The OG Fantasy Show - Week 8 Fantasy Football Preview | Matchups, Starts & Fades w/ Tipp Harris

A.J. Brown, traded to the Patriots, has underperformed relative to expectations; the source notes he's had injuries, catching struggles, and apparent mental focus issues on the field, and projects him to score fewer fantasy points than Zay Flowers for the second consecutive year.

Aaron Jones is dealing with an injury, which is relevant context for why Jonathan Taylor could be a fit for the Minnesota Vikings.

Antonio Williams, a rookie, is being questioned by the source as a trusted option in the Commanders' passing offense following Terry McLaurin's departure; the source expresses skepticism about relying on a rookie in this situation.

Braylon Allen has performed well in the running back room during Breece Hall's absence; the source expects him to continue receiving carries and projects a 65-35 split in Hall's first game back, with Allen on the higher end.

Breece Hall is dealing with a quad injury that 'can linger'; even upon return, the source expects a 65-35 split favoring Braylon Allen in the first game back to acclimate Hall and manage his workload.

In a trade offer context, source notes Breece Hall is a running back in a time split, making him less valuable; source would reject a trade offer that includes Hall as a centerpiece.

If traded to a contending team like the 49ers or Kansas City Chiefs, Brian Thomas Jr. could become a key focal point in fantasy formats for the remainder of the season, representing significant upside from a change of situation.

Brian Thomas Jr. has struggled with offensive fit since his rookie year following coaching changes at Jacksonville; the team has added Trav Moore to the receiving corps, further complicating his role clarity.

Source is reluctantly starting Brian Thomas Jr. as a flex option in Week 8 vs. Colts; Liam Cohen indicated they will get him involved in the offense, but source questions whether this is a genuine role increase or a showcase to bump trade value; BTJ has historically received 3-0 targets per game, so even 4-5 targets would not be significant; source suspects it's a showcase to increase trade value; source notes BTJ had good historical matchup against Colts.

Bowers is exceeding expectations in the Raiders offense; the source was happy with a 7-point projection increase but Bowers is delivering 27 points, 10 points above that. Kirk Cousins is performing well, which supports continued volume for Bowers as a key receiving target.

Source argues that despite Brock Purdy's current strong play, Josh Allen is on a different level; Purdy is not a suitable centerpiece to acquire Josh Allen in a trade.

Source believes Bryce Young can put together a good game against Green Bay; when distributing the ball well and avoiding turnovers, he is a very good quarterback; Carolina has pieces on offense that can work.

CJ Stroud was widely available on waivers and served as a successful replacement for injured Caleb Williams across multiple leagues.

Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears face the Seahawks next week. The source is interested in seeing how Williams' ability to extend plays and run around will perform against the Seahawks' elite defense, suggesting this will be a competitive matchup.

Caleb Williams went down with an injury; the source had him rostered heavily across multiple leagues and had to pivot to CJ Stroud, who was available on waivers.

CeeDee Lamb was expected to perform well against the Philadelphia Eagles, who are giving up the most fantasy points to wide receivers in the slot. The source anticipated Lamb would 'do his thing' in this favorable matchup.

The source targets Chase Brown despite people being 'super low' on him, citing favorable schedule matchups in the back half of the season; contrasts him with waiver-wire dumps like Jonah Coleman, Rashad White, and Makai Lemon.

Source mentions Chris Olave as another potential trade target when moving Nico Collins, though without strong conviction.

Source suggests Christian Watson as a potential trade target for those looking to move Nico Collins; Watson is presented as a viable receiving option to acquire.

Source notes Chuba Hubbard can run the ball very well; Carolina has good offensive pieces that can work in Week 8 matchup vs. Green Bay.

In a likely shootout between Ravens and Bills, DJ Moore is a play; the source expects high-scoring game dynamics to create touchdown opportunities even if Moore gets limited volume, with one catch potentially being a 20-yard touchdown due to game script.

Trading away Kincaid represents a substantial downgrade at tight end; the source advises against the trade despite receiving depth at running back (Jordan Mason, Cardinal Tate, Ladd McConkie) because the tight end drop-off is too significant—described as a 'two steps forward, three steps back situation.'

Dalton Kincaid is a reluctant play in Ravens-Bills shootout despite Bills' historical toughness against tight ends; the source suggests playing him if he's your only option and hoping for the best, but would prefer Chigakonkwo if available.

