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1:04Ah, yes. Welcome to the Dynasty Deep Dive. I have the man, the myth, the legend, the CEO, player profiler, CEO of
1:13Fast Draft, the one and only, the podfather. What's up, big dog?
1:17Just trying to consume this fire hose that is NFL news.
1:22When camp opens, we learn a lot. We learn a lot.
1:26And we got to be careful. The coaches know this.
1:30They don't want too much information getting out, so they're going to throw smoke screens.
1:35So you've got to know what news matters and what news is a smoke screen.
1:41I put it up on Patreon, patreon.com slash podfather.
1:44My top 10 most relevant revelations in the last 48 hours to a week, mostly 48 hours.
1:51Like, it's just been rat-a-tat, tat, tat, tat, tat.
1:54Who's the first guy through all the 11-11 drills with the Cowboys right now?
2:00It's Phil Maffa. Who's the first guy through all the 11-11 drills in the backfield in Seattle?
2:06It's George Polanyi. So there's names. There's new names to talk about, and there's some existing names which are now skull and crossboned on the draft board.
2:17So, right, you've got Alec Pierce, skull and crossbone.
2:20Should be at a skull and crossbone to Tet McMillan.
2:24There's a lot to talk about today. Dude, a lot to talk about.
2:29Before we get too deep into that, man, I just want to give you your flowers.
2:35You're such a legend. I love working with you.
2:38And I just got to let you know, every time I bring on someone on the show, they have an awesome story
2:47to tell me about how you're not a doucher.
2:50And you're a guy who's given them opportunities. Dave Kluge mentioned you were one of the first people to bring him on a show.
3:00I've heard everybody I bring on the show, I'm just blown away by the things they have to say about you.
3:08So I got to correct that. Just make sure everybody knows how good of a guy you are.
3:14Because you kind of come off like a villain sometimes in these.
3:19You've got a zest to you. But I just need the people to know, the podfather is the man.
3:26Thank you for joining the show. And first time on the Dynasty Deep Dive.
3:32And yeah, man, you've been doing a lot of really good work on our playerprofiler.com backslash news page.
3:39Man, like at least 10 fantasy relevant blurbs up there in the past 24 hours.
3:44Let's kick it off. What do you think is the single most underreported piece of news this season with the biggest Dynasty implications that people aren't talking about?
3:55Wow. So there's a lot there, man. So thank you, by the way, for that.
4:01Even last night, I was discussing with one of our great content creators on Team Player Profiler about coming on the show.
4:09And didn't have the right equipment yet. So I'm even getting out ahead and planning for people to be on the show
4:18even before they're ready to be on the show.
4:21I'm like, we've got to get you on the show.
4:25What is it going to take? Okay, need a microphone.
4:29Let's sit down. Let's talk about how we get you set up to be ready for prime time with your presentation.
4:37Because we know reading these articles by people like, you know, Wolf and so many of the great writers we have on playerprofiler.com.
4:46It's like writing is a great way to wire your brain to make strong arguments in favor of certain strategies and certain players.
4:54And that typically ends up translating well into the show, actually doing a podcast.
5:00So that's why I really like having writers on.
5:03Just got to make sure they get the right equipment set up and then we're ready to go.
5:10And yeah, I mean, Kluge is great. I mean, there's so many.
5:15I haven't been much of a heel on the podcast or social media in like five years.
5:21It's been a long time. This reputation really has carried over and I'm fine with it.
5:27I'm fine. There's a whole bunch of people out there that think I'm more bark than bite.
5:34And that's perfectly fine. And there's a whole bunch of other people out there that are like, oh, no, he does a
5:42lot more behind the scenes to help people than he does out in front.
5:48And so and that doesn't need to be broadcast.
5:51I don't really much care if people know that or not.
5:55But when I hear that it is getting back to you.
5:59And so that does make me feel good. I have to admit, dude.
6:04Yeah, no, you're not one to tout this stuff.
6:08So I had to clear I had to set the record straight for the people.
6:14Amen. I like doing this. Like, I clearly have an enthusiasm.
6:18The creation of player profiler dot com was born out of that enthusiasm for, you know, just better understanding these players, their
6:26performances and predicting, you know, who you should be drafting for your fantasy team, who you should be picking up for your fantasy team.
6:35But this is what it's been all about from the beginning.
6:40And I'm just as excited and enthusiastic, if not more so, because I have been working closely with the news team talking
6:48about what news matters and how that translates into the rankings.
6:52And then you see the dynasty rankings are being updated every day because of this.
6:58And then we're currently working on the draft kit, the world famous draft kit coach and I and Sam quarterbacking the draft
7:06kit with John and many others that, you know, on the team.
7:11That's going to be coming out very soon. We're hoping in the next week.
7:16So that's been a big investment of time updating the seasonal rankings, the tight end premium rankings, the best ball ranking.
7:24That's all coming very soon. As soon as we process these first couple of days of mandatory camp, there's so much information
7:33that's coming in and some of it really does matter.
7:37You know, Ted McMillan's foot still sore five months later.
7:40I don't like that at all. And I think that that matters.
7:45I think the thing that has actually reaped the most value in the last couple of weeks has been just knowing that
7:53George Halani is the guy until Zach Charbonnet comes back.
7:57That has been the least reported, most under the radar fact.
8:01And so when I look at it, I see that the player with the highest exposures, like I have more running backs
8:10per capita per fantasy team than any other position.
8:13And so the players that I had the highest ownership on are probably going to be running backs.
8:20And I think the two are Taj Brooks and George Halani.
8:24And very quickly, Phil Maffa, who I'm trying to scoop up and vacuum up everywhere I can right now.
8:32I just got him in another startup at the end of the at the very end of the draft.
8:39But for a few weeks, I knew that Halani was running ahead and penciled in ahead of Emmanuel Wilson.
8:46I mean, Emmanuel Wilson had like a one point five million dollar contract.
8:51Like when you're plugged into the news every day, you know, the contract values and how much sort of incumbent juice these players have.
9:00And actually, I think the fact that Halani's been with the team and the coaches and his teammates trust him is more
9:09important than the one point five million that Emmanuel Wilson commanded.
9:13And Halani is a little bit more explosive. So to me, there's absolutely no reason why Halani would run behind Wilson.
9:21And sure enough, official mandatory camp opens. And who's in the backfield behind Sam Darnold?
9:27George Halani. And then immediately, no coincidence, the next day, the coach comes out and says, oh, but Zach Charbonnet, he's ahead of schedule.
9:36He could be ready for week one. And at that point, you just see the nose grow like the nose.
9:44Just it almost is off the screen at this point.
9:48I mean, he's he's right there. He and Shane Steichen on the, you know, the coach speak index there.
9:55They I think they're dropping in the coach speak index because Shane Steichen tried to convince us.
10:01That Alec Pierce coming off a major ankle surgery in the spring with a four to six month recovery timeline.
10:09That somehow Alec Pierce would be ready for the second half of camp.
10:14And that is just blatantly not true. And so we use words like absurd with the news desk.
10:21If you go to player profile dot com slash news, you know, the analysis of what Shane Steichen said was it's absurd because we know the timeline.
10:31So that's that's the most recent revelation. That's the most impactful is that Alec Pierce likely to start the year on the pop.
10:40And that means Josh Downs would be top five in targets or at least top five in target share in the NFL.
10:48The first few weeks of the season. Tyler Warren and play to be the tight end one.
10:55That's what that means. That's really impactful. Yeah, but for me for my dynasty teams, I would say the George Halani news
11:03being out ahead of that was most helpful because I have him in all these leagues and now everyone's trying to go pick him up.
11:13And I can you can see him being drafted in all these startups now.
11:18You know where I'm like, I have been like 80 percent of leagues.
11:23So you would take you're taking this news and you're buying it.
11:28And if you're in a startup right now, you're taking.
11:32George Halani over Emmanuel Wilson. Yes, Johnny, I hear you.
11:35Just this is a hot take. Like the roster ships would not.
11:40You know what I mean? It hasn't corrected out there yet, right?
11:45No, this is why we're having this conversation now.
11:48Yeah, I mean, it came out yesterday. Reports came out yesterday.
11:52A mandatory camp just opened. And Emmanuel Wilson nowhere to be found.
11:57There's George Halani with the ones. That's all you need to know, man.
12:02I know that you think maybe the Cowboys love Malik Davis, but they can't lie when there's a camera on the sideline
12:10filming the first rep of 11 on 11 drill.
12:14And the guy in the backfield in the 11 on 11 drill, the first one of the season of the offseason is Phil Maffa.
12:23Then we have no choice but to put Maffa ahead of Malik Davis.
12:28Like Malik Davis had a had a had a lock on the RB to share anything.
