:48Who are the hinges for you? I mean, Nandi Matabuike coming back from what some thought was a career ending neck injury.
48:54Is he anywhere close to the same player? Because I think that that's really important for them.
49:00Clayus Campbell is still a helpful player. Travis Jones is really good, especially for a nose tackle as a rusher.
49:06But if you're talking about difference makers, he needs to be that.
49:09Trey Anderson played 26% of snaps. He's older. Last season, he played 26% of snaps.
49:14He has these back slash core muscle, all these kinds of injuries.
49:17Are those truly a thing in the past for him?
49:20Is he able to be peak Trey Hendrickson that we saw two years ago?
49:25Is that the same player? And then Mike Green, I think, is the other player who just – because there's nothing outside Hendrickson on the edge.
49:32There's nothing in terms of pass rush ability right now.
49:35Does Mike Green get better in year two after this massively disappointing rookie season?
49:40Is that better? Is he a Zion young guy?
49:42I'm not a Zion young guy. So I don't necessarily think that he's going to give them the pass rush.
49:48He might be an okay player as part of the group.
49:52But I think the only – He's good against the run.
49:55Yeah, get against the run. Maybe some phone boost.
49:58Maybe he can kick inside. Maybe he can be a situational, like rotational piece.
50:02But I don't think he has the upside to give you the type of pass rush you need that maybe Green can provide and Matabuike can provide.
50:10So the big thing for the Ravens for years has been the pass rush not being good enough.
50:15I give them credit for going out and making a lot of moves to make it a priority and address it.
50:22But there are still a lot of question marks here, as there are when a team's trying to fix something that's been a weakness for a long time.
50:30Rarely do you just like crush it in one fell swoop.
50:33But there's a lot of questions here still going into the year.
50:37That will determine how good they are to me.
50:40I know there's other players you probably have questions about fulcrums-wise.
50:43But to go back to Matabuike, I agree, right?
50:46If he's 80% and above, you're feeling pretty damn good.
50:49Top 10 D tackle in the league. And Travis Jones is really good.
50:53Like Klai Scampbell will still give you good reps.
50:55I think, though, this connects to what I was saying earlier about the preseason.
50:59I swear to God, I'm not trying to read too much.
51:03What if Jesse Minter leans into chaos? That was just, you know what I mean?
51:07Because he comes from L.A., very high simulated pressure rate, which Baltimore, of course, has used this Mike McDonald.
51:13He's a Mike McDonald tree guy. Team that didn't blitz a lot.
51:17Had a lot of success when they would put the three pass rushers on the field and kick Tully inside, which I
51:23think they could do with maybe Tavius Robinson or Zion Young.
51:27But, like, what if this isn't just a, hey, let's get four.
51:30Let's get pressure with four team. Like, what if this isn't a front that is more Flores-y?
51:35Like, what if the change up here, understanding that they have a very strong defensive tackle group, is finding ways to get
51:42one-on-ones for Trey Hendrickson with simulated pressures or overloads?
51:45What if he's finding ways to not just send Kyle Hamilton, but some of these other second and third level defenders?
51:51I just, I was talking to Solak about this, too.
51:54Again, Jesse Mentor defense, we think, ton of zone.
51:57But what if he looks at this group and is like, hey, I've got the best man big nickel in the league in Hamilton.
52:04I have Wiggins, who's a press man corner. What if I actually change things up a little bit?
52:09I don't know. I just kind of, I was not convinced of that, but after I was thinking it through a little
52:16bit more, he has the pieces here, I think, to evolve his defense a little way, I think, in ways that could be interesting.
52:23Because I think while there are questions with guys coming in from injury and there's some aging players, Roquan Smith and Marlon
52:30Humphrey that we've got to talk about, there is enough talent here for him to try some different things on defense from what we've seen.
52:37Definitely enough talent for that. I think it would require like a little bit of a skill set change for some of the guys.
52:44But you mentioned Hamilton. That's a great starting point, right?
52:47I mean, one of the moves I like that went under the radar, I think, was adding Jalen Hawkins.
52:53I love this. Okay. You knew what I was going to say.
52:57I love this. Yes. Talk about it. I think he just gives you something you were missing defensively a little bit.
53:03And that almost everybody nowadays, I think, you want to have three safeties.
53:07Certainly, Mentor wants to have one. And it's especially helpful if one of your safeties has this really versatile skill set, which Kyle Hamilton does.
53:14So if you want to play him down, you have the option to play him down.
53:19But you don't want to be so predictable that he's going to go down all the time and the other guy's going
53:26to, you know, Malachi Starks in this case is just going to be sitting there high.
53:31You also probably feel like Malachi Starks, who I thought had better, some better corner traits, honestly, than safety traits in some ways.
53:38Because you also probably want to move him around and do some things with him.
53:42So enter when you have a guy who can play some linebacker, and like Kyle Hamilton can and can play on the
53:49edge, can play a lot of different roles. You get the opportunity to, like, have a guy back there as opposed to
53:55safety that can be sort of a rangy, ball hockey, cover type of guy that keeps the lid on everything, can make
54:02some plays on the ball while you do the fun stuff with the other guys up front.
