Stack Hunters - Jeremiyah Love Heartbreak Hill
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
1 hr 5 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jun 16, 2026
Published
Tue, June 16, 2026
17
Player insights
7
Players mentioned
Topics
David MontgomeryMalik NabersTravis KelceBrian Thomas Jr.Parker WashingtonTony PollardTravis Hunter
Player analysis
Player insights
Brian Thomas Jr.
PositiveBreakout0:20
Thomas is wide receiver 34 in ADP but has bounce-back potential after dealing with wrist injuries last year that affected his confidence and Trevor Lawrence's willingness to throw his way; he has the skill set to play X and get deep.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:21
Thomas is the super talented wide receiver who can play X, get deep, and move around the formation; however, Trevor Lawrence has struggled to get him the ball consistently, creating uncertainty about his role.
Insight pageDavid Montgomery
PositiveProjection0:15
Montgomery projects as running back 11 in half PPR due to massive volume in a bell cow role on an offense with 13.4 implied rushing touchdowns; he's expected to get approximately 9 rushing scores with potential for 10+ if healthy.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:15
Montgomery is the clear lead back for the Texans and will receive the bulk of rushing volume; the team brought him in specifically to use him heavily, similar to how they used Joe Mixon previously.
Insight pagePositiveMatchup0:18
The Texans have improved their offensive line and added better-blocking tight ends, allowing them to run 12 and 13 personnel packages more effectively; this will help Montgomery get to the goal line and punch in touchdowns.
Insight pageMalik Nabers
NegativeBust0:06
Nabers is significantly overvalued at wide receiver 14 (round three) given his injury status, the Giants' expected poor offensive performance under Matt Nagy, and lack of practice time; he should be avoided and allowed to fall further in drafts.
Insight pageNegativeInjury0:06
Nabers is not expected to be ready for week one and is not getting practice with Jackson Dough during crucial June training; if he's still recovering into July, it signals serious concerns about his availability.
Insight pageNegativeProjection0:07
Nabers is wide receiver 14 in ADP but projects as wide receiver 15 in points per game with expected missed games at the start of the year, making him a PUP candidate with major concerns about early-season production.
Insight pageParker Washington
PositiveValue0:20
Washington is wide receiver 35 in ADP and represents strong PPR value as a slot receiver whose underneath role fits Trevor Lawrence's strengths; he could be a big winner if Brian Thomas Jr. doesn't emerge as the primary target.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:22
Washington is a really damn good slot receiver who can also play on the outside as needed; he and Brian Thomas Jr. will likely be the primary target-getters in the Jaguars passing offense.
Insight pageTony Pollard
PositiveProjection0:03
Pollard is running back 30 in ADP but should outperform that ranking due to an improved Titans offense with Cam Ward in year two and Carnell Tate leading the WR corps, which will create more scoring opportunities and goal-line chances for the lead back.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:04
Pollard is the likely lead running back for the Titans and will be used heavily this year; the team paid him and chose to keep him over alternatives like Spears and Singleton.
Insight pageTravis Hunter
PositiveRole0:23
Hunter is wide receiver 57 in ADP and may nibble into the roles of Brian Thomas Jr. and Parker Washington; he's supposed to play full-time cornerback and part-time wide receiver, but the Jaguars coaching staff has flip-flopped on his usage before.
Insight pagePositiveSleeper0:23
Hunter at wide receiver 57 is a late-round value play given his second overall draft capital; he showed a breakout performance in one game before injury, and the Jaguars' coaching staff history of changing plans on his usage creates upside.
Insight pageTravis Kelce
PositiveValue0:10
Kelce at tight end 11 in ADP is undervalued in full PPR and half PPR formats; his ADP has been suppressed due to age concerns and retirement speculation, but he remains a target vacuum with significant upside.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:11
Kelce will benefit from uncertainty around Rashee Rice's availability and Mahomes' ACL recovery, which should lead to more short passes and dump-offs to the tight end; the Chiefs haven't added significant passing game weapons to replace him.
Insight pagePositiveProjection0:11
Kelce finished as tight end 3 last year despite age concerns and retirement speculation; he will continue to be a target vacuum, especially if Rashee Rice misses time, and should benefit from Mahomes' ACL recovery leading to more short passes.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00You know, summer's just around the corner, which means warmer temperatures, trips to the pool and golf course, Father's Day on June
0:0821st, and grilling out in the backyard. Dad doesn't want another tie or watch.
0:13He wants the tender, juicy taste of his favorite steak grilled to perfection.
0:18So this Father's Day, give your grill master something the whole family will enjoy, the finest proteins from Omaha Steaks.
0:25Every steak and entree is flash-frozen and vacuum-sealed at the moment of carving.
0:30So no matter when your dad enjoys his meal, it will taste as fresh as the day it was carved.
0:37When you order from Omaha Steaks, your satisfaction is always guaranteed.
0:41So you can order with complete confidence. A gift from Omaha Steaks is something the whole family can indulge in to celebrate the holiday.
0:50This Father's Day, give the dads in your life something to savor.
0:54World-famous Omaha Steaks. Visit OmahaSteaks.com and get an extra $35 off with promo code YUM at checkout.
1:00Hey, you fine people. It's Bradley Stalder, Dan Williamson here on Stack Hunters.
1:05It's Wednesday, June 10th, and Dan and I are going to dive into some fantasy content that's going to be really helpful
1:13for you as you're attacking your drafts. Because right now, the market is pretty stable.
1:18You're going to see a couple risers, a couple fallers.
1:22But what Dan and I have looked at in these ADP streets is sometimes the market is hedging.
1:28And the way you win at fantasy football is by taking a stand.
1:33You want to know who the players are that are going to get you that championship.
1:39They're not going to be middle of the road.
1:42You aren't going to take them because, oh, they're conveniently present for you in your draft.
1:48No, you're either avoiding players that you think are going to underperform significantly, or you're going to be targeting players that you
1:56think will outperform their average draft position. So Dan and I have taken a look at these ADPs.
2:02We've done a lot of drafts, underdog, FFPC. I'm in the draft king streets, all over the place.
2:09Dan, we're going to bring the goodness today. Identify some players that are the markets hedging on.
2:15They don't know where he's going to land. And this is our chance to take a stand.
2:21So Dan, hit us off with one of the players that you're taking a stand on this summer.
2:27Yeah. You know, Bradley, uncertainty breeds opportunity. So, you know, when the streets are going, I don't know, you know, if you've
2:35got that, if you have a strong lean one way or another, you know, that's a player that you should be pounding.
2:43If you don't have a strong lean, that probably still means you should be taking them some of the time, but not all the time.
2:52Because, you know, if you're looking at an ADP and you're going, well, I just really don't think this player is likely
3:00to finish, you know, at this ADP. It's probably going to be much better, probably, or it might be much worse.
3:08You know, these are the players, especially in a portfolio situation, if you're doing a best ball portfolio, where you go, I
3:16want to take a chance on this guy sometimes at least.
3:20And again, like I say, you know, if you think he's just mispriced, you should be pounding him.
3:26And I'll start off with one that I think is a little bit mispriced.
3:31And part of that is because of the uncertainty surrounding his situation.
3:36That's Tony Pollard going right around running back 30, depending on what site you're looking at.
3:42But here is a player that is in a probably a much improved offense.
3:47He closed out the season well. He did, he was injured a little bit last year.