12:34But completely fluid situation there in Dallas with the running back room behind Javante Williams.
12:40So now you're seeing Maffa starting to go many rounds ahead of where he was going just a couple days ago.
12:48Same thing. George Halani. Now everyone suddenly is wondering where he is.
12:52Is he available in my league? Oh, yeah, man.
12:56This is a Super Bowl winning team with a top 10 offensive line.
13:01Run first offense. And they are proudly run first, defense first, run first.
13:06Yeah. And George Halani fits their culture and their play style perfectly.
13:10Like he's a punch you in the mouth running back.
13:14Whereas Janarian Price is more of a finesse running back.
13:18And there's plenty of room for a rotational finesse running back to come in and get some carries, be a breather back,
13:26you know, be the main primary back for an entire drive.
13:31Come in and in a second and long situation.
13:34You're going to see some Janarian Price. But most of these running backs, most of them take a time.
13:41They take time to get fully integrated into these offenses.
13:45It's great to see that Janarian Price is getting some run with the ones.
13:51He's taking some snaps. They're calling some plays for him.
13:54They certainly have packages they want to see him in the packages they think they're going to be rolling out during the season.
14:03But Janarian Price is not an option as a primary back in year one.
14:09He wasn't a primary back in college. He's not going to be a primary back in year one at the NFL level.
14:17It's going to be Helani. And if Helani gets an injury, it'll be Wilson.
14:22And then when Zach Charbonnet returns, it's going to be him.
14:27And then the coach comes out and says, hey, Charbonnet could be ready for week one.
14:33No, we're going to call that out in the news desk as blatantly untrue.
14:38And don't believe that for a second. Look at the timeline.
14:42And you need to stretch out and strengthen a cadaver ligament in your knee.
14:48And it takes many, many months to do that.
14:51You can't just say, oh, well, it's healed. I'm back.
14:55No, you've got to stretch it out. You've got to strengthen it.
14:59You've got to get your whole body back into football shape.
15:04That's a weeks-long process. Alec Pierce. That's a weeks-long process.
15:07Zach Charbonnet. That's a weeks-long process. Malik Neighbors. And so just to be realistic about it and wonder, hey, when is Marvin Harrison Jr.
15:17going to see the field? When is he going to say that he's finally comfortable and enthusiastic about practice and pain-free?
15:25It's very strange to me. It's very strange to me that we're this many months from the season and Marvin Harrison Jr.
15:33is still talking about how he's working his way through a variety of lower body injuries.
15:39This guy seems to have picked up a new injury.
15:43I've learned about a new injury that he picked up last year every other day.
15:49It's wild. Meanwhile, Michael Wilson is just the healthiest, strongest, best-conditioned wide receiver in the NFC, or one of them.
15:56He's also one of the best-looking. And then you hear Brian Thomas Jr.
16:01talk about, last year, I was dealing with all these minor injuries, and I couldn't work on my strength and conditioning in the offseason.
16:11I couldn't integrate myself into the offense the way I wanted to because I was always dealing with problems that were sending me to the training table.
16:21That was my entire 2025 was spent in one way or another in the training room when I wasn't playing games.
16:29That's what Brian Thomas is saying. He says this offseason has been completely different.
16:34He's been relishing being out there and then going straight from the practice field to the gym.
16:41Right? So this is what he's loving doing. He thinks he's Dennis Rodman, right?
16:46Dennis Rodman would play in a game, and then he would go work out for two hours.
16:53That's how you become Dennis Rodman. So now we have these two wide receivers, similar age, similar production profiles, similar game styles.
17:01One seems to be a year ahead of the other.
17:05Right? Brian Thomas Jr., it seems like he's a year ahead of Marvin Harrison Jr., where Marvin Harrison Jr.
17:12seems to be trending toward having a Brian Thomas 2025-like season this year.
17:17Man, you touched on a lot there. We're going to get into almost every one of those position groups later in the show.
17:26I want to stick on that Seattle backfield for a second.
17:30You think about dynasty drafts, and there was a lot of people taking Jadarian Price ahead of guys like Tyson and Lemon.
17:39And I thought that was a malpractice, right? But you're a guy who's like, you just said it.
17:46You're running back first. You want to roster a lot of running backs on your dynasty league.
17:52But that's too rich for you, right? Especially when you're saying early reports at camp is he's not even the 1A.
18:00Do you know what this is? That's how much exposure to Jadarian Price you have?
18:06Zero. 0.0. He's best comparable to Miles Sanders. He is Miles Sanders.
18:10He is exactly Miles Sanders. He's a carbon copy of Miles Sanders.
18:15And I don't want Miles Sanders. Miles Sanders at least gave us one year at Penn State where he proved that he
18:23could be a primary back in the league. Jadarian Price hasn't even done that.
18:29He was only a first-round pick because the running back class was so shallow and pathetic behind his teammate.
18:36Two running backs from Notre Dame went in the first round.
18:40Why do you think that is? Because every other school wasn't producing running backs this year except Penn State.
18:48And that's where the value is. It's not with the Notre Dame running backs.
18:53Certainly not with Jadarian Price. Of course, I'm drafting Jeremiah Love with the 101 in Dynasty rookie drafts.
19:00But Jadarian Price is a fade. He is a strong fade.
19:04And the reason why is like this is very much a Clyde Edwards-Hilaire corollary.
19:09He's a more athletic version of Clyde Edwards-Hilaire where these players, they get steamed up in rookie drafts based on the situation they landed in.
19:19Not talent. Instead of like the fundamental player profile.
19:22He does not profile as a workhorse back in the league.
19:27Typically, first-round picks do. That's why it's so automatic to draft them.
19:31Because they almost all do. And so just draft them.
19:35Like Jameer Gibbs. Yeah, he's undersized. He's about 200 pounds.
19:39Yeah, but just draft him. Because yeah, he's that dynamic.
19:43He's that good. Jadarian Price is nowhere close to that.
19:46He's nowhere close. He is very much a faster Clyde Edwards-Hilaire.
19:51And no thank you. Like, no. No. He's going to be rolled out slowly.
19:56And then he's going to have a glaring Zach Charbonnet problem.
20:00He's not better than Zach Charbonnet in any way.
20:04Maybe he has like a pure slasher. Like I said, on second and 20, he's the guy you want back there.
20:12But that's a situational breather back. That's what he is.
20:16We're not even sure he can be a satellite back yet.
20:20And so that level of uncertainty, I'm going to light out.
20:24Pick 104. Pick 105. Pick 106 on fire. No.
20:27Give me those wide receivers. Give me Lemon. Give me Tyson.
20:32Give me Concepcion. Because if you don't put your wide receivers in round one, you have one guy you can realistically draft with confidence in round two.
20:42That's Ted Hurst. And then after that, you're just going to be drafting running backs, or in this case, tight ends this
20:50year, just because as much as you talk yourself into Cyrus Allen, there are so many of you.
20:57Hell yeah. There's such a low probability that the math never makes sense on receivers drafted outside round two.
21:05And often the round two wide receivers flame out as well.
21:09So you have an opportunity to get a Concepcion, to get a Makai Lemon, and you pass?
21:15That's a mistake. Yeah. No sitting on the fence with you, man.
21:20I think that's what your viewers love. Just clear, actionable advice for these guys.
21:25So that's fantastic. You were talking before the show.
21:29I'm going to pull this up. You were doing a recent Dynasty rookie draft.
21:34We're going to show that on the screen here.
21:37Talk to me a little bit about what's going on.
21:41This team is abysmal. This is a total teardown team in the Kings Classic.
21:47Some heavy hitters here. Lord Reeves, Cody, Ray G, Dynasty Rich, Ryan McDowell, Alan Soslowski, Pat Fitzmaurice.
21:53Oh! The who's who. Daniel. Chris Allen's in there.
21:57How do you get invited to something like this?
22:00I don't know. But Cody is someone. Maybe Allen.
22:04I think it might have been Allen. Allen's a mover and a shaker, really.
22:09So this team was totally dead. It did have Lamar.
22:13It had some pieces. And on the Trade God Show with Coach, we've been talking about this league and some of the trades I've been making.
22:23Huge blockbuster deals where I dealt Tootin and Jordan Love for future first rounders.
22:28I traded Lamar. Right? Lamar and the 103, which became Carnell Tate.
22:33The giant trade for future first rounders and players.
22:36So you traded that pick. Yeah. I mean, it was tough.
22:40It was tough to trade Carnell Tate. I don't want to trade Carnell Tate.
22:46I just drafted Carnell Tate in another rookie draft.
22:49I have a lot of Carnell Tate and a lot of Mendoza.
22:54And so I felt like, okay, I've got plenty of exposure to Carnell Tate.
