Davis Mattek - Grinding the Variance: Fantasy Football Drafting SZN Is Really Here!
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
2 hr 27 min
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Jul 30, 2026
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Thu, July 30, 2026
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Full transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00The training camp firehose remains unbelievably turned on, something new basically happening every single day.
0:06We did sadly get official confirmation that my guy, Chris Brazel, is going to be out for the remainder of the season,
0:14underwent season-ending knee surgery for a moderate LCL tear.
0:18It's a bummer. It's a bummer. It's honestly, you know who it's bad for.
0:23It's actually pretty bad for Ted Arroyo and McMillan, but if you were doing any round 18, Chris Brazel, that is over right now.
0:32To me, one of the biggest news items that we got today was that Chris Rodriguez said, quote, the plan is to be back for week one.
0:43To me, that is not a particularly great sign.
0:46That is actually probably a pretty bearish sign for Chris Rodriguez because that would insinuate that he is not going to be
0:55practicing very much at all this upcoming year. That is not great.
0:59That is not great and sets up our boy, Byshell Tootin, to be the starting running back.
1:06I mean, honestly, to me right now, basically the unquestioned starting running back, I think probably for the Jacksonville Jaguars.
1:14So I think Tootin has to be shooting up draft boards right now.
1:19Got a couple wide receiver three battle updates. Jordan Rodriguez did list Kanata Mumfeld as the current leader for the wide receiver
1:27three job for the Los Angeles Rams right now.
1:31To me, you know what that reads like? That reads like my guy Terrence Ferguson is in fact the real, the real
1:39wide receiver three for Los Angeles Rams. Malik Benson, who is one of the guys who is a candidate to be the,
1:48you know, one of the outside wide receivers for the loss.
1:52I guess Raiders has been taking some first team reps there.
1:56Sounds like Benson, Trey Tucker, Jack Bess, Naylor and Thornton have all been rotating for those positions.
2:03So maybe a little bit around 20, maybe a little bit around 20 on, on draft Kings.
2:09Is Lee get draftable at all with Brazel going down?
2:13I mean, maybe I guess on draft Kings in a 20 round draft, I could, I could see it.
2:21I don't, I don't love it. You know, I, I might, I might rather take a stab on one of those Raiders guys.
2:29Can I make you feel better about having 29% pierce all?
2:34I can't, I can't brother. I did find out yesterday.
2:38I have 11% pierce all, which did feel felt like a bit much GM.
2:43Am I worried about Jeremy Bernard with the ghost of Roman Wilson showing up thus far?
2:49You know, I have a little bit less Jeremy Bernard than some of my, my fantasy football compatriots.
2:56I know that Corain really likes him. Actually, the ETR guys are quite high on Jeremy Bernard as well.
3:03So I find that I find that to be interesting.
3:07I'm not really worried about Roman Wilson. I think your concern with Jeremy Bernard and any potential wide receiver three, honestly, wide
3:16receiver threes across the league right now, your concern about them would be if everyone really is playing all this 12 personnel,
3:24Darnell Washington is going to get the contract extension and play a ton.
3:29I think we're just going to see a lot of wide receiver threes get squeezed.
3:35I mean, that's just the way it goes. GM GM, Sammy GM, GM, Jose 8% pierce all 3% brazzle across 800 drafts.
3:44Still feel pretty bad. Brother, you are one of the lucky ones.
3:48I mean, you got to say, you got to say at this stage that you are one of the lucky ones because I mean, I am positive.
3:59I have a good bit more browsing that three more, by the way, for the drafters survivor contest promo code Davis will,
4:07we'll get you guys in over there. If you want to come in and hang out great way to support the channel.
4:16Just got a new update from one of the 49ers beat writers quote.
4:21This doesn't look good for Pierce. All I think it's reasonable, rational, logical for the 49ers to not expect Ricky Pierce all
4:29to make any contribution in 2026, which is my expectation as well.
4:34I have moved my guy stripling about stripling way up in my rankings.
4:39Uh, Jaden Higgins Texans coach to Miko Ryan said Jaden Higgins is taking a year to jump.
4:45He used that phrase to describe both Higgins and Woody marks.
4:50We'll see. We'll see about that. Uh, all right.
4:53Very first survival draft here on drafters. I am drafting out of the 12 spot.
4:59If this format is new to you functions very similarly to the underdog eliminator key difference though, instead of doing head to
5:07head matchups, 25% of the field gets cut every single week, but then goes to a 125 person final.
5:15So slightly different strategy than you would do in the eliminator.
5:19In my opinion, um, definitely gets you towards a, you, you, I think you would want to slightly weight yourself towards stacks
5:27that honestly, that, that would be my opinion. And you know what?
5:32My rankings are out of date. So I need to, how do I delete these rankings rankings?
5:39These are, these are cooked. Well, let me just sort by, I'll just sort by ADP instead.
5:45There you go. Cause my, the rankings that I had in this app were, were cooked.
5:51They were, they were old. Drafters is a, uh, just drafters is just another best ball site.
5:58That's, uh, that's all it is. Promo code, promo code Davis over there.
6:03Yeah. Just more options out there. Uh, any opinions on the underdog acquisition?
6:08Also love the drafters content. I don't really have any opinions.
6:12Um, I hope that, um, I hope they continue to support best ball contests.
6:18Very excited for all my friends. I mean, Jeremy Levine built it from the ground up.
6:24I hope all my friends, Rudman, Hayden, Josh, Peter, uh, Jack Settleman.
6:28I hope they, I hope they all are getting big, nice payouts over there, but yeah, I, I, I don't know anything.
6:37I've not been, I've not been told anything. Nothing has been, nothing has been said to me as it should be right.
6:45Uh, GM, GM chat, my 28% pre-draft T-Ferg feels pretty good as it, uh, as it should.
6:52All right. What do we want to do here at 12?
6:56I guess in this format, running back points are going to be at a premium.
7:02This is a new contest, so I'm not going to have to be worrying about, uh, any huge, like ADP risers or fallers.
7:11Like you would be totally fine to select Dijon Stribling at, uh, at a new cost on this one.
7:18So I will, I will be targeting him really.
7:22It's really just any riser in general. Is it possible that Debo Samuel and Stribling cannibalize each other if Debo signs with San Francisco?
7:31I mean, definitely. Yes. Yeah. If you are a big Stribling drafter, you do not want them.
7:38You do not at all want them to sign Debo Samuel.
7:42That is worst case scenario. All right. I'm just going to do the chalk here.
7:48I'm going to start Jefferson and Barkley Jefferson too good of a pick.
7:53There should be, I mean, I guess we'll see how this draft goes, but there still should be some running backs that I'm interested in over there.
8:03Uh, Baker Mayfield not playing on a new contract this year.
8:07I find that to be pretty interesting. So he is playing on a one year deal right now.
8:14Good motivation to play through, although maybe not great motivation to play through an injury for Baker Mayfield.
8:21The last time Baker Mayfield played through an injury, the Cleveland Browns, uh, unceremoniously let him go.
8:28That one is pretty interesting to attack a by lower return to practice, participated in individual drills.
8:34Pukunikua probably not getting a contract extension till off season at the Denver Broncos.
8:40There are multiple players lobbying for Taysom Hill to be signed with the Denver Broncos.
8:46He is not going to be returning to the New Orleans Saints, which I think is pretty noteworthy.
8:52I tell you what Taysom Hill signing to the Broncos would be so, so annoying for all kinds.
8:59I mean, it'd be annoying for Ingram. It'd be annoying for all the wide receivers.
9:05Uh, this is full PPR, my guy, full PPR best ball over on drafters the way that God intended.
9:13Do we have any other big news or notes from today?
9:17Not really. I mean, the biggest news to me was that it doesn't seem like Chris Rodriguez is that close to returning for the Jacksonville Jaguars.
9:27We did get a, we did get a new quote from Roma Dunze about his foot injury.
9:33So he's talking about the new normal quote that went around Rome said, I really didn't articulate it.
9:40Well, honestly, that's not really what I meant. I just kind of meant that I had an injury.
9:47That's it. That's football. My foot feels great. My foot feels amazing.
9:52The training staff here, the training staffs I work with in the off season, all the work I put in to get it right.
10:01Honestly, it's not even really something that I think about anymore, which I think is the best thing you can have after an injury.
10:10I know new normal. That is a bunch of connotations of chronic and severe.
10:16Like it's never going to be the same. It's not like that at all.
10:21I'm completely fine. I went through the process of my recovery and rehab, and it's been great.
10:28Obviously I do my due diligence and all those things being out sucks.
10:33That really is the number one thing as a football player, any athlete, you don't want to be out practice game, whatever it is.
10:42Went through my process of getting that right. And I feel amazing.
10:47So that's pretty interesting to me because I have been, I've been, I mean, I certainly been below market on Roma dunes.
10:55And it seems like that is probably wrong if you're using health to justify it, which for me, it is not, uh, it's not full health related.
11:06I mean, a lot of it is, is Luther burden related, but it is at least nice to know that it seems
11:14that Rome is not having any concerns. Uh, I did have a decent amount of brazzle.
11:20I'd like 10% brazzle. So not great for your boy.
11:24That's okay. We will recover and we will persevere.
11:28We are going to take, uh, assuming I do not get snapped here.
11:33I'm just going to press the button on one Mr.
11:37Javante Williams. Yeah. Bang. And then Jalen Waddle. So a Barkley Javante Jefferson and Jalen Waddle start to do.
11:44What else do we have? Interesting here. Jordan Tyson already, uh, practicing back-to-back days.
11:49So it sounds like the hamstring injury has not been super, super limiting for him.
11:55Rico Dowdle and Jalen Warren have both been doing all of the first team running back work with the Pittsburgh Steelers.
12:03Today, Rico Dowdle was the first running back to get a touch.
12:08Yesterday, it was Warren. Does seem like that's probably going to be a relatively equal split until one of them differentiates in season.
12:17Uh, more Parker Washington hype. Day two for Travis Hunter played significantly more snaps on defense than on offense.
12:24Bucky Irving is back at Tampa Bay Buccaneers practice with no limitations.
12:29Uh, Irving had shoulder and foot injuries at the same time last fall, but it was a shoulder ailment that forced him to have surgery.
12:38Todd Bull said he feels fine. He feels great.
12:42He's full speed. He's full go right now. Obviously when we get in pads, we are not easing him back from anything.
12:50So we feel pretty good right now. If you're a big Bucky guy, that's got to feel pretty, pretty good.
12:58Uh, mental note. This is from my guy Zane.
13:01Uh, he, he pulled this from a Matthew Collier article.
13:05Uh, Kyler Murray and Jordan Addison have spent the last two months this off season working out together.
13:12This is a big one for me. Jaden blue, Jaden blue has put together some nice plays in Cowboys training camp and Schottenheimer.
13:21Schottenheimer had a quote today that I thought was pretty, pretty interesting where he said, Jaden blue knows his role.
13:29So the idea that Jaden blue even has a role on the team and isn't like on the outside looking in of getting a roster.
13:39I mean, I don't know about you guys, but the, the concept of Jaden blue having a role that feels pretty, pretty
13:47good to me in terms of him being a running back too.
13:52And having some function like in the passing game, cause that was Jaden blue as a prospect was a passing game guy
14:00that that was what he profiled to have an impact on, you know, right away in the NFL thought there was a
14:09thought there was a great quote from Devin. Don't know if you guys saw this, the H hand quote, which is, you
14:17know, they asked him about his goals for the season.
14:21He didn't say anything about winning the super bowl.
14:25He didn't say anything about, you know what he said?
14:28He said, I want to leave the NFL in rushing.
14:32He said, I want to leave the NFL in rushing.
14:36So there you go. Uh, any, uh, when asked about the, uh, when asked about hallmarks of the Bobby Slope offense, he
14:45said, uh, running the ball more, no problems with that.
14:48We want to mix it up a little bit.
14:52Slope does want to be more of a running team and I'm okay with that.
14:58So yeah, it does, does sound like there's going to be lots of Devin HN and Malik Willis, uh, running that.
15:06I did not see the Travis Hunter and Trevor Lawrence are staying late together, but again, that is more.
15:13For my ears as a, a Travis Hunter believer, a Travis Hunter, uh, drafter.
15:19All right, let's do, and I don't really want to take Rome.
15:23Is this a P wash team? This might be, you know what?
15:28Let's do it. Bucky and P wash. So we have Jefferson, Barkley, Javante, Williams, Jalen, Waddle, Bucky, Irving, and P wash.
15:36This is a survivor ass team, man. The streets are calling Jacob cowing this year's Parker Washington.
15:43That would be quite a call from the streets.
15:46Not even, not even saying I disagree, but man, that would be quite a call from the streets.
15:53You never know what the streets are saying. Jacob cowing, I guess will probably make the opening day 49ers roster.
16:01I did see yesterday. They brought in three different wide receivers for tryouts.
16:06So rip, rip to the pure Saul bags. Marshawn Lloyd has been taking first team reps.
16:12The team wants to keep building his workload during the camp.
16:16There's been no update on Josh Jacobs is legal situation during 11 on 11.
16:22Lloyd got started with the second unit outrunning defenders for a touchdown.
16:26He later took some first team reps in Jacob's place as LaFleur noted the plan is to keep building up Lloyd's workload.
16:35Obviously, quote Jordan Love said, obviously, we know Marshawn's gone through a fair share of things.
16:41To have him healthy, to have him out here is great.
16:45That's a guy we need to have out there because I know he's going to be a special playmaker, someone who can make those big explosive plays.
16:55I saw a tweet from my guy, Sam Sherman today that I'm inclined to agree with, which is I think there is
17:04a strong argument to be made that he is one of the best picks on the board right now.
17:11If we didn't know his name and he was just an undetermined guy like you just took running back X or whatever,
17:20running back Y, he would be steaming up. People would be jumping over themselves to draft him.
17:26I'm moving Marshawn Lloyd way up my rankings on Flock.
17:30I think he is one of the better. I think he's one of the better picks right now.
17:37You get into this running back range, so we get down here and you start getting to the Camaras, the Pachecos, the Samsons.
17:46I'm like, I don't know, man. I think I might like Marshawn Lloyd more than all of those guys.
17:53Diggs definitely makes sense for the 49ers. He would not have crossed paths at all with Shanahan.
18:00He would have been the end of his tenor in Minnesota.
18:04He would have been there with KOC, I believe, 2019.
18:08No, no, he wouldn't have. So he would have been Mike Zimmer.
18:13Then he would have been Bills. I guess the overlap would be Bobby Slowick is Shanahan tree, but doesn't have any direct
18:21experience with any of the Shanahans, unless there was someone that I'm forgetting early on in Minnesota.
18:28Norv Turner. Yeah, so no, no direct overlap with Shanahan.
18:32Booty catching consistent big downfields passes. Yeah, that situation is just very curious to me.
18:37I think that whole, like, is Kayshawn Booty actually going to be traded?
18:42Maybe not. You know, maybe he won't be at this point.
18:47Oh, wow. Trevor Lawrence already went at pick 82.
18:50I definitely do not want to be. Quarterback, I think, is very important in these eliminator formats.