54:07And yet he's not, like, totally deficient when you want to change it up with him every once in a while also.
54:14But for certain packages and looks, for Minter specifically, you need a guy like Hawkins.
54:18So I love that addition. I think that opens up some.
54:21Could we see Malachi Starks used in a different role this season because of that, at least in front of a few snaps?
54:28That'd be pretty fun. Do they have optionality if Marlon Humphries just cooked or he just is injured again?
54:34Could they put somebody else in the slot? That would be interesting, too.
54:38So there's just more ways they can play. See, I thought Marlon Humphries looked better outside last year than he did in the slot.
54:45So if you have Kyle Hamilton as your big nickel, then you can kick Humphries outside opposite Wiggins.
54:51Again, it's like a matchup thing, right? But even having those types of options puts the Ravens in pretty unusual territory.
54:57I mean, between Hawkins, Starks, and Hamilton, that's a pretty talented group of safeties.
55:01And like you said, Hawkins also brings a lot of Brazil.
55:04You saw that in New England, too. So yeah, I think Jesse Minter really has some interesting tools at his disposal here.
55:11You know, Hamilton gets compared to James a lot, right?
55:14Derwin James. But I think outside of him, this is a better group now and helps cover up for deficiencies at linebacker, right?
55:21Because I don't think Roquan's cooks. I really don't.
55:24I think he doesn't take on the run the way that he used to and doesn't have quite the same sideline to sideline speed.
55:31I think he's still a very smart player. He's still decent in coverage.
55:35The numbers back that up, but outside of him, it's thin.
55:38So I think just being able to live in big nickel, which should be the base for this team, is really helpful.
55:45I don't know. I think they're just talented. You know, there's questions.
55:48Like I said, you know, Awuzie would technically be your corner opposite, you know, rather than kicking Humphrey outside.
55:54Second linebacker. Right. And then much does hinge on two aging players in Hendrickson and Matabuike.
55:59But I just generally think part of the reason I have optimism is those aging players that I mentioned, all of them,
56:05they're not like being asked to carry an entire group.
56:08Like Travis Jones and Clace Campbell are really good.
56:11You know, so the rest of the secondary is really good with Humphrey.
56:15So I feel really good. I also feel really good about Jesse Minter, who was my pick for the coach of the year.
56:22I just think that dude has it. Yeah. Something about seeing those Ravens back guys come out and come flying.
56:28God, there was like a corner. Do you remember his name?
56:31You, you, Keon something? Was it Chandler? Did Chandler Rivers?
56:34No. Is that who you were thinking of? Not the nickel.
56:38Uh, Keon Martin. Oh, Keon Martin. Keon Martin. Holy mackerel.
56:41Oh, that dude was playing his ass off. That game.
56:44They got some crazy dudes. Minter's guys are always going to play crazy.
56:47And that's where I come back to Humphrey. And I think the biggest thing you have to be able to fly around.
56:54You have to be able to tackle in this defense.
56:57It's like so critical because they're going to drop and play in space a lot and they're not going to play man to man necessarily all the time.
57:05So you got to be able to come up and tackle people.
57:09Cam Hart, Tarheeb, still you think of these guys like those aren't household names, but they tackled and they flew around and
57:16they wanted to play some physical ball. And, you know, I think Humphrey's got to be able to tackle and that's going to be the biggest thing.
57:24It tackle numbers have fallen off the athleticism to Wayne.
57:27So that'll be my big question with him moving forward.
57:30The Ravens offense to me is a bigger mystery here.
57:33Um, not just from the Declan Doyle, everybody's new play caller.
57:36He's 29 years old. He comes from Chicago. The assumption and we've seen, you know, Lamar didn't play in the preseason, but
57:43Mar's going to be in her center. It's going to look more like Chicago wide zone play action.
57:48All that jazz. Fine. Right. Who's going to be on the field?
57:52That's what I want to know. Cause this is a team that has used.
57:5611 personnel, three wide receivers, like the lowest rate in football or close to it.
58:00Patrick Hart is gone. Isaiah likely is gone. What it like, what personnel groupings is the Ravens offense in 2026 going to measure in?
58:08Do they love Jacoby Lane, the rookie phenom so much that he gets on the field with Zay Flowers and Rashad Bateman
58:14is a Matthew Hibner, the tight end who's been flashing.
58:17Can he play credibly next to Marcus, Mark, Mark Andrews?
58:20Do they like two backs? I genuinely don't know, John, because there's so much change.
58:25And that's what we'll get to the offensive line in a second.
58:28But that just purely talking about the skill players.
58:31I don't I the Ravens. You could set and forget it.
58:3421 this percent 12. I don't know what this Ravens offense is going to look like right now.
58:40Yeah, very hard to tell based on looking at their group.
58:43You would just think, OK, Mark Andrews, there's no way you're counting him to play 100 percent of snaps the way that
58:50his career is kind of going at this point.
