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0:57Welcome into press coverage. We help you gain an edge in fancy football.
1:01I'm your host as always Wyatt Bertalone with me today.
1:04Returning guest Justin Edwards to talk about some backfields where there could be a little bit of battles happening and how we're going to approach them for dynasty.
1:13Justin, how are you? Fantastic. Freshly recovered after a fantastic weekend.
1:17You and I hit up a golf outing over the weekend and capped it off with SFB down in Cincinnati.
1:23So truly a fantastic weekend. Um, I have been spending the better part of the last 48 hours, uh, drinking water and tea as much as possible.
1:31And now I feel fantastic. It took a couple of days, but I'm back.
1:36Yeah. It's hard to imagine a much better weekend than that, but we've got some running backs to talk about.
1:42So we should jump into it right away. Give the people what they want.
1:46We're going to start off with the Panthers. Chuba Hubbard, Jonathan Brooks.
1:50And we got to talk about this because Jonathan Brooks, that, that steam is really coming up for him right now and
1:57really throughout the off season as more and more reports come out of Panthers camp about, oh, they think he could like
2:04be the starting running back and always doing this in the passing game.
2:08You know, Chuba Hubbard has surprised a lot of people and to become a pretty reliable running back for the Panthers though.
2:15His efficiency has kind of come and gone year to year a little bit last year, uh, dealing with a little bit
2:21of calf injury, but also kind of just got taken over by Rico Dattel for a large part of the season.
2:28Did kind of earn a big part of that role back towards the end of the season, but they let Rico Dowdle walk.
2:35And this news comes out about Jonathan Brooks expect to be healthy.
2:39All this stuff, you know, their ADPs in dynasty are starting to converge.
2:43They're getting really close together. Chuba Hubbard's been falling.
2:46Brooks has been rising. How are you feeling about him?
2:49Yeah. I mean, as you mentioned, uh, Chuba has kind of been that guy more or less for the last couple of seasons.
2:56Those underlying metrics have not been great. Um, he was dealing with that injury last year, but he ended up, uh, 43rd
3:03out of 48 qualifying running backs and, uh, rushing yards over expected over the entire year.
3:08Uh, you know, for comparison sake, Dattel was 16th and rushing yards over expected.
3:12So it wasn't really an offensive line or an infrastructure issue.
3:16It was just Hubbard not being efficient. And like you said, he came back by the end of the year to take that job back over.
3:24But from week eight onward till the end of the season, he was the RB 57, um, and half GPR points per game.
3:31So even though he overtook that, that job, uh, not great.
3:35Uh, obviously doubt will kind of cemented at least a partial RB one treatment after he had those back to back massive
3:41games in the middle of the season. Um, yeah, now we have Brooks coming along, obviously a former second rounder, um, from a different regime, right?
3:50That's not the same regime that took him, but he's still obviously out there.
3:54Um, I watched all of the Jonathan Brooks tape earlier today.
3:57It took me about six minutes to watch the entire NFL.
4:01Yeah. Every single, every single snap. It didn't take very long.
4:04Um, obviously he represents someone who can garner a lot more explosiveness in both the rushing game and the passing game.
4:11If he's out there, uh, back to back ACL injuries are what forced him down dynasty and redraft and best ball boards
4:18throughout the early portions of, you know, the last two years, obviously.
4:21Um, and yeah, these, these almost back to back ADPs are, are interesting, but I think, I think I'm kind of falling for it.
4:29I think I would not rather have Brooks right now, but I think, um, I'm not feeling too bad if I, if
4:36I have Brooks just as a pure upside candidate, uh, we have no idea if he's going to have that home run ability once he comes back.
4:44But I do kind of like where I have them stashed away.
4:48Yeah. Yeah. The, the Brooks cost, I mean, it's getting more expensive.
4:52Uh, you might be able to still find some cheap prices.
4:55Like, uh, right now, dynasty league football startup ADP.
4:58He was just RB 41. If you look at dynasty data lab startup ADP, keep drink cut, it's RB 33 and 32.