3:52But he is a player that I think with an improved offense, he's going to get a lot more opportunities.
4:00He is going to be able to punch in a few more touchdowns.
4:04I mean, you know, I think basically the Titans are going to be able to sustain their drives better.
4:11And that's going to help out everybody on the offense, but especially Pollard, who's likely the lead running back.
4:18I mean, they're paying him. If they wanted to get rid of him, they would have done so already.
4:25You know, and they could have just gone with Spears and Singleton.
4:29But they haven't done that. They left Pollard in place.
4:33I think they plan on using him and use him heavily this year.
4:38I'm sure they'll probably eventually want to see what Singleton's got.
4:42But I don't think there's anybody on this roster that you can say for sure is going to be their starting running back in 2027.
4:51So I think their plan is to use Pollard.
4:54I think they want to start to develop a little bit of a winning culture with Cam Ward.
5:00And so, you know, they're going to do their best to win games.
5:05They're not going to be out there, you know, like sandbagging and, you know, trying to tank.
5:11Yeah, they're going to try to win. Like this is the year where the Titans make that leap, or they're going to try to.
5:20You don't draft Carnell Tate at number four overall to mosey around, you know, four and 13 again.
5:26No, you're trying to win games and win them with the best players.
5:31And clearly the Titans think that Tony Pollard is among the best players on that offense.
5:37He's right now the running back 30. And if he gets the volume that we're projecting, ain't no way that he's going to be running back 30.
5:47You mentioned the offense is probably going to be better.
5:50Cam Ward in year two, they're cleaning things up.
5:54I mean, the Titans couldn't get much worse with how they were playing last year.
5:59I mean, they lost Ridley. Ale Manor was finding his way onto the field.
6:04And now you've got Carnell Tate as the leader of the wide receiver core there in Tennessee.
6:10So more scoring opportunities, better drives, more goal line opportunities.
6:14Tony Pollard, RB30. I like it. There you go.
6:17All right. So, Bradley, what do you got for us?
6:21Where are you going to lead off with? You got something strong, I can tell.
6:26I can sense it. I see it in your eyes.
6:30I do. The people want to know what to do with Malik Neighbors, right?
6:35Malik Neighbors, right now the wide receiver 14 in ADP.
6:38And we're getting more news by the day. We're not expecting him to be ready for week one.
6:45I mean, we saw even last week a video of him jogging.
6:49First base. The beat did not look good. And Joe Schoen, the GM for the Giants, has waffled back and forth with
6:57his quote that he may not be ready for week one.
7:01He'll be ready for week one. Here's the thing.
7:04The Giants are expected to be one of the worst teams in the NFL.
7:09You have Matt Nagy, who's now the offensive coordinator for the Giants.
7:14Right? We saw how Matt Nagy put a wet blanket on Patrick Mahomes.
7:19The other piece is that with Malik Neighbors, he's not even getting practice with Jackson Dough during crucial times here in June.
7:26And if he's still recovering into July, things are not right for us.
7:31So right now, his wide receiver 14 in ADP.
7:34His points for a game, I have my projections up here, his points for a game wide receiver 15.
7:41But I also have him expected to miss games at the start of the year.
7:47He's definitely a pup candidate. So I'm concerned that he's not going to be a player that is going to hit for you right off the bat.
7:56So I'm lower than consensus significantly on Malik Neighbors.
8:00And I think that people should be lower on Neighbors as well.
8:04Let him continue to fall. You're essentially drafting him in the round three.
8:09And you're going to burn a third round pick that you know already has major issues on an offense that has major
8:17question marks from not only a volume perspective, but from an efficiency perspective as well.
8:22So Malik Neighbors is a player that I'm much lower than the market is.
8:27And I think that the market's starting to adjust a little bit, but it's not fast enough.
8:33And I think people need to stay away for right now.
8:37Yeah, I think people are, you know, they're tantalized by the upside of Neighbors.
8:42You know, we've seen what Neighbors is like when he's healthy.
8:46And, you know, they're expecting that he's going to be healthy at some point this year.
8:52I don't know if that's a reasonable expectation to start with.
8:56Though, hopefully what the Giants do is they ease him back in by, you know, putting him on the pup list, let
9:04him take the first four, six weeks off. And then, you know, come back in and ease in slowly.
9:11The problem is you're still having to spend too high of a pick on him to the point where you're really denting your playoff chances.
9:20Now, I understand, you know, if you want to make a, you know, a build here or there and say, I'm going
9:28to go to the Neighbors Hero thing. And I'm going to try to get a Neighbors team into the finals.
9:35And, you know, there's going to be hardly anybody else that has him because almost every other one of those teams that
9:43has him, you know, won't have made it. I get that.
9:47You know, you got a big portfolio. Sure. You know, you can do anything you want, I guess.
9:54But, you know, if you're, you know, for most of your teams, definitely not a move I would make.
10:00I haven't clicked his name once yet. Yeah, the New York Giants have an implied, the seventh worst or seventh fewest passing touchdowns on the year.
10:10It's the offense is not expected to do well this year.
10:14So you're already in a bad offense. There's questions about his health, questions about other players.
10:20Like Isaiah likely is going to come in and get a few targets.
10:24Cam Scadaboo, he was going to get some targets.
10:28So you've got players who can who can who can get a few chip away at that, you know, 30 percent target share.
10:36It goes down to 28 percent. So, yeah, it's not a player that especially in in best ball that I've been clicking at his ADP.
10:45Dan, hit us with with another player that you're taking a stand on right now.
10:50All right. I'm going to go with Travis Kelsey.
10:54Tight end 11. I really like him in formats where you're getting at least full PPR and a half PPR.
11:01I think he's a little bit less of a screaming value, but in full PPR or even the FFPC where you've got
11:09one and a half for tight ends. You've got that tight end premium going on.
11:14Here's the thing about Kelsey. We don't know what's going on with Rashear Rice.
11:19We don't know if the league might end up suspending him again or not.
11:24I mean, everybody's kind of drafting him as basically as if he's just not going to miss a beat.
11:31Maybe that's true. He's also an oft injured player who just got scoped out before he went to jail.
11:38And, you know, so he just had a knee surgery and he's rehabbing it in jail.
11:44That does not sound like a great recipe to me.
11:47Meanwhile, you know, they haven't added anybody really to this offense, especially in the passing game.
11:53You know, Ken Walker, sure, and Emil Demarcado. But, you know, I don't think that these guys are going to stop Kelsey
12:01from being an absolute target vacuum, especially if Rashear Rice is out.
12:06You know, Mahomes has got the ACL. He's going to be looking to throw short probably more often than long.
12:13I think that Kelsey is going to continue to get plenty of targets.
12:17And even if he's at the Jason Witten, you know, catch the ball and fall down or, you know, take three dad
12:25runner steps and get tackled by six guys. Well, fine.
12:29You know, but if I'm getting that full PPR at least, I think it's well worth it.
12:35Because, you know what, last year he was still the tight end three, you know, which is just crazy.
12:42And, you know, everybody thought maybe he might retire.
12:45So his ADP really tanked. And all that kind of stuff is what's holding his ADP back.
12:51It's just basically he didn't start out as one of the top tight ends.
12:57So nobody's giving him that credit anymore. Everybody's afraid of holding the bag.
13:01What if this is the year when he completely, you know, turns into dust?