22:59And I can't just win this league eventually with Carnell Tate.
23:03I need lots of pieces. So I kept the 102, traded the 103, drafted Mendoza at the 102.
23:10And then in that deal, I also got the 109.
23:14So I use that on Ty Simpson because I have very little quarterback play left after I traded Lamar Jackson.
23:22Uh, so, uh, the, the cupboard is Barrett quarterback for this team.
23:26Then at the 102 or 202, 102 was Mendoza.
23:30109 was Ty Simpson. 202 was Chris Bell. I want to, you took Chris Bell over Ted Hurst there, which is interesting.
23:38Cause you mentioned third round wide receivers. You can get excited about.
23:43Yeah. But I mean, Chris Bell is never going to make it to the third round.
23:49I was talking about, there are two, two and a half really Antonio Williams in certain situations and certainly when now builds,
23:57I would draft him in round two, but I am almost always going with a Singleton or even an Emmett Johnson over an Antonio Williams.
24:07Chris Bell is on Singleton at two Oh two.
24:10Actually, you're a big Singleton guy. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
24:14Well, the reason why is this is a, whenever you are sitting down and strategizing a dynasty league, you have to ask the question.
24:23One of the first questions, which year do I think I can compete?
24:28Now in a startup, you generally want to ask, you want to ask that question after round two, pretty much after you've
24:36completed round two, you want to look at your team and say, okay, which direction am I leaning with my next, say three or four picks?
24:46My leaning 2026 or my leaning 2027. And then it may be the case that the players available in the third, fourth
24:55and fifth rounds force you to go in now or force you to go and, and do, do a youth takeover for
25:03the first year, you know, youth onslaught. But generally after a few rounds of a startup, you need to make that decision.
25:11And when I'm taking over these orphans, it took over 20 orphans in 20 days.
25:17As you know, I had to decide, okay, what am I going to do with two of the orphans?
25:24I can compete because they were abandoned for a reason.
25:28Most of them I'm circling either 2027 or 2028.
25:32In some cases, this was one of those teams that was so bad.
25:37And there's like four super teams at the top of the league that it wasn't realistic for me to compete even next year.
25:46So I had to circle 2028, which made it so that I, I highly valued Ty Simpson.
25:52And I, I very much valued Chris Bell because I think Chris Bell 2028 is going to be his breakout season, right?
26:00The new quarterback in Miami will be a sophomore in 2028.
26:05And Chris Bell will be years past years removed from his knee injury and recovery.
26:10So if you have a long-term outlook for your team, Chris Bell is perfect.
26:16And, you know, I would end up losing those couple seasons, those early, you know, year one, year two for a running
26:24back like Nick Singleton is very valuable, but it really wouldn't be valuable for this roster.
26:30Right. So I have plenty of Singleton across all my teams.
26:34So I, I was like, I think this is, this is a great opportunity for me to go Chris Bell.
26:42And I didn't go Ted Hearst because in another trade that I did with Ryan McDowell, where I traded Jordan Love and
26:51Basial Tootin among others, it was a blockbuster deal.
26:54I did get the 211 in that deal. And I wanted to give myself a chance to get Ted Hearst at the 211.
27:03I thought there was a 25% chance he would make it.
27:07And then in the, in the second half of this draft, in the second round, it went Surratt Beck, Emmett Johnson, the 209, Katron Allen at the 210.
27:18And then I got Ted Hearst at the 211.
27:21So I was considering Hearst at the 202, but for game theory reasons, I thought there was a possibility I could get him at the 211.
27:31So I got to, I got to roll the dice.
27:35Stribbling didn't even enter your mind, huh? Ah! No.
27:38Swindling? No, no, no. Ted Hearst, I think on our dynasty rankings, Ted Hearst has doubled the lifetime value of Stribbling.
27:46Yeah. Yeah. Well, I love it, man. As we saw, as we just talked about, Jadarian Price at the 104 in this format, ahead of Tyson and Lemon.
27:57We don't agree with it, right? No, no shade to the drafter there, but...
28:03Ahead of Concepcion as well. Yeah. Ahead of Sadiq and Titan Premium.
28:07I wouldn't do that either. Oh, it's Titan Premium.
28:11Yeah, man, that's rich. It's just so rich. I get it.
28:15You need to hit on running backs. There's positional scarcity, all of that stuff.
28:20Go figure it out outside of your draft, in my opinion, right?
28:25Okay. You're on the clock next here, but I see in the fourth round, you took Justin Jolie and total stud, right?
28:33Is it Jolie or Jolly? People will call it Jolly, but it's Jolie.
28:38Oh, it's Jolie. Yeah, Justin Jolie. Oh, man. I just did the sign of truth with Cody, and there's always a handful
28:47of players who are like, what is the pronunciation?
28:50What is it again? Is it HN? Is it ETN?
28:54What is it? Yeah, I can get you caught up in the third round.
28:59After I took Ted Hirsch at the 211, I ended up taking Kalen Black at the 309.
29:06That's where my next pick was. Oh, you took Black?
29:10Yep. Got Kalen Black, the last running back that really, I think, has a chance to produce anytime soon.
29:17With Kalen Black at the 309, he's, you know, day two pick.
29:21No interest in Adam Randall there being handpicked by the Ravens owner.
29:26No, Black was a day two pick. Oh, I know.
29:30And he's behind. So is DeZon Swindling. Well, it matters much more for running back to be a day two pick.
29:38No, I agree. And with Kalen Black, you know, he's behind one of the most injury-prone running backs that's ever existed.
29:46Okay, she'll stop. And then the RB2 there, Jordan James, is not proven.
29:51So he's an unproven Jordan James behind the most injury-prone running back of our times.
29:57So I thought that was a slam dunk to go Kalen Black there.
30:02And then you're right. In round four, I went Justin Jolie at the 402, and then Tanner Kosial at the 403.
30:10So in back-to-back tight ends, Jolie Kosial, the news on Jolie has been incredible.
30:15Every other day, you're seeing something written coming out of Denver about Jolie is impressing.
30:21Jolie looks like a better, younger, faster version of Evan Ingram.
30:25There's injuries to other tight ends. They had a seventh round that they drafted last year, and he's been out recently, and
30:33he's going to be out for the next couple weeks.
30:37He had to have a procedure in his lower body.
30:41So that, again, moves Jolie up, gives him yet more reps with the ones and the twos.
30:47So there's momentum really building for Jolie to be that move tight end, that joker in Denver.
30:54And then Kosial, man, he's the second-best receiving tight end they have in Jacksonville, and he's going to slot in right behind Brenton Strange.
31:03And I love that positioning for him. And then at the 409, Seth McGowan.
31:09Just because if you were a running back and you were drafted at that point, I need to be drafting you.
31:17I need to be putting you on my fantasy team.
31:20The only other running back that is available that was drafted is Jam Miller.
31:26Gross. So gross. Eli Heidenreich, right? He's getting some early steam out of camp.
31:31Mike McCarthy's saying he's loving what he's seeing there.
31:35Oh, Heidenreich's gone. Oh, he was gone before. Heidenreich went to 405, and actually Jam Miller went in that same area.
31:43Yeah, you're out of. So, yeah, it was actually, I totally overlooked Jam Miller.
31:48I thought he was in my queue. I thought he was up next.
31:53And he's already drafted. This is a very savvy group.
31:57So my decision is going to come down to Matt Hibner versus Dion Burks.
32:02So, again, the big, big news is that Alec Pierce is looking at a four- to six-month recovery, a likely pup stint,
32:11even though the coaches continue to lie about it and pretend that he's going to be back in camp, right?
32:18He's going to be. We're going to see him in camp.
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33:27So, investing in Josh Downs is the best thing you could possibly do.
33:32150 target Josh Downs. That's the world we're going to live in this year.
33:37Just wait for it. And top three tight end Tyler Warren.
33:42Those are the big, big winners from this news about Alec Pierce.
33:46Ashton Doolin is going to get some run. Ashton Doolin could have a spike week or two.
33:53And then that also means that Deion Burks has a chance to be a guy behind a guy.
34:00Now, would you rather have that or would you rather have Matt Hibner, who I believe is the best receiving tight end beyond Mark Andrews in Baltimore?
34:10And so, with Isaiah Likely now gone, they vacated tight end targets in Baltimore.
34:15They trade up with a purpose to get Matt Hibner.
34:19In tight end premium, I have Hibner over Deion Burks.
34:23Even though Deion Burks was drafted, he was a super athlete when he worked out.
34:29And he is on the right depth chart, wide open depth chart in Indianapolis.
34:34But Burks was not productive enough for me to give him credit for being an NFL breakout, where Matt Hibner absolutely could
34:42just slot right into that Andrews role if Andrews misses time.