18:57Getting a spike week from your quarterback is pretty, pretty big.
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20:15Knicks is at pick 108. I would be playing it pretty fast and thin.
20:21Let's do Herbert and let's do Jonathan Brooks. I am totally buying the Jonathan Brooks stuff.
20:27I'm ready to buy the top arena on Jonathan Brooks.
20:31I just want to keep buying. I can't help it, man.
20:35I'm like a moth to a flame. He's this year's riser.
20:39We always say that risers don't rise enough. And I think we have our answer.
20:45I mean, this is our guy. This is the riser who has not risen enough.
20:51Jonathan Brooks should be going ahead of Chuba Hubbard, I think.
20:55Carolina is another team that are live for one of the free agent wide receivers.
21:01So I disagree with that because I think they're happy to just run.
21:06I think they're just happy to run their 11 personnel with the guys they have right now.
21:12And if you're Diggs, if you're Debo, if you're Keenan, do you want to go play with Bryce Young and the Carolina Panthers?
21:21No, I think naked quarterbacks are generally, like, I think they're fine.
21:26The reason why you would want to have the stacks.
21:30So this format is a little bit different than the Eliminator in the sense that you are going to have some of
21:38these weeks, some of these slates where your whole team is going to kind of just bust, right?
21:45And one mega spike week, like getting your Alec Pierce, Daniel Jones stack is going to save you.
21:52It's definitely different than the head-to-head format. I'd be very curious with some of my math boys out there have about the
22:01difference between the Eliminator and the Survivor. I was in one of your little Dalmatians yesterday where you took Brooks at 80
22:09and I kept taking a chance on Hubbard at like 92.
22:13Yeah, so I did the little Dalmatian. I just auto-drafted it.
22:17And it looks like I ended up with a shit ton of Eli Stowers, which was unintentional.
22:24I got 71 Jonathan Brooks teams, a bunch of Debo teams, a bunch of Tootin teams, a bunch of T-Fur teams, a
22:33bunch of neighbors, a bunch of Stripling, a bunch of Darian Price.
22:37So that was fun. It is a good time to do the auto-drafted contest.
22:43Thoughts on a 49ers starting lineup being DeAndre Hopkins, Odell Beckham, and Christian Kirk?
22:48It's heading that direction, brother. It is not heading in a very palatable direction for the 49ers' health.
22:55The substation, man, I was a doubter. It was a doubter of the substation.
23:00Turns out I was wrong. Turns out the substation, very, very real.
23:05I mean, it's insane. The degree to which the injuries have continued for the 49ers, I've never seen anything like it.
23:13Have you ever seen a team this decimated? Well, all their key players, too.
23:19It's just like a torn ACL here, torn meniscus there.
23:22Well, Christian Kirk is going undrafted because he's already hurt, brother.
23:27Christian Kirk already injured his calf. All right. We are about to be back up.
23:32We are going to add in Harold Fannin as our first tight end, and I'm like a moth to a flame.
23:41I will. Oh, you know what? I can't take Worthy.
23:44I'm going to take Kyler Murray. So we have Justin Herbert, Kyler Murray, Saquon Barkley, Javante Williams, Bucky Irving, Jonathan Brooks, Justin
23:53Jefferson, Jalen Waddell, Parker Washington, and Harold Fannin Jr.
23:56Even the coach, dude. Even the coach is injured.
24:00More receptions this year, Christian Kirk or Chris Rodriguez?
24:03Who, Hames? That is a great question you've proffered to me.
24:08I'm going Chris Rodriguez. I don't think Christian Kirk plays.
24:11He's already hurt, man. It's July 30th. It's July 30th.
24:15He's already hurt. I'm calling Cap. Yeah. Zavian Thomas has been rotating in with the first team.
24:22If you guys have been watching this channel for a while, you know, Zavian Thomas is one of my favorite picks in the later rounds of the draft.
24:33Zavian Thomas definitely sort of just a very interesting prospect in that he was not ever that productive, but is maybe playing out of position.
24:42Like maybe he's actually more of a running back than a wide receiver and kind of fits a role that no one
24:51else on the Bears does unless they think Kalief Raymond can do it.
24:56But as like the pure speed deep threat, he's kind of like, you know, he'd be like a Darius Davis type, but
25:04maybe with the, well, certainly with the ability to have an expanded role for the Chicago Bears.
25:11I think he is a decent round 20 guy.
25:14Jaden Blue Buzz continues. Falcons doing a ton of 12 and 13 personnel.
25:19Not particularly great for my guy, Zachariah Branch. It's fine, but man, does any, does any team have a worse wide receiver two situation than the Atlanta Falcons?
25:30I don't think so. Uh, my exposure to Ricky Pearsall up and at this point is about 11, 11%.
25:38Well, it's going to be, it's going to be a lot less after I sink all my drafts here.
25:45Actually we can check. Let me just refresh this page.
25:49So I have completed not including drafters drafts. Actually, I think about 1600 drafts, 16, 177 drafts amongst all these drafts.
25:57Ricky Pearsall. I have taken 173 times. Yeah. Not great, man.
26:01Not great. Although it looks like at least not that many in BBM, only seven in best ball mania.
26:08So only seven. It looks like the, my, my total, the highest total number of teams came in the puppy.
26:16So I think, I think we'll be okay. It doesn't make sense to me to be out on Kirk because of a minor injury he has in July.
26:27I mean, that's just, that's just Christian Kirk's whole deal though.
26:31The deal with Christian Kirk is he just never plays.
26:35Right? I mean, that's the, that's the big issue here.
26:39Let me pull up the rankings page where it's easier to look.
26:44So Christian Kirk last year played in one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, 10, 11 games.
26:51The year before he played in eight games. The year before, I mean, he just gets injured every year.
26:58The Washington wide receiver two is bad just because they haven't made their signing yet.
27:04But once they, once they make their signing, it will be different.
27:09I mean, we all, we all know that, right?
27:12We all, we all know Diggs, Debo. I don't know.
27:16Who are the other free agent wide receivers? Is there, we say Diggs, Debo, Keenan.
27:22Is there anyone else lurking out there? 2026 wide receiver free agents.
27:26There's, there's gotta be some, oh, I gotta make my pick.
27:31Um, we'll do Shakir. And then do I take another tight end or do I just be done at quarterback here?
27:39I'm going to try and, I'm going to try and push it at quarterback actually.
27:45And I'm going to take Diggs. So here are some other available wide receiver free agents.
27:51We've got Tyreek. We got Diggs. We got Debo.
27:54Curtis Samuel, Noah Brown, Keenan. Oh, Josh Reynolds. Josh Reynolds is definitely going to, Josh Reynolds is going to rear his ugly head.
28:03Sky Moore. Brandon Cooks. Cooks will definitely sign with someone.
28:07Gabe Davis will sign with someone. I bet. And Malik Heath will sign with someone for sure.
28:13Tyreek. The thing with Tyreek is Tyreek is definitely going to ruin someone later in the season.
28:20You know, I don't know. I don't know when it will be, but Tyreek, Tyreek is definitely going to come up on someone later on that.
28:30That much is that much is, I mean, I think you can basically guarantee that.
28:36I don't know if it's going to be the chiefs.
28:40I don't know if it's going to be the Niners.
28:44I don't know who it's going to be. Someone is going to get wrecked by Tyreek signing in November, though.
28:51I think Tyreek. I think Tyreek is going to play football this year.
28:56Hot take. I do think Tyreek Hill probably plays football this year.
29:01Just not going to be until later. Why are we saying Ricky's out for the year?
29:07Because his PCL is torn. Or is it LCL?
29:11One of the two. One of the two. But Ricky's not playing this year.
29:16And that's just how she goes. Has there been any news on Antonio Gibson?
29:21You know what? No, I haven't heard a single thing on Antonio Gibson.
29:26And he would maybe be a little bit interesting, actually.
29:30He would potentially be kind of interesting for one of these guys.
29:35Yeah, it's not torn. He's got swelling in it.
29:38The issue is, and I'm sure you guys have experienced this, like, I just, when it's the same, when it's the same
29:47knee or the same ankle or the same soft tissue that is always injured, I just get, I get very skeptical about that.
29:56You just, you never love when it's the same, when it's the same thing.
30:01And it's, you know, it's probably not Ricky Pearsall's fault, but I don't love it.
30:07Where did, uh, where did, I missed it, actually.
30:10I, you know, Davis, you're not on your P's and Q's.
30:15I definitely should have taken Stribling ahead of Shakir.
30:18That's, that's me. That's me not knowing ball. Ricky seems like the best pick now.
30:24People think he's out for the year. You know, I would not be doing it, but, uh, go, go with God, Scott.
30:32I, I just knee injuries early on in the season when it's a chronic knee injury, I have a, I have a tough time with that.
30:43It's either, it's either the substation or whatever packs CMC made to be healthy.
30:48Yeah. How is CMC not impacted by the substation?
30:51Of all, of all guys to not be impacted by the substation, CMC just absolutely cruising.
30:58Seems crazy. Uh, definitely need another tight end. We're coming into a nicer range for tight end picks for me here.
31:06I mean, McCaffrey is definitely going to catch a bazillion passes.
31:10Uh, yes, we have talked about Rome's new comments, which were slightly enlightening to me, actually, to hear him recontextualize his knee injury.
31:19Now, as someone in the comments noted, it could definitely be the, the PR, the PR team that got to him.
31:27Wow. Someone did take Ricky Pierce all in this draft.
31:31I would like to take a Rondé Gadsden here.
31:34Bang. And now we take Dylan Sampson, Herbert and Murray, Barkley, Javante, Bucky, Jonathan Brooks, Dylan Sampson, Justin Jefferson, Jalen Waddle, P.
31:43Wash, Khalil Shakir, Diggs, Harold Bannon, and Gadsden. You know, Parker, Washington, Khalil Shakir, and Diggs are, are so funny.
31:50They are all the, um, they are the Charizard, Charmeleon, Charizard, Charmeleon, Char, what's the first one?
31:57Charmander, uh, evolution archetypes of each other. So yeah, CMC and Dorian Gray and the rest of the team is the painting.
32:06That's a good, that's a good bit right there.
32:09Did you watch, uh, did you watch a, a YouTube video on that?
32:14A YouTube recap of the picture of Dorian Gray.
32:18Shanahan is using the dark arts to steal other people's life force so CMC can have a healthy season.
32:25A, any, any league where I've taken CMC, I'm happy to do it.
32:30And in leagues where I don't take CMC, I'm leaning in pretty good to my guy, Kalen Black.
32:37Hmm. Hmm. What are we thinking here? I mean, Kalen Black actually good fit on this team.
32:43I guess standard roster construction, three, six, eight, three, probably.
32:47Maybe occasionally you'd want to take four tight ends.
32:51I think with fan and I'm fine. I am.
32:54I, this year in these best ball drafts, I am loving the four tight end teams.
33:00I, I feel like they are. I feel like there's just fun.
33:05I don't know. This is probably because I am just too deep in the weeds in fantasy football in general.
33:13But like, I just like, I love to think about Pat Fryermuth.
33:17I love to think about Eli Stowers. I love, there's definitely something wrong with me at this point.
33:24I am so deep in the fantasy football weeds, man.
33:28I'm, I'm dreaming about Darnell Washington, you know, touchdown shares.
33:32It's, uh, it's, it's pretty, it's pretty dark or not dark, depending on your perspective.
33:38Actually new, a new video on tight ends out.
33:41Actually, if any of you guys are curious when this one is done, but I've got a new video out on the
33:50Matic fantasy football channel about the breakout tight ends this year.
33:54I call it the, uh, I call it the, uh, the Gary Barnage rule.
33:59You know, every year in fantasy football, this is true.
34:03This is my guy, Andrew Cooper stat every year in fantasy football for the last 15 years, a tight end outside the
34:12top 15 has finished in the top 10. You know, it's just, it's just a mortal, it's a mortal lock.
34:20And there, there was a list of guys that I had locked in this year, by the way.
34:26And if you guys want to join in this contest, I don't know if you guys actually are going to want to
34:35join in this contest, seeing how good my team is, but you guys can sign up over on drafters using code Davis.
34:43Uh, if you've already gone over it, if Rome is fully healthy, what do we think about the splits between him and burden?
34:52I honestly think probably burden 26% of the targets, Colson, Loveland, 22 burden, 20.
34:58That's my, that's my best guess. Crimson, uh, brazzle exposure.
35:02I'm going to keep it real. It was not looking great.
35:06I, I did really like brazzle as a late round pick.
35:10He, he's kind of just the, he was just kind of the perfect archetype of a late wide receiver, like a fairly fallow depth chart.
35:20Just had to beat out. We get to be a starter, man.
35:24Debo is a really good pick here. Uh, so I'm going to take Mendoza.
35:30And you know what? I can't take deep. Wow.
35:33Do I take Debo? No, I got to take T for it.
35:38Come on. It's my first survivor. It's my first, I'd come on.
35:43I wasn't going to take T for again. My first survivor.
35:47I think Stowers, I think Stowers is a very good 20th round pick.
35:52Yeah. Sorry. So burden 25, 26% Loveland, 22%. A dunes, a 18 to 22% kind of depending.
35:58My, my mental math has burden leading the team and targets.
36:03Most fantasy football analysts disagree with me. Most fantasy football analysts think that Loveland is going to lead the team and targets.
36:11And a lot of really smart fantasy football analysts think that Luther burden is being overdrafted.
36:17I disagree with them, but you know, you guys are, you guys are all smart men and you deserve to have the truth told to you.
36:27And I will do, I will do my best to tell you the truth.
36:33I was semi out on Brazel than the tech big slot with Brazel thing came out, did 15 DKs for the promo.
36:41Oh, that is, that is tough. Uh, all right, well, let's check the Brazel here.
36:4716, 177 teams, not as much Brazel as I thought, actually 117%.
36:52That's not that bad. Or 117%, 117 teams. Brazel.
36:55I've got. Cumulatively. 7% Brazel right now. I guess let's see how many of those are best ball manias.
37:02Brazel and best ball mania. I have five times.
37:06So five zeros I've got in there. Uh, where's cooks at?
37:10You mean like Brandon cooks? I don't think I've taken Brandon cooks once.
37:15Max is on fire says he thinks it'll be Loveland, but him and burden are both going to the moon.
37:23Matt Harmon says that Rome's upside is like Devonta Adams because of how he moves and says that burden doesn't really play at all.
37:32Like St. Brown. So that's actually like a pretty good point.
37:36That I don't necessarily disagree with. Burden doesn't play like St.
37:41Brown. They definitely have different skills, but just because you don't play like someone like physically doesn't mean you can't be used in a similar way.
37:51And what I mean by that is burdens rookie year and St.
37:55Brown's rookie year. They both had the exact same average depth of target.
38:00Seven point seven point six, despite the fact that they do play differently, they get the ball in similar parts of the field, right?
38:10Any Katron Allen buzz yet there? I mean, not from camp, but I think the, I think the Katron Allen buzz just comes from people saying that.
38:20Ja'Cory Krosky merit's not that good, which I disagree with them.