13:06I'm okay with that. At tight end 11, I'm not spending that much on him.
13:12If he turns into dust, he's not going to totally kill my team.
13:16I've got other outs. So, you know, why not be taking some Kelsey there?
13:21I love this call. I love it. If you wouldn't have talked about Travis Kelsey, I would have talked about Travis Kelsey.
13:29He's tight end 11, an ADP. This is Bradley being nice and saying you stole my player, man.
13:36Tight end 11 and ADP. And I have him projected as my tight end six in tight end premium leagues.
13:43And so behind McBride, Kittle, Bowers, Loveland, and Tyler Warren.
13:47There's a lot of pathways that Kelsey can win.
13:50You mentioned the Rasheed Rice narrative. There's also Patrick Mahomes from both a pocket presence.
13:55Like he's probably going to stay in the pocket more and not rush around, which means that there's going to be more targets.
14:04I'm also more bullish on this Kansas City offense overall under Eric Bien-Ami.
14:08I think that they're going to be able to move the ball a little bit better.
14:14Getting the ball to Xavier Worthy. Maybe there's other players that Bien-Ami likes to get the ball to, but extended drives that
14:22are not gobbled up by a Patrick Mahomes rushing touchdown.
14:26The other piece is I expect at the beginning of the season, Mahomes is on track to start week one.
14:33But coming back from a torn ACL, I could see him wanting to get the ball out pretty quickly.
14:40And so either dump offs to Kenneth Walker or quick passes to Travis Kelsey.
14:45So I think both of those are in line and there's a lot of opportunity for Kelsey to just, as you mentioned, just gobble up targets, fall down.
14:55It doesn't matter. Like there's, there's a lot of upside to be had in an offense where you've got pieces.
15:02Travis Kelsey is going to continue to be a major target, target share guy in this offense.
15:08So I, I don't think the, the market is caught up on Kelsey at this point.
15:14So good call, Dan. All right. What do you got for us, Bradley?
15:19All right. I've got another one. And this was a player that I was not expecting to be higher than market on.
15:27He's running back 22 in ADP. Um, but I was going through the projections and the Houston Texans have an implied 13,
15:35uh, rushing touchdowns on the C 13.4 rushing touchdowns.
15:38And I thought to myself, wow, that seems like a decent amount of rushing touchdowns.
15:44Who's going to rush the ball? Who's going to get the rushing touchdowns?
15:48Well, maybe CJ Stroud gets like one or two, maybe Woody Marks gets a couple, but David Montgomery is the bell cow back.
15:57He's, I don't know how else to approach Montgomery other than he's going to get a massive amount of touchdowns in a bell cow role.
16:06The volume is so key here. He's, he came out in my projections and half PPR is the running back 11.
16:13And I was just like a shook, like in disbelief.
16:17How could he be this high? But it's because he's going to get the volume share on an offense.
16:24That's going to be okay. Um, the Houston Texans this year, um, have an implied, uh, offensive touchdown number at about 41, 42 on the season.
16:33Um, and so they're going to be a decent enough offense.
16:37And if David Montgomery is getting the massive amount of volume that we saw Joe Mixon get just a couple of years
16:45ago, it doesn't even require Montgomery to be super efficient.
16:49He just needs to fall in the end zone.
16:52And who are they going to hand it, hand the ball off to?
16:57They're not going to hand it off to Jawar Jordan.
17:00They're going to give it to David Montgomery. So, um, my projections put Montgomery at about nine rushing scores.
17:07And I feel like that could be a little conservative given the other rushing options there.
17:13Um, he can also catch a couple passes out of the backfield.
17:17Um, but I think the, the big way that Montgomery wins is through the rushing volume.
17:23Yeah, I couldn't agree more on this one. I mean, you know, Montgomery is just one of those boring values that people,
17:31you know, don't like to take because, you know, they're, they're used to, you know, seeing Montgomery in this offense with, uh, you know, Detroit.
17:40And well, you know, he gets maybe close to double digit rushing touchdowns, but not that many rushing yards.
17:47He's going to have a lot of work on his plate.
17:51I mean, the Texans didn't bring him in to not use him.
17:55You know, we saw what happened with Joe Mixon when, uh, the Texans brought him in.
18:01And I think it's going to be a very similar story for David Montgomery.
18:06Um, and I'll go out on enough, a little bit more of a limb.
18:11I'll say, I know you're doing projections and, you know, projections don't lead to being out on limbs very far.
18:18Uh, that's just the nature of the beast. But I'll, I'll say if David Montgomery stays healthy all year, um, he easily suppresses 10 touchdowns.
18:27So, um, I think it's going to be 11 plus, uh, for Montgomery in that case.
18:33And the other thing is, is that Houston has talked a lot about how last year when they wanted to run the ball on the extra offensive linemen.
18:43And now they've improved their offensive line, they think.
18:46And they've added some tight ends that are better blockers so that they can get to a point where, uh, they can
18:54be running 12 personnel, maybe even 13 personnel. And they can run the ball a little bit more, uh, where the other
19:02team can't necessarily load up the box and assume, yeah, we're going to, you know, you're going to be running.
19:10Used to be when you ran 12, um, you were going to run.
19:14And it used to be if you ran 13, you're almost definitely going to run.
19:20But now teams are passing out of those formations a lot more.
19:24And that's going to work to Houston's advantage. So, uh, I think this is all going to work to Montgomery's advantage.
19:32The main thing is health. And he's been a fairly durable guy over the years.
19:37Um, so I, I like the call. Um, I'm in on it and I'm drafting him.
19:43A warning from Jace Medical. Even if the war stops, the shortages won't.
19:48Because ships move slowly, the U.S. has been running on oil that set sail months ago.
19:53But that buffer is running out. Asia is already feeling it.
19:57Europe is feeling it. Africa is feeling it. Demand is increasing as supply tightens.
20:02And it's what's been raising your power bill and gas prices.
20:06But those last ships to the U.S. just arrived.
20:10And even if things stabilize, the ripple effects will last much, much longer.
20:14Because oil doesn't just power your car. It powers the systems that make and deliver your medications.
20:20And when supply slows, shortages begin. The difference between panic and peace is preparation with Jace.
20:26The Jace case is a doctor-prescribed emergency supply of essential medications and prescription antibiotics delivered right to your door so you're ready before you need it.
20:36No waiting. No scrambling. Just control. Get your Jace case today at Jace.com.
20:40Beautiful. Dan, hit us with your next player. Okay.
20:44I got a double feature for you here. So, I really think you have to talk about these two players in tandem.
20:52We've got Brian Thomas Jr. and Parker Washington going off the wide receiver.
20:56All right. I'm here for it, Dan. Let's see what you got.
21:01I mean, this is a wide receiver 34 and 35.
21:04I think just by nature of this offense, one of these guys is probably going to smash that.
21:11I think even if they both, you know, like end up dividing work equally, they still could both be wide receiver 24,
21:1925, 26, like that be a mild win. But I think one of them is probably going to be a big win.
21:27You can look at what they probably ought to do, you know, what the skill set of Brian Thomas Jr.
21:34is, and you can say, he's the guy. I mean, this is the super talented guy who can, you know, play X.
21:42He can get deep. They can move him around the formation, all this kind of stuff.
21:48And, you know, he's the guy that they should be focusing on getting the ball to.
