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0:08No do-overs, no second chances, no more Mr. Nice Guy.
0:11This is winner take all. The NBA Finals continue on ABC and the ESPN app.
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0:47What's up everyone welcome into the Dear Ms Fantasy show with me your host Tara Roberts.
0:53This is the official mailbag show for player profiler.
0:55It is Wednesday, June 3rd and I'm live taking your questions on YouTube.
1:00So welcome in guys drop them in the chat.
1:03Um, we're going to go probably like 3045 minutes.
1:05So cause it's the first it's the first game of the NBA Finals.
1:10Um, and I am very excited to be here.
1:13Very excited for that. Uh, very excited for Charles Barkley and San Antonio and lots of funny comments.
1:18So, um, I'm going to be sat for this and very excited and I've got it on literally right here so I
1:26can make sure that I don't run us too far past cause these tip offs are always like, uh, trying to time them is crazy.
1:34So we will get off in time enough for everybody to go enjoy the game and, um, we'll go ahead and get
1:41started cause we got a lot to cover. Good God.
1:44They hit us with NFL news this week. So, and welcome into the chat.
1:49I see you guys in the chat already there.
1:51Shout out to, uh, Sony Pat getting in there.
1:54Ooh, super early today. I went to WSU and drafted Kyle Williams last season in dynasty second.
2:00Thanks Eagles. A holes. Um, yeah, that sucks. It sucks for everybody.
2:04I heard Kayshawn booty is, um, potentially looking for, I don't like, I glanced at that.
2:09So I don't know if that was like a legitimate rumor or a verified source or anything.
2:15I just literally saw the notification out of the corner of my eye.
2:19And I was like, Oh, that's interesting. So Kayshon Boutte, not happy.
2:23I hate to break it to you, buddy. Um, uh, I mean, he had a great year.
2:28Um, excellent connection. Great. You know, great is as great as it could be.
2:33Right. Um, excellent connection with Drake may, um, was a strong red zone target.
2:37I don't know if you're looking for another location is the right way for you to go, buddy.
2:43Might need to sit there. Unfortunately, it's so crowded.
2:46Um, it's just, you know, Romeo Dobbs wide receiver one for, about what, what, two months there.
2:51So AJ Brown, um, it'll be very interesting to see how this works out because of all the rumors, right?
2:58I guess let's go ahead and dive in here.
3:01Right. Um, so, uh, let's see. And also, so we'll dive in on AJ Brown here.
3:06Um, but also as I was going through the chat, shout out to big noggin in there as well.
3:12Shout out to Steve, the King. So, um, I will get to the comments there in just a second, but let's go
3:19ahead and talk about AJ Brown on the subject there.
3:23Nice comment there to get us tipped off here.
3:25The AJ Brown trade and what it means for fantasy football.
3:29Um, the most interesting part of all of the room.
3:32There's so many rumors that have come out about this in terms of rumors as to why, and the timelines being added
3:39up as to why AJ Brown requested the trade and that the trade requests might've happened.
3:45back in, um, rumors. Um, we've heard that the Patriots know they're okay with it.
3:49Um, it doesn't bother them. They, they understand there is apparently a degenerative knee issue going on here with AJ Brown and
3:57he is winding down right towards the end of his career.
4:00Uh, he's still in the prime days. Right. But of course, from a fantasy perspective, we know that his age is creeping
4:07on up there, um, to the point where we're starting to think like, okay, the end is near at some point in
4:14a few years, um, isn't going to become an issue sooner because of the knee issue.
4:20But regardless, talking about AJ Brown in the short term, um, from a dynasty perspective, it's rough, right?
4:25Because all of these rumors coming out, maybe you can try and sell him high because now he is in an offense
4:33for, uh, you know, with Drake may. And for our perspective, there's.
4:36There's a very high ceiling in this offense for him.
4:40So if you want to trade him off, um, and maybe, you know, sell high, um, and miss out on the potential
4:47gold mine that we could have here for him in new England.
4:51Now would be a good time to try and get out of it.
4:55Right. Um, but from a redraft perspective and looking at what he will do specifically in 2026, when I look at the
5:02Patriots in the way that their offense operated last year, um, we know two things, right?
5:07One, the regular season was a factual cupcakes. Right.
5:10Um, and two, we know that because it was a cup, you know, and maybe that was the issue and there could
5:17have been a wide variety of things, but because it was not, sorry, not me, let me phrase that as not an
5:24issue, but because of the fact that perhaps there was a cupcake schedule, they did not have to do so much on offense from a past perspective.
5:33Drake Maye was not a very aggressive and I should have pulled up the stats here for actually, I might have them
5:40up here for you guys, but, um, Drake Maye was not, uh, throwing a ton of throwing a ton of attempts there.
5:47The Patriots were let's see here. The Patriots were 23rd in attempts, past attempts last season, despite the fact that they were
5:5524th in total passing yards, um, 24th in total passing yards, so 23rd in pass attempts, 4th in passing yards, 31 touchdowns,
6:02um, passing touchdowns that would make them six in the league.
6:05Obviously interceptions were not a remote problem for Drake may only eight on the season.
6:10That is excellent work there for him. Uh, second to last, right.
6:14In terms our second best in terms of the least interceptions thrown by a team, um, for the season last year.
6:21So from that perspective, if you're looking at it and you're saying, okay, I know that they were incredibly efficient last year,
6:28Drake Maye was completing, uh, passes at an incredible clip.
6:31Is that going to carry over into 2026? That's the big question.
6:35Um, and I think it should come down. There should be some natural regression there that brings them down a little bit,
6:42but at the end of the day, we know there is a solid, easy hundred more attempts that could be managed in this offense.
