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1:44You're welcome. What's up, everyone? Welcome into the Dear Miss Fantasy Show.
1:48With me, your host, Tara Roberts. This is the official mailbag show for Player Profiler.
1:53It is Wednesday, August 26th. And I'm live on YouTube taking your questions.
1:57I've got mailbag questions for us and I've got some general, general fantasy news for us to go through.
2:04And of course, any comments that you have or questions that you have, as always, drop them in the chat.
2:10But we can go ahead and get started with the news that we've had come through.
2:16Start us off with one that I think you guys will appreciate, because I do believe we talked about this a little bit on the channel last week.
2:25Kayshawn Booty to the Houston Texans. And we'll talk about what that means for their receiving core.
2:31We talked about the possibility of Kayshawn Booty being traded, not specifically to the Texans, but the possibility of Kayshawn Booty being
2:39traded last week because he should be. He was unfortunately, I loved Kayshawn Booty last season, just in general, the promise that he has shown.
2:47And it's very interesting, right? Because he was one of those players who had high upside as a prospect, then had downturn production in college, came out underwhelming.
2:57So we really didn't think there was much there, but he's clearly been working his way up there.
3:03And I think he's deserving of being a starter.
3:06But with the addition of both A.J. Brown and Romeo Dobbs, clearly, unfortunately, there was no place for him in New England because of alignment.
3:14He is a deep threat. He doesn't play in the slot.
3:18So if you're looking at Romeo Dobbs, A.J. Brown, and then unfortunately they have to put, not unfortunately, DeMario Douglas is fine.
3:25But they have to put DeMario Douglas on the field then as the third wide receiver because he's the one that can play in the slot.
3:34So that just made Kayshawn Booty the odd man out.
3:38But there were plenty of locations to where he could go and be a starter.
3:43And the Texans became one of those locations when, unfortunately, Jaden Higgins went down with the ACL injury.
3:49We talked about tank dealt a little bit. I still, you know, if you want to take a late round dart throw
3:56on tank dealt in deeper leagues, it's not the worst thing in the world.
4:01But we know that the Texans are being cautious with them.
4:05They want him to bring to bring him along slowly and do a nice ramp up, make sure that everything is OK
4:12with him because he's coming back from a significant injury.
4:16And Jaden Higgins being there was going to allow them to do that.
4:20Right. We were drafting Jaden Higgins as the wide receiver, too.
4:24We were not drafting Tank Dell as the wide receiver, too, because we instinctually knew that they would not have to utilize him and push him along.
4:33The injury to tank, the injury to Jaden Higgins would have pushed Tank Dell into an uncomfortable timeline.
4:39So adding Kayshawn Booty makes everything a-okay there in Houston.
4:42In terms of draft location, it's interesting because I actually, I was on the clock shortly after the trade.
4:49And so I was able to draft Kayshawn Booty.
4:52And, you know, Kayshawn, the ADP has risen, but not significantly.
4:56I rose him in my rankings. I don't know if people, I don't know why it hasn't risen more than it has.
5:03Now, granted, I think it's up like three to five rounds right now.
5:07It's at round 17. It should go significantly higher than that.
5:11Where I drafted him in my draft, it's an industry draft flex leagues for Jake Seeley.
5:17I drafted him. It's a 14-team league. I drafted him in round 12.
5:21So that works out to, in a 12-team league, around round 14.
5:25I think 14, 15 is a reasonable area to target him.
5:29If I was like making comparisons, I'm grabbing the rookies first, right?
5:33I would grab, and a lot of those rookies have shot up.
5:37But let's jump to like a Jacoby Lane or perhaps a Ted Hurst.
5:41I would grab those type of rookies before I would try to get Kayshawn Booty.
5:46Although, ironically, I was able to draft Ted Hurst right after that.
5:50So yay me. But I'd probably lean towards the rookies and then go with Kayshawn Booty.
5:56Because when we look at him in the context of that Texans offense, he is going to be the deep threat.
6:03I'm sure he can be a little bit more versatile.
6:06But they have Jalen Knoll in the slot. Nico Collins can obviously play all over.
6:11So more than likely, we're going to see primary usage of Kayshawn Booty be downfield.
6:17And he's excellent at that. He had a fantastic catch rate with Drake May.
6:21So this is going to be a very reliable, deep threat option for CJ Stroud.
6:26Hopefully, maybe this will help him. Because Jaden Higgins, like him, love him.
6:31Very cool. But Kayshawn Booty, reliability from a deep threat perspective.
6:34Hopefully, that can give a nice different aspect to kind of maybe elevate CJ Stroud's game there.
6:40We're not looking at CJ Stroud as a target outside of Superflex.
6:44But this is good things. So happy for the Texans to get this to reinforce their receiving core.
6:50I do believe that Kayshawn Booty is the wide receiver too.
6:54And happy for Kayshawn Booty to now get the opportunity to start elsewhere since that was not going to happen, unfortunately.
7:01Let's see here. Jumping to the chat. Hi to Eazy-E was in here early, as always.
7:07Hi to John in the chat. Truth in the chat says fifth pick, 12-man league, PPR, PPC, and IDP.
7:13Okay. CMC, JT, or Amon Ross St. Brown? Points per carry does make things, does make me feel certain types of way about JT.
7:21I do theoretically have CMC ranked higher than JT.
7:24I would take JT before Amon Ross St. Brown, and I would take Amon Ross St.
7:30Brown before CMC just because I am being a little bit more cautious.
7:34My preference there would be to go towards JT, especially with added points per carry.
7:39Um, yeah, yeah, that's my preference there for you.
7:42All fine picks, but even in full PPR, I still lean towards JT on that one.
7:48From Henry Odom. Hello, Tara. Draft this weekend. Yay.
7:51And I'm so torn between Lamb and Jefferson situation.
7:54I need a tiebreaker help. Well, it's preference. Do you want to go safety or risk?
7:59If you're wanting to play it safe with your first round pick, it's, it's seedy.
8:04If you want to play it a little bit riskier, Justin Jefferson.
8:08I, I think I'm more inclined to lean, like, waiver in terms of whether I want to be super safe or extra risky in the first round.
8:18You guys know that I am worried about the risk of CMC in the aggressive workload that he had last season.
8:25With Justin Jefferson, I don't have concerns. Obviously, he's dealt with injuries in the past, right?
8:30But I don't have concerns about Justin Jefferson being on the field.
8:34It's just how much we're trusting Kyler Murray to make it through the season.
8:39Because I do have confidence that Kyler Murray can supply Justin Jefferson with enough volume for him to have a clear wide receiver one season.
8:47That's not a question for me. The thing that I think will happen there is that we won't get a lot of touchdowns, which is perfectly fine.
8:57We're looking for volume and yardage for Justin Jefferson to just kind of do his thing that he has done.
9:03Literally 1,400 plus yards in every single season, with the exception of last year with J.J.
9:09McCarthy. So, depending on how you want to go.
9:12If you want to play it safer, go with CeeDee Lamb.
9:15If you want to play it risky, go with Justin Jefferson.
9:19I know, I don't know if that helps you because maybe you're undecided on whether or not you want to take that risk.
9:27I will say, if you do go with Justin Jefferson, you might want to lean towards maybe a safer option when you
9:34come around in running back in round two. And maybe just kind of play it a little bit safer and not get too risky on that end.
9:44But again, that just depends on who swings around.
9:47But my lean would be just being like a little bit risky there with Jefferson.
9:52If I had to force you to pick one.
9:55But it's just safety versus risk. Dion Polk says, a lot of injuries this preseason.
10:00Way too many. It's always like that, though. But I feel like, if anything, I kind of, not to criticize beat reporters by any means.
10:08But I feel like we're getting, like, maybe a lot of more overreactions from beat reporters than we typically get.
10:15And that's making it more dramatic. You know, like, whereas an Ashton-Gentee injury, we would have, you know, gotten news that there
10:23was an injury and we would have waited to see.
10:26But instead, we get the dramatic update of there being a prayer circle and thinking that it's a season-ending injury.
10:33So I feel like that's the difference. It's like, we're, like, there's always preseason injuries.
10:38But some of the reporting has been a wee bit dramatic on a lot of these guys.
10:44So, yeah, I feel like that's the difference here.
10:47But the injuries have been so, so frustrating. From John, 75-45.
10:50Hey, Tara, draft this weekend, rookie dynasty, draft six pick, 12 team, which rookie wide receiver would you suggest?
10:57Now, this, this gets tricky, right? Because we're at the point, like, if we had asked this question, let me pull up rookie rankings real quick.
11:06If we had asked this question back in, like, May, June, April, May, June, would have been very simple.
11:12But now we've got the added in factor of the Jordan Tyson injury, the recurring issue that we were all worried about
11:20and hoping that would, you know, go away once he got into the NFL.
11:24Now we've got the hamstring injury again. Got to see a specialist.
11:28And we're sitting here and we're thinking, okay, this, this makes it a little bit concerning because let's say you get to pick six before.