38:24I disagree that J that JCM is not that good, but I, I see why people have that position.
38:32I don't think they're, I don't think they're wrong at all.
38:36You know, like I, I can watch football. I can, I can see, I can see what happens in, in a football game.
38:45And I see the things that JCM does not do that.
38:49I mean, some of those JCM games when Daniels was out and Mariota was starting, it was, it was some very uncomfortable looking football for sure.
38:59All right. This is going to work out. I mean, man, I, yeah, dude, look at that.
39:06Tank Dell and Jeremy Bernard in round 17, 18.
39:09That's an easy double tap there. So Herbert Murray Mendoza, Barkley, Javante, Bucky, Brooks, Dylan Samson, Justin Jefferson, Jalen Waddle, Parker, Washington,
39:18Kalushikir, Stefan Diggs, Tank Dell, Jeremy Bernard, tight end room of Fannin, Gadsden, Ferguson.
39:23And there are a couple of running backs that I have stashed away in my back little pocket just for this format.
39:32All wide receiver discourse is because nobody has good leads on who is going to positively regress touchdowns to.
39:39I mean, honestly, one of the most interesting things was just the lack of touchdowns scored by elite wide receivers just in general last year.
39:49So if you look at who led the NFL and receiving touchdowns, first off only seven guys with double digit touchdowns.
39:57Two of them were tight ends. One of them was T Higgins.
40:01Another was Devante Adams where they were all, they were just all completely scammed.
40:07In terms of target leaders in the NFL, Jamar Chase only had eight.
40:12Alave had nine. Justin Jefferson only had two. Wondale had four.
40:16Emeka Ibuka had six. Like it just, things, things went awry for the wide receiver position last year.
40:23The good news is 88% of my teams don't have Chris Brazel.
40:28I, I don't know if this is my favorite best ball contest of all time, but it's definitely a very good one.
40:36I think this is going to be the contest that I max on drafters.
40:41I'm going, and I'm actually worried. It's going to fill.
40:45I'm, I'm quite worried. This contest is going to fill before I get a chance to max it.
40:52So I'm going to be drafting a ton of these, uh, these drafters survivors here on stream.
40:59Uh, what's happening with underdog is they sold to a European company.
41:03Because of their prediction market situation. And. Some people are worried that cause that might cause them to not care as much about best ball.
41:13I don't know anything. I am. I'm very far on the outside.
41:18I know absolutely nothing. I only know what has been said publicly.
41:22Ooh, quote, Justin Herbert is dealing on day two of chargers camp, hit keep Mitchell down the left sideline to start off.
41:31Hey, that is what I love to hear. Red zone, rushing death of the fade route, cover two shells, pushing targets towards the interior, et cetera, et cetera.
41:42Hey, struck by a parked car, you know, ball, man, you just never know how long these things are going to last in the NFL.
41:51They, they always tend to regress towards normality over a very long, you know, the game, every time you think the game
42:00is solved, it's a, it, it isn't, I'm going to select Emmett Johnson with my round 19 pick here and my final wide receiver.
42:09Huh? Oh, I mean, I was already talking to him.
42:13Well, do I want to do Zavian Thomas? Let's do, let's do Surratt.
42:18Bang. All right. Final team. My very first survival team, Justin Herbert, Kyler Murray, Fernando Mendoza, Saquon Barkley, Javante Williams, Bucky Irving,
42:26Jonathan Brooks, Dylan Sampson, Emmett Johnson, Justin Jefferson, Jalen Waddle, P wash, Kalil Shakir, Stefan Diggs, Tank Dell, Jeremy Bernard, Elijah Surratt,
42:35Harold Fannin, Rondé Gadsden, and Terrence Ferguson. Hope to see you guys coming over there and join me.
42:42Use a little bit of promo code Davis and come and hang out.
42:47Support me, support the channel, draft a cool contest, and let's go hop on over to the dog app.
42:54See what's cooking over there on the lobby right now.
42:58All right. NFL, BBM, chow chow. Let's do a BBM.
43:02Let's do a BBM. I am, I have 67 more.
43:06Six, seven. Let's hop on in. The Cyrus Allen hype is going to get loud because everyone else thinks it's a good, it's a good point.
43:16It's a good point, Aaron. I do think he is looking a little bit better by comparison.
43:22What do I think Terrence Ferguson's ADP will be next year?
43:27It'll, it'll probably be, it'll probably be pretty high because Colby Parkinson probably won't be on the team.
43:34So honestly, even if T Ferg is not that good next year, he's probably going to be jammed up.
43:41Yeah. Look at all them sweet, sweet site credits, brother.
43:45That number is going to be, I tell you what, that number is going to be a lot lower here in a couple of weeks, Andrew.
43:55That much, that much I can, uh, that much I can guarantee you.
44:00That number is, is going way down. All right.
44:03We are drafting out of the one dot two in a best ball mania.
44:09We are drafting with Cormor 93. Cam has mad bars.
44:13Cam has mad bars, Liberty seed, Gallows night, Bitcoin, Dr.
44:16Martin Von strand, cactus, boosted. M4, Copa one, Ian, one five, one Oh one, and fad.
44:23Morin. Well, let's have ourselves a little afternoon draft.
44:26Fellas enjoy it. And let's, uh, let's draft a shipper out of the one dot two.
44:32Is Kalen black confirmed the backup? I mean, he's, he's not confirmed, but Jordan James is injured.
44:39So that's why people are, are, are aggressively drafting.
44:42Um, Kalen black right now is that Jordan James is banged up.
44:47How many people in the best ball community would rather draft than have sex?
44:52I mean, it's, it's not, it's not, it's not zero brother.
44:57All right. Little B John Robinson to start here.
45:00Why is Kyron Williams a fourth rounder is the lead back in the number one offense.
45:06It would be because my guy, Blake Corum started to relatively significantly eat into his work over the back half of the season.
45:15It went from a like 20% snap share guy to 35%, 40, 31, 34, 33, 46, 29, 25, 35.
45:22Yeah. The concern would just be that it ends up being a little bit more of a split backfield than it was.
45:31Any thoughts on the future of UD with the acquisition news?
45:35I, I just, I, I don't know anything. My hope and thought would be that best ball, would continue to exist.
45:43That's my, that's my thought. I don't really care about anything other than best ball continuing defensive sleeper, Milan van.
45:51You trust me, Matic knows I, I don't, I don't have that name in my list yet.
45:58I'm, I'm working on a very rough prototype of a tool for EPL best ball.
46:03I actually posted it in the discord last night.
46:07So if anyone, if anyone wants to check it, it's in there.
46:12How long until we are taking Cyrus Allen, every draft, it won't be, it won't be every draft, but I am happy.
46:20I'm happy to click them. Everyone's probably, probably, probably a little bit more as a DK round 20 pick than a UD 18 round pick.
46:30Is digs better than Keenan Allen at this very moment?
46:34ADP not considered. Yes. Yeah. Diggs is better. Jalen Royals was getting a ton of hype this time last year.
46:41Mac Nova does no ball. Do I think pure salt in the one twenties kills BBM and DK Millie teams are drafted far enough out.
46:51I mean, Holy shit. Yeah, it is. Justin Jefferson in the second round with Jonathan Taylor.
46:57What is happening? Walker cook, Barkley Hampton. That is insane.
47:01I have not seen that pairing in a while.
47:04Jonathan Taylor, Justin Jefferson. That's insane. Um, I mean, people have won best ball mania with like an Isaiah Pacheco zero.
47:13My guy goods won the big board last year with a Joe mix in and around five zero.
47:19It can, it can definitely happen. All right. Are you guys ready to see your new normal?
47:26You guys ready to see the new reality? I'm taking Malik neighbors.
47:31I moved, I moved Malik neighbors up into the second round in my rankings.
47:36And I, uh, I'm happy to do it. My site credits are more than a top 50 finish in BBM.
47:44Well, I hope they, I hope they lead to a top 50 finish in, in BBM.
47:50Easy to finish top 50 in BBM on site credits.
47:54And see, it didn't even, it didn't even matter.
47:57Cause Nico Collins is still there. Wow. What a draft.
48:01All right. Well, we're cruising. We're cruising right now.
48:05Bijan Robinson, Malik neighbors, Nico Collins. There you go.
48:08Mac Nova finished second in the DK Millie last year, and he had a bunch of zeros on it.
48:15You can, you look, you can definitely draft, uh, Raheem Blackshear.
48:20If you want, how many gente Bowers plus Mendoza stacks is considered healthy.
48:25Might need you to back away from the keyboard.
48:28Where do I draw the line on neighbors? Yeah.
48:32Realistically, I think he should probably go ahead. AJ Brown.
48:36I think Bowers is the line for me. Why Nico Collins over Devonta?
48:41I mean, Nico's just a better player, I think.
48:44And, and frankly has less competition for targets. I know AJ Brown is gone, but they drafted lemon.
48:51They drafted Stowers. I, I think Nico has shown a more concerted profile of target earning.
48:57I mean, Devonta is great. Honestly, it's really just, it's an ADP gift thing too.
49:03Anthony Richardson, Jaden, wow. Jalen Lane, the Jaden blue zero is classic.
49:08Heard of injury concerns for Nico. Yeah, he did.
49:11He has had the, uh, he has had the hamstring issues.
49:15Wow. Observations of life says, give me neighbors over Jefferson.
49:19Yeah. Devonta is definitely a little, a little underrated.
49:23Cause he's small, you know, people hate to see a short King prosper, man.
49:28They do. It's true. Dude, the CJ Stroud, the CJ Stroud video was so brutal, man.
49:34It really, it really was. I agree that the neighbor's news makes the left side more interesting.
49:41And just think of all the other news alerts we're going to get.
49:46Things are going to be changing every minute, every hour, uh, for, for the rest of the season.
49:53You know, I love it. I love, I love this time of year.
49:58It's true. It's true. The, the, I, I would not have done what Copa one did.
50:04I definitely would not have taken Josh Allen, Kyron Williams at 34, 39.
50:09Matt Nagy is the offensive coordinator for the giants.
50:12Matt name me the offensive coordinator. Malik neighbors is rookie season.
50:17Name me, name me the 2024 New York giants offensive coordinator.
50:21And then tell me if you think that guy's good at his job.
50:26Cause I bet, I bet off the top of your head.
50:30I bet you can't, I bet you can't name it.
50:34Devonta Smith won the Heisman trophy as a receiver, dude built different.
50:39Yeah. Neighbors. Neighbors did move up two rounds based on a 10 second clip, but, uh, Hey, I, I am a, I'm a chiefs fan.
50:48I also despise Matt Nagy. Uh, it was not, it was not Shermer.
50:53It was not Shermer. Wow, dude, they are. Okay.
50:57Well, everyone in this draft is trying to ensure that I win best ball mania.
51:03They're trying to say, Hey Davis, you know, you didn't get any sweet underdog equity.
51:08You're not getting a payout here, but we want you to win BBM.
51:13So why don't you just go ahead and take B John Robinson, David Montgomery, Malik neighbors, Nico Collins and Luther burden.
51:22We'll, we'll just give it to you, dude. We'll just give it to you.
51:27How long till JCM goes before Ramondra? I mean, Ramondra really should be a riser, right?
51:33Most, most obvious riser. Is, is Ramondra Stevenson. I mean, he's just the starting running back for the Patriots, by the way, Malik neighbors.
51:42Cause I do think some people forgot he, he led the NFL in.
51:47Whoa, that was, what was that zoom? Goodness gracious.
51:51That was horrible. Malik neighbors led the NFL in targets while targets per game.
51:56He only played 15 games targets per game as a rookie, a 1200 yards, seven touchdowns on 170 targets.
52:04I mean, we're talking, we're talking a special, special player.
52:08Honestly, you know what Hunter? You're right. I actually should have taken to in there.
52:13Cause the, the price of the brick on by shell tootin is going up.
52:19We, when we do, when we do ADP chasing next week, by shell tootin is going to be on the riser list.
52:27I think here's my prediction by next Tuesday, by shell tootin is going to have an ADP higher than cam scadaboo.
52:35And I think, I think he can get, I think tootin can get all the way to the Javante Williams, Kyron Williams range in drafts.
52:45Don't we have years of evidence to show backs like Armandre eventually get mogged by backs like Stevenson.
52:52You mean Henderson? Uh, uh, yeah, that was pro football reference.
52:56Yes. I mean, I would actually say this maybe is a little bit less true now because teams are placing so much emphasis on the run game.
53:07There's honestly probably enough on the bone for both of them to kind of be okay.
53:13Yeah, dude. I, I saw neighbors. I saw neighbors go at the five, six turn in the eliminator.
53:20Isn't that, isn't that insane? Wow. Matt Asiata. That's a name.
53:24The Matt Asiata three touchdown game. People forget. I don't forget swapped onto that in cash games and all time moment for your boy.
53:33This draft is wild, dude. QJ just went at pick 60.
53:37Goodness gracious. Yeah. Neighbors. Neighbors. Elim bros are eaten good.
53:41That much is for certain. I'm just going to, I'm going to be drafting a lot of neighbors for the next two weeks.
53:50Once, once he gets to a more appropriate pricing range, then it's not going to be great.
53:57I mean, I was hoping to get BTJ. I'm going to take Tyler Warren.
54:02No, sorry, Tyler Warren, Jalen Warren. Wow. Mondra at 72.
54:06All pure salt teams are dead. No, no, they're not.
54:10And I'm going to take Caleb Williams. So we've got Caleb B.
54:15John D. Mont Jalen Warren, Malik neighbors, Necro Collins, Luther burden.
54:19We are, we are cruising through this draft lads.
54:22I got neighbors at 67 in a Chad eliminator morning lobby.
54:27Well, that's the magic of Chad candles, brother. Shout out to Chad candles.
54:32Uh, I don't, you guys. All right. Everyone in the chat right now or, or in the comments, if you're, if you're
54:40watching this later, sell me the Jalen Coker pen, man.
54:44That's your job. Sell me the Jalen Coker pen.
54:47I think Jalen Coker is fine, dude. He's fine.
54:51You're two player 1.4, 1.81 yards per route run.
54:54You had the, you had the really big game last year.
54:59He had a good, had a good playoff game.
55:02You had the 21 point against Dallas as a rookie.
55:06Sell me, sell me the pen, man. It's your, you guys, you guys got to save me from not being a Coke head.
55:15You gotta, you gotta sell me the pen. Um, I actually, I actually did not move dart up too much.
55:23Cause again, I was anticipating neighbors playing this whole time.
55:26I, I was never a neighbor's doomer. Jalen Coker is a gangster.
55:31Joan Coker's last game. He played versus the Rams.
55:34He's a good young wide receiver too. Isn't Coker around 15 pick.
55:39If he doesn't have the playoff game, no brazzle, no tight end, always going to be losing.
55:46PPR read a book about him and he's great.
55:49I don't know about saying, sell me the Coke pen.
55:53Am I, am I cooked for having less than 3% of stripling?
55:58Hey, Chad, it's time. It's time to stripling about stripling for you, brother.
56:03It's time. It's time to start stripling, stripling right now.