6:50So volume is there. And for what it's worth, Stefan digs from a fantasy perspective, he was okay, but he didn't really have massive upside.
6:58Right. But the targets were there for him as well as the quasi wide receiver one.
7:03He was the wide receiver one, um, getting around what a hundred or so targets, um, in theoretically a higher ceiling with potentially more pass volume this year.
7:12So the targets are there. The quarterback is there and perhaps the harder schedule benefit as well, because they're not going to
7:20be able to operate off of this efficiency. They're going to have to go band for band on their schedule, right?
7:26It's going to be difficult. They're going to have to throw the ball more and it'll come with again, a little bit
7:33of a decrease in efficiency, but more attempts, more yardage and more benefits for AJ Brown.
7:39Um, and when we look at AJ Brown, obviously his, his frustrations with the lack of volume last year were legitimate.
7:45Right. But prior to that, even with Jalen Hurts, and this is where I kind of like defend Jalen a little bit
7:53there, because aside from last year, there was really not a major issue with getting volume to AJ Brown.
7:59The man was pacing well for 1400 yards, um, pretty regularly outside of that last season.
8:04So perhaps we get AJ back to where he was in terms of looking at him for double digit touchdowns, potentially 14 to 1500 yards, plenty of receptions.
8:13And it's very interesting from a fantasy perspective, because I was looking at my rankings today.
8:18Um, and let me pull up the consensus rankings in particular, so we can look at those.
8:24Cause I'm kind of right on consensus, um, with AJ Brown as well.
8:28Uh, AJ Brown right now in consensus, he has moved up like a tiny bit.
8:33I believe, I think he was like around wide receiver 13, but yeah, he was like wide receiver 13.
8:39I think prior to all of the other news that came out regarding, um, obviously Rashid Rice the past couple of weeks there.
8:46And then Malik neighbors recovery, not maybe being as awesome as we were hoping it would be.
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9:47Texas and fees apply. Study and play. Come together on a Windows 11 PC.
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10:14Terms at aka.ms slash college PC. Actually, since we're going to talk news, I am going to pull up these graphics here
10:21so we can do a rundown of the news that I'm going to cover here.
10:26But when we're looking at AJ Brown and the rankings, he's moved ahead of those guys.
10:31So he's at wide receiver 11 right now. So obviously we got, you know, tier one guys, Jamar Puka, Jason.
10:37Then your tier two guys, Amin Ra, Seedy, Justin Jefferson, Drake London, Nico Collins.
10:42Then tier three goes to George Pickens, Chris Olave, and then AJ Brown.
10:46I think it's a very interesting spot for AJ Brown because while we know there is a knee issue, that's more of
10:53a long-term thing, not something that we're thinking is going to be a major effect on him in 2026, right?
11:00Just an ongoing issue that you have to be aware of with him.
11:04You know, perhaps a little bit of a dip in a step, but really at the end of the day, he's still,
11:11for the most part, AJ Brown, right? So when I'm looking at that list of receivers, right, and we've talked about this
11:18before, we talked about rankings, but the top four are my nice little comfort level, right?
11:23Jamar, Puka, Jason, and Amin Ra. Obviously, Puka has to make it, you know, make it through the season without doing anything else that is stupid.
11:32But provided he makes it to the season, right?
11:35Those are my clear top four. I've got zero problem with them from a performance perspective.
11:40I trust their production. I know they're going to put up volume there and it's going to be steady, right?
11:46And then after that, you go to a range of guys who unfortunately just have question marks, right?
11:52C.D. Lamb in himself, very, very talented. I know that he has overall wide receiver one upside, but George Pickens is more
11:59than likely going to be playing this season with him.
12:02And considering what we saw last season, I think we kind of broke down the numbers last week, or maybe we did.
12:10I think I might have broken it down maybe in an individual video on my YouTube channel.
12:15But really, oh, no, no, no, no. It was a live.
12:19It was a show, a show I did with Fantasy Bros.
12:22So the problem with C.D. Lamb here and his ranking is that he's a wide receiver one.
12:28But alongside George Pickens, even if George Pickens is a little bit lackadaisical, right, frustrated with the franchise tag, maybe his brain
12:35is a little bit off at portions of the season, right, because he didn't get that contract.
12:40His presence is still there. So really, we're looking at C.D.
12:44Lamb in the wide receiver eight to 12 range.
12:47I'm so sorry if you guys hear a dog barking.
12:50My dog is losing it. There's clearly someone in front of the house right now probably doing a delivery or something like Amazon delivery.
12:58So it's distracting me a little bit there. But when we're looking at C.D.
13:02Lamb, the upside that he has really is like the wide receiver eight to 12 range as long as George Pickens is there.
13:10Pickens' presence, unfortunately, caps him from ultimately being able to get to that top five range where we feel super comfortable with him.
13:17So by no means is he going to be a bust, but the odds of him paying off for where you draft
13:24him, if you're drafting him at wide receiver five, that's a major issue.
13:29Then you get to Justin Jefferson. We'll talk about him in a little bit.
13:33I have a mailbag topic for him. Justin Jefferson, the quarterback issues.
13:37Drake London, quarterback issues. Big contract. Congrats to Drake London on that one.
13:41And good on Atlanta for locking in contracts. That's one thing I will say is like a side note.
13:47I just don't know why these teams don't always lock in their wide receiver contracts early.
13:53You know you're signing him. You know that he's going to be your franchise wide receiver one.
13:58Just get it done early before, you know, the earlier you get it done, the more deals that you have, right, in terms of long-term value.
14:07But regardless, anyway. But Drake London, quarterback issues. Nico Collins, you know, I won't say quarterback issue because I don't want to
14:14do that to CJ Stroud, but offensive line issue that causes a quarterback issue, right?