58:52Germs might as a block only guy who was like a tight end three.
58:57And I know it was a good room last year for the Bears, but he brought over.
59:02He knows, obviously, the Declan Doyle, like what Declan Doyle wants to do.
59:06So he's brought over some of that. He's going to play.
59:09But a lot kind of hinges on Matt Hibner, who has had a pretty good pretty pretty good offseason so far.
59:15I'm very intrigued by him. I mean, could it be like we get like 15 tight ends from this class that have
59:22like good years just because they're playing, even if their individual skill sets aren't amazing?
59:26It is it is back to the question we said before.
59:30The linchpin of how you want to play offensively or how many different ways you can play offensively is defined a lot
59:36by what you do with the tight end position.
59:39And they're in position to do a lot in the run game, maybe with the tight end position.
59:44Is that going to be good, though? And how much does Mark Andrews contribute to that?
59:49A lot of people have thought Mark Andrews would be long gone by now in Baltimore, that his tenure was over and
59:56they've continued to say, no, we want you back.
59:59We want you back. We want you back. Is he want to buy into this role and have a career renaissance, you
60:05know, kind of late in the game here would be very interesting to see.
60:09I think that they are still going to play a lot of 12 personnel.
60:14But I agree with you that even though he coming coming from this Ben Johnson space, we're like, obviously, they use a lot of 12 personnel.
60:21Yeah, I would agree with you. They haven't really built the roster in a way that makes you think, oh, clearly this
60:28team's going to be like heavy personnel, 12 personnel to every team.
60:32And they have all these young wideouts they like.
60:34So maybe Declan Doyle is going to zig, whereas the guy that he worked with before is ag.
60:40I don't know. Are you buying the... Jacoby Lane is got to be one of the more hyped rookies in recent history.
60:46And obviously he looked awesome. But, you know, it's a preseason.
60:50It's an interesting group, right? So if he is...
60:52Because Rashad Bateman is the ex, has been the ex in this offense.
60:56Zay Flowers, they move around, just got paid. Lane would hypothetically be competing with Bateman.
61:01That's... It's... I mean, like, do you... Try to get all three of those in the field?
61:06Or is there another player that you want in the mix?
61:09I imagine that would be your one, two, three.
61:12I don't even know how you would necessarily configure it, though.
61:15Bateman, by the way, I did see had some comments about how he's being moved around a bit more, which is something that intrigued me personally.
61:23Because I actually think that could serve him well to be more in the slot, for example.
61:28I think everybody's going to move around. That's my guess here.
61:31I am really torn on this one because Jacoby Lane, I thought, had crazy talent when I watched him in the pre-draft process.
61:38But he was so inconsistent. He dropped the ball all the time.
61:42He would mess up routes. He would get in, like, these...
61:45It was kind of Pickens-esque. I think that was who I talked about him being, like, compared to pre-draft.
61:51But without, like, enough of the high-end stuff, I think there were games where you'd be like, oh my gosh, this guy's, like, unbelievable.
61:58I thought he was way more talented. I mean, some of the catches were crazy.
62:03But, like, there was definitely, like, a lot of inconsistencies.
62:06And I found myself frustrated by him, like, not seeming to always know the routes and, you know, just sort of some of those things.
62:13So, talent-wise, if they can get him to buy in, obviously, that would be huge because I think he's got a ton of talent.
62:20I really liked Elijah Surratt for all the reasons I didn't really like Jacoby Lane.
62:25And he's had a good preseason, too. That's just been kind of over...
62:29It's like the Casey Conception-Boston thing I'm sure we'll get to in a little bit where, like, who's having the better preseason?
62:35You know, I think, obviously, in this case, Lane has gotten more buzz.
62:39But Surratt's played pretty well, too. And so, I am really interested in what he brings to the offense.
62:45I would rather see those guys play than Devontae's Walker.
62:48We'll see how it shakes out in the season.
62:51Zay Flowers and Bateman are probably going to be your top two.
62:54But again, if you want to play 11, I would be really interested in this.
62:59Also, if you want to play 11, but you kind of want to do a little 12 stuff, is Elijah Surratt helpful to you?
63:06Like, he's a bigger body. He's a big dude across the board.
63:10Yeah. That's a huge receiving group. Maybe Lane blocks for you.
63:13Anyway, I think it's going to be pretty fascinating to see what they decide to do with this personnel.
63:19I mean, I was going back and watching some Ravens reps.
63:22And just like, Patrick Ricard was so fundamental to this offense.
63:25Kind of crazy. They have a Lucas Scott as their pullback.
63:29But yeah, the line we should address because that's the news of the day.
63:33Danny Pinter was in line to start. He was carted off today.
63:36They did sign Ethan Posich, who is still recovering from Achilles, but is on track to play.
63:42That signing now looks to be pretty key. He tackles a strength.
63:45They revamped the guard position, drafting Vanga Ioane, which is the chalkiest pick of the NFL draft.