21:53And you're right, except Trevor Lawrence has kind of sucked at doing that.
21:58It's not to say that he can't get better at it, which is why, you know, I think it's worthwhile to take some shots on BTJ.
22:07But if that's not the case, then that probably means Parker Washington is doing his underneath stuff that does fit exactly into Trevor Lawrence's wheelhouse.
22:17And so, you know, I think then the Parker Washington scam, PPR scam is alive and well.
22:23And I think he's a really damn good slot receiver who can also play on the outside as needed.
22:30I think those two wide receivers are probably going to be the straws that are stirring the drink in the Jacksonville passing offense.
22:38I think Myers is going to contribute, but, you know, he's going to be more like the, you know, sort of high floor, low ceiling guy.
22:47And Brenton Strange, same sort of deal. He's going to be a part of the offense.
22:53But I think one of those two, BTJ or Parker Washington, they're going to be the wide receiver you want to own.
23:01So, you know, I like taking one or the other of them in pretty much any draft I can get a hold of them.
23:10So definitely not both in the same draft, but one or the other for sure.
23:15I've drafted a couple of teams with both of them on Trevor Lawrence.
23:20Yeah. Ying Yang scenario. I'm definitely going to get the Jaguars on that team.
23:25But it's tough for me because each of those wide receivers bring something different.
23:30And then you didn't even mention Travis Hunter, who might nibble into each of their roles.
23:36You know, the Travis Hunter supposedly going to play full time cornerback and part time wide receiver.
23:42But we've also seen the coaching staff for the Jaguars flip flop on that before.
23:47Like we've seen them change their minds. So I've also been just a little open minded to taking a late Travis Hunter because he's wide receiver 57.
23:57It's that late. The second overall draft capital should count for something.
24:01So, you know, we saw him breaking out in that one game before he got injured.
24:07Now, maybe you're like, well, I don't know if I believe that that was fully a breakout.
24:13Maybe it was just game script. And that's what happened.
24:17And it was before the Myers trade and et cetera.
24:21I get it. I also think that Brian Thomas was dealing with injuries last year and injuries that led to lack of
24:28confidence, both for him and for Trevor Lawrence. Because if you have a wrist injury and you're having trouble catching the ball, you're going to drop some passes.
24:39And then you know how diva wide receivers go there, Dan.
24:43And then there's a lack of confidence that Trevor Lawrence, you know, he's not going to throw the ball that way.
24:50So I do think a bounce back is in play for Brian Thomas.
24:55I don't have super high confidence that that's the case, but that's within the range of outcomes that we see Thomas return to.
25:03He was being drafted at the one to turn last year.
25:07We're one year removed from borderline first round fantasy football draft capital for this player.
25:13And so I'm leaning if I were to flip a coin, I'd go Brian Thomas.
25:18But it wouldn't surprise me if Parker Washington has a very strong season this year.
25:23Right. And that's the whole reason right there. Probably one or the other of them is going to do real well.
25:31And I do agree with you, by the way, on taking some Travis Hunter weight.
25:36He's a guy I've been sprinkling in as well because, again, you know, this is number two overall pick in the NFL draft.
25:45They did not do that just to stick him out there and let him play cornerback.
25:51He's going to be running routes in high leverage situations.
25:54And, you know, so he's a classic better in best ball type player.
25:59You don't want to be counting on him week in and week out in a managed league.
26:05But, you know, where he's going in best ball, you don't need to get that many great weeks out of him.
26:13You know, if you get a couple three great weeks out of him, you know, of 15 plus points, you're golden.
26:20You've already paid him off. Exactly. Very interesting. I like the take here on Jacksonville there, Dan.
26:26All right. All right. Yeah, this is a player that I was wondering how the projections would come out.
26:33And as I said, you know, earlier, I went through like team totals and I was using that as like driving for
26:41where should how many touchdowns are implied and in particular passing touchdowns.
26:45Dan, do you want to guess at the team that is projected to score the most points this season?
26:52You've got a 132 chance. I mean, I'll throw the Rams out there.
26:57I think that's probably they're going to be one of the top teams for sure.
27:02It is the Rams and it's by 15 more implied points than the next closest team.
27:08So pretty much an entire point every week over the next closest, by the way.
27:14It's tied at second for Detroit and Baltimore. OK, so the Rams are projected to have the most points, of course, most points per game.
27:23They are projected to have the highest implied individual game maximum score and have 57 implied offensive touchdowns this year.
27:3057. I want pieces of this offense right all over the place.
27:34And look, I'm taking a lot of Blake Corum.
27:38I'm taking Kyron Williams. I'm taking late shots on those tight ends, Ferguson in particular.
27:43But one of the players that's just so mispriced right now, Dan, is Devontae Adams.
27:48He's a wide receiver, 25 and ADP. I don't care that his efficiency has dropped a little bit.
27:55This is a player who still has double digit touchdowns in his range of outcomes.
28:00He's a top two goal line wide receiver in the NFL.
28:04You could argue Mike Evans, maybe the other one.
28:08But Adams is so savvy around the goal line.
28:11Stafford proved last year that he does look his way in the end zone.
28:16Nakua is not the first read when it comes to red zone targets.
28:21It's Devontae Adams. He knows how to get open in space.
28:25He still can do that, even if the efficiency metrics in between the 20s are not as strong.
28:31Right now, his ADP is wide receiver 25. There's no way that Adams finishes the season as wide receiver 25.
28:38He either completely falls off the map, which his prototype typically doesn't, or how I have him projected, wide receiver 14.
28:46And I think that's more likely. And that's the stand I'd like to take.
28:51I want a lot of Devontae Adams. Because you're drafting Puka Nakua at the right spot in the first round.
28:58Like, that's not a question. But I think there's always questions.
29:02Should we be drafting Devontae Adams? And the answer is absolutely yes.
29:06Yeah, I think that the Adams price, you know, what drafters are pricing in is either that he falls off and, you
29:14know, just is starting to age out, hits that cliff, whatever.
29:18Or that he begins to struggle with injury more as he gets older.
29:23And, you know, I think either one of those is definitely, you know, they're reasonable outcomes.
29:29They definitely could happen. And, you know, but for the time that you do have him, you're probably going to be getting
29:37like, you know, like you're talking about, wide receiver 10, 12, 14, whatever.
29:42You know, he's going to be back end wide receiver one, a front end wide receiver two.
29:48So, you know, it comes down to, do you think he can stay healthy?
29:53Because if you do, you should be drafting him.
29:56If you don't, I understand why people are laying off him.
30:00But, you know, the 25, wide receiver 25 or so, whatever it is, is that's really kind of splitting the difference.
30:08It's the market hedge. And we're not about the market hedge here.
30:12Exactly. So... You play to win the game, Dan.
30:15So you are taking the one side of that.
30:18I'm taking the other side. I am nervous as heck about him falling off.
30:23So I'm just not drafting him. I see other players that I want to push my chips on around that area.
30:31But, you know, if I had a different thought about, you know, how he was going to, you know, get through the season, I would be taking some.
30:41I might end up taking some before the, you know, before the drafting season is over.
30:47I might end up forcing my hand. But I just, I'm waiting and seeing for now.
30:53Fair enough, Dan. Hit us with your next player.
30:56Okay. Yeah, I'm going to go with, I'm going to go with Makai Lemon.