14:19Chris Olave, new blood, obviously, in there with Jordan Tyson.
14:22And then we already talked about George Pickens. So it's kind of like a weird area where all of those guys have
14:29reasons where I could logically just X them off of the list and say, I don't want to draft him.
14:35I don't want to draft him. I don't want to draft him.
14:39Now, obviously, I'm going to be drafting some of those guys, right?
14:43But you don't feel the same level of comfort that you do with an Aminra St.
14:48Brown, who has been proven to be the overall wide receiver three year after year after year.
14:54The volume of guys like Jefferson, Puka, and JSN.
14:57You just don't have that level of comfort for the guys that are in that range now.
15:02Now, I'm looking at AJ Brown on a new team, quarterback, fantastic situation, right?
15:07And we're anticipating more volume for him as the Patriots will have to handle more, push more volume with this increased difficult schedule, right?
15:15So I'm looking at AJ Brown at wide receiver 11.
15:18And I'm like, I low-key kind of like that.
15:21Even if you look at the guys after him, Malik Naver's injury issue, Rasheed Rice criminal issue, Teddero McMillan, Bryce Young volume issue.
15:28Like, yeah, AJ Brown kind of is looking like maybe one of the safer picks in that range, honestly.
15:34So we knew it was coming in terms of the trade.
15:38But I don't know if we're going to see a massive leap for him in rankings.
15:43So oddly enough, I'm kind of excited about the potential increase in volume here.
15:48And I'm looking at AJ Brown a lot, and I'm kind of buying into it for real.
15:53But again, from a dynasty perspective, it might be a good sell high situation here.
15:58Did want to talk about the Miles Garrett trade as well, because obviously it's not just an IDP thing.
16:04Defenses affect the way that we look at fantasy and our offensive players that we are putting into our lineups.
16:11And the real key thing there is that, one, first of all, side note, everyone talked about the lopsidedness of this trade.
16:18Obviously, it was a great trade for the Rams to get Miles Garrett right.
16:22But Jared Burst is not a scrub, right? So it's not as if Cleveland did not get anything in return.
16:29Obviously, he's not Miles Garrett. Will he ever be Miles Garrett?
16:32Probably not. But he's a great player. And so getting that and the draft capital as well, this was a logical move
16:40for Cleveland, because realistically, Miles Garrett is just sitting on their roster right now.
16:44They've been able to get some good return for him and figure out how to move forward and hopefully build around the
16:51players that they do have and build around their defense, which is still very good with with Jared Burst.
16:57Right. So their defense gets a little bit of a downtick.
17:01Right. Because it's Miles Garrett. But it's not a big gaping hole.
17:05Right. There's a player that's going to fill it.
17:08And he's been very successful. The Rams D line was not a issue last year.
17:13It was their secondary that consistently was the problem with them.
17:16So when you're looking at this, they upgraded their defensive line.
17:20Right. That was already very strong. The Rams. And they solved their secondary issue by making additions to the secondary as well.
17:27The Rams defense is was a formidable defense before, but it was a defense where from a fantasy perspective, I was never
17:34afraid of my players facing them, particularly the quarterbacks and the receivers, because while the Rams were going to force sacks and force turnovers, right?
17:42Interceptions. At the end of the day, your quarterback was going to probably throw for aggressive volume on that defense because they are trying to keep up with.
17:51Let me mute. Unfortunately, I'm getting text messages there.
17:54They are trying to keep up with that Rams offense.
17:57Right. So defensively, this just puts them on another level from a fantasy perspective, drafting defenses.
18:03It makes them very appealing for an uptick in usability in our fantasy lineups as a DST.
18:08And then again, we're going to have to adjust those strength of schedules because this obviously does take them to another level.
18:15So teams they're facing the Rams, we're going to be having to fortunately look and reevaluate differently than we looked at them last year.
18:23Right. Then looking at what this does for the offense as well, defense going on a higher level.
18:29Again, we're still going to see, I've seen a lot of things that like, this is great for, you know, Blake, not sorry.
18:36This is great for Kyron Williams and Blake Corum, right?
18:40Particularly Kyron Williams, right? Because we do need to acknowledge he is the RB1.
18:44It is a committee. You do need to come to terms with that, that Kyron and Blake Corum are acting in tandem.
18:51But it doesn't really mean that you have to fade either one of them because it's a highly effective usage for both
18:58of them because of how good that offense is.
19:01You just get touchdowns on touchdowns, right? Plenty of opportunities for both of them there.
19:06And obviously the defensive increase would potentially increase the upside of the running backs because if the Rams are up a lot
19:13towards the end of the game, there's no competition.
19:16The defense is stout. Perhaps the Rams can rely on their ground game a little bit more.
19:22But at the end of the day, Stafford is still going to throw regardless.
19:26So don't adjust those running backs too dramatically there.
19:29And then on the opposite end of that, I've seen a lot of fear that, oh my God, now this means that,
19:36you know, it's Quen Sean Judkins is just not going to be at this season.
19:41Look at Blake Corum, sorry, look at Dylan Sampson as the sleeper.
19:45No, please don't do that. Again, do not underestimate Jared Verse.
19:49The defense is getting a downgrade there, but it's not that dramatic.
19:52There's still an overall strong and very young defense as well there.
19:56So don't overreact and suddenly think that this is going to be a team that is not going to be able to
20:03keep these games close and they're not going to be able to run the ball.
20:08Not the case. It's still a strong unit there.
20:11So main thing, main takeaway from this is do not overreact to the changes to the running backs, particularly with the Browns, right?
20:19The amount of fade Quen Sean Judkins now is crazy as if Jared Verse is just nothing.
20:24Let's not do this. And they had such young, promising talent last year that is going to make a leap as well.