34:47Yeah. No, all really good points. And, you know, let's stick on tight ends for a little bit, because one of the
34:55guys I'm really curious to hear your thoughts on is Kyle Pitts, man.
35:00We talked about, you know, I got the playerprofiler.com backslash news up.
35:05Again, a lot of really good news on here from our team.
35:09And this talks about him running an expanded route tree, right?
35:13A lot of, you know, crossers and underneath routes.
35:17He's been playing the past few seasons and running that more expanded route tree.
35:22Super interesting for a guy as athletic as him.
35:26I think he's a slept on guy in Dynasty because so many people were burned by him for so long.
35:33That I'm seeing him as a screaming value this offseason.
35:37I'm curious where you see Pitts in the grand scheme of, like, tight end landscape.
35:43Is he a value at his current ADP in startups and Dynasty?
35:48Or are you still kind of skeptic? I am way out in front.
35:53I am way out in front. You're all in.
35:56Kyle Pitts. Oh, yes. I'm all in too, man.
35:59I'm right there with you. Oh, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes.
36:04Kyle Pitts in tight end premium. And I'm in multiple tight end super premium leagues.
36:09I am just all over Kyle Pitts. Like I would I can put this up on the screen.
36:16I'm sharing my screen right now. Look at a recent startup that I just completed.
36:22Okay. Look at this. You know the super flex.
36:25I started at the 110. This is six points per passing touchdown.
36:30I went Justin Herbert. It's also tight end super premium.
36:34So I went Brock Bowers, the 203. That's found a bunny, man.
36:38That's found money. Came back to me. I got sniped on Carnell Tate.
36:43I wanted Carnell Tate bad at the 310. I ended up getting sniped on him.
36:49Great pick by Deuce NFL there. So I ended up with Fannin just based on the scoring system.
36:56Fannin was the most valuable piece on the board.
37:00And then Olave. And then I drafted Olave. And then at the 510, having two tight ends already on the roster, my friend.
37:08Who do you think I selected at the 510?
37:12It goes Kenneth Walker. It goes Kyron Williams. It goes Jordan Love in super flex.
37:18Tight end super premium. Barkley, Scadaboo, Goff, Irving still on the board.
37:22Who did I select? Kyle Pitts, baby. Kyle Pitts.
37:26Young. Young. Kyle Pitts. Worst days behind him, man.
37:29Tyler Shook right after. I love it, man. I'm actually just did a Dynasty startup with a couple other content creators.
37:37And those were my... I took them in the 6-7 and 6-8.
37:42I had back-to-back picks. I traded back because I saw a lot of value in that sixth round in that area.
37:50I think I traded like a fourth to get those two different picks.
37:55So, man, I'm rooting for this team. I love Jalen Coker on there, too.
38:00We just talked about the Ted Arone-McMillan issues, the injury issues.
38:04I've got some bold predictions out there that Jalen Coker could outproduce Garrett Wilson this year.
38:10That just entered my head. And I was like, that's wild, but I'm kind of standing on business with it.
38:18Yeah, yeah, yeah. I mean, I could see Michael Wilson and Jalen Coker just holding hands.
38:24They're the same guy. The exact same player, profile-wise.
38:28You look at him, size, athleticism, everything. Jalen Coker's a small school Michael Wilson.
38:33And I did happen to draft in two other leagues when this draft, because I was drafting five startups all concurrently.
38:41I had just drafted Scadaboo in two teams. And I had Scadaboo and a bunch of other orphans.
38:48So, it was really, I think, 51-49, I go Scadaboo there.
38:52I would really want Scadaboo. But this is also a best ball, best ball format.
38:58Oh, okay. And these tight ends with tight end super premium, where they're getting two points per reception, when they put up
39:06a huge performance, then all three of them can slot into the starting lineup.
39:12Because we have two flex positions. So, there's going to be a reality, probably several weeks, where Bowers, Fannin, and Pitts all enter my lineup.
39:21But it would be nice. It would be nice to have an anchor RB for a best ball team, for Dynasty.
39:29It was very close. But the value on Kyle Pitts at age 25, where they're going to basically put him at X a lot this year.
39:39He's going to be playing X receiver. He's one of the tight ends that's played the most X receiver in the NFL.
39:48And they're only talking about expanding his route tree.
39:51And he's in a contract year. He's betting on himself.
39:55I mean, this is a screaming Kyle Pitts in every league year.
39:59And so, for me, I was like, because it's tight end super premium, because of the situation that he's in, and it's
40:08best ball, I just need to make sure that Kyle Pitts is always a threat to enter my lineup.
40:15And I also already have a bunch of Scadaboo, who would be my other option.
40:21And with the next pick, I was able to stack Chuck with Olave in best ball.
40:27I also stacked Mayfield with Ted Hurst in this league.
40:31And I stacked Justin Herbert with Trey Harris. So I have backdoor stacks and front door stacks up and down this roster.
40:39I am curious how you landed the plane at running back, though.
40:44I see Hubbard and Samson as your top two.
40:47Let's go a little further. Right, right. So, again, this was a very big decision.
40:53And I went Pitts just because he shouldn't be there.
40:57And it was best player available. And it was not based on need.
41:02It was based on best player available. And if I'm going to preach that...
41:07You got to do it. If I'm going to preach that method, well, then I need to eat at my own restaurant, don't I?
41:16Yeah. If this is the advice I'm serving, then I should be the first one to sit down and take a bite.
41:25Okay? So, I mean, Chuck Mayfield, I had to get Mayfield.
41:29I mean, I rarely wait that long in my QB3.
41:33And he was just hanging around, hanging around. Stroud, gone.
41:37Murray, gone. Goff, gone. Somehow Mayfield. A few picks within Bryce Young.
41:41Like, that's when you know you are hitting. Right?
41:45Like, that's the value. Can you believe somebody in a super flex league drafted Jadarian Price over Baker Mayfield?
41:52I mean, I just can't believe it. Like, that's so shocking to me.
41:57And then the other receivers I drafted after Mayfield, Christian Watson, he accrued value immediately because he got the big contract.
42:05Terry McLaurin. So, this team happens to be a team featuring multiple receivers who are running expanded featured route trees this year.
42:13See, the Terry McLaurin route tree is interesting. Usually, they post them up on the left.
42:19They say, hey, you're our full-time X and you're running the X receiver route tree.
42:25And that is it and that is all. Even though Terry McLaurin is like a sports car.
42:32He handles great. He can run any route. And so, instead of just posting him up on the left, they're saying, no,
42:40no, we want to get him the ball. We don't just want him to play the best X receiver that he can play.
42:49Our offense revolves around getting the ball to Terry McLaurin.
42:53He's by far and away our best weapon on offense other than our quarterback.
42:58So, what are we going to do? We're going to turn him into a queen chess piece.
43:05And there's a news item on playerprofile.com slash news.
43:08It says Terry McLaurin in queen chess piece role.
43:12That's a similar role that they're putting Kyle Pitts.
43:15They're going to be putting Kyle Pitts in motion, trying to find the matchup to exploit.
43:21That's how they're going to use Kyle Pitts this year.
43:25And that's how Washington is going to use McLaurin.
43:28That's why I love McLaurin. He's only 30. He and Godwin are 30 years old.
43:34They have three good years left. And they are smashes in Dynasty.
43:39Couldn't agree more. Love it. Let's talk about Watson a little bit, man.
43:44Because to your point, you draft him there. His value has gone up after getting that huge contract.
43:51I almost feel like it's time to sell though, man.
43:54A guy has never been over like 800 receiving yards as a pro.
43:59Never been over 800 receiving yards in college, I don't think.
44:04I mean, this is a guy who you could potentially turn into a Cam Scadaboo maybe.
44:10And you could trade him for a couple rounds of accrued value, right?
44:15And fill that running back hole that you have a little bit there.
44:20So I'm just talking out loud. Because for me, Christian Watson becomes an interesting sell candidate with this recent contract extension.
44:28Are you looking at it like that at all?
44:31Or are you all in on him? I mean, look at the McLaurin pick.
44:37Look at the players that went prior to McLaurin.
44:40RJ Harvey. Brenton Strange. Again, tight end super premium.
44:43Parker Washington. Good pick. Also about to get a contract and will accrue value.
44:49Malik Willis. Bridge quarterback. Dalton Kincaid playing on one PCL.
44:53Matthew Golden. Who does not profile as a thousand yard receiver in the NFL in any way, shape or form.
45:00Based on his college production. And Omar Cooper Jr.
45:04Who is redundant with Garrett Wilson and running as the clear wide receiver three at best.
45:10In Jets camp. So that's just to put the Terry McLaurin pick in context.
45:15After McLaurin, I finally did go running back. I went Chuba Hubbard.