11:37Obviously, Jordan Tyson would exist. Wouldn't exist. I'm assuming not super flex, right?
11:41But before we get there, we would assume that we would not have Jordan Tyson at that pick.
11:47He could be there. Honestly, if people are a little bit weary, perhaps we get, you know, someone in your draft leans
11:55and says, okay, I would rather just go ahead and take Jadarian Price.
11:59Obviously, Casey Concepcion is getting a lot of positive feedback.
12:03So from that perspective, pick six. The way that I would go for you is if Jordan Tyson, if you're getting a
12:10discount on Jordan Tyson and people are passing over because of the injury issue, I would still take him at the six
12:17because that's a pretty good discount on a guy who was the wide receiver too.
12:23If not, then you should have Casey Concepcion there.
12:26And that would be my preference. So Tyson, if he falls, still take that risk and otherwise just go Casey Concepcion.
12:33Obviously, the Browns situation at quarterback is very frustrating.
12:36And honestly, you know, I guess we haven't really talked about Deshaun Watson versus Shudder Sanders because that decision happened prior to the last show.
12:44But honestly, I kind of feel like more than likely we're going to see Deshaun just kind of be mediocre or subpar the first couple of weeks.
12:53And then they'll switch things up and give Shudder a try.
12:57So perhaps that'll breathe some life into the offense.
13:00But either way, more than likely, the scenario is that the Browns end up unless Shudder Sanders does have a breakout season and shows promise.
13:09The Browns will have another quarterback in 2027. And for right now, we do have a fairly nice quarterback class.
13:15Now, obviously, things can change. We always go in there thinking that a rookie class is going to be that we're going to have plenty of quarterback options.
13:25It's going to be solid. And then everything gets thrown sideways.
13:29But as of right now, it's looking like whoever is picking towards the top is going to get a nice selection of quarterbacks.
13:36So if the Browns, if Shudder Sanders doesn't work out, then obviously the Browns will have a higher end pick.
13:43So I'm OK with going Concepcion right there at that pick.
13:47Perfectly fine. So, you know, you got a couple options, a nice default option and then a reach option if it does fall to you.
13:55From Truth. Oh, nice. I like the comment here.
13:58Truth says, oh, yeah, I love you, Tara. You are down to earth with real sense.
14:04Thank you. Appreciate that. That's what I try to bring to the channel.
14:08So someone commented this on another video. Like it was like realistic advice.
14:13And I was like, yes, like I try not to be a hot take artist.
14:18I don't think it really fits me well in my persona because I don't do a lot of like yelling.
14:25It's very, very even keel. So I try to like moderate lukewarm takes with reasonable explanations.
14:30Like I'm not always going to be right, but we will talk through the logic.
14:35I'm not going to give you an answer without some logical reasoning.
14:39And it could be wrong. It could go the exact opposite direction.
14:43Right. But at least we talk through it from a logical perspective.
14:47So we came to a good conclusion. John says, happy, happy you're live, Tara.
14:52I need help in this draft. Nice. Let's talk it through.
14:56Darren gave 440, 440 jewels and said, unk alert.
14:59From Razzle. Hi, Tara. So if you wait on tight end.
15:03Oh, perfect. Perfect. I actually had a mailbag question on this.
15:06You know, were you the one that I don't know if you were the one someone asked me a mailbag question on this.
15:14So I'll pull this up as well. But Razzle says, hi, Tara.
15:18So if you wait on tight end, Juwan Johnson or Jake Ferguson, Cowboys offense should score more than the Saints.
15:25So just go with the better offense. This is perfect timing because I also had a mailbag question on this.
15:32The mailbag question was also around tight end strategy because it's getting a little bit more ambiguous.
15:37As we keep working through the preseason, we're trying to figure out like we had Sam Laporta dealing with an injury.
15:45Tyler Warren had a little injury scare. Seems like the Laporta injury is not as big of an issue.
15:51Supposedly the sorry, it seems like the Warren issue is not an issue.
15:55Seems like supposedly the Laporta issue is not major.
15:58But I'm kind of skeptical because we have dealt with injury issues with Laporta.
16:03So that does kind of raise my antennas of like, whoa, now because Laporta had been falling in and out of that comfort area for me.
16:12And I was like, OK, you know what? I can get behind it at his value because basically I could get behind
16:19it because I am very pro Jared Goff this season.
16:23The schedule lines up beautifully. Offensive line injury does make me a little bit concerned, but I'm not trying not to overreact to one offensive line injury.
16:32It's when you get the multiples in there that I start to panic a little.
16:37So but all things pointing towards a massive season for Jared Goff in terms of the way their schedule lines up.
16:44Back half of the season is loaded with dome games, loaded, literally, literally like two outdoor or three outdoor games.
16:51One is Chicago and championship week. So FYI, just be prepared for that.
16:55And then the other is like outdoor at Miami and then an international game and then just domes, domes on top of domes.
17:03And their defense secondary, their defensive secondary is still dealing with a significant amount of injuries.
17:09So I think we're going to continue to see with Detroit just these high, high, high point total games.
17:15Both teams pushing volume back and forth defense struggling to stop people through the air because they are better against the run.
17:22So teams just unloading on them through the air, especially because they have to keep up with Detroit's offense, which will be clicking on all cylinders.
17:31So a lot of high volume games. So I could get behind the idea of like, OK, well, I'm good with Amonra.
17:39I'm good with Jamison and I can be good with Laporta because it's just a ton of volume.
17:45And obviously I'm good with Gibbs. Like, but I'm like, OK, it's just a ton of volume.
17:51But if you're still already in season dealing with another nagging injury, it does make me concerned and it makes me want
17:58to kind of push you out of my circle of trust, right?
18:02So when we're looking at how we deal with tight end, because we know that top two excellent in Brock Bowers and Trey McBride, no question marks.
18:11I have zero issues with Colston Loveland. I prefer Tyler Ward.
18:15Daniel Jones is good. As long as Daniel Jones is good and healthy and he appears to be, we have no problem with that.
18:23The Colts offense should not have any major issues.
18:26So I'm good with Jalen Warren or Tyler Warren.
18:29But I do have him like a slight tier ish below Colston Loveland just because he has less offensive risk.
18:36But still good with him. Then you have Tucker Craft, who is fifth ranked.
18:41But I warn people just be prepared early on that you might need a streaming option because the Packers and Tyler Ward or the Packers.
18:49And sorry, guys, it's been a long day. I'll explain to you guys in a second why it's been a long day.
18:57But the Packers and Tucker Craft have specifically stated that they are going to ramp him up slowly.
19:03It sounds like it's like a five, six game period.
19:06I think it could be a little lower than that because personally looking back at the ramp up period for Christian Watson
19:14last year, it was literally two games before they got him onto a more regular snap count.
19:19So maybe they're being extra cautious, but I would not be shocked if it was just more of like the two to
19:27three game time period where they limit his snaps below 50 percent and then they push him up.
19:33So just keep that in mind. And then after that, you guys know I'm good with Harold Fanta Jr., good with Kyle Pitts.
19:41But then you get into this nasty gap where you're looking at, OK, do I go with Travis Kelsey?
19:47Do I look at Dalton Kincaid? And that's a big no for me.
19:52That's not a question at all. Please, I will never advise you to draft Dalton Kincaid this year.
19:58Wide receiver room, more addition into that. Way too many pass catchers.
20:02We are not going to see a dramatic increase in pass volume for Josh Allen.
20:07And the Bills stated that as Dalton Kincaid was dealing with these nagging injuries, their approach might be to limit his usage.
20:14They extended Dawson Knox. So all of that adds up to me believing that consistency might be an issue in terms of
20:22potential limited snap counts and just volume going towards that wide receiver core with the addition of DJ Moore to not feel
20:29super good about Dalton Kincaid as my tight end one when he's literally only performed as a tight end one his rookie season, right?
20:37I'm just I'm not there. So Isaiah likely was someone who I was feeling good with.
20:43But then the Giants preseason usage has just spooked me.
20:46I'm getting we'll talk about the Giants in general in a second, but I'm just getting very unbelievably spooked by every single
20:54thing they are doing during training camp for the preseason that is making me nervous about drafting literally any of them outside
21:01of Malik neighbors just from a pure target perspective.
21:04So honestly, my gap starts with after Kyle Pitts.
21:07It goes all the way to Dallas Goddard. That is if you're looking to push it back in Dallas Goddard.
21:14You can get him around round 10. Let me double check to make sure that it has not moved up significantly recently.
21:21I don't think it should have got hurt. Got it.
21:25Where are you? Dallas Goddard. Yeah, round 10. Holding steady.
21:28Early round 10 pick is my preference. So if you can't get one of the higher end options or one of the
21:36good safe mid round options, I gap and skip all the way to round 10 and go to Dallas Goddard.
21:42I trust Dallas Goddard. We have unfortunately heard a lot of negative things about Eli Stowers just not picking up, which I
21:50hate, but unfortunately it sounds like he's just not picking up the way that they would have hoped.