31:01Wide receiver 38. Ooh. I think the market really has not reacted to the A.J.
31:06Brown trade news very well yet. You know, I think people are, they're strongly pushing up Devonta Smith, which might or might
31:14not be the right thing to do. I mean, you know, he is a, they call him the Slim Reaper, and Skinny
31:22Batman, you know, all those nicknames for a reason.
31:26You know, I don't know if he is built to take the pounding he would need to take to have the kind
31:34of numbers people are hoping for from him. I think Dallas Goddard is a great way to play that A.J.
31:41Brown leaving. But I think the sneaky way is to play the Makai Lemon angle.
31:46Because I, I'm sorry, Devontavian Wicks. You're a Packers fan, Bradley.
31:50I don't think I need to convince you. You cannot count on him.
31:55I mean, he can come up with some amazing plays, but he can also have...
32:00You can count on his route running, but his hands can't count on his hands.
32:06Exactly. One, two, three. That's how he counts on his hands.
32:10You know, and, right. Right. And, you know, and Makai Lemon, you know, everybody's thinking, oh, he's just a, you know, he's just a slot guy.
32:19You know, and we got to worry about Goddard in the slot.
32:23We got to worry about Stowers possibly taking that spot.
32:27I don't see that as a problem. I think Lemon is going to play a lot on the outside.
32:34I think he's got that in his skill set.
32:37I don't think that the Eagles would have drafted him where they did if he was a slot-only player.
32:44I think they intend, you know, I think they knew that they were going to be trading A.J.
32:51Brown. That's why they took Lemon. And I don't think, you know, with A.J.
32:56Brown being a guy who plays a lot on the outside, I don't think they were going, oh, yeah, we'll replace him
33:04with a slot-wide receiver and a slot-tight end in Lemon and Stowers.
33:08That just doesn't make any sense. So, to me, Lemon is the guy who's going to be playing outside the most.
33:16I think he's probably going to, you know, he might start off a little bit slow.
33:21Maybe Duntavian Wicks will have a couple good games to start the year, or at least a couple games where he gets a lot of targets.
33:31Your mileage may vary. But he's going to, I think Lemon is going to be the guy, as you start getting into
33:39the meat of the fantasy season, bye weeks are starting to go on, and then we're getting into the playoffs, all that kind of stuff.
33:48So, Lemon's going to be the guy you want to have in your roster.
33:53Wide receiver, 38, I think that's way too cheap.
33:56Whereas I'm taking the opposite stance, Dan. I think that 38 is way too expensive.
34:01I put him in the projections, and I felt like I gave him a fair target share.
34:08I felt like I gave him 17% target share, which I felt was a respectable amount of targets, given the other, because
34:16you mentioned Wicks is going to get a little bit.
34:19You've got Hollywood Brown on this team that's going to get a little bit.
34:24You've got Devonta Smith who's going to get wide receiver one.
34:28Dallas Goddard's not going to go away. Stowers is a little bit, and Barkley, there's rumblings that he's going to get more involved in the passing game.
34:38So, if Makai Lemon doesn't play full-time, then it's going to probably be closer to like a 13% target share.
34:45The other piece, outside of whether we're haggling over a couple percentage points in the target share, is just the pie overall.
34:53The Philadelphia Eagles have arguably the lowest pass volume of all NFL teams.
34:58They're in the bottom three pretty much every year.
35:01So, even if we bump up Makai Lemon to a 20% target share, I mean, I can do that right now in
35:09the projections and tell you that that moves him up to like wide receiver 50 instead of wide receiver 60.
35:16The issue is just plain volume for the Philadelphia Eagles.
35:20So, even if Makai Lemon gets you five catches, it's probably going to be on six targets.
35:26You're probably not going to get an eight-target game, a nine-target game from Makai Lemon, and also get a hit from Devonta Smith.
35:34So, I don't know if there's enough volume for the Philadelphia Eagles to support Devonta Smith and all the other pieces well
35:42enough to make it a startable asset. If everybody stays healthy, I think you're probably right.
35:48I just don't think everybody's going to stay healthy.
35:51I think the odds of Devonta Smith getting hurt are definitely solid.
35:56Dallas Goddard has a history. Yep. Has a history.
35:59We'll just say that. Dan's not been spurned by any Dallas Goddard injuries in the past.
36:05You know, I'd never call a player injury-prone necessarily, but, you know, there are some players who are at least adjacent to
36:13that, and I think Goddard is one of those.
36:16So, yeah, I think, I just, I feel like I'm going to trust Howie Roseman on this.
36:22I think it's going to come together. I think the, you know, the little bit more, you know, West Coast-ish scheme that
36:30they're going to be putting in with Mannion, I think all those things are going to help.
36:36They might, which might actually increase that passing pie size a little bit, probably take away, you know, so like you're going
36:44to have the average depth of target is probably going to drop some.
36:49But also, Lemon is a good guy, you know, for a run after the catch, does well with the ball in his hand.
36:57So, I'm trusting the talent. I'm trusting the situation, you know, and I know the projections sometimes say, you know, put the
37:05brakes on, but I think at wide receiver 38, you're not at a place where, you know, it's going to kill you if you're wrong.
37:14And I think that there are some paths that you could be very, very right.
37:20We hope, Dan hopes so. He wants the Eagles, Mekhi Lemon to hit here in 2026.
37:25Well, this is good. We got a couple of players we don't agree on.
37:30Let's go. We got Mekhi Lemon. So this is good.
37:34Yes. Dan, I'm going to give you another player that I am.
37:38I'm higher on. And I was surprised that his ADP is as low as it is.
37:44I don't think it's caught up to the fact that we know who the quarterback is now for Pittsburgh, and that's Aaron Rodgers.
37:52Kenneth Gainwell is gone. And we saw Kenneth Gainwell have an absolutely seismic season, a top 20 fantasy season.
37:59But Jalen Warren also had a top 20 fantasy season, and now he's being drafted at running back 27.
38:06There's just too many pathways for Jalen Warren to actually pay off.
38:11He could just be better than Rico Doddle, like, and just have the RB1 role all to himself.
38:17That's a possibility. Maybe you believe it. Maybe you don't.
38:21It could be that they just split the work, like how Kenneth Gainwell and Jalen Warren did last year, where Warren was
38:29still a top 20 running back, and so was Kenneth Gainwell.
38:33It could be that Jalen Warren flips roles, where he's mostly the passing down back.
38:38He wasn't as much last year because Kenneth Gainwell was that role, but Aaron Rodgers is comfortable with Jalen Warren.
38:45And if that's the case, then Warren wins that other way.
38:49And there's not really a scenario, at least in the range of outcomes, that Jalen Warren gets taken off the field.
38:57Aaron Rodgers just would trust him too much. Warren is a proven player.
39:02McCarthy loves his veterans and keeping them out there.
39:05And there's not really any competition from Caleb Johnson right now.
39:09I'm sorry for the Caleb Johnson truthers who were spurned in year one, but it's Jalen Warren, it's Rico Doddle.
39:16And in particular, Jalen Warren at running back 27.
39:19I have him at running back 19. And I feel like that is a really good value, especially in PPR leagues, where
39:27Jalen Warren, he could just split the running back dump offs, which Aaron Rodgers loves to do, or he could just take
39:35that role on fully as he did in previous years.
39:39So I think there's lots of ways that Jalen Warren can win.