56:07Should consistently play 80% of his taps and the targets are getting more consolidated every day.
56:13Okay. Okay. All right. Hey, uh, I've, I've pretty much fully capitulated on, on Parker Washington right now.
56:20Yeah. I, I, I am no longer fighting the good fight on Parker Washington.
56:25PPR doesn't like Tyson. Oh yeah. It's if, if, if he doesn't like Tyson, I'm sorry, but PPR does not know ball.
56:34Sad dude. It's sad. It's sad to see a young man like Tyler.
56:39Just, just show that he doesn't know ball. See, and this is why it's all going to work out guys, because they're
56:47going to let me get Jonathan Brooks at this pick right here.
56:52We're chilling, chilling on Jonathan Brooks. And then we are going to slap the button.
56:57We are not going to take dart and we are going to take Michael Pittman Jr.
57:04And we are just going to keep printing money.
57:07Yeah. The time for nibbling on stripling. It's over brother.
57:11You need to, you need to have yourself a full five core strip dinner.
57:16I don't hate Tyson, but I think a lot of it mogs him bad this year.
57:23Definitely could be. All right, let's check the P wash exposure, man.
57:271600 teams, 9.3% Parker Washington, 156 teams. Average pick of 77, 9.3% exposure.
57:32Hey, that's how it's done. That's how it's done.
57:36Lads. Strib steak, medium rare. Honestly, dude, call me, call me falling victim to the dumb beat.
57:42You guys can definitely tell me that I'm falling to the dumb beat.
57:47I'm, I'm worried about Marvin Harrison Jr. I am.
57:51I'm worried about Marvin Harrison Jr. Man. He, he looks rough and sounds rough.
57:56You know, he had the, he had the quote yesterday where he was talking to the Arizona beat writers.
58:04And he's like, I don't focus on anything positive.
58:07I only care about the negatives. I'm like, all right, man, that's bad.
58:12He wash is the only guy playing the puka role who hasn't jumped to the three, four, unless you're a Michael Wilson truther.
58:21Young to Coker generated a one 26.1 passer rating in their two year career mark of 0.672 EPA per play ranks 15th
58:29amongst all duos in the PFF era with 75 plus targets.
58:34Uh, what percentage of your entry fees do I bankroll versus site credits?
58:39So I'm a, I'm going to keep it a hundred percent real with you guys.
58:44It used to be a much greater split between bank roller site credits.
58:49It used to be, it used to be like 75, 25, but I have not had to deposit on either UD or draft Kings this year.
59:00Cause I got, I just got more site credits in my deal.
59:04When I, when I went to negotiate my deals with them this year, I said, Hey, can I get more site credits?
59:13And they said, yeah, sure. So I, I, I, I, if I had to spend the money, I would, but I just
59:21didn't, I just didn't have to this year. And trust me, dude, we can, we can still run out.
59:28Matt Lafleur gushes about Micah Wilson. He gushes. Wow.
59:32Dart lasts all the way to one 14. Hmm.
59:35All right. Do, do, do, do, do, do. Did leave myself in kind of a difficult spot.
59:42Quarterback wise. I do not want to take Jaden Higgins.
59:46I do not. I don't want too many Houston Texans on one team.
59:51Yeah, we can do a chow chow next, bro.
59:54We can do a chow chow next. Dang. All right.
59:58Sniped on JCM. So let's do Kelsey. Do, do, do, do, do, do Kelsey and man, uh, dubs.
60:05Damn. Oh, dude. Oh, thank God. I thought I got, I just thought I got auto-picked.
60:11Oh my God. I thought I got auto-picked Ricky Pierce.
60:15All that would have been so brutal. No, we're going to take, uh, we're gonna take Tyler Shuck.
60:22Tyler Shuck is our quarterback too. Whatever. It's fine.
60:26Oh yeah, brother. I'm, I'm DFS, DFS all day.
60:29I will be playing. I will be playing a good bit of daily fantasy sports this week.
60:36You better love Wilson. If you're passing on Marv, or maybe the Arizona Cardinals are just a bad team.
60:43Maybe the Arizona Cardinals just don't have, like, I know, I know everyone loved the garbage time performance of, uh, of Drew
60:51Petsig last year, but I, I don't, I, I don't know if we're going to, um, I don't know if we're going
61:00to run back the garbage time offense from last year.
61:04Thoughts, thoughts on the Arizona Cardinals. Here's, here's a great example.
61:08Let me show you guys a great example of the garbage time offense running out.
61:14Do you guys remember, you guys remember my, my guy, one Mr.
61:19Blake Bortles. Do you remember this 2015 season? Oh, it was so fun, dude.
61:24Bortles, they'd get shit canned every game. They won five games.
61:28Allen Robinson had 80 receptions, 1400 yards. Allen Hearns had a thousand yards and 10 touchdowns.
61:34Julius Thomas was on that team. TJ yelled and caught a bunch of passes out of the backfield.
61:41Denard Robinson was on that team. And then look what happened the next year, man.
61:47It got so dark, uh, down to 23 passing touchdowns.
61:51And it was Allen Robinson sucked. Mark easily sucked.
61:54TJ yelled and sucked. Allen Hearns sucked. Julius Thomas sucked.
61:58There are, yeah, there are, it, it's, it's definitely not a lock that the Cardinals do the same thing again.
62:06Gotta have a club, Nick, uh, premier pup one Oh one.
62:10I, I, I just go, uh, I, I do.
62:14I do Holland one Oh one, but it Bruno taking Bruno one Oh one would be fine.
62:20It's going to be worse than last year. Take a look at the schedule.
62:26I've not looked at the schedule yet, but I, but I believe that, uh, what role would Cyrus Allen play in the chiefs offense?
62:35I mean, he would, he would just, he would just probably be a better version of worthy, right?
62:42He would just play, he would just play that, um, that like flanker, like why role for worthy.
62:49I play a little bit of NBA DFS, not, not a ton.
62:53I, I really just play whatever tools and stuff that exists on run.
62:59The Sims, whatever is there on run. The Sims is, is what I do as a cards fan.
63:05The garbage time stuff is kind of fake. They were on their sixth string running back by season.
63:12I didn't have the defense spend time on our, they only had a healthy McBride and Wilson.
63:19Well, I mean, I don't think you're, I don't think you're wrong, brother.
63:24Damn. Stroud went, Oh, tough. All right. I'm taking stripling here.
63:28Stripling at one 43 is going to, is going to be an absolute jam.
63:34I am. No, I am not out on worthy, but if Cyrus Allen won a job, it would be, it would be
63:42worthy snaps that he would be winning. Cause I don't think he said he's not going to be the tight one Thornton deep threat.
63:51And, and my guy, Rashi rice is not getting benched.
63:55I don't think. Do we do chig here? Small ADP faller on chig.
64:00Uh, no, I'm going to take Omar Cooper jr.
64:04That actually gives me another quarterback if I need it.
64:08Caleb Williams, shock, B John, Montgomery, Jalen Warren, Jonathan Brooks, neighbors, Nico burden, Michael Pittman, Jr.
64:14and Travis Kelsey, which is worse. 5% tootin or combined 58% exposure to the Cardinals backfield.
64:20Ooh, 5% tootin is worse. The Card Cardinals backfield stuff can probably get there.
64:25You know, they're, they're going to be a lot of, a lot of running backs can just get there, uh, via, via attrition.
64:34Am I solidly stripling over a hunter? Yeah. Hot take.
64:38Give me, give me stripling over hunter. We're, we're eating stribi steak tonight.
64:43Yeah, we are. You know what, Carrie? I'm going to send that.
64:48I'm going to send your message right now. I'm sending that to Jacob.
64:53That's so good. Stribi steak. That's so funny. I think the Cardinals will be terrible, but their backfield still seems fine.
65:01Yeah. I mean, Jeremiah loves pretty good. Algier is, Algier is going to get, you know, we know what I, I don't know.
65:10And maybe, and maybe, maybe I'll be wrong, man.
65:13Maybe Jacoby will be better, better than I think.
65:17What if the Cardinals don't get decimated by injuries again and are better than what everyone thinks could happen.
65:24Stripling is a name that gives a lot. It's true.
65:28Still blows my mind. And NFL offense is being built around Parker, Washington, dude.
65:33Imagine. Okay. What is, what is striplings average draft position tomorrow?
65:38If Mike Evans has a hamstring injury, what if I'm saying, I'm saying it's, I'm saying it's possible blows my mind.
65:46Y'all are acting like stripling is Jerry rice. Honestly, what I'm, what I'm acting like is that Kyle Shanahan is him.
65:54I do. Ultimately, I do think this is probably what's going to happen, which is the four, do the 49ers.
66:02The 49ers are bringing back Debo, right? That's what's going to happen.
66:06You can't like, what? Look, let's look at their depth chart right now.
66:11So let's assume that Christian Kirk, let's assume Christian Kirk is able to play.
66:17So this is assuming that Christian Kirk is, is able to play football this year.
66:22Their wide receiver group is Mike Evans, stripling Kirk, Jordan Watkins, Jacob Cowling, D Rob, Malik Turner, and junior Bergen.
66:30It's not a, it's not a great group. Anytime you can take new Jonathan Mingo in the seventh.
66:37Here's the deal. I, I, I resent that. Can I say it's new Xavier Lee get?
66:43What if Shani has amnesia from the car crash and once I uke back now, I have not pondered that one, but
66:52can you imagine, imagine you get amnesia and you say, you know what?
66:57Aaron Rogers, welcome to the team. My guy, I, I haven't pondered it, but I'm, I'm open to it.
67:04Bringing Brandon. I uke back would indeed be the best bit ever.
67:09I mean, that would be, that would be a true 500, uh, 500 move.
67:14We are going to select Brian Robinson, Jr. For our running back room here.
67:20And we're playing fast and loose at tight end.
67:23It's probably not going to work for us. We're probably going to get killed at tight end here.
67:3050 first dates, but it's Shanahan and I uke.
67:3350 first dates, but it's Shanahan and I uke.
67:37That's a good bit. I, you know what? Technically, literally it's, it's so funny.
67:42You say this cause you're actually right. All that would have to happen for this to be a reality is Brandon.
67:50I, you could just go from Virginia, fly back to San Francisco and just show up to the 49ers tomorrow.
67:58Yep. There he goes. There goes Mr. Ferguson, not meant to have nice things.
68:04It's so, it's so true, but he really like, I, you could just, I, you could just pop up and say, Hey, I'm here.
68:13You got to cut me or you got to trade me or you got to play me.
68:19Do I have any idea what percentage of entry fees are state credits on DK or underdog?
68:26I mean, it would be sub 1%. Would not be, would not be near as common as you, as you think based on YouTube comments.
68:36True. I, you does have to apply for reinstatement.
68:39Has Shanahan played rookie wide receivers in the past though?
68:43I'm not saying he's not a great pick, but value, but I can't imagine anything earlier.
68:49I mean, your, your best case scenario, and this is crazy to bring up a guy who flamed out of the NFL
68:58this hard, but a young man by the name of Dante Pettis for the 28 teen 49ers.
69:04So Dante Pettis only played in 12 games and started out the year slowly, but in 2018, as a rookie Dante Pettis
69:13came back from injury and kind of was sick four for 77 and a touchdown five for one 29 to two three
69:21for 49 to one five for 83, three for 21 before he got hurt in that game.
69:28So Pettis, Pettis would kind of be one of your best ones.
69:32Debo. Honestly, it's true. He did. He did hang around for a long time.
69:38True. Trusting Brock Purdy did work out. I think Debo played a decent amount as a rookie.
69:44If I remember correctly, actually. Yeah. Debo. Debo had 900 yards and six touchdowns as a rookie for the 2019.
69:5249ers was second on the team in targets. And then I, you played a decent amount.
69:58I believe. Yeah. I, you guys are rookie actually led the team in targets.
70:04So Shanahan, Shanahan, it's, it's the rookie. Wow. By the way, boy, did I fuck this up?
70:10I'm not going to get any tight ends. I got, I got owned, man.
70:16I, I did not play this right. I kind of ruined this team.
70:21Brian Robinson, jr. I'm, I'm an idiot. All right.
70:24Got to take Friar Muth. Oh, not loving, not loving that.
70:28And then Dan, did Kate Otten go, dude, I'm, I'm really cooked here.
70:33Uh, Jerry Judy. Sure. All right. Well, tough, tough.
70:37All right. You guys are going to have to fix this.
70:41You guys can have to find me around 18 tight end.
70:45Bijan neighbors, Nico burden, David Montgomery, Warren, Caleb and burden, Jonathan Brooks, Michael Pittman, jr.
70:51Travis, Kelsey, Tyler shock, John stripling, Omar Cooper, jr.
70:55Aaron Rogers, Brian Robinson, jr. Pat Fryer, I'm with Jerry Judy, Tanner Hudson, Darnell.
71:00I could, I could just take color Jatavian Sanders, take the Ram starting tight end.
71:06Tyler Higbee, not doing that. I, you know what?
71:09You know what? All right. Let's, what is my quant have?
71:14What is my quant have for Cole commit? All right.
71:17Guesses in the chat. Cole commit. It's not great.
71:2122 receptions, 219 yards, two tuds. What is my quant have for Charlie Kolar?
71:2615 receptions, 148 yards in a touchdown for Kolar.
71:30All right. What about Noah Gray? 38 targets. Nate Borkucher, 11 targets.
71:34Mo Alley Cox. Cade Stover. No, come on. Luke Musgrave.
71:38No, not great. Brock, right? No, Adam Troutman, Taysom Hill, Justin Jolly, Schoonmacher, Joe Royer, Eric, all Eric, all Michael mayor.
71:46I wonder who made it so that all the good, good 18th round tight ends are gone.
71:53Dynasty question. Should I trade my mid 27 first Pollard for a 22nd and scat?
71:59Yes. Yes, you should. Chris, Eric calls a pretty fun zero.
72:03There's a page that has all the time. Okay.
72:06All right. Where tight ends, tight end, tight end projection, pretty bullish there on old T for Helm, Chig, Dulcich, Barner, Gasicki,
72:15Gat, who he does not like Gadsden. Jatavian Sanders would be the winner.
72:20It'd be like Jatavian. It really would probably be Jatavian Sanders.
72:24And Joku, so you can watch a young show.
72:28Ooh, you know what? Winner. Winner. Winner. Brad, Brad with the winner.
72:32My guy, my guy, Brad found the winner. Oscar Delparino.
72:36Ship it. Ship it. What are my James Connor thoughts?
72:40He's definitely draftable, but he, he's going to be traded.
72:44I think. 12% Jatavian Sanders. I mean, you ran good yesterday with Mitch Evans getting hurt.
72:50Delp was, was Brock Bowers and Darnell Washington's backup at, at Georgia.
72:55Oscar Welp. Oh, dude. Raritan is also good too.
72:58Raritan. Yeah. Raritan's also good. Oh, this is actually a good reminder.
73:03Mr. Bradbury. Thank you for reminding me about giving away portions of $2 million.