21:56Now, granted, that does not mean that he can't be something at some point this season, but Dallas Goddard is very solidified.
22:03The tight end one and could potentially be should be top two in touchdowns.
22:08We saw a significant increase in usage in the red zone from him last season.
22:13A.J. Brown being gone is only going to exacerbate that need for them to lean on him once they get inside the 20, 10, 5, especially the 5.
22:23I mean, he, I believe inside the 5, he led.
22:26Ooh, let me not lie. I believe inside. Do I have red zone stats pulled up?
22:32Yeah, I do. Inside the 5, Dallas Goddard led the league in targets.
22:36Yes. Yeah. I did not lie. Inside the 5, Dallas Goddard led the league in targets last season.
22:42Now, mind you, Dallas Goddard also dealt with injuries.
22:45So he did that on what, like 14, 15 games?
22:49So yeah, we saw a significant increase in his usage there.
22:52Now, I do think obviously the Eagles are going to lean back on Saquon Barkley, but from a receiving perspective and a
23:00red zone target, once they get close to the goal line, they're going to be looking at Dallas Goddard.
23:06So touchdowns are going to be pretty much a lock for him.
23:10And he could see an increase in targets as well as they try to work through this new receiving core.
23:17Makai Lemon should come along, but again, he's been dealing with injuries as well throughout preseason.
23:22And Dontavian Wicks has been added. Sounds like he's going to be a core piece and starter in that offense.
23:29But I feel very confident in the amount of red zone looks that Dallas Goddard is going to get to trust him as my tight end one.
23:38So that is my, if I'm jumping two double digit rounds, I stop at round 10 and I'm grabbing Dallas Goddard.
23:45If you have to go in round nine to get it just to be safe, I'm okay with that.
23:52Other than that, when it comes to Jake Ferguson, I don't hate it, but it's no longer a massive high upside pick.
23:59It's somewhat safe, but the upside is essentially gone because of the fact that CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens there really just
24:07pushes him back to being the guaranteed third look.
24:10And I like my tight ends to be the second look.
24:14So that's the only issue. I don't think he'll be a bust in any way, shape or form.
24:20Just not a massive high upside pick. So somewhat safe if you have to do that.
24:25And then, of course, I do like Juwan Johnson to be the second look at that offense with Jordan Tyson dealing with the injury.
24:33It's been a long day, guys. I was streaming earlier like a few hours ago.
24:38I was in the chat answering questions during a long stream.
24:42I shot multiple videos this morning and they were for different sports.
24:46They were golf. It was my last golf video, sadly.
24:50It was my last golf video of the year.
24:53Oh, God. Golf season is over. Tour championship this year.
24:56So I'm going to miss it. But and then I also shot a college football betting video because I will be doing college football betting.
25:04So bouncing back and forth between sports is like oddly enough, like mentally taxing.
25:09But I am very excited to be doing college betting this season because that is only going to make my dynasty rookie rankings 10 times better.
25:18So I'm very much so looking forward to that.
25:21So that is that is why if you're like Tara, why does it seem like you're confusing player names and then you go back and correct yourself?
25:30It's because it's been a super long day. And that was starting at like, I don't know, 6 a.m.
25:37where I started getting up and having to get the kids ready.
25:41So but we're here. And that was tight end strategy.
25:44So I hope that helps there with the mailbag question.
25:47And for you, Razzle, as well, because it is getting we are getting thinned out here at tight end to where our
25:55late round options are not as trustworthy as they have felt in previous times.
26:00Jumping back to the chat here. Henry Odom says, if I draft if I draft Josh Jacobs, should I prioritize Lloyd during my draft?
26:08Yes, 100 percent. And I'm not always a you must handcuff kind of drafter.
26:13But in this situation, I do think you must handcuff.
26:16Now, I still believe I think the little quote about the Packers preparing for a suspension might have been slightly out of context.
26:24It sounds like they were saying like, hey, you know, if it happens, you know, we're prepared to we were prepared to be able to deal with that.
26:33Not that they were preparing because there is a suspension coming.
26:37So I don't know. So hopefully that little misinterpretation there, because that's the way that I was taking it.
26:43And I think that's the way that a lot of other people that dug into what was actually said took it.
26:51So hopefully if that happens, we get a little ADP discount.
26:54I would like it to drop even further. Where are we at on Josh Jacobs ADP?
27:00Let's see if we had any kind of movement.
27:03Josh Jacobs. Oh, yeah, we had a little movement.
27:06This could push into round four for sure. Nice.
27:09I could see that, especially because people are feeling a lot more positive about Jalen Waddell, Travis Etienne.
27:15So, yeah, I could 100 percent see this Josh Jacobs ADP bumping back into round four, which would be ideal.
27:22Because, you know, third round is great. It's a discount.
27:25But I want more of a discount. He is wide receiver or sorry, RB 17 right now.
27:31So, Brees Hall has gone above him. Jeremiah Love still holding strong.
27:35We saw a video of Jeremiah Love walking around.
27:38So maybe Jeremiah's loves. There was a video of him walking around carrying pizzas for his rookie duties.
27:44So maybe Jeremiah Love's injury is not as dramatic.
27:47But we're not seeing a massive discount or drop in his ADP.
27:51So, yeah, with Josh Jacobs, keep your eye out on that.
27:55Do prioritize Marshawn Lloyd as a handcuff. And Marshawn Lloyd's ADP has not jumped.
28:00I don't know if people are just skeptical of Marshawn Lloyd because of all of the injuries he's dealt with.
28:06But it's still sitting at around 14. So 100 percent make sure that you handcuff because that would be Chris Brooks is there.
28:14But from everything the Packers have said, they want Marshawn Lloyd to take that step forward and be the direct handcuff.
28:21So I would 100 percent handcuff. But again, I think the wording might have been a little bit off in terms of
28:29their 100 percent sure being a suspension coming. This episode is brought to you by Michelob Ultra.
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28:58Louis, Missouri. Football is back, baby. And whether you've been betting for years or you're just looking to put a little action
29:05on the games, my bookie needs to be added to your list of places to go line shopping.
29:12We've been talking about the teams we like and don't like for months.
29:16We're in on this Jets offense more than almost anybody.
29:19And we're terrified of this Falcons offense. Even though you got Bijan, you got Kyle Pitts, you got Drake London.
29:26But you got two bad left-handed quarterbacks. And you certainly don't need to be telling some fake betting expert on social media.
29:34Go to my bookie and find the plays you already know you like and take a shot.
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30:16You're welcome. Let's see here. Jumping to the chat from Deljay in PPR.
30:20Who should I pair with Bijan at 211 and 301 or 302 turn?
30:24Hold on. Who should I pair with Bijan at the 211, 302 turn?
30:29I'm leading towards Devante and Kyron Williams and then going wide receiver, wide receiver, wide receiver.
30:34So I've been doing a whole lot of mock drafting lately.
30:38I've been doing a lot of mock drafting shows.
30:41And if you ever want to see the mock drafts, I keep a schedule.
30:46So you can check out my link tree and see the schedule of the mock drafts I'm doing.
30:52I'm doing one on Monday and Tuesday. Jesus. But the Monday one is what the Tuesday ones are on Twitch.
30:59They're fun 10 second clock mock drafts that are very rapid fire.
31:03So it's just for us to have fun, draft together.
31:06And the people in the chat, the audience drafts with us.
31:10So that's fun. So you can jump in, join, and draft with us.
31:14And it's just a fun rapid fire thing and we answer questions.
31:18But the Monday chat will be, or the Monday mock draft will be a legit mock draft with a regular clock.
31:25So make sure that you check that out. And as I've been doing all these mock drafts, I have not gotten the 101 or the 102.
31:34But what I have noticed is that with those two picks, the builds that take Gibbs and Bijon and then come around
31:42with wide receiver, wide receiver, and then hit running back in round four look very nice.
31:47Not going to lie. So while my preference, I enjoy going RB, RB at the turn in the back half.
31:54Or just RB, wide receiver, and then wide receiver in the back half of drafts.
31:59If you've got one of those early picks, I would double up at wide receiver there.
32:04Because let's look at ADP and see the guys that you know.
32:08Chris Olave has been moving up. So but he should still be available at that time.
32:14Just keep your eye because a lot of these wide receivers, Chris Olave and Malik Neighbors, they are having some movement here.
32:21So but if you come around after Bijon, you can the wide receivers available would be Malik, Chris Olave, Devontae Smith would be there.
32:29Bizet Flowers is reasonable. He tends to go later in round three, but I think early round three is very reasonable for him.
32:37So my preference actually would be to go Bijon, wide receiver, wide receiver, because the round four running backs are actually holding pretty steady.
32:45Now in round four, we've got Travis Etienne that he's moving up a little bit, right?
32:51But he's still a round four pick. So we've got Travis Etienne in round four.
32:56We've got DeAndre Swift in round four is a very nice stable option as well.