5:05So there's a little bit of variation there. It might be, might be depending on your league, but the price isn't as
5:12good as it was, you know, early off season, you probably could have gotten for really cheap.
5:17And I, I would have certainly been buying on those prices.
5:20I tried to get some, uh, I didn't get too many deals done.
5:25It might be a little too late now. Yeah.
5:27Uh, but in general, I do like Jonathan Brooks price.
5:30It's really, you know, just betting on like what's the real ceiling outcomes for these two at this point.
5:36You know, uh, I think we know what we could get on Chuba Hubbard, even if he has this entire backfield.
5:43I'm a little bit worried about it just because we've seen some inefficiency as, as you pointed out.
5:49Uh, so like for me, dynasty Chuba, I'm trying to move down from him.
5:53I mean, even to possibly some, other running backs are going to come up today, like maybe trading down to a Jalen
6:00Warren and getting another asset on top or Rico Dowdle, his former teammate.
6:04Um, at those interests, because I think we're just looking at like similar, uh, you know, range of outcomes as, as Chuba
6:11has, but you know, possibly get another asset on top.
6:14That's cool. But trying to go out and like buy Jonathan Brooks, if you want him on your team right now.
6:20Um, I mean, from what I've seen, it's costing, you know, in rookie drafts in 2026, as they're happening, it's a high second.
6:28Maybe even end of first round pick. I couldn't quite get there.
6:31If I could, it was able to like finagle it with a lower second round pick and like another lower player added on like that was fine.
6:40But you know, people are excited. Well, we'll talk about some, some rookies later on.
6:44And I mean, if, if they're on the board in the mid to late second round, I don't know if I don't
6:51want Jonathan Brooks, those rookies we're going to talk about.
6:54Yeah. Yeah, for sure. All right. Let's move on to our second team of the day, which is the Titans.
7:01We're going to have one of those rookies here in this backfield, Tony Pollard, Tajay Spears, Nicholas Singleton, uh, Pollard.
7:07All of a sudden at the end of 2025, you know, just burst out of nowhere, almost in a way to go
7:14on and have this amazing end of the season where it would look like all doom and gloom in that Titans offense for most of the season.
7:22All of a sudden, Tony Pollard is just killing it.
7:25And Tajay Spears has kind of been doing the same thing every year where, you know, a little bit of limited opportunities,
7:32but used a lot in the passing game. Very good.
7:35There has shown ability as a runner in the NFL, but hasn't had too many opportunities in that department.
7:41And then Nicholas Singleton gets drafted to this team.
7:44And the story with him at Penn State is, you know, huge dynamic athlete, really good pass catcher, but maybe really bad
7:51at actually all the nuances of playing running back.
7:54Like has no idea where the hole in the line is on any given play, you know, like anything that like the
8:01instincts of playing running back, he seems to really struggle with.
8:04You know, like a player like him, who's as hyped as he was, who put up some of the numbers that he
8:11did early in his college career, staying all four years while coming from college like Penn State, like it should put some alarm bells off.
8:19I think, you know, he falls to day three for the Titans and people are really excited for, for Nicholas Singleton, you
8:26know, saw him going into the first round in dynasty rookie drafts this off season.
8:30I couldn't get there myself, but now all these ADPs, you know, Singleton is basically the consensus RB one in this backfield in dynasty.
8:38I don't know if I'm there yet, just cause like, I don't really expect that much this season and who's to say
8:45Titans don't bring more people in next year. I mean, how are you feeling?
8:49Oh, the exact same. I mean, you, I may have shared the wrong sheet with you.
8:54I just gave you all my notes. I'm thinking the same thing.
8:58Honestly, I mean, uh, there's no reason for them to take Tony Pollard off the field right now.
9:03And when they do, it's going to be Tajay Spears.
9:07Um, he had just about as many pass blocking snaps as Pollard had last year Spears.
9:12I should say, even though he missed the first four games of the season, he had 11 more targets than Pollard again,
9:18missing the first month of the season. Um, I don't see a situation that they're going to remove Spears from the lineup to get Singleton in there.