20:31So this is still a really, really solid, good unit there.
20:35They just got to figure out that quarterback situation.
20:38And we can give no advice on that one because it is whatever they figure out.
20:43Jumping to the comments here real quick. Oh, and Big Noggin said, let me do this real quick because I like this comment.
20:50What's up, Tara? Just got home from work. Going to cook up some bacon cheeseburgers while you cook up some delicious fantasy knowledge.
20:58Love it. But I am after this going to cook up some.
21:02I would like a bacon cheeseburger. That would be amazing.
21:05Maybe you can send one my way. I think I am going to do a chicken sandwich, like a Chick-fil-A type chicken
21:12sandwich that I'm going to make at home. Yeah.
21:15Because I don't like to eat before the show.
21:18So I'll eat after this. Let's see here. From Sick Nasty 1691.
21:22The commanders need to snag another wide receiver one before or one or AB before the season, please.
21:28That is a good comment there because there's a couple directions that we can actually, I was just, I'm going to have a video that comes out.
21:36I think I'm scheduling it for Monday that talks about, I haven't decided if I'm talking about both, but we'll talk about
21:44at least one of either Chico Conquo or Antonio Williams there because that is an excellent point here.
21:49This commanders unit is very interesting for the fact that this offense with a healthy Jane Daniels is a good offense, right?
21:57And when we're looking at this wide receiver core, it's Terry McLaurin and nobody else.
22:01And Terry McLaurin has topped out at around 130 targets, a little over 130 targets in a season a few times there.
22:09Could he handle in the, you know, JSN level of target range?
22:12Yeah, maybe. I mean, that's not particularly his game, but I'm sure he could.
22:17But at the end of the day, I know Jane Daniels is throwing the ball for more than 150 times.
22:23So where are these other targets going to be going to?
22:27When we're looking at that receiving core, they have existing players on there that they tried to integrate like a Deami Brown last year, right?
22:35Luke McCaffrey or whatnot. But really and truly, I mean, the door is wide open for Antonio Williams to step up.
22:42Obviously, my Clemson brethren there. And he's an interesting prospect, right?
22:46Because last year was very underwhelming, but last year was underwhelming for the entire Clemson offense.
22:51So you can make a case that ignore what happened last year.
22:55Just look at players for what they did the year before when the offense was operating at a higher level and more stable.
23:02And Antonio Williams is a promising prospect from that perspective.
23:05Can he step in there and be the wide receiver too?
23:09Logically, he does play well off of Terry McLaurin.
23:12So I like it as a good little pairing there.
23:15If he can handle some of that, you know, slot type of work underneath kind of stuff, perhaps get a good little
23:22target share there would be a really good situation for him to work his way into.
23:27So it's possible, right? It is very possible that just by attrition of low competition that he could work his way into
23:34being the wide receiver too there and thrive. There's also the possibility that Chigo Conquo steps up.
23:40Because when you look at that Washington offense, obviously, I mean, they had Debo before.
23:45That didn't really work out. So they've been, and they had, you know, before that, Jahan Dotson.
23:50Like, they've been trying to figure out this wide receiver too thing, and it just has not worked.
23:56But what has consistently been there over the past couple of years has been Zach Ertz.
24:01It has. And I know it doesn't feel like it, right?
24:05But if you're a sicko from a fantasy perspective, you were streaming Zach Ertz.
24:09I know I was. And they were good times, right?
24:13Especially in tight end agreement. They were good times with Zach Ertz there as a streaming option.
24:18He actually had more targets at Washington than Chigo Conquo was seeing at Tennessee.
24:23So for as mediocre as the production has been for Chig, he will be stepping into an upgraded situation that naturally has
24:30given more volume to the tight end position. So, hey, take that volume.
24:34See what Zach Ertz did with it. It was usable.
24:37You're a younger, more athletic tight end at this point in your career.
24:42You can take that, and you can actually get some yards after the catch and not fall to the ground.
24:48So it's possible. It is possible. It's a pipe dream.
24:51But it is very possible that Chig could be the one that steps up and has the most production as a secondary look behind Terry McLaurin there.
25:00And Chig, for what it's worth, he is checking in at tight end 20 in rankings with very favorable upside.
25:07So, you know, it's something that we should look into, especially, you know, because just from a strategy perspective, I've talked about
25:14it a little bit, but I don't think I've done dove into it a ton on this podcast.
25:19From a strategy perspective, I am very much so top seven tight end.
25:24Those, that is my, and right now the rankings have flipped.
25:27I don't know why they have flipped this way, or maybe it's been this way and it's just my rankings that are different.
25:35But my top tight ends, let me pull up my rankings so physically I can see them and not read off of
25:42consensus and try to remember it off the top of my head.
25:46My top seven rankings are Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Colston Loveland, Tucker Craft, injury pending, obviously, his return to health, Tyler Warren, Harold Fannin Jr., and Kyle Pitts.
25:55And that is my cutoff right there. Those top seven are the ones that I feel comfortable with clicking.
26:01And I mentioned in a video, Harold Fannin Jr.
26:04of that grouping is the one that I feel the most concerned about, right?
26:08Just because, again, he is switching to a new system.
26:12And if you want the breakdown on that, you can check out the video on my YouTube channel, Year Two Fades video.
26:19But my only concern for him is that switching to Todd Monken, we actually don't have any evidence that Todd Monken runs a tight end heavy system, right?
26:28That was Baltimore's way in the personnel that they had.
26:31Mark Andrews existed before Todd Monken got there. They were a first look for Mark Andrews before that happened.
26:37And for everything that we have seen of Todd Monken and his time at Baltimore, I do like him.
26:43I really like him as an offensive talent. So I've got optimism around him pushing this offense up, right, as much as they can with the quarterback situation.