33:01I occasionally see, depending on the draft, sometimes Devontae Williams will drop to a round four as well.
33:07Late round four, I don't know that that would get to you.
33:11But Travis is very realistic. Swift is extremely realistic to make it to you.
33:16So I'm not going to lie. I might risk it for the biscuit and go wide receiver there and come around with running back in round four.
33:25Not going to lie. But your strategy would work as well.
33:29Your strategy would work as well. So if you want to play it a little bit safer, going with Devontae and Kyron
33:36and then banging it out at wide receiver, perfectly fine.
33:40But there are other options. Just FYI on that.
33:43From Marvin Tolbert, I drafted JSN over Jamar Chase trying to scroll up.
33:47Oh, no. How bad did I do? You know, I feel so.
33:51I feel you on that. I have had some.
33:54Not misclicks, but forgetting that I was like, I forgot that I was on the clock.
34:00I forgot that I was on the clock in one draft and ended up auto drafting.
34:05So, yeah, it's been a weird draft season for me.
34:08So I feel you on misclicks and mess ups there.
34:12But drafting JSN over Jamar, I mean, I hate it, right?
34:16But at the end of the day, I'm not one of those people that thinks that JSN is going to have a massive regression.
34:24Yeah, there are other pieces on the offense, right?
34:27Cooper Cup's still there. Rashid Shahid obviously does have huge potential upside if they would actually utilize him as a consistent receiver.
34:34It'd give him a consistent target share. And there are some younger options as well that I like.
34:40But at the end of the day, despite the fact that we are changing offensive coordinators, I think this offense is still,
34:48from a pass perspective, is still going to run right through JSN.
34:52So regression whatever. I'm sorry. I still feel good with JSN as a top six pick, right?
34:58So, I mean, yeah, we want Jamar over. We want Jamar over JSN, but it's okay.
35:03You'll be all right. You'll be all right. Let's see here.
35:07From Joe's. Oh, man, I'm behind in the chat.
35:10You know what? Rapid fire-ish to catch up here.
35:13Joe Sue Hildago says, How far are CeeDee and Nico?
35:16Pickens limiting CeeDee worries me. Yes. And, but here's the thing is that Nico has a ceiling limitation too.
35:23So CeeDee has a ceiling, clearly, a clear CeeDee ceiling limitation with George Pickens.
35:27It's an issue. But if you look at, because I did, I did.
35:32If you take out the games where CeeDee Lamb was injured, right?
35:36And did not play 50% of snaps. And you only look at the ones where he was playing the majority of snaps.
35:43And then you do a per target and take it out over 17 games.
35:48He still was averaging like 150 plus targets. So, I mean, the volume is still there.
35:53The touchdowns coming down were the issue. But there have been points made by a lot of people that some of the
36:01touchdown, there were missed opportunities that were on CeeDee.
36:04So the season could have been better than what it was.
36:08It's a little bit misleading of it being a dramatic drop-off because of George Pickens.
36:13Now, his ceiling is capped, right? He has no longer got the upside of that top three upside we saw before.
36:20But still a safe low-end wide receiver one pick.
36:23Nico also has a cap ceiling. We just don't want to admit it.
36:27The cap ceiling is CeeDee Stroud, right? CeeDee has Dak.
36:31We know that when Dak plays a full season, Dak is giving you a certain level of touchdowns.
36:37Dak's giving you 30 touchdowns, right? Dak is giving you 4,000 plus yards.
36:41Like, you feel good about it when Dak plays a full season.
36:45That's a guarantee. But with Nico and CeeDee Stroud, you don't have that level of volume because CeeDee Stroud doesn't push that level of volume.
36:54And because the Texans don't have to push that level of volume because they have a fantastic defense that literally only got better.
37:02So Nico also has a ceiling limitation. So I don't really love him either.
37:06I don't love CeeDee. I don't love Nico as picks.
37:10My preference is to, and this is why my preference is kind of low-key, just to skip over, invest in running back.
37:17And then, like, hey, I'm going to invest in running back early.
37:21And then I'm going to bounce around and hit wide receiver when it comes to guys like Chris Olave as a clear
37:29high-volume play now that he has Tyler Shuck for a full season and no Jordan Tyson for the foreseeable-ish future.
37:35You know, Malik Neighbors, all those guys that we had talked about as potential picks at the turn there, Devontae Smith, right?
37:43So, yeah, I don't think you have to invest in those guys.
37:47The gap is not that big between them. If you want to pass over a CeeDee and go with a Nico, just
37:54because, again, more clear, locked-in volume from a clear, like, target perspective, I'm 100% okay with that.
38:00So, yeah, Rascal says don't go with, well, you know, Rascal makes a good point here.
38:06We talked about, because I can't remember who it was, was asking about Jefferson or Lamb.
38:11But Rascal has made a point in the chat saying don't go with either of them.
38:16Need to go two wide receivers or need to go two RBs in the late first.
38:22And that's valid. It's oddly enough, for some reason, when I do the drafts where I go RB, RB in the back
38:29half and then wide receiver in the third, it doesn't grade very well.
38:34For some reason, because you're not getting one of those elite upside wide receivers.
38:39But at the end of the day, they still look pretty.
38:42So, they're like, there's nothing wrong with a draft or a, you know, a Amari and Hampton, Saquon Barkley start.
38:49That's a pretty start, right? That James Cook, Saquon Barkley.
38:52You can get those combinations, especially because I've seen Saquon drop.
38:56I see Saquon drop sometimes in a ridiculous level.
38:59You can get it. We're so deep at running back this year that you can realistically go RB, RB if the right backs are there for you.
39:08Chase Brown is always lingering around that. It's a very safe option that you could pair up with someone.
39:15So, yeah, don't, don't, Rascal makes a very good point here.
39:19Don't feel beholden to take either one of those wide receivers in the first round.
39:24You can just go running back. But, you know what?
39:27A lot of people have preferences where they want to push running back back a little bit.
39:33So, you know, we got to give options, right?
39:36Leaving says, dribbling almost a third rounder by next Monday.
39:39I promise it won't jump that high. Well, I say that.
39:43I say that. And you never know how high it could jump.
39:47It looks like it's settling in at round nine.
39:50I've been checking it daily. It looks like it's settling in here.
39:54They're no more dramatically. So hopefully. Hopefully. Now, granted, because Mike Evans came out and said that he expects to be ready for week one.
40:03Well, your expectations and what might happen are never actually the same thing.
40:07So you can say that you might be ready for week one.
40:11But you have dealt with a wide variety of nagging injuries here.
40:15And I've got I already had very limited faith.
40:18Right. I love Mike Evans, but my faith was very limited on his ability to make it through the season, especially now
40:26that he's in San Francisco and he's getting attacked by the substation.
40:30So, OK, tinfoil. But seriously. Seriously. But at the end of the day, I hope that I don't think I think round
40:37eight is the highest that stripling will push. Realistically.
40:40I don't think it'll push into round seven. I don't think it'll do that.
40:45It might. It might. Now, round eight is the cutoff.
40:48I think I think it's stabilized and it won't go that high.
40:52OK, jumping back to the chat here. Linda Blitz says, hey, Tara, I'm in a PPR super flex league.
40:59Tin team Gibbs, Bijon, Josh Allen and Jake and Jamar Chase are keepers.
41:03Won't be on the board. Second pick. Should I go QB?
41:07Chase Brown is my keeper. Yes. So Josh Allen is not on the board.
41:12I would go you have the second pick. Well, you know, if I'm OK with going with either Lamar Jackson or Drake May.
41:19My preference would be Lamar Jackson, but he if he is taken, I'm OK with going with Drake May as your first pick.
41:27Yeah. Sparky says Miss Fantasy. Nice to be a part of the chat.
41:32What you what you think about pick seven picking cook?
41:35Yes, I'm pro pro cook. First round. I think it's very safe.
41:39If the touchdowns look, the touchdowns exist no matter what Josh Allen is doing.
41:44He gets his James Cook gets his. And last year was the highest volume of Cook's career, but it wasn't egregious.
41:51It was just like 300 carries. It's not that much.
41:54Not a ton of work through the air. We do have rumors of right.
41:59You know, them saying that they want to get Cook more involved in the pass game.
42:05How much more pass volume can they be pushing realistically?
42:08Because we know that they have to also feed DJ more.
42:12So I don't know if I see a massive boost in that.
42:16But again, if we could see just a tiny little bit, that'll help.
42:20But very nice, stable option. I feel very comfortable with Cook.
42:24Actually, I just I took Cook in my the league that I was talking about.
42:29My flex league draft. Cook was my first round pick.
42:32So yes, Pro Cook, Pro Cook in the first round.
42:36Jay Salter says, Hey, Tara, question. What's a good strategy to start your draft?
42:40Usually go RB, RB in the first two rounds.
42:44Thoughts? I'm good with so flexible, right? Depending on how everything falls and where you are picking.