9:27Um, I mean, this is just so expensive. I know Singleton had a hundred plus catches in college.
9:33And like you said, he was, he was there all four years, uh, explosive third season.
9:38And then the fourth season, he just gets completely blown out of the water by Katron Allen.
9:43So you can't even really explain away the fact that Penn state's offense looked like crap because Katron Allen didn't look nearly as bad as Singleton.
9:51Um, so yeah, in year one, um, last, last year, Julius Chestnut and Khalil Mullins combined for 14 carries.
9:57Uh, Julius Chestnut was the only other running back besides Pollard and Spears with even a single target last season.
10:03Obviously we've got Brian Dayball here, uh, as the, the replacement offensive coordinator and he used Devin Singletary quite a bit the last couple of seasons.
10:11But I mean, Singletary is a veteran back that you can count on.
10:15I don't think Singleton is that same kind of profile.
10:18So if he's not going to get out there for year one, and then let's say they get rid of both Pollard and Spears heading into 2027.
10:27Like you mentioned, he's a fifth round pick. What's stopping them from using a day to pick on another running back.
10:33Who's just going to hop right over Singleton. This like RB 37 and RB 40 price tag for Singleton is kind of outlandish to me.
10:41I mean, I don't, I don't mean to like rag on him or anything, but that's, that's kind of wild.
10:47Yeah. I think it's a lot of projection, uh, for Singletons and that's a lot of projection for a day three running
10:54back pick in what was a bad running back class.
10:57Right. Yeah. Um, Tony Pollard who goes basically right after him in ADP in most places.
11:02Like that's another one of those possible tear down targets from Chuba Hubbard for me.
11:07Like if you're looking just for like similar production in 2026.
11:11Right. Tachi Spears is really interesting to me because you know, he, he doesn't have ACLs.
11:16Uh, so like, right. Like literally he doesn't have an ACL.
11:19Yeah. Like not joking. He doesn't have ACL. So it's always been a thing of like how long will he actually last in the NFL?
11:27And his contract is up at the end of the season.
11:30And I don't think we've seen it look like he doesn't have ACLs in a way.
11:35Right. Like, like it doesn't tell that there's any wear and tear necessarily.
11:39So I'm a little intrigued by Spears because you know, he's around RB 50 and dynasty contract up until the end of
11:46the season could be brought back, could find his way to greener pastures.
11:50I like a little bit of speculative buyout. I'm kind of interested.
11:54What do you think about Spears? Yeah, I think it's interesting.
11:57And especially if you, if you think Spears locks down that job for the entirety of the season, what do you think
12:04about Singleton being like a round one turn guy?
12:07And then Spears, you're not paying the one 12 for Tajay Spears and in any, in any scenario.
12:13So you can get the production that people are kind of just projecting for Singleton for a far cheaper price, at least for this season.
12:21If they don't bring him back. And I mean, he doesn't have an ACL.
12:25Was he 25 years old or potentially 26 years old?
12:28Yeah. 25 on the dot basically. So yeah, I just don't, I, I do like that.
12:33Um, probably a deeper league target. If you're like a 20, 21 person or I'm sorry, a 28 person league.
12:39I don't know how many times Spears is going to find your lineup, but if you're starting 14 people or if you're
12:46in a league with 40 roster slots, I think Spears is worth, you know, sniffing around for what I would presume to be incredibly cheap.
12:54Yeah. I imagine if you're just, if you try to just trade for Spears, like the opposing manager is going to like understand what the deal is.
13:02And you're going to have to overpay if you're just like, you can't just send a third for Spears.
13:08They'll be like, well, no, like I just, I just won't do that.
13:12So I bet you have to try and like work him into another trade, make him like the add on in a different trade to get him.
13:21Right. But I do think you could do that.
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14:49Back here on Press Coverage with Justin Edwards talking about some interesting backfields for Dynasty.
14:54But before we get to the next backfield, Justin, what have you been working on?
14:59Oh, I've been knocking out right in the middle of my annual offensive line rankings.