73:08I would love to send you $100,000. Anyone who signs up for Flock Fantasy using code Davis until week 17 in December
73:17gets a chance to win 5% of my winnings in fantasy football in this upcoming season.
73:23Any best ball contest, any big high stakes fantasy football contest where I take down a six figure prize.
73:30There will be one entrant randomly selected in December after week 17, who gets a chance to win a chunk of my portfolio.
73:39So sign up on Flock Fantasy using code Davis to enter into the drawing.
73:44Look, nothing on earth would make me happier than shipping you guys money.
73:50It would be great. You can get the season passes, 34 bucks.
73:54That's like your redraft cheat sheets. Basically my rankings, all the tools on the site, all that stuff.
74:01And there you go. What's 5% of negative $30,000?
74:05Well, it's still zero, still zero. I Kalar look, I don't believe in the Kalar stuff at all, but my friends at
74:13legendary upside.com think that he is draftable on draft Kings.
74:17No, the 5% is paid out in cold, hard American dollars.
74:21I will PayPal you or I sent, I sent a Bailey McAuliffe.
74:26I sent him 500 bucks last year and I would be happy to send any of you guys $5,000.
74:33Wow. Can you, can you see the KLS clip?
74:37You know what? Sure. You want to scroll the F down for Keandre Lambert Smith.
74:42Oh my fucking God. I'm about it. I'm about it.
74:46This is too good. Someone slap the Keandre Lambert Smith button.
74:51The first KLS reception, I was like, wow, he is the greatest wide receiver of all time.
74:57Is the ninth round too early for KLS? People are asking.
75:014, 3, 7, 40, played at Auburn. This is Darius Slayton vibes.
75:06My thesis is at least not that he is Jerry Rice's kid.
75:11A simpler time, man. A simpler time. We might, we might need a stribble clip.
75:16A, a, a, a stripling, a strip, uh, uh, uh, yeah, I don't know.
75:22Uh, all right. We're going to draft a chow chow now.
75:26Fun little, fun little contest. $50 to enter. Only 5,568 entrants, $50,000 to first place.
75:3225 K to second for this one. Drafting with Barnaby Zinner, Patrick Barnes, YouTube, my nemesis, bread Zeppelin, Grinch, hench, MD, MD
75:40Pizzini, Bucky plays, R Smith, Steve-O ball hog, got tuna 95.
75:45Drafting out of the third spot this time. And let's find ourselves a little, let's find ourselves a shipper.
75:52Why don't we, why don't we just ship a little, a little $50,000.
75:57Never heard anybody. A little Jamar chase action. Uh, Austin Hooper is back with the Falcons and you're baiting.
76:04It's true. Pete really did tout KLS on national television.
76:08Have we decided who this year's hall of fame game KLS simulock room is going to be?
76:15Uh, but, but, but, but, but, but no, the hall of fame game this year.
76:20Is the Panthers and the Cardinals. There's not really any candidates.
76:25I mean, it would have been brazzle, I guess, but yeah, there's not really, there's not really any candidates.
76:32Drafted stripling twice today. Call that a double stribble.
76:36How's that? Is that it? That's something. That's something.
76:39Every time I get the second pick, I go for chase.
76:43Hey, good for you, man. And then they never let Pete back on TV.
76:49Stribbed for her pleasure. Stripling about stripling. Stripling about stripling.
76:53Jimmy Horn. I think we're, I think we're past.
76:56I think we're, I think we're past the, the Jimmy Horn, uh, time of our lives.
77:02I could be wrong. I, I think, I think I'm probably past the, the Jimmy Horn part of, uh, of its life.
77:11I, you know, I could see brazzle not ruining the Tet angle.
77:15Why can't, why can't Lee get just play outside?
77:19He can, right? We get, can just play outside.
77:22Stribs is going to be on every, this guy's ranked two 50 on ESPN video.
77:28Well, I hate to, I really do hate to be that guy, but I am going to be that guy, which is,
77:37I actually did a receivers video draft yesterday. And stripling was the, was the cover boy, the hall of fame game wide
77:45receivers, Kobe Prentice learn something new every day. Wow.
77:49AJ Brown ahead of chase Brown. I've not seen that one too often.
77:54Now, if Derek Henry goes in front of me, I'm taking neighbors again.
77:59Derek Henry goes here. I'm taking neighbors again. And there's nothing that Patrick Barnes YouTube can do to stop me.
78:06Sorry, Patrick Barnes, YouTube chasing neighbors, brother. Do I have a take on Cyrus Allen?
78:12I would not be taking him on underdog right now.
78:16I would not be taking Cyrus Allen on underdog right now.
78:20I think it's, I think it's a smidge too thin.
78:24Keep in mind, we, we have gotten hype on chiefs rookie.
78:28I mean, Justin Ross, Jalen Royals. They, this, this happens, dude.
78:33This like, now I will say a big difference is there is no obvious veteran wide receiver for on the team right now.
78:41So Cyrus Allen could get some rotational stuff. I mean, that, that is, that is definitely true.
78:48Davis is jamming Cyrus off stream. No, I promise I'm not.
78:52And I will happily take Jeremiah love here, by the way, third round.
78:57Jeremiah love is a okay by me. What's my best CLV team.
79:02I would have to go search on flock fantasy.com using the, the best ball tools over there.
79:08I mean, I think I can search by like total ADP grade.
79:13Yeah. Oh, Carson steel, Darwin Thompson. I mean, there's been so many dude.
79:18There's been think of the, like there has been some dastardly bad chiefs players hyped over the years, man.
79:25Elijah McGuire earlier start. Elijah McGuire, Elijah McGuire is a different player.
79:30Elijah Mitchell. So I'm, I'm, I'm protecting, I'm protecting my heart a little bit.
79:35Uh, so if I sort by, so I, I honestly, the issue for me is that, Oh my God.
79:43Deneric Prince. Deneric Prince has got to be, has got to be the, the worst one.
79:49That one was pretty bad. Louie Reese is a Met.
79:53Oh my God. Yeah. We're all trying to find the guy who did this.
79:58I'm nervous. The fantasy talking heads are all drafting out Pierce and just saying they're fading him publicly.
80:05I am legitimately not taking him. Alec Pierce. I've drafted 37 times, 37 times in 1677 drafts.
80:12Generic Prince. Uh, I probably won't see the Spider-Man movie.
80:16I still have not seen the Odyssey. Hopefully, hopefully this weekend.
80:20I'm protecting my heart until it's around 10 and Xavier worthy staring me dead in the face.
80:26And Hey, the Alec Pierce fade could definitely bite me.
80:30Probably. I mean, not even probably. I know exactly the deal right now with me and Alec Pierce, which is that I'm
80:39definitely taking the, I'm, I'm definitely pretending that him being injured means that it's safe for me to fade him.
80:47All right. Are you guys ready for me to believe in something?
80:51There you go. You guys say, I don't believe in anything.
80:55How about, how about fourth round by shell tootin?
80:59How about pick 46 by shell tootin instead of David Montgomery?
81:03Never say, I don't believe in something. Alec Pierce is in the running for the worst click on the board, but he
81:12has the target profile where in best ball, he could still, he could still kill you.
81:18That, that, that is what I'm worried about. What I'm worried about with him is that he could still smoke me just
81:26because he has the fricking million yard average up the target.
81:31All right. I bet. I have zero combinations of this.
81:34Jamar chase, Malik neighbors, Jeremiah love by shell tootin and Jamison Williams.
81:39Uh, how is the guy coming off of breakout and payday when they lost their wide receiver to the worst click?
81:47Like it's cause he is not, he is not a targets per route run demon is the issue.
81:54He just, he's just never going to be a huge volume guy.
81:59Like even last year, his breakout year, he just barely got past 2.1 yards per route run has never been above an 18% target share.
82:08Like I, I understand how he gets there. It's just, it's a hard profile to stomach at an expensive price.
82:16That is, that is, is tough for me. Do I believe the rumor of the Monty Woody split?
82:23No, we, we know exactly what the Monty Woody split is.
82:27It's going to be 18 carries for Montgomery, four for Woody marks, two receptions for David Montgomery, four receptions for Woody marks.
82:36Yeah. I mean, Pierce will definitely rise when he gets back.
82:40From this injury. It's funny that all you have to do in fantasy is fade.
82:46The guys that did well last year and take the discounted guys.
82:50You know what? There is like, obviously I spend 30, 40, 50 hours a week talking about this, but you're not really that far off.
83:00You're, you're, you're, you're really, really not that far off from kind of the central conceit of fantasy football.
83:07Would you rather have Hampton or Saquon in the second round after taking St.
83:13Brown? I would rather have Saquon Barkley. I do think that us thinking marks is bad.
83:19Could bite us. Players get better. Uh, yeah, he, he definitely could.
83:24Hmm. Hmm. DJ more pick 50, by the way.
83:27I've not seen that one. Oh, I got to check.
83:31I meant to check the combos tool. So one of my favorite parts of the, so one of my favorite parts of
83:39the flock tool is the ability to check your combos in the middle of the draft.
83:46But I bet JMO toot and I have like almost none of.
83:50And why can't those guys? Yeah. So I've drafted 1386 underdog teams and I only have those guys together 10 times.
83:58Very, very light. Uh, yes. In the aggregate, this is true that fantasy points per game to last year correlate strongly with the next year.
84:08Do we do Burrow? Yeah. I'm just going to take Burrow.
84:12Burrow chase. That's honestly a combo. I don't have a ton of.
84:17In, in the aggregate, it is true, but there are, I mean, obviously this is why, this is why fantasy football exists.
84:25This is why people are watching my YouTube stream is because there's so much of the nitty gritty.
84:32That is the difference. do I have enough pull to get this mobile slow version reverted?
84:39No chance. Nobody cares what I think, man. Who's this year's 2025 pickings?
84:44I mean, isn't the most likely candidate Brian Thomas Jr.
84:47I'm taking Ramond right here. Isn't, isn't B isn't BTJ.
84:51The guy who just scores like, who just scores like 11 touchdowns and everyone thought he was kind of cooked, but he's just a huge win.
85:01I think it's probably Brian Thomas Jr. Even going in a similar range of the draft that pickings was going in last year.
85:10I think Mark's only hits of his role changes drastically.
85:14He would need a huge passing game role. He just sucks as a rusher.
85:19Yeah, I got a, I got a, I got a comparison for you guys that I don't think, I don't think you're going to like.
85:29I've been, I've been sitting on this one. I was wondering, I was wondering if I should tweet this one.
85:37So single season descending PPR points per game, running back 2025, regular season, biographical filter year, players career, first year, carries over 100.
85:46You guys are, you guys are, are not going to like the comparison here, but Woody Marks and Quinshawn Judkins.
85:53Very actually, you know what? Let me include this in the post season.
85:58Cause this will make them even closer. Cause it more volume for Woody Marks.
86:04Woody Marks 9.5 points per game. Judkins 12 points per game.
86:08Yards per carry. Woody Marks 3.6. Judkins 3.6. Success rate.
86:12Woody Marks 46%. Quinshawn Judkins 40%. 171 total PPR points for Marks 169 for Judkins.
86:18832 rushing yards for Marks 827 for Judkins. At least Judkins is healthy in a great situation.
86:24Judkins. Wouldn't this year's Pickens be a wider super two on a new team?
86:30Yeah. I, I just was, I just was thinking.
86:33Like a, a guy that everyone has mixed feelings on who is going too late in drafts for me.
86:41Uh, all right. I know who I want to take in the next pick, but I'm not saying it because I don't
86:49even want to put it in the universe for Patrick Barnes YouTube to take him.
86:55Oh God. Patrick Barnes YouTube, man, just sticking it to me.
86:59All right. I'm going to take Laporta. And then I'm going to try and push golf to one 18.
87:06Browns last year were worse than the Texans. It's true.
87:10If you're telling me not to draft Judkins, you're preaching in the choir.
87:15Uh, yeah. Waddle. I guess Waddle is this year's Pickens.
87:19Yeah, that's right. I'm sure everyone was asking, but it's pure salt even draftable anymore.
87:25I removed pure salt from my rankings. On flock fantasy.
87:29Dot com. I, I actually don't mind love and Michael Wilson together.
87:33Um, the question is, is do I take gain?
87:37Well, our white here. All right, we're going to push it.
87:41I am going to take Michael Wilson. I'm going to take a Sophia Smith's husband.
87:47There you go. Crispy says Waddle is this year's Pickens.
87:51Is Laporta usually going before Fannin and Pitz's of the world?
87:55It, they all go in the same range. I guess pits, pits and Fannin go a little bit, a little bit after.
88:04It's easy to draft Judkins with state credit. I heard through the grapevine, they took Pierce all out of the sidekick.
88:12Yeah, I'm, I'm out. I'm out on, I'm out on Pierce all.
88:16If Pierce all comes back in week 14 and burns me, I guess it is what it is.
88:23Uh, you know what? This is actually a good one to check on the flock prediction tool.
88:30I've not ran this one yet. So the, uh, the Roman dunes, a closest comps are Corey Davis, bad Gabe Davis, bad
88:38Alan Robinson, who I guess came around to being good, but was bad as age 23 season.
88:45Pierre Garcon, Torrey Smith, Christian Kirk, Devonta Smith, Jameson Crowder.
88:49What if I change it to his age 22 season?
88:53Uh, age 22 season, still pretty bad. Still pretty bad.
88:56Tony Donovan, people's Jones. All right, let's change it to experience.
89:01Instead. If you change to experience, it gets a little bit better.
89:05Debo was a big jump. Keenan was a big jump.
89:09London was a big jump. Godwin was a big jump.
89:13So I guess it's just that he's over aged.
89:17That's the issue. The issue is that he is, is he was an over age prospect.
89:23Yeah. Burden being in there is funny. Hey, will you just, you lock in brother.
89:29Don't even, don't even, don't even let it bother you, man.
89:33Adam Randall is a good pick. Adam Randall is good pick.
89:37Someone called Rome or shot Bateman recently. That, that hits close to home.
89:42Pierce is plus one 20 for a thousand yards, better than third and fourth round wide receivers.
89:49Yeah. I just tend to not get too much signal.
89:52Wow. And I do get Jared golf. I, I don't get a ton of signal from those markets because you can't bet.
90:01No, like I could not bet Alec Pierce. No minus one 20 or one 30 for less than a thousand yards.
90:09So I'm not as interested in those markets personally, but I rather have a book, a tet or Smitty.
90:16I would rather have Devonta Smith. Um, you know what?
90:20I got it. I bet. I have like no combinations of this.
90:25I, I have sold myself a good bit on Dalton Kincaid.
90:29I bet Kincaid, the Porta teams for me, I bet this is legit zero.
90:35I bet, I bet 1300 teams. I bet it's a legit zero.
90:39Wow. Three times on 1386 teams. Yeah. Like all, like legit, almost zero.
90:44Pierce salt dynasty value tank below a second. I would maybe, it would depend on the team.
90:51It, uh, it would really depend on the team green stuff.
90:55There, there would be some teams where I would pay a second for Pierce.
91:00All there's the port of having back surgery cause any concern.
91:05I mean, I feel like it's concern. I feel like it's shown in his average draft position.