42:49When I am picking at the beginning. Actually, yeah.
42:52Yeah. When I am picking at the beginning, if it was 101, 102, Gibbs, Bijon, I would then come around.
42:59And I wouldn't go with another running back. I would take advantage, as I was talking about before, take advantage of those wide receivers that you have there.
43:09At least get one, maybe two if you want to risk it, but at least get one.
43:14And perhaps you can also go with a Brock Bowers there if you want to get an elite tight end.
43:21Could be available at the turn. Sometimes he does slip there.
43:25A lot of times it's mid-round one, but just keep your eye out on that.
43:30And then obviously, you know, there's plenty of running backs that you can take in that area as well.
43:36If I'm picking from the mid-rounds, I actually did.
43:39And let me see. Actually, I have a mailbag question that relates to this.
43:44Let me pull it up real quick. From the YouTube channel from Spartan BDE.
43:49Says, Hi, Tara. Love your channel. Pick 106 in my upcoming draft.
43:53If CMC is not available, would like to go.
43:56Double running back. Anchor. Would you recommend? What would you recommend in that spot?
44:01League is 12 team full PPR. So I actually did a video where I talked about how I would pick from the mid rounds.
44:09Now, if you want to go with CMC, that's perfectly fine.
44:13If JT is available, my preference would be to go JT in the mid-round picks.
44:18If not, I am okay with going with Amonra St.
44:21Brown around that area as well. If you want to just get a nice, stable block guarantee.
44:27You could also push, we just talked about James Cook.
44:30I've seen people pushing James Cook up into the middle as well.
44:34If they would prefer to lean heavy on running back in the first round and second round as well.
44:41So my preference when I'm in those middle rounds is to get one of each and not double up at running back.
44:48Because you can, right? But you have the ability to be flexible, get one of those strong round one receivers like a
44:56JSN or Amonra, and then come around and still have good running back options personally.
45:01So, and also the thing about that is, again, once you come around to the third round, a lot of those receivers
45:08that are really solid third round picks, some of them might go before it gets to you in the mid-round if there's a little bit of a run.
45:18So just be aware that if you are going to double up at running back when you're picking from mid-round spots, it
45:25does leave you a little bit vulnerable in terms of wide receivers going on a run before it gets back to you in the third.
45:34So just keep that in mind. And then if I were picking from, going back to the question here from Jay Slatters,
45:41if I were picking from the back half, that is where I do really enjoy going running back, running back in the first round.
45:49So it all depends on varying up in terms of where you're picking, taking advantage of the high upside position that's available.
45:57But I do find it really hard to come out of those first rounds without at least one running back.
46:04So guaranteed one running back, two if it's advantageous, or if you have really good options at wide receiver, just offer yourself that flexibility, right?
46:12Hope that helps there. I know that that goes back a little back and forth there.
46:17I do really enjoy the RBRB starts, but the one place that I absolutely don't recommend it is if you're picking with Bijon or Gibbs.
46:26From Leaving says, All Watson starts just stream the D that plays the rounds early this season.
46:32100% agree. Supreme Link says, It's hard to get three workhorse backs this year.
46:36What are your best handcuff options? It is 100%.
46:39Just because everything kind of dries up and gets into a weird territory.
46:44Like I know a lot of people were like, all off season.
46:48And this one kind of was like, right? All off season.
46:52A lot of my colleagues were very pro David Montgomery.
46:55And I was like, I don't know. I, I, I live in Houston.
46:59I see a lot of Woody Marks propaganda. It could very well be a 50-50 split.
47:05So I was not shocked when that little beat reporter tidbit came out of the split being very close to 50-50.
47:12That makes a ton of sense in my local mind here, especially considering that a lot of people were comparing it to
47:19David Montgomery to the Joe Mixon situation. And you got to remember, Joe Mixon came to the Texans as an RB1 existing.
47:27He had been an RB1 putting up RB1 numbers in Cincinnati.
47:31It's a completely different situation of David Montgomery coming from Detroit where he was operating in a committee where he was not having a significant amount of work.
47:40And he has not been utilized as a workhorse back in like half a decade.
47:45So, so I just, I was very hesitant to say, hey, we're bumping him back to like, oh yeah, three.
47:52I'm like, man, I just, it feels a little uncomfortable making that jump in comparing it to Joe Mixon when it was
47:59just two very different players coming in off two very different situations.
48:03So I'm not shocked at that. So with that, you know, you got Bucky Irving, you got, um, DeAndre Swift, I actually
48:11do feel very good about, but he is in a known committee there with Kyle Monongai.
48:16Um, I just feel good about him because they are an extremely run heavy team with plenty of goal line opportunities and
48:24Caleb Williams runs, but he's not a goal line sniper.
48:27So it's still a very safe situation. Um, but yeah, things get very, and then we got Cam Scadaboo.
48:34Good God. Yeah, actually let's talk about Cam Scadaboo on the topic here because that is, that was my, uh, thumbnail.
48:41So I would be remiss not to actually talk about the Cam Scadaboo situation.
48:46Um, I off season, if you follow me, I was very pro Cam Scadaboo because we saw him as a three down back.
48:53He was very successful. It was a very small sample size, right?
48:57But he was very successful as a three down back.
49:01Pass catching was not an issue. I was looking at this like, okay, yeah.
49:06And the, and the giants want to be run heavy.
49:09I was coming into it from a very positive perspective.
49:12And then they started doing weird things and saying weird things and bringing in additional players.
49:18We have the addition of Najee Harris. And by no means, by no means am I telling anyone to go out and
49:25draft Najee Harris, but it does make you pause and wonder because we saw this weird committee usage in the first preseason
49:33game of them going from Scadaboo to Tracy to Singletary back to Tracy back to Scadaboo, like bouncing back and forth and
49:40knowing that they do want to be run heavy.
49:43I worry that maybe it even doesn't have to do with them not wanting to put an aggressive workload on Cam Scadaboo.
49:51Maybe when we're looking at the context of this offense and who is running this offense, they just want to run a
49:58three man committee and maybe four man now that Najee is there.
50:02Yeah, I'm, I'm a little bit scared of this situation, unfortunately, with Najee Harris lurking in the corners.
50:08And I was very like, hey, we need to actually see Najee on the field.
50:13But there are boots on the ground that I actually trust in New York.
50:18And those boots have specifically said that Najee looks good.
50:21I'm skeptical, right? I was very skeptical coming off of an Achilles injury, like as someone who wasn't particularly explosive to begin with, right?
50:30But they say he looks very solid, looks good in pre-injury form.
50:34So I don't know, man. It makes me a little bit nervous, unfortunately, looking at that situation and feeling like once we
50:41get past DeAndre Swift in theory, but again, because Swift is in the safe category because of pure volume, we get into
50:49a very murky situation, in my opinion, of guys that have very weird committees with limited upside or shaky situations.
50:55I mean, heck, we even go to a Jadarian Price and we can't even guarantee the workload he's going to have.
51:02George Helani has been getting talked up so much in all offseason.
51:06I said, don't care, George Helani. But I don't know.
51:10I just don't trust the level of workload that we're getting there.
51:14I want to trust Basial Tootin, but again, you just can't.
51:18How much trust can you put in the Jags after what they did to us from a backfield perspective last year with Tank Bixby?
51:26So yeah, once we get past a certain point, the three down workhorse running backs, they run thin and it gets scary.
51:33So I have a hard time coming out of the first five rounds without two running backs.
51:39You push it back too far and you are asking for trouble.
51:43If you want to push it back, you know, hey, go with the safer options from a pure volume perspective.
51:50I don't have a problem with the Quinshawn Judkins.
51:53I know a lot of people have an issue with the Browns offense being bad, but it was bad last season and
52:00Judkins was a fine low end RB2 type of player.
52:04So I don't think it's that detrimental, but he does lack a ceiling because of the offensive situation.
52:10So yeah, come out with your running backs early.
52:13Travis Etienne has gotten more appealing with the Alvin Kamara injury and the fact that they traded for Zamir White does tell
52:20me that maybe this is just perhaps the final nail in the coffin for Alvin Kamara.
52:26Dealt with the injury last season. You're injured right now.
52:29This might just be it for you. So now Alvin Kamara does slip into a nice, or sorry, Travis Etienne does slip into a nice safe territory.
52:38So get your running backs, get them soon. And it makes it more important as we talked about tight end strategy earlier.
52:46It makes it more important that we prioritize running backs, receivers, and maybe we have to get a little bit more creative
52:53with pushing those onesie positions back of tight end and quarterback.
52:57I will not lie. I have not in all of my mock drafts and everything, unless it was a weird situation, I have not taken a top.
53:06What is Jalen Hurts sitting at? Hurts. Where is Jalen Hurts is at QB6?
53:11Right. Yeah. I have not taken a top five quarterback this offseason over the past month because there are too many other positions of priority.
53:19For me to sit there and invest in one of those quarterbacks, knowing how I am messing myself at other positions.
53:26I can argue all day for a high end tight end.