15:03Right in the middle of it, I had the bottom 11 released yesterday on Monday of this week.
15:09And then tomorrow will be the middle 11. And then on Friday, it'll be the top 10 offensive line rankings.
15:15They're made fantasy forward, fantasy focused. I tried to correlate what metrics I'm looking at with actual fantasy performances from their skill positions.
15:22And then rank them and then move them around as such.
15:26Love to hear. Offensive line, really underrated part of fantasy.
15:29They control so much of what offenses do. All right.
15:32We got the Rams up next. Kyron Williams, Blake Corum.
15:35Kyron Williams, universal RB16 right now. Looking across basically every Dynasty marketplace that I can find.
15:40Blake Corum, on the other hand, RB3 somewhere in there.
15:43We started to see their roles a little bit converge in 2025.
15:47Kyron still dominated the passing work. But Blake Corum really started to catch up to him on the ground.
15:53Now, Kyron was still fine for the most part.
15:56I mean, it was a bit of a down year for him fantasy-wise.
16:00But, like, you were still happy to have Kyron Williams on your teams.
16:04Blake Corum really showed what he can do and was a really efficient runner for the Rams in 2025.
16:10And for years, people have been saying, you basically ever since Blake Corum got on the Rams, you know, always going to take more and more from Kyron.
16:19Eventually, you know, with it, we could see a flip happening.
16:22Do you actually think Blake Corum can pass Kyron Williams at some point?
16:26Like, how are you feeling about these two? I think it would take an actual.
16:31I mean, this is such a cop-out. But I think it would have to take that injury or Kyron just loses a step somehow.
16:38I just think that the Rams offense and McVay just trust exactly what Kyron is.
16:43They know exactly what they're going to get out of him.
16:46I think what we saw last year is probably going to be the modus operandi for the rest of at least this iteration of the Rams offense.
16:55Where Kyron's the two-to-one drive, whatever. He's going to still get the pass catching usage.
16:59Corum had, like, a 2% target share last year.
17:02Which means that's just, like, you know, emergency check down situations.
17:06You know, a 2% target rate is kind of ridiculous.
17:09But we did see Corum, like, vastly have a substantially better breakaway rate last year.
17:14But Kyron still had better yards created after contact.
17:16He doubled his yards per route run, obviously, with that 2% target share.
17:20I think Kyron is, like, perfectly rated right now at this ADP.
17:24This, like, the RB16 makes perfect sense to me.
17:27Especially if you're in a startup and you're trying to make a contender right now.
17:32If you're doing, like, a productive struggle kind of thing, maybe you just ignore Kyron altogether.
17:37And then I think Corum is kind of right where he needs to be.
17:41Obviously, like I said, if Kyron goes down, Corum is all of a sudden in RB2 and fantasy.
17:47And that's not something you necessarily want to bet on, is that someone could become better with an injury.
17:53And then also kind of in the forward-thinking aspect of this, if we're looking at 2027 and beyond, if Stafford's not there
17:59or Devontae goes down or Puka continues to have these off-field issues and Kyron's out the door, what are we doing with
18:06Blake Corum with Ty Simpson and whatever wide receivers are out there?
18:10So I think that's kind of worrying, too. Like, the odds that Corum is an RB2 this year or next year and or 2028 seem a little far-fetched.
18:19So I think him as an RB3 just makes sense.
18:22Yeah, I think that's a really good point about Blake Corum.
18:25With Kyron Williams, I'm a little bit lower than the Dynasty marketplace right now.
18:30Um, I started this offseason lumping him in with what I call like the one-year bets at running back, which is any
18:37running back where I have trouble projecting what they're going to do past the next season for whatever reason.
18:43And that could be for a lot of different reasons.
18:46With Kyron, it's the combination of factors of what the Rams doing, where Blake Corum is, all that type of stuff, where
18:53I feel pretty good about what's going to happen in 2026, but I really don't know about after that.
18:58Um, so I actually, like, when I was kind of going through my rankings throughout the offseason, I just kept kind of
19:05like, eh, I think actually I like Travis Etienne more.