45:20He Chuba Hubbard and Jonathan Brooks are awesome best ball running backs because you're not going to know which weeks to start which guy.
45:29I think they're both going to play a lot, but it's a run first team.
45:35And so just let the computer decide when Chuba Hubbard enters your lineup.
45:40Same thing with Dylan Sampson. That's a best ball pick.
45:43Emmitt Johnson. That's my next running back. Best ball pick.
45:47Braylon Allen. Ollie Gordon. I am going to load up on running back.
45:52I'm going to have probably eight receivers and 12 running backs on this roster.
45:58So when you decide to go zero RB, you need to go zero RB, which is what I did.
46:05I went full zero RB, but that means also not being able to draft some of the value plays at the end of the at the end.
46:15When, you know, a Rashid Shaheed falls to me in in another build, I'm able to I'm able to go ahead and push the button on him.
46:26But when you go zero RB, you fill up your wide receiver room, your wide receiver group faster.
46:32And then you can't take advantage of some of the value that falls your way.
46:38So there is some there is some shortcomings to the.
46:42Zero RB structure. But this this zero RB structure was not necessarily done with a purpose from the beginning.
46:49It was just based on the fact that this league was steaming up running backs.
46:55And everywhere I turned, the running backs available were not good value until we got to Chuba Hubbard, until we got to
47:03Dylan Sampson, until we got to Emmitt Johnson. Now I'm soaking up all this running back value.
47:10And because it's best ball, we're going to have George Helani.
47:14We're going to have like these placeholder starters, guys that can score touchdowns, guys that can catch some passes any given week.
47:23And we will piece together because it's so deep.
47:26This particular league, 29 rounds. We're going to piece together some running back production just with lineups, sheer volume, just throwing bodies at the problem.
47:36So that's what I wanted to do. I wanted to find a draft.
47:41And a league with that with the teams were very deep.
47:4528 to 30 rounds. Go zero RB and see what happens if I pile into like 12 running backs.
47:52Can we get two of them to hit every week?
47:56Yeah. In best ball, I absolutely love this strategy that you're pursuing.
48:01And I think it's super fun that we were able to talk through this with the viewers.
48:07I think you dodged the Watson question a little bit.
48:11I did. Well, I am not in a hurry to trade Christian Watson.
48:16But I understand the logic. My problem is someone has to catch passes in Green Bay.
48:22And that someone is very unlikely to be Matthew Golden.
48:26And Tucker Craft is not going to be 100% until like November at the earliest.
48:32So you're going to have a limited Tucker Craft for the first half of the season.
48:38He might be out there. Now he says he's 100%.
48:41And he says he's not limited. I understand that.
48:45We posted that news item. He claims that. It's just not realistic.
48:49That's just not how human anatomy works. So his flexibility and strength will not be where it was until November.
48:57That's just a fact. So now what does that mean?
49:01That means that when Jordan Love, who has a huge arm, steps back to throw, I think the two receivers he's going
49:09to be most interested in throwing the ball to each and every play is going to be Jaden Reed and Christian Watson.
49:18That's why my projections and our projections on player profiler for Christian Watson and Jaden Reed are ahead of consensus.
49:25They don't profile as target hog receivers. But in the context of this offense with a run first running back, right?
49:34A grinder back in Josh Jacobs. There's very few good options for where you can allocate the target share.
49:41It's going to have to go to Christian Watson.
49:44And the routes he runs are deep. So you're dialing up targets.
49:49Best ball to that guy with one of the deepest target depths on average in the league.
49:55And he's very efficient. And he came back and performed at a high level from a torn ACL faster than most people.
50:04Yeah. So he was one of those exceptions where there was not a downtick in the efficiency in his first year back.
50:12There almost always is. So now all of a sudden I'm like, wow, man.
50:18Christian Watson's built different. He's not quite the same as every running back or every receiver that goes through this ACL recovery.
50:26And he finally is being put in a position where instead of giving us one huge month, he could give us one huge year.
50:35So there's no way I'm trading him right now.
50:39I love it, man. Stick to your guns, man.
50:42What an insight. Jaden Reed, same thing. I actually have just as much Jaden Reed as I do Christian Watson.
50:50Yeah. I mean, Jaden Reed is almost a carbon copy of the analysis.
50:55Yeah. A hundred percent. High upside players shown us enough to get excited.
51:00Haven't seen him string it together for a full season.
51:03Right. But they haven't commanded the big target shares yet, but one of those two could.
51:10They're certainly capable. Yeah, man. Great. First half of the show.
51:14I'm super excited for the second half. We're going to get into some of the pod fathers, historical.
51:21My guys where they are today. We're going to talk through other new.
51:26My guys on your radar. Some of the funniest pod father moments in the show's history.
51:32So do not go anywhere. What does player profiler do best?
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51:39Oh, they have Titan premium. Oh, it's super flex.
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52:12So let's go start building super teams. Tomorrow morning is knocking.
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52:58Like a good neighbor, State Farm is there. I'm an absolute whore for Player Profilers Dynasty Deluxe Package.
53:05I'm playing with the different functionality in there every day.
53:09Shout out to the Podfather for the legendary ads.
53:12Rest in peace, my guy Memphis Young, man. Every time we would play an ad during one of our shows together, he'd
53:20give you 15, 20 seconds of just telling that you're the best in the business at that, man.
53:27And so great to have you on the show.
53:31Like I said, let's get into some of this stuff.
53:35I want to drill straight into the Matt's my guys, right?
53:39The Podfather's my guys historically. Starting off, I got to go with Brock Bowers.
53:44Like I don't know if I've heard you explicitly say that you're hooking your hat to him, but like I see a
53:53lot of quotes from you saying we're taking him in the first round.
53:58I just saw a startup where you're taking him as soon as you can.
54:03Talk to me about what Brock Bowers means to you.
54:07Brock Bowers is just the rarest of the rare.
54:10He went at the 102 in a startup I'm in.
54:14I've taken him as early as the 104. So if I put this up on the screen, 104.
54:21I took Brock Bowers. It went Josh Allen, B.
54:24John Robinson, Drake May, Brock Bowers. So, yeah, I'm very bullish on Brock Bowers.
54:30He's very young. He's been commanding Justin Jefferson-like targets.
54:33And he's only 23 years old and there's no target competition.
54:37And this is a tight end super premium draft.
54:41So many of these startups, they're tight end super premium where it's two points for a tight end reception.
54:48Some of these leagues, they give tight ends points for first downs.
54:53And they're the only ones. They give them an extra first down bonus, whatever it is.
54:59Because Bowers is going to compete with all of the NFL's top receivers, regardless of position.
55:05And then that he has this incredible tight end designation where someone else has to roll out Jake Ferguson every week.
55:13Brenton Strange every week. That guy's first tight end, yeah.
55:17Dalton Kincaid every week. I mean, I feel bad.
55:20And what I absolutely love doing is what I did in this draft, which was to take control of the board.
55:28I like to take control of the board with either a second or third tight end drafted in super premium.
55:36Tight end super premium. Or by being the first to draft a third quarterback.
55:41In one draft, I was the first to do both.
55:45So I took Kyle Pitts in that draft we had up earlier as my third tight end.
55:52But then I also was the first to get a third quarterback in Baker Mayfield.
55:57So I took control of the board in a big, big way.
56:02And I've had a stranglehold on that draft doing whatever I want ever since.
56:07It's true. It's true. Because now again, because now everyone's panicking about tight end and quarterback.
56:13What am I doing? Taking all the running backs.
56:17That's what. And that's that's that was the setup with this zero RB bill that I think is going to work out.
56:25As we talked about. We have a Brock Bowers.
56:29I'm very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very bullish on him.
56:34What more would you want? I mean, my daughter and my wife are going to see no doubt at the sphere.
56:42And and I was like, I was like, we shouldn't have to pay for these tickets.
56:48Because I own sphere stock. I was I invested in it last year.
56:53Just just everybody that goes to Vegas is their favorite thing about it is going to the sphere.
57:00And then now they're opening up spheres and franchising them around the world.
57:05And I'm like, OK, it seems like a pretty good thing to to invest in.
57:11I I'm not a financial advisor, so I'm not here to make any kind of financial advice or give advice about any stocks.
57:20That's 100 percent your decision. I'm not an expert in that area in any way.
57:25I'm not a licensed broker. Don't do what I do or say at all.
57:31But I just have to, you know, with full disclosure, let you know that I am a shareholder there.
57:38My family's going and they're going to see no doubt.
57:42And they're looking at merch and hey, dad, we want to buy you something.
57:47And I'm like, I got an idea. Why don't you guys buy me a Brock Bowers jersey?