53:30That is not a problem. But the one onesie position that I am pushing back, it's quarterback.
53:36It's outside of round. It's round six or later.
53:39Guaranteed. 100%. I can't do it before then because I have to lock in two running backs, two wide receivers, maybe a
53:46tight end, but probably three wide receivers too. So just take that advice as we kind of go through all of this.
53:54Catching up to some of the comments here. Stribbling or DB Tell says, Stribbling with a third pick.
54:00Have second overall. Struggling with... Jesus. I told you guys I was tired.
54:04I read Stribbling. I was like, wow, Stribbling with a third pick.
54:08That's kind of crazy. Struggling with a third pick.
54:12I have second overall. Starting RB, RB. RB. Yeah.
54:15And, you know, second overall pick, RB, RB. I think I talked about that one a little bit earlier.
54:21Come around with one of the wide receivers. I know maybe Malik Neighbors makes you a little uncomfortable coming off of the injury.
54:29I don't have a problem with it. Chris Olave, if he's there, is a smash for me.
54:35Especially, like, if you look at the schedule to start off the season, knowing that Jordan Tyson is dealing with the injury.
54:42And if you're thinking it's going to be a month, I caution you.
54:46A man that has a recurring issue and has to see a specialist, I would take that as the baseline of best case scenario.
54:55It could push well out further than that. So Chris Olave is a high priority pick for me.
55:01So that is one, if you've got the second overall pick in round three, that's one that I would prioritize significantly.
55:08100%. Going back here to the chat, Marvin Tolbert says, Jawan Johnson or Isaiah Likely?
55:13Jawan Johnson. Again, I feel super uncomfortable. Hopefully, maybe things will pan out with Likely.
55:18But my comfort level is more with just playing it safer and pushing Jawan Johnson.
55:23Jawan is up to round 12. He has moved up significantly, but round 12 is still very reasonable.
55:29Tight end 16. Scott Klapke says, Tara, who is the player you don't understand why their ADP is where it is?
55:36Godwin, for me, should be in the fifth or sixth round, in my opinion.
55:41I did a video, or did I do a video?
55:44I can't remember if it was a video or short or something.
55:48But Godwin is one that I've talked about recently as well that I do think is mispriced.
55:54And I love all, basically, I love all Tampa Bay receivers.
55:58Leave your draft with one of them. If you can get a Mecca, great.
56:03It's tough to get him, obviously, because he's higher.
56:06Then turn around, try to grab. If you can't get a Mecca, try to grab Gobwin.
56:11The value for him is excellent. They say that he is good to go, that he has returned to his pre-injury body.
56:19We haven't had any issues, unlike a Mike Evans, where we're getting constant news about him dealing with a wide variety of injuries.
56:26We're not having to deal with that with Godwin in terms of any massive fear of lingering issues.
56:33So I think he's perfectly fine. I don't know if I would push him up as far as a fourth round pick,
56:40but I feel very good about him. And then I love Ted Hurst as a late round pick as well.
56:47That is definitely one that is very perplexing to me in terms of his ADP.
56:52Another one for me, and this is one that everyone always looks at me sideways about, is Quentin Johnston.
56:58Guys, do not be shocked if we see another dramatic start from Quentin Johnston where he puts up top 10 numbers at the beginning of the season.
57:07Especially as I looked at the Chargers schedule early on.
57:11They've got some nice, within the first several weeks, there's some very nice matchups.
57:16That's another one where I'm just like, you're drafting him below his floor.
57:20You can say he drops passes all you want, but at the end of the day, he'll be on the field.
57:27And if we believe in Mike McDaniel and Justin Herbert, we should probably believe in more than just Ladd McConkie.
57:34Unless you, if you have the opinion that Quentin Johnston is not going to return value this season where he is being
57:41drafted, which is a ridiculous wide receiver. What is it?
57:45Wide receiver 43. 43. That's wide receiver 43. If you have the opinion that he is not going to pay off at
57:52that ADP, people are taking Brandon Aubrey before Quentin Johnston.
57:56I just don't know what to tell you. Because if that's the case, then you should be drafting Ladd McConkie first overall.
58:03So from leaving, craft is so physical. T would be smart to ramp him up for his own good.
58:09I think so as well. Try to speed things up here.
58:13Jay Slatters. My late round tight end target to get is Dallas Goddard.
58:18100% agree. Easy E says, have a good night, Tara.
58:21I totally agree. Goddard can be a sneaky good with AJ gone.
58:25Leaving says, Kittle falls close to Goddard territory. At least something to think about.
58:30Yes. Although sometimes, let me see. Because Kittle is one of those ones where it's tough to pinpoint.
58:36You know, he's round seven right now. Especially with the news of him, like, potentially being ready for week one.
58:43It doesn't sound like he's going on the pup.
58:46So as we're kind of leaning into drafts this weekend and next week, round seven, I don't think it'll drop beyond that.
58:53Yeah. So Goddard's round 10. Kittle is a little bit before that.
58:57But I think Kittle is still a reasonable price at round seven.
59:01We just need to know, obviously, you might need to stream later with a Jawan Johnson or something.
59:07Or, you know, if Kittle's not ready, you can just go with a Jake Tonjes as a streaming option.
59:14But just be prepared just in case. But I think he's perfectly fine as well.
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60:03We're in on this Jets offense more than almost anybody.
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61:00Bet on anything, anytime, anywhere. You're welcome. Mark Schaefer says, third pick.
61:0412-team PPR. Would you pass on Puka or Jamar and take Taylor or Cook?
61:08His RBs are super premium. They are super premium, but I would still take both Puka and Jamar before the running backs.
61:16Preference would be like... I have leaned towards the safety of going with Jamar over Puka, begrudgingly, because my preference is Puka.
61:23But the suspension thing, right? So technically speaking, you have to go Jamar over Puka.
61:28But whatever. I'm still going with both of them before I hit the running backs.
61:33Let's see here. Miles Logan says, I hope Marshawn Lloyd's ADP doesn't move at all.
61:39I don't think it's going to move a lot at all.
61:42Jedi Master Howey says, hi, Tara. Love your content.
61:45Thank you. Shout out to Pavis J in the comments as well.
61:49Hope you're doing good. And question is, in PPR, picked up Kenneth Walker over Saquon.
61:54Mistake. I do have Saquon ranked higher because Walker still comes with his inherent risk.
62:00And I'm not the whole, like, oh, Kenneth Walker, like, can't make it through a season.
62:05I'm not one of those. But it's a new team.
62:08New situation. This will be a new level of workload for him.
62:12So there are those concerns. Saquon is just a much safer pick for a bounce back in an offense that we know is going to be run heavy.
62:22But Kenneth Walker is still, at the very least, a mid-round two pick.
62:26So it's not a mistake. Yeah, Jay Slatter says that he would rather have Barkley as well.
62:32Slick Kints says, at the 104 full PPR, who would you like to start off most with?
62:38Puka, considering JSN, but next two targets are round two and three if I get one of them.
62:44Yeah. Or who should I target next to if I get one of them?
62:49Yeah, Puka is who I would go with. I don't think it's wrong to consider JSN if you want to play it safe, but Puka is my preference.
62:58And then in round two, I would absolutely get one of those running backs.
63:03At 104, at the very least, you should have a Derrick Henry fall.
63:07Now, sometimes this is personal preference of how people in your league are drafting.
63:12But typically speaking, the one that would be there would be your last call of Derrick Henry.
63:18At the very least, if you can't get him there or if you want to wait till third round and get Kyron,
63:25Kyron would be available for you more than likely coming around the turn in third round.
63:31So you could switch it up however you want.
63:34You could go with a running back and then come around and get a wide receiver.
63:39Or if your preference there is you don't, you know, you just want to risk it and go with a high end
63:47wide receiver there, like an Olave or something and come around and get Kyron in the third.
63:52I think that's perfectly fine. Eric Muna says, 12th pick, 12 team PPR starters are Jamar Hampton, Chase Brown, Lodd McConkie, Michael
64:00Wilson, Tyler Warren, ET and it flex. Got my top RBs at the one-two turn.
64:05Nice. Got my RB or QB and tied in at the five-six turn.
64:09Rate my team one to six. It is a it's an eight for me.
64:14I don't love Michael Wilson right there at the time.
64:18I think it could end up paying off, but I think at the beginning of the season, they will try to have Marvin Harrison Jr.
64:26as the alpha in that offense. And we just saw a lot.
64:30Now, granted, offensive system is changing, right? But we did see last season that when Marvin Harrison Jr.
64:36was on the field, it just limited the overall upside of Michael Wilson.
64:41I'd be curious what wide receivers you have on your bench because there's there should have been some good, you know, bench
64:48wide receivers for you to grab a little bit later in the late mid rounds.
64:53But I love that start of a combination of Chase Brown and Hampton.
64:58McConkie as a wide receiver one, I think is perfectly fine.
65:01I like the investment into Warren. And I think flexing at running back with ETN is very solid.