91:11He's like quite frequently going outside the top 100 picks.
91:15So I think there, there's gotta be some concern.
91:19There's also some concern that, that J Mo just mogs him.
91:23I like, I, I don't, I don't, I don't take a ton of Laporta, but pick 94.
91:29When I was setting up a, a lions thing feels fine.
91:34One NFC West GM said AJ Barner is a mini George Kittle.
91:38Could, could be true. Redraft question. Drafting at one Oh one with Gibbs.
91:43How comfortably do you feel? Clicking love at the two, three turn.
91:48I personally feel pretty cozy, but a lot of, a lot of people out there are concerned about Jeremiah love or just the Cardinal stuff in general.
91:58I'm not, I'm not really, I'm not really all that concerned.
92:03My, my knickers are not in a twist about, uh, about the Jeremiah love situation.
92:08Ooh, that's a tough pill. That's a tough pill.
92:12Fantasy pill. 22% pierce. So Roy was getting some hype yesterday.
92:16Yeah. I mean, Hey people, people forget. We were, we were kind of excited about Elijah Royal last year.
92:23Elijah Royal was getting drafted in best ball mania last year.
92:28Hmm. The reason you can't bet no on those markets, the books can cover themselves as injured.
92:34Yeah. I mean that everyone knows, everyone knows one sided lines are not a particularly great deal.
92:41Why are all the best tight ends on bad offenses?
92:45Is there any correlation of team success and tight end success?
92:49It's more that the tight end position is just a hard position to find good players at.
92:55All right. Hey, here you go. I basically just got Quinshawn Judkins in, uh, in round 13 or round 12.
93:03Woody marks a pick one 42. We call him, we call him Quinshawn Judkins light.
93:09Not a big college watcher. How to love and gently compare to each other's caliber of prospects.
93:16In my mind, love a tier below. Gentie as a prospect.
93:20Some people disagree with me on that. He also love came out really good in my prospecting stuff, but he was also the number three overall pick.
93:30So it's just really hard to divorce that. I'm going to take Trey Tucker opposite Jeremiah love and Michael Wilson in week
93:3917, that Las Vegas, Arizona game there. I'm 16 minutes behind and I can not allow myself to fall for Cyrus Allen.
93:47Yeah, it's very real. yeah. I mean, if you do look historically at some of the greatest tight ends, I mean, Gronk, Kelsey, Jimmy Graham.
93:57I, I have a plan. I have a plan.
94:00Jake don't broadcast it to everyone, but I do have a plan for third quarterback.
94:06I do know I need one. Hmm. By the way, the chow, chow, a lot of these smaller formats, they have, they have four through 12 advance.
94:17Just, just making sure you guys are checking, but it is only two out of 12 advance by the way.
94:24So if you were drafting in the $50 chow, chow, make sure, you know, it is, it is basically a best ball mania style structure.
94:34So be careful. Do I have an offensive rookie of the year prediction?
94:39If I was going to bet on someone, I would, I would probably bet Tyson.
94:45What are, I don't even, I don't even know the, I don't even know the odds.
94:51I would guess Tyson's like 20 to one or something.
94:55That feels, that feels about right to me. My plan is not tail and green.
95:01Tail and green is going to be a fun.
95:04Tail and green is going to be a very fun preseason DFS play though.
95:09If you're, you're into those sorts of things. True to evade to evade to get to week 17 is pretty nice.
95:18I mean, it's just a, it's just a smaller style draft market.
95:22Only 5,000. Entrance price. Tice. I don't think can get enough.
95:26I have, I have, I have gente ranked ahead of Saquon, but I would be, I would be happy.
95:34Well, okay. Nevermind. I would not bet Tyson at six to one.
95:38That is, that is no good. Uh, I am not bumping Evans at all.
95:44I don't really think Pearsall impacted him much. Just more or less advanced change ADP.
95:50It's more about to me, kind of how you structure your team.
95:54How many Josh Allen, James Cook, eight chain teams have you drafted?
95:59Uh, probably none. Probably none. If I had to guess.
96:03All right. Well, I did not get a chance to stripling about stripling.
96:08It's unfortunate. Heading to pick one 66. I mean, this is just a big ADP drop on Jawan Jennings.
96:15I guess, I guess I will just dip a Reno scoop on Jawan Jennings there.
96:21No rookie quarterback starting week one. So the skill guys are priced up.
96:26Hate that. We don't think there's currently any number three running backs that can just take over the job anywhere.
96:34Correct. Just take snaps from the twos. Uh, I wouldn't, I don't think I'd say that.
96:40Um, but, but, but all right. Well, I ran out of quarterbacks.
96:44So I'm just going to take Jacoby. Jacoby should definitely be starting in week seven or week six.
96:51If Jacoby can't make it to week six, I guess this team is dead.
96:57I don't think Mendoza will start week one. Yeah.
97:00Claiborne, Claiborne could, I think, I think once you get to the one twenties, anyone, anyone safe for stripling.
97:08I think, I think, I think in the one twenties is totally fine for stripling.
97:13You guys, you guys disagree on that. I think one twenties is fine.
97:18Like once, once conception goes, I think you can take stripling.
97:23Yeah. If Jacoby can't make it to week six, then McBride is going way too early.
97:29Correct. Correct. Yeah. Very, very true. No, I don't think it's bad to take hurts and dart and then not take a quarterback three.
97:38I think, would you take one of the top six, seven quarterbacks?
97:43You can easily get away with it. Stripling over hunting.
97:47I mean, they're pretty similar. I don't, I don't really think they're, they're, they're kind of similar value propositions, right?
97:54Except we're, we're more confident on stripling playing. I might end up with 40% Mendoza.
98:00If he falls from the Kirk cousin, I mean, he already is, he already is very, very cheap.
98:07If we ignore their names, there's no reason. Stripling can't be right next to conception.
98:13Yeah. I mean, it's just the issue is that can stripling stripling was not a, a very good prospect.
98:20Yeah, I would, I would take CD and pickings together.
98:24I mean, Hunter will probably have bigger spike weeks, but I just don't.
98:29I you're, you're, I think anyone who has a really, really high degree of confidence in stripling is, or, or in hunters is probably misguided.
98:39Like, I don't know. You don't know. Liam Cohen probably doesn't know.
98:43Hunter probably doesn't know. Trevor Lawrence probably doesn't know.
98:47Like what, what is the, what is the regular season going to be like for the team?
98:53I mean, we just, we just don't know. We just do not know.
98:58All right. I definitely need another running back. Curious to see you.
99:03Mr. Patrick Barnes, YouTube takes here, but I'm going to take someone that Sam Sherman called the best pick on the board
99:12career 2.3 fantasy points for Marshawn Lloyd. There you go.
99:15Burrow, golf, Jacoby, Jeremiah, love by shell to and Ramond Ray Stevenson, Woody marks, Marshawn Lloyd, Jamar chase, Malik neighbors, Jamison Williams,
99:24Michael Wilson, Trey Tucker, Jawan Jennings, Sam Laporta, and Dalton Kincaid.
99:28Kincaid strip will have between zero and 1200 yards.
99:32That's true. That's true. BTJ mega crash out. Don't, don't put that evil on Brian Thomas, Jr.
99:38Bro. Don't put that evil on him. All right.
99:42What are we going to do here? Tight end.
99:45Yeah. Yeah. All right. Mike is sick. Why not?
99:49Why not? Having your number three quarterback be Sanders or Mendoza feels okay.
99:54Cause you're two quarterbacks before just playing you up at some point.
99:58I don't mind taking Mendoza or shader. Um, I am, I am getting, uh, I am getting increasingly Kincaid build.
100:06Marvin Harrison, Jr. Does look bad on X, the everything app.
100:10Nothing is stopping you from taking both Hunter and stripling.
100:14It's true. I've heard that. I mean, I would assume by today's Thursday.
100:19So by Saturday, by Saturday, stripling is going to have an IR ADP.
100:24I, I agree. I, I mean, I agree in general.
100:28I think I, I really only take a sickie with burrow.
100:32All right. So total Mike, a sickie teams for me on underdog over 1300 teams.
100:38I've got Mike a sickie 91 times. So 6.6% of my teams, 91 and with burrow 13.
100:45Okay. So actually I lied. Well, some portion of those have got to be, have got to be, uh, auto draft.
100:53My man, Sammy stacks. Yes, sir. Uh, I just before this stream, I went out with the dog in the backyard and
101:01I, uh, I purchased my flights to Austin. So it's, it's happening, brother.
101:06It is happening. I'm pumped, man. I'm pumped. We're like 12, 12 days out or something now.
101:1311 days out. Biggest, biggest week of your life, brother.
101:17I mean, man, it was such a blast last year.
101:21Like just, just, just a bunch of like-minded individuals, you know?
101:25I hope, I hope to add my, my, my goal is I would like to add a thousand subscribers to my, to
101:33my redraft channel and a thousand subscribers to the best ball channel.
101:38That's if I get that by the end of the week, I'm going to, I'm going to be getting too small by these guys though.
101:48That's the thing. I'm like, you know, show up always jokes about big fantasy.
101:53I'm like, no show up. You don't even understand.
101:56There's a whole world that exists out there. I, we are not big fantasy brother.
102:02These dudes are, are big fantasy. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
102:06No, no, they, uh, some humble guys though. So I don't think you should be too worried.
102:12We're going to find out. Uh, we are going to find out.
102:17I'm on the, I'm on the flock league graphic, better life.
102:21So that's all. That's, that's all I can say.
102:25I think it's safe to say. I mean, it would be crazy.
102:29It would be insane at this point. It would be, it would be, uh, who do I take here?
102:37Do I even have a bring back here? Yeah.
102:40We'll take Elijah Surratt. Hi, man. What, uh, what do you, I, I'm not leaving the house twice in a span of
102:4930 days because I am not going to the ship chasing meetup.
102:53It's not, it's not going to work out next year.
102:57I mean, the fact that they're back to back weekends is just, and also it's just so funny.
103:04Like, why did they pick Austin? Ship chasing? Yeah.
103:07Why did they, like, I know why, I know why, I know why Mason wants to do it in Austin, but I, it's, I, I don't know.
103:18I don't know why I should ask Peter why they chose that.
103:23Uh, Miami, right? Yeah. Do you want to do BBM or a chow chow?
103:28Um, whatever you want, man. I'm, uh, I'm easy.
103:31I haven't, uh, I'm probably going to miss out on the schnauzer.
103:36I think I'm, I'm at peace with that. Tough.
103:40You're not going to go, you're not going to go drive to the border to, uh, normally go on Friday, but to, to, yeah, to spend $60.
103:50I, yeah, I don't know. Normally I go on Fridays.
103:54It's probably going to be, it's probably full by the time I go tomorrow.
103:59So you go, you go on Fridays to go, to go catch the Frenchie.
104:05Well, it kind of just worked out that it was just the day that works best, honestly.
104:11Yeah. And then it, uh, yeah, it happened to be that the Frenchie is a Frenchie Fridays.
104:18So, all right, Sammy, a Rondé Gadsden is like legitimately in, in free fall.
104:23I, I, and I actually just looked, my quantitative has him as like the tight end 25.
104:30So he's not buying it either, but kind of crazy, kind of crazy.
104:35He's not a projection based bet though. Right. Like, I don't know.
104:39No, he's, you know what I mean? Like, like that doesn't surprise me at all.
104:45I think that dude, I've been like, as soon as the season ended, I'm in all the, I'm into all the dynasty stuff, right?
104:54People were really steaming him up, like really excited.
104:58And I was completely out on it. Like him being like a top eight dynasty tight end, all this kind of stuff.
105:06But like this year, an offense that we just want pieces of.
105:11I mean, you, we talked about the Njoku Kolar thing last, when I was on last, like, I just want pieces of this offense.
105:20And like for a guy that had 150 yards in a game last year, like you don't need much in the one.
105:29And let's be honest, looked, looked really good doing it too.
105:33Like that's the other, like he definitely, he definitely looked, he definitely looked the part, which I know is like kind of a small part of it.
105:43But to me, I'm like, I don't know, man, if you look the part and you get the offensive upgrade, and, and all that stuff.
105:53I mean, I'm, I'm, I'm pretty into it. I'm about to run a stat head filter.
105:59This is my, this is my, my biggest request next off season.
106:04I'm, I'm going to pester Joe about this, but I really would love to be able to do these stat head filters on the flock site.
106:14Hmm. We just have to buy a bunch of data.
106:18It feels like Mason, Mason, Mason likes data. We might have it all like there.
106:24So you can, you can do it. Just not the exact way you, it's hard to reverse engineer it.
106:31It's hard to do it. It's hard to do it from the numbers there.
106:36There would be a way for me to do it.
106:40I'm just kind of stuck in my ways. There's a, yeah.
106:44I mean, that's what, that's what January and February are for, right?
106:49Is, you know, nothing's going on and just as many ideas as possible.
106:54All right. I'm trying to look up a rookie tight end seasons from like the last 20 years.
107:01Cause I bet the Gadsden comps are, are pretty good.
107:05I mean, we have the, we have the predictions page, which I bet for Gadsden are actually probably pretty good.
107:13We are picking at eight in this chow chow.
107:16And I'm hoping that we get, I actually don't hate taking Jonathan Taylor in, in these formats.
107:23Cause it's, it's an easy way to hedge out of how little Jonathan Taylor we have in other spots.
107:30Sure. Where, where, where are you comfortable taking neighbors right now?
107:34I'm going to take JT. Yeah, go for it.
107:38Um, I think, you know, back in the second round, like I still, I think I moved him to 24 in my, in my redraft rankings.
107:48Um, it's sort of just like, like if I'm, and I don't think he ends up there, there's a chance, but, but
107:56I think that we'll continue to get bullish news.
108:00Um, I just don't want to go so like, I don't want to like fully steam them up to like where I'd be drafting him.
108:09If he'd been, you know, more on schedule, you know what I mean?
108:14So 24, I think right now in a tier for me with, you know, at the end of the tier with London,
108:23AJ Brown, Nico, Rashi, uh, is, is where I would take him if I was drafting tomorrow.
108:30I think he's, I think he's definitely in that tier.
108:33Uh, he's a guy I'm pretty interested in taking in redraft where I, like if he does miss, uh, one week or
108:42two weeks or whatever, it's, it's like, it's just like totally less of a, of a big deal.
108:49Yeah. Uh, all right. We're going to have our choice of, it looks like Henry or H.
108:55Oh, Chase. I mean, I would definitely be me too.
108:59Yeah. Yeah. 100% be chase Brown here. Yeah. Shamar Stewart injured in practice yesterday.
109:05Hyper extended his knee, just making the, uh, yeah, making that, uh, that, that defense a little, a little worse.
109:12Love that would be a huge bummer if the Bengals defense was actually good this year.
109:19I would, I would really, I would really not appreciate that.
109:23That would be, that would be brutal. Definitely not the expectation.
109:27I don't think, um, I think Zach Taylor said that like it's, it was, you know, everybody gets carted off in camp, right?