57:54That's what you're doing in Vegas. Full stop. Brock Bowers jersey.
57:58Sphere is up 284 percent in the last year, man.
58:02Full stop. I've done well. It's good. It's good.
58:05It's good. It was just no Carvana, right? But it's good.
58:09It's good. It's good. Well, yeah. So the Brock Bowers love is real for sure.
58:15And I also really love Tyler Warren, though. I mean, I love them both equally now based on value.
58:22Tyler Warren's even better value because of this Alec Pierce injury and the law of the conservation of targets.
58:30Another guy that you would have to say is my guy.
58:34I'm getting in multiple startups. The guy that I've drafted so often.
58:39I've traded for multiple trades on trade gods with coach.
58:42We've talked about it. And now things are just breaking my way.
58:47This has been a great week for the Pod Fathers Dynasty teams is Josh.
58:52Josh Downs. And I'm so proud of Josh Downs because he's not big.
58:57Typically, if you're 5'8", I would say you're such an outlier that there's so few 5'8 receivers that have ever broken out
59:06that just on the math, I would fade that player.
59:10I remember there was a player named Andrew Hawkins.
59:13And I faded him based on the fact that there was never a player that small who had ever put up a breakout season in the NFL.
59:23And another reason why I wasn't into Tavon Austin.
59:27I was just like, these guys are too small.
59:30I know they're joysticks. I know the NFL is fascinated by these human joystick players.
59:36But sometimes a player is just too small. And I was tempted to tag Josh Downs with that label.
59:43And then I looked at his production, his age-adjusted production in college.
59:48It was so stunning. And to know that he has the NCAA record for receptions as a sophomore.
59:55I didn't know that. Wow. Okay, if you're that level of record-breaking target earner and you are very athletic, it is absolutely possible for you to break through.
60:05And actually, Tank Dell taught me that. Because I saw Tank Dell at the Senior Bowl.
60:12I looked at him and I said, no fucking way.
60:15Too tiny. I looked at him. I was like, look at him.
60:20He's like a stool. He's a piece of furniture.
60:23This guy's so tiny. You know? And I'm like, what is...
60:28There's no way. And then sure enough, bing, bing, bing, bing, bing.
60:32He's like a pinball. He's all over the place.
60:36The guy's on another level putting guys on skates at the Senior Bowl.
60:41And then he was really productive. One of the most productive rookie receivers a couple years ago was CJ Stroud.
60:48And I was like, okay. Okay. It's possible. I've seen it with my own eyes.
60:54I've seen it. I have seen the lot. And so I was like, okay.
60:59I'm not going to let it. I'm not going to let that happen again.
61:05I'm not going to be behind on Tank Dell or the next Tank Dell ever again.
61:11I'm not going to let the fact that a player is an unprecedented outlier in terms of size or body configuration, athleticism, whatever.
61:20I'm not going to fall for that. I'm certainly going to factor it in.
61:25But I'm not going to put them on a do not draft list.
61:30And then if they continue to earn targets and they continue to produce.
61:35And then you have to eventually come to the decision that this is the player I like.
61:41And then so there's like this multi-year process where I'm just falling in love with Josh Downs.
61:48And then I'm seeing all the target competition fall away.
61:52And I'm like, oh my, I need this player.
61:55No one like you, man, can weave, right? Like I talk about Brock Bowers.
62:01You're like, yeah, I like Brock Bowers. But how about Josh Downs, right?
62:06So we got another brand new entry on Matt's My Guys.
62:10Josh Downs. Let's pull up his profile. Let's see what you got for us here.
62:16Best comparable player, Emmanuel Sanders. I like that. Emmanuel Sanders, very athletic, also small.
62:21But had multiple thousand yard seasons. He is dynamic.
62:24He gets tagged as a slot receiver. Right? There's all this Josh Downs propaganda that he's not, doesn't, he doesn't possess the
62:33upside to really give a shit about him in fantasy.
62:37And just wait. Just wait. Just imagine Wandale Robinson, but with more downfield playmaking ability and touchdown scoring ability.
62:44That's actually a very, very valuable asset in fantasy football.
62:48If you had Wandale Robinson with more downfield dynamism and touchdown scoring opportunities.
62:53We love it. We love Josh Downs. Another guy you mentioned earlier.
62:57I believe you called him handsome. I know you saw this guy at the senior bowl.
63:03I don't know if there's a bigger fan or person advocating for Michael Wilson than Matt Kelly, the podfather.
63:11Talk to me a little bit about, I mean, this isn't just, oh, this happened last night for you or even last year.
63:19I'm pretty sure you've been a longtime believer in this guy.
63:24Can you just share a little more light as to why he's a my guy for you?
63:30Well, we talked about how certain analysts come along in the industry and we click and or I provide them with a solid.
63:39They do us a favor, whatever it is. Great relationship.
63:43R.C. Fisher is one of those guys. Right. And there are just a handful of people out there that I have on every year, like clockwork, Lord Reeves.
63:54I trust them. When Lord Reeves says. Deshaun Watson's dust, that Deshaun Watson is a throwback player and that for various reasons,
64:02he's just not going to be able to produce fantasy points because he doesn't have the arm strength.
64:09He doesn't have the legs and he's not even able to run an offense the way that modern NFL offensive coordinators demand
64:17their offenses be run with the timing patterns that are required.
64:21That's just not a strength of Deshaun Watson, that all of his previous strengths have been nullified and only has left or weaknesses.
64:30So for that reason, you're simply burning a hole in your roster, even in Superflex by even rostering this guy.
64:38So when I hear that, I'm like, OK, if you feel that strongly and you're one of our sort of sharpest content
64:46partners and colleagues of all time, a guy like Rich Rebar, then that's just the truth.
64:52I'm just penciling it, penciling it in as here's what's true, actually putting it in ink.
64:59OK, because you can't erase it. That's like a George Bushism.
65:03Why do we use it? Can't erase it. So with Michael Wilson.
65:07Who loved Michael Wilson the most? Not me. R.C.
65:11Fisher. R.C. Fisher. R.C. Fisher predicted that Michael Wilson would end up with a more productive career in the NFL than Marvin Harrison Jr.
65:20When Marvin Harrison Jr. Was Marvin Harrison Jr. Coming out of Ohio State top five pick Marvin Harrison Jr.
65:27Hottest take probably you've ever had on your show.
65:31I remember. I got a thousand retweets. Like people were like, this is the hottest shit.
65:37But it was all negative. It was all quote tweets where.
65:41Yeah, so it's funny how Twitter just counts quote tweets and retweets the same.
65:46But they're not the same. You know, there's a big difference between reposting something just because you agree with it and reposting
65:55something because you disagree with it or you want to make fun of it.
66:00So most of the reposts were quote tweets. Mocking the take.
66:04Yes. Yes. And yet he has had the last laugh.
66:08And at the Senior Bowl, a Senior Bowl that was packed with talent.
66:13We're talking about Pukunakua, Tank Dell, Jaden Reed, many others.
66:17It was widely agreed by everyone I talked to from Faraz to the roster watch guys, Ray Garvin, many others that the
66:25guy with the best feet at the Senior Bowl was clearly Michael Wilson.
66:30Fastest, best feet. And this is a guy that's 6'3".
66:34Right. He's 215. And I'm like, this guy, this is Michael Pittman 2.0.
66:39This is a faster, quicker Michael Pittman. That's pretty good.
66:43For fantasy, that's 150 targets, like 1,200 yards and seven touchdowns.
66:47That's what that is. And so I'm like, I'm very bullish on this guy.
66:53Then there's, you have Marvin Harrison Jr. on the other side saying, I'm going to, at every point, underperform my profile.
67:01Everything that he's done to this point suggests he wants to be that guy, but he can't be.
67:08Right. This is a class. This seems like a classic case of the prodigal son just wasn't quite up for it.
67:16Right. Where everyone's thinking, hey, this guy's going to take over the company.
67:21From the dad. And then they, they put him in that chair and he just melts.
67:27That seems to be what's happening with Marvin Harrison Jr.
67:31Where now he has three different maladies that he's talking about having to recover from and continue to rehab in the summer.
67:39And just saying, hey, I'm always in pain and all this.
67:43And I'm like, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa.
67:47Why are we not hearing anything from Michael Wilson?
67:51This guy hasn't missed a game. This guy hasn't missed a snap of practice since he entered the NFL.
67:58And the irony there is that he missed most of his college career with injury.
68:04He could have been a first round pick if he wasn't hurt constantly in college.
68:10But at some point, if you're a true grinder, you find a way to lean into your strength and conditioning.
68:17Focus on the right details, hydration, stretching, all these things.
68:21Right diet, right workout regimen. And get to a point where your body is impervious to injury.