Source would not trade Travis Kraft and Jaylen Jentry for Irving, Kincaid, and Judkins because of the significant downgrade at tight end to Dalton Kincaid; source is concerned about the TE position drop-off.

The source had predicted David Montgomery would be 'this year's Javante Williams' but acknowledged being wrong on that call, as Javante Williams himself has proven to be the elite back this season.

Garrett Wilson is a prime target against the Raiders in Week 8. Wilson ranks number one in win rate percentage and separation score, and the Raiders defense is very mediocre against wide receivers, giving up the fourth most points from the position. Wilson lines up on the outside left over 42% of his snaps, and the Raiders are particularly vulnerable to outside left receivers. The source expects Wilson to receive 12-15 targets as a 'squeaky wheel' narrative after his three-target dud against Miami.

Garrett Wilson was dropped in over 15% of leagues after a low-target game against Miami, creating a buy-low opportunity. The source would spend 16-22% of FAB budget on Wilson, citing not only the immediate Raiders matchup but also favorable upcoming matchups after Kansas City later in the season.

Wilson leads in target separation and targets per route run per fantasy points data; the source calls him a 'big buy low candidate' this week despite some nervousness about the immediate matchup, citing good matchups coming up in the back half of the season.

Geno Smith is a 'very serviceable NFL quarterback' projected to throw for 3,800 yards and 30-something touchdowns; rostered in only 16% of leagues, making him a 'really, really nice pickup' this week for teams with injured or bye-week quarterbacks, particularly against the Raiders.

George Pickens was expected to perform well against the Philadelphia Eagles, who are giving up the most fantasy points to slot receivers. The source anticipated an easy matchup for Pickens.

Jake Ferguson is being phased out in the Dallas offense, with his role diminished by the increased usage of Ryan Flournoy and other receivers. The source had drafted Ferguson as a sleeper tight end in double-digit rounds expecting low-end tight end volume, but that production has not materialized.

Jalen Hurts' passing game was impacted by the Philadelphia Eagles' defensive struggles against slot receivers, with the offense forced to rely on wide receiver production rather than balanced play-calling.

Javante Williams has been one of the best fantasy picks of the year, delivering reliability, consistency, and strong production. The source describes him as 'solid' and 'good to have,' noting that the Dallas run game looked excellent. The source had previously predicted David Montgomery would be 'this year's Javante Williams,' but acknowledged that Javante Williams himself is proving to be the standout back.

Jaden Daniels' injury is noted as a factor overshadowing Washington's 31st-ranked scoring offense; the source suggests his absence has impacted the Commanders' offensive production heading into their matchup with Philadelphia.

Higgins was initially expected to provide opportunity in the Texans' crowded wide receiver room but suffered an injury that opened the door for other receivers; his absence contributed to the ongoing uncertainty in Houston's pass-catching hierarchy.

Taylor's trade situation creates uncertainty for fantasy value; if moved to Denver, he could see touches drop from 20-25 per game to around 15 under Sean Payton's system, making his landing spot critical to his fantasy outlook.

The source discusses Jonathan Taylor as a potential trade target for the Minnesota Vikings, who are 6-0 but have an underperforming offense averaging only 15 points per game. Taylor would provide the perfect balance for Minnesota's needs: his presence would open rushing lanes for mobile QB Kyler Murray and force defenses to respect the running game, which would help the passing game. The source likes this matchup a lot.

Source expresses concern about starting Jonathan Taylor in Week 8 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars due to Jacksonville's dominant rushing defense; Jaguars have allowed barely over 40 rushing yards per game, with only Woody Marks reaching 58 yards; source notes this is a tough matchup but acknowledges Taylor must be started as a game-breaker; source hopes for at least 10-12 points and a potential touchdown.

Jordan Mason is cited as a startable depth piece on the running back side in a trade scenario; the source acknowledges Mason as a meaningful contributor, though not enough to justify the tight end downgrade overall.

Jordan Mason is characterized as always injured; the source notes he's just a hit away from being on IR, making him an unreliable option.

Source notes that Jordan Mason provides depth on the running back side; though source still recommends against the overall trade, Mason's presence as a flex option is noted as a positive element.

Josh Allen was chopped/dropped in 16% of leagues despite not being injured; the source expresses disbelief at this decision, noting Allen will return and that waiting one week is the prudent strategy rather than using waiver budget to re-acquire a player already owned.