109:36Like Zach Taylor said that, uh, he'll probably be fine miss a few weeks maybe, but yeah, no, that D I mean,
109:44he also wasn't very good last year. Like that's true.
109:48He had like the whole contract issue, but then, uh, wasn't really good when he did, when he did get to play.
109:57So I assume you, you've touched on brazzle today, obviously.
110:01Yeah. It's a bummer. It's a bummer. I was, I was drafting him late.
110:06I wasn't taking him much. I, I wasn't a huge fan of the prospect, but I mean, bro doesn't believe in, in
110:15university of Tennessee wide receivers, too much experience with, uh, Cedric Tillman and Jalen Hyatt.
110:20I like Cedric Tillman. I was, I said, Cedric Tillman showed some stuff, man, but, uh, yeah, that's just, it's just rough.
110:29It's just rough. Good 18th round pick in 2027 though, for sure.
110:33Yeah. They'll have someone, they'll have someone new and a new quarterback.
110:38Probably. So I tried to run the filter for Gadsden, but from 20, from 2225, he's the first, he's the first type.
110:47He's the first day three tight end to have 600 yards in a regular season in 15 years.
110:54Really? Unless, unless I'm doing something wrong with this filter, which I don't think I am here.
111:00Let me make it 500 yards. I don't, I don't think I'm doing anything wrong.
111:06There you go. You get Aaron Hernandez, Chris Herndon, and George Kittle, who, who he actually had more yards than all of those guys.
111:15And yeah, greatest. He needed a will disley injury to get on the field, but once he was on there, he looked really good.
111:24I don't know, man. I don't know. The production, the snaps going up directly coincided with when disley went down.
111:32You good with a lava here? I'm going to take T.
111:36I'm T over lava. We, we all, yeah, with chase Brown as well.
111:41There you go. Setting up, setting up the, the mega Bengals onslaught.
111:46It kind of just works with this. The Bengals feel just like very guided by, you know, like the stack, you know,
111:55last year it was, do you take burrow at 50, 49, you take him, you take him at the four or five
112:03turn to try and push him to the six, seven turn.
112:07Yeah. That was what it was like every time.
112:11Cause like T Higgins and chase Brown were both kind of in that exact same range.
112:17Right. Yes. But now, you know, burrow kind of just goes where, where his teammates go.
112:23And I don't mind it. Like, I think it is, I, I believe enough in chase Brown and T Higgins that I'm
112:32fine, that I'm comfortable having a good amount of this, where I go Brown Higgins burrow and not having the alpha, even
112:40though like maybe from a game theory standpoint, it's not, I mean, and, and you get, you're getting loads of contingent value
112:49there too, because anytime, anytime chase misses, like any play that chases off the field, the T Higgins targets for outrun is, um, is insane.
112:58Uh, Oh, this is a horrible spot of the draft.
113:02What do you want to do here? Yeah. I mean, I'd go, I, I I'm fine with T Mac.
113:09I, I like Terry as well. Like I wouldn't be opposed to pulling Terry up.
113:15Let's do Tet because we're probably not going to take Jane Daniels on this team.
113:21And my, my Terry McLaurin, Jane Daniels stuff is like one to one.
113:26Yeah. Honestly, it's, it's probably true that, um, you can't do anything to make people bullish on Tet.
113:33And it's, it's, it's his quarterback. His quarterback. Exactly.
113:36Yeah. That's what it would be. That's what it would be.
113:41I do. Mason. That's one of Mason, uh, loves Ted or Mike millen this year, uh, is a big fan.
113:48I'm like, to me, it's like the path to really hitting on this pick.
113:54It's, it's the, it's sort of the JSN path, right?
113:58It's just like insane efficiency in a low passing volume offense.
114:02He would have to, he would have to, he would have to score.
114:07I mean, and he could score like 11 touchdowns.
114:10It would have to be like, he'd have to be like really good down the field.
114:17Honestly, the, the thing that people are, are kind of memory holding about the JSN season is like their memory.
114:24They were like, Oh dude, he just had like 11 catches every single week.
114:30And it's like, no, the guy was like the literal best downfield receiver in the NFL last year.
114:37And that stuff can just be kind of noisy year to year.
114:41Not saying like JSN is a bad pick or anything, but it really would not be surprising me.
114:48In fact, Max Adams, one of the, so you think you've got contestants, his, uh, his audition video was, is, I mean, he misused the truth serum concept.
114:59But it was fade. Shout out for that. Right.
115:03But it was fade. It was fade JSN based on the insane, uh, downfield efficiency.
115:08Yeah. Uh, Jason's an interesting one. I feel like he's everybody's favorite, um, like consensus top five player to fade.
115:16You know what I mean? Like nobody's telling you to fade Puka.
115:21Nobody's telling you to fade Jamar chase. Nobody's telling you to fade B genre Gibbs.
115:27It's like everybody's favorite. It's like, Oh, I have, I'm going to take a Monroe over him or I'm going to take,
115:35you know, CD lamb or whatever it is. Right.
115:38And I just think like the efficiency will definitely come down.
115:43He's not going to have another 36% target share, but the defense also should regress a little bit.
115:50They were very, very good last year. And the passing volume should also go up.
115:55Like this is one of the lowest passing volume teams in the entire league.
116:01Judkins. Oh God. Burrow already. Okay. No, Burrow's still there.
116:05I would go Tate here. Tate's Tate's fine by me.
116:09I'm, I'm, I'm very wishy-washy on Judkins. On one hand, I'm like, I'm like how, I'm like, how many guys can conceivably get 30 rushes in a game?
116:19It's a fair point. He's on like the real short list, but it's also like how many touchdowns is going to be scored.
116:28I just pulled this up right before you got on.
116:32And Woody marks versus Judkins last year was like Spider-Man pointing meme.
116:37Yeah. I saw that tweet. They both had, uh, Oh yeah, that was, um, Andrew Erickson.
116:43I think potentially was the, was the one who highlighted that.
116:47I don't remember his name, but they, they both had 826 yards rushing.
116:52They both had 3.6 yards per carry. Mark's actually had a higher success rate than, than Judkins.
116:59I mean, similar quality offensive lines last year too.
117:02Honestly, like, you know, I think that with Judkins, my worry is like, he may have like 28 carries and like every,
117:11and you're watching red zone and he's popping up over and over again.
117:16Cause he's just grinding it. And then you look at your app and he has like, he has 28 carries for 104 yards, no receptions, no touchdowns.
117:26And so he has like 10 points and you're like, okay.
117:30So like, how good is this? He had a three touchdown game where he had 26 fantasy points last year.
117:38Insane. That's, that's not great. It's not great. Look at, uh, you want to just take burrow.
117:45I think we have to, yeah, let's do it.
117:48Are you, are your stacks not loading or do you not have it turned on?
117:54I just need to, I just need to refresh.
117:57I've got, I also have, I'm, I'm building an EPL best ball tool that messes with our draft helper.
118:05When you have like, if I was to do, if I was due to do an inspect element on a given underdog
118:13page for my stuff, there would be, there would be so many junk lines of code from all the draft helpers and
118:22things like I've got, I've got old draft helpers still installed on my Chrome from like four years ago.
118:29Yeah. So sometimes, sometimes that can be an issue.
118:33I mean, Joe, Joe had to rebuild the site because I had too many drafts.
118:38It was causing, it was causing the whole best ball page to not load because it wasn't built for people with 1600
118:47teams, which, um, Hey man, an oversight on our part.
118:51We didn't, we didn't realize what we were getting ourselves into clearly.
118:55How, how high do you move scribbling up in your redraft rankings?
119:00Oh God. I mean, he's yeah. It's going to be very interesting to see if they sign anybody.
119:07Um, I moved. Dazon's dribbling to, uh, where is he?
119:11Yeah. One 24 right behind James. That's right. That's right.
119:15I moved in one spot behind conception was where I put him.
119:19Yeah, man. I mean, opportunity. Like I, I ship, ship chasing yesterday was phenomenal.
119:25By the way, I was, I saw a long, that was a long program.
119:30There's, there's a timestamp. There's a timestamp that says Peter left for an hour and a half to go do another show.
119:39And then another timestamp that says Peter came back.
119:42Yeah. Mosting his other show to come, to come in the street.
119:47Yeah. Incredible. Incredible. But, um, really good conversation about him specifically.
119:51Just like, it's just an opportunity thing. Like we don't have, you know, he doesn't have to be a good prospect at all.
120:00And it's like in the one seventies, it's like an end of season bet.
120:05Right. Sure. Now that Peter saws out, like, I mean, these are the offenses where whoever is, whether it's Kyron or Jordan
120:14Mason, or these guys who like probably aren't that good.
120:18The opportunity in these offenses just, just lifts everybody.
120:21And, uh, and yeah, like I, I'm not going to move him that far back down when Debo signs.
120:28I'll, I'll definitely move him down a little bit when Debo signs, but I'm not going to like nuke him from, the orbit.
120:37I don't think, I think maybe I'd move him down 10 more spots or whatever.
120:43Cause I think the value proposition is more or less the same.
120:48Sure. Yeah. Yeah. And especially with Kirk out too, like, yeah.
120:52Kittle starting the season slow. Yeah. I think we should just take, I think we should take Rico Dowdle here or, or, or Coram.
121:01I'm, I'm kind of done with Chuba. Honestly, that's fine.
121:05Yeah. Yeah. If you want to do, I would go Rico then.
121:10I think with, this is my least favorite range, by the way, like end of the end of this round on this
121:18side of the board is my, like, I hated every time I get it.
121:24Every time I get on the clock and DK Metcalf's gone.
121:28Yeah. They all, it's all bad there. It's awful.
121:31Now, if they sign, if they sign digs, that's really bad for shriveling.
121:36If they sign, if they sign digs is real bad.
121:40Yes. I had been clicking Chuba a lot. And I realized that what I was doing was, I thought I was getting
121:49big ADP values, but what I'm really doing is getting the new ADP.
121:54I'm getting the new ADP. Yeah. Like I took him at 90 the other day and I was like, Oh, okay.
122:02Well, there you go. Brooks went and I'm going to take Chuba.
122:07And then I was like, you know what? I don't need to be the bag defender on Chuba Hubbard at pick 80.
122:15Cause I don't even really believe in it. I do think Brooks is the guy you want in that backfield.
122:23So why would I beg defend on Chuba Hubbard?
122:26Yeah. I'm going to, once he, you know, in, in two weeks when he settles, I think I'm going to take like
122:35a lot of past pick 100 Chuba. Yeah. Pick, pick 90, pick 95 Chuba is fine, but I don't want to be the guy defending pick 80 Chuba.
122:46Yeah. Yeah. Um, I mean, he's still running backs.
122:49I was going to say, but Brooks is also still there.
122:53Uh, I mean, I think downs, you know, I like downs here for making the JT bet.
123:00Yeah. And that sets up time. So we've got, uh, where are we?
123:05JT, chase Brown, T, Tet, Carnell, Tate, Burrow, Dowdle and downs.
123:09There you go. There you go. The average height of our receiver room was far too large.
123:16We had to, you need, you need a water bug, man.
123:20You need, you need one of the smaller guys.
123:23These, where does Josh downs go in the first draft after Keenan signs at the Colts?
123:30So I'm thinking like a redraft. I'm starting to try and change my, my brain to redraft mode.
123:36I'm thinking first draft after Keenan signs. I think he goes at pick one 19.
123:42Okay. Yeah. Keenan, Keenan is like built in a lab to, to be really, really bad for Josh downs.
123:50Yeah. It's perfect. It's completely perfect. It's, it's so, it's so uniquely bad for him.
123:55Cause they run like the exact same routes and the exact same part of the field.
124:02Yep. Yeah. Oh, really bad. And it, and it, it sounds like it's going to happen to the second connection.
124:09Yeah. Mason was, I was watching, I briefly popped on Mason's stream yesterday and he was like somebody in the chat.
124:17He was in the 20, he was in the 18th round and somebody goes take Keenan.
124:24And he's like, dude, I'm not taking Keenan. I'm not taking Keenan.
124:28I was like Mason, Mason's playing it by the book, brother.
124:32What are you doing? He was, you know what?
124:36He was, um, I think he had like 25% JK Dobbins last year before he signed.
124:42Ball knower. He, but he doesn't want to do it this year.
124:47He's just not interested in the CLV this year.
124:50I guess. I mean, Keenan Keenan is to be fair.
124:54Keenan is a billion years old. He is a billion years old, but there's too much smoke, man.
125:01Like the, the, the, is there ever this much smoke and then it doesn't happen?
125:07Mason has 15% IUC. That can't be real. He was, he was taking, he was, he had fully believed that he was going to sign.
125:16Oh no. Yeah. Yeah. Oh, this is a horrible.
125:20This is also horrible. I mean, pits. Rashad. What?
125:23I'm fine with Kyle pits or Michael Pittman here.
125:27I guess what's another Michael Pittman chair. Michael Pittman, Michael Pittman Jr.
125:32is if, if his ADP doesn't move, he's legit threatening to be my most drafted wide receiver over, over like the last like 40 days or whatever.
125:42Let me see. Let me see if he, I think he is mine in post draft.
125:48Oh no. Waddle's got him. Waddle's got him by a few percent, but he's third.
125:54Waddle. Waddle having him is Waddle having him as fire.
125:58I was, yeah, I was slam. Well, here's the thing.
126:02Like I'd take him in the middle of the third.
126:06Like I, so I was slamming him at the four or five turn and I'm still taking him a lot.
126:13I mean, he went at 37 and this one.
126:17Yeah. Good pick. I mean, I think I would take it.
126:21I've easily taken my head at Garrett Wilson. Like it's not even close.
126:26I'd rather have him than a Lave. I don't see a huge difference in him and Devonta Smith.
126:33That one is what I don't really either. Everybody finally realized, I mean, we've talked about it, how the tier is so flat after that, like after rice.
126:44But yeah, it was everybody collectively realized like, this is kind of insane how underpriced this guy is.
126:51It, it's, it, it really is. Yeah. Yeah. It like, and now it feels like he should have never, he should have never been going after Jameson Williams.
127:02I'll do respect. Jameson Williams. Yeah. Completely insane. I think this is, this is probably a Washington running back, whichever.
127:09I was going to say, whichever one. Yeah. Would love Rashad.
127:13I'll set it. I was going to say, I was going to say, I'm more, I'm more of a JCM guy anyway.
127:22That's fine. That's fine. I mean, look, we, we made it, we made it through two days of training camp without, uh,
127:30Katron Allen being the story of commander's camp. So that, that bodes well for bill that does bode well.
127:38He's fading. I mean, he's also fading. Like being a disaster in the passing game.
127:44The, the only, the only blurb that I read from commander's training camp yesterday was JCM had a nice touchdown reception in
127:52a red zone drill where he like made a defender miss and, and cut to the pylon.
127:59So I saw Gretch today tweeted. There was a Keaton Mitchell sideline catch.
128:04Yes. Yup. Yup. I mean, I got my, I got my Google alerts on for that.
128:10Yes. This is what I read. Running back JCM outrace linebacker, Sonny style.
128:15Oh my gosh. Get out of here. Sonny styles to the edge for a catch.