65:07So you're super, super strong at running back. I'd be curious what your bench is.
65:12Mark Rockwood says there are so many injuries already with running backs.
65:16Would it be wise to pick up handcuffs with old running backs?
65:21Yeah. And I think they said it a little bit earlier.
65:24I'm not typically one to handcuff directly with a running back because I do like to shoot for upside.
65:31But this season with certain players, I think it is perfectly fine if you want to do that, because there are some
65:38things going on that are making us a little bit uncomfortable.
65:42Like in some guys that are higher risk, like if you draft in CMC, draft, well, technically speaking, it should go back to Jordan James.
65:50Kalon Black came in because of the injury, but I would handcuff for sure.
65:55So I'm pro handcuffing this year. Supreme Link said, I have gotten sniped on Strickling and best ball.
66:01Oh, I hate that for you. I got sniped in best ball on him too.
66:06So it's very frustrating. It's one of those ones where it's so random how high the pick can go.
66:13Loving Life says, I have pick four. I want to go RB and I don't trust CMC.
66:19So it's Taylor or Cook. Who do you prefer?
66:22Yeah, I'm with Loving Life. We're we are. We are the same here.
66:26We're of the same mind wavelength. JT. Trust JT.
66:29The workload will be there as it is always.
66:32Anyways, in God, sorry, I was just reminiscing on the way JT was in the first half of the season last year.
66:40It was so wonderful. Life was good. Life was easy.
66:43The cold schedule was weird last season and it was backloaded very heavy.
66:47This season, much more spread out. So we shouldn't run into that issue.
66:52And obviously things do hinge on Daniel Jones, but for all intents and purposes, he looks good and healthy right now.
66:59So, yes, JT is my preference. From BJB, a trade-driven I love and a buka for, ooh, for AJ Brown.
67:06Your other wide receiver is JSN. Loving a buka for AJB is a wee bit too much for me.
67:12I can't do it. I can't do it. I'm sorry.
67:15I can't do it. A buka, if you're worried, a buka should, it sounds like he should be fine.
67:22So don't panic. You should be okay. And Jeremiah Love sounds like he should be fine.
67:27So I would not, I know, I know you've got injury guys, but do not panic.
67:33Majord says, hi, Tara. Would you start in, how would you start in 2QB league with the 11th pick?
67:39I would take, so I would take a quarterback with either the first or second round for sure.
67:45I know some people, because of depth, they're like pushing it back.
67:49And Superflex, I don't care how deep quarterback is, I will not push my quarterback out of the first two rounds.
67:56I can't do it. Now, because you have the 11th pick, what you can do is you can go running back or
68:04receiver there, depending on what high upside option is there.
68:07I would probably cut it off at, I would probably cut it off at CMC.
68:12It's probably, and again, I'm not pro CMC, but if you are, I would cut it off at CMC or JT, maybe JSN.
68:20Yeah, maybe JSN is the cutoff there. And then push quarterback back to round two.
68:25So 100%, you're coming out with a quarterback in Superflex out of those one, two rounds.
68:31Just don't double up at quarterback, because you're already at a disadvantage there picking at the end.
68:36Just do quarterback in either the first or the second, best available position elsewhere.
68:41And then you can push your QB2 back a little bit further, because we do have depth.
68:47You can push it back to Kyler, Tyler Shuck, Malik Willis.
68:51Those are all fine. Hey, even a Baker Mayfield, those are all fine options.
68:55Super chat here from Turn Ferguson. Thank you. If you drafted late, who is your top pick, or who's your top picks?
69:0310. Okay, so from pick 10, my preference there is if running back is available, if James Cook or Saquon Barkley is available, that is my preference.
69:12You guys know that I love Devon HN. I have come to terms with the fact that I don't need to push that in round one.
69:21He will always, nine times out of 10, unless there's an HN lover, now pay attention if there's an HN lover.
69:28We'll probably push back to round two. So it's not something that you have to do in the first round.
69:35So my preference there is to go with a James Cook or Saquon.
69:39If either of those are gone, then I do pivot probably to a Justin Jefferson.
69:44And then I come back around and I would 100% grab a running back early with that pick in the second.
69:51For sure. Turd Ferguson also says, I've seen Seedy and Jefferson go to the same team in round one and two.
69:58Oh, I couldn't do that. In a 10-team league, PPRs.
70:02That would be insane. I give up. I give up early RBs for that.
70:07Yeah, I couldn't do that. I can, I could go with one, but I couldn't do both.
70:12That would hurt my heart significantly. And you can, from that position, you can just go RB, RB.
70:18You can. It's very reasonable. You could get a Saquon and a Chase Brown.
70:23You can get a Saquon and a Hampton for sure.
70:27100%. Saquon and a Walker if that floats your boat.
70:30From Chris Ming, low-key feel Hibner is going to take Mark Andrews' job this year.
70:35That's my sleeper. I, and this is why, it's funny, because there was a discussion earlier on a live that I was
70:43on about Mark Andrews, and it was a little bit of an argument.
70:47It's like, I think Andrews is cooked, man. What can still happen is touchdowns can still come through, because at the end
70:54of the day, he's a big body in the red zone, right?
70:58But, you know, who else is a big body in the red zone?
71:03Jacoby Lane. So, I think we're going to continue to see the regression of Mark Andrews.
71:08Zay Flowers year. Zay Flowers is up. Yay, Jacoby Brissette.
71:12Thomas said Jacoby Brissette. Well, yay, Jacoby Brissette as well.
71:15Yay, Jacoby Lane. And yeah, we could see a changing of the guard potentially at tight end, even though they paid Mark Andrews for whatever reason.
71:24Shout out to Marvin Tolbert that said, get the likes up.
71:28Thank you. I always forget to ask. Jeffrey Moore says, I swapped third pick for the eighth.
71:33Who would you pick at eighth on the turn?
71:36Yeah, I think that's reasonable. At eighth, that is a lovely place for James Cook.
71:41Eighth is a lovely place for James Cook. Sometimes you have James Cook truthers that will take him as early as five or six.
71:50I've seen it. I've seen it. But eighth is a really good place for James Cook.
71:55Black Ice Fish says, love your streams. Thank you.
71:58I am in a $1,000 per person. Woo. OK, that's serious.
72:02$1,000 per person. Eighteen. Superflex. PPR. Do I wait on QB because after the tier one guys, everyone else is so close?
72:09Can I load up on wide receiver and running back in wide receiver early?
72:14I still would go with one elite quarterback. Still, because wherever you're picking in round one, you still could get a solid option.
72:22Now, I will say. Depending on where you're picking.
72:25Your preference, right? I would. So my preference would be that I am prioritizing Josh Allen through Jaden Daniels.
72:31I can get there with Jaden Daniels just because, again, we got Stefan Diggs added.
72:36So he now has a more well-rounded group of pass catchers, the rushing upside.
72:41Like, I can get there, right? After that, if those guys are gone, I am leaning heavily into – and honestly, I
72:49could low-key snap it off at Drake May, if I'm being honest.
72:53But I would lean heavily into Jameer Gibbs, Bijan, Puka, Jamar Chase.
72:57So yes, if those top elite options are gone, take your best available at another position, then you would still need to get a quarterback in round two.
73:06Because it's kind of similar to what I was saying with the previous one with a 10-team league.
73:12I would still come around and do that as well because the guys in that area of – particularly Trevor Lawrence, Justin
73:20Herbert, even Caleb Williams, they all have clear, easy top five upside, right?
73:24Especially Trevor Lawrence. I'm not biased on that one.
73:27After the first, like, what, four games of the season, Trevor Lawrence was QB1 overall through the end of the season.
73:34Yeah. It gets ignored. The rushing upside came up.
73:37So, yeah. I still preference the first, like, three or four.
73:41But after that, you can push it back a little bit.
73:45And then what I would do for you, because it is eight-team, I would fade my QB2 back as far as humanly possible.
73:53Stack your lineup with wide receivers and RB, get you an elite tight end as well.
73:58Get a good one. Top four, maybe cut it off at – actually, five, cut it off at Harold Fannin Jr., maybe.
74:06Tyler Warren, perhaps, if you want to cut it a little earlier, just to be safe.
74:11And then push your QB2 back as far as humanly possible.
74:15Eight-team team league, you can dip back into the Jared Goff, Malik Willis, Tyler Shuck, Kyler Murray area, is what I would do, personally.
74:23100%. Shout out to ClickShare in the comments. Made it in.
74:27You made it in. I'm about to close things out.
74:30But you made it in. ClickShare says, Is Casey Concepcion startable in flex, or are we wait-and-see mode?
74:36I'm in a wait-and-see mode. Who is the – I have not looked at the Browns week one match.
74:42I just don't trust Deshaun. I'm sorry. I just – I can't get there.
74:47I don't trust Deshaun. What is the week one matchup?
74:51Jacksonville. It's a decent defense. I don't know if I trust Deshaun.