26:53But Todd Monken appears, like if you're looking at it, it seems like he's been slowly trying to push Baltimore more towards a wide receiver first approach, right?
27:02But the problem is that beyond Zay Flowers, the talent just wasn't there.
27:06Rashad Bateman didn't work. They tried a wide variety of veterans that just did not work out, right?
27:12So he was working within the realm of what he had.
27:15And targeting the tight ends when you had Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely just made a ton of sense, right?
27:22Like the last time that Todd Monken was an offensive coordinator in the NFL was back in 2019 with Cleveland, ironically.
27:28David Njoku was on that team. He did not play the majority of the season.
27:33He was injured. Go figure. They were not a tight end heavy targeting team.
27:38They were not like not at all, right? And maybe it was personnel because Njoku was injured, right?
27:44But at the end of the day, I don't think that's the way he wants to lead.
27:49And the fact that they added in two receivers in Casey Concepcion and Denzel Boston, who we've been getting a lot of positive reports out of training camp.
27:58You always get positive reports out of training camp, right?
28:02But we are getting positive reports out of training camp, out of OTAs for them.
28:06So we're looking at it from that perspective. He is the one that worries me because everything else pretty much stays the same for everyone.
28:15And, you know, some coaching changes, right, for Trey McBride and Brock Bowers.
28:19But at the end of the day, they're still the first look in those offenses.
28:24Harold Fannin Jr. is the only one that had coaching change and a lot of personnel added in.
28:29So he's the one like red flag-ish. But he's still in my like, hey, those if I end up with one of those seven, I'm good.
28:38I feel comfortable with that. Beyond that, I do not feel a level of comfort with Sam Laporta or Rondae Gadsden.
28:45I do feel good about Isaiah Likely. And Travis Kelsey is just a pure volume guy for the price.
28:51It's fine. Jake Ferguson, Juwan Johnson, Dallas Goddard has Eli Stowers there lurking in the corner.
28:56Can't stand. I don't want to say can't stand Dalton Kincaid.
29:00Just have zero desire to draft Dalton Kincaid. So far back in my rankings that I'm trying to be kind, but really
29:07I would prefer to drop him to like, I don't know, tight end.
29:1118 or something like that. But at the end of the day, there are better streaming options if you miss out on
29:18those top seven that you can turn to. And Chig is one of those guys that I would absolutely take a chance
29:25with and feel comfortable leading that way with him and another option and streaming during the fantasy season and seeing if that would hit.
29:33That's that's the one like Chig is one that I feel very good about the potential for him as well.
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30:04Like a good neighbor, State Farm is there. You thought this was your run club era.
30:09Turns out it was more of a thinking about run club era.
30:13The good news? Someone's marathon training is about to start.
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30:29Depop. Where taste recognizes taste. Shout out to Albert Moroccan in the comment or in the comments there.
30:35How you doing? Shout out to Jerome Witherspoon says great show.
30:39Thank you, Jerome. Really appreciate that. And then Stephen King in the comment says BTJ or AJ Brown.
30:45BTJ is a perfect. Do I have BTJ on?
30:47No, I don't have BTJ is one of the mailbag questions.
30:51BTJ is a really good topic for us to discuss right now because obviously we have had some comments coming out about
30:58how, you know, he's finally feeling healthy and we do need to acknowledge that he was definitely playing through some stuff.
31:05Now, I'm not going to 100% excuse him playing through some injuries and stuff last year because there were drops that had nothing to do with injuries.
31:14There were mental mistakes like being well within the realm on the sideline of catching the ball and you can easily get
31:21two feet down and you only get one in because you're just blinking.
31:25Right. So there were a lot of things in terms of his production that were 100% his fault, not injury related.
31:32So I'm not going to 100% excuse the lack of production because a lot of that was on him.
31:38Right. But if he's saying he feels healthy and sometimes you just got to trust players when they say I wasn't feeling my best.
31:46I feel good now. And if I'm feeling my best heading into the season, feel very positive about the direction that it can head.
31:54But BTJ is still someone that I'm not raising up, even with the prospect of him being healthy.
31:59Right. And I feel very good about Trevor Lawrence as well.
32:03I'm not aggressively raising him up in the rankings, even though I do like him for a theoretical bounce back.
32:09It's AJ Brown for me all day, every day and redraft in dynasty.
32:14I would still lean towards AJ Brown because at the very least, even though we know that long term, there is some risk.
32:21Right. We can still get good value for him, especially if this season goes exactly as I think it's going to go
32:28in terms of there being plenty of volume and him being the clear wide receiver one there.
32:34So it's even in dynasty, I would still lean towards AJ Brown on that one as well, but definitely in redraft.
32:41My problem with BTJ, right, is that even if I feel good about him as a talent, right, if I believe that
32:48he can get back to being that same level of talent that we saw in his rookie season, in particular the back
32:55half of the rookie season, that was amazing. The problem here is, is that when I look at the bodies and I'm
33:02actually going to talk about Parker Washington in a video that I'm going to drop on my day.
33:08The problem here is when I look at this receiving core of BTJ, Jacoby Myers and Parker Washington, I can identify exactly how they're going to line up.
33:17Right. And well, sorry. Oh, I have to include Travis Hunter.
33:20So sorry, Travis Hunter. I just kind of left you out there in the cold for what it's worth, because we've had
33:28all of these like rumors of Travis Hunter is only going to play defense.
33:32And then the Jack saying that's not true. We still see him as a dual threat player.
33:38I do think that like logically, when you're looking up where he would be needed the most, more than likely, we're going
33:45to see more of him on defense with some very strategic use of him on offense, but not at a 70 plus snap rate.