63:50And then they brought back old friend John Simpson, who had a bit of a down year last year, but has been,
63:57you know, at least a reliable veteran guard. You know, the center obviously is concerning because we just, Posich is coming off of the injury.
64:04I tend not to be terribly worried. I mean, we haven't even talked about Lamar Jackson, but I kind of felt like
64:11last year, the fact that he took a million sacks had a lot more to do with Lamar Jackson than anything and his health.
64:18And if he's healthy, I don't, I'm not too worried about the interior of this offensive line.
64:23Yeah, I'm worried about it, but I agree with you that it's probably in a better place than it was last year
64:30because I think the guard play was so bad last year that there's no way you can be as bad this year.
64:36Ioane is going to have growing pains of a rookie probably, although I feel really good about him.
64:42I absolutely loved him as a prospect. You know, if it is Posich, which it seems like it is at this point
64:49now, there's real limitations there, you know, even from an evaluation perspective, just how they might want to play.
64:54Like, I just don't know that he's that guy.
64:57If you look at the guys who now assuming the offense is going to be similar to what the run schemes have
65:04looked like in the past, that athleticism at this position has been really valuable.
65:08And I don't know that in year 11 coming off injuries, he's kind of declined from being that guy.
65:13And he already has like a different body type too.
65:16So questions there. And then John Simpson's a mauler.
65:19He definitely can catch people at times and you like things about him and the temperament that he brings to.
65:25One of those guys they probably feel never should have left in the first place just because of the mentality of the player.
65:32There are physical limitations, athletic limitations here too. Definitely a phone booth type player.
65:36So I think that they're probably not amazing, but they should be better than last year.
65:41I know people, some people are really high on Linderbaum and think that's just like a loss they can't get over.
65:47I actually don't think Linderbaum was that great last year in pass protection.
65:51And I think ultimately your scheme is, I probably have a little bit of a different opinion on Linderbaum.
65:57I think he's a fine player and there's things he can really help you with in the run game.
66:03But in terms of your drop back offense, I don't think that's going to be the biggest loss in the world.
66:09At the same time, I don't think that they upgraded to like stars yet either.
66:14So I think it'll be a group that's okay, but probably we're still asking questions about and maybe aren't quite on the level.
66:20Now, I will say this. If the offense is similar in terms of the pass game designs to what Ben Johnson ran
66:27in Chicago, that group has helped out a lot.
66:30So we'll see if it ends up being similar.
66:32Yeah, I think that's what I'm interested in seeing.
66:35Like if they come out, we see that under center zone blocking offense that we all expect.
66:40How does this group play together? What does it look like?
66:44I think the tackles can certainly execute that. That's where you obviously would have liked Linderbaum more so than the drop back game.
66:51The Ravens have been really good at that, even as though their offense has been...
66:55It's been a lot of things in Lamar Jackson's time.
66:58But when they have executed the under center zone blocking stuff, it's looked fine.
67:02Derek Henry's not as efficient as he's been at times in his career, but I don't think showed any meaningful signs of
67:09decline to the point where you start to worry about it.
67:12So I think, you know, I don't want to brush over the Lamar down year because I just...
67:18And I don't want to say, well, he was hurt and let's write that all off.
67:22But like so much of it was because he wasn't moving well.
67:26Like the sacks, the lack of escapability, the unwillingness to run, the way it changed, the way defense is played.
67:32So he seems perfectly healthy. He has been around this offseason, which is different.
67:36So I don't want to like look at this with two rose-colored glasses because like I said, there's a lot of moving
67:43pieces in this offense, a lot of unknowns. But if Jackson is back to even like 80% of what he was in 2024, it's going to be fine.
67:51Jackson's had a different offensive coordinator two other times in his career where it changed.
67:56Do you know what happened those seasons? He won MVP in 2019, his first year with Greg Roman.
68:01He won MVP in 2023, his first year with Todd Munkin.
68:04This offense also is great for him. Like I've been doing, can Jalen Hurts do it?
68:09Can Jane Daniels do it? Like everybody, you know, talking about because everyone's moving in this direction.
68:14We already know he can do it. Lamar, he's great at throwing.
68:18He's an incredible play action quarterback. He's incredible at throwing over the middle of the field.
68:23He's incredible. I'm not worried about that. You're exactly right on that.
68:26That's a key point, I think. He's like the most adaptable quarterback in the league and nobody talks about that.
68:32Why do we not talk? I mean, he is truly, no matter what system you put him in, no matter what you
68:39ask him, he figures it out and he plays it not just a good level, an MVP level.
68:44I have no reason to believe that won't happen if he's healthy again this season.
68:49So I could not feel better about Lamar. Especially the middle of the field aspect.
68:53Like those are his best throws in his arsenal.
68:56So going back to college. Yeah. So a lot of moving parts there.
69:00New coordinator. Could look a little bit wonky at first as the offensive line, you know, the center's coming back like right where it's easing.
69:08We'll see how that goes. But I think it should be fine.
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71:49For more information, see Kalshi.com slash regulatory. All right, let's finish with the Browns.