68:28And somehow Marvin Harrison Jr., again, I think that he talks big, right?
68:33He knows what to say. He's been memorizing the talking points that his dad has been giving the media for many years.
68:41So he's very impressive talking about what he's going to do and about his mindset and about how all he thinks about his football.
68:50And that he doesn't even want to have a conversation with you because all he's thinking about is football.
68:57And he can't even have a real conversation because everything in his head is just football, football, football.
69:04But that's rhetoric. That's rhetoric. It's like an actor.
69:08It's kind of like you said, Daniel Day McVay for Sean McVay.
69:12Now we've got Marvin Harrison Ford. I mean, I went back and I listened to the interview that he had with the
69:21Giants coaching staff during the pre-draft process. And they said they wanted to draft him because they're suckers.
69:28They happened to draft really well this year. They had the best first round.
69:33I mean, stellar first round by the Giants. Fantastic.
69:36Just best player available. Boom, boom. Marvin Harrison Jr.
69:40is like just saying, all I'm thinking about is football all the time.
69:45And see, that's what you would say if you were Marvin Harrison Jr.'s son.
69:50But also, if you're Marvin Harrison Jr.'s son and it's been a very comfortable life thus far, right?
69:57No adversity. Then it's going to be a little bit more difficult for you to get up early in the morning and go to the gym.
70:07And that is a telltale sign of a player that's not putting the time in with their strength and conditioning is these nagging lower body injuries.
70:17That is the Sammy Watkins corollary. Sammy Watkins was drafted ahead of Mike Evans and Odell Beckham and many other elite wide
70:25receivers in that 2014 wide receiver class. And he underperformed all of them.
70:30And it wasn't because of talent. Everyone saw it at Clemson.
70:35It was because he was playing video games. He was on the DK Metcalf diet post-practice plan, which is candy and video games.
70:43And the best athletes fade into their late 20s.
70:47Meanwhile, you have the players that have incredible strength and conditioning, like Chris Godwin and Terry McLaurin, just locomotive right past them.
70:55Right? Where they couldn't compete with them at the combine.
70:59But at age 28, there's no comparison. Right? And I think that's the career path, right, of a Michael Wilson.
71:07He's on that Chris Godwin, Terry McLaurin career path.
71:10What do they all have in common? Third round picks.
71:14Something to prove. What does Sammy Watkins have in common with Marvin Harrison Jr.?
71:19Elite talents in their class. Stockpiled with talent. And they were drafted ahead of players that had better work ethics and equal
71:28skill sets, like Malik Neighbors, who are eventually going to just motor past them in career production.
71:34So, yes, I agree with R.C. Fisher. Michael Wilson will finish his career with more fantasy points than Marvin Harrison Jr.
71:42And we have had Michael Wilson consistently ahead of consensus in all of our rankings because there's this bias against Michael Wilson
71:51that when he produced, it was in the best possible situation.
71:55No Marvin Harrison Jr. And the run first offense was out the window because they were losing games.
72:02They had a bad record. And they decided just to open up the offense for Jacoby Brissett.
72:08He's leading the league in pass attempts per game.
72:12So let me get this straight. The only time you produced big numbers is when your team was leading the NFL in pass attempts per game.
72:22And the alpha receiver was out. So, of course, the public seeing those two facts in front of them is going to heavily discount this Michael Wilson.
72:32But my response is, well, what if he's just good anyway?
72:36Like, so what? Right. Like, yeah, he was handed a very fortunate hand.
72:41And he was dealt a very fortunate hand in the second half of 2025.
72:47Did he produce at a level that's impressive but not great?
72:51No. He was the wide receiver one for several weeks.
72:55He was a monster putting up bigger numbers than Marvin Harrison Jr.
72:59ever did. Demonstrating a ceiling that Marvin Harrison Jr.
73:03cannot touch. In terms of historic weekly production. There's nothing more he could have done with those opportunities.
73:10And now the coaching staff is coming out and saying, this guy is going to be our Puka Nakua.
73:17And I know it's hyperbole and it's silly. But for me, that's the element of that that I'm actually internalizing is that he was one-two in the conversation.
73:28No matter how hyperbolic it was, he was one-two right there with Marvin Harrison Jr.
73:33It's not like the coaches put Marvin Harrison Jr.
73:37over here and talked about him and then had another conversation over here about Michael Wilson, the clear second option.
73:44They talked about them together as a duo, as a dynamic duo together.
73:49And most of the rankings and most of the analysis you're seeing is that you have Marvin Harrison Jr.
73:57as the clear alpha and Michael Wilson as this pretender beta receiver.
74:01That's the perception. And it's only based on the fact that he just happened to be in a great situation and deliver.
74:10Chills. Chills down my spine, man. Listening to you talk about your guys, man.
74:15I want to close it out with one more guy I think is maybe the biggest victory lap.
74:22And that's Kenny Gainwell for you, man. You've been a long-time Kenny Gainwell fan.
74:27You got a Kenny Gainwell shirt. You were wearing it last offseason.
74:32You were talking about going and rostering this guy.
74:35I'll be honest. I was kind of laughing when I was watching the show.
74:41I'm like, come on, man. We got Caleb Johnson.
74:44We got Jalen Warren. What are we doing? Right?
74:48Kenny G, reign supreme, man. Now we've got all this terrible offseason news about Bucky Irving not being fully recovered.
74:55The steam is gaining on Kenny Gainwell. Huge, huge edge for fast draft drafters.
75:01The ADP for Kenny Gainwell in fast draft has not fully corrected yet.
75:06He's still in the 130s on ADP. And this is a guy that's going into hundreds in almost every other best ball format, early 100.
75:15I think he's a great option this year. Total target.
75:19Let's just talk to me about why you've been in on Gainwell before his great season last year.
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75:59You thought this was your run club era. Turns out, it was more of a thinking about run club era.
76:06The good news? Someone's marathon training is about to start.
76:10Sell your workout gear on Depop. Just snap a few photos and we'll take care of the rest.
76:17They get their race day fit and you get a payout for trying.
76:22Someone on Depop wants what you've got. Start selling now.
76:26Depop. Where taste recognizes taste. The profile is the profile.
76:30That's it. Right? There's no need to give up on a player if the NFL likes him.
76:36Don't give up. That's it. That's why you have to pay attention to the news.
76:42We have playerprofile.com slash news and we will put coach sentiment in there.
76:47Now, a lot of it's hyperbole. Like we talked about.
76:51No, Marvin Harrison Jr. is not Devante Adams any more than Michael Wilson is Bukunakua.
76:57But the framing of the response is interesting. Right?
77:00And so in some of these ways, it's interesting.
77:04And whenever coaches were asked about Kenny Gainwell, they always gushed about him.
77:08They always talk about him as a consummate professional.
77:12How he deserves more touches. This was year in, year out when he wasn't producing.
77:18And I'm like, when I pull up the profile, I see a lightly used race car.
77:24And last time I checked, there are several teams every year, several Johnny that have multiple injuries, concurrent injuries to their backfield.
77:32Isn't this like one of the more obvious observations in the history of fantasy podcasting that every year, multiple NFL teams suffer concurrent injuries to their backfield.
77:43It's like, yeah, duh. Welcome to the NFL. That's every season.
77:47That's week one. It's like, okay. So if that's the case, why so dismissive about running back threes that if given opportunity
77:55could deliver running back one fantasy performances, top 12 fantasy performances.
77:59And if you're a guy that can catch 40 passes in college, you're 200 plus pounds and you're explosive and you have
78:08a 1600 yard rushing season on your resume in college that checks all the boxes.
78:14If coaches like you, then it just might be that the general manager drafted a running back in the early second round.
78:22And then the coaches were forced to give him touches and he delivered and the year ran out on you and you didn't really get an opportunity.
78:32Does that mean you're bad? No, no. No. So there's no reason to give up on a guy like that.
78:40It, it, it, there's all the more reason just to scoop him whenever you see him dropped, just scoop whenever you see him dropped.
78:49Right. So there's just certain profiles like that where I'm just like, I will just grab like, I'm confident that Jarquez Hunter is a good running back.
78:59This is a guy that likes going out on like duck hunts and Turkey hunts.
79:05Wears no gloves when he plays, right? We got to give them a bump in the ranks for that.
79:12Super just tough as nails. One of these guys that's just in the bird blind.
79:18You're chewing tobacco. No. And it's like, this is a, this is a tough as nails, hardworking, lunch pail type running back.
79:27You love to see that. You love to see that a guy that's just percolating there with like these 1500 all purpose
79:35yard college seasons in the sec, you know, major conference program.
79:39Taj Brooks, not quite at that Jarquez Hunter level, but these are players that, you know, Ollie Gordon.