19:08Because I actually think that might be a one-and-a-half to two-year bet there now in New Orleans now.
19:14So I think their outcomes could be similar this year.
19:17And because I feel a little bit better about Etienne's role looking down the road one year, I'm going to put him ahead.
19:24Or like Cam Scadaboo. I mean, yes, dealing with an injury, but especially after the draft, they added no one.
19:31I feel pretty comfortable about what he's going to do for the Giants, looking at least two seasons down the road.
19:37Comparing him against even older running backs like Derrick Henry.
19:40I feel much better about Derrick Henry in 2026.
19:43And if I'm going to consider them both kind of a one-year bet running back, I'm going to have Derrick Henry ahead.
19:50How do you feel about that? I have. Yeah.
19:53Yeah. Perfect sense. Yeah. All right. Let's head on over to our next team, which is the Broncos.
19:58R.J. Harvey, J.K. Dobbins, newly acquired rookie Jonah Coleman.
20:01Another one where this rookie, this day three rookie, is really coming up on these ADPs.
20:06He's not the number one in his backfield the way that Nicholas Singleton is, but he's getting close to R.J.
20:13Harvey. You know, R.J. Harvey has kind of fallen out of RB2 range in dynasty rankings, just outside of there.
20:19Jonah Coleman is an RB3, and he's climbing. J.K.
20:22Dobbins is hanging out, you know, as an RB4 right now.
20:25I think this is a really interesting backfield because before Jonah Coleman got there, it was really easy to project because they
20:32kind of just ran it back with what they were doing last year.
20:36The J.K. Dobbins was their one-to-two down grinder. R.J.
20:39Harvey is going to work in the passing game and, you know, get some rushing work.
20:44But now they bring in Jonah Coleman, who, like, the first thing they say is, like, we love this guy in pass protection and that kind of stuff.
20:52And, like, that's really Jonah Coleman's calling card. It's like he does all the little things right.
20:58You know, he doesn't make mistakes, which I think is something that Sean Payton is really going to love.
21:04He's always looking for these guys who can be used in these certain situations.
21:08And this seems pretty messy now. I could see this being closer to a three-headed kind of monster in this backfield.
21:15Do any of these prices get you interested? Oh, yeah.
21:18This is the rough one. I mean, they're all rough, but this is hard to peg.
21:23If I were to go anywhere with these current prices, I mean, maybe I just take a stab at Dobbins and see
21:30if he actually stays upright for, like, 13 games.
21:32Because he really has looked good over the last ever.
21:36He's always looked good, actually. He's always looked good when he's playing football.
21:40I kind of assumed that, like, coming out of the draft, I'm like, well, Coleman's just going to be the Dobbins insurance.
21:47And then, I don't know, because as you mentioned, the fact that he is a reliable aspect on the ground, Harvey was
21:53not that for most of his rookie season. He had some issues with vision and finding the correct holes.
21:59And, obviously, Sean Payton doesn't enjoy that. And the fact that he was a second-round pick last year doesn't mean as much
22:06if he's going to get his touches eaten away by both Dobbins and a day-three rookie, which sounds ridiculous.
22:12But, I mean, it's very plausible in this situation.
22:15We're not quite talking about the Tennessee situation where we know exactly what we're getting with Tony Pollard as a presumptive RB1 on the depth chart.
22:23We don't know what RJ Harvey is exactly going to give us.
22:27We do know what Dobbins is going to give us, but we don't know if he's going to be on the field.
22:34So, yeah, these are all pretty rough. I like Dobbins at the price if I had to choose.
22:39But, yeah, that's definitely just a one-year rental or a half-year rental.
22:43Yeah, half-year rental for sure. Yeah. You know, it's funny as I'm pulling up these player pages for these players on playerprofile.com,
22:50if you're watching on video, I didn't realize until just this moment that RJ Harvey is older than Tajay Spears.
22:56I knew Harvey came into the NFL old, but that was a little surprising for me.