33:53Right. That's kind of my perspective on that. We'll have to see how it goes.
33:57Right. And let it be known the Jags are not really, the Jags are not really trustworthy when it comes to what
34:05you see from them in the off season. Remember last year when they had everyone and their mother thinking that it was
34:12going to be tank Bigsby to the moon because the man was taking first team reps and they trade him off into oblivion.
34:19Right. So just be aware that's one of the teams where if you're looking at them in preseason and training camp and
34:26looking at who's you, who know who's getting first team reps and who's lined up where just know that they low key
34:33might be experimenting because that is just kind of the head coach that Liam Cohen is and that it might not be
34:41an indication of who actually starts where. Right. But if I'm looking at this team based off of last year, right, we
34:48have a very good sample size at the end of the season where we had full snaps, full play from Brian Thomas Jr., Parker Washington and Jacoby Myers.
34:57Right. With no Travis Hunter. And the way that it lined up.
35:01Right. Was Jacoby on the outside, Brian Thomas Jr.
35:04on the outside and Parker Washington was mainly in the slot.
35:07Right. And that worked out very, very well from them offensively.
35:11Right. It allowed them to be able to pivot off of some of that tougher coverage that Brian Thomas Jr.
35:17in particular was facing. Right. And push a lot of volume towards Parker Washington because Liam Cohen is a very intelligent coach.
35:24Right. And when he's trying to figure out how to attack different defenses, I do think that it becomes less about him
35:31hyper targeting one guy like Seattle and JSN. Right.
35:34And more so about being able to play matchups.
35:37Right. And that's why we got games like the Jags against Denver, where the past game thrive.
35:43Trevor Lawrence had a great game and who had nearly 150 yards.
35:47It was Parker Washington. Right. Because the tougher coverage was on Brian Thomas Jr.
35:51So BTJ, I trust him to progress forward and recover and bounce back.
35:55Right. But at the end of the day, they're three deep in that receiving core.
36:00And it is a little worrisome in terms of just how much volume is going to go to him when they have
36:07the ability to be so versatile with their offense.
36:10So that is my only concern there with BTJ.
36:13Bounce back. But just we need to hesitate there a little bit.
36:17A couple of injury stuff that I want to talk about real quick before we dive in on some mailbag questions.
36:24Malik neighbors injury recovery questions around it. We can't really judge like how he was running at a little, you know, celebrity all star game.
36:32There's a video of him running the face first base and it looks like he's hobbling.
36:37That's not a really good judgment call there. But at the end of the day, it's just a good reminder that we
36:44do not have a timeline that says he will be ready by week one.
36:49Very unlikely, in my opinion, because I've talked about guys being on the field.
36:53Right. That are coming off of these injuries. Right.
36:56We've talked about the fact that I've got there on the notes.
37:00Right. Daniel Jones is back. Patrick Mahomes is back.
37:03Quenshawn Judkins is on the field. Who else is on?
37:06Like, Kim Scott was not really on the field.
37:09Right. But it seems like his timeline is a little bit more clear than Malik neighbors.
37:14Right. But we have guys that are returning off of injuries.
37:18They're on the field participating in OTAs. And obviously, as everyone always says, we need to see them with pads for sure.
37:25Right. But in terms of recovery timelines, it's critical that we see these guys coming off of these ACL injuries at practice
37:32right now with visible evidence that they are running.
37:35They are cutting. They're participating. Right. They've still got progress that they need to make in terms of their recovery.
37:42Right. And again, don't be shocked at some of these guys that are participating in OTAs.
37:47Right. Don't start off training camp healthy. They start off on the pup.
37:51I talked about it last week. That's what happened with Brees Hall and his recovery from his ACL injury a couple of years ago.
37:59Right. Was on the field in OTAs running. No issue.
38:02Right. Cuts. Everything looking good. Spends a couple of weeks on the pup to start off training camp.
38:08Is activated. Plays preseason and he's good to go.
38:11Has a fantastic season from a fantasy perspective. Right.
38:14So Malik neighbors is a little bit worrisome. Right.
38:17And for that reason, as much as I have talked about being anti Jackson Dart because of the whole Matt Nagy issue
38:24and not trusting him from an offensive perspective, we're seeing a shift now in people coming down on rankings, which, you know, I hate to see it.
38:33Right. Because I actually want to be correct and be the outlier on this.
38:37And I don't like it when everyone then gets on my same page.
38:41Right. From a selfish perspective. But now everyone is like, wait, maybe Jackson Dart might be too highly ranked.
38:48So it's coming down for him as well. He's moved down a couple of spots, mainly because one, you know, the whole Matt Nagy issue.
38:56And then two, really, it's really because now they're looking at Malik neighbors and saying, wait, so why am I drafting Jackson Dart at like QB eight?
39:04If he's not going to have a wide receiver one for at least four weeks in the first season.
39:11Right. Assuming that he would start on the pop.
39:13That's when things start to get very concerning. Right.
39:16Because that receiving core outside of Malik neighbors, again, which is why I like Isaiah likely is Darnell Mooney.
39:23God love him. But it's been a while. It last year looked rough.
39:27Last year looked rough. It's been a while. I know he's very talented and I think he can be the true wide receiver to in this offense.
39:35But we got to see a little bit of progress.
39:39Right. They drafted Malachi Fields. I'm not crazy about him as a prospect just because more or less of a separator, not a ton of speed.
39:47So not my ideal prospect from that standpoint. And then obviously you've got the existence of Darius Slate.
39:53They did sign Odell Beckham Jr., which that is not.
39:56That ain't it good for him. But odds of him being able to step up and handle a ton of volume.
40:03Very slim. Right. So if Malik neighbors is not healthy and ready, if Malik neighbors take some time once he is on
40:10the field to get back to looking like Malik neighbors.