79:46Right. And I hear, Oh, uh, Jalen Wright. We actually got touches ahead of Ollie Gordon last year.
79:53Yeah. But everything we've heard from the dolphins coaches is they love all the Gordon.
79:59Maybe Ollie Gordon was, was dinged up and only the coaches knew about it.
80:04Ollie Gordon was a true phenomenon in college. And then he had a down final year.
80:10Okay. Get a disappointing final year. Just like Nicholas Singleton.
80:14Like Nicholas Singleton is this year's Ollie Gordon. So if I'm drafting Nicholas Singleton, you're goddamn right.
80:21I'm drafting Ollie Gordon. Because. Again, there's multiple teams that will have multiple injuries to running backs in their backfield.
80:28If I told you that. Devon HN. Suffered a broken wrist.
80:32And, you know, he's going to be in a cast and it is, he's not going to be able to, to, you know, handle the ball.
80:42For a couple of weeks. And Jalen Wright has a high ankle sprain.
80:47Right. Or. HN. Breaks his collarbone. Like all these things could happen.
80:52And you're suddenly, you're looking up and it's. 25 touches a game for Ollie Gordon.
80:58And he's awesome in that role. He's an all purpose back.
81:02Same thing could happen to the running backs in Los Angeles.
81:06And then it's the Jarquez Hunter show. The same thing could happen that better not, better not happen.
81:13The Chargers. Better not. My man. A Marion Hampton is going to be an absolute machine this year of the premium players.
81:21Oh my God. Hampton this year. Oh my God.
81:25Oh my God. With that offensive line. That offense.
81:28That system. Oh my God. Hampton. But then necessarily, doesn't that mean that you want Vidal?
81:34He's already been proven to be productive in that system.
81:38And so you absolutely want all the Vidal you can get.
81:43Right. So why? Because he's a size speed specimen who's proven himself to be efficient in the NFL.
81:49And so there's probably five, six, seven, eight RB threes around the league that have bell cow profiles.
81:56And I'm just vacuuming up all of them at all times.
82:01My head's always on a swivel, like looking, where are they?
82:05Where's Jarquez Hunter? Where's Taj Brooks? Where are these players?
82:09Gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme. Right. I want them all.
82:12Like, even I was just having this conversation super late RB three with an all purpose profile.
82:19Will Shipley. Will Shipley's that guy. Right. If, if it were me and let's say I was the Buffalo bills and I
82:27lost James cook, I would rather have will Shipley out there in the James cook role than Ray Davis.
82:35Right. Right. I mean, if, if, if I'm, if I'm the lions, I'd rather have Shipley than, than Pacheco.
82:42Though I do think Pacheco is interesting. I just wouldn't quite put him in that category.
82:48Right. Right. Just like you can't put LaQuint Allen in that category.
82:53I love a Quint Allen as a, as a satellite back plus, but he doesn't profile as a workhorse.
83:00They're always going to need someone between the tackles.
83:03On a LaQuint Allen team. So he doesn't necessarily qualify, but Ollie Gordon.
83:08Absolutely, man. Absolutely. But that's one of those teams where it's a bad team.
83:14There's not going to be a lot of scoring on this offense.
83:18There's questions about whether or not he's even number two in the depth chart.
83:24Based on some end of season usage, which is not necessarily an indicator of old coaching staff, the coach's affinity for either running back.
83:33Yeah. I'm going back to the profile. So that's a perfect example.
83:37I think Ollie Gordon would be the best comp.
83:41If you're saying, Hey, congratulations on Kenneth Gainwell. I would say the next Kenneth Gainwell is probably Ollie Gordon.
83:48I just took him in another startup. Dude, I love that I brought this to the table and talking through some of
83:56your historic my guys, because to your point, you're just doling out for a game.
84:02Who's the next Kenneth Gainwell? Right? It's not about what have you done for me lately?
84:08My problem is now it's gotten to the point where I have to say I've actually already dealt him.
84:16Like I've started dealing away my Gainwell. I have so much Gainwell, and now he has gained so much value so well.
84:24But that I'm now going around to all the Bucky Irving teams around the league and trying to get rid of my
84:32Gainwell, trying to bank a second rounder plus. Right.
84:36For Kenneth Gainwell in 2027. So that's how you play the game.
84:41You don't necessarily say, Hey, this is my guy forever.
84:44It's my guy until the market corrects. And then he's your guy.
84:49Yeah. Dude, I love it, man. I love it.
84:52Jarquez Hunter getting some love in there. Kamani Vidal.
84:56For you deep dynasty sickos, we just hit the gamut of RB3s that you should be thinking about with high upside.
85:04Fantastic, man. I want to kind of close the lap around the track, man.
85:09Again, you've had some awesome shows over the years.
85:13We did a post for you last year for your birthday and asked some of the people to call out their favorite podfather moments.
85:22And someone mentioned a Jeff Janis dance party. I don't know if I ever saw that episode, but that's hilarious.
85:29Just the concept of you having a moment to dance about Jeff Janis, right?
85:35Well, do you know what happened? Remember who that is?
85:39Are you aware of what happened? I think Jordi Nelson was flaming out or something.
85:44What? No, you have no idea. No, I have no idea.
85:49Child, please. You need to be educated. I do.
85:52I tried to find this before the show. I just, it's like...
85:57No, forget me and the dance party. Do you understand that Jeff Janis is the only wide receiver in NFL history to catch back-to-back Hail Marys?
86:07Okay. Yeah. What do you mean, okay? Yes, okay.
86:10Okay. Do you realize you said that? Like, okay, yes.
86:14Be dismissive of back-to-back Hail Marys. What else can I say that you wouldn't dismiss?
86:20Okay, the Knicks are going to come back from down 25 points in the second half.
86:26Okay. Yeah, okay. Yeah, cool. Yeah, against one of the best teams in NBA history.
86:31The 2026 San Antonio Spurs. With the Defensive Player of the Year, they're going to do this.
86:38That's what they're going to do it against. Okay.
86:41Okay, cool. Back-to-back Hail Marys. He converted back-to-back Hail Marys.
86:45You don't... Can I... So, that's why the dance party was required.
86:50Okay. Because he was a seventh-round pick, and I had him in every league.
86:55And then he scored back-to-back Hail Marys. So, if that happens, if I have a seventh-rounder, and I've drafted him literally everywhere,
87:04then when he has back-to-back Hail Marys, we will always and forever do a dance party.
87:10Fair enough. Fair enough. Is... So, the question there is, is that the funniest player you remember touting, or was there anything
87:18anything sillier than that that you can recall in your podcasting history?
87:23It's tough to beat. Puke Nakua was pretty good, too, man.
87:27What? Why do you mention this? Why are you...
87:30No. Why are you mentioning this? No, there's... You know, the profile that has burned me the most...
87:37And I know we've got to wrap up. We've got to wrap up.
87:42The profile that's burned me the most is the tweener tight end.
87:47There have been a lot of athletic tight ends.
87:50That's the one thing that worries me about Justin Jolie.
87:54Yeah. Is that I've been so burned by the tweener tight end archetype over the years, chasing the next Jordan Reed that never comes.
88:03It's been tough. It's been a tough scene. We're hoping.
88:07Maybe. A good player knows their faults, right? And their blind spots.
88:12And it sounds like you're a sucker for an athletic tight end, aren't we all?
88:18Greg Dolcich, right? But hey, to your point, Greg Dolcich could be coming around.
88:23Not dead yet. All right, man. You've been... You're a legend, bro.
88:27Close it out. Give us one bold prediction for the 2026 season.
88:32Oh, yes. Well, I gave one bold prediction earlier, which was Josh Downs, top five in targets this year.
88:39I think that's pretty good, right? I thought you were saying like the first few weeks of the season without Pierce, but you think it could be an...
88:50Well, he could be the leader. He could be the NFL leader in targets through the first few weeks.
88:57But I think he still finishes out the year.
89:01Given that he is literally the most perfect wide receiver archetype fit with Daniel Jones.
89:07And that Alec Pierce is staring at a lost season.
89:10And the only other player that commands targets on this team is Tyler Warren.
89:16Then yeah, I mean, Josh Downs, top five in receptions this year is very possible.
89:21That is very possible. But I would like to...
89:25I would like to think about something. I think I'm loving what I'm hearing around the Carolina Panthers.
89:32I'm loving how we now have several of these beat reporters that keep touting Jonathan Brooks.
89:38And I just want, just for myself, selfishly, I just want to enjoy that story of a guy tearing his knee up multiple times.
89:47And then just with sheer grit and determination and medical technology, coming back again and again and being awesome.
89:54Because he was awesome at Texas. So I will predict that both Jonathan Brooks and Chuba Hubbard are top 25 running backs in fantasy this year.
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