23:01It's jarring. Yeah, a little bit. You know, RJ Harvey finished the season really well from a fantasy perspective, but it wasn't that clean.
23:09As you said, like, on the ground, he didn't look like that great of a runner because he did kind of struggle
23:16with finding the whole, you know, that aspect of playing running back.
23:19But he was able to catch enough passes, get used enough in the red zone after Dobbins went down, and there was
23:26still really no one else in the backfield. He still really got there for fantasy, and I think that's hard for people
23:33to cope with, that, like, he may have just been a player of circumstance during his rookie season.
23:39Right. I personally, I don't want to say I'm hands off the backfield in Dynasty.
23:43Like, for the right price, sure, I could see myself being interested in any of them, but all of the prices are,
23:50like, just high enough that I'm like, ah, you know, that's fine.
23:54Like, someone else can make the move on these players.
23:57Like, Jonah Coleman, again, like Nicholas Singleton, was a one-to-two round, you know, one-two turn pick in rookie drafts, and I'm like,
24:04I can't do that for this day three running back, you know?
24:08And I'm not looking to pay these prices to actually go out and acquire any of them.
24:13I have very little of any of these in Dynasty already, so I can't sell them if I wanted to.
24:19So I am just kind of hands off right now.
24:22I think kind of the issue with Coleman as well is, let's say, I mean, I know I'm joking around, but let's
24:29say Dobbins lasts six games and he goes out.
24:32Yeah. Whatever. He retires. He doesn't even get injured this time.
24:36He just decides to leave. One of the odds that Peyton is just going to run with a two-headed backfield, because he
24:42hasn't since he's been in Denver, so it's just going to be R.J.
24:46Harvey, Coleman, and then another guy. Tyler Bidet or someone?
24:50Right, yeah. And maybe he switches things up if something happens midseason and it's just Harvey and Coleman and we got two
24:56guys we can kind of depend on to score consistent points.
25:00But he's been running the three-headed backfield since he came back and took this job over.
25:05So, I mean, it doesn't mean he's going to do it forever, but it seems to be the way he's wanted to run this.
25:12Yeah, and here's the thing, too. Like, let's say that does happen and R.J.
25:17Harvey and Jonah Coleman have the backfield split starting seven games into the season, whatever.
25:21And it's just them hanging out for the rest of the season.
25:25Is that worth RB30 price for Jonah Coleman? Do you have confidence that continues into 2027?
25:30I mean, like, the reports throughout the offseason were the Broncos were so in on, like, trying to acquire a top right.
25:37Like, they were trying to get running backs the entire time.
25:40They ended up bringing back J.K. Dobbins. They draft Jonah Coleman.
25:44Like, who's to say they wouldn't just be doing that again next season?
25:48It would not surprise me. RB30 is wild. I mean, I know I already landed on Singleton's price being kind of over the top.
25:55I mean, this is just as over the top, if not more.
25:59We like the Denver offense. I mean, they probably would have made it to the Super Bowl if Bo Nix didn't have an ankle injury.
26:07But RB30 is kind of wild. I mean, even if he took over the majority of the touches here, we still don't.
26:14So, I mean, he's better than, you know, I don't know.
26:17It's a lot. RB30 is a lot. Yeah, you know, and, like, I think the difference between him and Singleton and their
26:24dynasty prices, Singleton is down a good amount of spots in the RB rankings, depending on where you look, is just the offense.
26:31As you mentioned, like, Jonah Coleman's on a good offense.
26:35Nicholas Singleton is on an offense that we hope gets good.
26:38Right, yeah. But to be frank, like, if I was going to be picking between those two in Dynasty at cost, I'd
26:45be taking Singleton just because I think their chances at getting opportunities and that those opportunities continuing are the same moving forward.
26:52They're both dependent on something unforeseen happening because there's no way one of those guys, as it stands right now, is going
26:59to be taking more than, like, six opportunities in week one.
27:02Yeah. Famous last words right there. Right, yeah. I can't wait.
27:05Enjoy your rookie of the year season, Jonah Coleman.