40:13I mean, you might be up the creek struggling.
40:16Right. If you take Jackson Dart as your QB one and you're starting him without neighbors from that perspective, because then you're
40:23relying on his legs and increased usage on the ground and then the legs.
40:28That's just an increased injury risk there for him as well.
40:32So the Malik neighbors recovery in paying attention to that one is literally extremely, extremely critical.
40:37We also think that the Giants are going to be run heavy, which makes sense.
40:42Right. Because, again, you know, identity of the team may be shifting that direction because of the new coaching regime.
40:48Right. So a lot of concern there. But good news is, is that Daniel Jones is cleared to practice.
40:54Patrick Mahomes cleared to practice. They are on the field participating in drills at OTA.
40:59So that is fantastic, because, again, Patrick Mahomes right now, the value that we are getting, if you want to take that
41:06leap and I'm taking that leap, that he is going to be healthy to start the season and there will be no issue.
41:14We're going to massive discount on literally Patrick Mahomes.
41:17Right. My only issue with Patrick Mahomes previously when drafting him is that I never wanted to draft him at the egregious
41:24level of being able to have to draft him up there with Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen.
41:29That just was not worth it to me from a fantasy perspective once we started seeing that dip in pass volume.
41:36But at the value that we're getting for him now.
41:39Yeah. Sign me up for low end QB one.
41:42It's not even a question right there. And then Daniel Jones as well.
41:46Him. Now, granted, we did see positive improvement from the rookie last year.
41:51So perhaps they might not be 100 percent up a creek if Daniel Jones, you know, weren't ready to play.
41:57But at the end of the day, we want to see Daniel Jones in there.
42:02That was what really unlocked that consistent deep threat for Alec Pierce.
42:06That was very critical. I mean, you saw the steep drop off of success that we had from Tyler Warren and Josh Downs as well.
42:14So, you know, Michael Pittman, when he was there, this offense needs Daniel Jones.
42:19So him being out there often Achilles this quickly.
42:21Excellent. Like especially because it was an Achilles injury for him as well.
42:26Just so to see him out there and so we can actually get a feel of how he looks right.
42:32Because the player that I would be the most concerned about being affected by Daniel Jones Achilles would be Alec Pierce.
42:39Because, you know, if perhaps it's difficult for you to get the ball off, maybe you're struggling in confidence in terms of pushing off of your Achilles.
42:48Makes it maybe a little bit more difficult for you to get the ball downfield.
42:53So maybe affect Alec Pierce a little bit more.
42:55But we still feel very good as long as Jones is on the field for our guy Tyler Warren.
43:02And then for Josh Downs as well as a nice little nice little discount sleeper there.
43:07Game's about to start here. So let's do a couple of mailbag questions here.
43:11One that I'm going to pull up here that I actually pulled from our show last week.
43:17It came in from somebody who watched the show later and then dropped this comment.
43:22I thought it was hilarious. I wanted to bring it up.
43:25Said, why do we keep giving Justin Jefferson a first round pass?
43:29Is he the fantasy wide receiver gatekeeper or something?
43:32I find that comment hilarious. That's a really, really good one there.
43:36You know, I low-key agree with you on that one there.
43:40I want to be optimistic that Kyler Murray is going to get into this system with Kevin O'Connell.
43:45And Kevin O'Connell is going to fix all his problems because that's what Kevin O'Connell does, right?
43:51And that we're not going to see the sketchy version of Kyler Murray that we saw in Arizona.
43:57Because while I can factually say that even the sketchy version of Kyler Murray is better than J.J.
44:03McCarthy. Like, I can say that with a straight face.
44:06Like, give me the jacked up version of Kyler over J.J.
44:09McCarthy any day of the week, right? But that still doesn't make me feel super comfortable with Justin Jefferson as we have it right now.
44:17A top seven pick, right? A top six or seven pick, right?
44:21That's uncomfortable, right? But unfortunately, as we talked about previously with the rankings, it's hard not to put him there because everybody
44:28in that range has all these quarterback issues, right?
44:31These question marks and injury stuff. So him being up in the wide receiver six range is just more of like a default.
44:39And I actually didn't look at consensus and make sure he's still at wide receiver six because he's my wide receiver six.
44:46Yeah, he's still consensus wide receiver six. It's a default.
44:49But you're right in terms of this weird perception that we can't get off of him being in that area because of
44:56the talent that we know he has, right? If we were to, but even then so, like, I just, I don't see
45:03where I would ever feel comfortable drafting Nico Collins over Justin Jefferson.
45:07I don't, I don't see that because he also has the same issue of inconsistency at quarterback.
45:13Now, granted, his is more because of CJ Stroud and the offensive line and timing and whatnot.
45:18But still, we're given that default preference there to Jefferson because of the massive upside that he has shown in the past there.
45:26So it is funny, right? But at the end of the day, when I am drafting, I'm not clamoring to draft Justin Jefferson where he is.
45:34I'm not. I'm not going to lie there. It's a default ranking because we know who he is, right?
45:40And there's potentially optimism of the quarterback change. But at the end of the day, it's not a comfortable pick here.
45:47So this user was 100% on point in terms of pointing that out, that Justin Jefferson keeps getting this pass, right?
45:54Despite the fact that we've got a lot of concerns there.
45:58And, you know, and even then, so talking about Kyler Murray, the thing about him and while why I can already predict
46:05that when I'm doing my trade videos, I can almost guarantee that there will be some combination every single week of Minnesota players, right?
46:13Because at the end of the day, I've rostered Kyler Murray in enough dynasty to know across the years that even if
46:20the beginning portion of the Kyler Murray experience goes well, that man is never there for you in the fantasy playoffs.