71:53I spent a decent amount of time on the offense on Tuesday because this is the quarterback competition.
71:59I guess we could start there. I just can't fathom getting horribly worked up.
72:03I can tell you're excited about this. Well, I'm just thinking TV segments where people are like, it has to be this.
72:09I'm like, who? Not who cares. But I can't fathom having a strong emotion about this.
72:14Yeah. And I'm with you. I don't have one either.
72:17You know, I think Shador probably throws a little bit better than Watson at this point.
72:22I'd rather see him. Yeah. No. Because if Watson plays well, what happens?
72:26What happens? You have to sign him. There's no point.
72:29He's not going to play. There's no point. And even Watson playing well at this point is like him getting the ball
72:35out quickly and being like a point guard. Because you saw in the preseason game, he looks the same that he did before the injury.
72:43He's not going to push the ball down the field.
72:46You can see him passing up throws that he made earlier in his career.
72:50So maybe it's more efficient. Maybe it looks a little better.
72:53Maybe the ball comes out fast. Fine. But like, what's the point?
72:57I agree. Not much point. And I don't know that either of these guys are going to be the answer long term.
73:04I mean, obviously, Watson won't be. I don't believe that Sanders is either.
73:08So I don't think it's so much lost if you don't play Sanders.
73:12But from a process perspective, no clue why you wouldn't play Sanders just to figure out what you have.
73:17You did draft him, even if you apparently don't like him.
73:21You know, Gabriel looked awful. So, you know, what does he ever figure into this mix?
73:25You know, I know they were saying on other shows, let's do like tailing green.
73:30Does he get in this mix? Go ahead. I don't care.
73:33Like by the end of the season, let's see it all.
73:36You know, might as well. But the whole story of the season for the Browns is Quinchon Judkins, Denzel Boston, Casey Conception, Harold Fannin, Spencer Fano.
73:44Like that's the season. Those four guys. Before people started to dunk on me for saying that the Browns for Corvac away.
73:51I legitimately like all of these young. Well, the line is still TBD and we can talk about that.
73:57Yeah. The skill players, though, are fun, man. Like you took two receivers in this draft and it looks like you hit on both.
74:04I liked both of them. Bannon Jr. Is awesome.
74:07We already saw that. Judkins was extremely. Dylan Sampson, who was what, fourth round last year?
74:11Super useful as a third round back. Super useful as a third round back.
74:16To me, you know, I'm not like just saying it'd be like Boston Conception.
74:20It's over. You got A.J. Brown and Devontae Smith here or whatever.
74:23I'm just saying they look promising and fun and they look so far like they did in college.
74:29The offensive line. So if the big question is like, can this offense be appealing to a young quarterback next year?
74:35The real question is probably the offensive line. You talked about Spencer Fano playing left tackle.
74:40They changed a lot. I'm still not quite sure what the exact configuration will be.
74:44I think, I mean, Titus Howard can play right tackle.
74:47Okay. Better pass protecting than run blocking. The interior is going to be some mixture of Zion Johnson, Elton Jenkins, better as
74:54guard, but they've got him playing center. Tevin Jenkins, who's struggled with health.
74:58So I don't really know how that's going to shake out.
75:01But I do think, yeah, I know. If I think if Fano looks good, then you're, you're, you feel pretty good about next year.
75:08Yeah. That's the key. Cause nobody else here. I mean, it would, you would love if Zion Johnson's potential was finally recognized here.
75:15Surely that's actually a reclamation project or reclamation project that they would probably say this one kind of matters to us.
75:22That'd be really great to have him, especially with what they signed him for, like that they could get him.
75:28But I, I, I mean, it's the biggest Zion Johnson fan ever coming out of college.
75:32I absolutely loved him. I, I have given up hope.
75:35I have thrown in the towel and that last year was the final, you know, in the coffin for me with that Jenkins, obviously older and some injuries.
75:44Tevin Jenkins, I think probably, or Elton Jenkins, that was a Tevin Jenkins, probably a stopgap type of player more viewed as,
75:50and Titus Howard, obviously, you know, an older player as well going into year eight.
75:55So, you know, there's, they're still looking for the long-term pieces.
75:58Maybe Austin Barber, who I think was the third round pick for them is get some chances at right tackle this season too.
76:05We'll see. And you know, Howard's had some injuries in the past.
76:09And so maybe he looks like he can be a reasonable star.
76:12I thought he could be like a decent starter type of player in the league.
76:17I kind of, I liked that pick too. I was a little lower on Fano.
76:21His, his first game was interesting. There were some good things.
76:25There were some things that I think will get him into trouble against better players, but you know, the season's all about developing him.
76:32I thought conception was the best receiver in the draft in terms of like the star potential upside.
76:37If Tate was a little safer, those two guys were easily my one, two in the class.
76:42Yeah. Um, Boston, I really liked, I like Boston.
76:45He grew on me a lot through the process.
76:48Both those guys, I think will be studs. So I'm excited about the pieces just like you are.