27:08Yeah. Since I said that. All right. Last backfield of the day that we're going to talk about is the Steelers, Jalen Warren and Rico Dowdle.
27:16We talked a little bit, Rico Dowdle, earlier when we were talking about the Panthers, how he took over a big part
27:23of that backfield while he walked in free agency.
27:26On over to the Steelers to play with his former coach, Mike McCarthy there.
27:30Jalen Warren's coming off a solid season for himself, too, which he split the backfield with Kenneth Gainwell.
27:36Now, I could see this being a split backfield again in 2026, but I feel like the roles are going to change a little bit for Jalen Warren.
27:45You know, for Warren in 2025, he actually kind of became that two-down grinder for the Panthers.
27:50I mean, he still was active in the passing game, but not nearly as much as he could have been because Kenneth
27:57Gainwell was so active in the past game. He was the real past game threat.
28:02While Rico Dowdle is a fine pass-scarer backfield. He's not, you know, a liability there.
28:06He's definitely not as good as Warren. So it makes me think, like, Warren could end up just, like, switching roles in
28:13the backfield for what it was last year. I mean, we have new coaching staff here, so it's not that simple per
28:20se, but we know that Jalen Warren's a good running back.
28:24Rico Dowdle comes in and shown himself to be a good running back.
28:28I have to imagine this is going to be a split in some way.
28:32Like, I don't think one of these running backs is just going to, like, take over the backfield completely.
28:38Do you feel differently about that? What do you think?
28:41I think I might like Warren this year, at least, maybe a little bit more than you do.
28:47I think, as you mentioned, Gainwell ate into so many of his targets.
28:51He was averaging 3.8 targets a game in the two seasons prior to last year.
28:55And then Gainwell's addition, he averaged 2.8 targets per game last year.
28:59So, down a full target a game. Just in terms of, we do have a different coaching staff, but we also still
29:06have Aaron Rodgers out there who's going to swing his you-know-what.
29:09And it's going to kind of depend on who he wants out there for the most part in his final season.
29:16I'm not saying this is going to completely translate into fantasy points, but I think it's worth mentioning that Dowdle was charged
29:23with 12 pressures on 52 pass blocking snaps last season, which was the third highest raw pressures of any running back in
29:30the league, even though he was splitting time with Chuba Hubbard.
29:33Last year, Gainwell had two pressures over his time and pass blocking snaps, and Warren had one pressure allowed in all of his pass blocking snaps last year.
29:42So, I think there's that curmudgeon Rodgers possibility that Rico Dowdle gets out there and lets a couple sacks up, and Warren
29:49is all of a sudden taking almost all of the third down snaps, which isn't a guarantee, but I think it's a possibility.
29:56I think Warren could, I'm not saying he's going to have a 70% snap share, but I think it could be closer
30:03to like a 60-40, and I think straight up, I like where Warren's at.
30:07I think Dowdle might be, should be pushed down a little bit further even from his like RB 33 or 35 range.
30:14I think it should be closer to like an RB 40.
30:18And in dynasty terms, because I think for both of these guys, we're kind of looking at 2026, and then 2027 is
30:24once again kind of up in the air. Yeah, I am slightly ahead of market on Warren and slightly behind market on Dowdle currently.
30:32Okay, yeah, I mean, yeah, we were saying the same thing.
30:35Yeah, maybe the way I bring it up is not as glowing as what I feel, because that, and I think that
30:42might be because like I like Jalen Warren as a player a lot, and I think he could have been doing a
30:49lot more this entire time, like if he was given the opportunity to.
30:53And then maybe I feel like I won't let myself be hurt too much by Warren, you know, like I do.
31:00I did a show a few weeks ago where I was talking about some dynasty trades that I've been making, and one
31:07of them was trading a future second for Jalen Warren on a team where I built out the team really well, but
31:13I just needed to add some more firepower running backs to really make that push.
31:18And that was one of the opportunities that was available to me was to add Warren.
31:23I do think that he's a good bet for this year to produce his cost.