39:43And running back 27, I don't think banks in all those pathways for Warren.
39:48Yeah, I see where you're going with that. And, you know, Rico Doddle is not far behind at like running back 33.
39:56You know, so these two are pretty close in ADP.
40:00And I think the reason why they're pretty close and both of them kind of at a somewhat depressed price is because
40:08of the fact that nobody really wants to, you know, plant a flag and say, well, I think it's going to be
40:16this guy or I think it's going to be that guy.
40:20That's what this whole show is about is the market.
40:23You know, you've got, you've got team Dowdle over here.
40:27You've got team Warren over here and, you know, your average fantasy player who's out there drafting right now in the, in
40:35the underdog streets or drafter streets or any other streets, they're going, Hmm, I don't know.
40:41Both these, both these camps are making good points.
40:44Um, you know, cause you've got the, well, you know, Dowdle was, uh, you know, in Dallas with, uh, Mike McCarthy and all that kind of stuff.
40:54I think it kind of comes down to Aaron Rogers is going to pick his favorite and it's not going to really
41:02matter what anybody else thinks, um, because that's the way it always works.
41:06Uh, so, you know, it really comes down to is, is that going to be Jalen Warner?
41:12Is that going to be Rico Dowdle? I think both of them are at prices where I'm going to be taking some either way.
41:21Um, you know, and, and, and just get some exposure to both of these guys, because I do think whichever one does
41:29better is probably going to finish within the top 24 of running backs.
41:34So I like the call, um, you know, and that's a, again, a perfect place where everybody's hedging because of the uncertainty.
41:42And there's definitely some value to be had, uh, you know, people who think they know for sure they're going to be strongly on one.
41:51That's fine. Uh, but I don't see any problem with just making sure you're taking some of both.
41:57The worst thing you can possibly do with these players is say, I don't really know either.
42:03And so I'm not going to take either one of them and then you miss out on everything.
42:10So this is true. That's why we do this show because we want to find, we want to find the edges.
42:17We want to find where the stances are. And we're taking some stances here, Dan.
42:23So, uh, hit us with another one of your players.
42:26All right. I'm going to go with, uh, Jalen Waddle, wide receiver 24.
42:31Um, you know, Cortland Sutton was wide receiver 13 and wide receiver 11 the past two years.
42:37Okay. I don't think that they drafted Jalen Waddle to be, or traded for Jalen Waddle, traded off a first round pick
42:45and other assets for Jalen Waddle to just, you know, be second fiddle to Cortland Sutton or split time with Cortland Sutton.
42:53I think Jalen Waddle has a skillset that they've been looking for in this offense.
42:59They want somebody who can be a little bit more of a Michael Thomas type.
43:04Now Waddle doesn't have the Michael Thomas body, but he does have the quicks and, you know, the ability to work the
43:12middle of the field and the ability to work the, you know, the deep routes as well.
43:18Um, and I think he, you know, I, I think that Sean Payton went out and got him for a specific reason.
43:26And I don't think it was to be splitting, you know, reps with Cortland Sutton and, you know, both of them being
43:34at, you know, I don't know, 20, 21% targets or something like that.
43:39I think one of them is going to be a leader in targets and is going to be up in the 28% range.
43:47And I think one of them is going to be down at the, you know, 19, 20% range.
43:54And I think a lot of the targets are going to kind of come away from some of the other players.
44:01Um, unless of course, Pat Bryant just totally takes over for Cortland Sutton, which could also happen, but we won't talk about that.
44:10So Jalen Waddle, I love the price. I think it's, I think it's a fantastic price.
44:15I think he's probably going to finish as a, you know, I won't say he's going to be a wide receiver one,
44:23but I will say that he's going to be, you know, like, uh, a top half wide receiver to, uh, when all of a sudden dead.
44:33So it's actually kind of funny because you were like, Waddle and Sutton, they're not going to have the same target shares.
44:41And yet in my projections, I put them at the same target.
44:45I caught you. Oh, that's great. I found something you can change.
44:49This is, of course you think I'm full of it.
44:53Well, and now I looked at it because I hadn't really looked closely at the Broncos compared to ADP and Waddle is my wide receiver 23 in projections.
45:03And he is ADP wide receiver 24. So my projections are in line with market.
45:08Um, and I have Sutton at 32, uh, his ADP is 36.
45:13Yep. So, um, I, I'm agreeing with you that it's Waddle over Sutton by a good amount.
45:19Um, I just also think that there's some past catching pieces in this offense that will also chip away.
45:26Like I know Pat Bryant gets your 6% or Troy Franklin gets your 7% or you're like Evan Ingram isn't cut yet.
45:34Nope. And they're going to have a tight end, but you know, Sean Payton keeps talking about the Joker.
45:41I think he's the joke. Let me tell you, he is the Joker and the joke is on all of us fantasy
45:49players trying to identify the Joker every year and pushing them way up, way up ADP.
45:54You know, I, I think that, you know, he loves to have that Joker role, but if he doesn't have somebody who
46:02can fill it, he's just fine running the offense a different way.
46:07And, you know, again, I'm going to kind of go back to, I think Jalen Waddle can handle the volume.
46:14He's done it with Miami. I think that they got him for a particular reason.
46:19I've never thought that Sean Payton has been very in love with Cortland Sutton.
46:24You know, it always seems like, you know, Sutton, they were talking about maybe trading him and then they were like, oh,
46:32well, we'll give him a little contract extension here and, you know, make him happy and we'll get by a couple more years.
46:41But it always kind of seemed like it was sort of, he was, well, I guess we don't have anybody better around here.
46:49So, um, yeah, we'll, we'll, we'll go ahead and make Sutton the number one target.
46:54Now they've got somebody better. Now they've got somebody they want to target.
46:59Now that's going to be the guy. It's going to be Waddle.
47:03Sutton's the lifer. You don't want to disrespect the lifer.
47:07Yeah. But pretty soon in the NFL, the lifers get unceremoniously cut or thrown on the bench or whatever the case may be.
47:15So, I mean, the argument for Sutton breaking down is one.
47:19He's probably, I think he's on the wrong side of the age apex.
47:24I think he's 29 or 30. Yeah. I believe he's 30.
47:28So he's, he's almost there. 30. Right. And, but the other part is the age cliff falls off steeper for these bigger
47:36bodied wide receivers like Sutton, you know, eventually the Drake London's of the world, you know, we think of Andre Sutton is 30.7 years old.
47:45Okay. So he'll turn 31 during the season. Yes.
47:48Okay. That's, I like that reasoning. And maybe I do move up Waddle in the projections with that.
47:55I'm telling you, you gotta have Waddle at 25% at least.
47:59Where do you have him? Well, just for kicks.
48:02Let's let, I have him at 21. Okay. Let's just for kicks plug it in.
48:07I mean, let's do it. Sure. Um, and see where that takes us, uh, in terms of where he would rank among wide receivers.
48:16I, we're doing this live. So there we go.
48:19Live projections update from live projections update for Jalen, for Jalen Waddle, uh, gets him.
48:25If, if we say 25% share for Jalen Waddle, um, we're looking at wide receiver 11.
48:31See, there you go. So wide receiver 11 gets him to the, uh, Nico Collins, George Pickens, Rashi Rice, Chris Olave, Devonta Smith range.