128:21Ran it in for a touchdown in early red zone team.
128:25The freakiest linebacker prospect of the last 10 years.
128:28JCM, JCM. We're, we're going to, we're going to run back the same JCM outcome from last year where he ends up
128:37being a seventh round pick by the time we get to September 1st.
128:42It's going to be, it's going to be the exact same thing, dude.
128:47It's going to like, what's happening with John, Jonathan Brooks and Chuba Hubbard is going to happen with JCM and Rashad white, where white's going to fall.
128:57JCM is going to rise. And you know what?
129:01It's going to happen when there's going to be, the athletics going to put up their, their depth chart projection.
129:09And they're going to project Jeremy McNichols to make the roster ahead of.
129:14K Tron. And they're going to say, the team's going to hope to snatch K Tron on the practice squad.
129:21I guarantee it, dude. God. Yeah. That'll be disgusting.
129:25This is okay. This is horrible. I mean, I just always take digs here.
129:30Cobra. I'm fine with that. I really like Shahid too.
129:34All right. We'll do a little Shahid hedge. I just, you got, but guys, this goes for all of you.
129:42Be careful with the 22nd clocks when you're sitting there.
129:46If you don't have your son. Yeah. Be careful.
129:49Cause you're going to get pierced. So there are, there are a lot of people not intending to get pierce all right
129:58now who are auto drafting Ricky pierce. So I feel, I feel bad for my fellow dads out there who are like,
130:06Oh, I'm going to draft a team while my kid's playing on the ground.
130:11Oh, I got to go. I got to go do something.
130:16Oh, I auto drafted Ricky pierce. So shout out, shout out to, cause that's definitely happening to people out there right now.
130:24100%. 100%. Is he like the latest report was that like, they aren't optimistic that they're going to get, anything from him in 2026, right?
130:34Matt, Matt, Mac, Mac, Mac, Mac, Mac, Mac, Mac show.
130:38I never know how to say his last name.
130:41He, he said on his podcast today, it's rational, logical, and reasonable to not expect pierce all to play this year.
130:49Yeah. Davis. We have a new, we have a new neighbors video from six minutes ago.
130:55Oh man. Underdog NFL. Betty looks great. Oh, the cut.
130:59Oh my gosh. Yeah. I mean, that is a, I feel, I feel so, I feel so, uh, bamboozled.
131:07By Jordan Renan ever suggesting that he wasn't going to play knowing that this is what he looks like.
131:14All right. who was like telling him stuff and like, why do you want to do ward or should we do dimes?
131:23Cause we have the two guys. Um, God, I would, I'd probably take ward here, but I think that.
131:30God, I don't know. There's, there's probably, there's probably a small chance that dimes cause we have, we have downs and JT.
131:38There's like a small chance. He gets all the way back to us.
131:43and Alex Pierce is on the right as well.
131:47Tyler Warren, Tyler Warren's on the left. He's got my homes Baker.
131:51Yeah. We'll see. So it's, it's possible. All right.
131:55Uh, underdog, underdog NFL account. Yeah. All right. Underdog, underdog NFL.
131:59Here we go. New, new neighbors route. Everybody, man, there's like no beginning.
132:04There's like no muscle atrophy in his legs or anything either.
132:08Oh, dude. Yeah. Oh God. Yeah. I would say.
132:12What do you, what do you think the odds are?
132:16What do you think the odds are? The best ball mania team has already been drafted.
132:22The winner. I, yeah. I mean, I completely, I don't know who said it yesterday, but I completely agree that like there's, it's an 18 like parlay.
132:32Like, like there's too many, there's too many factors for that to be a guarantee.
132:38Now, you know, let me see. Can I like, can I see if I've drafted the best ball mania winner already?
132:46Let's love, look through, see if I have any insane.
132:50Cause there's a chance. There's a chance. Somebody has waddle neighbors at the four or five turn.
132:57For sure. I would guarantee. Yeah. I would guarantee that it, that exists.
133:02I think, I think he should probably like for real, for real.
133:06If we were, if we were drafting clean today, he should go, he should go right with Jefferson and lamb.
133:14I think. Yeah. I mean, he probably would like, he'd probably go right behind them.
133:20I think like it is fun to have a wide receiver in that, you know, sea of green though.
133:27It's just like, it's just one of those things.
133:31It's just kind of annoying though, because you know, there are better teams than you drafted out there.
133:38I want to see how many BBMs I have.
133:41Cause I knew I only had like 10% of him, but I am hoping that a lot of those are in like side, like what I'm remembering now.
133:52And I'm so annoyed by this is that I was like of the mindset that he was going to fall because of the reporting was so bad.
134:02I was like, he's not going to stay at the end of the third.
134:08He's going to fall further. So I was like, I'll take him in the time box stuff, but BBM, I'll get my exposure in August.
134:17Well, you know what? That's good. So. All right.
134:21We got to take a, we got to take a tight end here.
134:26I would like to nominate, I would like to nominate Sadiq actually to give us another quarterback.
134:32Sure. That's fine. Yeah. I guess the Warren team took Daniel Jones.
134:37Yeah, they didn't. He fell one pick further and then got snagged.
134:42Tough. Or no, it was Cowboys. Yeah. Cowboys giants week 17.
134:46And so I have, but yeah, that's a really good.
134:50I have nine BBM teams with neighbors at that price and 12 DK millies with him.
134:56I'll, I'll take it. I can't complain. I guess it's, it's true.
135:01He's not out of the woods yet, but he looks, he looks pretty out of the woods to me.
135:08The thing is, is like, we're talking about this and it's July 30th.
135:13And we're like, we're like, he might, he looks like he could play football tomorrow.
135:19He does. He does look like he could play.
135:22And we're five weeks out. That's true. Yeah. Yeah.
135:26He's got time. Yeah. He's got so much time.
135:29And he already looks. I'm saying that the, the gray market Chinese peptides are.
135:35Maybe Zach Charbonnet is playing week one. I mean, you know, like, wow.
135:40All the tight ends just got deleted. Damn. Debo's still there.
135:44Stripling is long gone. Algier. Algier. I don't hate.
135:47Kamara. I don't hate. Algier. I still, I worry about how the, what they're talking, what they're talking about with Connor.
135:56Um, yeah. I'd go tank. I would go, I'd go tank over all these running backs or Debo.
136:02If you want to go wide receiver. Well, Debo is probably a good pick because I need to hedge out a little bit.
136:11How much, uh, stripling that I'm taking. Sure. Yeah.
136:15Yeah. I'll do that is. I'm like legitimately fading that now with how much I've been taking stripling.
136:22Yeah. Yeah. I'll jeer with just like, he was good last year on like, what was like a little bit of a better offense, maybe not even though.
136:33So I don't know, but, but what they're talking about, James Connor, how like, Oh, they're, we're excited for him to come back.
136:41So he could obviously get moved, but if he doesn't, then it's just like such a clusterfuck there.
136:48Yeah. Yeah. What if I guess, okay. What if you saw does the gray market Chinese peptides?
136:55Okay. Haven't heard anyone float this yet. Why hasn't he done them already?
137:00Pure salt gets the surgery today, gets the gray market Chinese peptides and is ready to play by like week 10.
137:08Maybe he's a good pick. Maybe he's, maybe he's this year's Christian Watson.
137:13Okay. What is, what is Debo's ADP? If he signs with San Francisco, that's, that is actually like legitimate.
137:20Good question. I think he goes, I mean, I'm probably taking, like, I think he's like, that's what I was going to say.
137:29Him or Shakir. Like, I don't see, like, is he that different than Jacoby Myers in that situation?
137:36It's really just a degree. Like he was not very good last year.
137:41He grinded out 11 out fantasy points per game.
137:45Cause McLaurin was banged up. But also he was playing with Mariota.
137:49So it's just like, well, okay. I don't, I don't really know.
137:54I mean, it's not great that a team that needs wide receivers as bad as they do.
138:01Let him walk. Uh, I think we should take Helm probably.
138:05You want to do Gunner? Sure. Yeah. Man, these numbers, like, you know, and Gino went.
138:11So we're, yes. Oh shit. So we actually are screwed.
138:15Cause yeah, maybe we, maybe we should have gone Rogers instead of Debo.
138:20Uh, honestly, I am starting to feel this. I am, I am getting sick of clicking Debo and digs every draft.
138:28Like it, it doesn't have anything to do with who they are as clicks.
138:33It really doesn't. It's just that I get in like, particularly cause I'm in a billion slow drafts.
138:40Yeah. And like, I will just go through these drafts and I'll be like, I, I just took digs.
138:4818 consecutive. Yeah. Like, it's just like, okay, I got to start taking Coker and she'd and stuff like that because I'm
138:56going to end up like, cause the way the slow puppy works is you just end up making the same pick over and over again.
139:06Cause you entered all the drafts at the same time.
139:10Exactly. So you're, you're just, you're just absolutely cooked.
139:13the thing is like, I haven't, I have 17% digs.
139:17So like, I take them a lot, but I also like, really like, I take a lot of Shahid.
139:24I really like Omar Cooper and Travis Hunter who I will like frequently pull up.
139:30So I don't, yeah, I don't mind this range as a whole.
139:35Uh, it was like Debo, everybody sucks. So we should either take Frymouth or.
139:40Brissette is our third quarterback. Oh yeah. Go for it.
139:44Go Brissette. Then I think we could, we do need the.
139:48The, the, cause the, this contest, the chow chow, I, I normally the higher stakes stuff is for a 12, but this
139:57one is just two out of 12. So I am, I'm thinking three tight ends, three quarterbacks still, still pretty good there.
140:05Yeah, no, I would agree. I would agree. Um, it is, it is going to feel whenever, like as long as one
140:14of them doesn't sign with the Ravens, which you're fading pretty hard.
140:18Oh yeah. Wherever, wherever they sign. I mean, you can, the other 31 NFL teams, it's all fine.
140:25As long as it's not the Ravens, if it's the Ravens, you're like, well, shit.
140:31But I think that, I think that like, does digs fall?
140:35If he signed with the Ravens, surely not. He probably stays.
140:40He probably, he actually, he would rise a little bit, but he would not be a target for me.
140:47If he said, I would just not take him again.
140:51And then I'm like, I'm fine with, with my 17% at, well, it would obviously decrease, but, but at ADP, like, I
140:59don't think it's the end of the world, even though it's not like the best possible.
141:06It's really bad for Debo. If Debo, if Debo signs with the Ravens, I think it's, I think it's really bad.
141:14Yeah. But again, like it's a 14th round pick, you know, like I don't think like, you know, Isaac Tesla, Juwan Jennings going right around him.
141:24Yeah, no, that's, it's, it's true. Yeah. It's like, okay, what I missed on Isaac Tesla.
141:30Yeah. Uh, so I had taken Chris Bell a little bit in the pre-draft stuff, but there was the quote from Jeff
141:38Halfley that like, they're saying he might just be ready.
141:42So I guess we just have to recontextualize everything we know about ACL injuries.
141:48I mean, it's insane. Yeah. Like I was mostly out just because I don't like the idea of a rookie missing a
141:56ton of camp, boarding, on a terrible team, all that kind of stuff on a terrible team.
142:03But then I think it was Sam Sherman on something.
142:07He, he kind of changed my mind on that.
142:10He said, like, are they going to really be that married to making sure to, to Atwell is on the field.
142:18And like Jalen Tolbert, like there's going to, even if Chris Bell doesn't know the offense, they're just going to throw them out there.
142:27Like, what's the reason to, it's going to be a lost season.
142:32They're just going to want to see what the guy has.
142:36It's not going to like, they're going to be fighting for a playoff spot.
142:42I like, I like Denzel Boston. I think, I think Denzel Boston is a good pick.
142:48All right. Take your, take your pick of these running backs.
142:52Um, God, give me Emma Johnson. Emma Johnson works.
142:56I've been taken, I've been taking him some, and I've also been taking.
143:01Kalen black with, with the rib fracture for, I just know that James work though.
143:06Like I just, it's like, it's definitely, it's definitely not going to work.
143:11It's look, it's definitely not going to work. He's definitely not going to play at all, but for, for like two weeks,
143:20he does feel like running back to the Niners are totally trading for James Connor.
143:26What if the Niners trade for Jerry Judy? That'd be fun.
143:30That would be dude. That would, that's good for like everyone's bags.
143:35That right there helps. That helps the concepts. The own bags.
143:39It helps. It's not great for stribbling, but it's definitely, it's pretty, I mean, it's not even that bad for stribbling.
143:47Then it's just stribbling. Just has to be Jerry Judy on the Niners or Michael Wilson.
143:53Judy. Yeah. Yeah. That would be an insane. That would like that.
143:58The contrast in situation. There is absolutely nuts. I, I agree that Jordan James was the 49ers backup, but he broke his ribs yesterday.
144:07Yeah. A little rib fracture. Not, not yeah. Shanahan Shanahan just trades a conditional seven to get Kendrick born back.
144:15All right, man. Give me, give me a, give me a tight end.
144:20Let's go. Let's go to the big fella. We don't have two week, nine buys.
144:26Do we? No, we don't. Yeah. Big fella. All right.
144:29Joe Burrow, Cam Ward, Jacoby Brissett, Jonathan Taylor, Chase Brown, Rico Dowdle, JCM, Emmett Johnson, T Higgins, Ted Arroyd, McMillan, Carnell Tate, Josh Downs, Michael Pittman, Jr.
144:40Rashid Shaheed, Debo, Sadiq, Helm Washington, not the best tight end room I've ever drafted.
144:46It's not incredible. My life. It's not incredible, but, uh, I think, I think Sadiq is like just such an easy pick, man.
144:55Like so, so easy to make that click. Like, like if he was, if he, I mean, if he was a wide
145:03receiver, like we would be counting that 16th overall draft capital so hard.
145:08Like look at some of the names that went ahead of Kenyon Sadiq.
145:13Why is Omar Cooper? Like, like I think Omar Cooper is a phenomenal value too, but like, should he really be going ahead of him?
145:23Jalen Naylor, Juwan Johnson. I mean, the Isaiah McMillan people, people, people have lost their minds with Isaiah.
145:30Like we did get, come on. It really is nuts.
145:34It really is. Yeah. It's just like, you know, new situation thing.
145:38Are you streaming tonight? Saturday, Saturday, Saturday. What's, uh, what's, what's the old video schedule like on the Sammy Sachs channel, right?
145:47weekly, normally Monday or Tuesday. Um, I'll have something coming out.
145:51I had a, uh, redraft strategy video come out on Monday.
145:55Um, talking about the running back landscape and, you know, rising, all the prices are up and, and all this kind of stuff.
146:04Profiles that we like profiles. We want to avoid all this kind of thing.
146:09So I was proud of that one. If anybody wants to go check that out, there you go.
146:16Go check out Sammy Sachs fantasy on YouTube. I've got redraft videos coming out every day over on my redraft channel, the Matic fantasy football channel.
146:26Uh, make sure to like the video, make sure to subscribe to the channel and I'll be back with all you guys tomorrow.
146:35Later boys. See ya. Here we go.