31:28But as you said, like 2027 could be who knows what 2027 could be.
31:32Yeah, we have no idea. Yeah, both of them fall into the one year one year bet players for me.
31:38I still like Warren a little bit more. The pass catching is a big deal.
31:43I think here Mike McCarthy. It shouldn't it shouldn't stop either, regardless of if Rogers plays the whole season or not.
31:50Him and Rudolph had the third highest check down rate last season.
31:53Yes. Yeah. And we know that likes to pass, you know, the football.
31:57So I do really think those opportunities will be there for Warren and and I am betting into that.
32:03All right. Let's kind of wrap this up all together a little bit and do a little this or that with some of these running backs.
32:12Jalen Warren or Jonathan Brooks? Ooh, coming out swinging.
32:14Oh, Jalen Warren by a hair, but I do like the upside that Brooks is.
32:19I mean, they'd have to be if I just did a full ranking list, which obviously I didn't or I would be talking about it right now.
32:27I think they'd be more or less back to back for different completely different reasons.
32:32I do have a Warren ahead as well. Let's do.
32:35Okay. So you had Warren or Blake Corum Warren.
32:38I have it the same. All right. Let's get a let's get a good one in here.
32:43Let's move up. Warren or RJ Harvey? Still are.
32:46It's RJ Harvey. I think I think he has not only the upside of a Jonathan Brooks, but also he's already got
32:53a sizable role, if not the role we wanted him to have when he came out last year.
32:59Yeah, I agree. Now, I think it's pretty safe to say that you'd have Kyron Williams ahead of RJ Harvey and Dicey.
33:06But what would it take? I would. Yeah. What do you think like the difference in value is between those two?
33:12Um, I mean, it's nowhere near like a first or anything, though.
33:16I don't think so far away that it's going to take a future first.
33:20But like, I would probably I would want a second or something similar to a second.
33:25Especially if it's too sorry. If it's a 2027 second, I just want the second.
33:30Or I'm sorry. It's 2026 second. I just want the second.
33:33And then the 2027 second might take more from me to convince the other side, if that makes sense.
33:39Yeah. Yeah. Because presumably next year's second round is going to be a little bit better than what we got.
33:46You might have to add a third third on back of your side.
33:50To get that happening. Yeah. I agree with with that.
33:53That valuation, though. I think that is correct. I know before we mentioned Nicholas Singleton and Jonah Coleman against each other.
33:59So we kind of already talked about that a little bit.
34:03Yeah. Okay. I think I think we found a good place here.
34:06Now. Okay, here's a good one. Rico Dowdle or the rookies.
34:10Nicholas Singleton or Jonah Coleman. Oh, that is good.
34:13I'm not sure. I'm not sure. I'm looking at my ranking so I can be like, okay, do I actually feel this way?
34:20Do I actually think this? I have Rico Dowdle ahead of both right now.
34:24Yeah. I mean, I think it's so close. I mean, Dowdle's up there, isn't he?
34:29He's 28 or something like that. In age? Yeah.
34:32I think you are correct because he was also another one that came into the NFL a little bit old to begin with.
34:39He is 28. Okay. Yeah. I think that's the only thing that's keeping me from saying it's obviously Rico, but it's close to obviously Rico.
34:47That might be a contender or rebuilder question. Sure.
34:50Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Right. All right. That's good. That's what I meant.
34:53That's what I meant to say. Well, on that note, Justin, always appreciate you joining me here on Press Carverage.
35:00Before we get out of here, remind everybody where you are, where to find you, all that stuff.
35:05Sure. Look me up on Blue Sky if you want.
35:08It's Justin. It's Justin. It's Justin.edwards. Look me up on Twitter if you'd like.
35:13It's Justin underscore Redwards. And then you can find my work at 444.
35:17And if you want any snippets of Redraft or Best Ball or Dynasty quick YouTube shorts, you can look up Ask Us Fantasy Football.
35:24And that's my little project with myself and Sal Stefanielli.
35:27Love to hear it. On this side of things, you can follow me at YB underscore FF.
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