76:53We got to see it in real games. You know, I don't want to get too over the top about it, but
77:00at the same time, like, it's just good to have like young offensive pieces.
77:04And Harold Fannin is one of the most interesting because at first glance, you would, you would be like, is he actually
77:11fit where the league's going at this position kind of thing?
77:14But then you watch him last year, like he actually blocks, like he gets after people.
77:19And I don't know whether he's going to have to do it a ton.
77:23And he might always need to be like in the right offense for him.
77:27But I think there's a little more to him than meets the eye too.
77:31Actually don't even know. I guess Jack stole my second time with Joku gun.
77:36Yeah. I don't know. No clue. I do love Fannin Jr.
77:39The other thing I'd like is Todd Bunkin. I think he's a really good play caller.
77:44And I think he, we already saw that with, he seems to found his favorite new toy in Concepcion, who's gotten a
77:50lot of the Zay Flower comps, Zay Flowers comps, pardon me.
77:54And I think if he uses him anything like how he used Zay Flowers in Baltimore, that's a total win for this offense.
78:01Maybe, well, I was going to say, we're talking about the Steelers quarterbacks.
78:04I mean, I think Mason Rudolph would be better in this, like more productive for them than the quarterbacks on the roster.
78:11I really do. Yeah, I agree. I agree. That's crazy, but I agree.
78:15The Sanders internet came after me last year. And at this point, I'm like, fine.
78:20It's fine. I would rather see him than Watson.
78:22But it's just, what we saw, like there just doesn't, it's still, he didn't show any signs of speeding up, which was the thing I wanted to see.
78:31He has a better arm. He's willing to, at least he attempted some good throws in the game.
78:36But yeah, it's, I think, and this is what I said on Tuesday, for me, the only question is like, can this,
78:43can you ensure that you're developing these young players right now with the quarterback play to set things up?
78:48The defense should be very good again, even after losing Myles Garrett.
78:52Jared Verse is in opposite Alex Wright slash Isaiah McGuire.
78:55Mason Graham, I thought, showed some flashes and improvement as the year went along.
78:59Malik Collins is still hurt. That sucks because he was really good.
79:03Yeah. Uh, Carson Schlesinger, your defensive rookie of the year is now going to be paired with Quincy Williams, reuniting with, oh,
79:09by the way, the new defensive coordinator, Mike Ruenberg from last seen Atlanta.
79:13Uh, back end, very fun trio of safeties, Grant Delpit, Roddy Hickman, and Emmanuel McNeil Warren, who they drafted.
79:19And then corners, you have Denzel Ward, Tyson Campbell, and then I guess Miles Harden probably going to play nickel.
79:25Um, so I, I mentioned the new defensive coordinator, you know, this was such a distinct defense with Jim Schwartz, right?
79:31Played so much single high, particularly man coverage. Uh, I think the first question is whether or not it'll look the same without shorts and without Garrett.
79:39Rutenberg coming from Atlanta and New York kind of think it will.
79:43Um, and I kind of think that's fine. I do wonder if maybe they'll turn up the blitz a little bit more
79:50without Garrett, but on the back end with Ward and Campbell and these safeties, they have the horses to do it.
79:56Um, yeah, I, I am so curious to see what schematically things look like because this was such a, I mean, every,
80:03Miles Garrett changed everything about this team. Like, right.
80:05I mean, they were the fastest time to throw against the Browns.
80:09Like their fastest, they were, you know, one of these teams that you change your scheme for, you change what you did
80:15in protection and Jared versus a really good player.
80:18He just isn't that type of player. That's why the Rams were willing to move on from, even though they love him
80:25is because he just doesn't tilt the way that Miles Garrett tilts, tilts game plans.
80:29And so how much of a ripple effect of that ever, everybody else we're going to see.
80:34Uh, I know the most important player on the defense this season to me, other than verse and Swessinger, if we just
80:41say those guys are going to be who you expect them to be is Mason Graham.
80:46Um, because they obviously took him really high. That's a really valuable pick.
80:50I think, you know, that's a fine pick. It was kind of my take at the time.
80:55I don't think he's necessarily in the ilk of players who typically get drafted in that range at this position, but maybe
81:01that was like, that doesn't mean he won't still be like a helpful player for them.
81:06I think he looked as last year. He can be a solid player for them.
81:11I don't know how high the ceiling is. McCollins, you mentioned his hurt, Emily Collins.
81:15And, you know, he was really good last year.
81:18He's older and he seems to toggle between atrocious and great seasons like crazy.
81:22So I don't know what to expect when he comes back, but it's not a group that's like devoid of pass rush talent.
81:29Now that they've lost a mouse Garrett, they still have some guys.
81:33They just don't have the tilter. And if Graham and verse are beast together and Collins comes back and provide something, they'll still be a pretty dangerous group.
81:41But I don't think they'll be on the level of where they were last year.
81:46And I think Quincy Williams could add something to that if they decide to live more in the pressure world.
81:52Last year, if you want to buy what Atlanta did, they were like a really versatile, diverse, move people around.