48:39And, you know, we, we, even Malik neighbors, like I would take Waddle, I think over Malik neighbors.
48:46Although Garrett Wilson, Zay Flowers there. I'm, I would probably take Zay Flowers over Waddle still.
48:51Yeah. I think, uh, I, I think that's reasonable, but you know, like Waddle or Luther.
48:57Actually, my projections Waddle would be wide receiver 11 flowers is 13.
49:02So that works out. That's about, I would still, I would adjust it.
49:06I think to make sure that I get flowers ahead of Waddle, but that's about where, if we were to bump up
49:14Waddle to 25, that's where we would, he would go.
49:18See, I would take like Waddle over, uh, Ted McMillan just because of the passing volume.
49:24Oh, a thousand percent. Uh, Ted McMillan. So we must have Ted McMillan as, as, uh, being way overpriced right now.
49:31Uh, wide receiver 24 in my projections. There you go.
49:35Ted McMillan. Everybody just flip Waddle and, uh, Ted McMillan in your, in your, uh, ADP list.
49:41And, and you're probably about right there. That, that seems right to me.
49:46Yeah. Right after, uh, that would put Waddle right after Garrett Wilson, Zay Flowers.
49:51We'll put him right before Amika Ibuka and T Higgins.
49:54Sorry. I just slandered T Higgins. Um, all right.
49:58We're booting you off the podcast here, Diane. It doesn't matter because you have T Higgins at wide receiver three anyway.
50:05So it, it doesn't matter, uh, T Higgins. I have, uh, right after flowers at wide receiver.
50:11Well, it was wide receiver 13. Okay. Which is still ahead of market.
50:16I, I do think I was aggressive last year with T Higgins.
50:20I get it, but I think the, I think the market is way too low on T Higgins at 19.
50:28This, this is the first year where I've been happily drafting T Higgins.
50:32Can I tell you that Bradley? Music in my ears.
50:36It's about time, Dan. I've been hitting that T Higgins button sometime with it, you know, a smile on my face even.
50:44So, uh, you know. Warms my heart. Yep. It's, uh, yeah, it, it, it's finally a price where I'm like, okay, there is some upside from this price.
50:54Whereas before I was like, wait, everything better go exactly perfectly for T Higgins or I'm losing money on this one.
51:02Oh no. So love it. All right, Dan, I've got one more.
51:06Okay. Fire alarm. And this, this breaks my heart because the heart versus the head.
51:11This is where my Irish, my shamrock glasses are just leading me astray because I, I want to love Jeremiah Love.
51:19I really do. I saw him live last year twice.
51:23And one of the, one of them was the USC game where he annihilated.
51:28I want to be all the way in on Jeremiah love and I cannot get there.
51:33I tried every which way to get Jeremiah Love as high as I can.
51:39And Dan, the numbers don't lie because we look at overall the Arizona Cardinals and their implied total touchdowns for the year
51:46is 20, 20 total touchdowns from the offense. 13.5 implied passing in about six and a half rushing.
51:53How is Jeremiah love going to score fantasy points for us?
51:57If he's not scoring touchdowns and he's also competing for targets with Marvin Harrison, Michael Wilson, and a Trey McBride.
52:04You've got three respectable pass catchers alongside Jeremiah love, not to mention the projected organizational dysfunction that exists with Arizona.
52:11Jacoby Brissett is sitting out. Carson Beck may play the majority of this season.
52:16I know they don't want to play Gardner Minshew.
52:20It, they might have a couple Gardner Minshew games.
52:23And I think Arizona, what Arizona is telling us is that they're telling Jacoby Brissett, you know what you want to sit out?
52:31Fine. Yeah. It's only people. It hurts. Yeah. It hurts Jacoby Brissett more than them.
52:37Right. Exactly. They're not looking to win a ton of games this year.
52:41They're looking to, to get as high a draft pick as possible.
52:46They'll put Minshew in there. I mean, I don't think they're going to, you know, I don't think they're going to not play Carson Beck.
52:55I think he's going to, you know, he's going to play might be, you know, middle of the season, might be late season.
53:03He might play so badly that they go right back to Jacoby Brissett or Gardner Minshew and say, you know, we, we
53:11have to put out a professional effort here because of the rest of the players on the team.
53:18We owe them at least that, you know, they're not going to, they're not going to let a Carson Beck just sit
53:26out there and flail away uselessly if that's what happens.
53:29So I, you know, I, I do think that if they put Carson Beck out there and he totally bricks, they, they
53:37won't hesitate to put Minshew or Brissett back in.
53:40But I think Brissett's problem is, is they did bring in Minshew because they didn't want to be, you know, they didn't
53:48want to spend a high draft pick on a, on a quarterback this year.
53:53And they didn't want to be stuck with just the Brissett show.
53:58They wanted another answer. So Gardner Minshew gave them another answer.
54:02And I think if Brissett continues to hold out, they're just going to say, well, we're just going to go to plan B.
54:10That's fine. You know, you can hold out as long as you want.
54:15When you're ready to come back to camp, we'll put you in as backup to Minshew and, uh, and maybe to Carson Beck as well.
54:24We'll see. Love's ADP is running back 13 and I tried all I could.
54:29What are you, what are you having, Bradley? Give me the bad news.
54:33Give me the bad news. Just rip the bandaid off.
54:37Come on. Running back 18. I know the running back 18 right now is Kyron Williams, but running back 19 is Cam Scadaboo.
54:45Yeah. Jeremiah love that's how bad the Arizona Cardinals offense is going to be.
54:50It's Cardinals and dolphins who are just. How many, how many touchdowns did Arizona have last year?
54:57Do you have that at your fingertips? Hmm. I don't have it in front of me, but they like, I think for
55:05some reason there was just Jacoby Brissett played very well for a little bit of time.
55:10He was on a hot streak and teams probably were just like, well, I mean, we'll allow him to, to do his
55:18thing, but that's not been the Jacoby Brissett that we had seen for the majority of his career.
55:25I mean, we've seen Jacoby Brissett have some good years and we've seen him have some awful years.
55:31I'll, I'll, I'll, I'll agree with you there. Um, he, he had a good year with, um, Cleveland, Indianapolis.
55:38Um, he looked fairly decent when, uh, Andrew Luck just retired and then they, who else had it?
55:45Cleveland, I think. Yeah. Cleveland. He played well with Cleveland when you look awful there.
55:50He pushed the ball down the field. Maybe it was the other way around.
55:55Uh, but he, when he was with new England, it was bad.
56:00Yeah, that was, that's right. He played well with Cleveland, did not play well with, uh, Indy.
56:06I think it was. Yeah. So. Yikes. I thought he played Indy twice.
56:10Didn't he play? He started with Indy, made his way back around.
56:15Or am I misremembering all that? Yeah. So let's see.
56:18I'm going to look up, I'm looking up the Arizona Cardinals here.
56:232025 Arizona Cardinals. Let's see how many offensive TDs they had.
56:27Cause the thing is, I do think that they've got a functional offense.
56:31With decent quarterback play. If Brissette or Minshew can provide decent quarterback play.
56:36I think they've got a functional offense. It doesn't work very well as far as like actually winning games.
56:43Because of the fact that, uh, they throw pick sixes.
56:47But then pick sixes means that they've just got to score more points to try to keep up.
56:53So, and they scored 29 touchdowns last year. Yeah.