46:26Not one time. Not one time can you rely on him.
46:30So it's an incredibly frustrating situation of big like, but it is Justin Jefferson.
46:35Surely he can get the ball accurately somewhat to Justin Jefferson more than we were seeing, unfortunately, there with Jim McCarthy.
46:41So that one. And then let's do one more mailbag question before I go, because the game has started and there was already a three.
46:49Jesus Christ, right off the bat there. Right off the bat here.
46:53Question. Think of Mecca Abuka could break out this season?
46:57This is one that I am also going to talk about in my upcoming video on Monday in detail, ironically.
47:03Um, it is, uh, I don't have any concerns around a Mecca Abuka.
47:07It's trying to figure out what these other roles are going to be for the other receivers in the offense.
47:14I do think a Mecca Abuka is going to have that breakout season because when I look at a Mecca in my
47:21confidence that I feel in him, um, based off of last season, I do believe that beginning portions of the season is
47:28the true identity of a Mecca Abuka. And I don't fault him for what happened at the end of the season.
47:35He fell off dramatically. Right. But there's a difference between falling off because your offense fell off as a whole.
47:41Right. And the difference between you fell off because somebody stole your spot.
47:46Right. Those are two very different things. It wasn't as if there was another wide receiver that was stepping up.
47:52If it was, you know, if it was that all of a sudden has Johnson was stepping up and just, you know,
47:59having 80 yards and a touchdown and a Mecca Abuka was nowhere in sight.
48:04That would be highly concerning. But Baker Mayfield came down in a massive way last season, especially towards the back half of the season.
48:11And on top of that, we also had the issue of the offensive coordinator being a clear downgrade to what they had
48:19previously had in Liam Cohen and Dave Canales, unfortunately.
48:22So it was just a weird spot for them.
48:24And the entire offense from a past perspective floundered.
48:27Right. So my concerns about a Mecca and his down year are different.
48:32Like, let's let's compare it to Brian Thomas Jr.
48:34Actually. Yeah. So you compare it to Brian Thomas Jr.
48:38Right. And the fact that it's it would be concerning that we saw stronger performances out of a guy like Parker Washington
48:45compared to a Mecca compared to Brian Thomas Jr.
48:48You can make that comparison and say, hey, I'm a little bit concerned about BTJ because other guys stepped up to Kobe
48:55Myers look better than him and so on and so forth.
48:58Right. But I can't say that about a Mecca.
49:01That was just the offensive situation as a whole.
49:04Right. So, yeah, I still feel very good about a Mecca.
49:08The question marks that I have is who's going to step up with him.
49:12Right. Because it can't just be the Mecca Buka show.
49:16Not physically possible. At least one other player has to.
49:19And when we look at Chris Godwin, obviously, he's been more.
49:22He's versatile. He can play anywhere. Right. But he's been more successful in kind of the slot role there.
49:29And unfortunately, it's easy to forget that he's on up there in age.
49:33Right. He's knocking on 30. It's been a long time.
49:36Years now since we have seen him have a complete season healthy and performing at a peak level.
49:42I think the fall off is there, unfortunately. And it's possible that he gets that deference earlier in the season as a veteran.
49:49Right. But I think we might be at the point where you start to see the clear inability to make it through an entire season.
49:57And then you look at new wide receiver Ted Hurst.
50:01We've had comments directly from Tampa Bay that his role will be X receiver.
50:05Not necessarily that he will be the guaranteed starter X receiver.
50:09Right. But that that is the position that he would play.
50:12And it makes sense. He fits that perfectly to a tee in terms of his type and abilities.
50:18So good chance when we're looking at that, that the starting lineup initially might be a Mecca Chris Godwin.
50:24And Ted Hurst. My question mark here is Jalen McMillan.
50:28Can Jalen McMillan, who has shown a lot of upside, particularly as a rookie, can he actually surpass Chris Godwin?
50:34And maybe once we get towards the back half of the season and maybe we see a fall off from Chris Godwin,
50:41we see an emergence of Jalen McMillan, who has looked fantastic in specifically relief of Chris Godwin.
50:47And the receiving core ends up being with a Mecca book is the first look.
50:52Ted Hurst is a strong option. And then Jalen McMillan doing a lot of that high volume stuff over the middle in the slot.
50:59So that is kind of my viewpoint of the Tampa Bay receiving core watching out for that this offseason.
51:06And at the end of the day, feeling very good about a Mecca book.
51:10And then Eazy E says, hey, Tara, just dropped by watching the NBA championship.
51:15Perfect, because that is what we are going to go do now.
51:18I'm going to close out the show 10 minutes early so we can go and watch.
51:24Watch game one of the finals here. But good show, people.
51:27I appreciate you tuning in here. Thank you so much for tuning into the Dear Miss Fantasy show available on all podcast platforms.
51:35So if you give me a subscription on that, that would be greatly appreciated.
51:39And then also a subscription on my YouTube channel.
51:42That would be wonderful. And then shout out to Player Profiler as well.
51:46If you're not subscribed to Player Profiler, that is a ton of great content, a lot of great Dynasty content as well and best ball content as well.
51:55A lot of best ball content on that channel too.
51:59If you're looking for that as well, drop down a subscription there.
52:03But appreciate you guys tuning in. Perhaps we'll have more dramatic trades or arrests.
52:07Brandon Ayuk, an arrest was issued. Arrest warrant was issued for him.
52:11That's low-key funny. But regardless, perhaps we'll have a drama-free week.
52:15I doubt it. We'll probably have a lot of big, wild news to talk about next week.
52:20So I will see you guys next week at 8 p.m.
52:24Same time, same place. Thank you all for tuning in.
52:27Go enjoy the finals. Have a good one, guys.
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