74:55I want to give it a week before I see it.
74:58But I am pro-Casey Concepcion, and hopefully we can start him within the first three weeks.
75:04But I would give it a week before, just like, yeah.
75:08You could start Jonathan Brooks, Keenan Allen, or Dallas Goddard in flex.
75:12Keep your eye on Keenan Allen because Josh Downs is dealing with a calf injury.
75:17So I can see Keenan popping off early. Keenan popped off early last season.
75:21Through the first four weeks of the season, Keenan Allen was wide receiver 14 and a half PPR.
75:28Yeah. So keep that in mind. Do I trust him to maintain it throughout the entire season?
75:33No. But do I trust it at the beginning of the season?
75:37Yes. And then Jonathan Brooks, you know, depending on the Chuba Hubbard situation, that could be an option as well.
75:44So yeah, you've got options. You've got options for sure.
75:48Marvin Tolbert says six-pick. At the six-pit starters, Hurts, Cook, Omarion, JSN, Devontae, Kittles.
75:52Kittles. Kittles. Flex is ETN, Judkins, Baltimore D, Kicker.
75:55How did I do? You're stacked at running back.
75:58I love that combination. I like this team. I think you did very well.
76:03I love the heavy RB builds for sure. Eric Munoz says wide receivers are, okay, continuation for Eric here.
76:10Wide receivers are Concepcion, Caleb Douglas. You have Jacoby Lane, Bakai Lemon, Trey Tucker.
76:14You also have Jordan Mason and two other QBs, Williams and Chuck.
76:18Okay, nice deep bench here for sure. You know, I love the rookie combinations you've got.
76:24You've got a lot of promise there. It will be interesting to see how things work out in Miami with how quickly
76:31Chris Bell will come on or if Chris Douglas will be the alpha from the beginning.
76:37But I don't mind him as a potential option.
76:40But he's one I'll give a week and wait and see.
76:43Jordan Mason might be a startable option for you week one, to be honest.
76:48100%. But I love your team. I really do.
76:51I love that you leaned heavy into this is a perfect example of leaning heavy into youth.
76:57I would rather the high upside young rookies than taking the chance with, you know, the lame duck veteran receivers there.
77:04So like your team a lot. Turn Ferguson says, who are your favorite QBs this year?
77:10Trevor Lawrence, Justin Herbert. Um, I haven't taken a lot of Caleb Williams, but I'm perfectly fine with it.
77:16I just haven't really I think he goes before I start clicking.
77:20And then once he goes that I'm like, oh, okay, let me lean towards Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence.
77:27But yeah, those are my favorite. Honestly, I haven't been taking the early guys.
77:31Um, Bo Nix is another interesting one. If you want to wait, I mean, just a bevy of weapons, right?
77:38His rushing upside might, I mean, doesn't appear to be any mobility issues, but you know, maybe he just takes it safe
77:45with the rushing upside to begin the season. But it should be a very nice, um, safe floor season for him with some high upside.
77:54So Bo Nix is one that I don't mind.
77:57Um, I'm terrified of Brock Purdy because he's a safe pick, but obviously there's nothing but injuries that are happening over there.
78:04And I'm just highly skeptical of the amount of injuries that, um, we've gotten his, you wide receiver could end up being,
78:12um, a trash can at the end of the day if everyone just keeps getting injured.
78:17But I have high hopes for stripling, but it's just, I'd rather go with other options around him.
78:23I don't mind going with Dak Prescott as a nice value pick because of pure volume.
78:29And then, um, I, as I mentioned before, I do like the later quarterbacks, but none of those, those are my super flex preferences.
78:37I tend not to push that far back in QB one.
78:41Uh, Johansson said, did I give any thoughts on a viewer fantasy league?
78:45Sorry, I can't do it. Um, I just, I'm taking on a new workload this season.
78:51So I want to make sure that all of my content is perfect here and all of the contract work that I do as well.
78:59So because I'll have such a high workload, I'm, I'm opting not to do a viewer league this season, but maybe next year we'll get it together.
79:08I promise, I promise I will think about it next year, but it's just a little much this year for me.
79:15It's going to be a lot. As I mentioned, I'm doing college football, betting and, um, NFL, but I did NFL betting
79:23as well, but NFL betting, NFL DFS, all of those bounce backs just makes it a little like a little much, right?
79:30Uh, from Alinda, full PBR, Lamar, Burrow, Prescott. It is Lamar for me from positive planets.
79:36What are the best sites for payout percentages? Haven't played fantasy in seven years after playing seven year.
79:42Oh, I honestly, I don't know. I really don't know.
79:45I don't pay attention to, um, payout percentages with, um, I don't know if you mean like, um, with, uh, you know, underdog and stuff like that.
79:54Draft Kings for best ball stuff, um, and fantasy leagues.
79:58I just, I don't pay attention to that whatsoever.
80:01Sorry. Wish I did, but, um, I don't. Um, but outside of that, I appreciate you all tuning in.
80:07Thank you so much. I know we have a lot of drafts going on this weekend and next week.
80:14So if you have any comment or any questions, feel free to hit me up in the comments, um, for sure.
80:21And ask away. Oh, a click share before we close things out says who's favorite, uh, wide receiver sleepers, um, Shahid or Watson.
80:29My favorite wide receiver sleepers are rookies. I am leaning aggressively in that direction.
80:33Obviously guy like Stribling is no longer a sleeper.
80:36I think that Casey Concepcion is still a very reasonable price.
80:40Denzel Boston is still a fantastic price. Um, because again, you know, they get that nice discount for, what is Boston?
80:47Boston is round 14. Um, so they get that nice Browns discount.
80:51But at the end of the day, uh, I do ultimately think that we're going to see the switch to Shadur Sanders.
80:59I think it's better for the team and they will still have to throw the ball.
81:04So volume can be there. So I still really like them as well.
81:09Um, again, other rookie sleepers that I like are Jacoby Lane.
81:12I think he'll take over for, um, take over and push Rashad Bateman out of the way.
81:18So those are some of my favorites. And then some of my more standard sleepers are guys like Jalen Coker should be
81:25the second look to Ted Aroa McMillan. And honestly, Loki could push very even for targets there.
81:31So I love, love, love me. Oh my gosh.
81:34I hate, I did not mention Ted Hurst. Sorry.
81:37Love Ted Hurst as a rookie as well. Um, so standard like, um, Jalen Coker, love Quentin Johnston.
81:43So those are my more standard, um, late, like round nine, 10, 11, 12 ish kind of range sleepers.
81:50Um, and then thoughts on Devante Adams. Um, I just drafted him in best ball because I think it's valuable in best
81:57ball, uh, because there will be spikes, but I don't know that I want to mess with it on a week to
82:05week basis because it was very touchdown heavy. Now I do think the touchdowns will still come his target rate.
82:12I mean, my God, the amount of targets he had in the red zone was absolutely stupid.
82:17Matt Stafford, anytime he got into the red zone, he was looking for a Devante Adams.
82:23So touchdowns will still be there, but he is a year older, a lot older than a lot of receivers.
82:30It does come with a little bit more inherent risk.
82:33So my preference would be more of a wide receiver three as a flex option, but it's really tough, unfortunately, for that to happen with him.
82:42So I have not found myself targeting him a lot in redraft leagues, but in best ball, I do get behind it.
82:49Um, and then Robert, um, Scobie says, um, Bernard Steelers, only if the injury things going on with DK and Pittman are
82:57serious, but it doesn't seem like they are. Um, I just don't know that there will be enough volume to go three deep at receiver.
83:05So I like him for the future for sure, but it does sound that DK and Michael Pittman would have preference.
83:12And I'm sure that they still want to, I mean, they got, you know, they added Rico Dowdle for a reason.
83:19I think they still want to, um, run a very evenly split offense, try to lean on the ground game.
83:26Um, checkdowns should still be plentiful to the, not, not the way they were last year, but they still should be plentiful.
83:34But unfortunately, I don't know that there will be enough volume to make Bernard relevant this year, but he has looked really good this off season.
83:42So I think there's promise there for him. Sure.
83:45But that wraps things up guys. I appreciate you all tuning in at a close things out, go off and get these children to bed.
83:54It is a school night. Um, and thank you so much for tuning in.
83:59I will be back with you next week. And again, as I mentioned, um, if you have any questions, if you're doing
84:06drafts this weekend or anything, feel free to drop me a comment.
84:10Yes. Parker Washington as well. Do love Parker Washington and Cyrus Allen.
84:14Um, Cyrus, like Cyrus Allen in deeper leagues, because the role that he would take over is not for Rasheed Rice, but
84:22I think would be more of a deep threat, pushing out Xavier Worthy and taking advantage of that.
84:28But again, and yes, love, love, love, love. Parker Washington.
84:31Um, but that wraps things up. I will talk to you guys again next week.
84:36Same time, same place. Have a wonderful weekend. Enjoy this last round of preseason football guys.
84:42Talk to you later. From the podfather to you.
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