81:58Quincy Williams could he be the guy playing the Caden Ellis role if they do something like that.
82:03Yeah, I think there's a world in which that happens.
82:06I just don't know that it's like I feel like as confident about it as I did, you know, coming out of
82:13watching Atlanta last year that they'll be able to replicate those things.
82:16So definitely a good group. I don't think they'll be quite as dominant as they've been with Garrett.
82:22Yeah, I took them out of my top 10, but I think that they're I have them in the 10 to 15 range.
82:29So it's still a good defense. You know, whether or not they're great, Graham is a great, I think a really good player to focus on.
82:36And but I do I think swings on Jared verse a little bit.
82:40Because, you know. Think like he in LA. It's so funny, man.
82:44When the trade happened, the Garrett trade, he was almost talked about like as a throw, which is such a contrast from how he was talked about.
82:52His rookie season is like the next great pass rusher.
82:55I personally feel the truth is somewhere in between closer to being great than the throw.
83:00He's certainly not throwing. So I don't want to I want to walk that back a little bit.
83:05He's not miles Garrett. So I think the question though is, is he a top 10 to 15?
83:11Maybe 10? Let's say 10. 10 pass rusher in this league.
83:14And I actually think that's a little unknown because I think his game, it felt like it flatlined a little bit last year.
83:21You know, it's very oriented on power, obviously. Yes.
83:24Which is unusual for that position. Very unusual. And I think my question for him is like, is there another level to be unlocked?
83:31Because the other thing in LA he benefited from was playing behind next to very good.
83:36The rest of the Rams team's line was very good.
83:39They're not lead. There was no Miles Garrett, but like Kobe Turner, Breen Fisk, Boone Ford, Byron Young's really good group.
83:45He didn't get double teams that much. So I do wonder if he can, in this new situation, be the kind of
83:52player maybe that like his rookie year foretold. I don't know.
83:55I think that he is a very good player.
83:58I had him 10th in my edge rankings. I think he's a very good player.
84:02Oh, I said it 10 and you're probably thinking like, oh, right there.
84:06Yeah. Okay. Yes. For the edge guys, yeah. 10th.
84:09I, my biggest thing with him is that he is a pocket compressor.
84:13So people are going to see these, these pressure numbers and there, a lot of them are proximity pressures.
84:18Now those can still be valuable, but he has not cleared the blocker on a lot of his pressures necessarily.
84:24He's compressing. And so he's therefore close to the quarterback, but there's a blocker between him and the quarterback.
84:30Is that as threatening a type of pressure as pressures that have cleared the blocker and are impending hits on the quarterback?
84:37To me, probably not. So some of the pressure numbers for him, when you watch the tape, you're like, hmm, yeah, this is valuable.
84:44The most value that this position could provide is by truly beating fully the guy and hitting the quarterback.
84:50Whereas a lot of the time with verse, he is providing more of a compression type of pressure that works really well.
84:56When you have the other pieces on the defensive line to compliment him.
85:00I don't know that they have all those pieces right now, but could they get them?
85:05Yes. He's also a monster against the run. He's so physical.
85:08He's a tone setter. He's an emotional leader and tangibles through the roof.
85:12So there's a lot of other things that he brings that are really valuable.
85:16What the Rams looked at is they just looked at him and said to be a pastor in this league that we've
85:23like to get to where we're going. When we have the opportunity to get the best guy, even if he's older, we're
85:30willing to throw you into that deal, put you in that deal, even though we'd love to keep you just because his
85:36upside, what he provides in terms of the 1v1 stuff is just so much greater.
85:41And when we get in the playoffs, every year we talk about it with the teams that why did the Bills not get to the finish line?
85:49Why did the Ravens not get to the finish line?
85:52They didn't have Chris Jones. The Chiefs had him.
85:54It makes such a difference. And they just think they found that caliber player with Garrett.
85:59Obviously, you know, that's why they were willing to do the deal and the Browns are going to get a good player, but just not the same caliber.
86:08Stylistically so different. And you talked earlier about like how the Browns with Garrett face the most quick throws, quick game in the NFL.
86:15That's going to change. And so it's going to, and that kind of also cuts back to the man coverage question.
86:21More is going to be asked out of everyone else on the Browns defense, even though I believe verse is a good player.
86:28And I think they're still going to be great in run defense.
86:32Structurally, that's interesting because they played a lot of heavy boxes.
86:35And we'll see if that continues with Robert. But yeah, I think it's just everyone else kind of has to be a
86:42little bit better to sustain top 10 play from the unit.
86:45And we'll see. I think they've got young talent.
86:48Obviously, I've mentioned a lot of the players I like.
86:51I like the safety group. I do like McNeil Warren.
86:54He was a struggle bus in the preseason. I went back and watched his reps just specifically out of curiosity.
87:00And he was definitely the bright lights, which may sound small school, all that.
87:04But he was taking some bad angles. He had a real bad on the explosive run, a really bad play.