56:56I think they just rode hot there, Dan. They probably did.
57:00But I'm going to, I'm going to give them, I'm, I'm trying to help your boy out here.
57:07I, I, I wish, I wish we could get there.
57:10But like my line. I think you got to bump them up to about, I think, I think they can do 25 touchdowns.
57:19I do. My line for Jeremiah Love is, uh, he puts up 1152 on the ground, three and a half rushing touchdowns.
57:27Uh, 30. I think that's cool. I think he can.
57:3036 receptions, 400 receiving yards. So he's putting up 1500 total yards.
57:35Okay. But four and a half total touchdowns. See, I think if he puts up 1500 guards, he's going to have to
57:43get over four and a half touchdowns. I think that's, I, I, I think you're using the total maybe to, you know, total touchdowns.
57:51I mean, I'm thinking about if he gets there, there's, you know, if there's only like seven rushing scores that are implied by this, by these implied touchdowns.
58:01That you have, uh, one or two touchdowns. Yeah.
58:05So, uh, team data wise, um, the Arizona Cardinals are at their implied total points for the entire year's 243.
58:12Hmm. Their points per, that puts them at 14.3 points per game.
58:16Their maximum, uh, weekly score is 19.7 and their minimum score is 9.2.
58:21Um, how many total points 200 and what? 243.
58:24So that's including field goals. That's including, uh, last year they scored 355.
58:29I'm just not sure they're that much worse of a team this year.
58:34That's how, that's how the markets are approaching it.
58:37It's that low. I understand that's how the markets are approaching it.
58:41I'm just thinking maybe I need to go out and bet some overs here.
58:46Significantly lower. Uh, I'm not going to bet overs on win losses, but, uh, you know, if they're, if I can find something on points.
58:55Well, if they're getting blown out by, you think about who else is in their division.
59:01Oh yeah. Oh, I get it. You know, they're going to, they're going to have some stinker games.
59:07There's no doubt about that. I get that. But on the other hand, you know, and I know they've got a pretty difficult schedule this year.
59:17Uh, according to, to Warren Sharp, he's got them, uh, I do actually have that up.
59:23So let me take a look at Arizona. They are, yeah, there's their, their, their schedule is exceedingly difficult.
59:30Um, they have, they have a lot of tough games, but it's again, it's against teams that have some good offenses.
59:37Not imagine mild Garrett, just taking down Jacoby Brissett.
59:40Okay. Yeah. I get it. But I, I, I think that maybe Aaron Donald comes back.
59:46I, I, I will give them credit for more points than that.
59:51I'm, I'm going to give you permission to say that, you know, Jeremiah Love could be the, you know, running back 14 or 15 anyway.
60:00I would, I would love to get there. Um, the other part is that there is some rumbling about Alger being the
60:08goal line back because of how he's built. I disagree.
60:11I think Jeremiah Love is a phenomenal goal line back.
60:15You, you see, we've seen him the film at Notre Dame.
60:19Absolutely. Absolutely brilliant at the goal line, but I'm also of the opinion, Dan, that bad teams stay bad.
60:26Oh, I agree. Yeah. With decisions like that, where you take the ball out of Jeremiah Love's hands occasionally when you're at
60:34the goal line and it's Tyler Algier who converts.
60:37And that's what he did with B. John Robinson last year was Algier had what?
60:42Eight rushing scores last year. I get it. Mm-hmm.
60:45I get it. But if the rumors are true that Bidwell forced the pick on the GM, Austin Ford, if that's true,
60:53are they going to really put in Algier as the goal line back when, you know, Bidwell's handpicked guy is sitting on the sidelines?
61:02I don't know. I don't know. Bad teams do bad.
61:06I can't believe this, Bradley. I am having to try to talk you into a goal.
61:11I know. This is why I brought it to the table because his ADP is running back 13.
61:18And initially when he signed with Arizona, I was like, this is a borderline first round pick.
61:24I really want Jeremiah Love to pan out because of those shamrock glasses.
61:29But, you know, the deeper I'm looking at this, the less optimism I'm having, you know, toward love and this overall.
61:36This, we could be looking at like week 12 and, you know, it's not even Minshew and Brissette and it's Carson Beck getting an extended look.
61:46And Beck was bad. Like he shouldn't have even been a third round pick, but the Cardinals needed a rookie quarterback.
61:53This is going to be the Shadur Sanders situation all over again, you know, from, from he gets a long audition and
62:01then it's going to compete for the job the next year too.
62:06Based on that. Oh, I think they'll draft a quarterback.
62:09I, I do. Oh, sure. They will, but there's going to be, they're going to go through the competition.
62:16Yeah. I, no, I think Carson Beck, it's going to be, you know, either he follows the, the Tyler Shuck path or he just kind of becomes.
62:26The second or third string quarterback for the rest of this time.
62:30I don't think that they'll go into, I don't, I don't think Arizona will want to go into the situation with as
62:38high a draft pick as they're going to have.
62:42They can move some assets around. They can get up into the very top of the draft, get, you know, they could be in the Arch Manning sweepstakes.
62:52And there's no chance that they're giving them a competition.
62:55If it's Carson Beck and Arch Manning, they'll keep Brissette or, you know, Minshew around to be kind of that, that veteran leader.
63:04But it's, it's going to be Arch Manning's team or whoever is their starting quarterback, whoever they draft early.
63:10Yes. The Arizona Cardinals are going to be. And I will point out here's, here's, here's the, also the, the gleam of,
63:18you know, the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow, shall we say.
63:24Please. Week 15, New York Jets. Week 16, New Orleans Saints.
63:28Week 17, Las Vegas Raiders. That's a, that's a pretty sweet playoff schedule.
63:32It could, it could really work out near the end.
63:36If, if you can get that love team into the playoffs, you know.
63:41Maybe. Maybe his ADP will continue to, to drop a little bit.
63:45But, because he was a mid round two pick and now, now he's, you know, near the end of round two.
63:53Yeah. I think after seeing Gentry last year, you know, the, the hyperbole on these, you know, highly drafted rookie running backs
64:01is kind of, it's fallen off a little bit.
64:04You know, people are realizing that, hey, they are still a rookie.
64:08They're usually going to a bad team. And, you know, you can't expect the world out of them.
64:15So I think the expectations are much more in line with Jeremiah Love this year than they were with Gentry last year.
64:23All right, Dan. Any last words for the people?
64:26No, we made it an hour. So there you go.
64:30I mean, you know, we, we, we've given you, and, and I've given Bradley, I hope something to chew on.
64:37He's given me a few things to chew on as well.
64:41So. That's why we do it. Yes, exactly. Love it.
64:44Awesome. Well, on behalf of Dan, I'm Bradley. Till next time.
64:48Good luck in the best ball streets, everybody. She takes care of everyone else.
64:53This Mother's Day, give her something that takes care of her.
64:57Garden is the smart indoor growing system that brings the farmer's market right to her kitchen.
65:03It's fully automated, meaning it handles the lighting and watering itself.
65:07No soil, no heavy lifting, and no mess. Just vibrant greens, fresh herbs, and beautiful flowers at her fingertips.
65:14365 days a year. It's more than a gift.
65:17It's a daily dose of me time. Give her the gift that keeps on growing at mygarden.com.
65:23That's M-Y-G-A-R-D-Y-N dot com. Garden. Harvest happiness.