In response to a trade offer of Brock Purdy, A.J. Brown Pickens, and Breece Hall for Josh Allen, Zay Flowers, source strongly rejects the offer; Josh Allen is on a different level than Brock Purdy regardless of Purdy's current play; source would laugh at the offer.

Keon Coleman is a play in the Ravens-Bills shootout as long as DJ Moore remains healthy; the source expects high-scoring game script to create touchdown opportunities.

Kirk Cousins is performing at a high level for the Raiders, described as 'balling out' and 'dealing.' Head coach Kubiak confirmed Cousins as the starting quarterback against the Jets immediately after the previous game, indicating no quarterback change is imminent.

Kirk Cousins is performing well with the Raiders offense, which is scoring 27 points per game compared to 17 points last year; the source notes Cousins is 'balling' and the offense is 'clicking,' indicating strong performance and upside.

Lamar Jackson has been absent from the field the last few games; Zay Flowers has continued to produce despite Jackson's absence, though the source notes the Ravens-Bills matchup will be a shootout if Lamar plays.

Treadwell (referred to as 'Irving' in the transcript) is mentioned as part of the Saints' receiving corps usage pattern; the source notes the way the Saints are using Irving and their plans for Judkins make the trade intriguing from a depth perspective, though the tight end downgrade outweighs the benefit.

The Texans acquired Harrison Jr., adding a high-profile receiver to an already crowded wide receiver room; this move further fragments target distribution among Houston's pass catchers.

Held out of practice; source noted it appeared to be rest and recovery rather than a severe injury.

Collins was positioned to benefit from Higgins' injury in Houston's wide receiver room, but the Texans' subsequent acquisitions—Tank Dell's return, Jalen Noel's presence, and the addition of Marvin Harrison Jr.—have crowded the target distribution significantly; Collins is taking a big hit from the depth chart influx.

Source strongly advises trading Nico Collins quickly; if looking to trade him, source suggests targeting Christian Watson or other struggling wide receivers like Abukabar (who has more upside with Baker returning) or Chris Olave; source emphasizes you cannot linger on this trade and must act very fast; in redraft leagues, source says you can't trust him going forward; in dynasty, source would caution against trading him.

Source observed during training camp that Parker Washington is Trevor Lawrence's go-to read; the connection was obvious within the first week of camp; source admits he drafted Brian Thomas Jr. in Dynasty but now recognizes Parker Washington as the preferred target.

Ryan Flournoy had an over-under of 32.5 receiving yards at minus 160 against the Philadelphia Eagles, who give up the most fantasy points to slot receivers. The source called this 'an easy smash,' and Flournoy exceeded the projection by going over 70 yards, confirming the Eagles' vulnerability to slot receivers.

Saquon Barkley is dealing with a back injury that significantly impacted his performance. The source observed him wincing on the sideline, struggling to get right, and requiring trainer attention (laying on his side), creating a concerning scenario for his fantasy outlook.

Saquon Barkley is the primary offensive weapon the source is relying on for the Philadelphia Eagles; the source suggests that if Barkley cannot perform, the Eagles offense becomes unreliable, and the source is treating the team similarly to how they avoid Miami Dolphins players entirely.

In the Cowboys-Eagles game, Barkley attempted to put up a fight but the circumstances were unfavorable; the source found it sad to watch despite having him in multiple leagues.

Stefan Diggs, at 32 years old, is one of the receivers the source is monitoring to see if he will step up in the Commanders' passing offense following Terry McLaurin's departure; his age raises questions about whether he can assume a larger role.

Dell was expected to return to the Texans' wide receiver rotation, adding to the depth chart and target competition in Houston's pass-catching room.

Terry McLaurin is gone from the Commanders, creating uncertainty about who will step up in the passing offense; the source is interested in seeing how the offense transforms without him and which receiver will emerge as the primary target.

Traylon Burks is one of several receivers the source is monitoring to see if he will get work in the Commanders' passing offense following Terry McLaurin's departure; his role remains uncertain.

Zay Flowers has elevated his game significantly this season despite early-season injury and Lamar Jackson's recent absence; the source projects Flowers will outscore A.J. Brown for the second consecutive year and credits Matt Kelley for identifying Flowers as a wide receiver one candidate pre-draft.

Source would reject a trade offer to acquire Zay Flowers because Lamar Jackson is coming back; with Jackson's return, Flowers' value is diminished.