87:10But you saw why they're enticed by him, which is the athleticism.
87:13He moves different. He is big and fast. And I think we'll be a good player.
87:18It just might take a second for him, but I'm still optimistic.
87:22Yes, he's going to be maybe one of the worst rookies, I would guess.
87:26But I think long term, there's still a future there to get excited about.
87:30Just an interesting one, too, because they're, again, they're very talented.
87:34I mean, Grant Delpit's like such a beast. And no one talks about him.
87:38And Hickman's good. I mean, they don't need to play.
87:41They don't need to thrust McNeil Warren into action right away, which is a privilege.
87:45It's a good team. All right. It's a good team, but it's not a great team.
87:50I doubt either of us have the Browns as our best team in the division.
87:55I'm going to go first here. It sounds like we're going to be different.
87:59I'm guessing based on the tenor of this conversation, we might end up with some different rankings.
88:04I am going to go Ravens, Bengals, Steelers, Browns.
88:07That's how I have it. I thought you were going to have the Bengals above them.
88:11I just was getting that vibe that you sounded so skeptical of the Ravens in our conversation.
88:17I'm skeptical of the O-line, I think, in some ways, especially if Ronnie Stanley goes down.
88:21So that could derail things some. Oh, yeah. But I just trust Lamar so much.
88:26Mina, that's the big thing. I just think he's going to be good.
88:30If he's healthy, and if he's not healthy, they're not going to win.
88:34So I'll be wrong. But if he's healthy, yeah.
88:36Yeah, I just think he's going to figure it out.
88:39He and Declan Doyle, I think enough of them that they're going to figure it out and be good enough.
88:45And I still feel like the Bengals have downside, too.
88:48And I'm just tired of getting burnt by him, frankly.
88:51Joe Burrow misses every other season. I'm not getting burnt by him.
88:55So I just don't know what to think of him still either.
88:59So I think all these teams have questions. But I'm with you on the mentor thing, too.
89:04And I'm with you on the Declan Doyle and Lamar Jackson thing.
89:07And to me, that is the biggest differentiator when you talk about quarterback and then coaching being the two most important things in the league.
89:15I think I'm more likely to bet on what I don't know fully, but I believe in in Baltimore in terms of
89:21how they built the thing than what I've seen and don't necessarily believe into that level, at least in terms of coaching
89:28with the Bengals and what I have way more questions about with the Steelers to over them.
89:33So, yeah, I actually my struggle is more between Bengals or Steelers for two, three.
89:38Really? Because I think the Bengals floor just ends up being crazy low all the time.
89:43But I ultimately don't believe in the Steelers. I actually, if doing this exercise was higher on the Steelers than I was
89:49before, because I was like, I really like this receiver group.
89:52And I think this defense should have been top 10.
89:55I just feel the quarterback is just a limiting factor.
89:58And it might be a limiting factor that doesn't end up showing itself until, you know, postseason facing the wrong team.
90:05It is. But it is what it is. Yeah.
90:07You've got two of the best in the division.
90:10My biggest curiosity with the Steelers is just they have been, I think, schematically.
90:14And I've been saying this for years. I know people don't like to criticize Mike Thompson, but they have been schematically one
90:21of the most basic and behind the times teams in the league on both sides of the ball, really.
90:27And how much does just being a pro level group in terms of their scheme change with some of the same players,
90:33not all the same, but a lot of the same players?
90:37Does that really dramatically change things or are they kind of past that point as a roster?
90:42And is McCarthy and Graham better, but not additive enough to make a huge difference in terms of wins?
90:47That'll be the big question. At least there's change.
90:50Change is good. Where can folks check out your work this season?
90:54Yeah. Audibles and analytics is my sub stack. It's a subscriber site so people can check out.
90:59I've got Steelers, Bucks, and then NFL podcasts that I do with Ollie Connelly.
91:03We're going to we're moving up this year. This year we're going to have a lot more content on there, even more podcasts on there.
91:11So excited about that this season. And then you'll find all my written work and draft work to really deep dive draft
91:17evaluations, podcasts and written reports on audibles and analytics.
91:20That's my sub stack as well. So that's where you can find all my content.
91:24I will also be on the podcast. You guys can check it out.
91:28Yes. You can go check talking about the NFC West pretty soon.
91:32So I'll put that on my social so you can go check that out.
91:36And if you don't already check out their podcast, it is fantastic.
91:40Thank you, as always, to my friends at Omaha Productions who make this show.
91:44Kirsten Sebesky, Owen Taylor, Jack Foster, Tucker Taschen. I combined all of their names into one in my head.
91:50And I also have my TV podcast, David Dennis Jr., Viewer Discretion.
91:53We are recapping two very good shows. I know some of these people listening to this are like, I'm not going to
92:00lose you guys talking about Love is Blind. We are recapping Furious and Lanterns, both of which are awesome.
92:06So go check that out wherever you get your pods.
92:09We'll be joined next week by – well, I'm going to keep recapping preseason.
92:13And then later, we'll be joined by some first-time guests.
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